Democrat Annette Taddeo and the Republican incumbent she hopes to supplant in November, fellow former Sen. Blaise Ingoglia, are statistically tied in the race for CFO, new polling Taddeo’s campaign commissioned shows.
The two candidates each have 42% support, with 16% of voters undecided, according to a survey conducted by Sarasota-based SEA Polling & Strategic Design.
That’s essentially the same conclusion San Francisco-based Change Research reached earlier this week through separate polling. And it’s close to the finding of a May survey commissioned by Ruth’s List Florida, which found Taddeo narrowly ahead of Ingoglia in a head-to-head matchup.
SEA interviewed 701 likely General Election voters in Florida Sept. 7-13, using live phone calls in English and Spanish and text-to-web online surveys.
The survey carried a 3.7-percentage-point margin of error at a 95% confidence level and used a sample modeled at 44% Republican, 31% Democratic and 25% no major party affiliation, with 66% of respondents identifying as White, 16% as Hispanic, 12% as Black and 6% as belonging to another race or ethnicity, or unreported.
Image via SEA Polling & Strategic Design.
As is the case with myriad other political contests, messaging is of the essence, pollsters found. After respondents heard positive descriptions of both candidates, SEA said, support for Taddeo jumped to 50%, while Ingoglia’s remained at 42% and undecideds fell to 8%.
Among no-party voters, Taddeo led 43% to 31% on the initial ballot and expanded that margin to 60% to 30% after voters received her and Ingoglia’s biographical information.
Pollsters attributed the shift to low current voter familiarity with both candidates.
SEA compared this year’s CFO race to Florida’s 2006 CFO contest, when Democrat Alex Sink defeated Republican Tom Lee. An early October Survey USA poll that year had Lee ahead of Sink 49% to 47%, with Sink leading among no-party voters by 11 points.
Sink ultimately won by 7 points. SEA wrote that the current political climate has “erased a 13-point Republican registration advantage.”
Republicans have 1.55 million more registered voters in Florida than Democrats, representing an 11.5-point edge, according to state records.
Taddeo still faces an uphill challenge in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide seat since Nikki Fried, the Florida Democratic Party’s Chair, won a race for Agriculture Commissioner in 2018.
Ingoglia has a massive war chest advantage, controlling $5.45 million across his campaign and two political committees, compared to $108,000 that Taddeo held as of Sept. 3.
Ingoglia, a Spring Hill resident and past Chair of the Republican Party of Florida, was appointed CFO by Gov. Ron DeSantis in July 2025. He succeeded Republican Jimmy Patronis, who left the Office for a successful run at Congress.
Taddeo, a former Miami-Dade County Democratic Party Chair, took nearly 66% of the vote in the Aug. 18 Primary, the strongest showing of any Democrat running statewide.