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Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 10.28.26


Good Wednesday morning.

A top-of-the-‘Burn birthday shoutout to our friend and mom extraordinaire, Alia Faraj-Johnson.

Alia Faraj-Johnson gets top billing today, and for once, it’s not about politics. Happy birthday!

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With Election Day six days away, the Florida Chamber’s Future of Florida Forum is taking stock of the political landscape.

Today’s lineup opens with an election discussion featuring the Chamber’s political affairs executive, Frank Walker; data and analytics Director, Alex Coelho; and political affairs and coalitions advocacy Director, Andrew Wiggins.

The three will examine the data and trends shaping the 2026 Elections as campaigns enter their final stretch.

Florida’s future takes center stage, with plenty of policy and politics on the agenda.

Attorney General James Uthmeier, who is on the November ballot, will also appear alongside Marion County Sheriff Billy Woods to discuss community safety.

Affordability gets its own session, with Insurance Commissioner Michael Yaworsky examining how greater competition in health, property and auto insurance markets could expand consumer choice and lower costs for families and businesses.

The agenda also connects Florida’s economic ambitions with its healthcare and technology sectors. Tampa General Hospital President and CEO John Couris and Palantir Technologies’ Ted Mabrey will discuss their partnership and how it applies to patient care. Other sessions cover life sciences, space exploration and higher education’s role in innovation.

Attendees will also learn whether Northrop Grumman’s E-2D Advanced Hawkeye or Arthrex’s TightRope PRO surgical implant wins the 2026 Coolest Thing Made in Florida competition.

—”Chamber forum: Mark Wilson says work on Florida 2040 Blueprint begins next year” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics

—”Chamber forum: Rick Scott says government has priced working families out of the American Dream” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics

—”Chamber forum: Karen Moore says Florida’s 2040 workforce is four years old today, but they need our focus now” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics

—”Chamber forum: Trust should trump speed as businesses consider AI solutions” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics

—”Chamber forum: Workforce programs must deliver for grads, and employer input helps” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics

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“Christian Ulvert part of national effort to boost LGBTQ+ representation in U.S. House” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — As Election Day approaches, the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund is mobilizing its national network to support candidates nationwide and increase LGBTQ+ representation in the U.S. House. Among those joining the fight is Florida’s own Ulvert, an LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Board member and a South Florida-based political consultant who typically works with Democrats. Ulvert is joining big names in politics, including Pete Buttigieg, who most recently served as Secretary of Transportation in former President Joe Biden’s administration. Buttigieg is also a former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and a former Democratic candidate for President.

Christian Ulvert joins a national push to bring more LGBTQ+ voices to Congress.

— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —

—@KFILE: Crazy — we’re only eight days away from the start of the 2028 Primaries.

Tweet, tweet:

—@MarkGlaeser: Friends of Byron Donalds Raised yesterday: $3.5M Cash-on-hand: $37M

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

—@AngieNixon: I say it clearly: I do not celebrate Castro. I call Cuba what it is, an authoritarian regime, and I will fight for the Cuban families who fled from it. Meanwhile, Ashley Moody supports deporting Cuban families back to the regime they escaped from.

—@AngieNixon: While crashing at my cousin’s in Parkland, I saw a pack of coyotes running around late last night. I lost it. Not only does South Florida have green iguanas, but you all have COYOTES?! Just running strong! My husband dragged me in the house because I was too scared to move.

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

— DAYS UNTIL —

General Election — 6; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero’ premieres — 9; ‘Wild Horse Nine’ premieres — 9; Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 14; ‘Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol’ starring Johnny Depp premieres — 16; ‘Paper Tiger’ starring Adam Driver premieres — 16; Biden’s memoir, ‘Promise Me, America’ is released — 20; New legislator training sessions — 20; Senate convenes for general organization and selection of officers — 20; ‘Madden’ premieres — 21; ‘I PLAY ROCKY’ premieres — 23; ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ premieres — 23; ‘Blade Runner 2099’ premieres on Prime Video — 28; ‘The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth,’ with Brad Pitt, directed by David Fincher and written by Quentin Tarantino, premieres in IMAX — 28; Committee Week #1 — 33; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 51; ‘Dune: Part 3,’ directed by Denis Villeneuve, premieres — 51; ‘Six Kings Slam 2026’ begins — 60; Committee Week #2 — 68; Committee Week #3 — 75; ‘Ahsoka’ season 2 premieres — 84; College Football Playoff national championship game in Las Vegas — 89; Committee Week #4 — 96; The 2027 Florida State Fair begins — 99; ‘Remain,’ directed by M. Night Shyamalan, premieres — 100; Grammys — 102; Committee Week #5 — 103; Super Bowl LXI — 109; Committee Week #6 — 110; Opening day of the 2027 Regular Legislative Session — 125; Tampa Mayoral Election — 125; ‘The Thomas Crown Affair,’ directed by and starring Michael B. Jordan premieres — 128; Jacksonville First Election — 132; Oscars — 137; Miami Marlins Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. New York Mets — 148; Tampa Bay Rays Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. Baltimore Orioles — 148; Democratic Mayors Association 2027 annual summit in Miami begins — 168; Jacksonville General Election — 202; ‘Star Wars: Starfighter’ premieres — 212; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ premieres — 233; Citrus Series — Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins — 261; ‘The Bluey Movie’ premieres — 282; Citrus Series — Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays — 317; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 415; 2028 South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary — 451; College Football Playoff national championship game in New Orleans — 453; 2028 Nevada Presidential Primary — 461; 2028 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary — 468; 2028 New Mexico Democratic Presidential Primary — 475; ‘The Batman Part II’ premieres — 478; 2028 Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary — 482; 2028 Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary — 489; Oscars — 494; ‘X-Men’ premieres — 555; ‘Miami Vice ’85’ reboot premieres — 569; ‘Lilo & Stitch 2’ premieres — 576; ‘Days of Thunder’ sequel with Tom Cruise and Anne Hathaway premieres — 583; ‘Incredibles 3’ premieres — 597; 2028 Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 625; ‘Ghost Rider’ premieres — 639; 2028 U.S. Presidential Election — 741; ‘Black Panther 3’ directed by Ryan Coogler premieres — 779; College Football Playoff national championship game in Tampa — 817; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1,150; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 1,878.

— TOP STORY —

“Ron DeSantis joins Byron Donalds for final campaign push” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Gov. DeSantis will join Republican gubernatorial nominee Donalds for two campaign appearances Wednesday, bringing the outgoing Governor and his preferred successor together as the race for Governor enters its final week.

The appearances are part of Donalds’ “Defending the Florida Dream” bus tour, which has featured Republican leaders and statewide candidates. DeSantis will join Donalds at Luigi’s Pizza in Brooksville at 9:30 a.m. and Tampa’s Cuban Civic Club at 6 p.m.

Ron DeSantis and Byron Donalds reunite for a final campaign push. Better late than never.

Despite DeSantis’ endorsement, the two have shared a stage only once since Donalds won the August Primary. That appearance came at a Republican Party of Florida event where DeSantis endorsed the party’s statewide slate.

Donalds has nevertheless featured the Governor’s support in campaign advertising. One recent spot highlights Democratic nominee David Jolly’s previous criticism of DeSantis’ leadership, including his 2021 characterization of Florida under the Governor as an “abject failure.”

The advertisement also contrasts the candidates on taxes, insurance and affordability. It portrays Jolly as a candidate who would increase costs while Donalds promises to maintain low taxes, reduce insurance expenses and make Florida more affordable.

DeSantis has also appeared alongside U.S. Sen. Moody this week. With his tenure nearing its end, the Governor is lending his presence to Republican candidates seeking office in November. Wednesday’s appearances give Donalds another chance to highlight DeSantis’ endorsement as voters choose Florida’s next Governor.

— NAT’L MOOD —

“Race, immigration and political loyalty expose America’s enduring divisions” via Howard L. Simon of the Tampa Bay Times — Two recent controversies show how racial considerations still distort American politics and undermine fundamental principles. Haitian pastor Molis Augustave was deported after a decade in the United States, separated from his American wife and children despite a pending residency petition and no allegations of criminal wrongdoing. His case exposes the gulf between President Donald Trump’s administration claims about targeting dangerous criminals and the reality of mass deportations. Meanwhile, Gainesville Commissioner Cynthia Moore Chestnut, a longtime Democrat, endorsed Donalds for Governor because she wants to see a Black Governor in her lifetime. Racial representation should not outweigh a candidate’s character, policies or commitment to the communities they seek to serve.

“Democrats lead nationally, but turnout concerns threaten a Midterm wave” via Domenico Montanaro and Elena Moore of NPR — Democrats enter Election Day with a substantial advantage, but a new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll reveals warning signs that could limit their gains. Democrats lead Republicans by 8 points among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot, while Trump’s approval stands at just 40%. Economic anxiety dominates, with 38% reporting worsening personal finances. Democrats also hold a 10-point enthusiasm advantage, although younger voters, nonwhite voters and college-educated white women show weaker enthusiasm than other Democratic constituencies. Meanwhile, Republicans have nearly erased Democrats’ advantage in election engagement. With 55% of likely voters seeking candidates offering change, Democrats remain favored to capture the House, but turnout could determine the size of their victory.

Protesters are making their voices heard as Election Day approaches and political tensions run high.

“Ten polling numbers reveal a restless electorate and trouble for Republicans” via James M. Lindsay for the Council on Foreign Relations — With Election Day approaching, national polling paints a troubling picture for Republicans and Trump. Nearly 63% of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, while 73% disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy. Affordability dominates voter concerns: 47% cite the cost of living as their top election issue, and 81% say tariffs have increased prices. Meanwhile, 21% of registered voters dislike both major parties, reflecting growing political disillusionment. Confidence in election integrity remains shaky, with 51% questioning the honesty of U.S. elections. Democrats see an opportunity to reclaim Congress, but widespread dissatisfaction suggests voters are motivated more by frustration than enthusiasm for either party.

“Donald Trump’s Iran war becomes a growing liability for Republicans ahead of Election Day” via Thomas Beaumont and Aamer Madhani of The Associated Press — Trump’s nearly eight-month war with Iran is complicating Republican efforts to retain control of Congress as rising gasoline prices and voter frustration reshape the Midterm landscape. National gas prices have remained above $4 per gallon since June, fueling broader concerns about grocery prices and affordability. Republican strategists privately acknowledge the conflict is making previously safe districts competitive, while some traditional GOP voters are reconsidering their loyalties. Trump continues defending the war as necessary to eliminate Iran’s nuclear threat, dismissing its economic consequences as temporary. But renewed fighting involving Iranian-backed Houthis and Saudi Arabia has heightened uncertainty. Even some Trump supporters question how long the conflict will last, leaving Republican candidates struggling to reconcile loyalty with voter dissatisfaction.

— 2026 —

“Donalds ad says Florida is the best state in America, unless David Jolly gets a hold of it” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Donalds is closing his campaign for Governor with a new 30-second ad warning that his Democratic opponent, Jolly, threatens Florida’s prosperity. In the ‘This Is Florida’ spot, Donalds calls the Sunshine State “the greatest state in America, and it’s not close,” while accusing Jolly of supporting higher property taxes, rising insurance costs and socialism. Donalds promises to cut property taxes, protect children and improve affordability. Campaign strategist Ryan Smith says Donalds offers a concrete plan to lower household expenses while preserving DeSantis’ policies. The ad arrives one week before Election Day, sharpening the contrast between Donalds’ promise of continuity and his portrayal of Jolly’s agenda.

“If crowd size matters in dueling Pensacola rallies, Jolly outshines Donalds” via Jim Little of the Pensacola News Journal — Jolly drew roughly twice the crowd of Donalds during competing Pensacola campaign stops, offering Democrats an encouraging sign heading into Election Day. Donalds drew about 150 supporters to an 8:30 a.m. diner rally, while Jolly drew at least 300 people to a Seville Quarter rally that evening. Donalds, joined by Republican statewide candidates, urged supporters to preserve Florida’s conservative direction and mobilize voters. Jolly, accompanied by running mate Gwen Graham, emphasized affordability, individual rights and ending divisive culture wars. Despite the enthusiasm gap, Donalds maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, raising nearly $158 million compared with Jolly’s $24 million. With polls showing a competitive race, turnout could prove decisive.

David Jolly and Gwen Graham hit the campaign trail, hoping to turn enthusiasm into votes.

Happening today — Donalds and Lieutenant Governor candidate Bryan Ávila will visit the Sarasota County grassroots campaign office in North Port to meet with local volunteers and supporters. The event begins at 1:45 p.m., with media check-in at 1:15 p.m., at 5920 Pan American Blvd., Suite 101, North Port. Media RSVP: skylar@byrondonalds.com.

Happening today — Jolly and Graham bring their Believe in Better Tour to Jacksonville and Gainesville, with Annette Taddeo at both stops and U.S. Sen. candidate Angie Nixon in Jacksonville: 2 p.m., International Longshoremen’s Association, 2040 E. 21st St., Jacksonville; 6 p.m., Gainesville Woman’s Club, 2809 W. University Ave., Gainesville.

“Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves Senate race in Democrats’ direction” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — A national political prognosticator has shifted Florida’s U.S. Senate race back out of the “Safe Republican” column. After weeks of speculation, the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia’s election rater put the contest between Republican Moody and Democrat Nixon back on the map for the first time since Nixon won the Primary. The race is rated “Likely Republican” but still in play.

“CBS News retracts Angie Nixon Cuba post as Democrats scramble to respond” via Claire Heddles of the Tampa Bay Times — A CBS News social media post suggesting Nixon refused to call Cuba a dictatorship sparked bipartisan criticism before the network deleted it, acknowledging it had misrepresented her response. Nixon initially said she had never visited Cuba and relied on accounts from Cuban Americans. Democratic Attorney General candidate José Javier Rodríguez and congressional candidate Eliott Rodriguez publicly condemned the Cuban regime, while Republicans seized on the controversy to portray Nixon as sympathetic to communism. Nixon pushed back, emphasizing she has repeatedly described Cuba as a dictatorship. “I have said time and time again that the Cuban people are living under a dictatorship,” she said, accusing critics of distorting her position.

“CBS News says it ‘did not accurately portray’ Nixon’s Cuba views” via Claire Heddles of the Miami Herald — CBS News triggered a domino effect of Democratic denunciations of the Castro regime after claiming Monday that Democratic Senate candidate Nixon declined to call the communist country a dictatorship, then later deleting its post on social media because it “did not accurately” portray her answer. When asked by CBS News what her message was to Cuban Americans, Nixon said she’s been fighting the mass deportation of Cubans under Trump. In response to a follow-up question about whether Cuba is a dictatorship, she said, “That is what people have told me, I have never been to Cuba, and so I will have to take their word for it.”

“Bryan Ávila offers voters a meaty incentive to get neighbors to the polls” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Republican Lieutenant Governor candidate Ávila has an unusual suggestion for mobilizing voters: Feed your neighbors. Speaking in Tallahassee during the “Defending the Florida Dream” tour, Ávila encouraged supporters to deliver ribs, steaks or rib-eyes to neighbors while discussing the election. “Get along with your neighbors,” he urged, emphasizing the importance of turnout. Ávila also warned that socialism and communism threaten Florida, accused the media of promoting Democratic narratives and invoked his family’s experience losing a Cuban meat-processing business after the communist revolution. He criticized Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Nixon over comments about Cuba’s dictatorship and suggested gubernatorial candidate Jolly shares similarly troubling political views.

Bryan Ávila has a beef with low turnout. His solution? Bring the steaks. Image via The Associated Press.

“James Uthmeier’s power over abortion, development takes center stage in Attorney General race” via Jason Garcia of Seeking Rents — Florida’s Attorney General race between Uthmeier and Rodriguez could have consequences far beyond partisan politics. The state’s top lawyer wields enormous authority to investigate, prosecute and shape public policy through litigation. Uthmeier has used that power to challenge local protections for rural land, potentially benefiting developers seeking to build subdivisions. His office has also pursued aggressive anti-abortion policies, including efforts involving fetal personhood, abortion medication and Planned Parenthood. Those decisions raise questions about government influence over land use, reproductive rights and private interests. With voters focused largely on the Governor’s race, the Attorney General contest deserves closer scrutiny. The winner will help determine how Florida exercises its legal power.

“Can Amendment 1 pass without DeSantis’ support?” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — November’s Amendment 1 would increase the amount of money the state can keep in the budget stabilization fund from 10% to 25% of general revenue collections. But term-limited DeSantis is a major opponent of the ballot measure. The fund has more than tripled since 2019, from $1.5 billion to its $5 billion constitutional limit. Recent polling suggests that passage may be a heavy lift. A survey Stetson University released this month shows 46% support, 30% opposition, and 23% undecided. “This is a foolish constitutional amendment proposal,” DeSantis said last month.

“Ben Albritton to vote no. Amendment 3 a bad proposal” via Laurence Reisman of Treasure Coast Newspapers — Albritton — the Florida Senate President who in June bragged about putting Amendment 3 on the ballot after an expedited Special Session — announced he’d vote against the referendum. Around the same time, I asked Adrian Moore, a Sarasota resident and chief economist for the Reason Foundation, about Amendment 3. “This is just a political play,” he said, noting he’s heard Republicans nationwide pitch the same thing at state conferences. “This is populism raw.” “They just want to pass this ‘tax cut’ because they will get the (political) benefit,” he said. “They’re going to be the ones walking around saying, ‘We cut your taxes’.”

— MORE ELECTIONS —

“DCCC expands the map in the final week of the election” via Sahil Kapur of NBC News — The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is committing $15 million to TV ads in 49 House districts in the final week before Election Day, it said, seeking to expand the map in new districts and using its dollars to project confidence about making big gains next Tuesday. The targets include four districts where the DCCC is spending for the first time, all of which Trump carried by double digits: Nevada’s 2nd District, an open seat vacated by the retirement of GOP Rep. Mark Amodei; Florida’s 7th, a redrawn open seat; Virginia’s 5th, where Republican Rep. John McGuire is running for re-election; and Tennessee’s 5th, an open seat in which GOP Rep. Andy Ogles lost his Primary. Thirty-six of the 49 districts are “offensive” opportunities, meaning seats Democrats don’t already control.

“Can a Democratic wave flip North Florida’s reliably Republican CD 2?” via James Call of the Tallahassee Democrat — Democrat Amanda Marie Green and Republican Austin Rogers offered sharply contrasting visions for Florida’s 2nd Congressional District during their only joint Tallahassee appearance. Competing to replace retiring Congressman Neal Dunn, the candidates clashed over immigration, rural healthcare and economic priorities. Rogers emphasized border security and conservative values, while Green focused on affordability, infrastructure and government accountability. Both supported a federal farm bill, congressional stock-trading restrictions and ending the war with Iran. Rogers holds a substantial fundraising advantage, raising more than $1 million compared with Green’s $350,000. Republicans have dominated the District for years, but Democrats hope favorable statewide political winds create an upset. A forum straw poll favored Rogers, 77% to 23%.

Amanda Marie Green hopes a Democratic wave can reach deep into Republican territory.

“Darren Soto touts Indian River Co. accomplishments in latest ad” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Soto in his latest ad specifically touts achievements in Republican challenger Dan Green’s backyard. In the 30-second spot, Vero Beach resident Ginny Smith slams Green’s platform, then highlights specific wins the Kissimmee Democrat achieved for Indian River County, even before representing a single square foot of the community. The ad focuses on reaching voters in a coastal community added to Florida’s 9th Congressional District as part of a mid-decade redistricting. “Darren Soto is different. He helped pass new funding for veterans’ healthcare and for the cleanup of the Indian River Lagoon,” Smith says. “These are practical results that really help our community.”

“FLIPR gives Republicans just a 66% chance in CD 7 and CD 13, makes Democrats slight favorites in CD 22 and CD 25” via Eli McKown-Dawson for Substack — Florida turns up at nearly every tier of FLIPR’s list of 83 remotely competitive House races. Among Democratic-held seats, Florida’s 9th Congressional District is highly competitive, largely because mid-decade redistricting shifted it right. CD 22 and CD 25 are Lean D races that are also competitive because of recent redistricting; these redrawn districts would have voted for Trump by between 9 and 11 points in 2024, but FLIPR sees the Democratic candidates as slight favorites this year. Democrats’ 215-seat count includes one vacancy in the very blue CD 20, which Democrats won in 2024 and FLIPR wouldn’t consider a flip. Among Republican-held Lean R seats, Democrats’ next-best shots are in the Sunshine State: CD 7 and CD 13. Neither seat got any bluer during mid-decade redistricting (in fact, the 13th became slightly redder), but Republicans still have only a 66% chance of winning each one. CD 16 became slightly bluer in Florida’s redraw, so a flip there could realistically result in a dummymander.

“House Majority PAC yanks TV buys for Bale Dalton. Are D.C. Democrats pulling out of Central Florida?” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — National Democrats’ commitment to Central Florida congressional districts came into question as a super PAC tied to House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries killed millions in ad reservations. House Majority PAC nixed $1.95 million in ads for Florida’s 7th Congressional District, according to AdImpact. That came a week after the super PAC canceled a similar buy, marking a complete exit from the race. Yet the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee says its commitment to the race hasn’t changed; it named Democrat Dalton to its Red to Blue program before any other Florida candidate.

“Anna Paulina Luna’s CD 13 race slips to Leans Republican” via Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman of Sabato’s Crystal Ball — Florida’s Matthew Isbell‘s latest early voting analysis shows registered Democrats maintaining a roughly 8-point turnout advantage over registered Republicans, a substantially better position than they held at this point in 2024 (although Republicans, who have a 1.5-million registration advantage over Democrats, finally surpassed them in the overall advance vote Monday). We don’t expect early voting or fundraising numbers to translate into a Democratic victory, but together they reinforce the case for a more competitive rating. On the House side, U.S. Rep. Luna moves from Likely Republican to Leans Republican in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, one of five GOP-held seats that could be in play if Democrats have a huge night.

Anna Paulina Luna faces a tightening race, with national forecasters taking a closer look.

“MAHA Action backs Luna for third term in Congress” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — MAHA Action, a political advocacy group that supports Trump’s Make America Healthy Again agenda, is endorsing Luna’s bid for a third term representing Florida’s 13th Congressional District. The organization called Luna “one of Congress’s strongest MAHA champions,” citing her efforts to improve food transparency and hold pesticide manufacturers accountable. Luna faces Democrat Leela Gray in the Nov. 3 General Election. Recent polling has shown a close contest, while Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have shifted the race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Gray also outraised Luna in the latest reporting period, though Luna had about $747,000 in cash on hand, compared with Gray’s $656,000, as of Oct. 14.

Happening today — Gray holds a news conference on gas prices and the Iran war at a Shell station: 11 a.m., 2750 38th Ave. N., St. Petersburg.

Happening today — U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor meets with Epstein survivors Marina Lacerda and Sharlene Rochard and tours the Donald J. Trump and Jeffrey Epstein Memorial Bookmobile: 1:15 p.m., Shuffle, 2612 N. Tampa St., Tampa.

Jared Moskowitz leads Scott Singer 47%-41% in House Majority PAC poll of CD 25 — A new House Majority PAC survey of CD 25 puts U.S. Rep. Moskowitz at 47% and Republican Singer at 41%, a 6-point edge for the Democrat in a District Trump carried by 7 points in 2024. Public Policy Polling conducted the survey Oct. 26-27 among 523 likely voters. House Majority PAC’s CJ Warnke posted the toplines on X.

— EVEN MORE ELECTIONS —

—”Josie Tomkow, Brian Nathan rematch in SD 14 is a test of whether the blue wave reaches Florida” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics

—”Ashley Gantt seeks to extend Democrats’ hold on SD 34 against GOP long-shot Elizabeth Jeanty” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics

“John Oliver spotlights Marshall Rawson’s controversial ties in HD 10 race” via Ryan Wyatt Turbeville of WCJB — Republican House District 10 candidate Rawson is drawing renewed national scrutiny after comedian Oliver highlighted his controversial political associations on HBO’s “Last Week Tonight.” Oliver cited Rawson’s attendance at the violent 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, and his connections to the League of the South. Newberry Mayor and Alachua County Republican Party Chair Tim Marden defended Rawson, dismissing the criticism as political attacks. Rawson previously said he attended the rally to protest the removal of Confederate monuments and did not anticipate violence. After defeating Chase Brannan in the Republican Primary, Rawson faces Democrat Merrillee Malwitz-Jipson in November. Rawson maintains he will prioritize affordability, property tax relief and border security.

Marshall Rawson faces renewed scrutiny over past political associations. The spotlight is getting brighter.

—”Anne Gerwig seeks second term as August Mangeney looks to reclaim HD 93 for Democrats” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics

— STATEWIDE —

“Big settlements, $925-an-hour legal bills: The rising cost of Florida’s war on speech in the Charlie Kirk cases” via Scott Maxwell of the Orlando Sentinel — Florida taxpayers keep footing the bill for government officials punishing employees over comments about Kirk’s death. Eastern Florida State College paid former employee Erika Santos $250,000 after firing her for criticizing Kirk. Three Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission employees also received settlements, including one totaling $465,000. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic University hired politically connected attorneys charging up to $925 an hour to investigate faculty social media posts. A federal judge found that state officials made false statements to defend one termination. The First Amendment protects unpopular speech, even when politicians find it offensive. With another FAU employee preparing litigation, the taxpayer-funded consequences of Florida’s culture wars could keep growing.

Charlie Kirk’s legacy fuels another Florida free speech fight, with taxpayers picking up the legal bills.

“Uthmeier sues climate-risk company over Florida property ratings” via Thomas Frank of POLITICO — Uthmeier has filed a lawsuit against First Street Technology, alleging its climate-risk ratings exaggerate threats to properties and negatively affect home values. The Oct. 23 complaint accuses the company of violating Florida’s deceptive practices law through its assessments of flooding, wildfires, hurricanes and other environmental hazards. First Street’s ratings cover more than 100 million U.S. properties and appear on major real estate websites. The company maintains its assessments help buyers understand potential climate exposure. Zillow previously removed the ratings following questions about their accuracy. Nebraska filed a similar lawsuit in August. Uthmeier contends inaccurate scores can reduce property values, delay sales and increase insurance costs. Both states seek to halt allegedly deceptive practices.

“Florida’s drag show law heads to U.S. Supreme Court after appeals court victory for state” via Jim Saunders of State Affairs Florida — A constitutional battle over Florida’s 2023 law restricting children’s attendance at adult live performances is heading toward the U.S. Supreme Court. Orlando’s Hamburger Mary’s plans to seek review after the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals upheld the law in August and overturned a preliminary injunction. U.S. District Judge Gregory Presnell has paused proceedings while the venue prepares its petition. The law prohibits minors from attending performances involving specified sexual content, though it does not explicitly mention drag shows. Hamburger Mary’s argues the restrictions violate First Amendment protections. Judge Andrew Brasher defended the state’s authority to protect children, while dissenting Judge Robin Rosenbaum warned that vague restrictions could chill constitutionally protected expression.

— D.C. MATTERS —

“FEC filing system goes dark one week before Election Day” via Praveena Somasundaram of The Washington Post — The Federal Election Commission’s electronic filing system went offline just one week before the Midterms, disrupting campaign finance disclosures during a critical reporting period. The outage began Monday night and continued Tuesday, with officials declining to explain the cause or rule out a cyberattack. Federal candidates must disclose contributions of $1,000 or more within 48 hours during the final 20 days before an election, while certain political expenditures require reporting within 24 hours. The agency says its staff is working to restore service, and previously filed reports remain searchable. Compounding concerns, the FEC has lacked the four-member quorum needed for enforcement actions since May 2025, leaving the election watchdog unable to exercise its full regulatory authority.

The Federal Election Commission goes offline at a particularly inconvenient time for campaign finance transparency.

“Flávio Bolsonaro defies Brazil travel ban with flight to U.S.” via Max Saltman, Kevin Liptak and Julia Vargas Jones of CNN — Brazilian Sen. Bolsonaro has left Brazil and is headed to the United States after losing Sunday’s presidential election. Brazil’s Federal Police canceled Bolsonaro’s passports after he failed to surrender them and are currently searching for him, CNN Brasil reports. Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes ordered Bolsonaro to turn in his passports within 24 hours on Monday. Bolsonaro said Brazilian police had informed him of the order in person and told him he was banned from leaving Brazil. In a video posted to Instagram, the Senator denied that he intended to flee.

“The math behind the battle for control of Congress” via John Parkinson of ABC News — With Election Day one week away, Republicans are fighting to preserve razor-thin congressional majorities as Democrats eye a return to power. House Speaker Mike Johnson starts with a 220-215 advantage, leaving Democrats needing just three net seats to make Hakeem Jeffries Speaker. Two House vacancies, including the Florida seat vacated by Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, complicate the arithmetic. Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate advantage, meaning Democrats need a net gain of four seats to take control. Senate Majority Leader John Thune can lose three seats and still retain power through Vice President JD Vance’s tie-breaking vote. With 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats on the ballot, both parties are making affordability central to their closing arguments.

“Trump hits Texas campaign trail as Iran war threatens GOP’s grip on Congress” via The Associated Press — Trump brought his Midterm campaign blitz to Texas, where Republican Ken Paxton faces a tight Senate race against Democrat James Talarico. Secretary of State Marco Rubio joined Trump in Corpus Christi to highlight a tanker carrying 1 million barrels of Venezuelan crude, highlighting the administration’s energy strategy as soaring fuel prices threaten Republican congressional majorities. Trump also floated making Venezuela the 51st state and plans to loosen methane regulations to encourage domestic drilling. Meanwhile, the nearly eight-month Iran war continues to complicate GOP prospects, with Republican strategists privately warning that rising gasoline prices are damaging candidates. Trump maintains the conflict is necessary despite mounting voter frustration over affordability and its duration.

“Trump’s 250-foot triumphal arch faces new legal challenge” via Dan Diamond of The Washington Post — Trump’s proposed 250-foot triumphal arch near Arlington National Cemetery faces mounting legal opposition as preservation advocates and architects urge a federal judge to block construction. The National Parks Conservation Association, National Trust for Historic Preservation and American Institute of Architects argue the monument requires explicit congressional authorization and additional historic-preservation reviews. In a court filing, the groups called the administration’s review and public-comment process “so perfunctory as to be meaningless.” U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan is considering a lawsuit brought by three Vietnam War veterans concerned about the arch’s impact on Arlington. A separate analysis found the structure would cast shadows across thousands of military graves. Federal approval could come Nov. 5, with construction potentially beginning immediately afterward.

— LOCAL: S. FL —

“Vicki Lopez seeks voter mandate against challenger Rob Piper in Miami-Dade Commission runoff” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Voters in a District that spans Miami-Dade’s two most famous cities are set to weigh in on a runoff contest between an incumbent with ample advantages and an underdog challenger seeking his first elected post. In one corner is Miami-Dade Commissioner Lopez, a seasoned political player with decades of experience, plenty of campaign cash, a slew of endorsements, and an existing claim to the seat. In the other is Piper, a Marine Corps veteran whom voters may know from his 2025 run for the Miami City Commission. He’s trying to deny Lopez a voter mandate after she joined the County Commission by appointment last year.

Vicki Lopez and Rob Piper face voters again, with a Miami-Dade Commission seat on the line.

“Daniella Levine Cava plans to use jail officers to replace Sheriff’s security details” via Douglas Hanks of the Miami Herald — After Miami-Dade’s Sheriff announced an end to police security details for the county’s Mayor and 13 Commissioners, Mayor Levine Cava plans to reassign correctional officers at the Miami-Dade jails she oversees to serve as drivers and bodyguards for elected officials, the Miami Herald has learned. The plan would have fewer than three dozen officers at the county’s Corrections Department take on duties currently performed by plainclothes Sheriff’s deputies. They serve as personal bodyguards and drivers for Levine Cava and Commissioners, who are shuttled around the county in black SUVs that can activate flashing police lights as needed.

“Despite pressure, most South Florida cities skip ICE program to train local cops” via Syra Ortiz Blanes and Claire Heddles of the Miami Herald — Despite enduring a public pressure campaign from the state and DeSantis, most South Florida cities with their own police departments have not partnered with Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s in a program to train officers to take part in the detention of migrants. After Trump was elected to a second term, Florida officials eagerly embraced his mass deportation agenda. Uthmeier went so far as to threaten to remove from office elected officials who opposed ICE’s 287(g) program, which grants local cops some of the powers of federal immigration agents.

“Blaise Ingoglia announces arrest of man accused of starting North Miami Beach house fire” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — Chief Financial Officer and State Fire Marshal Ingoglia has announced the arrest of Jeffthe Arisda on arson and attempted murder charges following an investigation into a fire at a North Miami Beach home. Arisda was arrested Oct. 23 and charged with first-degree arson and second-degree attempted murder. The fire caused about $120,000 in damage to the residence. “Violent criminals like arsonists who put innocent lives at risk must be taken off the streets,” Ingoglia said.

— LOCAL: C. FL —

—”Clerk vs. CEO: Tiffany Moore Russell, Chris Messina compete to succeed Jerry Demings” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics

Tiffany Moore Russell and Chris Messina compete for Orange County’s top job. Different résumés, same prize.

“Man born in Orange County has been detained by ICE since January, report says” via The Associated Press — For nearly a year, immigration authorities have detained and sought to deport a mentally ill man whose mother, lawyers and public records say, was born in the United States and not Jamaica, as he claims. Still locked up at ICE’s so-called Speedway Slammer in Indiana is Phillip James, a 39-year-old who also goes by the name Felibi Siagha-Coke, legal filings show. His lawyers are appealing an immigration judge’s ruling that he be deported to Jamaica, and a federal judge has indicated he could soon rule on a petition to free him from custody. In seeking to detain and deport him, immigration authorities relied on James’ word that he was born in Jamaica and entered the U.S. illegally in 2009. But Jamaican officials have denied any record of his birth or citizenship there, and public records show James has been unable to provide proof.

— LOCAL: TB —

“Matt Geiger backs Matt Geiger’s opponent for Pasco School Board” via Jeffrey S. Solochek of the Tampa Bay Times — In the race for Pasco County School Board District 3, candidate Mollyana Ward has toyed since placing second in the August Primary with how to overcome one asset her opponent has that she can’t replicate: His name. Ward faces private school administrator Geiger in the General Election. With two weeks to go before Election Day, she got Matt Geiger, the NBA player, to back her candidacy with a short Facebook video. Standing in what appears to be a sports bar, the 7-foot retired hoopster towers head and shoulders over Ward as he introduces her and says, “I endorse her for Pasco County School Board.”

Matt Geiger backs the other Matt Geiger. Pasco politics delivers a name recognition plot twist.

“Pinellas Commissioners show little appetite for Vince Nowicki’s Flock camera ban” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Pinellas County Commissioners showed little interest in Nowicki’s proposal to ban automated license plate readers from county roads, favoring statewide regulations instead. Sheriff Bob Gualtieri warned that removing roughly 60 cameras from county rights-of-way would accomplish little. “I would move them off of your property, but I’ll just move it somewhere else,” he said. Commissioner Chris Latvala urged lawmakers to establish uniform rules governing data access, retention and oversight. The debate follows allegations that two former deputies misused law enforcement databases, including license plate reader information. Commissioner Rene Flowers also favored stronger safeguards over removal. Chair Dave Eggers closed the discussion without a vote, suggesting the county pursue legislative solutions.

“Is Save the Garden violating its tax-exempt status by getting too political? Documents suggest so” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — Under federal tax law, a 501(c)(4) is a social welfare organization established to promote some form of public good. Save the Garden’s original street-preservation campaign was a kind of civic cause such groups may pursue. Nonprofits established as 501(c)(4)s are permitted to engage in political activity, including supporting or opposing candidates or ballot initiatives, but political campaigning cannot become their Primary activity. Doing so must account for less than half of the organization’s total operational and spending activity. Recent activity suggests Save the Garden may be flirting with that threshold, if not already crossing it, and may also be violating tax-exempt rules by ranking candidates.

— World Series —

“Rays’ future hinges on baseball’s looming labor battle” via John Romano of the Tampa Bay Times — Baseball’s approaching labor showdown offers an opportunity to address the financial disparities threatening smaller-market franchises like Tampa Bay. The Rays, fresh off a World Series appearance, face losing Freddy Peralta to free agency while confronting steep salary increases for Drew Rasmussen and Nick Martinez. Wealthier clubs routinely dominate free agency, leaving teams like Tampa Bay struggling to retain stars. A salary cap alone will not solve the problem. Baseball needs stronger revenue sharing, potentially modeled after the NFL, alongside minimum payroll requirements. With local television revenues collapsing and centralized streaming emerging, owners and players can build a more equitable system that gives every franchise a realistic chance to compete.

Raymond keeps the Rays spirit alive while baseball’s financial future faces another big test.

“They survived a hurricane in Tropicana Field. Now these rays are in the World Series outfield” via Max Chesnes of the Tampa Bay Times — Hours before the 2026 World Series opener, Brett Durda threw out the real first pitch. Instead of slinging a 95 mph fastball, he gently lobbed a middleneck clam. With a kerplunk, the clam plopped into the pool of 10 hungry male cow nose rays that now live year-round in the Cownose Clubhouse, an exhibit just behind Tropicana Field’s right-center-field wall. Seven of the rays, including four that have lived there since the exhibit opened in 2006, were in the Tropicana Field pool the night Hurricane Milton ripped its roof to shreds. “These rays, to me, are such a resilient symbol of this city,” says Durda, 34, a biologist and associate curator of exhibits at the aquarium.

— LOCAL: N. FL —

“‘Florida is red’: In blue Tallahassee, Donalds seeks votes” via Stephany Matat of USA Today Network — Donalds was in the state capital — where Democrats outnumber Republicans 88,235 to 54,642 — with running mate Ávila, CFO Ingoglia and other regional GOP elected officials. He spoke to about 200 people at Bumpa’s restaurant in the city’s northeast, one stop in a statewide bus tour that began on the first day of early voting for the General Election. “I’m going to be your next Governor, and in seven days, the press can have all their commentary, but they’re going to know one more time that Florida is free and Florida is red,” Donalds said.

“Mayoral candidates weigh in on Tallahassee mass shooting” via Jeff Burlew of the Tallahassee Democrat — Three days after one of the worst mass shootings in Tallahassee’s history, the two candidates for Tallahassee Mayor weighed in on the tragedy – and what they would do to prevent another one. City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow and former state lawmaker Loranne Ausley made their comments during a candidate forum hosted Oct. 27 by the Capital Tiger Bay Club at the Tucker Civic Center. Matlow, who has served two terms as City Commissioner, and Ausley, who served a combined 14 years in the state House and Senate, are vying for the city’s top elected post in the Nov. 3 General Election.

Tallahassee confronts the aftermath of a mass shooting, with public safety firmly in the political spotlight. Image via the Tallahassee Democrat.

“Jacksonville ranks No. 2 nationally for property taxes rising faster than home values” via News4JAX — Jacksonville-area property taxes rose much faster than home values from 2022 to 2024, placing the metro No. 2 among the 100 largest U.S. metro areas in an analysis by ConsumerAffairs. The typical homeowner’s property tax bill in the Jacksonville metro area increased 21.7%, while median home values rose 8.1%. The 13.6-percentage-point gap trailed only Lakeland-Winter Haven. The study found property taxes outpaced home values in 46 of the 100 metros examined. Nationally, home values increased 12.4% over the period, compared with a 10.6% rise in property taxes. The ranking reflects the two-year change, but the study’s five-year comparison showed a different trend: From 2019 to 2024, Jacksonville-area home values rose 63.1%, outpacing the 44.9% increase in property taxes.

“FSU President Richard McCullough admits football struggles, promises changes” via Bob Ferrante of The Associated Press — McCullough acknowledged mounting frustration over the Seminoles’ struggling football program, telling fans that university leadership recognizes the need for change. “We are not asking you to believe that everything is fine. We know it is not,” McCullough wrote. FSU enters Saturday’s Clemson game at 3-4, while embattled coach Mike Norvell holds a 41-38 record across seven seasons. Following athletic director Mike Alford’s dismissal, Bruce Warwick is serving as interim AD. McCullough said officials will begin a search for permanent leadership as they evaluate the athletics department’s structure. Complicating matters, firing Norvell would trigger a nearly $50 million buyout, potentially forcing simultaneous searches for a coach and athletic director.

— LOCAL: SW. FL —

“Official-looking voter guides spark confusion at Cape Coral polling site” via Jaylen Baron of Gulf Coast News — Campaign flyers distributed outside a Cape Coral early voting location are raising questions after voters discovered they prominently displayed the Lee County Supervisor of Elections website despite having no official connection to the office. The “conservative voter guide” endorsed certain municipal candidates, prompting concerns about misleading voters. District 6 candidate Annette Warren questioned why her opponent appeared on the flyer while she was excluded. Mayoral candidate Rick Erickson raised similar concerns about materials promoting opponent Lisa Cohen-Adkinson, who acknowledged distributing copies but said she did not know their origin. The elections office clarified that it neither produces nor endorses partisan campaign materials and directed enforcement questions to the Florida Elections Commission.

A conservative voter guide sparks confusion in Cape Coral. The fine print matters, especially during election season.

“Cape Coral mayoral candidate’s company pitched rival Bimini East redevelopment plan” via Valarie Harring of Cape Coral Breeze — A company owned by Cape Coral mayoral candidate Lisa Cohen-Adkinson proposed an alternative to the city’s controversial $500 million Bimini East redevelopment project, but officials say the proposal never met state requirements. Valor Commercial sought consideration for a $300 million to $350 million mixed-use development featuring hotel, housing, retail and community facilities. City Manager Mike Ilczyszyn said the bidding process had closed, and the company never submitted the formal public-private partnership proposal or the $25,000 review deposit required for consideration. City Council approved the competing development 6-1, including $47.7 million in incentives and a 99-year, $1-per-year park lease. Cohen-Adkinson has criticized the agreement as a giveaway to taxpayers.

“Judge clears way for controversial South Seas Resort expansion on Captiva” via WGCU — A Lee County judge has upheld the controversial rezoning of South Seas Resort on Captiva, rejecting another legal challenge to a major redevelopment opposed by island residents. Circuit Judge James Shenko ruled that County Commissioners relied on substantial evidence, followed applicable law and provided proper due process. The resort’s owners want to replace hurricane-damaged facilities with two hotels totaling 435 rooms and 193 additional guest units, exceeding long-standing density restrictions. The Captiva Civic Association has repeatedly challenged the approvals, arguing the expansion conflicts with county development rules. Shenko found Commissioners could balance property rights with economic benefits and climate resilience. The ruling follows another court decision upholding the project, clearing another legal hurdle for redevelopment.

— TOP OPINION —

“Florida cannot afford to give socialism a chance” via Steve Crisafulli for the Washington Examiner — Florida’s economic success rests on free markets, limited government and individual opportunity, principles increasingly challenged by the growing influence of democratic socialism. With 13 Democratic Socialists of America chapters operating across the state, the movement is organizing to influence elections, challenge established political figures and advance policies that would fundamentally reshape Florida’s economy.

Democratic socialism promises economic equality, affordable housing and expanded access to healthcare. But those promises come with high costs, including higher taxes, increased regulation and greater government involvement in decisions traditionally left to individuals and businesses.

Florida’s prosperity demonstrates the advantages of a different approach. Pro-growth policies, competitive taxes and a business-friendly environment have attracted employers, entrepreneurs and families seeking opportunities unavailable in states burdened by excessive government intervention.

Venezuela offers a cautionary example of what happens when governments concentrate economic power, undermine private enterprise, and replace market competition with political control. Its economic collapse illustrates the dangers of policies that promise prosperity through redistribution while weakening the institutions that create wealth.

The expansion of socialist organizing should concern Floridians across the political spectrum. Policies presented as compassionate solutions can ultimately reduce opportunity, discourage investment and increase dependence on government programs rather than strengthen economic independence.

Florida must protect the economic principles that have driven its growth. Each generation has a responsibility to understand the consequences of unchecked government power and defend the freedoms that allow communities, businesses and families to flourish. Florida’s future depends on preserving opportunity, not embracing another socialist experiment.

— MORE OPINIONS —

“‘YOU MISSED BITCHES’ and other presidential gift ideas” via Stephanie Hayes for the Tampa Bay Times — DeSantis may have cracked the code on presidential gift-giving. Greeting Trump in Fort Myers, the Governor presented a commemorative coin depicting Trump flashing his middle finger beneath the words ‘YOU MISSED BITCHES.’ The gesture inspired a holiday shopping guide for political personalities with expensive tastes and questionable decorating instincts. Suggestions include a life-size DeSantis cardboard cutout, a Trump Chia Pet and merchandise from the President’s official store. There’s even a $1,650.47 stainless-steel fire pit bearing Trump’s name. With holiday shopping approaching and everyday expenses climbing, forget candles and bath sets. Nothing says thoughtful gifting quite like presidential memorabilia, questionable punctuation and a little political absurdity.

“Another dozen reasons to vote ‘no’ on Amendment 3” via the Orlando Sentinel editorial board — Florida’s proposed property tax overhaul threatens local services while shifting costs onto businesses, renters and newer homeowners. Amendment 3 would eliminate most non-school property taxes on qualifying homesteads, potentially forcing cities and counties to raise fees, cut programs or increase tax rates elsewhere. Consequences could include reduced police services, slower hurricane recovery, library closures, and diminished support for homelessness programs, animal shelters, and community events. Special assessments could replace deductible property taxes with fees offering fewer federal tax benefits. The amendment would also give state lawmakers more financial authority while weakening local accountability. What supporters present as tax relief could ultimately leave communities paying more for fewer essential services.

“The lasting damage of anti-transgender hysteria” via Brian Lyman for Alabama Reflector — Alabama’s campaign against transgender rights has inflicted damage extending far beyond the people directly targeted. Restrictions on gender-affirming healthcare, participation in sports and bathroom access have established a broader political culture that prioritizes ideological conformity over individual freedom. Federal court decisions upholding restrictions have emboldened lawmakers to pursue similar measures affecting universities, classroom instruction, diversity initiatives and voting rights. Despite extensive political advertising targeting transgender Americans, polling suggests the issue ranks low among voters’ priorities. Yet the attacks continue, reflecting a governing philosophy that rejects diversity and demands obedience. Alabama’s communities are more diverse than its political leadership acknowledges, and repairing the damage to civil liberties and public institutions will take years.

— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —

— AI —

“There’s not enough money in the world to pay for the AI boom” via Shira Ovide of The Washington Post — Artificial intelligence companies are scrambling to finance an unprecedented infrastructure expansion that could exceed $10 trillion by 2032. Anthropic is preparing a potentially record-breaking $100 billion stock offering, while Meta plans to raise up to $95 billion and SpaceX has secured $40 billion in financing for AI equipment. Companies are borrowing heavily, issuing stock and pursuing increasingly complex financing arrangements to build data centers and acquire chips. Investors are growing cautious, particularly toward smaller data center operators whose spending far exceeds current revenue. Analysts warn that many could fail or consolidate. With American economic growth increasingly tied to AI investment, the financial stakes extend well beyond Silicon Valley.

Artificial intelligence needs serious money. Even the robots may have to start watching their budgets.

“Anthropic’s IPO filing reveals big spending plans and potential risks” via Miriam Waldvogel of The Washington Post — Anthropic’s initial public offering filing provides new details about the company’s finances, operations and potential challenges. Claude’s developer disclosed $430 billion in computing commitments involving Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Broadcom. The filing identifies several business risks, including federal government restrictions, regulatory investigations, opposition to data center construction and potential infrastructure disruptions. Anthropic also addressed emerging questions about whether artificial intelligence systems could develop consciousness and how such debates might affect future operations. Revenue increased substantially, though five customers accounted for about 25% of sales in the first nine months of 2026. The disclosures illustrate the financial requirements, regulatory considerations, and uncertainties of developing and operating advanced AI systems.

“Anthropic’s chip strategy could challenge NVIDIA’s dominance in AI” via Geoff Weiss of Business Insider — Anthropic is expanding its use of different computer chips, a strategy that could reduce its dependence on NVIDIA and strengthen its negotiating position with suppliers. The company’s IPO filing describes a computing system that distributes AI workloads across chips from Amazon, Google, NVIDIA, and AMD. Analysts say the flexibility could eventually put pressure on NVIDIA’s pricing power while helping Anthropic manage supply constraints. However, switching between chip platforms remains technically challenging, particularly when training advanced AI models. Anthropic also continues to spend billions on NVIDIA hardware. Industry experts say the approach poses limited immediate competition but could reshape the market as AI companies seek greater flexibility and lower computing costs.

— ALOE —

“‘Seminole Wind’ is now officially ‘Florida’s Anthem,’ DeSantis says” via Jim Rosica of USA Today Network — The “Seminole Wind” whispered right into DeSantis’ ear. On Oct. 27, DeSantis declared by executive order that the song by John Anderson, the Florida-born country music Hall of Famer who died Oct. 21, is now an official “anthem” of the state. The 1992 tune “positively influenced a generational investment in protecting Florida’s heritage, natural environment, and way of life, resulting in the expedited restoration of America’s Everglades,” DeSantis said in part. It’s an ode to the state’s landscape, history and vanishing wilderness. Tallahasseeans in particular know the song well: It plays at every home Florida State football game at Doak Campbell Stadium.

John Anderson’s ‘Seminole Wind’ gets a new distinction. Florida politics finally finds its soundtrack.

“Sugarcane growers are first in the Everglades Agricultural Area to earn Florida Farm Bureau’s This Farm CARES award” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — The Florida Farm Bureau Federation has given its This Farm CARES award to U.S. Sugar, Florida Crystals and Sugar Cane Growers Cooperative of Florida, the first growers in the Everglades Agricultural Area (EAA) to receive it. The award recognizes on-farm conservation practices meant to improve the quality of water leaving the farming region south of Lake Okeechobee. The EAA Basin cut total phosphorus loads by 65% in Water Year 2026, measured against the program’s historical baseline, according to the South Florida Water Management District. The 1994 Everglades Forever Act requires a 25% reduction. “Florida’s farmers demonstrate every day that producing our food and protecting our natural resources go hand in hand,” Florida Farm Bureau President Jeb Smith said.

— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —

Celebrating today are U.S. Rep. Donalds; David Childs; Jim Daughton of Metz Husband Daughton; Jonathan Foerster; the greatest adjunct instructor in FSU history, Bill Pfeiffer; and Tiffany Vause.

___

Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles and Drew Wilson authored and assembled Sunburn.

The post Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 10.28.26 appeared first on Florida Politics – Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government..





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