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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 8.31.25

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Summer may be nearing its close, but you can count on Florida to continue delivering scorching hot takes.

State leaders touched off a national firestorm this week by announcing plans to end all vaccine mandates, including long-standing requirements for schoolchildren.

Gov. Ron DeSantis and Surgeon General Joseph Ladapo framed the move as a victory for “medical freedom,” with Ladapo even comparing mandates to slavery. The proposal would roll back rules that for decades have required shots against measles, polio, chickenpox and other preventable diseases before students can attend public school.

Public health experts quickly blasted the plan. Pediatricians, the American Medical Association, and infectious disease specialists warned that ending mandates could reverse decades of progress in eradicating deadly illnesses. The World Health Organization and CDC have both credited widespread childhood vaccination with saving millions of lives each year.

What makes this moment especially striking is how the goalposts have shifted. During the COVID pandemic, skepticism in Florida was framed as resistance to the COVID vaccine — a fight over a new shot, developed quickly, and mandated in workplaces and schools.

But this week’s announcement shows that was just a ruse and that the COVID debate was a precursor, opening the door to dismantling confidence in all vaccines, even those that have long been considered the bedrock of modern public health.

It’s fair for individuals to feel they should have a choice over what goes into their bodies. But vaccines have always been about more than the individual — they’re about the community.

A single person opting out might feel like an act of freedom. Tens of thousands opting out, however, risks the return of measles outbreaks in schools or polio resurfacing in neighborhoods. That’s the balance Florida is now choosing to test.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Lavon Bracy Davis, RaShon Young. Two Democrats are celebrating after coasting to victory in Special Elections this week.

In the Orlando-area Senate District 15, LaVon Bracy Davis won handily with nearly three-quarters of the vote, succeeding the late Sen. Geraldine Thompson. Bracy Davis, who had already been serving in the House, was long seen as the favorite, and Tuesday’s result confirmed it.

Meanwhile, her former Chief of Staff, RaShon Young, scored an equally decisive win in House District 40 to succeed Bracy Davis, topping his Republican opponent with about 75% support. Young, just 27, becomes the first Generation Z Democrat in the Legislature, a milestone that underscores both his political rise and the influence of Bracy Davis’ mentoring.

Neither result came as a surprise — both districts lean blue and the candidates were favored from the start once they won their respective Primary contests. But now it’s official, and Bracy Davis and Young can turn their focus from campaigning to governing.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Everglades. Florida’s “River of Grass” is earning major support thanks to a significant federal funding boost to continue momentum in restoration efforts.

Rep. Mario Díaz-Balart, Vice Chair of the House Appropriations Committee, announced that the 2026 Energy and Water Development and Related Agencies Appropriations Act would contain $461 million for Everglades restoration, money that Díaz-Balart pushed to secure.

The House passed the measure by the narrowest of margins Thursday, 214-213. It will next go to the Senate.

This funding comes as part of a larger federal commitment on water projects. The bill for Fiscal Year 2026 appropriates more than $57 billion, including vital support for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers — central to delivering Everglades restoration projects — and works in tandem with existing state investments to accelerate progress on the ground.

These federal dollars come on top of recent momentum. The Legislature allocated over $1.4 billion for restoration in the latest budget, and that’s on top of billions of dollars allocated in years prior.

The funding blitz show leaders aren’t content to deal with delays and half-measures. There’s real money on the table and clear direction from both Tallahassee and Washington. It’s turning the Everglades into a rare Florida success story — one where politics, policy and persistence are working to do good for Florida.

The biggest winner: John Temple. Temple has been tapped as the new President of Lake–Sumter State College, making him the latest in a long list of Republican politicians turned higher ed leaders.

Temple, however, has  experience in education. A former teacher and K–12 administrator who holds a master’s in educational leadership from Nova Southeastern, Temple brings both academic credentials and real-world governance experience to the role.

His new position fills the void left by interim President Laura Byrd, after the abrupt departure of President Heather Bigard last year. Temple, who will depart his seat representing House District 52, was unanimously selected by the college’s Board of Trustees to step into the top post after serving as the institution’s associate vice president for workforce development. The board cited his deep ties to the region and understanding of Lake and Sumter counties’ educational and economic needs.

Temple’s move continues the trend in Florida of GOP legislators stepping into the C-suite of academia. In February, former House Majority Leader Adam Hasner became President of Florida Atlantic University. Also earlier this year, Manny Díaz Jr., a former state education commissioner and lawmaker, was tapped as interim President of the University of West Florida.

The list extends to Richard Corcoran, ex-Speaker and Education Commissioner, now at the helm of New College of Florida. And of course Jeanette Nuñez, the state’s former Lieutenant Governor, is now leading Florida International University.

The concentration of GOP names in the top slots, now including Temple, reinforces DeSantis’ push to remake Florida’s educational system. The only question is: Who will be next?

Losers

Dishonorable mention: John Kevin Lapinski. Few people deserve the loser label more than Lapinski. The 41-year-old Margate man has been sentenced to 25 years in federal prison after authorities uncovered an arsenal of weapons and a detailed plan to carry out hate-fueled violence against Black and Jewish Americans.

Inside his home, investigators say they found rifles, handguns, body armor, silencers, smoke grenades, thousands of rounds of ammunition and tactical gear. Alongside all of that was a grotesque “hit list” of targets that included local synagogues, schools, and even U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz, a Jewish Congressman from South Florida.

Lapinski wasn’t just fantasizing — prosecutors linked him to a 2024 incident where a Jewish family’s home and car were shot up. His stockpile showed clear intent to not just harm individuals, but terrorize communities.

Federal prosecutors called his actions a direct threat to the safety and fabric of South Florida. They’re right. And the fact that his list included a sitting member of Congress makes it even more chilling. Lapinski will spend the next quarter century behind bars, which is exactly where he belongs.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Venezuela diaspora. The Trump administration moved forward with a sweeping rollback of legal protections for Venezuelan migrants, announcing the end of temporary protected status (TPS) for around 257,000 migrants, removing both work permits and deportation relief for families who fled the crisis in Venezuela.

The fallout is especially sharp in Florida, which is home to around 49% of all Venezuelan immigrants in the U.S. Major metro areas across the state had become new homes and economic anchors for thousands of these migrants. Now, they will have to prepare for upheaval.

The potential economic effects are enormous. TPS holders in Florida have filled jobs across health care, hospitality, construction and service industries — sectors already struggling with labor shortages. Many also run small businesses, paying taxes and employing fellow Floridians. Removing tens of thousands of workers from the legal labor force risks undercutting local economies, slowing growth in South Florida and Central Florida in particular.

And we emphasize the “legal” there. Trump came in on a mandate to adjust U.S. policy regarding illegal immigration, an issue on which former President Joe Biden failed. The Trump administration may argue the TPS program had been abused, and that the economy should rely on American workers. That is a massive gambit to take given all of the other uncertainty in the economy, prompted largely by his own decision-making.

Late Friday, a Judge stepped in and attempted to pause any changes to the TPS program. But the Trump administration is clearly continuing to push ahead until a compliant Supreme Court can weigh in. Delay or no delay, the writing appears to be on the wall here.

The biggest loser: Paul Renner. Renner finally made it official this week, jumping into the 2026 race for Governor. But the former House Speaker enters the field already overshadowed and betrayed.

Byron Donalds declared months ago, is sitting on a pile of cash, and has quickly consolidated support among conservatives. Donalds has been a fixture on Fox News and the national MAGA circuit, building both name recognition and a donor network that stretches far beyond Florida. Renner, by contrast, is  less well-known and lacks the same fundraising infrastructure.

That’s why Renner could have used help from his most powerful ally — DeSantis. As Speaker, Renner carried the Governor’s agenda through the Legislature: expanding school choice, passing constitutional carry, cutting taxes and eliminating diversity, equity and inclusion programs at universities. He regularly branded those victories as part of “the Free State of Florida,” burnishing DeSantis’ image nationally while keeping the House in line with the Governor’s priorities.

And what good did that loyalty get him? Well, DeSantis promptly threw Renner under the bus. Within hours of his announcement, the Governor dismissed the candidacy as “ill-advised” and said he would not be supporting him.

For someone pitching himself as the continuity candidate — the natural heir to DeSantis’ Florida legacy — it was a brutal public rejection. And as Renner complied in making the Legislature an arm of the executive branch under DeSantis — work that House Speaker Daniel Perez and Senate President Ben Albritton have sought to undo to varying degrees — one has to ask what the point of it all was.

Now, Renner faces a steep climb. He starts with little statewide name recognition, less money than his chief rival and the added weight of a very public rebuke from the Governor he loyally served.

Launch weeks are supposed to build momentum. Instead, Renner’s rollout underscored just how much ground he has to make up — and how alone he may be on the trail.


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Majority of South Florida residents support Fontainebleau redevelopment plan

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Fontainebleau Miami Beach’s proposed “family-friendly improvements” are enjoying broad support among South Florida residents, according to a new poll commissioned by the developers and conducted by MDW Communications.

The poll, obtained by Florida Politics and taken among 305 likely Miami Beach municipal voters Jan. 14-19, found nearly 60% of respondents supporting the proposal, including more than 30% who strongly support it. Fewer than 30% of respondents say they disapprove.

And most residents are aware of the plans, further signaling not just support, but informed support. Of those polled, more than 2/3 say they have heard information on the proposal, with just a third saying they’ve heard nothing about it.

Fontainebleau Development, led by Chair and CEO Jeffrey Soffer, is planning a sweeping rework of the hotel’s outdoor pool deck aimed at attracting more families, including a proposed water-park concept featuring 11 waterslides — one reportedly about 120 feet tall — along with other pool-deck upgrades.

Poll results are important, as the project requires approval from the city’s Historic Preservation Board because it sits on a historically significant site. The Preservation Board reviews alteration plans on designated historic properties.

The Fontainebleau, designed by architect Morris Lapidus and opened in 1954, is one of Miami Beach’s signature MiMo-era landmarks and is listed on the National Register of Historic Places.

The project is carefully planned to “responsibly repurpose” outdoor areas of the hotel without expanding its footprint or altering its unique architectural character.

“Under the leadership of the Mayor and the City Commission, Miami Beach continues to evolve as a destination for visitors of all ages, and this vision reflects an increased emphasis on family-oriented experiences that align with the City’s broader tourism goals,” reads a note from developers shared along with poll results.

“The proposed enhancements are private amenities for hotel guests only, and the pool deck access will remain restricted, as it is today. Given the focus on hotel guest experience, the project is not expected to generate additional traffic as guests will be remaining on property.”

The project would repurpose the resort’s existing amenity footprint while integrating features designed to complement the existing historic pool deck and honoring the entire property’s iconic architecture.

The poll comes just days after the Greater Miami and the Beaches Hotel Association urged project approval from the Preservation Board, noting that the project would help maintain Miami Beach as a competitive global hospitality destination. The group’s CEO, Curtis Crider, said projects such as this one are “essential” to the city’s economic future.

“On behalf of the hotel community, we believe this initiative strengthens the city’s competitiveness, supports sustainable economic growth, and reflects the evolution necessary to ensure Miami Beach’s continued success,” he wrote last week in a letter to the Preservation Board.



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Kat Cammack offers early endorsement to Evan Power in CD 2 race

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U.S. Rep. Kat Cammack already knows who she wants to win a newly open race neighboring her own North Florida district.

The Gainesville Republican is endorsing Republican Party of Florida Chair Evan Power to succeed retiring U.S. Rep. Neal Dunn.

“I don’t back candidates who seek permission slips. I back fighters. That’s why I’m proud to endorse Evan Power for Congress,” Cammack said.

“Washington is broken because too many politicians cling to the status quo. Evan isn’t one of them. He’s a proven conservative leader who fights bureaucracy, stands up to the radical left, and wins. I’ve seen him push back against government overreach, defend Florida values, and hold firm under pressure.”

Power, a Tallahassee Republican, filed last week to run in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District a day after Dunn announced he will not seek another term. Cammack first won election in 2020 to Congress to represent Florida’s 3rd Congressional District.

On social media, Power said he was “honored to have the endorsement and support of Kat Cammack.”

It’s an early endorsement for the party leader as other candidates rush to file.

Already, former U.S. Senate candidate Keith Gross filed in the Republican Primary. Other Republicans, including Austin Rogers, the General Counsel for U.S. Sen. Rick Scott, and Chuck Perdue, the Bay County Talk Collector, are exploring runs.

Cammack said Power’s history working on political issues and campaigns led her to publicly support his candidacy.

“Evan doesn’t just talk about freedom, the Constitution, and fiscal responsibility, he delivers. He knows our job is to serve the people, not grow government, appease special interests, or play nice with the swamp,” she said.

“If you want a rubber stamp, look elsewhere. If you want a conservative who will join me to secure the border, protect parents, defend life, back law enforcement, and put America First then Evan Power is the fighter we need in Congress. I’m all in for Evan Power. I hope you are too.”



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Aileen Rodriguez to kick off campaign with support from Kathy Castor

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Aileen Rodriguez, who is challenging Republican Hillsborough County Commissioner Joshua Wostal this election cycle, is officially kicking off her campaign next week.

The event will feature U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor as a special guest, as well as a host committee that includes myriad community stakeholders, ranging from elected officials, business leaders and political activists to current and former candidates for office.

The kickoff is Wednesday, Jan. 28, at J.C. Newman Cigar Company, located at 2701 N. 16th St. in Tampa, from 5:30-7:30 p.m.

Castor endorsed Rodriguez earlier this month, writing in a letter to the candidate that she appreciates “your willingness to step forward and serve your Hillsborough County neighbors.”

“I value your commitment to listening to residents across our community and ensuring that every neighbor, in every neighborhood, has a voice in our county government,” Castor wrote.

“I look forward to working with you on the issues our residents care most about, including greater access to affordable housing, child care, and public transportation. These priorities are critical to responsible growth, environmental preservation and modernizing infrastructure. Together, we can help build a County government that is more accessible, accountable, and truly reflects the people it serves.”

Rodriguez’s honorary host committee includes, among others, Tampa City Council members Alan Clendenin, Lynn Hurtak, Guido Maniscalco and Luis Viera; Hillsborough County School Board members Nadia Combs, Lynn Gray, Karen Perez and Jessica Vaughn; former Hillsborough County Commissioner and former University of South Florida President Betty Castor; former state Sen. Janet Cruz; former Hillsborough County Commissioner Kimberly Overman; and former Tampa City Council member and current Florida House candidate Mike Suarez.

The host committee includes local business leaders and political insiders such as Erin Aebel, Karen Clay, Bryan Farris, Rick Fernandez, Rick Fifer, Andy JohnsonNeil Manimala, Stephanie Poyner, Hoyt Prindle, Taylor Ralph, Michael Reeves, C.L Townsend and others.

Rodriguez, a former regional director for former Republican U.S. Sen. Mel Martinez, filed paperwork last week to run. Rodriguez, a Democrat, is so far the only candidate challenging Wostal.

Rodriguez is a career public relations expert, having run her own PR firm, AR Public Affairs and Strategic Solutions, since 2009. She also worked from 2014 to 2017 as a senior manager of executive affairs for the Hillsborough County Aviation Authority.

Prior to that, she served as marketing communications director for the Helios Education Foundation and Communications Director for the 2012 Tampa Bay Host Committee for the Republican National Convention.

Rodriguez was previously registered as a Republican but changed her political affiliation in 2019, saying the GOP left her and no longer reflected her values as a Christian.

Rodriguez was born in Puerto Rico, a U.S. territory, and raised in the Tampa Bay area. Her campaign will focus largely on the affordability crisis that is plaguing not just Hillsborough County residents, but those throughout the state and nation.

Rodriguez also said she would prioritize infrastructure spending and expanded transportation options to break gridlock in Hillsborough County, calling such moves “common sense.”

District 7 is elected countywide, where Republicans hold a voter registration advantage with nearly 292,000 voters compared to nearly 273,000 Democrats. With another more than 217,000 independent voters, Rodriguez’s experience as both a Republican and Democrat could help bridge the voter registration gap by enticing moderate voters.

That could be especially true in a Midterm Election year expected to favor Democrats amid frustration with federal policies under the Donald Trump administration and GOP trifecta in Washington.

Historically, the party in power in the White House suffers losses in Midterm years, and this year is not expected to be any different. But it’s worth noting that in the last Midterm cycle, in 2022, Republicans overperformed in Florida even as they underperformed elsewhere in the nation.

That was also the same year the Hillsborough County Commission flipped red, with the defeat of two incumbent Democrats, shifting the board from a 5-2 Democratic advantage to a 4-3 Republican majority. Wostal was first elected that year, defeating incumbent Democrat Kimberly Overman with more than 52% of the vote despite being significantly underfunded.

The GOP grew that advantage further in 2024, and the board now has just two Democratic members.

As of the end of 2025, Wostal had already raised more than $108,000 for his race, with only about $1,000 of that spent. Because she only just filed to run, Rodriguez has not yet reported any fundraising.

Two Democrats had previously filed to challenge Wostal: former state Rep. Adam Hattersley and Mark Nash, who has sought office unsuccessfully before. Both have since withdrawn from the race.



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