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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 8.24.25

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Labor Day signals the unofficial end of Summer — and the start of a political season already heating up in Florida.

With the state’s 2026 Primary now less than a year away, the outlines of some key races are starting to come into focus.

In Southwest Florida, the path is clearing for Rep. James Buchanan in the open Senate District 22 contest. Rep. Fiona McFarland, once floated as a possible contender, announced she’ll instead seek re-election to the House and endorsed Buchanan for the Senate seat. That gives Buchanan momentum heading into a Primary that will likely decide the successor to now-Republican National Committee Chair Joe Gruters.

Meanwhile, in Palm Beach County, the pending HD 87 Special Election is shaping up into an early intraparty fight. Meg Weinberger, a prominent ally of President Donald Trump, endorsed Republican businessman Jon Maples to succeed Mike Caruso after Gov. Ron DeSantis appointed Caruso as Palm Beach County Clerk.

That’s notable, as Caruso’s wife, Tracy Caruso, had already filed to succeed him in 2026 and will likely swap over to the Special Election as well once it’s scheduled. Caruso is a noted DeSantis ally, meaning it appears we’ll get a proxy war between Team Trump and Team DeSantis here, even as both camps try to play nice in public.

Yes, far more Floridians are focused on the start of football season than Primary positioning (and rightfully so). But the 2026 cycle is officially upon us.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Kindred Lubeck. A Florida State University graduate found her name splashed across global headlines thanks to perhaps the biggest celebrity engagement story of this century.

Lubeck, a 2018 FSU graduate is suddenly in the spotlight after it was revealed that she designed the engagement ring Travis Kelce gave to Taylor Swift, a proposal that immediately captured attention around the world.

Lubeck, a Neptune Beach native, earned her degree in psychology at Florida State before pursuing a different passion: jewelry design. Her father made a career as a goldsmith. So after college, Lubeck began working with her father to learn the ropes.

She built on that crash course to launch her own company, Artifex Fine Jewelry, in New York in 2024. Until now, her work was largely known within design circles and among clients seeking one-of-a-kind pieces, though she had some viral success on social media.

But that success blew up when her name was linked to Swift’s engagement.

For FSU, it’s another alum making waves in an unexpected arena. For Lubeck, it allows a relatively young designer with Florida roots to field global attention, with her brand introduced to millions of Swifties who now are potential customers.

It’s a breakthrough moment for a Florida-born talent.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Adam Botana. Rep. Botana just proved that politics can have a playful side, and he went massively viral doing it.

Botana has a side hustle with “Cinnamon Rolls by Omar,” a business owned by his family and named after his father.

In Michigan for the Summer at the Midland County Fair, Botana was making some of his family’s famous giant cinnamon rolls as a child watched through a window. An Instagram reel shows Botana spreading sugar for a bit before playfully tossing it right at the child’s face — protected by the window’s glass, of course. The kid flinched, his parents laughed, and the internet ate it up.

As in, to the tune of more than 7.4 million likes and counting.

Florida is a state where lawmakers are often in the headlines for bitter fights, especially during this past Session which saw plenty of Republican-on-Republican attacks in addition to the standard interparty scuffles. Botana served up something lighter — showing he can sprinkle in humor as he represents Southwest Florida.

It may not change the course of next year’s Session, but the reel gave him a sugar rush of attention, and reminded voters that sometimes the best politics come with a little frosting on top.

The biggest winner: University of Florida. It was a strong week in Gainesville on two fronts, with the school making progress regarding both its reputation and leadership.

UF earned national recognition, with Forbes ranking UF the No. 5 public university in the country and placing it No. 30 overall on its list of America’s Top Colleges. The ranking highlighted UF’s value, student outcomes and return on investment, affirming its status as one of the top-performing schools in the nation.

That momentum carried into the administrative arena. After months of turmoil following the collapse of UF’s last presidential search — when the State University System Board of Governors shot down Michigan’s Santa Ono — the school finally landed on a steady hand.

UF Trustees tapped Donald Landry, a physician-scientist from Columbia University and President of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, as interim President. Landry’s appointment, pending Board of Governors approval, was broadly welcomed as a pragmatic choice that restores stability.

The news shows UF is working to shore up leadership credibility while still maintaining its status as one of the best-performing universities in the nation.

And with football season around the corner, optimism isn’t confined to the classroom, with Gators fans hoping Billy Napier’s team can turn a corner and compete for a title.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Florida Memorial University. Another Florida university didn’t fare so well this week, however.

A bitter leadership battle is looming over FMU after the university’s Board of Trustees named William McCormick Jr., its interim President and an alumnus, as permanent President.

Hours later, seven Trustees and the alumni association President slammed the move as a “coup,” calling it “illegal” and a “painful and shameful moment” for the institution. Interim Board Chair Brandon Dumas argued that only he or an authorized representative can call meetings, adding that the McCormick decision was a violation of the university. Dumas has sued to invalidate the vote.

In response, Walter Weatherington, who resumed the Chair role on Aug. 10, defended McCormick’s appointment as legitimate, emphasizing a third-party evaluation and a majority Board vote. He called Dumas’ continued resistance “unfortunate” and insisted that Dumas had rightly been removed for violations.

It remains to be seen how the legal fight will play out and who will ultimately come out on top here. But the fight has already left FMU with dueling Chairs, a President whose legitimacy is in dispute and Trustees openly at war.

Instead of celebrating new leadership, the university is stuck in a courtroom drama that raises doubts about its governance and stability. For students, faculty and alumni, it’s an unsettling look for an institution just starting its Fall term.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Visit Orlando. For an agency that markets Central Florida as a premier destination, Visit Orlando is now facing the kind of bad press no amount of glossy ads can fix.

Orange County officials say Visit Orlando may have misappropriated as much as $20 million in tourist development tax revenues dating back to 2019 by improperly mixing public hotel-tax dollars with private funds.

County Commissioner Mayra Uribe didn’t mince words. “It’s $20 million, and it shouldn’t be taken lightly,” she said, pointing out that those dollars could have gone to programs the region needs.

Other Commissioners objected to what they saw as extravagant spending, including more than $100,000 on lobbyists and $28,000 on a legislative event in Tallahassee — expenses they argue should never have come from restricted funds.

Orange County Comptroller Phil Diamond warned that Visit Orlando’s practices risk legal liability and urged the agency to refund misclassified funds while tightening oversight. CEO Casandra Matej defended the group, insisting that they cooperated fully with auditors and have already resolved many complaints.

A reminder that this all comes just a few months after lawmakers took direct aim at local tourism promotion agencies and tourist development councils. That massive upheaval sputtered out this Session, but there’s no telling what the Legislature will do as preliminary meetings for the 2026 Session begin in just over a month. And if this criticism bears out, it’s going to give skeptics in Tallahassee all the ammo they need.

The biggest loser: Alligator Alcatraz. Florida’s high-stakes immigration gambit is unraveling — fast.

Alligator Alcatraz appears to be crumbling under the weight of lawsuits. Instead of standing as the shining example of Trump and DeSantis’ hard-line immigration policy, the facility is quickly becoming synonymous with detainee suffering, environmental harms and taxpayers getting gouged.

Last week, a federal Judge ordered the site to wind down, citing failures to complete required environmental reviews before building in protected wetlands. The state’s attempt to delay that ruling failed this week, with the Judge declining to pause her order that new detainees are barred from entering and infrastructure like fencing and generators must be removed.

Meanwhile, a leaked memo from Division of Emergency Management Executive Director Kevin Guthrie said the site could reach zero detainees within days, as the order ties the hands of the federal government. The Trump administration, for its part, has pushed back against the idea that they’ll go down without a fight in court.

Florida taxpayers are also facing a massive bill. The state has already sunk more than $400 million into contracts, with final losses estimated at $218 million, considering shutdown and potential restart cost.

What was once billed as a bold symbol of Florida’s hard-line immigration stance now looks more like a boondoggle. Alligator Alcatraz was supposed to project strength. Today it projects failure.


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Kevin Steele seeks insight from conservative leaders at Rick Scott-led summit

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State Rep. Kevin Steele’s campaign for Chief Financial Officer already enjoys political support from U.S. Sen. Rick Scott. The Dade City Republican attended a summit headlined by the Senator to also gain some policy insight and mentoring.

Steele was among the attendees for the Rescuing the American Dream summit held on Thursday in Washington, D.C. He said it was a quest for knowledge that drew him to Capitol Hill to hear the discussion.

“The way you do things better in the future is by learning from people who have already accomplished something,” Steele told Florida Politics at the event.

Scott gave a shoutout to Steele from the stage. The Governor already endorsed Steele, who is challenging the appointed Chief Financial Officer Blaise Ingoglia in 2026. At the summit, Scott both promoted conservative successes in the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term and laid out visions on issues from health care reform to cryptocurrency.

Steele called the panel discussions “amazing” and instructive on tackling affordability issues in Florida.

“If we don’t start addressing those things head first, we’re going to fall behind,” Steele said. “I think we’ve lost several million jobs in the state of Florida over the past six or seven years. Learning from Rick Scott and how to bring jobs back to the state is a good thing. And I think that we need to start tackling some of the big, big things that we need to attack.”

That includes addressing property insurance premiums head on and evaluating the property tax situation.

While he will be challenging a Republican incumbent in a Primary, Steele voiced caution at comparing his philosophy too directly with Ingoglia, a former Republican Party of Florida Chair with a history of animus with Scott.

But he did suggest Ingoglia’s recent scrutinizing of local governments may be starting at the wrong place when it comes to cutting spending.

“We need to start focusing on state down, instead of going to a county and pointing out flaws there,” Steele said. “There’s a lot of issues at the state level that we can address, some of which we are, some of which I’ve submitted different bills to address. I think that there’s a lot of waste and abuse at the state level that we can focus on.”



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Darren Soto refuses to call for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s resignation

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U.S. Rep. Darren Soto is refusing to say whether indicted U.S. Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick should vacate her seat in Congress.

Video obtained by Florida Politics shows Soto being confronted on Capitol Hill. “Will you call on Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick to resign?” the videographer asks.

Initially, Soto remains silent, but the questioner suggests that silence shows “support” for someone who “stole $5 million in health care funds for the most vulnerable.” The Kissimmee Democrat then responds but continues walking away from the camera. He then conflates a censure motion against U.S. Rep. Cory Mills, a New Smyrna Beach Republican, and Cherfilus-McCormick, a Miramar Democrat.

“Both Mills and Cherfilus-McCormick, both will have due process. Thank you,” Soto said.

Both Cherfilus-McCormick and Mills remain the subjects of ongoing House Ethics Committee investigations. But only Cherfilus-McCormick now faces criminal prosecution for alleged financial crimes.

A grand jury in November indicted Cherfilus-McCormick on charges she stole $5 million in disaster relief funds to finance her 2021 congressional campaign.

The indictment alleges that Cherfilus-McCormick and her brother, Edwin Cherfilus, secured funding intended for a COVID vaccine distribution program, but when overpayments were made, she routed the spending through several accounts that later donated the funds as campaign contributions.

Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said pursuant to House rules that Cherfilus-McCormick had to give up her ranking status on the Subcommittee on the Middle East and North Africa. Local Democrats have started to issue calls for the Miramar Democrat’s resignation. But there have been no calls from Democratic members of Congress.

U.S. Rep. Greg Steube, a Sarasota Republican, has said if she won’t resign, he will move for her expulsion.

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), which lists Soto as a target in 2026, slammed Soto’s unwillingness to criticize a fellow Democrat.

“Darren Soto’s refusal to call on Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick to resign is unacceptable,” said NRCC spokesperson Maureen O’Toole. “Floridians deserve a representative who fights for them, not his taxpayer-thieving colleague.”



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Lawmakers propose tough penalties for adults who involve minors in animal cruelty

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Bipartisan legislation filed this week would expand Florida’s criminal penalties for adults who involve children in acts of animal cruelty or expose them to violent offenses against animals.

Democratic Sen. Kristen Arrington and Republican Rep. Linda Chaney filed the legislation (SB 676, HB 559). The bills would add new crimes to state law that make it a third-degree felony for an adult to entice a minor to commit animal cruelty, or for an adult to commit animal cruelty in the presence of a minor. 

The lawmakers cite studies that show children who witness acts of animal cruelty experience an increase in mental health issues, along with an increased likelihood of engaging in violence themselves. By addressing the cycle of abuse early on, they say children can be shielded from additional trauma caused by witnessing violence.

The proposal would also create offenses for adults who involve minors in animal fighting or baiting, and for sexual activities with animals, while also ranking the new crimes on the state’s offense severity chart and increasing penalties for certain felony offenses. If approved, the act would take effect Oct. 1, 2026.

Arrington, of Kissimmee, said the goal is to strengthen protections for both children and animals.

“Exposing children to acts of animal cruelty not only harms animals but has a profound negative impact on children’s emotional development and wellbeing” Arrington said in a statement. “This bill is meant to protect both our youth and our animals, ensuring that those who would involve minors in such heinous acts face strict consequences.”

Chaney, of St. Pete Beach, said animal crimes committed in front of children are closely linked with other forms of family violence.

“Committing animal crimes in front of minors is a serious issue that often co-occurs with other forms of family violence and can have severe, long-term traumatic effects on the children involved” Chaney said. “We must do all we can to break generational cycles of violence. This bill can do that.”

Democratic Rep. Johanna López of Orlando signed on as a prime co-sponsor.

“I’m honored to join Senator Arrington and Representative Chaney in advancing reforms that protect the safety and mental health of our minors and ensure that those who abuse our children or our pets are held accountable,” López said.



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