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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 8.17.25

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Florida’s foreign policy hard-liners are celebrating this week.

President Donald Trump has dispatched three U.S. Navy destroyers to waters off Venezuela in a bid to confront narcotics cartels linked to the Maduro regime. In a state heavily influenced by the Venezuelan American communities — a voting bloc that prizes anti-socialist posturing — leaders are seizing on this moment.

U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody hailed the move, saying it demonstrated that “America’s days of turning a blind eye to drug trafficking are over,” pointing to the deployment as a decisive strike “at the source” of fentanyl and other deadly substances.

U.S Rep. Carlos Giménez leaned in even harder, posting that the deployment has tightened the “noose” around “dictator Nicolás Maduro & his narco regime.”

“What will the tyrant Nicolás Maduro do when the three U.S. destroyer ships arrive at Venezuela’s coasts? Nicolás, you buffoon, flee to Cuba before it’s too late,” Giménez added.

That type of bombast appeals directly to the state’s exile-heavy electorate often personally impacted by Maduro’s policies. But it also demonstrates the ongoing battle over isolation versus intervention within the Republican Party, and even in Trump’s own mind.

This could lead to a major escalation in tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela. And in a state where Latin America politics and national politics blur, it’s looking to be a major issue heading into 2026.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Bryan Griffin. Florida’s tourism machine just posted another milestone, with a record 34.4 million visitors in the second quarter of 2025. That includes more than 31 million domestic travelers and a double-digit percentage jump in overseas visitors.

It’s the kind of number that underscores how central tourism is to the state’s economy. It also puts a spotlight on VISIT FLORIDA’s new chief.

Griffin stepped into the CEO role only weeks ago after serving as DeSantis’ Communications Director, and he inherits an agency riding high. The record quarter isn’t solely his doing, but as the face of Florida’s tourism efforts, he’ll be tasked with keeping that momentum going amid unpredictable economic conditions and the current threat of a projected active hurricane season.

His political savvy and messaging experience could help him make the case for continued investment in tourism marketing when lawmakers gather next Session, as the agency has faced defunding threats for years.

The latest numbers suggest Florida’s appeal remains broad, despite its polarizing place at the top of the culture war totem pole. And Griffin benefits from taking the reins at a high-water mark.

If he can translate that into sustained growth and navigate the political pressures that come with leading the agency, he’ll be able to stand out not just as an ally of the Governor, but solidify his reputation as someone who can deliver results in one of Florida’s most important industries.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Mike Caruso. DeSantis’ choice to lead Palm Beach County’s Clerk of the Circuit Court & Comptroller’s Office is breaking new ground, as Caruso is the first Republican ever to hold the office in a historically Democratic county.

But the appointment doesn’t come entirely out of the blue. Caruso’s move follows a legislative career marked by loyalty to DeSantis — including a rare dissenting vote against House leadership — that reportedly cost him a committee Chair position but signaled alignment with the Governor’s priorities.

Caruso hit the ground running in his new gig. On Day 1, he administered oaths to over 200 deputy clerks and began settling into his new responsibilities.

Caruso, a certified public accountant, was facing term limits in the House. He’ll now step away a year early to take on the new role, vacating his House District 87 seat in the process.

That will require a Special Election for his HD 87 seat. Notably, his wife, Tracy Caruso — an established civic figure — was already running for the seat in the 2026 cycle and will likely enter the Special Election. But she’ll face fierce competition from financial planner Jon Maples, who is easily leading the field in fundraising and is also trying to position himself for a Trump endorsement.

Whether Mike Caruso gets a win by seeing his wife succeed him, however, is an issue for down the line. For now, he’s landed a solid gig to cushion his exit from the Legislature — albeit one that is already courting challengers.

The biggest winner: Joe Gruters. It’s official. At its Summer meeting in Atlanta, the Republican National Committee (RNC) unanimously elected the Sarasota Republican to serve as RNC Chair.

The move reinforces Trump’s influence on the party machinery. Gruters, who stepped down from his role as RNC Treasurer to become Chair, ran unopposed and secured the top leadership role in a voice vote. He succeeds Michael Whatley, who is departing to pursue a Senate run in North Carolina with Trump’s backing.

Gruters has long supported Trump — backing him early during the 2016 Presidential Election and later co-chairing Trump’s Florida campaign alongside Susie Wiles, now the President’s Chief of Staff. As Florida GOP Chair from 2019 to 2023, Gruters oversaw a substantial surge in Republican voter registration, helping lead to Republicans overtaking Democrats in registration.

Gruters even played up his Florida ties, pledging to “expand our Republican majority” and adapt Florida’s winning playbook for national races. State Republicans have long pushed for the U.S. to adopt the “Florida model” in myriad ways. Gruters will now have the opportunity to see that it’s done.

His ascension gives him a leading role in carrying out the President’s plans just as the 2026 Midterms and 2028 Presidential Election cycle loom. With a figure as volatile as Trump, that can be seen as a risky proposition.

But Whatley just springboarded to the leading GOP candidate running for Senate. So there is a path for Gruters to advance further beyond this post while also serving in a pivotal role at an important time for Republicans.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Judith Fike. She was suspended, urged to resign, then reinstated and is now out of a job after voters booted Fike from the District 4 seat on the Groveland City Council.

Fike’s brief and turbulent tenure on the City Council ended in a landslide defeat, the culmination of self-inflicted wounds and controversy she never managed to outrun. Appointed in December to fill the District 4 vacancy, Fike quickly became a lightning rod after old Facebook posts resurfaced showing racist memes and another mocking the victims of Orlando’s Pulse nightclub massacre with a crude joke about the LGBTQ community.

Fike claimed the posts were part of a smear campaign. Well, perhaps, but she did own up to writing them. So if they’re an effective smear, maybe the fault is in the author rather than those who brought attention to her own words.

After being suspended from the Council, she won reinstatement on a legal technicality — a Judge ruled the Council lacked the authority to remove her — but voters weren’t interested. In Tuesday’s Primary, she limped to a humiliating third-place finish with just 14% of the vote, while retired Navy veteran Jim O’Neil and former code writer Michael Jaycox claimed about 50% and 36%, respectively.

For an incumbent, that kind of showing is brutal. Fike’s brief time on the Council ends with voters soundly rejecting her — and for good reason.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: James Uthmeier.

Uthmeier lands here this week by association after a federal Judge ordered the state to begin winding down the controversial Alligator Alcatraz detention facility in the Everglades.

In a sweeping preliminary injunction, Judge Kathleen Williams ruled that the facility’s remote location and hasty construction violated environmental laws, halting its expansion and directing that fencing, lighting and other infrastructure after winding down the facility’s population within 60 days.

Uthmeier helped brand the facility as Alligator Alcatraz and earned plaudits from the President on his work. The ruling, for now, is a major setback to Uthmeier’s signature initiative. But he says the state has already appealed the decision, so we’ll have to wait and see how future proceedings play out.

After the ruling, Uthmeier lashed out on social media, calling the Judge’s decision “unlawful,” insisting Florida would continue to “detain, deport, and deliver for the American people.”

But the injunction not only freezes operations, it also underlines serious legal and financial questions about the detainment center. With hundreds of millions already committed to contracts and construction, the ruling leaves Uthmeier defending both his judgment and taxpayer dollars. Environmental groups and the Miccosukee Tribe, who brought the suit, hailed the decision as a victory for the Everglades and tribal sovereignty.

For Uthmeier, this isn’t just a legal setback; it’s a political one. His marquee project is now in limbo, and he’ll have to hope Judges up the chain don’t see things the same way as Williams.

The biggest loser: Ron DeSantisEven by the standards of a Governor who constantly battles through confrontation — often of his own making — this week was not a good look for DeSantis. And it wasn’t just opponents incensed with the Governor; allies were left scratching their heads as well.

We mentioned Alligator Alcatraz, and that was as much a loss for DeSantis as it was for Uthmeier, as the Governor even nuked his relationships in the Legislature earlier this year trying to position Florida as leading a crackdown on illegal immigration.

Then came the situation in Orlando. The Florida Department of Transportation quietly painted over the Pulse nightclub rainbow crosswalk overnight, without even notifying local leaders. Officials learned about the removal after the fact.

Supporters may back it as an effort to remove political messaging from Florida roadways. But critics saw it as the state bulldozing a community memorial for 49 murder victims. And if a local community wants to paint streets a certain way, why is the state stepping in? Next step: swooping in to paint over your kid’s chalk drawing because they used six of the seven rainbow colors during playtime.

DeSantis also announced this week — finally — that the state would fly flags at half-staff for the late Democratic Rep. Joe Casello. The well-deserved honor comes a month after Casello died and weeks after the Governor gave the same order following Hulk Hogan’s death, even though Casello died six days before Hogan. Guess we know where DeSantis’ priorities lie.

Even Republicans were ready to pay tribute to Casello as soon as he passed. The Governor could only muster the same level of sympathy for a former wrestler turned beer entrepreneur.

Then there were the leaked texts, first obtained by Florida Politics, showing Lt. Gov. Jay Collins appearing to agree that DeSantis has Asperger’s. DeSantis’ online army tried to frame this as a media attack on those with Asperger’s (far from it) and tried to say Collins’ words were taken out of context, even though his camp did not dispute the story’s authenticity.

We simply reported what the texts showed. DeSantis’ online warriors tried to preemptively frame the story as negative and through all their complaining, only served to amplify the Lieutenant Governor’s take on the Governor.

Then came DeSantis’ perplexing decision to skip the celebration of life for John Thrasher — a former House Speaker, FSU President and pillar of the GOP establishment.

Now in fairness, days later, DeSantis posthumously recognized Thrasher and four other Florida icons with the Governor’s Medal of Freedom. So it’s not as if he completely ignored Thrasher’s huge impact on The Process.

But why not take time to honor him in person? DeSantis’ camp even offered inconsistent reasoning for why he couldn’t attend. It was a layup of a win to just be present, and his absence shows where his priorities lie.

Individually, each of these episodes might be a one-day story. Together, they paint a picture of a Governor whose political instincts sometimes betray him: chasing fights he doesn’t need, ignoring gestures of grace that cost him nothing, and creating unnecessary controversies that distract from his wins.

For someone with national ambitions, those aren’t habits that have bred widespread support unless your name is Donald Trump. And given DeSantis’ icy relationship with the current President, it’s unlikely he’s going to get the Trump seal of approval that might allow him to wave away these vaults should he seek higher office again.


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Eileen Higgins to campaign in Miami with Ruben Gallego ahead of Special Election for Mayor

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Former Miami-Dade Commissioner Eileen Higgins will continue her early voting push with several appearances across Miami alongside U.S. Sen. Ruben Gallego of Arizona on Sunday.

“As Miamians turn out for Early Voting, Commissioner Higgins will highlight her vision for restoring trust at City Hall, ending corruption, and delivering a city government that works for residents,” her campaign said.

“The day will feature a canvass launch, Early Vote stops, and a volunteer phone bank to mobilize voters ahead of the Dec. 9 election.”

Higgins, who is running to be Miami’s first woman Mayor, will make her first stop at 10:30 a.m. at the Mision Nuestar Senñora de la Altagracia church, located at 1179 NW 28th St., followed by a visit to Christ Episcopal Church at 3481 Hibiscus St. an hour later.

Then at 1 p.m., Higgins and Gallego will participate in a get-out-the-vote event in Hadley Park at 1350 NW 50th Street.

They’ll end the day’s tour with a phone bank stop at 4 p.m., the address for which, Higgins’ campaign said, can be obtained upon RSVP.

Higgins, who served on the County Commission from 2018 to 2025, is competing in a runoff for the city’s mayoralty against former City Manager Emilio González. The pair topped 11 other candidates in Miami’s Nov. 4 General Election, with Higgins, a Democrat, taking 36% of the vote and González, a Republican, capturing 19.5%.

To win outright, a candidate had to receive more than half the vote. Miami’s elections are technically nonpartisan, though party politics frequently still play into races.

Gallego, a freshman Democratic Senator, served in the U.S. House from 2015 to 2025 and as a member of the Arizona House from 2011 to 2014. He is a second-generation American, with a Colombian mother and a Mexican father, and the first Latino elected to represent Arizona in the U.S. Senate.



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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 11.30.25

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Florida’s political class doesn’t agree on much these days, but this week produced a rare moment of full-spectrum alignment. Every member of Florida’s congressional delegation — all 28 House members and both U.S. Senators — signed onto a single message to the White House urging President Donald Trump to keep offshore drilling away from Florida’s coasts.

That kind of unanimity is almost unheard of in the state’s modern political era, but it’s been the consistent position of leaders in both parties here in Florida.

The show of solidarity is rooted in a simple political reality: drilling off Florida’s shores remains a third-rail issue for voters across the ideological spectrum. Tourism, the state’s largest economic engine, depends on pristine coastlines. Military leaders have long warned that operations in the Gulf Test Range would be disrupted by new rigs. And coastal residents — Republican and Democrat alike — still remember how the imagery of the Deepwater Horizon disaster reshaped public opinion.

And nobody running in Florida in 2026 wants to be caught on the wrong side of this issue.

With national energy policy in flux and Trump weighing moves that could open new waters for exploration, Florida lawmakers acted preemptively, positioning themselves as a single block drawing a bright line. It also signals that the delegation intends to preserve the long-standing de facto moratorium that has held for decades, regardless of who controls Washington next year.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Tourism. Florida’s tourism sector heads into the holidays with the swagger of an industry that keeps beating its own benchmarks.

The latest statewide report shows Florida drew more visitors in 2024 than in any previous year on record. Domestic travel remains the backbone of the industry, but international tourism — which lagged behind for years — finally roared back, helping push total visitation into uncharted territory.

Local indicators back up the statewide spike. Orange County’s tourist development tax reports continue climbing, with October’s haul marking yet another year-over-year increase. The stronger the tourist development tax numbers, the more room Orange County has to invest.

For tourism executives, the trajectory validates years of capital investment, marketing overhauls, and infrastructure upgrades. And for political leaders, particularly those who have staked their credibility on Florida’s economic climate, the industry’s performance provides a powerful proof point.

Plenty of sectors nationwide are wobbling as 2026 approaches. Florida tourism isn’t one of them.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Alex Andrade. For months, the Pensacola Republican has argued that the Gov. Ron DeSantis administration improperly siphoned $10 million in Medicaid settlement funds into the Hope Florida Foundation — money that was then routed into political efforts aligned with the Governor and now-Attorney General James Uthmeier.

The administration pushed back hard, insisting the diverted money wasn’t actually Medicaid-related and therefore wasn’t subject to federal pass-through requirements. But a new repayment from the state to the federal government shows Andrade had it right from the beginning.

Fresh financial records reveal the Agency for Health Care Administration (AHCA) calculated its federal repayment using the full $67 million Centene settlement — including the disputed $10 million the state insisted wasn’t Medicaid money at all. Florida has now paid back 57% of the entire settlement, amounting to $38 million, exactly what it would owe if every dime belonged to Medicaid.

That directly undermines the state’s original defense and aligns precisely with what Andrade’s investigation uncovered: the $10 million that went to Hope Florida should have stayed in the Medicaid program.

The repayment also adds a striking new twist to a scandal that has already damaged the Governor’s Office, fueled a grand jury probe, raised red flags about political interference in Medicaid dollars, and helped derail Casey DeSantis’ once-serious positioning for 2026.

For Andrade, who repeatedly pressed AHCA for answers and was stonewalled at every turn, this is a confirmation that his instincts, his oversight work and his insistence on accountability were justified.

The biggest winner: Rick Scott. Scott is riding high after a policy summit that managed to seize the spotlight as Washington still grapples with several issues before the close of 2025.

The event showcased ideological discipline, message testing and a reminder of Scott’s continued push to establish himself as one of the most effective architects of the GOP’s internal conversations.

The agenda ranged widely — health care, space, finance, foreign policy, party identity — but the through line was Scott’s effort to present himself as a central bridge between Senate Republicans, national conservatives and Florida’s rising stars.

The summit generated a steady drip of headlines. A pollster told attendees that Americans have soured on the Affordable Care Act, giving Scott and his allies fresh fodder for long-standing arguments about the law’s durability. Members of Congress used the forum to sketch out what an alternative might look like, offering a substantive policy moment at a time when the party often struggles to define next steps.

There were also unmistakably political flashes. Byron Donalds used the gathering to continue Republicans’ critiques against Cory Mills’ scandals. Randy Fine issued stern warnings about rising antisemitism. And members of the House Freedom Caucus emphasized the value of having Scott as their conduit to the upper chamber.

All of it underscored the same point: Scott convened a room full of people who matter, and they showed up ready to continue pushing the conservative conversation forward.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Trajector Medical. A recent investigative report is painting the company as a predatory “claims-shark” exploiting disabled veterans.

According to the latest reporting, Trajector Medical has been charging veterans as much as $20,000 for help with disability benefits — even though such assistance is legally supposed to be free.

The price tag comes tied to promises of help filing claims, but veterans who relied on the firm describe an entirely different reality: pre-filled application forms submitted on their behalf without their explicit involvement, vague “medical-evidence packets” of questionable origin, and invoices that pop up only after the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) increases a veteran’s disability rating.

The company uses a software tool — reportedly dubbed “CallBot” — to monitor clients’ benefit status through the VA hotline. When the system detects a payment increase, it automatically bills the veteran. One veteran NPR interviewed said he was charged $17,400 after his VA rating rose, even though he’d done much of the paperwork himself.

Federal law prohibits entities from charging for assistance in preparing or filing initial VA disability claims, which means Trajector’s business model appears to run entirely contrary to that protection. The company, however, says those restrictions don’t apply because it only does a limited amount of work during the process.

The VA had previously sent the company warning letters in 2017 and 2022 demanding it stop offering paid assistance — but Trajector apparently ignored those warnings and kept operating.

And it appears other companies like it are engaged in similar practices.

Disabled veterans, many of whom rely on VA benefits for basic medical care and financial stability, report feeling misled, exploited and trapped by aggressive billing practices. Former employees of Trajector also admit the firm drifted away from its original mission of helping vets and turned into a profit-driven debt-collection operation.

In a state like Florida — with a large veteran population — a company that claims to help veterans but instead levies steep, legally dubious fees is about as far from “serving those who served” as you can get.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Jay Collins. A few weeks ago, Collins’ issue was donor confidence due to Ken Griffin’s refusal to buy into DeSantis’ pitch to back Collins, showing he couldn’t land the kind of marquee support a DeSantis-aligned Lieutenant Governor was supposed to lock down effortlessly.

Now Collins is grappling with a problem even more glaring: the Governor himself can’t be counted on to show up for him.

Collins’ latest telephone town hall was supposed to feature DeSantis — a show of strength for a candidate who needs one badly. Instead, Collins got stood up. Again. And this wasn’t a minor scheduling hiccup. As Florida Politics reported, DeSantis’ schedule throughout the day Wednesday was plenty open during the time of the call.

It leaves one wondering how committed the Governor really is to lifting Collins in the 2026 field. Collins desperately needs a visible, unmistakable show of support from DeSantis to compensate for weak polling, slow fundraising and a late entry that already left him miles behind Byron Donalds. When your entire path to viability rests on the idea that the sitting Governor is clearing a lane for you (and we’re not even sure that would be enough), getting publicly ghosted undercuts the whole premise.

You can survive donor skepticism. You can sometimes survive weak early numbers. But surviving your own patron repeatedly failing to show up? That’s a much harder lift.

The biggest loser: Black bears. The hunt is on, with the state moving forward with a revived bear hunt that began Saturday.

Wildlife officials continue to insist the hunt is a management tool, citing increased human–bear encounters and steady population growth.

But environmental groups and community activists argue the data doesn’t justify an organized kill, especially as development pressures, shrinking habitats and inadequate trash management drive most conflicts.

Whatever the policy rationale, the optics are difficult to ignore. Florida spent decades pulling its black bear population back from the brink. Conservation efforts worked, numbers rebounded, and the species again became a fixture in Panhandle forests and Central Florida greenways.

Lawmakers eager to show they’re taking action have leaned hard into the hunt as a symbol of decisive wildlife policy. The bears, once again, are on the losing end of a fight they never chose.



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Carlos G. Smith files bill to allow medical pot patients to grow their own plants

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Home cultivation of marijuana plants could be legal under certain conditions.

Medical marijuana patients may not have to go to the dispensary for their medicine if new legislation in the Senate passes.

Sen. Carlos G. Smith’s SB 776 would permit patients aged 21 and older to grow up to six pot plants.

They could use the homegrown product, but just like the dispensary weed, they would not be able to re-sell.

Medical marijuana treatment centers would be the only acceptable sourcing for plants and seeds, a move that would protect the cannabis’ custody.

Those growing the plants would be obliged to keep them secured from “unauthorized persons.”

Chances this becomes law may be slight.

A House companion for the legislation has yet to be filed. And legislators have demonstrated little appetite for homegrow in the past.



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