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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 7.20.25

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It appears Mike Waltz will be the next U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations.

That may not sound like surprising news, given President Donald Trump’s support of Waltz and his substantial background in Washington. But there was some drama this week when Republican U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, often a wild card, appeared ready to vote against Waltz in committee and stall his nomination.

In the end, members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee were able to convince Democratic U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire to vote in favor of Waltz, allowing him to emerge via a 12-10 vote and likely set the stage for full Senate confirmation.

The position allows Waltz to have some redemption over the massively embarrassing Signalgate scandal, where Waltz — or someone on his team — added a reporter who has critically covered the Trump administration into a signal chat that included Waltz, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other high-level government officials in which they openly discussed plans to strike the Houthis in Yemen.

Just this week, reporting confirmed what any sensible follower knew from the get-go: The chat contained classified information, which came from an email marked “secret.” That comes after Waltz and other Trump officials laughingly tried to say that describing imminent attack plans somehow contained no classified info.

But Republicans are unlikely to tank Waltz’s nomination on the floor over the issue, despite this week’s surprising committee hiccup. He appears well on his way to take the new gig.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Farmers. Florida’s farmers are getting more well-deserved help in the form of a $675 million block grant to help with hurricane recovery.

Florida dealt with three major storms last year, with Hurricanes Debby, Helene, and Milton. The money will help with recovery from those storms, as well as damage from Hurricane Idalia in 2023.

The money is coming from the federal government per an agreement between the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and the Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services.

USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins traveled to Southwest Florida to announce the funding.

This is one of many steps needed to help Florida’s farmers dig out of a hole, particularly citrus farmers who have been crippled by citrus greening in addition to the storms.

State lawmakers have tried to do their part, surging funding to farmers in this year’s budget and voting to ask voters next year whether to cut taxes for farmers.

State and federal partners will need to continue work going forward, but this week’s announcement was welcome news for the industry.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Ron DeSantis, James Uthmeier. The Governor and his hand-picked Attorney General had two big flexes this week in the form of a legal win and some foreshadowing of additional changes to Florida’s congressional map.

First, the clear-cut win: A Judge sided with Uthmeier’s interpretation of the Miami-Dade County Home Rule Charter and invalidated a push by the city to delay its elections from 2025 to 2026.

Proponents of the change wanted to align the city’s elections with the regular federal cycle in order to boost turnout. But completely coincidentally (wink), the move would have also provided the Mayor and current Commissioners who would have otherwise been on the ballot this year an extra year of service.

Uthmeier threatened the city to stand down, arguing such a move could only be valid if approved by voters via a referendum. But city officials went ahead anyway. A candidate sued, leading to the favorable court decision and keeping the 2025 election date in place. That aligns directly with DeSantis and Uthmeier’s position.

The executive also floated this week another redistricting push prior to the 2030 census, mirroring Texas’ efforts to create more Republican-leaning seats ahead of a hotly contested Midterm Election.

DeSantis is grumbling about Florida’s apportionment following the 2020 census, arguing the state should have more seats to begin with. That’s unlikely to be fixed before 2030, but DeSantis can use his muscle to try to engineer an even more favorable map for the GOP.

And he’s unlikely to face any resistance from the courts after Justices just upheld his work engineering a map far more friendly to the red team than the previous map in Florida.

This entire process — allowing members of either party with vested interest to fudge these lines to explicitly gather more power — is utterly absurd. But the courts have shown zero interest in reining it in, so we’re likely to continue to see this nonsense play out across the country.

The system is allowing partisan politicians to rig the rules, and DeSantis and Uthmeier seem ready to take advantage.

The biggest winner: Joe Gruters, Blaise Ingoglia. Win-wins in the cutthroat political process are rare, but it appears we just witnessed one out of the blue in Florida.

As we wrote last week, when DeSantis officially named Ingoglia the next Chief Financial Officer, it set up a showdown on the horizon between DeSantis’ pick and Trump’s preferred choice of Gruters.

But the wheels apparently started spinning behind the scenes. Trump’s daughter-in-law, Lara Trump, decided against a run for U.S. Senate in North Carolina. That opened the door for Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Michael Whatley, who has long had roots in the Tar Heel State, to run with the President’s blessing, though no official announcement has been made yet..

Ah, but that would create an opening for RNC Chair. There had been some scuttle in previous years that Trump might support Gruters in the role. That never came to pass, but Gruters was elected as RNC Treasurer earlier this year.

Our publisher, Peter Schorsch, revived those rumors Thursday morning, saying that Trump could back Gruters as RNC Chair, leading to Gruters standing down in the 2026 CFO race and allowing Ingoglia to run as the favorite. In turn, perhaps DeSantis would stand down in the Governor’s race and support Trump’s preferred candidate in Byron Donalds rather than DeSantis backing his wife or another ally.

Sure enough, by Thursday evening, Trump did end up pulling the trigger and throwing his support behind Gruters to be the next leader of the RNC.

“Fortunately, I have somebody who will do a wonderful job as the Chairman of the RNC,” Trump posted on Truth Social. “His name is Joe Gruters, and he will have my Complete and Total Endorsement. So, should Michael Whatley run for the Senate, please let this notification represent my Complete and Total Endorsement. He will never let you down!”

Now, Ingoglia is unlikely to face any serious competition in the race, Gruters gets a high-profile national job, and both sides avoid any massive financial war over a 2026 GOP Primary. And it could have gotten ugly. We all remember the vitriol between the Trump and DeSantis camps during the 2024 Presidential Primary.

Now, if the Governor’s race piece  of this equation also comes to pass, then perhaps there is finally a legitimate path to a true armistice between Team Trump and Team DeSantis.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Jacksonville Sheriff’s Office. The Sheriff’s Office is in hot water after video emerged this week of a February traffic stop that escalated into violence.

A Black driver, William McNeil Jr., was pulled over for not having headlights on during bad weather. According to The Associated Press, McNeil had opened his door and was speaking with officers about the traffic stop. He eventually closed and locked the door for a few minutes and asked to speak to a supervisor when deputies broke through his window, punched him and dragged him from the car.

Officers said he was resisting arrest.

The video appears quite damning, though Jacksonville Sheriff TK Waters is arguing the video is misleading. DeSantis appears ready to dismiss any controversy outright, even as he openly admitted he’s not bothering to look into the facts about what occurred.

“Maybe I’ll review it, you know, at some point. But I kind of heard about it,” DeSantis said of the video. “Then I heard the response, and I’m like, yeah, that kind of checks out to me without even knowing any of the facts. I just know how this stuff works, right?”

But this story isn’t going away. McNeil is speaking publicly. He has hired high-powered legal representation in Ben Crump and Harry Daniels, lawyers who also have no problem making their case to the public as well.

Democratic lawmakers in Florida are demanding answers. And with lawmakers away from Tallahassee and major state-level races not on the ballot this year, that gives critics plenty of time to drill down on this issue.

Whether JSO has any satisfying explanation for how this routine stop escalated so much remains to be seen. But despite Republican leadership’s posturing, it’s not going away quietly.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: James Taylor. The Fort Pierce City Commissioner has been arrested — and will likely be suspended by the Governor — after being accused of having an inappropriate relationship with a young girl.

The St. Lucie County Sheriff’s Office said the girl’s mother reported the activity to law enforcement.

“The mother advised that her daughter, who was only 12 years old when the communications began, had been contacted by an adult male via Snapchat,” the Sheriff’s Office said. “Over time, the conversations became sexually explicit, and the suspect allegedly sent multiple nude images to the minor.”

Already, Rep. Toby Overdorf is calling for the Governor to “suspend this monster immediately.”

“This is exactly why Florida has taken a fierce stand against the dangers of social media for our children — platforms like Snapchat can be hunting grounds for predators,” Overdorf said. “We are in awe of the brave young victim and her family who exposed this evil. We hear you, we stand with you, and we will never stop fighting to protect Florida’s kids from these despicable acts.”

Everyone is entitled to their day in court. But it’s obvious that if these allegations are true, then Taylor belongs nowhere near any position of public trust.

And as we’ve said in previous instances of elected officials being accused of wrongdoing, the right thing is to step aside and only return if and when you’ve cleared your name. Otherwise, DeSantis is more than justified in acting.

The biggest loser: Local governments. Broward County, the city of Gainesville and Manatee County are all facing state scrutiny after the DeSantis administration says the localities are not willfully cooperating with DeSantis’ requests for audits.

After DeSantis installed Ingoglia as CFO, the two are now targeting municipalities that refused to comply with the Governor’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) task force.

Broward and Gainesville were the first two targets. Both are deep blue jurisdictions. But late last week, DeSantis and Ingoglia announced they were also turning their focus to Manatee, a red county in Southwest Florida.

That latter move also has shades of political motivation, however, after local Republicans ousted multiple DeSantis-allied officials last cycle.

So this effort seems just as much, if not more, of an effort to drive home political messaging as it is a true push to get government finances in order.

And let us say, we have no doubt there is waste in every one of these government budgets. That’s because there’s likely waste in every single government budget.

But the Governor is also aiming to spotlight waste to reinforce his push to eliminate property taxes next year. By making a scene over local spending, DeSantis can more easily sell the case to gut the revenue source, even if the math doesn’t add up.

But regardless of the motivations, DeSantis’ DOGE is sniffing around these local budgets and policy proposals eager to find a bone. And Ingoglia is more than ready to help show that this effort is just as much bite as bark.

So, like media companies forced to pay tribute to Trump, it seems these local governments are going to need to sacrifice something to appease Florida’s Governor.


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Carlos G. Smith files bill to allow medical pot patients to grow their own plants

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Home cultivation of marijuana plants could be legal under certain conditions.

Medical marijuana patients may not have to go to the dispensary for their medicine if new legislation in the Senate passes.

Sen. Carlos G. Smith’s SB 776 would permit patients aged 21 and older to grow up to six pot plants.

They could use the homegrown product, but just like the dispensary weed, they would not be able to re-sell.

Medical marijuana treatment centers would be the only acceptable sourcing for plants and seeds, a move that would protect the cannabis’ custody.

Those growing the plants would be obliged to keep them secured from “unauthorized persons.”

Chances this becomes law may be slight.

A House companion for the legislation has yet to be filed. And legislators have demonstrated little appetite for homegrow in the past.



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Rolando Escalona aims to deny Frank Carollo a return to the Miami Commission

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Early voting is now underway in Miami for a Dec. 9 runoff that will decide whether political newcomer Rolando Escalona can block former Commissioner Frank Carollo from reclaiming the District 3 seat long held by the Carollo family.

The contest has already been marked by unusual turbulence: both candidates faced eligibility challenges that threatened — but ultimately failed — to knock them off the ballot.

Escalona survived a dramatic residency challenge in October after a rival candidate accused him of faking his address. A Miami-Dade Judge rejected the claim following a detailed, three-hour trial that examined everything from his lease records to his Amazon orders.

After the Nov. 4 General Election — when Carollo took about 38% of the vote and Escalona took 17% to outpace six other candidates — Carollo cleared his own legal hurdle when another Judge ruled he could remain in the race despite the city’s new lifetime term limits that, according to three residents who sued, should have barred him from running again.

Those rulings leave voters with a stark choice in District 3, which spans Little Havana, East Shenandoah, West Brickell and parts of Silver Bluff and the Roads.

The runoff pits a self-described political outsider against a veteran official with deep institutional experience and marks a last chance to extend the Carollo dynasty to a twentieth straight year on the dais or block that potentiality.

Escalona, 34, insists voters are ready to move on from the chaos and litigation that have surrounded outgoing Commissioner Joe Carollo, whose tenure included a $63.5 million judgment against him for violating the First Amendment rights of local business owners and the cringe-inducing firing of a Miami Police Chief, among other controversies.

A former busboy who rose through the hospitality industry to manage high-profile Brickell restaurant Sexy Fish while also holding a real estate broker’s license, Escalona is running on a promise to bring transparency, better basic services, lower taxes for seniors and improved permitting systems to the city.

He wants to improve public safety, support economic development, enhance communities, provide more affordable housing, lower taxes and advocate for better fiscal responsibility in government.

He told the Miami Herald that if elected, he’d fight to restore public trust by addressing public corruption while re-engaging residents who feel unheard by current officials.

Carollo, 55, a CPA who served two terms on the dais from 2009 to 2017, has argued that the district needs an experienced leader. He’s pointed to his record balancing budgets and pledges a residents-first agenda focused on safer streets, cleaner neighborhoods and responsive government.

Carollo was the top fundraiser in the District 3 race this cycle, amassing about $501,000 between his campaign account and political committee, Residents First, and spending about $389,500 by the last reporting dates.

Escalona, meanwhile, reported raising close to $109,000 through his campaign account and spending all but 6,000 by Dec. 4.

The winner will secure a four-year term.



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Florida kicks off first black bear hunt in a decade, despite pushback

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For the first time in a decade, hunters armed with rifles and crossbows are fanning out across Florida’s swamps and flatwoods to legally hunt the Florida black bear, over the vocal opposition of critics.

The state-sanctioned hunt began Saturday, after drawing more than 160,000 applications for a far more limited number of hunting permits, including from opponents who are trying to reduce the number of bears killed in this year’s hunt, the state’s first since 2015.

The Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission awarded 172 bear hunt permits by random lottery for this year’s season, allowing hunters to kill one bear each in areas where the population is deemed large enough. At least 43 of the permits went to opponents of the hunt who never intend to use them, according to the Florida chapter of the Sierra Club, which encouraged critics to apply in the hopes of saving bears.

The Florida black bear population is considered one of the state’s conservation success stories, having grown from just several hundred bears in the 1970s to an estimated more than 4,000 today.

The 172 people who were awarded a permit through a random lottery will be able to kill one bear each during the 2025 season, which runs from Dec. 6 to Dec. 28. The permits are specific to one of the state’s four designated bear hunting zones, each of which have a hunting quota set by state officials based on the bear population in each region.

In order to participate, hunters must hold a valid hunting license and a bear harvest permit, which costs $100 for residents and $300 for nonresidents, plus fees. Applications for the permits cost $5 each.

The regulated hunt will help incentivize maintaining healthy bear populations, and help fund the work that is needed, according to Mark Barton of the Florida chapter of Backcountry Hunters and Anglers, an advocacy group that supported the hunt.

Having an annual hunt will help guarantee funding to “keep moving conservation for bears forward,” Barton said.

According to state wildlife officials, the bear population has grown enough to support a regulated hunt and warrant population management. The state agency sees hunting as an effective tool that is used to manage wildlife populations around the world, and allows the state to monetize conservation efforts through permit and application fees.

“While we have enough suitable bear habitat to support our current bear population levels, if the four largest subpopulations continue to grow at current rates, we will not have enough habitat at some point in the future,” reads a bear hunting guide published by the state wildlife commission.

___

Republished with permission of the Associated Press.



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