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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 11.30.25

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Florida’s political class doesn’t agree on much these days, but this week produced a rare moment of full-spectrum alignment. Every member of Florida’s congressional delegation — all 28 House members and both U.S. Senators — signed onto a single message to the White House urging President Donald Trump to keep offshore drilling away from Florida’s coasts.

That kind of unanimity is almost unheard of in the state’s modern political era, but it’s been the consistent position of leaders in both parties here in Florida.

The show of solidarity is rooted in a simple political reality: drilling off Florida’s shores remains a third-rail issue for voters across the ideological spectrum. Tourism, the state’s largest economic engine, depends on pristine coastlines. Military leaders have long warned that operations in the Gulf Test Range would be disrupted by new rigs. And coastal residents — Republican and Democrat alike — still remember how the imagery of the Deepwater Horizon disaster reshaped public opinion.

And nobody running in Florida in 2026 wants to be caught on the wrong side of this issue.

With national energy policy in flux and Trump weighing moves that could open new waters for exploration, Florida lawmakers acted preemptively, positioning themselves as a single block drawing a bright line. It also signals that the delegation intends to preserve the long-standing de facto moratorium that has held for decades, regardless of who controls Washington next year.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Tourism. Florida’s tourism sector heads into the holidays with the swagger of an industry that keeps beating its own benchmarks.

The latest statewide report shows Florida drew more visitors in 2024 than in any previous year on record. Domestic travel remains the backbone of the industry, but international tourism — which lagged behind for years — finally roared back, helping push total visitation into uncharted territory.

Local indicators back up the statewide spike. Orange County’s tourist development tax reports continue climbing, with October’s haul marking yet another year-over-year increase. The stronger the tourist development tax numbers, the more room Orange County has to invest.

For tourism executives, the trajectory validates years of capital investment, marketing overhauls, and infrastructure upgrades. And for political leaders, particularly those who have staked their credibility on Florida’s economic climate, the industry’s performance provides a powerful proof point.

Plenty of sectors nationwide are wobbling as 2026 approaches. Florida tourism isn’t one of them.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Alex Andrade. For months, the Pensacola Republican has argued that the Gov. Ron DeSantis administration improperly siphoned $10 million in Medicaid settlement funds into the Hope Florida Foundation — money that was then routed into political efforts aligned with the Governor and now-Attorney General James Uthmeier.

The administration pushed back hard, insisting the diverted money wasn’t actually Medicaid-related and therefore wasn’t subject to federal pass-through requirements. But a new repayment from the state to the federal government shows Andrade had it right from the beginning.

Fresh financial records reveal the Agency for Health Care Administration (AHCA) calculated its federal repayment using the full $67 million Centene settlement — including the disputed $10 million the state insisted wasn’t Medicaid money at all. Florida has now paid back 57% of the entire settlement, amounting to $38 million, exactly what it would owe if every dime belonged to Medicaid.

That directly undermines the state’s original defense and aligns precisely with what Andrade’s investigation uncovered: the $10 million that went to Hope Florida should have stayed in the Medicaid program.

The repayment also adds a striking new twist to a scandal that has already damaged the Governor’s Office, fueled a grand jury probe, raised red flags about political interference in Medicaid dollars, and helped derail Casey DeSantis’ once-serious positioning for 2026.

For Andrade, who repeatedly pressed AHCA for answers and was stonewalled at every turn, this is a confirmation that his instincts, his oversight work and his insistence on accountability were justified.

The biggest winner: Rick Scott. Scott is riding high after a policy summit that managed to seize the spotlight as Washington still grapples with several issues before the close of 2025.

The event showcased ideological discipline, message testing and a reminder of Scott’s continued push to establish himself as one of the most effective architects of the GOP’s internal conversations.

The agenda ranged widely — health care, space, finance, foreign policy, party identity — but the through line was Scott’s effort to present himself as a central bridge between Senate Republicans, national conservatives and Florida’s rising stars.

The summit generated a steady drip of headlines. A pollster told attendees that Americans have soured on the Affordable Care Act, giving Scott and his allies fresh fodder for long-standing arguments about the law’s durability. Members of Congress used the forum to sketch out what an alternative might look like, offering a substantive policy moment at a time when the party often struggles to define next steps.

There were also unmistakably political flashes. Byron Donalds used the gathering to continue Republicans’ critiques against Cory Mills’ scandals. Randy Fine issued stern warnings about rising antisemitism. And members of the House Freedom Caucus emphasized the value of having Scott as their conduit to the upper chamber.

All of it underscored the same point: Scott convened a room full of people who matter, and they showed up ready to continue pushing the conservative conversation forward.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Trajector Medical. A recent investigative report is painting the company as a predatory “claims-shark” exploiting disabled veterans.

According to the latest reporting, Trajector Medical has been charging veterans as much as $20,000 for help with disability benefits — even though such assistance is legally supposed to be free.

The price tag comes tied to promises of help filing claims, but veterans who relied on the firm describe an entirely different reality: pre-filled application forms submitted on their behalf without their explicit involvement, vague “medical-evidence packets” of questionable origin, and invoices that pop up only after the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) increases a veteran’s disability rating.

The company uses a software tool — reportedly dubbed “CallBot” — to monitor clients’ benefit status through the VA hotline. When the system detects a payment increase, it automatically bills the veteran. One veteran NPR interviewed said he was charged $17,400 after his VA rating rose, even though he’d done much of the paperwork himself.

Federal law prohibits entities from charging for assistance in preparing or filing initial VA disability claims, which means Trajector’s business model appears to run entirely contrary to that protection. The company, however, says those restrictions don’t apply because it only does a limited amount of work during the process.

The VA had previously sent the company warning letters in 2017 and 2022 demanding it stop offering paid assistance — but Trajector apparently ignored those warnings and kept operating.

And it appears other companies like it are engaged in similar practices.

Disabled veterans, many of whom rely on VA benefits for basic medical care and financial stability, report feeling misled, exploited and trapped by aggressive billing practices. Former employees of Trajector also admit the firm drifted away from its original mission of helping vets and turned into a profit-driven debt-collection operation.

In a state like Florida — with a large veteran population — a company that claims to help veterans but instead levies steep, legally dubious fees is about as far from “serving those who served” as you can get.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Jay Collins. A few weeks ago, Collins’ issue was donor confidence due to Ken Griffin’s refusal to buy into DeSantis’ pitch to back Collins, showing he couldn’t land the kind of marquee support a DeSantis-aligned Lieutenant Governor was supposed to lock down effortlessly.

Now Collins is grappling with a problem even more glaring: the Governor himself can’t be counted on to show up for him.

Collins’ latest telephone town hall was supposed to feature DeSantis — a show of strength for a candidate who needs one badly. Instead, Collins got stood up. Again. And this wasn’t a minor scheduling hiccup. As Florida Politics reported, DeSantis’ schedule throughout the day Wednesday was plenty open during the time of the call.

It leaves one wondering how committed the Governor really is to lifting Collins in the 2026 field. Collins desperately needs a visible, unmistakable show of support from DeSantis to compensate for weak polling, slow fundraising and a late entry that already left him miles behind Byron Donalds. When your entire path to viability rests on the idea that the sitting Governor is clearing a lane for you (and we’re not even sure that would be enough), getting publicly ghosted undercuts the whole premise.

You can survive donor skepticism. You can sometimes survive weak early numbers. But surviving your own patron repeatedly failing to show up? That’s a much harder lift.

The biggest loser: Black bears. The hunt is on, with the state moving forward with a revived bear hunt that began Saturday.

Wildlife officials continue to insist the hunt is a management tool, citing increased human–bear encounters and steady population growth.

But environmental groups and community activists argue the data doesn’t justify an organized kill, especially as development pressures, shrinking habitats and inadequate trash management drive most conflicts.

Whatever the policy rationale, the optics are difficult to ignore. Florida spent decades pulling its black bear population back from the brink. Conservation efforts worked, numbers rebounded, and the species again became a fixture in Panhandle forests and Central Florida greenways.

Lawmakers eager to show they’re taking action have leaned hard into the hunt as a symbol of decisive wildlife policy. The bears, once again, are on the losing end of a fight they never chose.



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Gelien Perez, Willy Marrero win runoffs for Hialeah City Council

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Hialeah voters just picked two new local policymakers in runoff elections for the City Council.

In a race for the panel’s Group 3 seat, Gelien Perez outpaced Jessica Castillo with nearly 80% of the vote.

For the Group 4 seat, William “Willy” Marrero took 71% of the vote to defeat Javier Morejon.

Tuesday’s contests presented one of the first real tests of how much sway new Mayor Bryan Calvo — who made history last month as the youngest person ever elected Hialeah Mayor — will have as he prepares to take office.

He endorsed Perez and Marrero, a strategic pairing that blended rival factions from the mayoral contest into his new governing coalition. Both ran with political slates opposing him.

He told the Miami Herald last month that he hoped to create “a coalition to approve the agenda,” without an expectation that Perez and Matteo “will vote with (him) 100% of the time.”

They also promised to give him an advantage in the upcoming appointment to fill Jesus Tundidor’s soon-to-be-vacant seat. Tundidor ran unsuccessfully for Mayor.

(L-R) Jessica Castillo and Gelien Perez competed in Group 3. Images via the candidates.

Perez, a 35-year-old former city Human Resources Director and one-time mayoral aide, campaigned on supporting first responders and small businesses, improving infrastructure and parks, expanding senior services and rejecting millage rate increases.

But her tenure as HR Director drew scrutiny. A Miami-Dade ethics probe found employees under her influence received sizable raises. At the same time, she acted as their real estate agent.

Castillo, 37, ran as an independent voice focused on transparency, accountability, traffic relief, infrastructure upgrades and lower taxes. She kept her campaign largely offline, with no website and minimal social media activity.

(L-R) William “Willy” Marrero and Javier Morejon ran for the City Council’s Group 4 seat. Images via LinkedIn and Javier Morejon.

Marrero, a 23-year-old Florida International University student and former Council aide, ran on a platform that emphasized affordability, issues facing working families and seniors, and support for first responders.

Earlier this year, three Council members attempted to appoint him to the same seat he now seeks, but opposition from others blocked the move.

Morejon, a 34-year-old land-use specialist with an extensive volunteer résumé, ran on a promise to prioritize infrastructure repairs, government transparency, beautification and reducing the cost of city services.

Hialeah elects Council members at large, meaning all voters in the city could cast ballots in both races.

Tuesday’s winners earned four-year terms.



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Roger Chapin beats Mira Tanna in Orlando City Council runoff

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Roger Chapin won his Orlando City Council bid Tuesday night, following the footsteps of his trailblazing mom into public office.

Chapin captured 51% of the vote to beat Mira Tanna in the District 3 runoff, according to unofficial election results.

Chapin had the fundraising advantage and better name recognition as the son of former Orange County Mayor Linda Chapin. His war chest was $293,000 compared to Tanna’s $114,000.

Chapin and Tanna were neck-and-neck in the Nov. 4 election when they were among five candidates on the ballot. Only 14 votes separated Chapin and Tanna, and neither secured a majority of the vote, sparking Tuesday’s runoff.

Chapin will be the first new Orlando City Commissioner to represent District 3 in 20 years. Longtime District 3 Commissioner Robert Stuart said he was ready to step down and allow others to lead in city government.

District 3 covers Baldwin Park, Audubon Park, College Park, Rosemont and a few other neighborhoods north of Colonial Drive.

The four-year nonpartisan term currently pays $79,343 annually.

Chapin’s move to City Hall has been nearly a quarter-century in the making.

Chapin ran for Orlando City Council in 2002 and lost. In the years that followed, the College Park resident found other ways to get involved in public service, since he said he figured he would never run for elected office again.

Chapin got on the Municipal Planning Board, the Downtown Development Board, the Orlando Utilities Commission, the oversight Committee for the construction of the Dr. Phillips Center for the Performing Arts and more. Chapin argued that made him the most experienced candidate in the race. A Democrat, he promised to govern down the middle and work with both sides of the aisle.

Chapin’s supporters included Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer, Stuart, Orange County Sheriff John Mina, and Chris Durant, who placed third in the Nov. 4 election. Durant got paid $6,000 to help Chapin on the campaign trail in November and part of December, according to the latest campaign finance reports.

Chapin also won big endorsements from the Orlando Sentinel editorial board, the Orlando Regional Realtors Association and the Central Florida Hotel and Lodging Association.

But the race for District 3 was tight. Tanna ran a grassroots campaign backed by popular Orlando Democrats in U.S. Rep Maxwell Frost and state Rep. Anna Eskamani.

“Mira has spent decades in public service, holding corporations and corrupt officials accountable while fighting for communities too often overlooked. But tonight, voters chose a different path,” said Moné Holder, Chief Advocacy and Political Officer of Florida Rising, a grassroots group that endorsed Tanna, in a statement. “We hope the winner in District 3, Roger Chapin, will prioritize what our communities demanded throughout this campaign: affordable housing, economic development that benefits every family, and deep respect for immigrant communities. These needs cannot be ignored; they must be at the top of the Council’s agenda.”

 



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Jacksonville City Council gives thumbs up to Jumbo Shrimp sale

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Jacksonville’s Minor League Baseball (MiLB) team the Jumbo Shrimp is going to be sold and the City Council signed off on a resolution Tuesday confirming it supports the transaction.

Jumbo Shrimp owner Ken Babby decided to sell the team after he advanced to CEO of the Tampa Bay Rays Major League Baseball (MLB) franchise. Babby announced Tuesday before the council meeting that the buyer of the Jumbo Shrimp was Prospector Baseball Group. There was no disclosed price, but Prospector is owned by Ben Boyer, a technology entrepreneur, and John Abbamondi, an executive with extensive experience in professional sports.

The City Council unanimously approved the resolution supporting the sale of the Jumbo Shrimp, the MiLB AAA farm club for the Miami Marlins, with little discussion.

Council member Nick Howland said there was no reason for the city to impede the transaction.

“I don’t want to hold up the deal and I think this is good for our city,” Howland said.

The key element the city is concerned with is the lease deal with the franchise for the use of the Baseball Grounds of Jacksonville. That stadium is known as VyStar Ballpark, which was contracted for the name by Jacksonville-based VyStar Credit Union.

The Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp resolution before the Council stated, “The team has entered into an agreement whereby, upon closing, a buyer will acquire all equity of the Jacksonville Club (Jumbo Shrimp). The transaction is structured as a sale of equity interests; therefore, there is no direct assignment of the agreement, and the Jacksonville Club will remain a party to the agreement under its current name.”

Babby in a news release earlier Tuesday called the sale “bittersweet.”

In a joint statement, Abbamondi and Boyer said they were thrilled about the transaction.

“We are grateful to Ken Babby and his partners for their leadership and honored to have the opportunity to build upon their success. We believe in providing an exceptional, accessible game day experience at VyStar Ballpark, and we are equally excited for the Jumbo Shrimp to be a catalyst for the future growth of Downtown Jacksonville,” the joint statement said.

Babby has advanced quickly in the baseball world. He is also owner of the Akron RubberDucks in Ohio, a AA franchise in the MiLB affiliated with the MLB’s Cleveland Guardians. The RubberDucks franchise is also part of Prospector’s acquisition.

Babby shifted to CEO of the Rays and is now heavily involved in discussions for hammering out a stadium deal and location for the team to play on the Gulf Coast.

Babby bought the Jacksonville franchise from previous owner Peter Bragan Jr. in 2015 when the team was named the Jacksonville Suns, a moniker that was steady for decades. Babby changed the name to Jumbo Shrimp in November 2016.



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