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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 11.30.25

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Florida’s political class doesn’t agree on much these days, but this week produced a rare moment of full-spectrum alignment. Every member of Florida’s congressional delegation — all 28 House members and both U.S. Senators — signed onto a single message to the White House urging President Donald Trump to keep offshore drilling away from Florida’s coasts.

That kind of unanimity is almost unheard of in the state’s modern political era, but it’s been the consistent position of leaders in both parties here in Florida.

The show of solidarity is rooted in a simple political reality: drilling off Florida’s shores remains a third-rail issue for voters across the ideological spectrum. Tourism, the state’s largest economic engine, depends on pristine coastlines. Military leaders have long warned that operations in the Gulf Test Range would be disrupted by new rigs. And coastal residents — Republican and Democrat alike — still remember how the imagery of the Deepwater Horizon disaster reshaped public opinion.

And nobody running in Florida in 2026 wants to be caught on the wrong side of this issue.

With national energy policy in flux and Trump weighing moves that could open new waters for exploration, Florida lawmakers acted preemptively, positioning themselves as a single block drawing a bright line. It also signals that the delegation intends to preserve the long-standing de facto moratorium that has held for decades, regardless of who controls Washington next year.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Tourism. Florida’s tourism sector heads into the holidays with the swagger of an industry that keeps beating its own benchmarks.

The latest statewide report shows Florida drew more visitors in 2024 than in any previous year on record. Domestic travel remains the backbone of the industry, but international tourism — which lagged behind for years — finally roared back, helping push total visitation into uncharted territory.

Local indicators back up the statewide spike. Orange County’s tourist development tax reports continue climbing, with October’s haul marking yet another year-over-year increase. The stronger the tourist development tax numbers, the more room Orange County has to invest.

For tourism executives, the trajectory validates years of capital investment, marketing overhauls, and infrastructure upgrades. And for political leaders, particularly those who have staked their credibility on Florida’s economic climate, the industry’s performance provides a powerful proof point.

Plenty of sectors nationwide are wobbling as 2026 approaches. Florida tourism isn’t one of them.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Alex Andrade. For months, the Pensacola Republican has argued that the Gov. Ron DeSantis administration improperly siphoned $10 million in Medicaid settlement funds into the Hope Florida Foundation — money that was then routed into political efforts aligned with the Governor and now-Attorney General James Uthmeier.

The administration pushed back hard, insisting the diverted money wasn’t actually Medicaid-related and therefore wasn’t subject to federal pass-through requirements. But a new repayment from the state to the federal government shows Andrade had it right from the beginning.

Fresh financial records reveal the Agency for Health Care Administration (AHCA) calculated its federal repayment using the full $67 million Centene settlement — including the disputed $10 million the state insisted wasn’t Medicaid money at all. Florida has now paid back 57% of the entire settlement, amounting to $38 million, exactly what it would owe if every dime belonged to Medicaid.

That directly undermines the state’s original defense and aligns precisely with what Andrade’s investigation uncovered: the $10 million that went to Hope Florida should have stayed in the Medicaid program.

The repayment also adds a striking new twist to a scandal that has already damaged the Governor’s Office, fueled a grand jury probe, raised red flags about political interference in Medicaid dollars, and helped derail Casey DeSantis’ once-serious positioning for 2026.

For Andrade, who repeatedly pressed AHCA for answers and was stonewalled at every turn, this is a confirmation that his instincts, his oversight work and his insistence on accountability were justified.

The biggest winner: Rick Scott. Scott is riding high after a policy summit that managed to seize the spotlight as Washington still grapples with several issues before the close of 2025.

The event showcased ideological discipline, message testing and a reminder of Scott’s continued push to establish himself as one of the most effective architects of the GOP’s internal conversations.

The agenda ranged widely — health care, space, finance, foreign policy, party identity — but the through line was Scott’s effort to present himself as a central bridge between Senate Republicans, national conservatives and Florida’s rising stars.

The summit generated a steady drip of headlines. A pollster told attendees that Americans have soured on the Affordable Care Act, giving Scott and his allies fresh fodder for long-standing arguments about the law’s durability. Members of Congress used the forum to sketch out what an alternative might look like, offering a substantive policy moment at a time when the party often struggles to define next steps.

There were also unmistakably political flashes. Byron Donalds used the gathering to continue Republicans’ critiques against Cory Mills’ scandals. Randy Fine issued stern warnings about rising antisemitism. And members of the House Freedom Caucus emphasized the value of having Scott as their conduit to the upper chamber.

All of it underscored the same point: Scott convened a room full of people who matter, and they showed up ready to continue pushing the conservative conversation forward.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Trajector Medical. A recent investigative report is painting the company as a predatory “claims-shark” exploiting disabled veterans.

According to the latest reporting, Trajector Medical has been charging veterans as much as $20,000 for help with disability benefits — even though such assistance is legally supposed to be free.

The price tag comes tied to promises of help filing claims, but veterans who relied on the firm describe an entirely different reality: pre-filled application forms submitted on their behalf without their explicit involvement, vague “medical-evidence packets” of questionable origin, and invoices that pop up only after the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) increases a veteran’s disability rating.

The company uses a software tool — reportedly dubbed “CallBot” — to monitor clients’ benefit status through the VA hotline. When the system detects a payment increase, it automatically bills the veteran. One veteran NPR interviewed said he was charged $17,400 after his VA rating rose, even though he’d done much of the paperwork himself.

Federal law prohibits entities from charging for assistance in preparing or filing initial VA disability claims, which means Trajector’s business model appears to run entirely contrary to that protection. The company, however, says those restrictions don’t apply because it only does a limited amount of work during the process.

The VA had previously sent the company warning letters in 2017 and 2022 demanding it stop offering paid assistance — but Trajector apparently ignored those warnings and kept operating.

And it appears other companies like it are engaged in similar practices.

Disabled veterans, many of whom rely on VA benefits for basic medical care and financial stability, report feeling misled, exploited and trapped by aggressive billing practices. Former employees of Trajector also admit the firm drifted away from its original mission of helping vets and turned into a profit-driven debt-collection operation.

In a state like Florida — with a large veteran population — a company that claims to help veterans but instead levies steep, legally dubious fees is about as far from “serving those who served” as you can get.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Jay Collins. A few weeks ago, Collins’ issue was donor confidence due to Ken Griffin’s refusal to buy into DeSantis’ pitch to back Collins, showing he couldn’t land the kind of marquee support a DeSantis-aligned Lieutenant Governor was supposed to lock down effortlessly.

Now Collins is grappling with a problem even more glaring: the Governor himself can’t be counted on to show up for him.

Collins’ latest telephone town hall was supposed to feature DeSantis — a show of strength for a candidate who needs one badly. Instead, Collins got stood up. Again. And this wasn’t a minor scheduling hiccup. As Florida Politics reported, DeSantis’ schedule throughout the day Wednesday was plenty open during the time of the call.

It leaves one wondering how committed the Governor really is to lifting Collins in the 2026 field. Collins desperately needs a visible, unmistakable show of support from DeSantis to compensate for weak polling, slow fundraising and a late entry that already left him miles behind Byron Donalds. When your entire path to viability rests on the idea that the sitting Governor is clearing a lane for you (and we’re not even sure that would be enough), getting publicly ghosted undercuts the whole premise.

You can survive donor skepticism. You can sometimes survive weak early numbers. But surviving your own patron repeatedly failing to show up? That’s a much harder lift.

The biggest loser: Black bears. The hunt is on, with the state moving forward with a revived bear hunt that began Saturday.

Wildlife officials continue to insist the hunt is a management tool, citing increased human–bear encounters and steady population growth.

But environmental groups and community activists argue the data doesn’t justify an organized kill, especially as development pressures, shrinking habitats and inadequate trash management drive most conflicts.

Whatever the policy rationale, the optics are difficult to ignore. Florida spent decades pulling its black bear population back from the brink. Conservation efforts worked, numbers rebounded, and the species again became a fixture in Panhandle forests and Central Florida greenways.

Lawmakers eager to show they’re taking action have leaned hard into the hunt as a symbol of decisive wildlife policy. The bears, once again, are on the losing end of a fight they never chose.



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University of Florida breaks ground on College of Dentistry building facelift and overhaul

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The original College of Dentistry building was errected half a century ago at UF.

The University of Florida (UF) College of Dentistry building is undergoing major renovations and a multi-phase overhaul that will add more than 100,000 square feet to the facility.

UF officials announced this month that the 11-story college “dental tower” is undergoing waterproofing and insulation upgrades. There is also a modernization of key spaces in the existing building and a new building addition that will tack on a new area that will cover the 100,0000 of additional space. The original building was erected 50 years ago and the new additions and upgrades are expected to be completed in five years.

“This project represents the largest investment made by the state of Florida in a medical science building at any state university,” said Mori Hosseini, UF Board of Trustees Chair in a news release. “We fought for this because we understand what it will deliver for our community – for our students, our faculty and families across Florida.”

Some of the brick exterior of the original building is being removed. Crews are “sealing” the structure with work that is designed to prevent water intrusion. When that’s complete they’ll modernize the front of the building with a panel system that blend with the new addition. Work on that element is set to begin in August.

“The transformation helps ensure that the College of Dentistry remains at the forefront of academic distinction education, research and clinical innovation for decades to come,” said c, Dean of the college in Gainesville.

When completed, the College of Dentistry will see every room modernized within the building. Technological upgrades will accompany the physical overhaul as well.

“The College of Dentistry faculty and students deserve a space that allows them to focus on the patient, and the patients deserve a building that puts them at ease,” said UF Interim President Donald Landry. “The research done here will be transformative and add to the glory of this institution.”



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Monica Matteo-Salinas, Monique Pardo Pope square off in Miami Beach Commission runoff

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Early voting is underway in Miami Beach ahead of a Dec. 9 runoff that will decide the city’s only open Commission seat — a head-to-head contest between Monica Matteo-Salinas and Monique Pardo Pope for the Group 1 seat.

Matteo-Salinas, a Democrat and longtime City Hall aide, finished first last month with 23.2% of the vote. Pardo Pope, a Republican lawyer, advanced with 20.1%.

They outpaced four other candidates competing to succeed outgoing Commissioner Kristen Rosen Gonzalez last month, but neither captured a large enough share of the vote — more than 50% — to win outright.

The runoff has sharpened into a choice between two contrasting résumés, platforms and campaign narratives along with a late-cycle revelation about Pardo Pope that has drawn national headlines.

Voters are heading to the polls for the second time in just over a month as Miami Beach faces turbulence on multiple fronts, from state scrutiny over finances and charges that a local ordinance conflicts with Florida’s homelessness law to the removal of cultural landmarks due to their so-called “woke” significance and accusations of pay-for-play policymaking.

Matteo-Salinas, 46, has consolidated establishment support for her campaign, which centers on a promise to work on expanding trolley service, increasing the city’s affordable housing index and establishing a new “water czar” position in the city, paid by resort taxes.

She’s earned endorsements from several local pols, including Miami-Dade County Mayor Daniella Levine Cava, Miami Beach Commissioners Alex Fernandez, Laura Dominguez and Tanya Bhatt; and former Miami Beach Dan Gelber.

Groups backing her bid include the Miami Beach Fraternal Order of Police, LGBTQ groups SAVE Action PAC and Equality Florida Action PAC, and the public-safety-focused neighborhood group SOBESafe.

Pardo Pope, 45, has centered her messaging on public safety, investing in mental health, backing school choice initiatives, supporting homelessness services, encouraging “smart, thoughtful development” that preserves Miami Beach’s character while addressing flooding and roadway congestion, and alleviating cost-of-living issues for longtime residents and first-time homebuyers through “fair taxation.”

Though she has touted her guardian ad litem work as evidence of her temperament and commitment to service, that part of her record has drawn renewed scrutiny in recent weeks. A review of Pardo Pope’s case records with the Miami-Dade Clerk’s Office shows her listed as a guardian ad litem on just three cases — one of which she was discharged from after trying to get the mother in the case jailed.

She’s also been the subject of negative attention for omitting that her father was the convicted, Nazi-adoring serial killer Manuel Pardo, to whom she wrote several loving social media posts.

Pardo Pope has said that she forgave him in order to move forward with her life and asked voters to judge her on her own life and work.

Her backing includes the Miami-Dade Republican Party, Miami-Dade Commissioner René García, state Rep. Alex Rizo, former Miami Beach City Attorney Jose Smith, Miami Realtors PAC, the Venezuelan American Republican Club and Teach Florida PAC, a Jewish education group.

Two of her former Group 1 opponents, Daniel Ciraldo and Omar Gimenez, are also backing her.

Matteo-Salinas raised about $133,000 and spent $82,000 by Dec. 4. Pardo Pope raised about $190,000 — of which 29% was self-given — and spent close to $170,000.

Early voting runs through Sunday at four locations citywide. Election Day is Monday, Dec. 9.



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Hialeah voters head to polls as City Commission runoffs test new Mayor’s political clout

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Early voting is underway in Hialeah as two Council runoff contests will decide who rounds out a markedly different dais at City Hall.

The Group 3 and Group 4 races — featuring Jessica Castillo versus Gelien Perez and William “Willy” Marrero versus Javier Morejon, respectively — also stand to determine whether new Mayor Bryan Calvo gains early influence over the Council.

Perez and Castillo advanced to the Group 3 runoff in last month’s General Election with 40.5% and 36% of the vote, respectively, leaving one third-place candidate behind.

In Group 4, Marrero narrowly led the field with 24.8%, followed by Morejon at 23.3%. They outpaced three others in the contest.

To win outright, a candidate had to capture more than half the vote in their respective races.

The runoffs present one of the first real tests of how much sway Calvo, who made history last month as the youngest person ever elected Hialeah Mayor, will have as he prepares to take office.

He has endorsed Perez and Marrero — a strategic pairing that blends rival factions from the mayoral contest into his new governing coalition. Both ran with political slates opposing him. He told the Miami Herald last month that he’s aiming to create “a coalition to approve the agenda,” without an expectation that Perez and Matteo “will vote with (him) 100% of the time.”

If both candidates win, Calvo could enter January with a working majority on the seven-member Council and greater control over the upcoming appointment to fill Jesus Tundidor’s soon-to-be-vacant seat. Tundidor ran unsuccessfully for Mayor.

In Group 3, Perez, 35, a former city Human Resources Director and one-time mayoral aide, has campaigned on supporting first responders and small businesses, improving infrastructure and parks, expanding senior services and rejecting millage rate increases.

But her tenure as HR director drew scrutiny: a two-year Miami-Dade ethics investigation found employees under her influence received sizable raises while she acted as their real estate agent. She has not publicly responded to inquiries about the probe.

(L-R) Jessica Castillo and Gelien Perez are competing in Group 3. Images via the candidates.

Castillo, 37, has run as an independent voice focused on transparency, accountability, traffic relief, infrastructure upgrades and lower taxes. She has kept her campaign largely offline, with no website and minimal social media activity.

In Group 4, Marrero, 23, a Florida International University public administration student and former Council aide, has emphasized affordability, issues facing working families and seniors, and support for first responders.

Earlier this year, three Council members attempted to appoint him to the same seat he now seeks, but opposition from others blocked the move.

(L-R) William “Willy” Marrero and Javier Morejon aim to take the City Council’s Group 4 seat. Images via LinkedIn and Javier Morejon.

Morejon, 34, a land-use specialist with an extensive volunteer résumé, is running on infrastructure repairs, government transparency, beautification and reducing the cost of city services.

Election Day is Monday, Dec. 9. Because Hialeah elects Council members at-large, all voters can cast ballots in both races.



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