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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 1.12.25

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U.S. Sen. Rick Scott is starting the year strong after being picked to chair the Senate Steering Committee this week.

That comes after Scott landed on our winner’s list last week for reintroducing much-needed legislation to make daylight saving time permanent.

As Axios reported this week, the group is a collection of more conservative Senators in the caucus, several of whom backed Scott’s two recent bids for Senate Leader. Now, Scott will lead the Committee for at least the next two years.

Scott will succeed fellow Republican U.S. Sen. Mike Lee of Utah in the role. His newest selection builds on his success earlier this month, when Scott was named as Chair of the U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging.

Florida’s soon-to-be-senior Senator may have lost out in his efforts to lead the entire Republican caucus. But he launched those bids from a rightward flank, making a clear alliance with President-elect Donald Trump.

Now, Scott will be the leader of some of Trump’s most loyal allies in the body, allowing him to continue being a prominent voice in the years ahead.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Pam Bondi, Marco Rubio. It was a week of musical chairs in Florida Politics, with those who landed a seat ending up as winners.

Both Bondi and Rubio had confirmation hearings this week in front of the Senate. And while neither appointment is official (Bondi as Attorney General and Rubio as Secretary of State), both appear to be on a clear path to confirmation.

Bondi’s hearings featured more pushback from Democrats. She faced tough questions, and didn’t always provide clear answers, on whether Joe Biden won the 2020 election. Bondi was also grilled on her previous lobbying work and her position on Special Counsels.

But while many Democrats left the hearing with concerns about Bondi’s independence as Attorney General, she also spoke to some concerns from the minority party. Bondi said the Department of Justice would never have an “enemies list” and she expressed an openness to talking with Senators about federal proposals containing similar gun regulations as Florida passed following the Parkland attack, when Bondi was Florida Attorney General.

Let’s be real: The chances of those passing Congress are slim to none. But Bondi deserves credit for not reflexively entering partisan warfare mode and getting defensive when asked about her support for those state-level proposals.

And while Democrats still have a litany of concerns with Bondi, this week’s hearings also saw former Palm Beach County State Attorney Dave Aronberg, a prominent Democrat in Florida, speak in support of Bondi on Capitol Hill. Democratic U.S. Sen. Peter Welch said Bondi did a “good job” during her hearing, and Democratic U.S. Sen. Chris Coons of Delaware said he was “considering” whether to vote for Bondi while also voicing concerns.

Of course, Republicans have a majority in the Senate and need no Democratic support to approve President-elect Donald Trump’s nominees. Several Republicans would need to defect to tank Bondi or anyone else, and comments like the above from even Democrats make it highly unlikely that’s going to happen.

Rubio’s confirmation hearing was less eventful, save for some outbursts from protestors.

The Senate has a long history of approving colleagues named to administration posts. On top of that, Rubio’s foreign policy experience is well-respected, even among Democrats. He’s a lock to be the next Secretary of State once Trump takes office Monday.

And Rubio’s departure from the Senate led to a chain of moves rounding out our winners list for this week.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: James Uthmeier. With Gov. Ron DeSantis appointing Florida Attorney General Ashley Moody as Rubio’s replacement (more on that shortly), that opened a spot in DeSantis’ Cabinet.

Enter Uthmeier, DeSantis’ Chief of Staff turned presidential Campaign Manager turned Chief of Staff once again.

DeSantis while announcing his pick of Moody Thursday then awkwardly said he would wait to formally appoint her replacement until she departs for the Senate, while also essentially promising that replacement will be Uthmeier.

“My Chief of Staff, James Uthmeier, is kind of like Ashley. He’s proven himself in these fights,” DeSantis said in Orlando.

“I’m not going to make any appointment before it’s available, but I think that’s something that will happen.”

We floated this exact scenario as soon as Trump let loose that Rubio was his pick for Secretary of State. Elevating Moody allowed DeSantis to reward one of his most loyal staff members, and that opportunity appeared too good to pass up for the Governor.

Uthmeier now will serve out the final near-two years of Moody’s term before the position is up for grabs again in 2026. At that point, Uthmeier will have the option to run with incumbency and serve as Florida’s AG for eight more years.

After that, he would be in a strong position to go even further. Just look at what our last two Attorneys General have achieved.

The biggest winner: Moody. Congratulations to Florida’s new junior Senator. And with Moody just shy of 50, she could hold onto that seat for years to come.

Moody will be on the ballot again in 2026, where voters will choose who serves out the final two years of Rubio’s term, which was set to expire in 2028. After that, the seat will go back to its normal cycle of coming up every six years. That 2026 race could be contested, with U.S. Rep. Cory Mills already promising a run and other names floated.

But as we always say, this is a weekly column, and if those end up being problems at all for Moody, they are problems down the line.

For now, she is one of two Florida voices in the Senate and gets to serve as Trump enters the White House with a Republican Congress behind him. Moody will be instrumental in helping Trump hit the ground running and implement his ambitious agenda. All eyes will be on Washington, and Moody, a member from Trump’s home state, will be in a position to get plenty of spotlight.

And she’s well-positioned to make the most of it. Running alongside DeSantis in 2018 and 2022, it was actually Moody who got the most votes in Florida in both of those years. She’s been a lawyer at the high-powered firm Holland & Knight, an Assistant U.S. Attorney, a Judge and don’t forget her tenure as the Florida Strawberry Queen.

Moody earned bipartisan praise this week, with good reason, when she earned the appointment. She brings serious experience into a serious role at a serious time. Now it’s up to her to make the most of the opportunity in Washington.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: TikTok. OK so it’s good news, bad news for the “digital fentanyl” this week.

The bad news: The U.S. Supreme Court Friday upheld a law banning TikTok if it’s not sold to an American owner. And the decision was unanimous, at 9-0.

The good news? President Biden also said this week he doesn’t plan to enforce the ban before departing office, leaving the matter to Trump.

Trump, of course, has signaled a willingness to fight to save TikTok since he benefited from it during the last presidential cycle. That’s despite the fact that his first administration kicked this whole process into action by attempting to ban TikTok, and members of his party — and his incoming administration — have been among the app’s loudest critics.

But with the Supreme Court upholding the law, what path forward is there, exactly?

TikTok’s owners have voiced extreme opposition to the law requiring a sale. The law, which is just now taking effect, actually doesn’t fully outlaw the app, it merely bans new downloads and updates. But parent company ByteDance has decided to bar use of the app entirely in the U.S. in opposition to the law.

So Trump’s options are limited long term. Maybe he can finagle a deal here beyond a 90-day extension he’s already floated. Maybe he can convince Congress to undo the law — which was passed overwhelmingly in bipartisan fashion — by adding some restrictive provision TikTok is comfortable with and calling it a major win, giving members cover to reverse the ban.

But for now, Generations Z and Alpha are in shambles and … what’s that? They’re running to download yet another China-controlled social media app?

Great job with the ban, guys. Mission accomplished.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Bucs fans. We’re pouring out some Captain Morgan for our companions in Tampa after the Buccaneers ended their playoff-run with a first-round exit.

The Bucs were the only home favorite to lose this past weekend in the NFL playoffs, with rookie Jayden Daniels leading the Washington Commanders to a thrilling 23-20 win.

The Bucs were the only Florida team to make the playoffs, meaning Sunshine State football fans are left sitting on the sidelines from here on out.

Tampa Bay had a solid season all around, winning six of their final seven games to win the NFC South and secure a playoff spot. It’s the fifth straight year they’ve made the playoffs, dating back to the Super Bowl-winning run behind quarterback Tom Brady.

But since that win, the Bucs are 2-4 in the playoffs, getting no further than the second round the last four years.

Look, it’s better than the Dolphins and Jaguars have managed in recent years. And with the NFC South looking perpetually weak, maybe the Bucs can keep pulling out playoff berths in the years ahead.

But they look far away from contending for a title anytime soon, and losing at home to a team that won only four games last year isn’t a great feeling to end your season.

Then again, Washington’s performance Saturday night against Detroit had to take at least some of that sting off.

The biggest loser: Florida Democrats. The election is over, but the warning signs for the Florida Democratic Party (FDP) continue.

First, yet another elected official left the party. This time, it was Doral Vice Mayor Maureen Porras who swapped to the GOP. She joins Reps. Hillary Cassel and Susan Valdés in making the switch.

Sure, that doesn’t have quite the same effect as Republicans strengthening their supermajority in the Legislature. But it’s at least a sign that Democrats will need to continue to worry about more officials defecting going forward.

Then, Democrats had to weather the storm of Biden removing Cuba from the list of State Sponsors of Terrorism.

Now to Florida Democrats’ credit, they joined with Florida Republicans in a bipartisan condemnation of the federal action, an unsurprising move for lawmakers who represent the nation’s largest Cuban American population.

Unfortunately, Republicans have proven they’re going to attack Florida Democrats over this issue anyway, meaning they’re likely to tar future candidates with Biden’s action regardless of whether Democrats deserve it.

Finally, FDP Chair Nikki Fried announced she is running for a full term leading the party after taking over in 2023. Here’s what we wrote in February 2023, when assessing why Fried might want to enter the race, despite the GOP’s massive success in 2022:

“The bar is so low for Florida Democrats — currently sitting in the earth’s outer core — that perhaps just outperforming expectations could let the next Chair keep their job and build their brand further.”

Fried actually managed to do that in multiple off-cycle contests, with Democrats winning the Jacksonville Mayor’s race and a Special Election for the House District 23 seat.

Then, Democrats fell flat on their face in November’s election.

Now in February 2023, we noted that the bar was low for Democrats. But ironically, by having some success in the interim, it appeared to build up some expectations for Dems that they very much failed to meet, getting completely wiped out in almost every competitive contest.

By Fried running again, are they boxing themselves into the same leadership that failed to deliver this past cycle?

Ironically, this may be the same situation Fried found herself in when first mounting a bid in 2023. Expectations could not be lower for Democrats here. Perhaps Fried is backing on a better off-year cycle with Trump not being on top of the ticket. If Democrats do any better in 2026, Fried can take credit. If she walks away now, she leaves as the face of the party in its worst performance in a Presidential Election year in modern history.

So we understand why she’s making this move. And maybe she has a plan here.

But given the Democrats’ last few months of mishaps, we wouldn’t bet on them turning this ship around anytime soon.


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Anna Paulina Luna seeks significant restrictions on immigrants claiming asylum

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As Republicans look at changing legal immigration, Rep. Anna Paulina Luna wants Congress to change asylum rules.

She filed the House version of the Refugees Using Legal Entry Safely (RULES) Act.

“The days of open-border chaos are over,” the St. Petersburg Republican said.

Sen. Bernie Moreno, an Ohio Republican, filed similar legislation in the Senate earlier this month.

“I’m joining Senator Moreno in introducing the RULES Act to put an end to the rampant fraud and abuse in our asylum system. America is a nation of law and order—not a free-for-all for illegal aliens gaming the system,” Luna said.

“If you want asylum in the greatest country on Earth, you follow our rules, period. No more loopholes, no more catch-and-release, no more second chances for lawbreakers. We are taking our border back.”

The bill would restrict asylum claims only to those entering the country at legal ports of entry. It also stated individuals making any claims cannot be released or paroled into the U.S. until cases are adjudicated in court.

As written, the legislation would bar anyone denied asylum in the process to apply again at a later date. It would also prohibit anybody who had previously entered the country from seeking “this cherished humanitarian help.”

More than 100,000 individuals were granted asylum in the fiscal year that ended in 2024, President Joe Biden’s last year in office, according to the Immigration Policy Institute. By comparison, the last full year under President Donald Trump’s first term saw about 11,400 admissions to the U.S. on asylum claims.

Luna’s bill was filed after Trump took several steps to restrict legal immigration, including revoking humanitarian parole programs for Cubans, Venezuelans and Haitians in the United States. That is something other representatives from Florida, such as Rep. María Elvira Salazar, a Hialeah Republican, have asked the President to reconsider.

The Homeland Security Department also just vacated any extension of Temporary Protected Status for refugees of Venezuela.

It’s unclear how a change in asylum status and the restrictions on new applications would apply to individuals already in the United States who will lose legal status under the new changes.


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Ron DeSantis says legislators know he’d get cheered for vetoing TRUMP Act

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Florida GovRon DeSantis continues to tub-thump against the TRUMP Act, a “grotesque” and  “weak, weak, weak” legislative bill fighting illegal immigration that he says he will veto if they ever send it his way.

As has been the case all week, DeSantis is delivering his verdict at press conferences, the latest in Destin on Friday where he urged legislators to buck Senate President Ben Albritton and House Speaker Daniel Perez. He suggested the bill hadn’t been transmitted yet because legislators can’t handle the rejection he believes will inevitably come.

“If this is such good legislation, why have they not sent me the bill yet to act on? Why are they holding the bill for me to act on? And I think the reason is because if we get the bill and we do an event where we have a lot of people and I veto the bill in front of this crowd, is the crowd going to cheer or is the crowd going to boo? The crowd’s going to cheer and we know that.”

DeSantis suggested that legislators were cowed by the power leadership has in the Senate and House.

“A lot of these guys get spooked by that… because they get a lot of pressure from the leadership. If you buck the leadership, they take away your committee assignments. They won’t hear your bills, they take away your projects. And a lot of these guys get spooked by that, although let me just tell you, you need to be willing to take consequences to stand to do what’s right. You shouldn’t let them bully you,” DeSantis said, before issuing a threat of his own.

“We’re going to get involved in some of these legislative primaries because I just think that if you’ve campaigned one way and you get up and you do something different, we need to expose that for the voters,” DeSantis said.

DeSantis’ frustration voiced Friday about legislators who “fall into line” under “pressure” to support a “jalopy” of a bill from legislative leadership didn’t stop there, as he said many in Tallahassee would vote for the “stronger” product he prefers.

“I’m so sick of politicians campaigning, telling you they’re going to be tough on it and then squish out,” DeSantis said, blasting Senate and House leaders for saying his call for a Special Session was a “stunt” and “premature” before not complying with enacting his proposals.

“They fought back, they had their excuses,” DeSantis said, accusing House and Senate leaders of creating legislation that “didn’t answer the call” and would make immigration enforcement less effect under “willing partner” Donald Trump than even under Joe Biden with current law.

“It actually undercuts what we’re already doing,” DeSantis said, citing Haiti as an example.

“We’ve interdicted thousands and thousands of illegals,” he said, “saving lives” from the contraband carried by refugees.

“The bill the Legislature sent me actually terminates the state of emergency,” he said, adding that it disempowers his authority as Governor.

“They eliminated any immigration enforcement from the Governor and state agencies … and they lodged it in the Commissioner of Agriculture,” DeSantis complained, reprising his “fox in the henhouse” harrumph about Wilton Simpson, the egg farmer from Trilby who would be charged with immigration enforcement in the legislature’s bill. DeSantis further lamented the legislature’s approach to immigration enforcement offers a “mother may I” process for coordination between state, local, and federal officials.

“The reason they did it,” he said, was to “stymie” immigration enforcement and allow illegal “cheap labor” for various industries under Simpson’s watch, creating a “massive corporate subsidy” with socialized costs “on our communities” via policy choices that would make Florida a “sanctuary state.”


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UCF President gets a contract extension and a 20% pay raise

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University of Central Florida (UCF) President Alexander Cartwright’s contract was extended this week, giving him a $900,000 base salary — a 20% raise — to continue leading one of the biggest schools in the country for the next year.

The Florida Board of Governors approved Cartwright’s deal Thursday after the trustees at the Orlando school voted yes last month.

The new contract will pay him a $900,000 base salary starting April 13 until April 12, 2026. In addition, he is eligible to receive bonuses up to $375,000, which would put Cartwright’s total compensation at $1.275 million.

His previous annual base salary was $750,000.

“Dr. Cartwright’s efforts have also positioned UCF as a national leader in higher education,” UCF Trustees Chair Alex Martins, who is the Orlando Magic CEO, wrote in a Jan. 14 letter to the state board. “Under President Cartwright’s leadership, UCF is on track to achieve preeminence by 2026, unlocking new opportunities and resources that will propel the university to even greater heights.”

Cartwright was hired at the school in April 2020.

Since Cartwright took over, the school’s four-year graduation rates improved while 72% of UCF graduates are finishing their schooling without taking any federal loans, Martins wrote in his letter.

Martins also praised Cartwright for helping grow the school foundation’s endowment from $163 million to $262 million.

Several major projects are underway, from building a bigger nursing school to expanding the football stadium

“President Cartwright firmly believes that a vision without resources is just a hallucination, and he has worked closely with state leaders, community partners, and university supporters to secure the investments necessary for UCF’s future,” Martins wrote.

Cartwright thanked the state after his contract was renewed, according to the Orlando Sentinel.

“I do want to thank the state of Florida, our legislature, the governor’s office, everybody who has supported us in this vision of being Florida’s premier engineering and technology university,” Cartwright said. “It is the future. It’s what we need to be doing for Florida.”


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