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Why a proposed 10% cap on credit card interest is rattling big banks

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Good morning. President Donald Trump’s proposal to temporarily cap credit card interest rates has both supporters and critics. In a social media post on Jan. 9, Trump called for a one-year cap on credit card interest rates at 10% starting Jan. 20, reviving a pledge from his 2024 campaign as the administration seeks to demonstrate progress on affordability.

Supporters argue a temporary cap could ease pressure on households facing average APRs above 20%.

But economists and bank executives warn that the move requires approval from Congress and that the policy could have unintended consequences by making banks more reluctant to offer credit, thus slowing down consumer spending.

“An artificial cap on credit card interest rates is likely to backfire on the White House by making credit less accessible to the cash-strapped households that most need it,” Columbia Business School economics professor Brett House told me.

Earnings call discussions

The proposal was a major topic this week during the earnings calls of America’s big banks. Executives broadly agree a 10% cap would reduce access to credit for higher-risk borrowers and could have adverse effects on consumer spending and growth, Morningstar director Sean Dunlop told me.

“I think Jane Fraser, CEO of Citigroup, provided the most context among the firms I cover, alluding to a previous time when President Carter tried to impose interest rate ceilings—and the administration had to abandon its efforts within two months, given the severity of the economic impact,” Dunlop said.

Fraser noted that consumers spend roughly $6 trillion annually on credit cards and carry about $1.2 trillion in balances. She warned that making card products unprofitable would curtail spending on those cards as credit availability declines, he said.

Other CEOs and CFOs had similar concerns:

JPMorgan Chase CFO Jeremy Barnum said the cap would likely reduce access to credit rather than help consumers. He argued that intense competition already compresses margins and that price controls would force broad lending cutbacks — especially for higher-risk borrowers.

Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan said the industry is committed to affordability but argued a cap would tighten credit. “You’re going to get restricted credit, meaning less people will get credit cards, and the balance available to them on those credit cards will also be restricted,” he said.

—Citi CFO Mark Mason called affordability an important issue and said Citi looks forward to working with the administration on a constructive solution. “I also say that an interest rate cap is not something that we would or could support,” he said, arguing it would restrict access to credit. 

Dunlop said if the proposal is implemented, banks would likely respond by tightening lending standards, competing more aggressively for higher-FICO borrowers, and seeking to offset lost interest income through higher fees.

Higher interest rates compensate lenders for nonpayment risk; without that flexibility, issuers would narrow underwriting and concentrate lending among the least risky borrowers. “For issuers that extend credit to lower-income borrowers, like Bread, the credit card economics simply don’t work out at lower interest rates, and they’d be forced to shrink their lending volumes dramatically,” Dunlop said.

The debate highlights the tension between lowering borrowing costs and preserving access to unsecured credit — a balance policymakers must weigh as affordability concerns collide with market realities.

Have a good weekend.

Quick note: In observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day, the next CFO Daily will be in your inbox on Tuesday.

Sheryl Estrada
sheryl.estrada@fortune.com

Leaderboard

Fortune 500 Power Moves this week:

Dennis K. Cinelli was appointed CFO of Paramount, a Skydance Corporation (No. 147), effective Jan. 15, and as such has resigned his board of directors seat. Cinelli will succeed Andrew C. Warren, who has served as EVP and interim CFO since June 2025. Most recently, Cinelli served as CFO of Scale AI. He previously held senior finance and operational roles at Uber, including global head of strategic finance, and later running the U.S. and Canada Mobility (Rides) business. Before Uber, Cinelli was with G.E. Ventures as CFO. 

Every Friday morning, the weekly Fortune 500 Power Moves column tracks Fortune 500 company C-suite shifts—see the most recent edition.

Here’s more CFO moves this week:

Clare Kennedy was appointed CFO of Spencer Stuart, a global advisory firm, effective Jan. 12. Kennedy succeeds Christine Laurens as part of a planned succession and in support of Laurens’ retirement from full-time executive work. Kennedy, who is based in London, joins Spencer Stuart from Maples Group, an international advisory firm, where she served as global chief operating officer. She joined Maples Group from Freshfields, an international law firm, where she served as its global CFO. Kennedy previously spent 18 years at Linklaters, an international law firm, where she held a variety of senior finance and commercial leadership roles. She began her career at Arthur Andersen and EY as a chartered accountant, specializing in tax. 

Gillian Munson was appointed CFO of Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ: DUOL), a mobile learning platform, effective Feb. 23. Matt Skaruppa will step down after nearly six years with the company; he will remain CFO until Munson starts her new role, at which time he will assume an advisory role. Munson assumes the CFO role after serving on the Duolingo board of directors since 2019 as chair of the audit, risk and compliance committee. She was most recently the CFO of Vimeo and previously held CFO positions at Iora Health, Inc. and XO Group Inc.

Betsabe Botaitis was appointed CFO of P2P.org, a non-custodial institutional staking provider. Botaitis brings over 20 years of leadership across financial services, fintech, and Web3, with experience building governance and operations in high-growth organizations. Most recently, Botaitis served as CFO and treasurer at Hedera. Botaitis’ career spans both traditional financial institutions and crypto-native organizations. She began in retail banking before holding senior finance roles at Citigroup and LendingClub, and later co-founding and serving as CFO of a blockchain company. 

Julie Feder was appointed CFO of Obsidian Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company. Feder brings over 20 years of strategic finance experience in life sciences and health care. Feder joins Obsidian from Aura Biosciences, where she served as CFO for six years. Before Aura, she was CFO at Verastem. Before that, Feder spent six years at the Clinton Health Access Initiative, Inc., as CFO.

Deborah Ricci was appointed EVP and CFO of Acentra Health, a technology and health solutions company. Ricci joins Acentra Health from Guidehouse Inc., where she most recently served as partner and chief financial and administrative officer. Earlier in her career, Ricci held multiple senior finance leadership roles, including CFO positions at Constellis, Centerra Group, and A-T Solutions, and began her career as a certified public accountant with KPMG.

Rohan Ranadive was appointed managing director and CFO of GTCR, a private equity firm. Ranadive succeeds Anna May Trala, who is retiring. Trala will remain affiliated with the firm, serving as a senior advisor going forward. Ranadive brings more than 20 years of experience. He joins GTCR from Vista Equity Partners, where he was a managing director of finance operations. Before that, he was the CFO of Aviditi Advisors and spent 12 years at TPG Capital in various finance and accounting leadership roles.

Big Deal

Accenture’s latest Pulse of Change research is based on a survey of 3,650 C-suite leaders from the world’s largest organizations across 20 industries and 20 countries.

Companies are pouring resources into AI, with 78% now seeing it as a bigger driver of revenue growth than cost cuts, according to the report. At the same time, 35% of leaders said a solid data strategy and core digital capabilities would do the most to accelerate AI implementation and scale. However, 54% of employees report low‑quality or misleading AI outputs that waste time and hurt productivity. In AI, value follows quality, so trust in outputs and data accuracy remains critical for sustained growth, according to Accenture.

Going deeper

Here are four Fortune weekend reads:

Exclusive: Former OpenAI policy chief creates nonprofit institute, calls for independent safety audits of frontier AI models” by Jeremy Kahn

America’s $38 trillion national debt is so big the nearly $1 trillion interest payment will be larger than Medicare soon” by Shawn Tully 

Worried about AI taking your job? New Anthropic research shows it’s not that simple” by Sharon Goldman

America’s hottest job opening right now is in the NFL—no degree is required, you won’t be fixed to a desk and it pays up to $20 million” by Preston Fore

Overheard

“We have transitioned from a K-shaped recovery into a Barbell Economy, a system heavily weighted at the extremes of wealth and precarity, connected by a middle class that is rapidly snapping.”

—Katica Roy, a gender economist and the CEO and founder of Denver-based Pipeline, a SaaS company, writes in a Fortune opinion piece



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How Trump became a death knell for the 85-year relationship between farmers and the federal government

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President Donald Trump appears to have upended an 85-year relationship between American farmers and the United States’ global exercise of power. But that link has been fraying since the end of the Cold War, and Trump’s moves are just another big step.

During World War II, the U.S. government tied agriculture to foreign policy by using taxpayer dollars to buy food from American farmers and send it to hungry allies abroad. This agricultural diplomacy continued into the Cold War through programs such as the Marshall Plan to rebuild European agriculture, Food for Peace to send surplus U.S. food to hungry allies, and the U.S. Agency for International Development, which aimed to make food aid and agricultural development permanent components of U.S. foreign policy.

During that period, the United States also participated in multinational partnerships to set global production goals and trade guidelines to promote the international movement of food – including the U.N.’s Food and Agriculture Organization, the International Wheat Agreement and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade.

When U.S. farmers faced labor shortfalls, the federal government created guest-worker programs that provided critical hands in the fields, most often from Mexico and the Caribbean.

At the end of World War II, the U.S. government recognized that farmers could not just rely on domestic agricultural subsidies, including production limits, price supports and crop insurance, for prosperity. American farmers’ well-being instead depended on the rest of the world.

Since returning to office in January 2025, Trump has dismantled the U.S. Agency for International Development. His administration has also aggressively detained and deported suspected noncitizens living and working in the U.S., including farmworkers. And he has imposed tariffs that caused U.S. trading partners to retaliate, slashing international demand for U.S. agricultural products.

Trump’s actions follow diplomatic and agricultural transformations that I research, and which began with the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.

Feed the world, save the farm

Even before the nation’s founding, farmers in what would become the United States staked their livelihood on international networks of labor, plants and animals, and trade.

Cotton was the most prominent early example of these relationships, and by the 19th century wheat farmers depended on expanding transportation networks to move their goods within the country and overseas.

Workers load cattle on a train for shipment to market in the late 19th century. Bettmann via Getty Images

But fears that international trade could create economic uncertainty limited American farmers’ interest in overseas markets. The Great Depression in the 1930s reinforced skepticism of international markets, which many farmers and policymakers saw as the principal cause of the economic downturn.

World War II forced them to change their view. The Lend-Lease Act, passed in March 1941, aimed to keep the United States out of the war by providing supplies, weapons and equipment to Britain and its allies. Importantly for farmers, the act created a surge in demand for food.

And after Congress declared war in December 1941, the need to feed U.S. and allied troops abroad pushed demand for farm products ever higher. Food took on a significance beyond satisfying a wartime need: The Soviet Union, for example, made special requests for butter. U.S. soldiers wrote about the special bond created by seeing milk and eggs from a hometown dairy, and Europeans who received food under the Lend-Lease Act embraced large cans of condensed milk with sky-blue labels as if they were talismans.

Ropes hoist large boxes aboard a ship.

Crates of American hams, supplied through the Lend-Lease Act, are loaded on a ship bound for Britain in 1941. Bettmann via Getty Images

Another war ends

But despite their critical contribution to the war, American farmers worried that the familiar pattern of postwar recession would repeat once Germany and Japan had surrendered.

Congress fulfilled farmers’ fears of an economic collapse by sharply reducing its food purchases as soon as the war ended in the summer of 1945. In 1946, Congress responded weakly to mounting overseas food needs.

Large bags are stacked in a pile, each with a tag on it saying it came from the U.S. to help Europe.

Bags of Marshall Plan flour wait in New York for shipment to Austria in 1948. Ann Ronan Picture Library/Photo12/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

More action waited until 1948, when Congress recognized communism’s growing appeal in Europe amid an underfunded postwar reconstruction effort. The Marshall Plan’s more robust promise of food and other resources was intended to counter Soviet influence.

Sending American food overseas through postwar rehabilitation and development programs caused farm revenue to surge. It proved that foreign markets could create prosperity for American farmers, while food and agriculture’s importance to postwar reconstruction in Europe and Asia cemented their importance in U.S. foreign policy.

Farmers in the modern world

Farmers’ contribution to the Cold War shored up their cultural and political importance in a rapidly industrializing and urbanizing United States. The Midwestern farm became an aspirational symbol used by the State Department to encourage European refugees to emigrate to the U.S. after World War II.

American farmers volunteered to be amateur diplomats, sharing methods and technologies with their agricultural counterparts around the world.

By the 1950s, delegations of Soviet officials were traveling to the Midwest, including Soviet premier Nikita Khrushchev’s excursion to Iowa in 1959. U.S. farmers reciprocated with tours of the Soviet Union. Young Americans who had grown up on farms moved abroad to live with host families, working their properties and informally sharing U.S. agricultural methods. Certain that their land and techniques were superior to those of their overseas peers, U.S. farmers felt obligated to share their wisdom with the rest of the world.

The collapse of the Soviet Union undermined the central purpose for the United States’ agricultural diplomacy. But a growing global appetite for meat in the 1990s helped make up some of the difference.

U.S. farmers shifted crops from wheat to corn and soybeans to feed growing numbers of livestock around the world. They used newly available genetically engineered seeds that promised unprecedented yields.

Expecting these transformations to financially benefit American farmers and seeing little need to preserve Cold War-era international cooperation, the U.S. government changed its trade policy from collaborating on global trade to making it more of a competition.

In a large auditorium, people sit at a long table on a stage and sign papers.

World leaders sign the Marrakesh Agreement, creating the World Trade Organization, in 1994. Jacques Langevin/Sygma/Sygma via Getty Images

The George H.W. Bush and Clinton administrations crafted the North American Free Trade Agreement and the World Trade Organization to replace the general agreement on trade and tariffs. They assumed American farmers’ past preeminence would continue to increase farm revenues even as global economic forces shifted.

But U.S. farmers have faced higher costs for seeds and fertilizer, as well as new international competitors such as Brazil. With a diminished competitive advantage and the loss of the Cold War’s cooperative infrastructure, U.S. farmers now face a more volatile global market that will likely require greater government support through subsidies rather than offering prosperity through commerce.

That includes the Trump administration’s December 2025 announcement of a US$12 billion farmer bailout. As Trump’s trade wars continue, they show that the U.S. government is no longer fostering a global agricultural market in which U.S. farmers enjoy a trade advantage or government protection – even if they retain some cultural and political significance in the 21st century.

Peter Simons, Lecturer in History, Hamilton College

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

The Conversation



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‘No way, no how’: Dimon says he’d never run the Fed but ‘would take the call’ to lead Treasury

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As questions swirl over who will replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell when his term ends in May, Jamie Dimon is taking his name off the list of potential candidates. 

“Chairman of the Fed, I’d put in the absolutely, positively no chance, no way, no how, for any reason,” the JPMorgan CEO said when asked at a Chamber of Commerce meeting on Thursday if he’d ever consider the role. “I would so much more prefer this job than that job. That’s a hard job, but I don’t want to do that job,” he later added. 

“Hard job” may be an understatement given unprecedented pressures on the Fed since President Donald Trump returned to the White House. Last Friday, the Justice Department launched a criminal investigation into the Federal Reserve and Powell’s testimony on the renovation of Fed office buildings. The probe follows a year of increased pressure on the central bank from the Trump administration to lower interest rates. 

In August, the president attempted to unseat Fed governor Lisa Cook over alleged mortgage fraud, the first time a president has fired a sitting governor in the central bank’s 112-year history. A federal court ruled that Cook could keep her seat while she fights the firing, but Cook’s future remains uncertain as the Supreme Court hears the Trump administration’s appeal later this month. 

In addition, the Fed faces the tricky task of trying to prop up the labor market by lowering interest rates without reigniting inflation.

Dimon said he would consider being Treasury secretary if asked, but he’s hesitant to take a job working under someone else. 

“I would take the call, consider it, and think about why and what they want. But what they want and how they want to operate would be important to me,” Dimon said. “But I’ve been my own boss for pretty much 25 years, and I like it that way.” 

This is not the first time Dimon’s name has been mentioned as a potential cabinet secretary. In 2024, then President-elect Trump announced that Dimon would not be in his administration after speculation that he would be nominated for Treasury secretary. Dimon agreed that he wouldn’t be the best fit, saying “I’m not about ready to start” having a boss again. 

Earlier this week, it seemed that Dimon and Trump were at odds after Dimon warned chipping away at the central bank’s independence “is not a good idea.”    

Trump later called Dimon out, saying “Jamie Dimon probably wants higher rates. Maybe he makes more money that way.” 

On Thursday, Dimon reiterated his opposition to interfering with the Fed’s independence because “it will drive rates higher not lower,” but said he and Trump were on the same page. 

“Everyone I know, including the president of the United States, says we need an independent Fed board,” Dimon said. “Most people I know, including the president of the United States, speak up about their opinion, which they’re free to do.”

Dimon and other CEOs such as Bank of America’s Brian Moynihan and Citigroup’s Jane Fraser did just that this week after Trump called for a one-year 10% cap on credit card interest rates. Dimon said that would limit access to credit and adversely affect people who lower credit credits. 

“If it happened the way it was described, it would be dramatic,” Dimon said, speaking to analysts during the earnings call on Tuesday. “It would be dramatic on subprime.”



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Vail Resorts reports record‑low snowpack, forcing the company to lower its 2026 earnings outlook

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Good luck trying to wash your hands, your face, your hair with snow; there’s not nearly enough of it to do all that. Vail Resorts is lowering its expected 2026 earnings after some of the lowest snowpack in recorded history has cratered visits at its North American locations by nearly 20% since the start of the season through January 4.

Skiers staying home is taking its toll: Vail’s ski school revenue has dropped 14.9% since the start of the season compared to last year, and dining revenue fell nearly 16%, the company said in an investor statement released yesterday.

Just how dry is it? A rare polar vortex and La Niña combination dumped record amounts of snow on the East Coast this year…while starving everywhere else. The company said snowfall during November and December at its Rocky Mountain locations was down almost 60% compared to the area’s historical 30-year average. Western US resorts were faring only slightly better, with 50% less snowfall than average.

  • On Tuesday, Vail Mountain reported its worst snowpack since it started keeping records in 1978, with just 4.4 inches.
  • Only about 11% of Vail Resort’s terrain in the Rocky Mountains was open last month.

Zoom out: The wipeout comes amid the return of CEO Rob Katz, who revolutionized the ski business by consolidating resort ownership and introducing the Epic Pass, after years of the company faltering financially without him in the C-suite.—MM

This report was originally published by Morning Brew.

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