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What’s better than a $100 million job offer? Lessons from the AI talent war for keeping top performers

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Even if you don’t know the name Andrew Tulloch, you’ve probably heard something about his story

Tulloch is one of Silicon Valley’s cutting-edge AI researchers who have lately attracted astonishingly lucrative job offers from legacy tech companies trying to lure them away from their AI-native startups. In Tulloch’s case, the legacy player was Meta, which reportedly offered the young researcher $1.5 billion over at least six years to leave his current post at Mira Murati’s Thinking Machines Lab. Meta has disputed this figure, but other big numbers have been confirmed by multiple sources, including $100 million signing bonuses and annual compensation packages of that size or greater.

In many instances, the fat figures worked: Individual targets have been poached and entire startups have been purchased. But what’s been more surprising are the reports that when Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and other tech royalty knocked on some doors, including Tulloch’s, AI researchers sometimes said, “No, thanks.” CEOs of newer companies and established firms—Dario Amodei at Anthropic, Sam Altman at OpenAI, and Lisa Su at AMD—have even said they will not match poaching offers to keep their talented employees. Just as strikingly, some said that they haven’t needed to do so to keep their top performers. 

(Fortune reached out to Tulloch and several others who reportedly turned down huge pay packages, and none agreed to talk. Meta recently announced a hiring freeze in its artificial intelligence division.)

So do we need to rethink the power of cash in negotiations? Is the era of the superstar employee over?

Not exactly, say management experts. Many have been watching the AI talent race and considering what it means for CEOs of companies in other industries and of more modest means. But they do believe that while competitive compensation still matters, the AI talent wars prove that squishy concepts like culture, empathetic leadership, and collegiality are stronger forces than most people would imagine. 

Why the AI talent race is happening

Ajay Agrawal, professor of entrepreneurship at the University of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management and co-author of Prediction Machines: The Simple Economics of Artificial Intelligence, says the size of the compensation packages wowing tech watchers should not surprise anyone. Despite recent concerns about an AI bubble, he told Fortune, the dynamics of this new market mean companies have rational reasons for spending big.

If the AI industry evolves the way other recent disruptive technologies have, Agrawal explains, one foundational large language model will take the greatest market share in the near future, the way Google came to dominate search engines, even though other options existed in Google’s early days. So, all the companies spending billions on AI also hope to build the “winning” model to amortize their costs across hundreds of millions of users. “That just warrants big investments in general, whether it’s for equipment or people,” the professor says.

But unlike other new technologies, AI models are also trained by users who evaluate and rate the model’s responses to prompts, multiplying the first-mover advantage effect. The most-used models will have access to feedback that will make it even harder for their competitors to catch up. 

Knowing this, says Agrawal, “Nobody wants to fool around with a second-rate team.”

For money or the mission

The promise of great wealth also explains why some AI researchers have chosen to stay in their current jobs. In conversations with some of the bright young minds who have been caught up in the talent wars, Agrawal, who is also a research fellow at Stanford’s Digital Economy Lab, has learned that many are gambling on a payoff in the future. “Even though the offers sound very big to you and me,” Agrawal says, “they are with a younger, smaller company where they have equity, and they think there’s a chance that their equity in that company will be worth more.” That tantalizing possibility just isn’t as likely at an established brand.

Still others who have rejected fat offers claim they’re less motivated by money and more focused on a company’s professed mission, Agrawal says, acknowledging how unlikely and grandiose that sounds. “They think that this is a unique moment in history, and that the things they’re working on could shape the future of civilization,” he says. “They truly believe that.”

Indeed, several CEOs have positioned their company’s mission as their competitive moat in the talent wars, one that will appeal to altruistic types in an age when smart young people are being called on to cultivate their “moral ambition.” In a statement emailed to Fortune, for example, Anthropic said: “Top AI talent choose Anthropic because they want to build AI systems for society’s benefit with safety principles prioritized from day one. We attract and retain talent because of our research quality, our commitment to AI safety, and our track record of industry-shifting breakthroughs.” The company also touted its top leaders as talent magnets.  

Relatedly, as Agrawal notes, larger players like Google, Meta, and Microsoft have all existed long enough to have accumulated scandals and ethical crises attached to their names—even if they too started life with mission statements tied to making the world a better place. Newer companies promising noble causes, in contrast, are not tarnished—or less tarnished, at least—which also appeals to idealistic young workers. AI-native companies “don’t have the baggage,” the professor says, “so they can create missions and visions with a blank canvas.”

Culture’s quiet power 

That last point brings us to the realm of corporate culture, the least visible of forces at play in these scenarios, but one that some academics say is the ultimate filter that employees use to make decisions. 

Culture—the way organizations behave as opposed to the goals they set for the organization—can dictate who is attracted to a company, who stays, and who leaves. Culture is what people are referring to when they describe Mira Murati, who left OpenAI as its chief technology officer to start Thinking Machines, and had 20 employees follow her, as a low-ego leader. “At OpenAI, she was known for her emotional intelligence and lack of ego, which earned her the loyalty of the research and engineering staff,” the Wall Street Journal has reported.  

Jennifer Chatman, dean of the University of California, Berkeley’s Haas School of Business, and a scholar who has studied organizational culture for decades, tells Fortune that companies in every industry need to pay attention to salaries in the marketplace because culture will never compensate for less robust pay. But keeping pay competitive, she says, “gives people an opportunity to think hard about how they would fit with the orientation of the organization.” That’s a good thing, she adds. “When people actively select-in based on the culture, there are all kinds of good outcomes that emerge: They perform better, they stay longer, they’re more committed. They can move through the organization more effectively.”

In some company cultures, recruiting high performers by simply paying the most has been normalized, but Haas warns that transactional relationship building “has never been a good long term way of generating high levels of performance, innovation and commitment in organizations.” 

Similarly, CEOs tend to fall into one of two camps: They elevate star players at all costs, often reinforcing an idea that a single, usually young and male, genius can make or break an organization, or they build strong teams and support a collective intelligence. Research shows that the latter is far more sustainable, says Haas. Under a star model, “you have people that can really dial up their capability and do more for the organization, and you can be lean,” Chatman says, “but when they leave, it’s a big deal.” 

The team wins

Increasingly, the team model seems to be preferred by tech leaders, at least according to interviews they’ve given to the press. Lisa Su, CEO of AMD, recently told Wired. “I am a believer…that money is important, but frankly, it’s not necessarily the most important thing when you’re attracting talent.” While companies need to be in the “zip code” of their competitors’ pay, she also said, she couldn’t imagine paying nine figures to attract a new employee, explaining, “It’s really not about one person in our world.”

Earlier this month, Anton Osika, CEO of Lovable, an AI website-making software,  told a tech podcast: “If I knew who was the perfect engineer to hire, I could maybe step up our compensation bands to get exactly those. But I don’t know who are the best people. So I need to just figure out, are these really, really good people to work with? Are they moldable?” 

Peter Schein, cofounder of OCLI.org, a consulting company he launched with his father, the late MIT scholar Edgar Schein, endorses these views. The most effective leaders cultivate a culture of learning and information sharing across teams, he says. “The brilliant individual who has a brilliant vision for how to take [your model] to the next release, those people are always going to be around,” Schein says. “But I will also bet on the team nine out of 10 times over the individual.”

Schein’s advice for leaders who want to hang on to their people, or become the kind of CEO to whom talented employees may one day work with again, is simple:  “You have an easier time retaining people who you’ve actually built a rapport with, not treating people with this professional distance that says these are [just] human resources.” 

“These are humans who happen to be a resource,” he says. “Some of them you’re going to have to protect.”

What to do to keep talented employees

  • Study and define your culture. Google has done this well, says Chatman. Simply put, part of the company’s rigorous interview process allowed them to find naturally curious people, since those applicants were more likely to be looking ahead at new trends and innovations. Because the entire company was oriented the same way, new hires were more likely to find satisfying roles throughout the organization. They found a career at Google, not just a job.
  • Watch for culture gaps. If people are leaving your company at an alarming rate, it may be a sign that your culture is weakening or that it is not matching your professed strategy or mission, says Chatman.
  • Use pay to open a conversation. If someone is thinking of leaving, says Chatman, a leader needs to sit with that person to find out what’s going on for them. Do they feel aligned with the company’s culture and mission? What are their aspirations, and could they be fulfilled if they stay? “The easiest way to do it is to ensure that their package is not way below the industry standard, and then you go from there,” she says. 
  • Recognize the difference between missions, espoused values, and culture. Missions change when market conditions do, and espoused values sound great on a company wall, says Schein, but culture is “deeply held assumptions about how this company survives and thrives, and it’s developed over time.” It usually becomes most obvious during a crisis. That’s when employees will be watching to see what a company is really all about—and when they may decide to leave.



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Senate Dems’ plan to fix Obamacare premiums adds nearly $300 billion to deficit, CRFB says

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The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) is a nonpartisan watchdog that regularly estimates how much the U.S. Congress is adding to the $38 trillion national debt.

With enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies due to expire within days, some Senate Democrats are scrambling to protect millions of Americans from getting the unpleasant holiday gift of spiking health insurance premiums. The CRFB says there’s just one problem with the plan: It’s not funded.

“With the national debt as large as the economy and interest payments costing $1 trillion annually, it is absurd to suggest adding hundreds of billions more to the debt,” CRFB President Maya MacGuineas wrote in a statement on Friday afternoon.

The proposal, backed by members of the Senate Democratic caucus, would fully extend the enhanced ACA subsidies for three years, from 2026 through 2028, with no additional income limits on who can qualify. Those subsidies, originally boosted during the pandemic and later renewed, were designed to lower premiums and prevent coverage losses for middle‑ and lower‑income households purchasing insurance on the ACA exchanges.

CRFB estimated that even this three‑year extension alone would add roughly $300 billion to federal deficits over the next decade, largely because the federal government would continue to shoulder a larger share of premium costs while enrollment and subsidy amounts remain elevated. If Congress ultimately moves to make the enhanced subsidies permanent—as many advocates have urged—the total cost could swell to nearly $550 billion in additional borrowing over the next decade.

Reversing recent guardrails

MacGuineas called the Senate bill “far worse than even a debt-financed extension” as it would roll back several “program integrity” measures that were enacted as part of a 2025 reconciliation law and were intended to tighten oversight of ACA subsidies. On top of that, it would be funded by borrowing even more. “This is a bad idea made worse,” MacGuineas added.

The watchdog group’s central critique is that the new Senate plan does not attempt to offset its costs through spending cuts or new revenue and, in their view, goes beyond a simple extension by expanding the underlying subsidy structure.

The legislation would permanently repeal restrictions that eliminated subsidies for certain groups enrolling during special enrollment periods and would scrap rules requiring full repayment of excess advance subsidies and stricter verification of eligibility and tax reconciliation. The bill would also nullify portions of a 2025 federal regulation that loosened limits on the actuarial value of exchange plans and altered how subsidies are calculated, effectively reshaping how generous plans can be and how federal support is determined. CRFB warned these reversals would increase costs further while weakening safeguards designed to reduce misuse and error in the subsidy system.

MacGuineas said that any subsidy extension should be paired with broader reforms to curb health spending and reduce overall borrowing. In her view, lawmakers are missing a chance to redesign ACA support in a way that lowers premiums while also improving the long‑term budget outlook.

The debate over ACA subsidies recently contributed to a government funding standoff, and CRFB argued that the new Senate bill reflects a political compromise that prioritizes short‑term relief over long‑term fiscal responsibility.

“After a pointless government shutdown over this issue, it is beyond disappointing that this is the preferred solution to such an important issue,” MacGuineas wrote.

The off-year elections cast the government shutdown and cost-of-living arguments in a different light. Democrats made stunning gains and almost flipped a deep-red district in Tennessee as politicians from the far left and center coalesced around “affordability.”

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is reportedly smelling blood in the water and doubling down on the theme heading into the pivotal midterm elections of 2026. President Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Pennsylvania soon to discuss pocketbook anxieties. But he is repeating predecessor Joe Biden’s habit of dismissing inflation, despite widespread evidence to the contrary.

“We fixed inflation, and we fixed almost everything,” Trump said in a Tuesday cabinet meeting, in which he also dismissed affordability as a “hoax” pushed by Democrats.​

Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle now face a politically fraught choice: allow premiums to jump sharply—including in swing states like Pennsylvania where ACA enrollees face double‑digit increases—or pass an expensive subsidy extension that would, as CRFB calculates, explode the deficit without addressing underlying health care costs.



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Netflix–Warner Bros. deal sets up $72 billion antitrust test

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Netflix Inc. has won the heated takeover battle for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. Now it must convince global antitrust regulators that the deal won’t give it an illegal advantage in the streaming market. 

The $72 billion tie-up joins the world’s dominant paid streaming service with one of Hollywood’s most iconic movie studios. It would reshape the market for online video content by combining the No. 1 streaming player with the No. 4 service HBO Max and its blockbuster hits such as Game Of ThronesFriends, and the DC Universe comics characters franchise.  

That could raise red flags for global antitrust regulators over concerns that Netflix would have too much control over the streaming market. The company faces a lengthy Justice Department review and a possible US lawsuit seeking to block the deal if it doesn’t adopt some remedies to get it cleared, analysts said.

“Netflix will have an uphill climb unless it agrees to divest HBO Max as well as additional behavioral commitments — particularly on licensing content,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Jennifer Rie. “The streaming overlap is significant,” she added, saying the argument that “the market should be viewed more broadly is a tough one to win.”

By choosing Netflix, Warner Bros. has jilted another bidder, Paramount Skydance Corp., a move that risks touching off a political battle in Washington. Paramount is backed by the world’s second-richest man, Larry Ellison, and his son, David Ellison, and the company has touted their longstanding close ties to President Donald Trump. Their acquisition of Paramount, which closed in August, has won public praise from Trump. 

Comcast Corp. also made a bid for Warner Bros., looking to merge it with its NBCUniversal division.

The Justice Department’s antitrust division, which would review the transaction in the US, could argue that the deal is illegal on its face because the combined market share would put Netflix well over a 30% threshold.

The White House, the Justice Department and Comcast didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. 

US lawmakers from both parties, including Republican Representative Darrell Issa and Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren have already faulted the transaction — which would create a global streaming giant with 450 million users — as harmful to consumers.

“This deal looks like an anti-monopoly nightmare,” Warren said after the Netflix announcement. Utah Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, said in a social media post earlier this week that a Warner Bros.-Netflix tie-up would raise more serious competition questions “than any transaction I’ve seen in about a decade.”

European Union regulators are also likely to subject the Netflix proposal to an intensive review amid pressure from legislators. In the UK, the deal has already drawn scrutiny before the announcement, with House of Lords member Baroness Luciana Berger pressing the government on how the transaction would impact competition and consumer prices.

The combined company could raise prices and broadly impact “culture, film, cinemas and theater releases,”said Andreas Schwab, a leading member of the European Parliament on competition issues, after the announcement.

Paramount has sought to frame the Netflix deal as a non-starter. “The simple truth is that a deal with Netflix as the buyer likely will never close, due to antitrust and regulatory challenges in the United States and in most jurisdictions abroad,” Paramount’s antitrust lawyers wrote to their counterparts at Warner Bros. on Dec. 1.

Appealing directly to Trump could help Netflix avoid intense antitrust scrutiny, New Street Research’s Blair Levin wrote in a note on Friday. Levin said it’s possible that Trump could come to see the benefit of switching from a pro-Paramount position to a pro-Netflix position. “And if he does so, we believe the DOJ will follow suit,” Levin wrote.

Netflix co-Chief Executive Officer Ted Sarandos had dinner with Trump at the president’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida last December, a move other CEOs made after the election in order to win over the administration. In a call with investors Friday morning, Sarandos said that he’s “highly confident in the regulatory process,” contending the deal favors consumers, workers and innovation. 

“Our plans here are to work really closely with all the appropriate governments and regulators, but really confident that we’re going to get all the necessary approvals that we need,” he said.

Netflix will likely argue to regulators that other video services such as Google’s YouTube and ByteDance Ltd.’s TikTok should be included in any analysis of the market, which would dramatically shrink the company’s perceived dominance.

The US Federal Communications Commission, which regulates the transfer of broadcast-TV licenses, isn’t expected to play a role in the deal, as neither hold such licenses. Warner Bros. plans to spin off its cable TV division, which includes channels such as CNN, TBS and TNT, before the sale.

Even if antitrust reviews just focus on streaming, Netflix believes it will ultimately prevail, pointing to Amazon.com Inc.’s Prime and Walt Disney Co. as other major competitors, according to people familiar with the company’s thinking. 

Netflix is expected to argue that more than 75% of HBO Max subscribers already subscribe to Netflix, making them complementary offerings rather than competitors, said the people, who asked not to be named discussing confidential deliberations. The company is expected to make the case that reducing its content costs through owning Warner Bros., eliminating redundant back-end technology and bundling Netflix with Max will yield lower prices.



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The rise of AI reasoning models comes with a big energy tradeoff

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Nearly all leading artificial intelligence developers are focused on building AI models that mimic the way humans reason, but new research shows these cutting-edge systems can be far more energy intensive, adding to concerns about AI’s strain on power grids.

AI reasoning models used 30 times more power on average to respond to 1,000 written prompts than alternatives without this reasoning capability or which had it disabled, according to a study released Thursday. The work was carried out by the AI Energy Score project, led by Hugging Face research scientist Sasha Luccioni and Salesforce Inc. head of AI sustainability Boris Gamazaychikov.

The researchers evaluated 40 open, freely available AI models, including software from OpenAI, Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Microsoft Corp. Some models were found to have a much wider disparity in energy consumption, including one from Chinese upstart DeepSeek. A slimmed-down version of DeepSeek’s R1 model used just 50 watt hours to respond to the prompts when reasoning was turned off, or about as much power as is needed to run a 50 watt lightbulb for an hour. With the reasoning feature enabled, the same model required 7,626 watt hours to complete the tasks.

The soaring energy needs of AI have increasingly come under scrutiny. As tech companies race to build more and bigger data centers to support AI, industry watchers have raised concerns about straining power grids and raising energy costs for consumers. A Bloomberg investigation in September found that wholesale electricity prices rose as much as 267% over the past five years in areas near data centers. There are also environmental drawbacks, as Microsoft, Google and Amazon.com Inc. have previously acknowledged the data center buildout could complicate their long-term climate objectives

More than a year ago, OpenAI released its first reasoning model, called o1. Where its prior software replied almost instantly to queries, o1 spent more time computing an answer before responding. Many other AI companies have since released similar systems, with the goal of solving more complex multistep problems for fields like science, math and coding.

Though reasoning systems have quickly become the industry norm for carrying out more complicated tasks, there has been little research into their energy demands. Much of the increase in power consumption is due to reasoning models generating much more text when responding, the researchers said. 

The new report aims to better understand how AI energy needs are evolving, Luccioni said. She also hopes it helps people better understand that there are different types of AI models suited to different actions. Not every query requires tapping the most computationally intensive AI reasoning systems.

“We should be smarter about the way that we use AI,” Luccioni said. “Choosing the right model for the right task is important.”

To test the difference in power use, the researchers ran all the models on the same computer hardware. They used the same prompts for each, ranging from simple questions — such as asking which team won the Super Bowl in a particular year — to more complex math problems. They also used a software tool called CodeCarbon to track how much energy was being consumed in real time.

The results varied considerably. The researchers found one of Microsoft’s Phi 4 reasoning models used 9,462 watt hours with reasoning turned on, compared with about 18 watt hours with it off. OpenAI’s largest gpt-oss model, meanwhile, had a less stark difference. It used 8,504 watt hours with reasoning on the most computationally intensive “high” setting and 5,313 watt hours with the setting turned down to “low.” 

OpenAI, Microsoft, Google and DeepSeek did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Google released internal research in August that estimated the median text prompt for its Gemini AI service used 0.24 watt-hours of energy, roughly equal to watching TV for less than nine seconds. Google said that figure was “substantially lower than many public estimates.” 

Much of the discussion about AI power consumption has focused on large-scale facilities set up to train artificial intelligence systems. Increasingly, however, tech firms are shifting more resources to inference, or the process of running AI systems after they’ve been trained. The push toward reasoning models is a big piece of that as these systems are more reliant on inference.

Recently, some tech leaders have acknowledged that AI’s power draw needs to be reckoned with. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said the industry must earn the “social permission to consume energy” for AI data centers in a November interview. To do that, he argued tech must use AI to do good and foster broad economic growth.



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