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What 2026 holds for the future of work

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As I was collecting Crystal Ball predictions for 2026 from readers, I found myself thinking a lot about the future of work. 

In part, of course, that’s because you all were thinking about it—combing through email after email, I found waves of predictions about how AI will change our workplaces and our jobs. And I sensed two things: An undercurrent of anxiety, and a resounding sense that AI is our now and future coworker. 

The anxiety may have been yours, readers, but it was perhaps mostly mine: I think it’s possible we’re moving towards a future where the most mundane tasks we humans have to do right now are taken over by agentic armies in a way that’s fundamentally good. Much as the Internet created new ways of working that have improved people’s lives, I’m hopeful that AI can too. But then, there’s part of me that says: No, we’re about to move into a world of relentless job contraction and depersonalized professional interactions, made more depressing by the fact they spring from craven laziness above all else.

All of this to say, I’m conflicted. And my ambivalence isn’t helped by the fact that Term Sheet readers—many of whom are investing in the technologies and startups that will shape tomorrow’s workplace—have divergent perspectives. Here’s a sampling of how readers are thinking about an issue that will only become more consequential going forward:

We will start hiring digital employees. We will start treating AI agents like junior staff with job titles, budgets, and spending limits. Once an agent can issue a refund or buy inventory, it stops being a tool and becomes a worker. —Cathy Gao, partner, Sapphire Ventures

You can now build digital autonomous workers that handle large portions of front-office work. We’re heading toward models and agents that can complete a full day’s worth of work with minimal or no human intervention, and we may already be there in some domains. —George Mathew, managing director, Insight Partners

In 2026, companies who rushed to make layoffs hoping AI would fill a significant gap will realize they need to re-hire to fill some of those roles. We saw this starting this year with companies like Klarna, re-hiring to fill customer service roles that chatbots failed at. Next year, we’ll see more of this. —Mahe Bayireddi, CEO and cofounder, Phenom

2025 made it clear that AI would shrink teams by carrying more of the workload. In 2026, the bigger shift will be who gets hired. Companies are increasingly pairing a small number of senior technical leaders with AI-fluent operators, often without traditional CS backgrounds. For VCs, this shift will redefine what a ‘strong early team’ looks like and how capital efficiency is priced. —Jiaona Zhang, CPO at Laurel

New grad hiring will continue to slow and niche talent, either for AI or specific backend infra, will be paid top dollar. As AI makes boilerplate programming table stakes, only great talent will be rewarded. Fewer people will want to major in Computer Science. —Deedy Das, partner, Menlo Ventures

The tensions around returning to the office in any form of mandated pattern are going to continue. While employers might argue it’s a hirer’s job market, if we have an exodus of talent it’s really hard to replace those skillsets. —Livia Bernardini, CEO, Future Platforms

The first real shockwave from AI won’t hit junior analysts; it’ll hit outsourcing. Anything that was being subcontracted to offshore hubs is up first, as AI takes over the repetitive, process-heavy work that used to justify those models. —Raj Bakhru, general manager and cofounder, Blueflame AI

Human judgment will stay at the heart of HR. While AI will streamline recruiting, compensation analysis, and enhance employee experience, humans will remain essential for interpreting nuance, intent and values. HR functions will evolve toward augmented intelligence. —Niki Armstrong, chief administrative and legal officer, Pure Storage

In 2026, agentic AI moves from copilots to autonomous operators. Agentic systems will handle entire workflows, turning automation into a competitive weapon. —Diane Yu, cofounder, Tidalwave

We will see companies and consumers ‘hire’ AI agents to act on their behalf. 2026 will be the year society adjusts to the new realities of AI agents and focuses on what guardrails we expect from the companies behind them. —Don Butler, managing director, Thomvest Ventures

The Term Sheet Podcast is back!… Our first episode of 2026 just dropped. My guest: Jenny Xiao, founder of Leonis Capital and former OpenAI researcher. She talks about why AI companies should be valued closer to (or even below) SaaS, the role academia plays in AI progress, the possibility of another “DeepSeek” moment, and more. Listen and watch here.

See you tomorrow, 

Allie Garfinkle
X:
@agarfinks
Email: alexandra.garfinkle@fortune.com
Submit a deal for the Term Sheet newsletter here.

Joey Abrams curated the deals section of today’s newsletter. Subscribe here.

VENTURE CAPITAL

Onebrief, a Honolulu, Hawaii-based operating system for the military, raised $200 million in Series D funding. Battery Ventures and Sapphire Ventures led the round and were joined by Salesforce Ventures and others.

JetZero, the Long Beach, Calif.-based designer of the world’s first all-wing airplane, raised $175 million in Series B funding. B Capital led the round and was joined by United Airlines Ventures, Northrop Grumman, and others.

Proxima, a New York City-based AI-powered drug discovery platform for proximity therapeutics, raised $80 million in seed funding. DCVC led the round and was joined by NVentures, Braidwell, Roivant, AIX Ventures, and others.

Wasabi Technologies, a Boston, Mass.-based cloud storage company, raised $70 million in funding. L2 Point Management led the round and was joined by Pure Storage and existing investors.

WitnessAI, a Mountain View, Calif.-based AI security platform, raised $58 million in funding. Sound Ventures led the round and was joined by Fin Capital, Qualcomm Ventures, Samsung Ventures, and Forgepoint Capital Partners.

WithCoverage, a New York City-based AI-powered risk management platform designed to replace insurance brokers for businesses, raised $42 million in Series B funding. Sequoia Capital and Khosla Ventures led the round and were joined by 8VC and Crystal Venture Partners.

Flip, a New York City-based developer of an AI program that automates customer service calls, raised $20 million in Series A funding. Next Coast Ventures and Ridge Ventures led the round and were joined by Data Point Capital and others.

Tive, a Boston, Mass.-based developer of supply chain and logistics visibility technology, raised $20 million in funding. Lightsmith Group led the round and was joined by Sageview Capital, World Innovation Lab, AVP, and Supply Chain Ventures.

Klearly, an Amsterdam, The Netherlands-based payment acceptance platform for small and medium-sized businesses, raised €12 million ($14 million) in Series A funding. PayPal Ventures led the round and was joined by Italian Founders Fund and existing investors.

RISA Labs, a Palo Alto, Calif.-based developer of an AI operating system designed for oncology, raised $11.1 million in Series A funding. Cencora Ventures and Optum Ventures led the round and were joined by others.

OurPetPolicy, a Boise, Idaho-based pet and emotional support animal platform for rental properties, raised $8 million in Series A funding. RET Ventures led the round and was joined by StageDotO and Capital Eleven.

GrowthPal, a New York City-based developer of an AI copilot designed for M&A, raised $2.6 million in funding. Ideaspring Capital led the round and was joined by angel investors.

PRIVATE EQUITY

Arlington Capital Partners acquired Pond & Company, an Atlanta, Ga.-based consulting firm for engineering, architecture, planning, and construction management. Financial terms were not disclosed.

Platinum Equity acquired a majority stake in Norton Packaging, a Hayward, Calif.-based plastic pails and packaging company. Financial terms were not disclosed.

WindRose Health Investors acquired a majority stake in Avalon Healthcare Solutions, a Tampa, Fla.-based health diagnostics platform. Financial terms were not disclosed.

EXITS

Aurex, backed by Godspeed Capital, acquired Alpha 2, a Chantilly, Va.-based provider of cryptographic engineering, cybersecurity, and engineering services. Financial terms were not disclosed.

Investindustrial acquired Proveris, a Hudson, Mass.-based designer and manufacturer of spray and aerosol testing instrumentation, software and laboratory solutions for the pharmaceutical industry. Financial terms were not disclosed.

MPearlRock acquired The Good Crisp Company, a Boulder, Colo.-based healthy snack company. Financial terms were not disclosed.

O’Hara’s Son Roofing, a portfolio company of Angeles Equity Partners, acquired CP Rankin, a Chalfont, Pa.-based roofing company. Financial terms were not disclosed.

PrimeSource Brands, backed by Clearlake Capital Group, acquired Advantage Industries, a Deerfield Beach, Fla.-based gate hardware and pool safety solutions manufacturer. Financial terms were not disclosed. 

TruArc Partners acquired Schill Grounds Management, a Westlake, Ohio-based commercial landscaping company, from Argonne Capital Group. Financial terms were not disclosed.

Turn/River Capital acquired StarLIMS, a Hollywood, Fla.-based informatics platform for laboratories, from Francisco Partners. Financial terms were not disclosed.

Valor Exterior Partners, a portfolio company of Osceola Capital, acquired Landmark Exteriors, a Norwalk, Conn.-based roofing company. Financial terms were not disclosed.

PEOPLE

Bregal Investments, a London, U.K.-based private equity firm, promoted Jens Brenninkmeyer to CEO. 

Garnett Station Partners, a New York City-based private equity firm, promoted Rafi Haramati to managing director, Bradley Ezratty to principal, Max Hoberman to principal, and Teddy Sokoloff to vice president.

M13, a Santa Monica, Calif.-based venture capital firm, promoted Morgan Blumberg to partner.

Periscope Equity, a Chicago, Ill.-based private equity firm, promoted Luke Elder to principal and Harry Waddoups to vice president.



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Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser warns of job cuts and says it’s time to raise the bar in memo to staff

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Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser, one of Fortune‘s Most Powerful Women—and the top female executive on Wall Street—is pushing ahead with about 1,000 job cuts and has warned staff that “we are not graded on effort” in a fiery internal memo setting a tougher tone for 2026. The cuts are part of a multiyear overhaul that could ultimately eliminate up to 20,000 roles as Fraser demands hard results and an end to what she calls the bank’s “old, bad habits.”​

In the memo, previously reported by Bloomberg, Fraser told Citi’s roughly 200,000‑plus employees “the bar is raised” and stressed performance will be judged on outcomes rather than intentions or long hours.

“We are not graded on effort. We are judged on our results,” she wrote, adding she expects “the last vestiges of old, bad habits” to disappear as the bank pursues a leaner, more commercially aggressive culture in 2026. The language marks one of her sharpest internal messages since she took over in 2021, underscoring a shift from transformation planning to execution.​

Fraser’s approach also demonstrates why Fortune contributor Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, the Lester Crown professor of leadership practice at the Yale School of Management, chose the Citi CEO as one of his top performers of 2025. Fraser’s “Project Bora Bora” restructuring resulted in full-year revenues tracking toward $84 billion in 2025, the highest since 2010, with records for all five business segments in the last quarter. The latest earnings quarter saw all five business segments hit quarterly records. The stock’s performance ranking, up 67% in 2025, made it the best among major U.S. banks, in a year when Fraser was elected Chair of the Citigroup Board of Directors and was named Euromoney “Banker of the Year 2025.”

1,000 jobs now, 20,000 over time

Citigroup is poised to eliminate about 1,000 positions this week, as previously reported by Bloomberg, a move that follows earlier rounds of layoffs and brings the bank closer to a broader plan to cut roughly 20,000 jobs by 2026, or about 8% of its global workforce, according to people familiar with the matter. The reductions are tied to a sweeping restructuring unveiled in early 2024 that aims to simplify management layers, streamline businesses, and deliver up to $2.5 billion in cost savings. Citi has already shed more than 10,000 roles under Fraser’s overhaul.​

Culture reset on Wall Street

Fraser’s memo signals a cultural reset at a bank long criticized for lagging behind rivals on profitability and efficiency, and she explicitly called time on what she describes as legacy behaviors that dulled Citi’s competitive edge. She urged bankers to adopt a more “commercial mindset,” telling staff to “ask for the business,” fight for a “full wallet” with clients, and stop settling for secondary roles or missed opportunities.

Automation, AI, and ‘roles no longer required’

The job cuts are being accelerated by investments in automation and artificial intelligence that are changing how work is done across the bank. Fraser told employees and investors as Citi completes more than 80% of its massive “Transformation” program, technology and process simplification will mean some roles evolve, new positions appear and “others will no longer be required.” Outgoing CFO Mark Mason said he expects headcount to keep falling this year as AI tools and streamlined processes take hold, even as Citi continues to hire top talent in key areas like investment banking.​

High stakes for 2026

Fraser has framed 2026 as the year a “more disciplined, more confident, winning Citi” must fully emerge, arguing the transformation and painful cuts are laying the foundation for stronger, more consistent returns. But the strategy carries high stakes: Citi must prove to investors the layoffs, technology spending, and cultural shake‑up can close its long‑standing performance gap with Wall Street rivals while maintaining morale among the staff she is now bluntly reminding that effort alone will not be enough.

For this story, Fortune journalists used generative AI as a research tool. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing.



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How Expedia’s CTO is using AI to transform work for 17,000 employees—and travel for millions

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Ramana Thumu, the chief technology officer at Expedia Group, says there’s no “AI Center of Excellence” at the online travel agency that sits in an ivory tower and mandates how everyone should be using artificial intelligence.

“We are democratizing AI across the entire company,” says Thumu. “Every employee, every team, and every workflow.”

Some examples of how this plays out include the creation of Expedia’s “AI playground,” which gives employees access to more than 60 different large language models—including from OpenAI, Google’s Gemini, Meta’s Llama, and Anthropic’s Claude—to build their own AI agents. Since January 2025, employees have built more than 1,500 different AI agents and around 6,000 monthly sessions occur within the secure AI agent builder environment on a monthly basis. 

Around two-thirds of Thumu’s software developer workforce have embraced AI coding assistant tools including Copilot, Claude Code, and Cursor, often resulting in an estimated 20% productivity lift. Thumu says he wants to bring more “joy” to coding by giving them a broad set of AI tools to infuse in their workflows. He vows that more efficiency won’t necessarily mean fewer jobs. “That’s not how I see it,” Thumu adds. “It’s an improvement which means you can get more work done, much faster, and higher quality work.” 

And last year, Expedia began to embed AI “squads,” teams of around four to six AI engineers that work with various business divisions ranging from legal, procurement, human resources, and marketing, collaboratively working alongside AI “champions” for each of those segments to figure out where AI can possibly be implemented to handle some manual tasks. 

Every one of these AI investments are being measured, ranging from velocity and cycle time for the AI coding assistant tools, and within customer service, tracking how AI is speeding up the time it takes to resolve a customer query. For the broader employee population, Expedia is measuring usage and the impact on workflows. If the company doesn’t see the right adoption or outcomes for these tools, Thumu says Expedia is quick to reassess and adjust its approach.

“We are absolutely testing a lot of experiences and placing a lot of bets to make sure which ones stick and where we scale, and when the test is not wildly successful, fail fast and take those learnings to do something different,” says Thumu.

He joined Expedia, which ranks No. 312 on the Fortune 500, in late 2024 after a decade in technology leadership roles at sports-merchandising company Fanatics. As Expedia’s CTO, Thumu says his core AI priorities include testing and deploying internal productivity use cases, customer-facing external applications that will lean more heavily on multi-step agentic AI, and a focus on data as well as partner support from large language model providers.

“The same transformation that is happening inside the company is going to show up to hundreds of millions of travelers,” says Thumu.

External applications of AI include Expedia Trip Matching, which debuted in June and allows travelers to share any publicly available travel reel that caught their attention on Instagram and then share that reel directly with Expedia. The travel company will then use AI to produce a customized itinerary and travel tips that are based on the content that was originally created by an influencer.

In October, Expedia also served as a pilot partner—along with Booking.com, Zillow, and Spotify—for what’s known as “Apps in ChatGPT,” a feature that aims to further integrate the chatbot with external brands. As an example, a ChatGPT user can type in: “Expedia, find me a hotel in Paris for under $600 per night in March” and it will pull up a list with prices and links that go to Expedia’s site.

The company also developed an AI customer service agent that’s built on Amazon Web Services, which can help travelers with simple tasks including cancelling a hotel booking, getting a refund status, or changing their books so they don’t need to call a human agent. Expedia says this AI agent handles 143 million conversations a year and resolves over 50% of traveler queries.

As Expedia moves forward with embracing more agentic AI capabilities, Thumu stresses that the company will prioritize stitching together the technology in a manner so one AI companion can help customers effortlessly through all touchpoints. He doesn’t want to build one AI companion that helps book hotels, another to handle discovery for excursions, and yet another to address customer service questions. 

“We are trying to bring those together,” says Thumu. “To make sure that from a customer standpoint, it’s one agentic experience. There is a lot of work to be done, but we are in the initial stages.”

John Kell

Send thoughts or suggestions to CIO Intelligence here.

NEWS PACKETS

AI’s health care embrace continues to accelerate. Anthropic debuted a new offering within its Claude chatbot that can access medical information, an offering that’s intended for both large organizations and consumers. As Fortune reports, health-related questions are a leading consumer for AI chatbots and while Anthropic has historically been more focused on serving enterprises, this latest offering is an indication that Anthropic would like to make real inroads with consumers. Separately, OpenAI launched ChatGPT Health, which allows users to connect their medical records and wellness apps to the chatbot. But AI companies pushing into heath care need to be careful to closely guard consumer data and avoid inaccurate outputs. An investigation by the Guardian uncovered that some of Google’s AI Overviews provided false or inaccurate information when asked about blood tests.

Apple taps Google’s Gemini for AI-enabled Siri. The iPhone maker has inked a multiyear pact with Google to lean on the latter company’s Gemini to power its AI features, including a big upgrade for Siri that’s expected later in 2026. While the companies didn’t share details about the financials behind the deal, Bloomberg has previously reported that Apple was planning to pay about $1 billion a year to utilize Google AI. The deal is the latest sign that Google is continuing to make serious gains in the AI race against top rival OpenAI.

Nvidia to invest $1 billion in a new AI lab with Eli Lilly. The AI chip maker and pharmaceutical giant behind blockbuster drugs including Type 2 diabetes treatment Mounjaro and antidepressant Prozac are joining forces to build a facility in Silicon Valley that will aim to speed up the use of AI in drug discovery, a costly and time-intensive process. On top of that, the companies say that they see opportunities to apply AI across clinical development, manufacturing, and commercial operations, leveraging multimodal models, agentic AI, robotics, and digital twins.

Moody’s says data centers will need $3 trillion through 2030. The credit ratings company forecasts that at least $3 trillion of data-center investments will be needed to support building facilities, computer equipment, and new capacity to support the rising demand in AI and cloud computing. A big chunk of that spending will come directly from some of the world’s most valuable companies, as Moody’s says six players—Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Oracle, Meta Platforms, and CoreWeave—are forecasted to spend $500 billion on data center investments in 2026, Bloomberg reports.

Walmart expands drone delivery program. Walmart and drone operator Wing, a unit of Google parent Alphabet, have announced that they plan to make package deliveries by sky available to tens of millions of shoppers by expanding the service to more than 270 Walmart locations by the end of 2027. The Wall Street Journal reports that Wing estimates that more than 40 million Walmart shoppers would have access to the service, up sharply from roughly 2 million mostly limited to the Dallas-Fort Worth and Atlanta regions today. Drone deliveries have been an enticing technology application intended to make it even easier to deliver online orders, but most actual applications have been restricted to just a few markets.

ADOPTION CURVE

Data professionals are using unauthorized AI tools way more than they should be. Four out of every ten data professionals admitted that they use unauthorized AI at work, and 17% say they are primarily relying on free, publicly available AI tools, according to a recent survey conducted by tech training provider General Assembly. Devanshu Mehrotra, lead instructor of data science and data analytics at General Assembly, tells Fortune that these figures represent an expectation gap between employers and their workforce.

“Employees are expected to be more productive,” says Mehrotra. But, “they are not being given enough instructions and training to understand how to do it properly, or they are not given the tools that are required, and so they end up going the shadow AI route.”

He added that enterprises should more clearly communicate when and where AI should be used and also delineate the difference between a high risk use case that could expose sensitive data externally and lower-risk activities, like asking a chatbot general queries. AI policies, Mehrotra adds, “needs to be more focused on how you can use AI, what education you need to use or have before you can use AI, and what are approved versus unapproved use cases of AI.”

Courtesy of General Assembly

JOBS RADAR

Hiring:

Fortrea is seeking a chief data officer, based in Durham, North Carolina. Posted salary range: $200K-$250K/year.

Redesign Health is seeking a VP of technology, AI ventures, based in New York City. Posted salary: $198K/year.

Armada is seeking a head of engineering for the federal program, based in Seattle. Posted salary range: $187.4K-$235K/year.

AppFolio is seeking a SVP of engineering, based in San Diego. Posted salary range: $324K-$405K/year.

Hired:

Airbnb has appointed Ahmad Al-Dahle to the role of CTO, joining the home-sharing technology company from Meta, where he led the Facebook parent company’s generative AI efforts and the team behind the Llama family of open source models. Prior to Meta, Al-Dahle spent over 16 years at Apple, where he was one of the technologists behind the iPhone’s display and multitouch systems and also worked on the first Apple Watch.

Nationwide has promoted Misty Kuamoo to serve as CTO and SVP of Nationwide Financial, following the appointment of Michael Carrel, who was appointed CTO for the overall enterprise in December 2025. Kuamoo will be responsible for all technology solutions that support the insurer’s financial services businesses. She has served as a technology leader within Nationwide for more than five years.

The Timken Company promoted John Szarka to the new position of CTO after he most recently served as a vice president for the manufacturer of engineered bearings and industrial motion products. Szarka has worked at Timken for more than two decades, beginning as a sales engineer and earning steady promotions throughout his career, becoming a division president beginning in 2017.

GitLab has appointed Siva Padisetty as CTO to lead software engineering, operations, and the customer support teams for the software development platform. Padisetty succeeds Sabrina Farmer, who stepped down from her role and will remain in an advisory capacity through January 31. Previously, Padisetty served as CTO at web tracking software company New Relic.

1Password appointed Nancy Wang as CTO, where she will lead the global engineering team and steer the AI strategy for the password-management service provider. Wang previously served as general manager and director of engineering and product for AWS’ data protection business. She was also previously a founding product manager at data security company Rubrik. 

Curated For You appointed Brad Klingenberg as CTO, where he will lead the engineering and data science teams for the e-commerce technology company. Klingenberg previously served as a c-founder for three years at the software startup Naro and worked as chief algorithms officer for smoothie company Daily Harvest and online personal styling service Stitch Fix.

Amerisure has expanded Amjed Al-Zoubi’s role to now serve as chief information and data officer, broadening his scope to lead the commercial property and casualty insurance company’s analytics and AI efforts. Al-Zoubi initially joined Amerisure in 2018 as a VP of applications systems and had served as CIO since 2020. He also previously served as an IT director for USAA and CUNA Mutual Group.

Validity promoted Matt Gore to serve as CTO from SVP of engineering for the software provider. Gore joined Validity through the company’s acquisition of email marketing software company Litmus last year, where he served as chief product and technology officer.

Benchmark Electronics announced the appointment of Josh Hollin as SVP and CTO, succeeding Jan Janick, who will retire on January 16. Most recently, Hollin served as VP of engineering and technical program management at camera company GoPro. Prior to GoPro, Hollin held senior leadership roles at recycling infrastructure startup AMP Robotics and electronics manufacturer Flex.

Darktrace has appointed Terry Doyle as CIO and is also joining the cybersecurity company’s executive committee. As CIO, Doyle will establish and steer a newly consolidated enterprise IT and data team. Most recently, he served as group CIO at internet solutions provider Team Internet Group. He also previously held senior CIO roles at RWS, a provider of translation services.



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Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is ‘fairly confident’ that AI will increase productivity and hiring—but there’s a catch

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2025 was not the year labor economists hoped for. Last year was the worst year of non-recession job growth since 2003. Tariffs, tighter immigration, and economic uncertainty have all played a role—and artificial intelligence has become an easy scapegoat. But Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang doesn’t see AI as the villain behind today’s job market woes. 

Instead, he views the current slowdown as a period of adjustment—growing pains before a more productive and ultimately more prosperous economy takes shape.

“Our job is not to wrangle a spreadsheet or type into a keyboard—our job is generally more meaningful than that,” Huang told TIME. “I’m fairly confident that AI will drive productivity, revenue growth, and therefore more hiring.”

But his optimism comes with a caveat: the transition won’t be seamless. The rise of AI will force a broad reshuffling of roles and responsibilities across the job market, demanding new skills and adaptability from workers.

“This is for certain: everyone’s job will change because of AI. Some jobs will disappear—every industrial revolution some jobs are just gone—but a whole bunch of jobs are created,” the 62-year-old said.

And there’s an even bigger catch. In order to be part of this transformation, AI must be embraced; otherwise, the consequences could be stark.

“Everyone will have to use AI, because if you don’t, you’ll lose your job to someone who does.”

Nvidia declined Fortune’s request for comment.

2026 might not be any better for job seekers—but here’s how to stand out

Huang is not alone seeing long-term opportunity amid short-term turbulence. AMD CEO Lisa Su has also struck an optimistic tone—particularly for students entering the workforce just as AI shapes how work gets done.

“The Class of 2026 will be graduating at an exciting time, as AI transforms our world and expands what is possible,” she said in a statement announcing her as MIT’s 2026 commencement speaker. “And I look forward to celebrating them as they prepare to share their skills and ideas with the world.”

However, after a sluggish 2025, there’s little evidence that 2026 will offer immediate relief for job seekers—especially if tariff policy and other economic headwinds remain unchanged. For soon-to-be graduates, the outlook is particularly grim. 

More than half of employers rate the job market for the Class of 2026 as “poor” or “fair,” according to a survey from the National Association of Colleges and Employers—the most pessimistic outlook since the early days of the pandemic.

This is playing out in real time as young people are battling for a shrinking number of entry-level roles. At Bank of America, for example, just 2,000 recent graduates were hired from a pool of 200,000 applicants—an acceptance rate of about 1%, far more selective than Ivy League schools.

The bank’s CEO, Brian Moynihan, acknowledged that anxiety is widespread among Gen Z job seekers, but urged them not to retreat from it.

“If you ask them if they’re scared, they say they are. And I understand that. But I say, harness it … It’ll be your world ahead of you,” Moynihan told CBS News earlier this year. 

Huang has echoed that message, arguing that resilience—not entitlement—will be the defining trait of workers who succeed in an AI-driven economy.

“People with very high expectations have very low resilience—and unfortunately, resilience matters in success,” Huang said during an interview with the Stanford Graduate School of Business in 2024. “One of my great advantages is that I have very low expectations.”

Overcoming adversity, Huang said, is a rite of passage for successful people.

“I don’t know how to do it [but] for all of you Stanford students, I wish upon you ample doses of pain and suffering,” Huang added. “Greatness comes from character and character isn’t formed out of smart people—it’s formed out of people who suffered.”



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