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Trump takes center stage at APEC–yet Asia’s business leaders are optimistic that multilateralism will prevail

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Good morning. Asia editor Nick Gordon here, filling in for Diane. I spent most of last week in the quiet Korean town of Gyeongju, host to world leaders and business tycoons as part of the APEC Summit. Many on-site were paying close attention to U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping’s “amazing” meeting in nearby Busan, and the resulting truce in their renewed trade war. 

“It seems to be a solid step forward,” Yangbin Wang, CEO of Silicon Valley-based software company Vobile, told me, pointing to “some pragmatic compromises to reduce their conflicts.”

Investors may have been disappointed by the lack of a grand bargain, but Trump will get another chance to push relations forward when he travels to China in April. “The practice of statecraft is never a one-off thing,” Pradeep Philip, Deloitte’s chief economist, tells me. Here are some takeaways for leaders after a whirlwind week:

Multilateralism isn’t dead: Despite the rhetoric out of Washington, APEC delegates were mildly optimistic about the future of trade. China wasn’t the only U.S. trade agreement solidified last week: Trump firmed up agreements with Japan, South Korea and several ASEAN nations. 

And even if the U.S. isn’t engaging other governments on trade, other countries are. They’re looking to diversify their economies, says Todd Handcock, Asia executive chair for the Collinson Group. “You see a lot happening right now between the ASEAN countries. Koreans and Japanese are having deeper conversations than maybe I would have seen in past conferences.”

Energy is top-of-mind: Energy, whether renewable or non-renewable, was a big conversation topic at APEC this year, including a Trump shout-out to “clean, beautiful coal” during his address, thanks to AI’s massive hunger for energy.

American leaders may be all-in on fossil fuels, but the rest of the world isn’t so sure. HD Hyundai vice chair Seok Cho, in a panel I moderated on Wednesday, laid out a vision of “energy security” for a world transformed by AI, focused on renewables, critical minerals, and digital transformation. 

Cho’s not alone. Deloitte’s APEC CEO survey, unveiled during the conference, reports that almost 60% of APEC leaders plan to invest more in sustainability this year, up from 29% last year. 

South Korea is a force to watch: South Korea punches above its weight in strategic technologies like autos and semiconductors. One official, over coffee, gushed over Korean AI developers like Naver and LG. And it’s not just hardware; Korean soft power is also a source of strength. Here’s how BTS member RM put it in his Wednesday keynote: “We take Korea’s unique aesthetics, notions and production system, but we don’t turn away elements of Western music like hip-hop, R&B or EDM. Just like bibimbap, these parts all keep their unique identities but mix together to make something new and fresh and delightful.”

“You are so good at making memory technology,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told Korean reporters on Friday. “The only thing you make maybe even close to being as good is fried chicken.”

FORTUNE has two more conferences in Asia-Pacific this year, where we’ll convene leaders from across the region to discuss the most important issues facing business today: The Fortune Innovation Forum on Nov. 17-18 in Kuala Lumpur, and Brainstorm Design on Dec. 2 in Macau.

More news below.

Contact CEO Daily via Diane Brady at diane.brady@fortune.com

Top news

SCOTUS considers Trump’s tariffs

The Supreme Court on Wednesday will hear arguments from U.S. businesses that it should curb President Trump’s emergency tariffs powers in what is expected to be a landmark case. The Chamber of Commerce argues that tariffs are inflicting irreparable harm and that their uncertainty is causing companies to delay capital investments and consumers to delay purchases. Trump says that stripping him of the power would leave the U.S. “defenseless.”

Trade war truce

The White House has unveiled more details of the agreement between Washington and Beijing last week. Among other measures, Beijing has pledged to issue a general license to export rare earths to U.S. users, buy at least 12 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans, and suspend its most recent retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods. In return, the U.S. will lower its fentanyl-related tariff on Chinese goods to 10% and suspend a new rule that vastly expanded export controls on Chinese-owned firms.

Shutdown stalemate 

The month-long U.S. government shutdown is nearing the 35-day record for the longest ever, though a breakthrough may be in sight. Lawmakers are talking about ending the stalemate, but a final deal will depend on Trump’s willingness to engage. 

Labor migration drops

Work-related migration to rich countries has dropped after rising steadily since the COVID pandemic, according to new OECD research. The 21% dip, which occurred before Trump returned to office, is due to a cooler labor market and countries like the U.K. tightening visa requirements.

Palantir’s high school hires

Palantir CEO Alex Karp says universities have become an unreliable training ground for today’s workforce and that recent college grads are just “engaged in platitudes.” The WSJ profiles Palantir’s new “Meritocracy Fellowship,” which gives 22 high-school grads the chance at a full-time Palantir gig. 

Private credit’s ‘J. Crew’ clause

Private credit lenders are preparing for “some distress on the horizon” by requiring stricter legal terms, including deals that ban “trap doors” like the one used by clothing retailer J.Crew to sidestep creditors. 

The markets

S&P 500 futures were up 0.36% this morning. The last session closed up 0.26%. STOXX Europe 600 was up 0.44% in early trading. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was up 0.07% in early trading. Japan’s markets were closed today. China’s CSI 300 was up 0.27%. The South Korea KOSPI was up 2.78%. India’s NIFTY 50 was up 0.18%. Bitcoin was down at $107K.

Around the watercooler

The 30-year-old obsessive networker who is leading a wildly profitable niche on Wall Street known as ‘directs’ by Shawn Tully

Airwallex crosses $1 billion in annualized revenue as fintech unicorn takes on U.S. competitors like Ramp and Stripe by Leo Schwartz

‘Godfather of AI’ says tech giants can’t profit from their astronomical investments unless human labor is replaced by Jason Ma

Former VP Kamala Harris says she went through a nine-hour interview to land the job—but she couldn’t escape ‘gold medal depression’ even when she won by Emma Burleigh

Billie Eilish calls on billionaires to give away their wealth—with Mark Zuckerberg in the room: ‘If you’re a billionaire, why are you a billionaire?’ by Jessica Coacci

Amazon says its AI shopping assistant Rufus is so effective it’s on pace to pull in an extra $10 billion in sales by Dave Smith

CEO Daily is compiled and edited by Nick Gordon and Claire Zillman.

This is the web version of CEO Daily, a newsletter of must-read global insights from CEOs and industry leaders. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.



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SpaceX to offer insider shares at record-setting valuation

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SpaceX is preparing to sell insider shares in a transaction that would value Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at a valuation higher than OpenAI’s record-setting $500 billion, people familiar with the matter said.

One of the people briefed on the deal said that the share price under discussion is higher than $400 apiece, which would value SpaceX at between $750 billion and $800 billion, though the details could change. 

The company’s latest tender offer was discussed by its board of directors on Thursday at SpaceX’s Starbase hub in Texas. If confirmed, it would make SpaceX once again the world’s most valuable closely held company, vaulting past the previous record of $500 billion that ChatGPT owner OpenAI set in October. Play Video

Preliminary scenarios included per-share prices that would have pushed SpaceX’s value at roughly $560 billion or higher, the people said. The details of the deal could change before it closes, a third person said. 

A representative for SpaceX didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment. 

The latest figure would be a substantial increase from the $212 a share set in July, when the company raised money and sold shares at a valuation of $400 billion.

The Wall Street Journal and Financial Times, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter, earlier reported that a deal would value SpaceX at $800 billion.

News of SpaceX’s valuation sent shares of EchoStar Corp., a satellite TV and wireless company, up as much as 18%. Last month, Echostar had agreed to sell spectrum licenses to SpaceX for $2.6 billion, adding to an earlier agreement to sell about $17 billion in wireless spectrum to Musk’s company.

Subscribe Now: The Business of Space newsletter covers NASA, key industry events and trends.

The world’s most prolific rocket launcher, SpaceX dominates the space industry with its Falcon 9 rocket that launches satellites and people to orbit.

SpaceX is also the industry leader in providing internet services from low-Earth orbit through Starlink, a system of more than 9,000 satellites that is far ahead of competitors including Amazon.com Inc.’s Amazon Leo.

SpaceX executives have repeatedly floated the idea of spinning off SpaceX’s Starlink business into a separate, publicly traded company — a concept President Gwynne Shotwell first suggested in 2020. 

However, Musk cast doubt on the prospect publicly over the years and Chief Financial Officer Bret Johnsen said in 2024 that a Starlink IPO would be something that would take place more likely “in the years to come.”

The Information, citing people familiar with the discussions, separately reported on Friday that SpaceX has told investors and financial institution representatives that it is aiming for an initial public offering for the entire company in the second half of next year.

A so-called tender or secondary offering, through which employees and some early shareholders can sell shares, provides investors in closely held companies such as SpaceX a way to generate liquidity.

SpaceX is working to develop its new Starship vehicle, advertised as the most powerful rocket ever developed to loft huge numbers of Starlink satellites as well as carry cargo and people to moon and, eventually, Mars.



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U.S. consumers are so strained they put more than $1B on BNPL during Black Friday and Cyber Monday

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Financially strained and cautious customers leaned heavily on buy now, pay later (BNPL) services over the holiday weekend.

Cyber Monday alone generated $1.03 billion (a 4.2% increase YoY) in online BNPL sales with most transactions happening on mobile devices, per Adobe Analytics. Overall, consumers spent $14.25 billion online on Cyber Monday. To put that into perspective, BNPL made up for more than 7.2% of total online sales on that day.

As for Black Friday, eMarketer reported $747.5 million in online sales using BNPL services with platforms like PayPal finding a 23% uptick in BNPL transactions.

Likewise, digital financial services company Zip reported 1.6 million transactions throughout 280,000 of its locations over the Black Friday and Cyber Monday weekend. Millennials (51%) accounted for a chunk of the sizable BNPL purchases, followed by Gen Z, Gen X, and baby boomers, per Zip.

The Adobe data showed that people using BNPL were most likely to spend on categories such as electronics, apparel, toys, and furniture, which is consistent with previous years. This trend also tracks with Zip’s findings that shoppers were primarily investing in tech, electronics, and fashion when using its services.

And while some may be surprised that shoppers are taking on more debt via BNPL (in this economy?!), analysts had already projected a strong shopping weekend. A Deloitte survey forecast that consumers would spend about $650 million over the Black Friday–Cyber Monday stretch—a 15% jump from 2023.

“US retailers leaned heavily on discounts this holiday season to drive online demand,” Vivek Pandya, lead analyst at Adobe Digital Insights, said in a statement. “Competitive and persistent deals throughout Cyber Week pushed consumers to shop earlier, creating an environment where Black Friday now challenges the dominance of Cyber Monday.”

This report was originally published by Retail Brew.



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AI labs like Meta, Deepseek, and Xai earned worst grades possible on an existential safety index

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A recent report card from an AI safety watchdog isn’t one that tech companies will want to stick on the fridge.

The Future of Life Institute’s latest AI safety index found that major AI labs fell short on most measures of AI responsibility, with few letter grades rising above a C. The org graded eight companies across categories like safety frameworks, risk assessment, and current harms.

Perhaps most glaring was the “existential safety” line, where companies scored Ds and Fs across the board. While many of these companies are explicitly chasing superintelligence, they lack a plan for safely managing it, according to Max Tegmark, MIT professor and president of the Future of Life Institute.

“Reviewers found this kind of jarring,” Tegmark told us.

The reviewers in question were a panel of AI academics and governance experts who examined publicly available material as well as survey responses submitted by five of the eight companies.

Anthropic, OpenAI, and GoogleDeepMind took the top three spots with an overall grade of C+ or C. Then came, in order, Elon Musk’s Xai, Z.ai, Meta, DeepSeek, and Alibaba, all of which got Ds or a D-.

Tegmark blames a lack of regulation that has meant the cutthroat competition of the AI race trumps safety precautions. California recently passed the first law that requires frontier AI companies to disclose safety information around catastrophic risks, and New York is currently within spitting distance as well. Hopes for federal legislation are dim, however.

“Companies have an incentive, even if they have the best intentions, to always rush out new products before the competitor does, as opposed to necessarily putting in a lot of time to make it safe,” Tegmark said.

In lieu of government-mandated standards, Tegmark said the industry has begun to take the group’s regularly released safety indexes more seriously; four of the five American companies now respond to its survey (Meta is the only holdout.) And companies have made some improvements over time, Tegmark said, mentioning Google’s transparency around its whistleblower policy as an example.

But real-life harms reported around issues like teen suicides that chatbots allegedly encouraged, inappropriate interactions with minors, and major cyberattacks have also raised the stakes of the discussion, he said.

“[They] have really made a lot of people realize that this isn’t the future we’re talking about—it’s now,” Tegmark said.

The Future of Life Institute recently enlisted public figures as diverse as Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, former Trump aide Steve Bannon, Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak, and rapper Will.i.am to sign a statement opposing work that could lead to superintelligence.

Tegmark said he would like to see something like “an FDA for AI where companies first have to convince experts that their models are safe before they can sell them.

“The AI industry is quite unique in that it’s the only industry in the US making powerful technology that’s less regulated than sandwiches—basically not regulated at all,” Tegmark said. “If someone says, ‘I want to open a new sandwich shop near Times Square,’ before you can sell the first sandwich, you need a health inspector to check your kitchen and make sure it’s not full of rats…If you instead say, ‘Oh no, I’m not going to sell any sandwiches. I’m just going to release superintelligence.’ OK! No need for any inspectors, no need to get any approvals for anything.”

“So the solution to this is very obvious,” Tegmark added. “You just stop this corporate welfare of giving AI companies exemptions that no other companies get.”

This report was originally published by Tech Brew.



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