Business
Trump signs One Big Beautiful Bill: What that means for your money
Published
5 months agoon
By
Jace Porter
President Donald Trump signed the so-called One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) into law Friday, a budget that will have far-reaching repercussions on millions of Americans’ bank accounts, for better and worse.
The legislation is extensive, including hundreds of provisions that touch everything from individual rates to student loans to the estate tax. It attempts to pay for the included tax breaks by slashing spending on social safety net programs like Medicaid and nutritional benefits, as well as green energy programs. Even with these cuts, it is expected to add $3.1 to $3.5 trillion to the national debt over the next 10 years.
Along with provisions directly affecting Americans’ personal finances, it earmarks hundreds of billions of dollars for the president’s deportation efforts. It also creates a dual-class tax structure: one for citizens and their families, and another for those with at least one immigrant member, regardless of whether they are documented or not.
Various analyses of the bill’s provisions find it will benefit wealthy Americans far more than lower-income earners. In fact, after-tax-transfer income for the lowest-earning 20% of Americans drops by an estimated $245 next year, increasing to a loss of $1,385 annually by 2033, according to the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM). Future generations are also “uniformly worse off,” according to PWBM.
“All future generations experience one-time welfare losses, ranging from -$22,000 for the lowest income quintile to -$5,700 for the highest,” the analysis reads. “A middle-income child born today would see a $9,800 loss.”
The Yale Budget Lab finds similar outcomes: It estimates changes to taxes and Medicaid and SNAP would lead to a $700 decrease in income for the lowest 20% of earners, while the top 1% would see a $30,000 increase. Republicans say it will have positive effects throughout the economy.
“There’s a view that there’s a lot of potential economic growth from the bill that will have a positive impact on the economy,” says Marc Gerson, member at Miller & Chevalier and former majority tax counsel for the U.S. Ways and Means Committee.
The legislation, which totals almost 1,000 pages, is far-reaching, and the details of how many provisions will be implemented still need to be worked out. For example, while it calls for no federal taxes on some tips and overtime, the IRS still needs to write those regulations for businesses and individual taxpayers to follow. All that said, exactly how it will affect people is unknown at this time.
Additionally, many of the individual tax cut provisions are temporary, lasting generally through 2028 (this differs by provision, though, and will be noted if the information is available).
Here’s what financial advisors and experts say Americans need to know about the OBBB now.
Income tax cuts
The bill makes permanent certain provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), including lower individual tax rates compared to what was in place before then: 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, 37%. That said, these rates have been in place since the 2018 tax year, so many taxpayers are already accustomed to them.
It also eliminates personal and dependent exemptions, and some itemized deductions while keeping the doubled standard deduction (compared to pre-TCJA). Under the bill, the standard deduction for 2025 is $15,750 for single taxpayers, $31,500 for joint filers, and $23,625 for heads of household.
“If you don’t qualify for new tax benefits, your tax outcome may look similar to last year’s since many provisions under the TCJA are being made permanent,” notes TurboTax.
Estate tax exemption
For the super wealthy, the bill makes permanent the doubling of the estate tax exemption from the TCJA. For decedents dying in 2026 and beyond, up to $15 million (and $30 million for couples) is exempt from the federal estate tax, and this exemption will be indexed for inflation.
That mostly benefits individuals with estates in excess of $7.5 million, says Jane Ditelberg, director of tax planning at Northern Trust Wealth Management, the old exemption amount.
“Locking in the $15 million exemption indefinitely brings certainty to families planning major wealth transfers,” says Ditelberg. “For more than two decades, taxpayers have faced a moving target, with the applicable rules changing depending on the year of death. This takes that risk off the table.”
Child tax credit
Under the bill, the child tax credit is increased from $2,000 per child to $2,200, and is subject to annual inflation increases. The bill requires the taxpayer claiming the credit, the taxpayer’s spouse, and the child to have Social Security numbers.
Senior tax deduction
In place of eliminating taxes on Social Security, Americans 65 or older will see a temporary “bonus” deduction of up to $6,000 on their income taxes. This will be available to single filers making a modified adjusted gross income up to $75,000, or couples making up to $150,000, for tax years 2025 to 2028.
Car interest deduction
Car buyers will be able to deduct up to $10,000 of interest per year on new auto loans. This is limited by income: it phases out for single filers with incomes above $100,000 (and $200,000 for married couples). It also only applies to cars assembled in the United States. This is available for those who itemize and those who do not.
Tip and overtime tax deductions
The bill provides above-the-line deductions for some tip income and overtime pay for certain workers, fulfilling one of Trump’s campaign promises.
That said, there are important restrictions to keep in mind about both. Those with tip income can deduct up to $25,000 for qualified tips from their federal tax bill, phasing out for those with income above $150,000. This is in place for tax years 2025 to 2028.
“It’s essential to understand that this deduction doesn’t directly reduce your taxes dollar-for-dollar, and your actual tax savings will depend on your tax rate,” notes TurboTax.
Those earning overtime pay can deduct up to $12,500 ($25,000 for married couples filing jointly), depending on income. Like the tipped income provision, this is available for tax years 2025 through 2028 and phases out for income above $150,000.
Because many tipped workers are low-income, almost 40% already don’t pay federal taxes on their tips, says Meg Wheeler, certified public accountant and founder of The Equitable Money Project. Additionally, tipped workers should know they will still technically owe state and employment taxes like Social Security and Medicare on their tips—it’s still reportable income. This is not a total exclusion from paying taxes.
“We know that lots of tipped workers don’t necessarily report all of their tips. So just even right there, that will be an interesting shift,” says Wheeler. “I also am curious about whether or not this pushes more employers or even more employees to want to move to a tipped model, because they think this is helpful.”
Gerson says these provisions—which the IRS will need to write guidance on before they are implemented—may create additional discrepancies on how workers are taxed in the same workplace. That can lead to headaches for business owners, as well as create tension among employees who are compensated differently.
“If you take a restaurant, you have some people who are tipped and will benefit from the exclusion, and then you have people that aren’t tipped and won’t benefit from it,” he says. “It just has an impact on workforce dynamics. Some people [may] no longer want to be salaried because they can get in overtime.”
Student loans
The bill makes a number of changes to the federal student loan program starting in 2026, many of which will make payments higher for borrowers.
The bill reduces the number of income-based repayment plans, phasing out the Income-Contingent Repayment (ICR), Pay As You Earn (PAYE) and Saving on a Valuable Education (SAVE) plans starting in July 2026. Current borrowers will have two years to switch to a version of the Income-Based Repayment (IBR) plan, the standard repayment plan, or the Repayment Assistance Plan (RAP), a new offering. New borrowers, meanwhile, will only be able to enroll in the RAP.
“Many existing borrowers will see higher monthly payments under these new plans, though the current iteration of the bill at least allows more time to change plans,” says Kate Wood, loans expert and writer at NerdWallet. “As of now, student loan forgiveness still appears to be on the table, though RAP requires up to 30 years of repayment first, a longer repayment timeline than any current plan.”
One of the big differences, says Wheeler, is that RAP has a minimum monthly payment. This is different from some of the current income-based repayment plans, which allow some borrowers to pay very low amounts or nothing at all, depending on their earnings.
“Now, all of a sudden they have to jump up to this minimum just because that’s the rule, that’s the law,” says Wheeler. “I think that’s going to be, right off the bat, a huge issue.”
It also lowers the limits on graduate school loans, eliminates the federal Grad PLUS program altogether, and caps Parent PLUS borrowing. These changes apply to new loans starting July 1, 2026.
While the high cost of graduate school has been a target of people who want to reform the student loan system in the U.S., experts say limiting how many federal loans borrowers can take out won’t solve much. Instead, it means they will have to rely on private loans—which have fewer protections for borrowers and potentially higher interest rates—or skip higher education altogether. Those attending professional school for law or medicine may have the most to lose.
SALT Cap
One of the more contentious aspects of passing the bill was what to do with the cap on state and local tax deductions, or the SALT cap. Trump’s 2017 tax bill put a cap of $10,000 on it; that cap has been increased to $40,000.
This is one of the most expensive provisions in the bill. Taxpayers in California, Illinois, New Jersey, and New York stand to benefit the most: They account for 40 of the 50 top congressional districts affected by the cap. The cap reverts to $10,000 in 2030.
“It’s increased relief, but it is temporary,” says Gerson. “And so it’s something that Congress will have to revisit.”
“Trump accounts”
The bill establishes so-called Trump accounts, which are a new type of tax-favored account for newborns. Children born between 2025 and 2028 will receive $1,000.
Medicaid cuts
The bill makes dramatic cuts to Medicaid, which is the health care program for low-income, disabled, and some senior Americans. It will also affect those who have Affordable Care Act (ACA) health care coverage.
People on Medicaid will face strict new work requirements for able-bodied adults, and eligibility checks will increase from every 12 months to every six months. Estimates put the number of those losing health coverage at around 16 million Americans.
“It’s very likely that people will lose coverage even if they still qualify, just due to the administrative burden,” says Kate Ashford, investing specialist at NerdWallet. “It’s also likely that some hospitals in rural areas that rely on Medicaid funding will reduce services or close, meaning that people in those communities may have to travel far or go without care if they get sick or injured.”
Americans with ACA health insurance coverage will have to re-verify eligibility for tax credits each year, adding an additional hurdle to renewing. It also does not extend the ACA subsidies that help many Americans afford their coverage.
“If those expire, ACA health insurance costs will go up substantially, placing real stress on people’s budgets and potentially resulting in people dropping health insurance,” says Ashford. “Many immigrants who are legally residing in the U.S. will also lose access to ACA subsidies, forcing many of them to end coverage and raising rates for people who remain on plans.”
Allowing the subsidies to expire will also raise costs substantially on small business owners who rely on ACA coverage, says Ashford, as will the Medicaid cuts. She says small business owners and other entrepreneurs may find that health insurance coverage is now too expensive to enter the field.
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Business
Attacker who killed US troops in Syria was a recent recruit to security forces
Published
48 minutes agoon
December 14, 2025By
Jace Porter
A man who carried out an attack in Syria that killed three U.S. citizens had joined Syria’s internal security forces as a base security guard two months earlier and was recently reassigned amid suspicions that he might be affiliated with the Islamic State group, a Syrian official told The Associated Press Sunday.
The attack Saturday in the Syrian desert near the historic city of Palmyra killed two U.S. service members and one American civilian and wounded three others. It also wounded three members of the Syrian security forces who clashed with the gunman, interior ministry spokesperson Nour al-Din al-Baba said.
Al-Baba said that Syria’s new authorities had faced shortages in security personnel and had to recruit rapidly after the unexpected success of a rebel offensive last year that intended to capture the northern city of Aleppo but ended up overthrowing the government of former President Bashar Assad.
“We were shocked that in 11 days we took all of Syria and that put a huge responsibility in front of us from the security and administration sides,” he said.
The attacker was among 5,000 members who recently joined a new division in the internal security forces formed in the desert region known as the Badiya, one of the places where remnants of the Islamic State extremist group have remained active.
Attacker had raised suspicions
Al-Baba said the internal security forces’ leadership had recently become suspicious that there was an infiltrator leaking information to IS and began evaluating all members in the Badiya area.
The probe raised suspicions last week about the man who later carried out the attack, but officials decided to continue monitoring him for a few days to try to determine if he was an active member of IS and to identify the network he was communicating with if so, al-Baba said. He did not name the attacker.
At the same time, as a “precautionary measure,” he said, the man was reassigned to guard equipment at the base at a location where he would be farther from the leadership and from any patrols by U.S.-led coalition forces.
On Saturday, the man stormed a meeting between U.S. and Syrian security officials who were having lunch together and opened fire after clashing with Syrian guards, al-Baba said. The attacker was shot and killed at the scene.
Al-Baba acknowledged that the incident was “a major security breach” but said that in the year since Assad’s fall “there have been many more successes than failures” by security forces.
In the wake of the shooting, he said, the Syrian army and internal security forces “launched wide-ranging sweeps of the Badiya region” and broke up a number of alleged IS cells. The interior ministry said in a statement later that five suspects were arrested in the city of Palmyra.
A delicate partnership
The incident comes at a delicate time as the U.S. military is expanding its cooperation with Syrian security forces.
The U.S. has had forces on the ground in Syria for over a decade, with a stated mission of fighting IS, with about 900 troops present there today.
Before Assad’s ouster, Washington had no diplomatic relations with Damascus and the U.S. military did not work directly with the Syrian army. Its main partner at the time was the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces in the country’s northeast.
That has changed over the past year. Ties have warmed between the administrations of U.S. President Donald Trump and Syrian interim President Ahmad al-Sharaa, the former leader of an Islamist insurgent group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham that used to be listed by Washington as a terrorist organization.
In November, al-Sharaa became the first Syrian president to visit Washington since the country’s independence in 1946. During his visit, Syria announced its entry into the global coalition against the Islamic State, joining 89 other countries that have committed to combating the group.
U.S. officials have vowed retaliation against IS for the attack but have not publicly commented on the fact that the shooter was a member of the Syrian security forces.
Critics of the new Syrian authorities have pointed to Saturday’s attack as evidence that the security forces are deeply infiltrated by IS and are an unreliable partner.
Mouaz Moustafa, executive director of the Syrian Emergency Task Force, an advocacy group that seeks to build closer relations between Washington and Damascus, said that is unfair.
Despite both having Islamist roots, HTS and IS were enemies and often clashed over the past decade.
Among former members of HTS and allied groups, Moustafa, said, “It’s a fact that even those who carry the most fundamentalist of beliefs, the most conservative within the fighters, have a vehement hatred of ISIS.”
“The coalition between the United States and Syria is the most important partnership in the global fight against ISIS because only Syria has the expertise and experience to deal with this,” he said.
Later Sunday, Syria’s state-run news agency SANA reported that four members of the internal security forces were killed and a fifth was wounded after gunmen opened fire on them in the city of Maarat al-Numan in Idlib province.
It was not immediately clear who the gunmen were or whether the attack was linked to the Saturday’s shooting.
Business
AIIB’s first president defends China as ‘responsible stakeholder’ in less multilateral world
Published
1 hour agoon
December 14, 2025By
Jace Porter
When China wanted to set up its answer to the World Bank, it picked Jin Liqun—a veteran financier with experience at the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, China’s ministry of finance and the China Investment Corporation, the country’s sovereign wealth fund—to design it. Since 2014, Jin has been the force behind the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, including a decade as its first president, starting in 2016.
Jin’s decade-long tenure comes to an end on January 16, when he will hand over the president’s chair to Zou Jiayi, a former vice minister of finance. When Jin took over the AIIB ten years ago, the world was still mostly on a path to further globalization and economic integration, and the U.S. and China were competitors, not rivals. The world is different now: Protectionism is back, countries are ditching multilateralism, and the U.S. and China are at loggerheads.
The AIIB has largely managed to keep its over-100 members, which includes many countries that are either close allies to the U.S.—like Germany, France and the U.K.—or have longstanding tensions with Beijing, like India and the Philippines.
But can the AIIB—which boasts China as its largest shareholder, and is closely tied to Beijing’s drive to be seen as a “responsible stakeholder”—remain neutral in a more polarized international environment? And can multilateralism survive with an “America First” administration in Washington?
After his decades working for multilateral organizations—the World Bank, the ADB, and now the AIIB—Jin remains a fan of multilateralism and is bullish on the prospects for global governance.
“I find it very hard to understand that you can go alone,” Jin tells Fortune in an interview. “If one of those countries is going to work with China, and then China would have negotiations with this country on trade, cross-border investment, and so on—how can they negotiate something without understanding the basics, without following the generally accepted rules?”
“Multilateralism is something you could never escape.”
Why did China set up the AIIB?
Beijing set up the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank almost a decade ago, on Jan. 16, 2016. The bank grew from the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis, when Chinese officials considered how best to use the country’s growing foreign exchange reserves. Beijing was also grumbling about its perceived lack of influence in major global economic institutions, like the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, despite becoming one of the world’s most important economies.
With $66 billion in assets (according to its most recent financial statements), the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank is smaller than its U.S.-led peers, the World Bank (with $411 billion in assets) and the Asian Development Bank (with $130 billion). But the AIIB was designed to be China’s first to design its own institutions for global governance and mark its name as a leader in development finance.
Negotiations to establish the bank started in earnest in 2014, as several Asian economies like India and Indonesia chose to join the new institution as members. Then, in early 2015, the U.K. made the shocking decision to join the AIIB as well; several other Western countries, like France, Germany, Australia, and Canada, followed suit.
Two major economies stood out in abstaining. The U.S., then under the Obama administration, chose not to join the AIIB, citing concerns about its ability to meet “high standards” around governance and environmental safeguards. Japan, the U.S.’s closest security ally in East Asia, also declined, ostensibly due to concerns about human rights, environmental protection, and debt.
“They chose not to join, but we don’t mind.” Jin says. “We still keep a very close working relationship with U.S. financial institutions and regulatory bodies, as well as Japanese companies.” He sees this relationship as proof of the AIIB’s neutral and apolitical nature.
Still, Beijing set up the AIIB after years of being lobbied by U.S. officials to become a “responsible stakeholder,” when then-U.S. Secretary of State Robert Zoellick defined in 2005 as countries that “recognize that the international system sustains their peaceful prosperity, so they work to sustain that system.”
Two decades later, U.S. officials see China’s presence in global governance as a threat, fearing that Beijing is now trying to twist international institutions to suit its own interests.
Jin shrugs off these criticisms. “China is now, I think, the No. 2 contributor to the United Nations, and one of the biggest contributors to the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank” (ADB), Jin says. “Yet the per capita GDP for China is still quite lower than a number of countries. That, in my view, is an indication of its assumption of responsibility.”
And now, with several countries withdrawing from global governance, Jin thinks those lecturing China on being responsible are being hypocritical. “When anybody tells someone else ‘you should be a responsible member’, you should ask yourself whether I am, myself, a responsible man. You can’t say, ‘you’ve got to be a good guy.’ Do you think you are a good guy yourself?” he says, chuckling.
Why does China care about infrastructure?
From its inception, Beijing tried to differentiate the AIIB from the World Bank and the ADB through its focus on infrastructure. Jin credits infrastructure investment for laying part of the groundwork for China’s later economic boom.
“In 1980, China didn’t have any expressways, no electrified railways, no modern airports, nothing in terms of so-called modern infrastructure,” Jin says. “Yet by 1995, China’s economy started to take off. From 1995, other sectors—manufacturing, processing—mushroomed because of basic infrastructure.”
Still, Jin doesn’t see the AIIB as a competitor to the World Bank and the ADB, saying he’s “deeply attached” to both banks due to his time serving in both. “Those two institutions have been tremendous for Asian countries and many others around the world. But time moves forward, and we need something new to deal with new challenges, do projects more cost-effectively, and be more responsive.”
Jin is particularly eager to defend one particular institutional choice: the AIIB’s decision to have a non-resident board, with directors who don’t reside in the bank’s headquarters of Beijing. (Commentators, at the time of the bank’s inception, were concerned that a non-resident board would reduce transparency, and limit the ability of board directors to stay informed.)
“In order for management to be held accountable, in order for the board to have the real authoritative power to supervise and guide the management, the board should be hands-off. If the board makes decisions on policies and approves specific projects, the management will have no responsibility,” he says.
Jin says it was a lesson learned from the private sector. “The real owners, the board members, understand they should not interfere with the routine management of the institution, because only in so doing can they hold management responsible.”
“If the CEO is doing a good job, they can go on. If they are not doing a good job, kick them out.”
What does Jin Liqun plan to do next?
Jin Liqun was born in 1949, just a few months before the official establishment of the People’s Republic of China. He was sent to the countryside during the Cultural Revolution, and spent a decade first as a farmer, and eventually a teacher. He returned to higher education in 1978, getting a master’s in English Literature from Beijing Foreign Studies University.
From there, he made his way through an array of Chinese and international financial institutions: the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, China’s Ministry of Finance, the China International Capital Corporation, and, eventually, the China Investment Corporation, the country’s sovereign wealth fund.
In 2014, Jin was put in charge of the body set up to create the AIIB. Then, in 2016, he was elected the AIIB’s first-ever president.
“Geopolitical tensions are just like the wind or the waves on the ocean. They’ll push you a little bit here and there,” Jin says. “But we have to navigate this rough and tumble in a way where we wouldn’t deviate from our neutrality and apolitical nature.”
He admits “the sea was never calm” in his decade in office. U.S. President Donald Trump’s election in 2016 intensified U.S.-China competition, with Washington now seeing China’s involvement in global governance as a threat to U.S. power.
Other countries have also rethought their membership in the AIIB: Canada suspended its membership in 2023 after a former Canadian AIIB director raised allegations of Chinese Communist Party influence among leadership. (The AIIB called the accusations “baseless and disappointing”). China is also the AIIB’s largest shareholder, holding around 26% of voting shares; by comparison, the U.S. holds about 16% of the World Bank’s voting shares.
Still, several countries that have tense relations with China, like India and the Philippines, have maintained their ties with the AIIB. “We managed to overcome a lot of difficulty which arose from disputes between some of our members, and we managed to overcome some difficulty arising from conflicts around the world,” he said.
“Staff of different nationalities did not become enemies because their governments were having problems with each other. We never had this kind of problem.”
Business
JetBlue flight near Venezuela avoids midair collision with U.S. Air Force tanker
Published
2 hours agoon
December 14, 2025By
Jace Porter
A JetBlue flight from the small Caribbean nation of Curaçao halted its ascent to avoid colliding with a U.S. Air Force refueling tanker on Friday, and the pilot blamed the military plane for crossing his path.
“We almost had a midair collision up here,” the JetBlue pilot said, according to a recording of his conversation with air traffic control. “They passed directly in our flight path. … They don’t have their transponder turned on, it’s outrageous.”
The incident involved JetBlue Flight 1112 from Curaçao, which is just off the coast of Venezuela, en route to New York City’s JFK airport. It comes as the U.S. military has stepped up its drug interdiction activities in the Caribbean and is also seeking to increase pressure on Venezuela’s government.
“We just had traffic pass directly in front of us within 5 miles of us — maybe 2 or 3 miles — but it was an air-to air-refueler from the United States Air Force and he was at our altitude,” the pilot said. “We had to stop our climb.” The pilot said the Air Force plane then headed into Venezuelan air space.
Derek Dombrowski, a spokesman for JetBlue, said Sunday: “We have reported this incident to federal authorities and will participate in any investigation.” He added, “Our crewmembers are trained on proper procedures for various flight situations, and we appreciate our crew for promptly reporting this situation to our leadership team.”
The Pentagon referred The Associated Press to the Air Force for comment. The Air Force didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.
The Federal Aviation Administration last month issued a warning to U.S. aircraft urging them to “exercise caution” when in Venezuelan airspace, “due to the worsening security situation and heightened military activity in or around Venezuela.”
According to the air traffic recording, the controller responded to the pilot, “It has been outrageous with the unidentified aircraft within our air.”
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