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Trump says tariffs will bring back jobs but economists aren’t so sure

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How to watch, stream the NCAA Championship Game live online free without cable, on CBS

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FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.



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Stocks closed mixed in most volatile session since the pandemic as Wall Street is ‘starting to find a bottom’

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  • President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping “reciprocal tariffs” caught investors completely off-guard last week, but news of negotiations and an erroneous report about a 90-day pause might have given traders some hope. Meanwhile, hedge funds may have supported share prices as they covered their short positions.  

Markets are gyrating like it’s 2020 all over again as investors continue to reckon with President Donald Trump’s sweeping “reciprocal tariffs,” resulting in Wall Street’s most volatile session since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Stocks initially fell further Monday before some Big Tech names led a measured recovery. The S&P 500 plunged into bear market territory to start the day, dropping 20% from the index’s mid-February high, before erasing most of those losses to close down 0.23% for the session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite followed a similar pattern, finishing with a 0.1% gain, while the Dow Jones fell about 350 points after ending last week with back-to-back losses of 1,500 points or more for the first time in its history. 

Markets simply weren’t prepared for the protectionist measures Trump unveiled in the White House Rose Garden on Wednesday, said Jay Hatfield, the CEO of Infrastructure Capital Advisors. A blanket 10% tariff went into effect on Saturday, but most imports are set to be taxed much higher if those goods come from countries that have trade deficits with the U.S. 

“What we call the ‘chart of death’ was completely unexpected,” said Hatfield, who manages ETFs and a series of hedge funds. 

However, Hatfield noted stocks didn’t do a straight nosedive Monday as administration officials claimed more than 50 countries have called the White House to negotiate, even if reports of a 90-day tariff pause proved to be erroneous. When the S&P moved below 5,000, just over a month after surging above the 6,100 mark, it triggered a natural support level for the index, he said. 

“We’re starting to find a bottom,” Hatfield said. “But that doesn’t mean the bottom is not 4,800 or 4,600.” 

Ironically, share prices might have also gotten a boost because uncertainty remains high. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, briefly moved above 50 several times throughout the session. Popularly known as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” the index is derived from the prices of S&P 500 options and is experiencing its highest sustained spike since the pandemic.

Hatfield said this heightened volatility signals hedge funds have, fittingly, ensured they are well hedged by buying puts, or options contracts that give investors the right to sell an underlying asset—in this case, the S&P 500 futures contracts—at a predetermined price. 

Exercising those options is profitable when the value of the index drops below the option’s “strike price.” When volatility is high, however, traders have incentive to unwind these positions to ensure they make money before stocks possibly rebound. 

“It’s actually one good thing about hedge funds,” Hatfield said. “They are the ones doing the buying that causes the market to stabilize.” 

For example, Hatfield’s small hedge fund loaded up on S&P 500 puts Friday morning before liquidating them on Monday, which he could do because his long exposure to the index was limited. 

“If you never cover your shorts,” he said, “you never make money.” 

Chip stocks rally, but Apple and Nike fall 

Tariff uncertainty created several winners and losers Monday. Popular chip stocks rallied, with shares of bull market darlings Nvidia and Broadcom jumping 3.5% and 5.4%, respectively. Amazon and Meta also helped lead the way for America’s tech giants, with both stocks climbing more than 2%. 

But Dollar Tree outpaced all those companies as one of the day’s biggest winners. About half of the discount chain’s products will be subject to tariffs, analysts from Citi said, but the stock rose 8% as they suggested the company could raise prices without much pushback from consumers. 

For other major names, however, Monday offered little respite. Apple shares have shed nearly a fifth of their value since Wednesday, with the stock declining 3.7% for the session. The iPhone maker relies heavily on China, which has been hit by a 54% tariff that Trump said will see another 50% duty tacked on if Beijing does not withdraw its own retaliatory measures. 

It’s a similar story for Nike, which produces most of its apparel in India and other countries in Southeast Asia, which were also hit with heavy tariffs. Shares of Stellantis, Ford, and other automakers also continued to decline as the industry wrestled with a 25% tariff on all foreign cars and parts.  

Investors did not necessarily flock to all types of safe haven assets, however. Treasuries sold off as the 10-year yield moved up over 20 basis points to 4.20%, and the price of gold also fell. 

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Microsoft workers say they’ve been fired after 50th anniversary protest over Israel contract

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Microsoft has fired two employees who interrupted the company’s 50th anniversary celebration to protest its work supplying artificial intelligence technology to the Israeli military, according to a group representing the workers.

Microsoft didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment Monday.

The protests began Friday when Microsoft software engineer Ibtihal Aboussad walked up to a stage where an executive was announcing new product features and a long-term vision for Microsoft’s AI ambitions.

“You claim that you care about using AI for good but Microsoft sells AI weapons to the Israeli military,” Aboussad shouted at Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman. “Fifty-thousand people have died and Microsoft powers this genocide in our region.”

The protest forced Suleyman to pause his talk, which was livestreamed from Microsoft’s campus in Redmond, Washington. Among the participants at the 50th anniversary of Microsoft’s founding were co-founder Bill Gates and former CEO Steve Ballmer.

“Thank you for your protest, I hear you,” Suleyman said. Aboussad continued, shouting that Suleyman and “all of Microsoft” had blood on their hands. She also threw onto the stage a keffiyeh scarf, which has become a symbol of support for Palestinian people, before being escorted out of the event.

A second protester, Microsoft employee Vaniya Agrawal, interrupted a later part of the event.

Aboussad was invited on Monday to a video call with a human resources representative at which she was told she was being terminated immediately. Agrawal was notified over email, according to the advocacy group No Azure for Apartheid, which has protested the sale of Microsoft’s Azure cloud computing platform to Israel.

An investigation by The Associated Press revealed earlier this year that AI models from Microsoft and OpenAI had been used as part of an Israeli military program to select bombing targets during the recent wars in Gaza and Lebanon. The story also contained details of an errant Israeli airstrike in 2023 that struck a vehicle carrying members of a Lebanese family, killing three young girls and their grandmother.

In February, five Microsoft employees were ejected from a meeting with CEO Satya Nadella for protesting the contracts.

“We provide many avenues for all voices to be heard,” said a statement from the company Friday. “Importantly, we ask that this be done in a way that does not cause a business disruption. If that happens, we ask participants to relocate. We are committed to ensuring our business practices uphold the highest standards.”

Microsoft had declined to say Friday whether it was taking further action. Aboussad told the AP she lost access to her work accounts shortly after the protest and had not been able to log back in.

Dozens of Google workers were fired last year after internal protests surrounding a contract that the technology company has with the Israeli government. Employee sit-ins at Google offices in New York and Sunnyvale, California were targeting a $1.2 billion deal known as Project Nimbus providing AI technology to the Israeli government.

The Google workers later filed a complaint with the National Labor Relations Board in an attempt to get their jobs back.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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