Connect with us

Business

The unicorn killer: Why regulatory risk keeps destroying startup value and what to do about it

Published

on



Private equity and venture capital firms spend months analyzing market dynamics, competitive landscapes, and management teams before writing checks. They stress-test financial models, conduct extensive due diligence, and negotiate protective covenants. But many are underestimating one of the biggest threats to their portfolio returns: regulatory and narrative risk—policy decisions, enforcement shifts, and public backlash that can derail even the strongest business models overnight.

AI chipmaker Cerebras Systems filed for its highly anticipated IPO last September, expecting to raise $1 billion at an $8 billion valuation. The company burned through cash for months in regulatory limbo, its national security review frozen due to federal staffing bottlenecks. When Cerebras finally cleared the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) review in March 2025, the market had already moved on. But that’s the dirty secret of regulatory delays; they don’t just pause deals, they poison them.

Other innovators face something worse than delays: outright prohibition. Multiple urban personal mobility companies achieved unicorn status with near-unprecedented speed, only to see their multibillion-dollar valuations collapse as cities systematically banned or restricted their services. After going public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) in 2021, one major dockless scooter firm was so overwhelmed by municipal regulatory battles across the United States and Europe that it was delisted from the New York Stock Exchange in September 2023 because its market cap fell below $15 million before filing for bankruptcy three months later. Another industry leader suffered a particularly devastating blow when Paris, its most profitable market, banned e-scooters entirely in 2023 following a public referendum. In D.C., local leaders limited company fleet sizes and throttled speeds (and consumer utility) to the pace of the average electric wheelchair.

Ticket resale giant StubHub offers another cautionary tale of regulatory risk destroying enterprise value. The company booked $93.9 million in legal and regulatory expenses for 2024, according to its S-1 filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission nearly doubling from $48.2 million in 2023. Multiple state attorneys general have sued StubHub over so-called “drip pricing” tactics, while the D.C. Attorney General filed a separate “bait-and-switch” lawsuit in July 2024. The company’s repeatedly delayed IPO plans, targeting a $16.5 billion valuation, continue to stall as regulatory uncertainty mounts. StubHub’s regulatory tab now accounts for approximately 5% of its annual revenue.

But it’s the regulatory whiplash between federal approval and state or local prohibition that has created perhaps the cruelest trap for emerging industries. Lab-grown meat companies spent years and hundreds of millions of dollars securing FDA and USDA clearances before watching a growing chorus of states ban their products entirely. Less than a year after UPSIDE Foods and Good Meat celebrated federal approval in 2023, the state legislatures of Florida and Alabama had criminalized the sale of their products, punishable by a misdemeanor. Drone delivery services similarly invested years and significant resources in securing FAA approvals for beyond-visual-line-of-sight operations before municipalities imposed noise restrictions, flight path limitations, and local bans.

Multiple high-flying startups have watched their valuations collapse by 50% or more as regulators scrutinize novel or previously unquestioned business models. Daily fantasy sports operators face constant regulatory uncertainty as states increasingly declare their contests to constitute illegal gambling.

Regulatory positioning across virtually all sectors has become a core determinant of valuation, scalability, and exit readiness. Companies that ignore policy risks discover too late that perfect products and strong management teams cannot overcome hostile regulatory environments. Today, the most sophisticated investors conduct regulatory risk assessments before every significant investment, mapping political stakeholders, anticipating policy changes or state policy fragmentation, and building compliance capabilities into their operational improvement plans. They recognize that regulatory positioning can create competitive moats just as effectively as technological innovation or market positioning.

Today, the most sophisticated companies build regulatory armor before they need it. In addition to basic regulatory diligence to identify U.S. domestic vulnerabilities, political risk insurance providers offer coverage against foreign government expropriation, regulatory changes, and policy reversals, with limits reaching $150 million and terms extending up to 15 years. Startups should structure operations across multiple jurisdictions to dilute exposure while negotiating regulatory approval conditions into major contracts and funding agreements. Local partnerships offer early insights into shifting political winds, and companies require real-time policy monitoring systems that track legislative activity, enforcement trends, and stakeholder campaigns. Crisis playbooks for regulatory challenges should include pre-identified legal counsel, government relations specialists, and media response protocols. The cost of these hedging strategies pales in comparison to the valuation destruction that follows regulatory blindsides.

Too many firms check the regulatory box and move on without identifying real risk. Companies need crisis playbooks for regulatory challenges, just as they maintain plans for operational disruptions or competitive threats. The private capital firms that thrive in this environment will be those that recognize regulatory risk as both a threat and an opportunity. While policy uncertainty can destroy unprepared companies, it can also create barriers to entry that protect well-positioned market leaders. The key is identifying these dynamics before they become apparent to everyone else.

The regulatory environment will only grow more complex and unpredictable as geopolitical tensions escalate and domestic political polarization intensifies. But the firms that survive the next decade will be those that finally recognize the billion-dollar regulatory blind spot and begin mapping political landscapes as carefully as competitive ones.

The next wave of portfolio disasters won’t come from missed earnings or competitive disruption. They’ll come from policy shifts that transform billion-dollar valuations into cautionary tales overnight. And by then, all the financial models in the world won’t matter because you can’t model what you refuse to see.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

Fortune Global Forum returns Oct. 26–27, 2025 in Riyadh. CEOs and global leaders will gather for a dynamic, invitation-only event shaping the future of business. Apply for an invitation.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Co-working provider JustCo CEO sees commonalities with hotels: ‘It’s a hospitality business’

Published

on



Kong Wan Sing, the founder and CEO of JustCo, one of Asia’s largest co-working space providers, doesn’t quite think of himself as leading an office company. Instead, he sees parallels with a different property business: Hotels.

“It’s a hospitality business. People come to us not just for the network, but also for the hospitality,” he told Fortune. “You need to serve them. You have to take care of their needs, like serving the customers who are coming to look for them in the office.”

Kong and JustCo are expanding their presence in Asia even as employers and employees continue to fight a battle about flexible work and returning to the office. Globally, corporate giants ranging from Amazon to JPMorgan have called workers back to the office full-time. But employees tout the benefits of working from home and hybrid work, forcing employers and office designers to get creative in how they bring people back. 

The company is also expanding into new markets regionally, including Malaysia and India. In the longer run, they’re also looking to move into countries in North Asia and the Middle East.

“After entering all these markets, we will be truly covering all the key cities in Asia-Pacific,” says Kong. He’s even considering returning to mainland China, after JustCo exited the market in 2022 due to tight social distancing regulations during the COVID pandemic.

JustCo just entered the Vietnam market with a new office along Ho Chi Minh City’s waterfront. The Vietnamese city is the tenth urban market in Asia for JustCo. It’s also a return of sorts for Kong, who was first exposed to the idea of a flexi-office in Ho Chi Minh City several decades ago. 

JustCo’s story

Kong Wan Sing founded JustCo in Singapore in 2011. Following a regional expansion drive in 2015, it now operates 48 offices across Asia-Pacific, including in major cities like Seoul, Bangkok, Taipei, Melbourne, and Sydney. Kong himself hails from a family of entrepreneurs; his parents operate garment factories in nearby Malaysia. “There’s genes inside me to build a business,” he says. 

In the early 2000s, Kong was an employee of Singaporean real estate investment company Mapletree, working out of a flexi-office in Vietnam’s Ho Chi Minh City. (A flexi-office is a modern workspace where employees don’t have assigned desks, but instead choose from various work zones including hot desks, quiet pods, and collaborative areas.)

The experience opened his eyes to the value of flexible workspaces, and he saw a business opportunity in Asia, where such spaces were still few and far between. 

Kong notes that, just three years ago, just under 4% of all offices in Asia-Pacific were flexi-offices. It’s since risen to over 5%, but that’s still half the level seen in more developed markets in Europe and the U.S. Yet JustCo’s CEO says he’s seeing a “surge” in Asia: “The growth is definitely much faster than European or American countries.”

JustCo also leases small offices for businesses to rent. Sixty percent of JustCo’s clients are multinational corporations looking for space for a regional office, Kong said. Companies like Chinese tech giant Tencent and U.S. vaccine maker Moderna use JustCo for their local offices. 

New brands

JustCo has since broadened its offerings to potential renters, launching two new brands: “THE COLLECTIVE” and “the boring office.”

The former is a luxury co-working space, equipped with premium white-glove services like daily breakfasts and aperitif hours, and twice-a-day office cleaning. The first such space was launched in Tokyo in March.

“Japan is a very mature market, and people in Japan—they appreciate luxury stuff,” said Kong, when asked why the country was chosen to debut its premium brand. Kong and his team has since launched THE COLLECTIVE in Bangkok and Taipei; the company will bring the concept to Singapore and India in 2026.

“The boring office” sits on the other end of the spectrum, catering to firms that want a stripped-down solution. “When you go to the boring office, there’s no cleaning [of rooms] every day, only once a week,” Kong says. “And the pantry is a very basic pantry that provides only water—there’s no coffee, nothing.” The first space under that brand was launched in Singapore in July.

These three brands cater to companies’ differing needs, and are priced along a sliding scale. 

The firm’s luxury offices are 20 to 30% more costly than the classic JustCo workspace, while the boring office’s spaces are cheaper by roughly the same amount, Kong explains.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Creative workers won’t be replaced by AI, they will become ‘directors’ managing AI agents

Published

on



AI won’t automate creative jobs—but the way workers do them is about to change fundamentally. That’s according to executives from some of the world’s largest enterprise companies who spoke at the Fortune Brainstorm AI conference in San Francisco earlier this week.

“Most of us are producers today,” Nancy Xu, vice president of AI and Agentforce at Salesforce, told the audience. “Most of what we do is we take some objective and we say, ‘Okay, my goal is now to spend the next eight hours today to figure out how to chase after this customer, or increase my CSAT score, or to close this amount of revenue.”

With AI agents handling more tasks, Xu said that workers will shift “from producers to more directors.” Instead of asking, “How do I accomplish the goal?” they’ll instead focus on, “What are the goals that I want to accomplish, and then how do I delegate those goals to AI?” she said.

Creative and sales professionals are increasingly anxious about AI automation as tools like chatbots and AI image generators have proved to be good at doing many creative tasks in sectors like marketing, customer service, and graphic design. Companies are already deploying AI agents to take on tasks like handling customer questions, generating marketing content, and assisting with sales outreach. 

Pointing to a recent project with electric-vehicle maker Rivian, Elisabeth Zornes, chief customer officer at Autodesk, said that the company’s AI-powered tools enabled Rivian to test designs through digital wind tunnels rather than clay models. “It shaved off about two years of their development cycle,” Zornes said.

As AI takes on some of these lower-level tasks, Zornes said, workers can focus on more creative projects.

“With AI, the floor has been raised, but so has the ceiling,” she added. “We have an opportunity to create more, to be more imaginative.”

The uneven impact of AI

The shift to AI-augmented work may not benefit all workers equally, however.

Salesforce’s Xu said AI’s impact won’t be evenly distributed between high and low performers. “The near-term impact of AI will largely be that we’re going to take the bottom 50 percentile performers inside a role and bring them into the top 50 percentile,” she said. “If you’re in the top 10 percentile, the superstar salespeople, creatives, the impact of AI is actually much less.”

While leaders were keen to emphasize that AI will augment, rather than replace, creative workers, the shift could reshape some traditional career ladders and impact workforce development. If AI agents handle entry-level execution work, companies may need to hire fewer people, and some learning opportunities may disappear for younger workers. 

Ami Palan, senior managing director at Accenture Song, said that to successfully implement AI agents, companies may need to change the way they think about their corporate structure and workforce.

“We can build the most robust technology solution and consider it the Ferrari,” she said. “But if the culture and the organization of people are not enabled in terms of how to use that, that Ferrari is essentially stuck in traffic.”

Read more from Brainstorm AI:

Cursor developed an internal AI help desk that handles 80% of its employees’ support tickets, says the $29 billion startup’s CEO

OpenAI COO Brad Lightcap says ‘code red’ will force the company to focus, as the ChatGPT maker ramps up enterprise push

Amazon robotaxi service Zoox to start charging for rides in 2026, with ‘laser focus’ on transporting people, not deliveries, says cofounder



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Trump says ‘starting’ land strikes over drugs in latest warning

Published

on



President Donald Trump said the US would be “starting” land strikes on drug operations in Latin America, though again declined to provide details on when and where the escalation of his military campaign would actually begin, or if countries could still do anything to avert the threatened action.

“We knocked out 96% of the drugs coming in by water, and now we’re starting by land, and by land is a lot easier, and that’s going to start happening,” Trump told reporters Friday in the Oval Office.

The US president for days has been pledging to broaden the effort, which comes after the Pentagon has launched a series of attacks on what it has called drug-smuggling boats in international waters off the coast of South America.

While Trump’s posturing has largely been seen as a pressure campaign against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, he on Friday insisted the land targeting may not only impact Venezuela.

Read more: Trump Says US Eyes Land Strikes Next After Drug Boat Attacks

“It doesn’t necessarily have to be in Venezuela,” he said, adding that “people that are bringing in drugs to our country are targets.” 

Trump has justified the actions in part by framing the fight against drug smuggling as akin to combat operations. He told reporters that if overdose deaths were counted like combat deaths, it would be “like a war that would be unparalleled.”

Striking targets on land would represent a major escalation, and Maduro earlier this week said that if his nation came under foreign attack, the working class should mount a “general insurrectionary strike” and push for “an even more radical revolution.”

Join us at the Fortune Workplace Innovation Summit May 19–20, 2026, in Atlanta. The next era of workplace innovation is here—and the old playbook is being rewritten. At this exclusive, high-energy event, the world’s most innovative leaders will convene to explore how AI, humanity, and strategy converge to redefine, again, the future of work. Register now.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © Miami Select.