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The 5 biggest global business rivalries to watch, and how their outcomes will shape the future

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Power is precarious: The more of it you possess, the more competitors you attract, gunning for your customers, star employees, and market share. We drilled down on five of the biggest rivalries in business, across chips, AI, EVs, investing and finance, and energy. And though these incumbents and rising rivals are fierce, never count out the dark horses who are hungry for a spot at the top.

Check out the 2025 Fortune Most Powerful People list here.


AI chips

Jensen Huang
CEO, President, and Cofounder, Nvidia — U.S.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang might be forgiven for taking a moment to savor his company’s meteoric rise to the top of the stock market, driven by soaring demand for its high-performance chips that power generative AI. Now the most valuable company in the world, Nvidia controls over 90% of the market for the specialized chips used to train and run AI systems—cementing its dominance in the hardware race fueling the AI boom. Still, Huang is keeping an eye on the horizon. AMD is positioning itself as a viable alternative, while startups like Groq, Cerebras, and SambaNova are betting on custom chips designed to accelerate AI inference. None pose a serious threat to Nvidia’s dominance—yet.

Lisa Su
CEO and Chair, AMD — U.S.

AMD CEO Lisa Su never met her first cousin once removed, Jensen Huang, until both had risen to lead two of the most powerful chipmakers in the world. “There were no family dinners,” Su said in a recent interview. “It is an interesting coincidence.” But the two can’t avoid each other now. With corporate headquarters just miles apart in the same Silicon Valley town, AMD is pushing hard to establish itself as a viable second source for AI chips amid surging demand. The company has secured wins from major players like Microsoft and Meta—both eager to diversify their supply chains and reduce dependence on Nvidia’s tightly controlled hardware and software ecosystem. —Sharon Goldman


Musk: Win McNamee—Getty Images; Wang: VCG/Getty Images

Electric vehicles

Elon Musk
CEO, Cofounder, and other roles, Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and others — U.S.

Elon Musk, the man who brought EVs to the masses, has seen Tesla’s fortunes erode as he gets entangled in social media and politics. Tesla’s annual deliveries in 2024 declined for the first time ever, and have continued to decline year over year each quarter since. Musk has bet the future on Tesla’s AI and camera-only self-driving system, with a soft robotaxi launch in June and the ongoing development of its humanoid robot. Critics argue the company’s self-driving tech is well behind that of competitors like Alphabet’s Waymo and BYD. While Tesla is still the most valuable auto company in the world, it’s not clear it will keep the top spot.

Wang Chuanfu
CEO, Chairman, and Founder, BYD — China

The late Charlie Munger, one of the most successful investors of all time, described Wang Chuanfu, founder and CEO of BYD, as a hardworking “genius.” In 2023, when BYD began dueling with Tesla for the top spot in EV sales, the U.S. auto industry started paying attention. BYD’s affordable models, ultrafast charging technology, and complimentary driver assistance systems have helped the company garner 20% of the global EV market. BYD is also the world’s second-largest EV battery manufacturer to date, with its innovative Blade Battery using iron and phosphate to help keep prices low. —Jessica Mathews


ALTMAN: JOEL SAGET—AFP/Getty Images; Zuckerberg: Chris Unger—Zuffa LLC

Artificial Intelligence

Sam Altman
CEO and Cofounder, OpenAI — U.S.

Altman’s leadership of OpenAI has made him one of Silicon Valley’s most powerful, and polarizing, figures. The AI company is rapidly ascending to tech’s top table, with more than 780 million weekly ChatGPT users, big corporate and government customers, and expansion plans in areas ranging from office productivity software to a new hardware device being built by former Apple designer Jony Ive. Valued at almost $300 billion in a venture capital round led by SoftBank in March, OpenAI is on track to generate more than $10 billion in revenue this year (while still losing billions of dollars annually).

Mark Zuckerberg
CEO, Chairman, and Founder, Meta — U.S.

Altman’s meteoric rise has made him plenty of enemies. He fell out with Elon Musk years ago and has clashed recently with Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, who has been poaching OpenAI staff with multimillion-dollar comp packages. Google DeepMind competes with OpenAI to build the most capable AI models, and ChatGPT also poses an existential risk to Google’s dominance of internet search. Meanwhile, there’s no love lost between Altman and the Anthropic cofounders, who defected from OpenAI in 2021 in part because of concerns about Altman’s leadership and commitment to AI safety. —Jeremy Kahn


Dimon: Al Drago—Bloomberg/Getty Images; ROWAN: Yuki Iwamura—Bloomberg/Getty Images

Finance

Jamie Dimon
CEO and Chairman, JPMorgan Chase — U.S.

As he closes in on his 20th anniversary as CEO of the country’s biggest bank, Jamie Dimon is the undisputed dean of Wall Street and is poised to go down in history as one of the greatest bankers of all time. In times of crisis, the markets turn to Dimon as a source of clear and unvarnished authority. His stature grew in 2024 when he led JPMorgan Chase to record profits of $58.5 billion on $278.9 billion in revenue. Dimon has also responded to growing competition from the private equity world by having JPM establish private credit facilities of its own—and issuing a warning shot to Apollo and others to stop poaching junior bankers.

Marc Rowan
CEO, Chair, and Cofounder, Apollo Global Management — U.S.

Marc Rowan, a onetime corporate lawyer, has emerged in recent years as the dominant figure in the fast-growing world of private equity. In 2021, Rowan became CEO of Apollo, which he cofounded, and carved out a bold strategic shift revolving around private credit, a field that has doubled over the past five years to around $2 trillion. The pivot was highly lucrative, helping Apollo notch $1.49 billion in profits in Q4 of 2024. Rowan’s private credit charge poses a growing challenge to traditional banks like JPMorgan Chase, as Apollo and others become the go-to lending venues for large companies and institutions. —Jeff John Roberts


Woods: Andrey Rudakov—Bloomberg/Getty Images; Wirth: Hollie Adams—Bloomberg/Getty Images

Energy

Darren Woods
CEO and Chairman, Exxon Mobil — U.S.

Having missed out on the U.S. shale gas boom, Exxon Mobil was playing catch-up when Darren Woods took over as CEO in 2017. While it was the largest publicly traded company by market cap as recently as mid-2013, Exxon bottomed out amid the pandemic in 2020 when it was kicked out of the Dow, and archrival Chevron briefly surpassed it in value for the first time ever. But Woods’ focus on capital discipline, shareholder returns, and M&A has Exxon back on top of the industry, where it leads shale output in the booming Permian Basin. Its oil discoveries in offshore Guyana are the envy of the energy world.

Mike Wirth
CEO and Chairman, Chevron — U.S.

A Chevron lifer who joined as an engineer in 1982, Mike Wirth took over in 2018—one year after Woods at Exxon Mobil. After serving as the energy darling of investors for a few years, Chevron now faces a revitalized Exxon. They’re rivals in the Permian Basin. They just settled a long arbitration rivalry over a dispute in Guyana. They’re even rivals in the burgeoning U.S. lithium business. Both stayed focused on fossil fuels and related low-carbon ventures while Europeans BP and Shell struggled to grow green energy. Meanwhile, TotalEnergies is the only oil major doubling down on a renewable energy focus. —Jordan Blum

This article appears in the August/September 2025 issue of Fortune.



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A Thanksgiving dealmaking sprint helped Netflix win Warner Bros.

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The Netflix Inc. plans that clinched the deal for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. started to shape up around Thanksgiving. 

deadline was looming: Warner Bros. had asked bidders, which also included Paramount Skydance Corp. and Comcast Corp., to have their latest proposals and contracts in by the Monday after the holiday, following a round about a week earlier. The suitors were told to put their best foot forward.

While most Americans were watching football and feasting on turkey, Netflix executives and advisers hunkered down to finalize a binding offer and a $59 billion bridge loan from banks, one of the biggest of its kind. That gave the streaming company the ammunition to make a mostly cash-and-stock bid that helped it prevail over Comcast and David Ellison’s Paramount, according to people familiar with the matter.

The resulting $72 billion deal, announced Friday, is set to bring about a seismic shift in the entertainment business — if it can survive intense regulatory scrutiny and a potential fight from Paramount. This account of Netflix’s surprise victory in the biggest M&A auction of the year is based on interviews with half a dozen people involved in negotiations. They asked not to be identified because the details are confidential.

The sales process had kicked off with several unsolicited bids from Paramount Skydance, itself a newly formed company after a merger this year orchestrated by Ellison. He’s now the studio’s chief executive officer and controlling shareholder, with backing from his father, Oracle Corp. billionaire Larry Ellison. 

Paramount’s early move gave it a head start in the bidding process weeks before other would-be buyers got access to information. But the post-Thanksgiving deadline for second-round bids became a turning point by giving Netflix time to catch up and assemble the documents it needed, some of the people said. And since the streaming giant was bred in the fast-paced ethos of Silicon Valley, it could move quickly. 

When the binding bids arrived that Monday, Netflix’s offer emerged as superior, the people said.

One issue was the Warner Bros. camp had doubts about how Paramount would pay for the company, which owns sprawling Hollywood studios, the HBO network and a vast film and TV library. Paramount’s offer included financing from Apollo Global Management Inc. and several Middle Eastern funds, and it had conveyed that its bid was fully backstopped by the Ellisons. Still, Warner Bros. executives were privately concerned about the certainty of the financing, people familiar with the matter said.

Representatives for Netflix and Warner Bros. declined to comment.

‘Noble’ vs ‘Prince’

In the weeks leading up to the finale, Warner Bros. advisers set up war rooms at various hotels in midtown Manhattan. A core group holed up at the Loews Regency, which has long been a convening spot for the city’s movers and shakers.

Inside Warner Bros., the situation was known as “Project Sterling.” The company called itself by the code name “Wonder.” The team referred to Netflix as “Noble,” while Paramount was “Prince” and Comcast was “Charm.”

At Netflix, Chief Financial Officer Spencer Neumann served as the point man while corporate development head Devorah Bertucci organized people day-to-day. Chief Legal Officer David Hyman and Spencer Wang, vice president of finance, investor relations and corporate development, also were key architects, with all of them reporting into co-CEOs Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters.

The contours of the deal were shaped in a way befitting of a tech company: mostly over video chat or phone rather than in person. Virtual war rooms were set up. While strategizing or discussing diligence on Zoom, participants would raise virtual hands or make suggestions over chat rather than unmuting and slowing down the meeting. Google Docs were used to review and edit documents together in real time.

Talks heated up this week, with Warner Bros. advisers in continuous dialogue with the bidders and negotiating contract language and value. Comcast said it would merge its NBCUniversal division with Warner Bros. Paramount offered to more than double its proposed breakup fee to $5 billion to sweeten its deal and outshine rivals. 

In the end, Warner Bros. determined Netflix had the best offer and the company was the most flexible on key terms. On Wednesday, Paramount lobbed an aggressively worded letter to Warner Bros. board saying the sales process was “tainted.” It also identified what it saw as regulatory risks in the Netflix proposal, one sign that a winning outcome was slipping away for Paramount. 

Netflix found out Thursday evening New York time that it had won. Executives and advisers were assembled on a video call when they got the official word, sparking a moment of jubilation before everyone snapped into action. By 10:25 p.m., Bloomberg News broke the news that a deal was imminent. 

Even Sarandos made it sound like the ending was a twist on a conference call with investors. “I know some of you are surprised that we’re making this acquisition, and I certainly understand why,” he said. “Over the years, we have been known to be builders, not buyers.”

Regardless of whether Paramount reemerges to try and top the bid, Netflix will have work ahead of it. It has agreed to pay a $5.8 billion breakup fee to Warner Bros. if the transaction fails on regulatory grounds. The company also has to digest its largest acquisition ever.

“It’s going to be a lot of hard work,” co-CEO Peters said on the conference call. “We’re not experts at doing large-scale M&A, but we’ve done a lot of things historically that we didn’t know how to do.”



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‘Its own research shows they encourage addiction’: Highest court in Mass. hears case about Instagram, Facebook effect on kids

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Massachusetts’ highest court heard oral arguments Friday in the state’s lawsuit arguing that Meta designed features on Facebook and Instagram to make them addictive to young users.

The lawsuit, filed in 2024 by Attorney General Andrea Campbell, alleges that Meta did this to make a profit and that its actions affected hundreds of thousands of teenagers in Massachusetts who use the social media platforms.

“We are making claims based only on the tools that Meta has developed because its own research shows they encourage addiction to the platform in a variety of ways,” said State Solicitor David Kravitz, adding that the state’s claim has nothing to do the company’s algorithms or failure to moderate content.

Meta said Friday that it strongly disagrees with the allegations and is “confident the evidence will show our longstanding commitment to supporting young people.” Its attorney, Mark Mosier, argued in court that the lawsuit “would impose liabilities for performing traditional publishing functions” and that its actions are protected by the First Amendment.

“The Commonwealth would have a better chance of getting around the First Amendment if they alleged that the speech was false or fraudulent,” Mosier said. “But when they acknowledge that its truthful that brings it in the heart of the First Amendment.”

Several of the judges, though, seem to more concerned about Meta’s functions such as notifications than the content on its platforms.

“I didn’t understand the claims to be that Meta is relaying false information vis-a-vis the notifications but that it has created an algorithm of incessant notifications … designed so as to feed into the fear of missing out, fomo, that teenagers generally have,” Justice Dalila Wendland said. “That is the basis of the claim.”

Justice Scott Kafker challenged the notion that this was all about a choose to publish certain information by Meta.

“It’s not how to publish but how to attract you to the information,” he said. “It’s about how to attract the eyeballs. It’s indifferent the content, right. It doesn’t care if it’s Thomas Paine’s ‘Common Sense’ or nonsense. It’s totally focused on getting you to look at it.”

Meta is facing federal and state lawsuits claiming it knowingly designed features — such as constant notifications and the ability to scroll endlessly — that addict children.

In 2023, 33 states filed a joint lawsuit against the Menlo Park, California-based tech giant claiming that Meta routinely collects data on children under 13 without their parents’ consent, in violation of federal law. In addition, states including Massachusetts filed their own lawsuits in state courts over addictive features and other harms to children.

Newspaper reports, first by The Wall Street Journal in the fall of 2021, found that the company knew about the harms Instagram can cause teenagers — especially teen girls — when it comes to mental health and body image issues. One internal study cited 13.5% of teen girls saying Instagram makes thoughts of suicide worse and 17% of teen girls saying it makes eating disorders worse.

Critics say Meta hasn’t done enough to address concerns about teen safety and mental health on its platforms. A report from former employee and whistleblower Arturo Bejar and four nonprofit groups this year said Meta has chosen not to take “real steps” to address safety concerns, “opting instead for splashy headlines about new tools for parents and Instagram Teen Accounts for underage users.”

Meta said the report misrepresented its efforts on teen safety.

___

Associated Press reporter Barbara Ortutay in Oakland, California, contributed to this report.



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Quant who said passive era is ‘worse than Marxism’ doubles down

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Inigo Fraser Jenkins once warned that passive investing was worse for society than Marxism. Now he says even that provocative framing may prove too generous.

In his latest note, the AllianceBernstein strategist argues that the trillions of dollars pouring into index funds aren’t just tracking markets — they are distorting them. Big Tech’s dominance, he says, has been amplified by passive flows that reward size over substance. Investors are funding incumbents by default, steering more capital to the biggest names simply because they already dominate benchmarks.

He calls it a “dystopian symbiosis”: a feedback loop between index funds and platform giants like Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Nvidia Corp. that concentrates power, stifles competition, and gives the illusion of safety. Unlike earlier market cycles driven by fundamentals or active conviction, today’s flows are automatic, often indifferent to risk.

Fraser Jenkins is hardly alone in sounding the alarm. But his latest critique has reignited a debate that’s grown harder to ignore. Just 10 companies now account for more than a third of the S&P 500’s value, with tech names driving an outsize share of 2025’s gains.

“Platform companies and a lack of active capital allocation both imply a less effective form of capitalism with diminished competition,” he wrote in a Friday note. “A concentrated market and high proportion of flows into cap weighted ‘passive’ indices leads to greater risks should recent trends reverse.” 

While the emergence of behemoth companies might be reflective of more effective uses of technology, it could also be the result of failures of anti-trust policies, among other things, he argues. Artificial intelligence might intensify these issues and could lead to even greater concentrations of power among firms. 

His note, titled “The Dystopian Symbiosis: Passive Investing and Platform Capitalism,” is formatted as a fictional dialog between three people who debate the topic. One of the characters goes as far as to argue that the present situation requires an active policy intervention — drawing comparisons to the breakup of Standard Oil at the start of the 20th century — to restore competition.

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In a provocative note titled “The Silent Road to Serfdom: Why Passive Investing is Worse Than Marxism” and written nearly a decade ago, Fraser Jenkins argued that the rise of index-tracking investing would lead to greater stock correlations, which would impede “the efficient allocation of capital.” His employer, AllianceBernstein, has continued to launch ETFs since the famous research was published, though its launches have been actively managed. 

Other active managers have presented similar viewpoints — managers at Apollo Global Management last year said the hidden costs of the passive-investing juggernaut included higher volatility and lower liquidity. 

There have been strong rebuttals to the critique: a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. study showed the role of fundamentals remains an all-powerful driver for stock valuations; Citigroup Inc. found that active managers themselves exert a far bigger influence than their passive rivals on a stock’s performance relative to its industry.

“ETFs don’t ruin capitalism, they exemplify it,” said Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg Intelligence’s senior ETF analyst. “The competition and innovation are through the roof. That is capitalism in its finest form and the winner in that is the investor.”

Since Fraser Jenkins’s “Marxism” note, the passive juggernaut has only grown. Index-tracking ETFs, which have grown in popularity thanks to their ease of trading and relatively cheaper management fees, are often cited as one of the primary culprits in this debate. The segment has raked in $842 billion so far this year, compared with the $438 billion hauled in by actively managed funds, even as there are more active products than there are passive ones, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Of the more than $13 trillion that’s in ETFs overall, $11.8 trillion is parked in passive vehicles. The majority of ETF ownership is concentrated in low-cost index funds that have significantly reduced the cost for investors to access financial markets. 

In Fraser Jenkins’s new note, one of his fictitious characters ask another what the “dystopian symbiosis” implies for investors. 

“The passive index is riskier than it has been in the past,” the character answers. “The scale of the flows that have been disproportionately into passive cap-weighted funds with a high exposure to the mega cap companies implies the risk of a significant negative wealth effect if there is an upset to expectations for those large companies.”



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