Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 8.19.26

Good Wednesday morning.

Florida voters went into Primary Election Day expecting a surge at the polls. Fresh polling from Sachs Media, fielded Tuesday, found 54% anticipated higher-than-usual turnout, while 33% expected participation to land around normal levels; 14% predicted a drop.

The actual result was far less dramatic. Roughly 1 in 4 Florida voters cast a ballot in the 2026 Primary, putting turnout closer to the state’s usual Primary participation rate than the elevated levels most voters expected.

The poll also found a notable partisan divide over the ballot choices. Overall, 46% of partisan voters said they were satisfied with their Primary options. That included 56% of Republicans, compared with just 36% of Democrats.

Those feelings may help explain the turnout expectations. Voters who said they were satisfied with the candidates on their ballots were also more likely to predict that turnout would exceed normal levels, suggesting enthusiasm shaped perceptions of how energized the broader electorate would be.

“Voters project their own enthusiasm onto the electorate,” Sachs Media Chief Research Officer Karen Cyphers said. “If you’ve found a candidate worth showing up for, you tend to assume others have, too.”

— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —

—@RealDonaldTrump: There are no talks or conversations going on or scheduled with the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Naval Blockade remains in full force and effect. The Hormuz Strait is open and operating. All water mines have been removed or detonated. Thank you for your attention to this matter!

Tweet, tweet:

—@Juarez_Brock: Congratulations, @ByronDonalds, on becoming Florida’s Republican nominee for Governor. Praying for God’s wisdom and clarity for you and your family as you prepare to lead this great state. To my fellow Republicans: the battle has been fought, and a victor has been chosen. Now we unite.

—@ZacharyDonnini: Another small sample, but (James) Fishback won 89% of the vote in the Florida State University precinct. We’ll aggregate results across these campus precincts tomorrow for a broader look at his performance with younger voters.

—@AVindman: Who would’ve ever thought that a Jewish refugee would make it to the U.S. Army, to the White House, and to becoming a candidate for the U.S. Senate? Only in America is that possible, and it would not have been possible without you, Florida. I still believe in the American Dream because I’ve lived it. It’s worth fighting for. Rep. (Angie) Nixon ran a strong campaign. I will be standing by her side in the fight against Ashley Moody. I hope you’ll join me.

—@kkondik: Crystal Ball Senate rating change FL-SEN moves from Likely R to Safe R after Angie Nixon upsets Alexander Vindman in the Dem Primary.

—@NathanBrand: Wow wow wow Craziness in the Florida Democrat Senate Primary > Chuck Schumer and national Dems rally around Alex Vindman > Vindman raises $16+ mil > Socialist Angie Nixon raises less than $1 mil > Nixon has no national help, besides Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib > Tonight, Socialist Nixon DEFEATS Schumer’s pick Vindman

—@JayCollinsFL: Tonight, I’m filled with gratitude. Thank you to everyone who volunteered, prayed, encouraged others, and cast a vote. This campaign has always been about serving Florida, and I’m honored by your support. God bless you, and God bless the great state of Florida.

—@GunaRockYa: Oliver Gilbert’s win in the FL-24 Primary (I still think of it as FL-17 lol) shows how pivotal @RepWilson’s endorsement was. She is the matriarch of the community and literally passed the torch to him. Voters trusted her judgment and took her cue.

—@AlanLevine04: Just so there is no misunderstanding … while every Governor since Jeb Bush has performed well during disasters, it was Team @JebBush, @WCraigFugate that built the modern disaster response that is the envy of the country in Florida. I was there by Jeb’s and Craig’s side as we built the most robust response machine ever seen through 8 major hurricanes. A lot is being said about (Kevin) Guthrie, and he may be good, but I will never let anyone forget who created the modern disaster response machine… and that man is Jeb Bush.

—@JDubyaGrant: Kevin knows something the rest of the world doesn’t. It’s either: A: Jay Collins will shock the world tonight, and being an LG in Florida, a job with zero actual responsibility, is better than FDEM. or B. Something else that justifies burning it all down.

—@MarcACaputo: As a FL legislator, Mike Caruso supported death penalty for pedophiles in 2023. Now he has been arrested for allegedly molesting his grandson. The state plans to present the case to a grand jury, and that could lead to his own execution if he’s charged and convicted under that law

—@SollenbergerRC: Wait, did (Gov. Ron) DeSantis appoint this guy *after* his wife accused him in court of sexually assaulting a child

—@LeonardKL: Seeing lots of quoting of Florida Playbook and my articles on X. My work is very time-consuming. The cool thing about journalism being online is that you can not just clip screen grabs of my stories, but you can also LINK to them. Not doing so is improper attribution.

— DAYS UNTIL —

‘The Dog Stars,’ directed by Ridley Scott, premieres — 8; Florida TaxWatch Government Productivity Awards — 12; NFL regular season kicks off — 20; Republican National Midterm Convention — 20; San Francisco 49ers face the Los Angeles Rams in the first-ever NFL regular-season game in Melbourne, Australia — 21; Yankees host the Mets for the 9/11 anniversary — 22; MLB Roberto Clemente Day — 26; General Election UOCAVA ballot deadline — 30; Tampa Bay Buccaneers home opener against the Cleveland Browns — 31; General Election domestic ballot send window begins — 35; General Election domestic ballot send deadline — 42; ‘Digger,’ with Tom Cruise, directed by Alejandro G. Iñárritu, premieres — 43; General Election voter-registration deadline — 46; ‘The Social Network’ sequel, with Jeremy Strong, Jeremy Allen White and Mikey Madison, premieres — 50; ‘VisionQuest’ premieres — 55; Optional General early voting begins — 60; ‘Six Kings Slam’ on Netflix — 62; Florida TaxWatch Fiscal Accountability Leadership Summit begins — 62; General Election ballot request deadline — 63; Mandatory General early voting begins — 65; General Election — 75; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero’ premieres — 78; ‘Wild Horse Nine’ premieres — 78; Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 83; ‘Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol’ starring Johnny Depp premieres — 85; ‘Paper Tiger’ starring Adam Driver premieres — 85; Joe Biden’s memoir, ‘Promise Me,’ releases — 89; New legislator training sessions — 89; Senate convenes for general organization and selection of officers — 89; ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ premieres — 92; ‘The Adventures of Cliff Booth,’ with Brad Pitt, directed by David Fincher and written by Quentin Tarantino, premieres — 97; ‘Madden’ premieres — 98; Committee Week #1 — 102; Untitled ‘Star Wars’ movie premieres — 120; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 120; ‘Dune: Part 3,’ directed by Denis Villeneuve, premieres — 120; Committee Week #2 — 137; Committee Week #3 — 144; ‘Ahsoka’ season 2 premieres — 153; College Football Playoff national championship game in Las Vegas — 158; Committee Week #4 — 165; Grammys — 171; Committee Week #5 — 172; Super Bowl LXI — 178; Committee Week #6 — 179; Opening day of the 2027 Regular Legislative Session — 194; Tampa Mayoral Election — 194; ‘The Thomas Crown Affair,’ directed by and starring Michael B. Jordan premieres — 197; Oscars — 206; Jacksonville First Election — 215; Miami Marlins Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. New York Mets — 217; Tampa Bay Rays Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. Baltimore Orioles — 217; Democratic Mayors Association 2027 annual summit in Miami begins — 237; Jacksonville General Election — 271; ‘Star Wars: Starfighter’ premieres — 281; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ premieres — 289; Citrus Series — Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins — 330; ‘The Bluey Movie’ premieres — 351; ‘Miami Vice’ reboot premieres — 351; Citrus Series — Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays — 386; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 484; 2028 South Carolina Presidential Primary — 520; College Football Playoff national championship game in New Orleans — 522; 2028 Nevada Presidential Primary — 530; 2028 New Hampshire Presidential Primary — 537; 2028 New Mexico Presidential Primary — 544; ‘The Batman Part II’ premieres — 547; 2028 Michigan Presidential Primary — 551; 2028 Virginia Presidential Primary — 558; Oscars — 563; ‘X-Men’ premieres — 624; ‘Lilo & Stitch 2’ premieres — 645; ‘Incredibles 3’ premieres — 666; 2028 Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 694; ‘Ghost Rider’ premieres — 708; 2028 U.S. Presidential Election — 810; ‘Black Panther 3’ premieres — 848; ‘Black Panther 3’ directed by Ryan Coogler premieres — 848; College Football Playoff national championship game in Tampa — 886; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1,210; College Football Playoff national championship game in Miami — 1,250; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 1,941.

— TOP STORY —

“Gov. Ron DeSantis appointee for Clerk of Courts, Mike Caruso, arrested on child sexual abuse charges” via Shira Moolten of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Caruso, the Palm Beach County Clerk of Courts and a staunch ally of DeSantis, was arrested on charges linked to the child sexual abuse of his grandson, state officials announced.

DeSantis also announced that Caruso was suspended from public office.

The suspension order included an arrest warrant out of Orange County indicating that Caruso is facing five felony charges: Kidnapping, lewd or lascivious molestation, lewd or lascivious exhibition, luring or enticing a child, and child abuse (mental injury). The sexual abuse began in 2024 and continued until at least August 2025, according to a probable cause affidavit.

The victim of the sexual abuse was one of Caruso’s grandchildren, a boy under the age of 12, according to the affidavit. Caruso has seven children.

The boy’s father, Caruso’s son, became aware of the sexual abuse in October 2025, when he saw his son engaging in sexual behavior with his younger brother, according to a probable cause affidavit.

When the boy’s father intervened, the boy told him that, when he was on a cruise with Caruso over the Summer, Caruso had showered with him and performed a sex act, according to the affidavit.

During an interview with investigators, the boy also revealed that Caruso had molested him in the days leading up to Thanksgiving 2024.

When Caruso’s son confronted him about the allegations, Caruso said he showered with all of his own children but denied showering with the victim, according to the affidavit. Caruso also asked if the victim’s father had spoken with Caruso’s former wife, characterizing her as “evil” and saying she had possibly “fabricated the allegations in an effort to poison the child against him.”

“DeSantis says Caruso faces ‘world of hurt’ if convicted” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — DeSantis said his administration was unaware of a prior child sexual abuse allegation involving former Palm Beach County Clerk Caruso before appointing him last year. Caruso was arrested on charges alleging sexual assault, kidnapping and molestation of a child under 12. DeSantis said the state investigation was handled by law enforcement and the statewide prosecutor, adding that removing Caruso from office was an easy decision once the arrest occurred. The Governor also pointed to Florida laws increasing penalties for child sexual abuse, saying Caruso would be “in for a world of hurt” if convicted. Shannon Ramsey-Chessman has since been sworn in as interim Clerk.

— 2026 —

“Angie Nixon scores stunning upset over Alex Vindman in Senate Primary” via Matt Dixon of NBC News — State Rep. Nixon pulled off a major upset in Florida’s Democratic U.S. Senate Primary, defeating heavily favored Vindman and advancing to face Republican Sen. Moody. Vindman, a retired Army lieutenant colonel who gained national attention during President Donald Trump’s first impeachment, raised more than $16 million compared with less than $1 million for Nixon. Nixon campaigned as an insurgent progressive and a member of the Democratic Socialists of America, promoting Medicare for All, universal childcare, affordable housing, and fully funded public education. Vindman quickly endorsed Nixon after conceding, while national Democratic leaders also rallied behind her. Moody easily won her Republican Primary and immediately framed November as a fight against socialism. Nixon and Moody are competing for the final two years of the Senate term Marco Rubio won in 2022.

“Ashley Moody cruises through GOP Primary, faces Nixon next” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — U.S. Sen. Moody easily won the Republican Primary, taking nearly 80% of the vote and continuing an undefeated electoral streak dating to her first judicial race in 2006. Moody, appointed to the Senate last year by DeSantis after Rubio became Secretary of State, defeated Christopher Gleason, Ernie Rivera, and Neelam Perry. She now faces Democratic state Rep. Nixon, who upset Vindman with nearly 56% of the Democratic Primary vote. Moody enters the General Election with a major financial advantage, having raised about $11.3 million and retaining roughly $8.4 million cash on hand. No-party candidate Neil Gillespie will also appear on the Nov. 3 ballot.

“Florida Governor’s race is set” via Gary Fineout and Kimberly Leonard of POLITICO — Byron Donalds and David Jolly won their respective Primaries, setting up a General Election that will test Trump’s political strength and Democrats’ hopes of breaking a decadeslong losing streak for Governor. Donalds, a Trump-backed Republican, defeated Lt. Gov. Collins and other GOP rivals despite receiving no Primary endorsement from DeSantis, who later pledged support for the Republican ticket. Jolly, a former Republican Congressman turned Democrat, is pitching a moderate coalition of Democrats, independents and disaffected Republicans focused heavily on affordability. Donalds enters November with a substantial financial and voter-registration advantage, but recent polling has shown a potentially competitive race. Both candidates are already attacking the other as too ideologically extreme for Florida.

“David Jolly edges Byron Donalds in new Florida Governor poll” via Hart Research Associates — Jolly holds a narrow lead over Donalds in a new statewide poll that portrays the Republican as vulnerable heading toward November. Hart Research Associates found Jolly leading Donalds 46%-45% among likely Florida voters, despite a sample where Republicans outnumber Democrats 43%-31%. Jolly posts a 30%-20% favorable-to-unfavorable rating, while Donalds is underwater at 40%-43%. The biggest separation comes among independents: Donalds’ ratings are 34% favorable and 48% unfavorable, while Jolly maintains a positive profile. Jolly leads Donalds 48%-37% among independents and 49%-42% among Hispanics while taking 18% of registered Republicans. Donalds receives just 7% of the Democratic vote. The Aug. 10-13 survey of 600 likely voters carries a ±4-percentage-point margin of error.

“Blaise Ingoglia, Annette Taddeo advance to CFO showdown” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — Republican CFO Ingoglia and former Democratic state Sen. Taddeo easily won their Primaries, setting up a Nov. 3 General Election matchup. Ingoglia captured nearly 69% over Frank William Collige, while Taddeo took about 60% against Earle Ford. Ingoglia enters the Fall campaign with a major financial advantage, holding about $759,000 in his campaign account and nearly $5 million across two political committees. Taddeo had roughly $30,000 available in her campaign account and another $31,000 through her political committee. Ingoglia, appointed CFO last year by DeSantis, previously served in the Legislature. Taddeo is also a former lawmaker and was Charlie Crist’s 2014 running mate.

“Wilton Simpson runs away with GOP nomination for Agriculture Commissioner; Democrat Joey Mendoza Atkins advances to General Election” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — The race for Agriculture Commissioner pitted an old hand in Florida politics against a newcomer in the Republican field, while Democrats squared off to get to the General Election in November. Incumbent Simpson fended off a challenge from Matt Taylor on the GOP side. But Simpson had a wealth of cash available to him and was never seriously threatened. With 68.91% of the vote, Simpson had little trouble advancing to the General Election. Taylor received 31.09% of the vote, and about 1.58 million ballots were cast. Meanwhile, Democrat Atkins wrecked the campaign of Donald A. “Don” Prichard. Atkins garnered 60.27% of that party’s vote while Prichard registered 39.73% of the 1.16 million ballots.

— MORE ELECTIONS: CONGRESSIONAL, PART 1 —

“Jimmy Patronis cruises through CD 1 GOP Primary” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Patronis easily secured the Republican nomination for a full term representing Florida’s 1st Congressional District, winning nearly 73% of the vote. Green Beret John Frankman finished with 18%, while F3Defense founder Douglas Chico received 10%. Patronis entered the race with significant advantages as an incumbent and former two-term statewide Chief Financial Officer, raising $1.29 million through late July. He first won the Panhandle seat in last year’s Special Election after former U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz resigned and has emphasized his support for Trump’s agenda and military spending. Patronis now faces Democrat Gay Valimont in November. Valimont outperformed expectations against him in the Special Election, including carrying Escambia County, but CD 1 remains strongly Republican: nearly 68% of District voters backed Trump in 2024.

“Austin Rogers wins crowded GOP Primary to succeed Neal Dunn” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Rogers emerged from an eight-candidate Republican field to win the nomination for Florida’s 2nd Congressional District, taking about 28% of the vote. The former General Counsel to U.S. Sen. Rick Scott overcame a spending disadvantage and attacks over his recent years in Washington by emphasizing his Panama City-area roots and conservative credentials. Lawyer Keith Gross finished with 17%, narrowly ahead of Purple Heart veteran Luke Murphy, while Republican Party of Florida Chair Evan Power took 16%. A super PAC supporting Rogers spent more than $1.6 million, much of it attacking Gross over his Democratic past. Rogers also collected endorsements from prominent congressional Republicans and raised more than $1 million. He now faces Democrat Amanda Marie Green in November.

—”Amanda Marie Green wins Democratic nomination in CD 2” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics

“L.J. Holloway wins contentious CD 4 Democratic Primary” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Holloway emerged from a bruising Democratic Primary in Florida’s 4th Congressional District, taking about 57% of the vote over Michael Kirwan and Brit Robinson. Holloway now gets a third shot at Republican U.S. Rep. Aaron Bean, though the GOP-friendly District and Bean’s $2 million-plus fundraising operation make November an uphill climb. The Primary exposed Democratic divisions, with Kirwan touting establishment endorsements and questioning Holloway’s legal credentials, while Holloway portrayed him as a wealthy former Republican backed by big donors. Civil rights lawyer Ben Crump supported Holloway. CD 4 combines Democratic-performing Jacksonville neighborhoods with Republican-leaning areas of Nassau and Clay counties.

“Randy Fine caught snooping inside home’s mailbox” via Martin E. Comas of Orlando Sentinel — U.S. Rep. Fine will not face federal charges after he was caught Sunday on a security camera peeking inside the porch mailbox of an Ormond Beach home and flipping through each letter. On the security video, Fine — wearing a red hat and blue shirt from his campaign — is seen walking onto the front porch, ringing the doorbell, then looking around for a moment before opening the wall-mounted mailbox and rifling through individual letters. He does not remove anything from the mailbox, nor does he place anything inside. A woman called the Ormond Beach Police to report that she was watching remotely via her Ring camera app and saw a man going through her mailbox. The TMZ website also reported that the homeowner did not want to press charges.

—”Fine secures GOP nomination, fending off millions spent by Dan Bilzerian” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics

“Eric Yonce wins CD 6 Democratic Primary, will face Randy Fine” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Businessman and former law enforcement officer Yonce won the four-way Democratic Primary in Florida’s 6th Congressional District with 32% of the vote. First responder Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera finished second with 27%, followed by brewery owner Steve Morgan at 23% and Marine veteran Rob Cooper at 18%. Yonce, an Ocala native who later entered real estate and small business, led the Democratic field in fundraising with about $325,000. He now faces Republican U.S. Rep. Fine, who won the seat in a Special Election last year with about 57% despite being significantly outspent. CD 6 remains heavily Republican, making November an uphill contest for Democrats.

“Ryan Elijah ousts Cory Mills in stunning CD 7 upset” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Former broadcaster Elijah pulled off a major upset in CD 7, defeating scandal-plagued incumbent Mills in the Republican Primary. Elijah captured more than 47% of the vote, while Mills took about 34%; Sarah Ulrich and Michael Don Johnson trailed well behind. Elijah entered the race in April and outspent Mills in the final months, capitalizing on ethics investigations and personal controversies surrounding the Congressman. He also secured endorsements from Mike Haridopolos, Anna Paulina Luna, Mike Chitwood, Grady Judd and Dennis Lemma. Elijah now advances to a competitive General Election, where Democrats have targeted the District, and Bale Dalton emerged as their leading contender.

“Bale Dalton wins Democratic Primary, advances to CD 7 showdown” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Former NASA Chief of Staff Dalton secured the Democratic nomination in CD 7, taking more than 45% in Volusia County and defeating fellow veteran Marialana Kinter and former U.S. Rep. Alan Grayson. Dalton now faces Republican Elijah, who upset incumbent Mills in the GOP Primary. The battleground District has drawn national Democratic attention, with the DCCC placing Dalton in its Red-to-Blue program and with Mark Kelly and Pete Buttigieg endorsing him. Dalton also dominated Democratic fundraising, collecting nearly $1.38 million and entering the closing Primary stretch with about $476,000 available. His campaign emphasizes affordability and his military and NASA experience, while portraying Elijah as aligned with Republican economic and foreign policy positions.

“Dan Green edges crowded GOP field, advances to face Darren Soto” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Green won the seven-way Republican Primary in Florida’s 9th Congressional District with 25.4%, narrowly defeating rancher Ben Butler, who took 24.4%. Former Osceola School Board member Thomas Chalifoux finished around 20%, while Jorge Martinez took 19%. Green, an Indian River County Republican who highlighted a past appointment by Trump, spent more than $935,000 after loaning his campaign $1.14 million and collected endorsements from veterans, conservatives and former U.S. Sen. Connie Mack. He now faces Democratic U.S. Rep. Soto in November. Redistricting transformed CD 9 into a far more competitive seat, with Trump receiving 58% of the vote in the 2024 Election under the new boundaries.

“Joe Strada’s CD 11 lead triggers machine recount territory” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Strada holds a razor-thin lead over former Lake County Property Appraiser Carey Baker in the Republican Primary to succeed retiring U.S. Rep. Dan Webster. With all precincts reporting, Strada had 33.52% to Baker’s 33.02%, a 403-vote difference and 0.4958-percentage-point margin — narrow enough to require a machine recount if it remains below 0.5 points when certified. Provisional and other outstanding ballots could still change the margin. Strada poured $5 million of his own money into the campaign and spent about $3 million through July 29. The eventual Republican nominee will face Democrat James Pericola in November and enter as the favorite in a District Trump carried with more than 57% in 2024.

“Kimberly Overman overcomes spending gap to win CD 12 Democratic Primary” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Overman won the Democratic nomination in CD 12, defeating Darren McAuley 53%-47% despite being significantly outspent. McAuley spent nearly $617,000 through July 29, compared with about $182,000 for Overman. He conceded and endorsed Overman for the General Election, pledging to help her defeat Republican U.S. Rep. Gus Bilirakis. National Democrats have increasingly targeted the redrawn District, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee adding it to its “Districts in Play” list. DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene and Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin quickly rallied behind Overman, signaling national support for a Fall campaign expected to focus heavily on affordability, healthcare, education and Bilirakis’ record.

—”Leela Gray wins CD 13 Democratic Primary, advances to face Anna Paulina Luna” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics

“Mike Beltran wins CD 14 GOP Primary, sets up Kathy Castor showdown” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — State Rep. Beltran won the crowded Republican Primary in Florida’s 14th Congressional District, taking 46% of the vote and defeating former state Rep. Kevin Steele, who finished with 30%. Beltran now faces Democratic U.S. Rep. Castor in a newly competitive District reshaped by mid-decade redistricting. The new map would have favored Trump with 55% in 2024, though recent forecasts rate the race a toss-up. Beltran and Steele both heavily self-funded, with Beltran banking $2.1 million and Steele bringing in $2.6 million. Castor, seeking another term after two decades in Congress, has $2.3 million available without personal loans.

“Sydney Gruters wins GOP nomination in race to succeed Vern Buchanan” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Gruters won the Republican nomination in the newly redrawn 16th Congressional District, putting her one step closer to succeeding retiring U.S. Rep. Buchanan. With early-vote tallies in, Gruters has received a majority of the vote in the race against Eddie Speir and Ed Pope. Republican voters ultimately sided with Gruters, making her the District’s first new GOP nominee since Buchanan took office nearly two decades ago. “You have to have a presence. You have to get to know each community the best that you can and give them the confidence that you care and that you’re going to show up when it matters,” Gruters said.

“Jim Schwartzel wins crowded CD 19 Republican Primary” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Schwartzel emerged from a costly 10-candidate Republican Primary to succeed Donalds in CD 19, taking more than 29% of the vote. Catalina Lauf finished second with nearly 22% despite receiving Trump’s endorsement in the campaign’s closing days. Lauf won Election Day voting in Lee and Collier counties but couldn’t overcome Schwartzel’s early-vote advantage. Jim Oberweis finished third with 16%, followed by Madison Cawthorn at 8% and Chris Collins at 7%. Millions were poured into the contest, with Oberweis spending nearly $3.1 million, Collins almost $2.5 million and Schwartzel nearly $1.9 million. Schwartzel now faces Democrat Victor Arias in November, with a significant partisan advantage: Trump carried the Southwest Florida District with 64% in 2024.

— MORE ELECTIONS: CONGRESSIONAL, PART 2 —

“Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins CD 20 Democratic Primary as Black vote splits” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Schultz upset many Black leaders when she opted to seek re-election in a plurality Black seat. The Weston Democrat won almost 46% of the vote. Her closest competitor, former Broward County Mayor Dale Holness, received about 23% of the vote in the Primary, while progressive activist Elijah Manley received about 14%. Indicted ex-U.S. Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick took under 10% of the vote, barely besting rapper-turned-community activist Luther Campbell. “The most important thing was where and whether I could best represent the people of Broward County and ensure that Ron DeSantis isn’t able to dismantle and take apart Broward County’s clout and power,” she said.

“James Martin narrowly wins Democratic nomination in CD 21” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Coast Guard veteran and former White House national security aide Martin edged firefighter-EMT Bernard Taylor by just 359 votes to win the Democratic nomination in Florida’s 21st Congressional District. Martin finished with 50.4% to Taylor’s 49.6% out of nearly 48,000 votes cast. He now advances to the Nov. 3 General Election against Republican U.S. Rep. Brian Mast, no-party candidate Alex Cook and write-in David Fabrikant. Martin campaigned as a pragmatic Democrat focused on affordability, property insurance, healthcare costs, tariffs and water quality. A Hobe Sound native and Coast Guard Reserve lieutenant commander, he previously served in the Vice President’s National Security Office. Mast enters the General Election with a major financial advantage and represents an R+7 District he carried comfortably in 2024.

“Lois Frankel cruises through Primary, draws Deborah Adeimy in CD 23” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Frankel easily won the Democratic Primary in CD 23, taking nearly 75% against Victoria Doyle and Mark Piper. Republican Adeimy likewise dominated her Primary, defeating Paola Branda with 74%. Frankel enters the Nov. 3 General Election as the favorite in a Palm Beach County District made more Democratic by Florida’s new congressional map. Kamala Harris carried the current configuration with more than 56% in 2024, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates it “Safe Democratic.” Frankel is leaning on her congressional seniority, her position on the Appropriations Committee, and her work on Social Security, Medicare, and healthcare costs. Adeimy, making her third congressional run, is campaigning on border security, environmental protection, pharmaceutical costs and tax relief.

“Oliver Gilbert edges Shevrin Jones in crowded CD 24 Primary” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Miami-Dade Commissioner Gilbert emerged from one of Florida’s most-watched congressional Primaries, winning 34.5% in the seven-candidate Democratic field to succeed retiring U.S. Rep. Frederica Wilson. State Sen. Jones finished a close second with 32%, while Kendrick Meek Jr. took 17%. Gilbert now enters the General Election as the overwhelming favorite in the deep-blue District, where nearly 69% backed Kamala Harris in 2024. Republican Te Brown, no-party candidate Andy Daro and write-in candidate Patricia Gonzalez are also on the November ballot. Gilbert led the Democratic field financially, raising more than $812,000 through July. His campaign survived a bruising closing stretch that included attacks over contractor contributions and nearly $1 million in outside spending against him.

“Jared Moskowitz, Scott Singer set for battleground CD 25 showdown” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Moskowitz won the Democratic Primary in the newly redrawn CD 25 with more than 63% over Oliver Larkin, while Republican Singer emerged from a five-way GOP field with 31%. Former Rep. George Moraitis finished second and Dan Franzese third. The General Election is expected to be highly competitive after redistricting shifted the coastal District toward Republicans; Trump carried the new configuration by about 9 points in 2024. Moskowitz enters November with a significant fundraising advantage and has emphasized his bipartisan record and opposition to antisemitism. Singer, a former Boca Raton Mayor, is campaigning on taxes, spending and public safety. Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report rate the seat a toss-up.

“Maria Elvira Salazar easily defeats challenger” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Early votes and mail ballots show Republican U.S. Rep. Salazar easily dispatching first-time candidate Vincent Arias in the Primary for the 27th Congressional District. With early and mail ballots counted, Salazar took 81.8% of the vote to Arias’ 18.2%. Salazar will face either former homicide prosecutor Robin Peguero or longtime Miami television anchor Eliott Rodriguez. Salazar will enter the General Election favored to hold a District that has shifted toward the GOP in recent years. Arias’ most notable endorsement is the nod he got from the Miami Herald editorial board, which praised his “thoughtful approach” while criticizing Salazar for “shying away from answering questions about her record.”

“Eliott Rodriguez defeats Robin Peguero in CD 27 Democratic Primary” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Longtime Miami television anchor Rodriguez defeated his better-funded opponent, former homicide prosecutor Peguero, in the Democratic Primary for the 27th Congressional District. With all but one precinct reporting, Rodriguez led Peguero 53.5% to 46.5%, a difference of about 2,250 votes. The win means Rodriguez has earned the right to take on three-term U.S. Rep. Salazar, who defeated an underfunded Primary challenge from Coconut Grove lawyer Vincent Arias Tuesday.

— EVEN MORE ELECTIONS: LEGISLATIVE, PART 1 —

“Fentrice Driskell defeats Michele Rayner, wins Tampa Bay Senate seat” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — House Democratic Leader Driskell is headed to the Florida Senate after defeating Rep. Rayner in the Democratic Primary for SD 16. Driskell won more than 54% in Pinellas County and nearly 63% in Hillsborough County. With no Republican running, the Primary decided who would succeed term-limited Sen. Darryl Rouson in the District spanning portions of Tampa and St. Petersburg. Both candidates emphasized affordability, public education, healthcare and working families, but offered different political approaches. Driskell, first elected to the House in 2018, became the chamber’s first Black woman to lead a party caucus and built a record that included bipartisan police reforms, sickle-cell funding and historic cemetery preservation. Her Senate campaign also stressed worker protections, Medicaid expansion and property insurance reform.

“Ashley Gantt dominates SD 34 Democratic Primary, heads toward Senate” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Miami Rep. Gantt won the Democratic Primary for Senate District 34 with 62.6% of the vote, putting her in a commanding position to succeed outgoing Sen. Jones. Shannan “Lady” Ighodaro finished with 20.9%, while Christine Sanon-Jules Olivo took 16.5%. Gantt now faces Republican Elizabeth Jeanty in November in a heavily Democratic Miami-Dade District in the northeast. The former teacher and public defender entered Election Day with major advantages in fundraising, endorsements and legislative experience. Her supporters included Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava, Miami Mayor Eileen Higgins, the Senate Democratic Caucus and major labor organizations. Gantt said she plans to focus on public schools, affordable housing, economic opportunity and government accountability.

— EVEN MORE ELECTIONS: LEGISLATIVE, PART 2 —

“Jon Fay dominates HD 2 Republican Primary, advances toward November” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Retired Navy commander Fay scored a commanding victory in the HD 2 Republican Primary, taking 77.7% over fellow veteran Trei McMullen’s 22.3%. Fay, a 24-year Naval Flight Officer and former Blue Angels Executive Officer, entered Election Day with a major fundraising advantage and support from business and conservative groups. His campaign emphasized lower insurance costs, tax cuts, infrastructure investment, immigration enforcement and support for veterans and active-duty military families. McMullen, an Army veteran and former counterintelligence agent, focused heavily on school safety and ran without PAC or special-interest money. Fay now faces Democrat Johnny Austin Thompson in November in a Pensacola-area District Republicans carried comfortably in 2024.

“Marshall Rawson upsets Chase Brannan in HD 10 Republican Primary” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Rawson scored an upset in the House District 10 Republican Primary, defeating Brannan 54.7% to 45.3% and ending the Brannan family’s eight-year hold on the seat. Rawson, a Bradford County citrus farmer and Florida Guardsman, overcame a significant fundraising disadvantage and Brannan’s endorsements from Agriculture Commissioner Simpson, U.S. Rep. Patronis and others. Rawson campaigned as a grassroots conservative focused on limiting rural development, gun rights, border security and abortion restrictions. He also faced scrutiny over ties to the League of the South. Rawson now advances against Democrat Merrillee Jipson and write-in candidate James Batley in a heavily Republican District.

“Audrey Gibson wins HD 13 Primary, clearing path to Tallahassee” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Gibson is poised to return to the Legislature after defeating Leslie Jean-Bart by roughly 14 points in the Democratic Primary for HD 13. With only write-in candidate Brice Galliard remaining in November, Gibson is heavily positioned to succeed Nixon. Gibson and Jean-Bart each raised about $40,000 in a competitive but largely respectful campaign. The race highlighted ideological differences, with Jean-Bart arguing Gibson was out of step with the heavily progressive Jacksonville District. Gibson drew support from Corrine Brown, the Fraternal Order of Police, REALTORS PAC, bestbet and the First Coast Manufacturers Association. Jean-Bart was backed by Senate Democratic Leader-designate Tracie Davis and Florida Rising. HD 13 includes Northwest Jacksonville and neighborhoods such as Avondale, Fairfax, and Riverside.

—”JJ Grow bests Tod Cloud in HD 23 Republican Primary” via Mike Wright of Florida Politics

“Samuel Vilchez Santiago defeats Daisy Morales in HD 43 race that turned contentious” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Vilchez Santiago cruised to victory in a Democratic Primary race for House District 43 that evolved into an ugly fight against former state Rep. Morales. Vilchez Santiago, 29, a rising star in Central Florida politics, won with 65% of the vote. Vilchez Santiago will compete against Republican Jorge Malavet and write-in candidate Areeb Gulzar in November for the open seat to replace incumbent Democratic state Rep. Johanna López, who decided not to seek re-election.

“Anthony Nieves wins HD 47 Primary to take over Paula Stark’s seat” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Nieves was elected to be the next Representative for House District 47, beating Jorge Figueroa in the Democratic Primary. There was no suspense for Democrats, who knew they were going to flip the seat blue, ever since a Judge shot down Republican Rep. Paula Stark‘s lawsuit to get back on the ballot. Because of a paperwork snafu, she failed to qualify. It’s a big win for Democrats who have been wanting to flip the historically blue seat that Stark won in 2022 in a surprise victory.

—”Kyandra Darling bests Wengay Newton in HD 62, delivering his fifth defeat since 2020” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics

— EVEN MORE ELECTIONS: LEGISLATIVE, PART 3 —

“Luis Salazar wins HD 64 Democratic Primary, targets GOP-held seat” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Salazar won the Democratic Primary for House District 64, taking nearly 45% of the vote over former Tampa City Council member Mike Suarez at 36% and John Rodriguez at nearly 20%. Salazar now faces Republican Dan Weldon, who defeated Angel Ramos with 66% in November. Democrats are targeting the seat after Rep. Susan Valdés switched to the Republican Party following her 2024 victory. Salazar, a Navy veteran and political organizer, campaigned heavily on property and auto insurance costs, affordability and government accountability. HD 64 remains Democratic-leaning by registration, setting up a competitive General Election over whether Democrats can reclaim the Tampa-area seat.

“Jordan Varnadore wins GOP Primary, advances in HD 71” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Varnadore won the Republican nomination for House District 71, taking 62% of the vote in the race to succeed term-limited Rep. Will Robinson. Melton Little finished with just over 30%, while Dylan Paul Modarelli received about 7%. Varnadore, a lifelong Palmetto resident and family business executive, campaigned as an America First conservative focused on parental rights, Second Amendment protections, law enforcement and reducing business regulations. Little emphasized infrastructure, environmental protection and opposition to a proposed cruise port, while Modarelli offered a populist platform. Varnadore now faces Democrat Ocean Fitts and no-party candidate Joseph Hoolihan in November. Republicans hold a clear advantage in the western Manatee County District.

“Nick Pachota wins GOP nod in Sarasota’s HD 74” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Venice Mayor Pachota won the Republican Primary for House District 74, taking nearly 35% in the four-candidate contest to succeed term-limited Rep. James Buchanan. Kelly Ann Walker finished second with about 29%, followed by Jennifer Peeples Winkler at 27% and Les Nichols at 9%. Pachota advances to face Democrat Ryan Neill, who was unopposed for his party’s nomination. Pachota, a Venice City Council member since 2019 and Mayor since 2022, campaigned on lowering taxes and property insurance costs, public safety, government accountability and keeping infrastructure ahead of growth. His campaign also emphasized conservative positions on abortion, parental rights, religious freedom and gun rights. He enters November heavily favored: Republicans hold a greater-than-2-to-1 registration advantage in HD 74, which Buchanan carried with 64% in 2024.

“Jon Maples cruises through GOP Primary, sets Emily Gregory rematch” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Republican Maples easily defeated Jonathan Rubin in the HD 87 Primary, earning another shot at Democratic Rep. Gregory in November. Maples took 74% after narrowly losing to Gregory in a March Special Election that flipped the Palm Beach County seat blue. Her victory drew national attention because Trump carried the District by roughly 9 points in 2024. Maples, a financial planner and former Lake Clarke Shores Council member, campaigned on insurance costs, property taxes, congestion and affordability. He also entered the Primary with endorsements from Trump, Meg Weinberger and James Uthmeier and a sizable fundraising advantage. Gregory, unopposed in the Democratic Primary, had about $152,000 available entering August.

“Yoni Anijar wins four-way GOP Primary for open HD 100” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Anijar won the Republican nomination for House District 100, taking 37.6% in a four-way contest to succeed term-limited Rep. Chip LaMarca. Former Lauderdale-by-the-Sea Mayor Chris Vincent finished second with 29%, followed by Eric “Doc” Stelnicki at 28% and Raul Gallon at 5%. Anijar now faces Democrat Michael Ferguson in the Nov. 3 General Election. The Broward coastal District favors Republicans by about 5 percentage points in voter registration, while Trump carried it with 53.3% in 2024. Anijar, a 35-year-old corporate lawyer and U.S. Army Reserve JAG captain, campaigned on election integrity and pandemic-era accountability. He invested $235,000 of his own money and raised an additional $282,000 by late July.

“Mike Friend, Mery Lopez-Palma advance to HD 102 General Election” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Dentist Friend and attorney Lopez-Palma won their respective Primaries in House District 102, setting up a November contest to succeed term-limited Rep. Michael Gottlieb. Friend edged Jayden D’Onofrio in the Democratic Primary, 52.2%-47.8%, a margin of about 550 votes. Lopez-Palma defeated Jason Smith for the Republican nomination, 58.1%-41.9%. Friend entered Election Day with support from Gottlieb, the South Florida Sun-Sentinel and several industry groups, while D’Onofrio drew progressive backing. Lopez-Palma, who lost to Gottlieb in 2024, substantially outspent Smith. The Broward-based District includes Davie, Plantation and Sunrise. Friend and Lopez-Palma will face off in the Nov. 3 General Election.

“Lucia Báez-Geller wins HD 106 Primary, sets up Fabián Basabe showdown” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Former Miami-Dade School Board member Báez-Geller won the Democratic Primary for HD 106, defeating lawyer Ashley Litwin Diego with 57% of the vote. Báez-Geller now faces Republican Rep. Basabe in November in one of Florida’s most competitive House districts. Basabe enters the General Election politically wounded after a jury found him liable for sexually harassing, battering and defaming two former House employees and awarded them $450,000. He denies wrongdoing and is seeking a retrial or reduced damages. Several former supporters have since withdrawn their endorsements, while five of the seven Miami Beach Commissioners have called for his resignation. The coastal District has shifted politically: Biden carried it by 10 points in 2020, while Trump won it by 9 points four years later.

“Daphne Campbell wins HD 108 Democratic Primary, eyes Tallahassee return” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Former Sen. Campbell is positioned for a return to the Legislature after winning the Democratic Primary for open House District 108. Campbell took 46% of the vote, defeating Dinah Escarment, who received 42%, and Peter Walsh, who finished with 12%. She now faces Republican Wancito Francius in November in a heavily Democratic northeast Miami-Dade District being vacated by Rep. Dotie Joseph. Campbell previously served three terms in the House and one term in the Senate before losing the 2018 Primary to Jason Pizzo. She campaigned on affordable housing, property insurance reform, flood mitigation and expanded healthcare access. Campbell overcame renewed scrutiny of controversies from her earlier political career and of her campaign’s substantial spending.

“James Bush III wins HD 109, returns to Tallahassee” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Former Rep. Bush is returning to the Legislature after winning a four-way Democratic Primary that effectively decided HD 109. Bush captured 49% of the vote, ahead of Opa-locka Mayor John Taylor at 32%, Satin Fye at 10%, and Cutberth “Broadway” Harewood at 8.5%. With no Republican on the ballot, Bush wins the North Miami-Dade seat outright. The victory marks a comeback after Bush lost the District to Ashley Gantt in 2022 and again in 2024. Bush previously represented the area across three separate stints and campaigned this cycle on public education, affordable housing, healthcare access and small-business support. He is now returning to Tallahassee after four years out of office.

“Bruno Barreiro, Glorida Romero Roses to square off in General Election for Miami-Dade’s long-vacant HD 113 seat” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Former Miami-Dade Commissioner and state Rep. Barreiro and community activist Romero Roses will clash in the Nov. 3 General Election to fill a House seat representing Miami-Dade that has long sat vacant, after each won their party’s Primary on Tuesday night. Barreiro won with more than 42% of the vote, narrowly edging out Frank Lago and far outpacing Tony J. Diaz, who received 41% and 16.5% of the vote, respectively. Romero Roses took more than 56% of the vote in the Democratic Primary to defeat Justin Mendoza Routt. By the time the General Election winner takes office, House District 113 will have gone nearly a year without representation in Tallahassee — the result of DeSantis’ decision not to call a Special Election.

— ELECTION MISCELLANY —

“Fewer Republicans voted by mail but more opted to vote early” via Jeffrey Schweers of Orlando Sentinel — More Republicans opted to vote early in person than by mail in this year’s Primary Election, a sharp turnabout from the last open Governor’s race, results posted Monday by the state Division of Elections show. “That is a huge tradeoff among Republicans from voting by mail to early voting in person,” said Michael McDonald, a political science professor at the University of Florida whose research focuses on elections and methodology. And it is also understandable, given that Trump has consistently cast doubts and railed against voting by mail since before he lost the 2020 Election to President Biden, even though records show Trump voted by mail in this Primary. “Clearly, Republicans are listening to him,” McDonald said. “And he’s given the green light to vote early.”

Happening today — Florida Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried will join South Florida Democratic nominees for a post-Primary unity news conference launching their General Election campaigns. 11 a.m., Ball and Chain, 1513 SW 8th St., Miami.

Happening Thursday:

— STATEWIDE —

“DeSantis down and out in Tallahassee” via Marianna Sotomayor of Puck — Gov. DeSantis was once considered the heir apparent to the MAGA movement, but after his failed challenge to Trump — a campaign that burned through more than $150 million before its tragicomic end in Iowa — the lame-duck Governor has retreated to Tallahassee, notably silent ahead of the state Primaries. Local lawmakers have had their gripes for years — he’s known to be cynical, aloof and paranoid — but those resentments boiled over during the 2024 campaign, when he demanded loyalty while dismissing their needs; at times, DeSantis asked anyone who wanted a meeting to donate to his presidential campaign first. Lawmakers, former staffers and operatives described the Governor and Casey DeSantis as highly transactional: “They think they’re the Kennedys, but they’re really the Clintons,” one longtime Florida GOP operative said. One-time close friend U.S. Rep. Donalds was frozen out for siding with Trump; Lt. Gov. Collins and former Florida House Speaker Paul Renner remain unendorsed. “The manifestation of his political capital being spent is that nobody wants his support,” a former staffer said. “[DeSantis] will have a very hard time getting staff or consultants to work for him,” said GOP comms guru Chris Hartline.

“DeSantis touts Florida’s early embrace of Donald Trump higher ed reforms” via Andrew Atterbury of POLITICO — Florida became the first state to answer the Trump administration’s new call for higher-education reform, with DeSantis touting a 30-page response signed by school presidents statewide. The Education Department asked colleges to address admissions, costs, free speech, foreign influence and other priorities by year’s end. DeSantis said Florida had already enacted many of the changes, including post-tenure reviews, course overhauls, and the elimination of spending on diversity, equity, and inclusion. The latest federal push is less sweeping than last year’s proposed compact, omitting controversial ideas such as caps on international enrollment and a five-year tuition freeze. DeSantis framed Florida’s response as proof that the state was already moving in Washington’s preferred direction and positioned Florida as a model for others nationally.

“Kevin Guthrie resigns after joining Jay Collins ticket in Governor race” via Arek Sarkissian of POLITICO — DeSantis said he accepted the resignation of Division of Emergency Management Director Guthrie after he became GOP gubernatorial candidate Collins’ running mate. “I didn’t necessarily think that was something Kevin aspired to, but given that he’s doing that, I think it’s important that we have emergency management just focused on emergency management,” DeSantis said. “So, I have accepted his resignation as the director of the Division of Emergency Management.” DeSantis praised Guthrie in response to a question about joining the Collins campaign that was asked during an education roundtable discussion in Sarasota, but also said he was not aware that Guthrie was interested in politics. Guthrie was replaced by Florida Department of Transportation Secretary Jared Perdue.

“Florida set to carry out its 13th execution this year in the nation’s busiest death chamber” via David Fischer of The Associated Press — A Florida man convicted of fatally shooting his estranged wife and wounding his mother-in-law is set to be executed Tuesday, continuing the state’s aggressive use of the death penalty in DeSantis‘ final term. William Frances Silvia, 61, would be the 13th prisoner put to death this year in Florida, which has two more executions scheduled in September and has carried out more than half the nation’s 22 executions so far in 2026. Silvia is scheduled to receive a three-drug injection at Florida State Prison near Starke starting at 6 p.m. local time. The U.S. Supreme Court denied a request to halt the execution.

“Simpson tours peanut butter facility that provides relief to food insecurity in Florida” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — Simpson took part in a charitable event highlighting efforts to feed the underprivileged. Simpson was in Malone with several peanut growers and processors as part of a Feeding Florida leadership demonstration of the organization’s peanut butter recovery program, which assists families facing food insecurity in the state. In the past year alone, 1.3 million jars of peanut butter have been shipped to food banks throughout the Sunshine State’s 67 counties. “Florida’s peanut growers play an important role in our state’s agricultural economy, and I’m proud to support partnerships that create value for producers while helping feed Florida families,” Simpson said. “Farmers Feeding Florida is a great example of how we can strengthen agriculture and expand access to nutritious, Florida-grown food at the same time.”

— D.C. MATTERS —

“Tariffs on hold as Trump claims deal with Canada is near” via Ian Austen, Ana Swanson and Matina Stevis-Gridneff of The New York Times — Trump postponed threatened 50% tariffs on billions of dollars in Canadian goods for three days, declaring the United States and Canada have a deal pending final documents. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was more cautious, saying that substantial progress had been made but that important work remained. Washington says Canada has committed to concessions involving American goods, automobiles, dairy and alcoholic beverages. Canada is seeking relief from U.S. tariffs on steel, aluminum, autos and lumber. Trump also raised the possibility of reviving the Keystone XL pipeline. The reprieve offers businesses temporary relief, but continued uncertainty remains as both countries prepare for broader negotiations over their North American trade agreement.

“Trump to tap White House aide as FDA Commissioner” via Caitlin Owens of Axios — Trump plans to nominate White House aide Heidi Overton to lead the Food and Drug Administration, filling a leadership void left by Marty Makary’s departure. Overton, deputy director of the White House Domestic Policy Council, recently participated in Trump’s rollout of an executive order overhauling the childhood vaccine schedule. She said the administration continues to recommend measles vaccination while supporting changes to timing and the separation of the MMR vaccine. The selection could face resistance from the pharmaceutical industry and some Senators, particularly over vaccine policy. Former Trump health official Chris Meekins called the choice troubling, while Paragon Health Institute President Brian Blase praised Overton’s character and commitment to improving patient care.

“Trump’s ballroom is rising at breakneck speed: 20 hours a day, 7 days a week” via Luke Broadwater and Ann E. Marimow of The New York Times — Trump’s White House ballroom is racing toward completion even as its legality remains before the Supreme Court. About 250 workers are working 20 hours a day, seven days a week, and the administration estimates that construction is 65% complete. Lower courts ruled Trump exceeded his authority by proceeding without congressional approval, while preservationists accuse the administration of trying to outrun judicial review. The administration argues that the $400 million project, including extensive security infrastructure, is now effectively irreversible and serves national security needs. The Supreme Court is considering whether to allow construction to continue before an appeals court-ordered halt takes effect Friday.

“‘With all my heart, Natalie.’ Trump’s most devoted aide emerges” via Shawn McCreesh and Maggie Haberman of The New York Times — Natalie Harp has become one of Trump’s most constant and influential aides, working from the Oval Office and operating largely outside the traditional White House chain of command. The 35-year-old accompanies Trump nearly everywhere, communicates with world leaders on his behalf, helps draft social media posts and supplies information from outside official channels. Nicknamed “the human printer,” Harp follows Trump with a portable printer to provide hard copies of material. Her intense loyalty has sometimes unsettled colleagues but earned Trump’s trust. Harp joined Trump’s orbit after crediting legislation he signed in 2018 with giving her access to experimental cancer treatments.

“Food advocacy group launches ads cheering Kat Cammack for ingredient standards push” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Americans for Ingredient Transparency kicked off ads this week in battlegrounds nationwide, including Florida’s 3rd Congressional District. A 30-second spot playing there praises Cammack’s support for a uniform national standard on ingredient transparency. “Working families are already struggling to make ends meet, and a looming 12% increase in groceries will only make it harder to afford the basics,” a narrator states, as images roll of families at a dinner table or thumbing through receipts. “But thankfully, Congresswoman Cammack is fighting cost increases. She’s supporting a national ingredient standard that will keep food prices from rising, expand options at the grocery store, and ensure consistent labels for more informed choices. Thank you, Representative Cammack, for fighting for affordable groceries.”

— LOCAL: S. FL —

“Danielle Cohen Higgins wins final term on Miami-Dade Commission” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Miami-Dade Commissioner Cohen Higgins secured a second full and final term, winning 55% of the District 8 vote and avoiding a runoff. Challengers John DuBois and Martha “Vega” Hero finished with 28% and 17%, respectively. Cohen Higgins, first appointed to the Commission in 2020, campaigned on affordability, transportation, environmental protection and public safety. She entered Election Day with a massive financial advantage, holding more than $1.48 million, while DuBois stressed fiscal responsibility and traffic congestion, and Hero focused on public safety, infrastructure and affordability. Term limits will force Cohen Higgins out of office in 2030.

“Marleine Bastien cruises to re-election on Miami-Dade Commission” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Miami-Dade Commissioner Bastien easily secured a second and final term representing District 2, winning 78% of the vote against Miguel “Skip” Quintero and Ernst Jean Louis. Bastien, the county’s first Haitian American woman Commissioner, will remain in office through 2030. The heavily Democratic District includes parts of North Miami, Opa-locka, Hialeah and Miami and has Miami-Dade’s largest Haitian population. Bastien campaigned on her record of advancing affordable housing, child-care scholarships and other community investments. She also entered Election Day with overwhelming financial and organizational advantages, raising more than $1 million through her political committee. Miami Mayor Eileen Higgins praised Bastien’s leadership and longtime work expanding opportunities for local families.

“Vicki Lopez, Rob Piper advance to runoff for District 5 seat on Miami-Dade Commission” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Miami-Dade Commissioner Lopez fell short of taking the vote majority needed to keep her District 5 seat and will face veteran Rob Piper in a Nov. 3 runoff. Lopez led the three-candidate field with 42.3% of the vote, followed by Piper at 29.5% and former Miami City Commissioner Joe Sanchez at 28.2%. Just 211 votes separated Piper and Sanchez. The extended contest is a setback for the incumbent, who has raised roughly $1.4 million since her appointment nine months ago and has received endorsements from officials in both parties. The seat opened when Democrat Higgins resigned in November to pursue a successful run for the mayoralty of Miami. Her record carries baggage. Lopez resigned from the Lee County Commission in the 1990s and served 15 months in prison for honest services fraud before her sentence was commuted and the conviction set aside.

“Katherine Waldron advances to challenge Sara Baxter in November” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Palm Beach County Commissioner Baxter and Democrat Waldron will square off Nov. 3 for the District 6 seat after both survived their Primaries. Baxter defeated Republican challenger Elizabeth Accomando with 59.4%, while Waldron captured 53.5% against Mario Guzman and Rudy Tinker. The race could test whether recent Democratic gains in South Florida can threaten a seat Baxter flipped to Republicans in 2022. A June poll showed Waldron leading the incumbent by double digits. Baxter, endorsed by Trump, is campaigning on lower taxes, reduced government spending and infrastructure. Waldron has emphasized affordability, growth, healthcare and services for seniors and veterans while assembling significant Democratic and organizational support.

“Caryl Shuham wins open Broward County Commission seat” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Hollywood City Commissioner Shuham won the Broward County Commission District 6 seat outright, defeating three fellow Democrats in a Primary that decided the election because no Republican or other candidate qualified. Shuham captured 41.7% of the vote, followed by Eugen Bold at 27.8%, A.J. Ryan at 21.2%, and Jeffery Jones at 9.2%. Shuham will succeed term-limited Commissioner Beam Furr, who endorsed her. First elected to the Hollywood City Commission in 2018, Shuham is a civil engineer and construction lawyer who campaigned on reducing traffic congestion, expanding affordable housing, improving flood mitigation and protecting the environment. She also led the field financially, spending nearly $264,000 through July, and amassed support from labor organizations, local elected officials and the South Florida Sun-Sentinel. District 6 covers southeastern Broward County.

“Broward voters elect four School Board members, District 6 heads to runoff” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Broward County voters decided four School Board races outright while sending District 6 to a November runoff. Incumbent Martha Bulman won District 1 with 72.5%, while Nicole Morst captured District 4 with 59%. In District 7, Cynthia Dominique won 59.4%, and incumbent Allen Zeman secured another term in at-large District 8 with 56%. District 6 remains unsettled after incumbent Adam Cervera took 39.5% and teacher Roberto Fernandez III finished second with 26.7%, advancing both to a Nov. 3 runoff. The elections came as Broward schools face declining enrollment and financial pressure despite earning a third consecutive “A” grade from the state.

— LOCAL: C. FL —

“Tiffany Moore Russell and Chris Messina advance to Orange County Mayor runoff” via Ryan Gillespie of Orlando Sentinel — Clerk of Court Moore Russell and tech entrepreneur Messina earned spots in a November runoff for Orange County’s next Mayor, beating out former Congresswoman Stephanie Murphy, whose third-place finish came despite a steep spending edge. Moore Russell, elected 20 years ago as the youngest ever County Commissioner, won nearly 32% of the vote. Messina, the lone Republican in the contest, received about 28%. The two were the lowest spenders in the race. Murphy collected about 26%, falling roughly 2,500 votes shy of a spot in the runoff. “Money didn’t win tonight. People did.”

“Orange County Commission races head to November runoffs” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Four Orange County Commission contests are headed to Nov. 3 runoffs after no candidate secured a majority Tuesday. In District 2, former Rep. Kamia Brown will face Commissioner Mike Crabb, whom DeSantis appointed, as early voting began. District 6 Commissioner Mike Scott finished just shy of 50% and advances against Lawanna Gelzer. Patricia Rumph and former Orlando Commissioner Vicki Vargo emerged from a 12-candidate District 7 field. In District 8, former Sen. Victor Torres will face Jeannette Quiñones Hernández. The elections will help reshape an expanded County Commission that confronts transportation, homelessness, growth, and potential budget pressures.

“Angie Gallo wins countywide seat” via Steven Walker of Orlando Sentinel — Gallo won election to the top countywide seat on the Orange County School Board Tuesday evening and will now serve as Chair, helping to lead one of the largest School Districts in the country. Orange County voters picked Gallo — the incumbent District 1 School Board member who was endorsed by local Democrats and the teachers’ union — as the next Board Chair by a comfortable 59% to 41% margin over her opponent, Alicia Farrant, who had the backing of local conservatives. The ads for Gallo pointed to Farrant’s history with the conservative Moms for Liberty group and argued that she was “focused on culture wars” rather than students. Voters in the county where Democrats dominate also elected two new Orange School Board members, both backed by the local party, while the third seat will be decided in a November runoff.

“Roberta Walton Johnson defeats Rick Singh for Orange Clerk of Courts” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Walton Johnson won a contentious race for Orange County Clerk of Courts, taking 53% of the vote to former Property Appraiser Singh’s 29%. Maribel Gomez Cordero, who dropped out but remained on the ballot, received 18%. Johnson, the Clerk’s General Counsel, argued her experience inside the office made her best prepared for the job and drew endorsements from Buddy Dyer, Maxwell Frost, Anna Eskamani and outgoing Clerk Tiffany Moore Russell. The campaign became increasingly personal, with both sides revisiting past controversies involving the candidates. Johnson will succeed Moore Russell, who left the post to run for Orange County Mayor.

“Orange tourism panel passes on reviving half-billion-dollar convention center plan” via Stephen Hudak of Orlando Sentinel — A panel filled with tourism-industry representatives surprisingly voted to forward without change a citizens task force’s report that did not recommend funding a $523 million expansion of the county’s convention center. The task force, representing municipalities, chambers of commerce, labor, and the county’s diverse geographic areas, reviewed two dozen funding requests totaling about $3 billion. The applicants sought a share of future revenues generated by the so-called TDT, the 6% surcharge on hotel stays and other short-term lodging rentals. Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings said it will now be up to Orange County Commissioners to decide what, if any, of the proposals will be funded. “We have the blessing of money, and everybody wants some of it,” the Mayor said. “But everybody isn’t going to get some of it.”

— LOCAL: TB —

“Charlie Crist dominates St. Pete Primary, Ken Welch survives for runoff” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Former Gov. Crist emerged as the clear leader in St. Petersburg’s mayoral Primary, taking 36% and advancing to a November runoff against incumbent Mayor Welch, who finished second with 21%. Jim Large and Brandi Gabbard followed with 18% and 17%, respectively. Welch survived a Primary shaped largely by dissatisfaction with his first term, but his challenges aren’t disappearing. Several former allies have shifted away, while campaign finance problems and sluggish fundraising have complicated his re-election bid. Crist has raised more than $2 million between his campaign and political committee, compared with less than $500,000 for Welch. As of Aug. 13, Crist held more than $366,000, while Welch had less than $56,000 available for the November fight.

“Linsey Grove, Trevor Mallory advance to citywide St. Pete showdown” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Grove and Mallory advanced to the Nov. 3 General Election for St. Petersburg City Council District 6 after leading a five-candidate Primary field. Grove finished first with 28% of the vote, while Mallory secured 22%. Terri Balliet followed with 17%, Doug Homeyer took 16.5% and Jameka Williams finished just under 16%. Because nobody cleared 50%, Grove and Mallory move to a citywide vote in November to succeed term-limited Council member Gina Driscoll. The campaign has focused heavily on affordability, aging infrastructure, storm resilience, utility bills and redevelopment of the Historic Gas Plant District and Tropicana Field. Grove emphasized affordable housing and transit, while Mallory highlighted homeownership, neighborhood protections and resilience investments.

“Lisa Cane wins re-election as two Pinellas School Board races remain unsettled” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Incumbent Cane easily won re-election to the Pinellas County School Board, defeating Nancy Velardi with 55% of the vote. In District 3, incumbent Dawn Peters advanced to a November runoff against Curtis Campogni after Dawn Douglas finished third. The closest contest came in District 6, where former School Board member Nancy Bostock led Amanda Lord with 50.17%, putting the race to succeed Stephanie Meyer within recount territory. Cane overcame a partisan divide despite being a Republican in a nonpartisan contest, while Peters carried significant conservative support. Bostock, also a Republican, entered with extensive establishment backing, though Lord outraised her by about $18,000.

“Jared Leone upsets Bianca Latvala as Sam Wilson, Mark Bunker head to a runoff for Clearwater City Council” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Voters in Clearwater have elected a new member to City Council in Seat 4, and have sent two candidates for Seat 5 to a runoff in the November General Election. In Seat 4, Leone defeated opponent Latvala with 53% of the vote. The victory is a comeback for Leone, who lost a Clearwater City Council race just two years ago. In Seat 5, Wilson and Bunker will head to a Runoff Election after no candidate received more than 50% of the vote. Wilson posted a commanding lead in the Primary, with nearly 49% of the vote, followed by Bunker, who claimed just shy of 35%. A third candidate, Kevin Laughlin, earned 16%.

“Stacy Hahn ousts Donna Cameron Cepeda in Hillsborough Commission Primary” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Hillsborough voters delivered several consequential County Commission results, including Hahn’s Republican Primary upset of incumbent Cepeda in District 5. Hahn won 55% to Cepeda’s 45% and advances to face Democrat Neil Manimala, who enters the General Election with a substantial fundraising advantage. In District 3, Democratic incumbent Gwen Myers easily defeated Twanda Bradley, winning 69%, and will face Republican Luiz Garcia in November. District 7 produced another clear Democratic Primary winner, with Aileen Rodriguez taking 62% after Pat Frank Stuart entered the contest late. Rodriguez now faces Republican Commissioner Joshua Wostal, who holds a sizable cash advantage heading into the General Election.

“Holli Herndon ousts Rebecca Bays in Citrus County Commission race” via Mike Wright of Florida Politics — Herndon turned a first campaign into a decisive victory, defeating incumbent Bays for Citrus County Commission District 4. Herndon won 46% of the vote to Bays’ 36%, with Jennifer Grogan at 19%; with no other candidates, Herndon is elected. The Inverness teacher and business owner ran on transparency, taxpayer accountability and concerns about rapid development, tapping into growing resistance to growth pressures and a proposed data center. Bays, backed heavily by business interests, raised $99,000 compared with Herndon’s $29,000. Herndon’s campaign relied largely on smaller contributions and a community-focused message that voters wanted a greater voice in county decisions.

“Stacey Worthington edges Diana Finegan in Citrus Commission rematch” via Mike Wright of Florida Politics — Worthington narrowly defeated incumbent Finegan for Citrus County Commission District 2, winning 50.5% to 49.5% and reversing her 2022 loss. With no other candidates, Worthington is elected. The race unfolded amid growing debate over development, a proposed data center and the Citrus County Chamber of Commerce’s influence. Worthington, a former Planning and Development Commission Chair and current Chamber Chair, emphasized community unity and public involvement. Finegan, completing her first term, had support from Rep. Bilirakis, Chief Financial Officer Ingoglia, and state Sen. Ralph Massullo. The Citrus County Chronicle backed Worthington, who said voters had given her a job, not a prize, and pledged to serve the entire county.

“Citrus County voters elect Mike Mullen to School Board” via Mike Wright of Florida Politics — Mullen spent a career in public education. Now he’s about to get a real lesson. Citrus County voters elected Mullen to the School Board, giving the former Assistant Superintendent a decisive win over former Commissioner John Thrumston. Mullen received 63% of the vote, while Thrumston outspent Mullen. Mullen is a retired educator who spent the last 12 years of his career as assistant to the Superintendent of Schools. Thrumston owns a water utility and served four years on the Citrus County Commission. Mullen joined the race in February shortly after School Board member Doug Dodd announced he would not run again after three terms in District 3. “I am very appreciative of this opportunity to serve as a member of the School Board,” Mullen said. “I enjoyed the campaign experience and the opportunity to meet a lot of good people. I couldn’t be happier.”

“‘No turning back’: Tampa City Council eyes Aug. 27 date for revised Rays ballpark framework” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — The Tampa City Council could take up a revised framework for the Tampa Bay Rays stadium proposal as soon as Aug. 27, with city, county and team negotiators nearing agreement on documents that would reshape Tampa’s role in the proposed deal. Council Chair Alan Clendenin told Florida Politics that negotiations have been moving nearly nonstop and that only a handful of issues remain unresolved. “The city is probably going to vote first, and then the county will vote after us on the definitive documents. That being said, this is a major project, so this is just one more step along the path. It’s not the last step,” Clendenin said. “But this will be really, truly, the starting gate. For lack of a better word, no turning back.”

— LOCAL: N. FL —

“Democrats flip Jacksonville Council seat, gain momentum for 2027” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Democrats flipped a Republican-held Jacksonville City Council seat, with Moné Holder winning 51% in a three-way Special Election. Holder, Florida Rising’s Chief Advocacy and Political Officer and Chair of the city Planning Commission, defeated Republican Deborah Wesley and Libertarian Addison Patrick after Democrats poured more than $500,000 into the contest. Holder will replace Terrance Freeman once results are certified, giving Democrats six of 19 Council seats. Republicans erased Democrats’ early-voting advantage on Election Day, but crossover voters ultimately broke against the GOP. Holder benefited from a substantial financial advantage and persistent questions about Wesley’s residency, despite lawsuits challenging it, which were dismissed. The victory gives Democrats a significant boost heading into Jacksonville’s 2027 countywide elections.

“Three Duval School Board races head to November runoffs” via Steve Patterson of the Jacksonville Florida Times-Union — All three open Duval County School Board seats will be decided in November after no candidate won outright Tuesday. In District 2, Donovan Bradley narrowly missed a majority and will face former Fletcher High marine science teacher Donna Mae Westrich. District 4 advances James “Coach” Jacobs, a charter school dean, and Rhodesia “Rho” Butler, a longtime educator and former principal. In District 6, Realtor Lindsey Denmark and school police Sgt. Clarence “CJ” James emerged from a five-candidate field. Bradley entered the race with endorsements from five sitting Board members, while James has attracted support spanning party lines. The runoffs will determine representation across the Beaches, Northside, Northwest and Westside communities.

“Jeremy Matlow, Loranne Ausley advance to Tallahassee Mayoral Runoff” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — City Commissioner Matlow and former state Sen. Ausley are headed to a November runoff after neither secured a majority in Tallahassee’s mayoral election. Matlow led the four-candidate field with 36%, followed by Ausley at 33.7%. Civil rights attorney Daryl Parks finished third with 25.3%, while Michael Foust took 5%. The contest exposed familiar divisions at City Hall, with Matlow campaigning against establishment interests and what he calls backroom deals while Ausley emphasized experience and “progress without division.” Ausley led the field in fundraising, while Matlow drew significant support from progressive and labor groups. The winner will succeed departing Mayor John Dailey after the Nov. 3 runoff.

“D.C. Reeves wins second term, again avoiding Pensacola runoff” via Fabrizio Gowdy of Florida Politics — Pensacola Mayor Reeves secured a second term, defeating five challengers while once again clearing the 50% threshold needed to avoid a runoff. Reeves captured 53.4% of the vote, improving on the 51.1% he received in his first mayoral victory in 2022. Alicia Trawick finished second with 21%, followed by Ann Hill at 10.3% and Jermaine Williams at 8%. Reeves significantly outspent his challengers and entered Election Day with endorsements from business and law enforcement groups. He campaigned on downtown revitalization and falling crime rates, describing Pensacola as experiencing a “golden age.” His opponents countered with concerns about affordability, development, infrastructure and residents being left behind by the city’s economic growth.

“JEA gets green light for $1.57B power plant” via Jim Saunders of State Affairs Florida — Florida regulators approved a step for JEA to build a $1.57 billion power plant aimed at meeting rising electricity demand in Northeast Florida. The Public Service Commission unanimously approved a determination of need for St. Johns River Power Park Unit 3, a 678-megawatt facility expected to begin operating in January 2031. The plant would primarily use natural gas, with oil as a backup fuel. JEA, which serves about 537,000 customers, argues the project is its most cost-effective option after evaluating solar, storage and other alternatives. The utility still needs approval under Florida’s power-plant siting law, with an administrative hearing scheduled for March. JEA plans to finance the project through municipal bonds and build it on a developed power-plant site.

— LOCAL: SW. FL —

“Armor Persons, Crystal Johnson advance to Lee School Board runoff” via Laura Layden of the Fort Myers News-Press & Naples Daily News — Lee County School Board Chair Persons will face Johnson in November after neither candidate captured a majority in the District 5 Primary. Persons led the three-candidate field with 43.53%, or 7,151 votes, while Johnson, a District paraprofessional and former parent involvement specialist, took 31.42%, or 5,161 votes. Persons pointed to improved academic performance, record graduation rates, and teacher raises, arguing that his experience has helped move the District forward. Johnson called her campaign grassroots and said her experience working directly with students and families gives her insight into concerns about discipline, academics and teacher support. The nonpartisan runoff is Nov. 3. District 5 covers northeastern Lee County, including Alva, Lehigh Acres and Buckingham.

“Cindy Spray, Sharon Jefferson advance to Manatee School Board runoff” via Ryan Ballogg of the Bradenton Herald — Incumbent Spray and challenger Jefferson are headed to a November runoff for the Manatee County School Board’s District 2 seat after neither captured a majority in the five-candidate Primary. Spray led with 2,776 votes, or 34.2%, while Jefferson finished second with 2,180 votes, or 26.8%. Spray, first elected in 2022 with DeSantis’ endorsement, is seeking another term with a focus on teacher recruitment and retention, literacy, math and early education. Jefferson, a teacher and nonprofit founder with a doctorate in education, argues that District 2 needs representation more connected to the community. She is emphasizing teacher support in Title I schools and research-backed teaching methods. The District includes portions of Bradenton, Palmetto and Ellenton. The runoff is Nov. 3.

“Jonathan Mullis, Camden Bedinghaus advance to Manatee School Board runoff” via Ryan Ballogg of the Bradenton Herald — Mullis and Bedinghaus are headed to a Nov. 3 runoff for the Manatee County School Board District 5 seat after no candidate won a majority in a razor-thin three-way Primary. Mullis finished first with 7,034 votes, or 35.3%, followed by Bedinghaus with 6,787 votes, or 34%. Chantal Wilford narrowly missed the runoff with 6,101 votes, or 30.6%. Mullis, the owner of a Bradenton physical therapy company and father of two District students, has emphasized improving reading and math scores, expanding individual tutoring, and building community partnerships. Bedinghaus, a 23-year-old Manatee County native and University of South Florida graduate, has focused on academic performance, workforce training and practical skills. District 5 includes parts of East Bradenton, Lakewood Ranch and Myakka City.

“DeSantis touts conservative higher-education overhaul at New College” via Alice Herman of Suncoast Searchlight — Gov. DeSantis used an Election Day visit to New College of Florida to defend his higher-education agenda and the Sarasota school’s conservative transformation. Appearing with New College President Richard Corcoran, state officials and a Trump administration education official, DeSantis argued Florida has successfully pushed back against “woke” curricula. The Governor said New College was “very, very dilapidated” before his administration poured state money into the institution. The Legislature has nearly doubled public funding for New College over five years, while a state efficiency review calculated its cost per degree at $494,715 — by far the highest in Florida’s university system. New College also recently absorbed USF’s Sarasota-Manatee campus and $53 million in debt. DeSantis characterized the additional state spending as an emergency investment rather than a permanent funding level.

— TOP OPINION —

“Nixon’s upset offers Democrats a lesson in money, energy” via the Miami Herald editorial board — Rep. Nixon’s upset victory in Florida’s Democratic U.S. Senate Primary delivered a warning to party leaders: money cannot substitute for voter enthusiasm. Nixon defeated Vindman despite being outspent 17-to-1, showing that a message and grassroots energy can overcome a fundraising disadvantage.

Vindman entered the race with establishment credibility, military experience and $16 million raised, but his pragmatic campaign failed to excite enough Democratic voters. Nixon, meanwhile, leaned into her progressive identity, working-class biography and a platform that included a $26 federal minimum wage, Medicare for All and higher taxes on corporations.

Her arrest during a protest against DeSantis’ congressional redistricting effort helped cement her image as a fighter. Support from progressives such as Maxwell Frost and Rashida Tlaib reinforced her appeal among voters seeking a confrontational Democratic voice.

The victory nonetheless creates risks for Democrats in November. Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved Florida’s Senate race from likely Republican to safe Republican, underscoring the difficulty Nixon faces against Republican Sen. Moody in an increasingly red state.

Miami-Dade could be especially challenging because socialist branding remains politically toxic for many voters there. Republicans are likely to use Nixon’s democratic socialist affiliation to attack moderate Democrats elsewhere on the ballot.

The result does not necessarily signal a uniform ideological shift among Florida Democrats, who also nominated former Republican Jolly for Governor. Nixon’s success may instead reflect authenticity and a connection with voters. Her campaign proved capable of overcoming fundraising disparities, but the General Election will still present a tougher test.

— MORE OPINIONS —

“Florida’s closed Primaries shut too many voters out” via Scott Maxwell of the Orlando Sentinel — Florida’s closed Primary system leaves millions of voters without a meaningful say and encourages political gamesmanship. In 2020, 57% of voters backed top-two Primaries, short of the 60% needed for passage. The current system can also exclude Republicans and independents when write-in candidates close otherwise universal Primaries. Orange County’s Clerk race illustrates the problem: more than 500,000 Republicans and NPAs were barred from choosing between two Democrats after a write-in candidate qualified. Closed Primaries can reward ideological extremes, force unaffiliated taxpayers to fund elections they cannot participate in and invite operatives to exploit the write-in loophole. Lawmakers should open Primaries to voters again and, at a minimum, stop write-in candidacies from closing Primary contests.

“AI detection tools are headed for an accuracy crisis” via Adam Aleksic for The Washington Post — Artificial intelligence detectors may offer a short-term answer to identifying machine-written text, but their usefulness will fade as human and AI language increasingly converge. People are already picking up vocabulary and sentence patterns associated with chatbots, while models continue to improve at mimicking human writing. That creates growing risks of false positives, particularly for people who lack the tools to game detection systems. Meanwhile, sophisticated users can increasingly evade scrutiny with “humanizer” services or customized models. Training detectors becomes harder, too, because newer human writing is already shaped by AI. The result could be an endless linguistic arms race. The better response is to address incentives that reward low-quality automated content.

— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —

— ALOE —

“NASA spots new crater on the Moon created when a SpaceX rocket crashed” via Denise Chow of NBC News — NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter has photographed a new crater created when a defunct SpaceX Falcon 9 upper stage slammed into the Moon Aug. 5 at an estimated 5,400 mph. The roughly 10,800-pound rocket stage had launched two lunar landers in 2025 before drifting in orbit. Images taken Aug. 11 and 12 show a crater about 60 feet wide and less than 10 feet deep, with bright and dark streaks of material thrown from beneath the surface. The impact was only the second known uncontrolled rocket crash on the Moon. The incident has renewed discussion about space sustainability as more countries and companies send hardware toward the lunar surface.

— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —

Celebrating today are Wadi Gaitan, Rheb Harbison, William Hatfield of the Tallahassee Democrat, Merritt Lindstrom, and Elnatan Rudolph of Converge Government Affairs.

___

Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.

The post Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 8.19.26 appeared first on Florida Politics – Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government..

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