Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 3.31.26

Good Tuesday morning.

I blog; therefore, I am:

🖐 — Five things I think, St. Pete mayoral race polling: Charlie Crist leads Ken Welch both head-to-head and among a crowded field of low-polling candidates. But that’s not the only takeaway. Data suggests more room for Crist to grow and affirms the challenge Welch will face with limited funds, as his need to reach voters is crucial. Read more here.

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TSG Advocates poaches Polsinelli lobbyists — TSG Advocates, the federal arm of The Southern Group, has snagged a half-dozen lobbyists from competing firm Polsinelli as its D.C. practice continues to grow. The new additions include Harry Sporidis and Tim Perrin, both of whom had been with Polsinelli for more than 15 years. Also joining TSG are Marisa Campbell, Clare Chmiel, Shelagh Foster and Chris Rorick. The Polsinelli crew is reportedly bringing some clients along, including B. Braun Medical, the Kentucky Hospital Association, Belcher Pharmaceutical and Organovo. TSG Advocates launched in early 2025 ahead of President Donald Trump’s second inauguration.

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Former — and, almost surely, future — state Sen. Lauren Book is in Key West taking the first steps of her 11th annual 1,500-mile “Walk in My Shoes” trek across Florida, raising awareness for child abuse prevention and supporting survivors during National Child Abuse Prevention Month and Sexual Assault Awareness Month.

Today Lauren and her crew will walk 25 miles north on the Jimmy Buffett Memorial Highway (a road she helped rename after the late Florida icon) alongside survivors, advocates and community leaders, including Monroe County Mayor Michelle Lincoln — who yesterday presented Book with a plaque recognizing her as an “Honorary Conch” and citizen of the Keys — Key West Mayor Dee Dee Henriquez — who will present Book with a proclamation honoring the Walk — Chief of Police Sean Brandenberg, Monroe County Commissioner James Scholl, School Board Member, Dr. Sue Woltanski, and more.

Follow along, watch LIVE, or register to walk at LaurensKidsWalk.org!

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South Florida-based public affairs firm MDW Communications walked out of the 2026 American Association of Political Consultants national conference with four Pollie Awards.

The wins, which included three Golds for direct mail and digital work tied to high-profile Florida races, were announced at the March 26-27 conference on Amelia Island. The AAPC’s Gold Pollie Award is the industry’s highest honor bestowed upon public affairs and political consultants at the national and international level.

MDW Partners Landon St. Gordon and Martin Page accounted for three of the honors on the direct mail side. The firm picked up Gold for Best Municipal Direct Mail for “Democrats Trust Rolando Escalona,” supporting Rolando Escalona’s successful 2025 Miami District 3 City Commission campaign.

Another Gold came in the bilingual and foreign-language direct mail category for “Juggling Emilio,” a Spanish-language contrast mailer used in the 2025 Miami mayoral race, which culminated in Eileen Higgins’ historic win.

The team also earned Bronze for Best Independent Expenditure Mayoral Direct Mail for “Part Time Mayor Emilio.”

On the digital side, MDW Director of Web Development Aaron Monse secured a Gold Pollie for Best Mayoral Website for his work on Tiffany Moore Russell’s Orange County mayoral campaign. The award marks Monse’s fifth Pollie overall and his second national win for best mayoral site, following a 2021 victory for work on Daniella Levine Cava’s Miami-Dade mayoral campaign.

“2025 was a major year for MDW — helping elect the first Democratic Mayor of Miami in over three decades. It’s such an honor for our team’s hard work and creativity to be recognized on a national stage,” MDW Senior Partner Michael Worley said.

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Florida’s top business leaders are signaling continued confidence in the state economy, with capital investment expectations hitting a record high in the latest quarterly survey from The Florida Council of 100.

The group’s Q1 2026 CEO Economic Outlook Index came in at 98, well ahead of the national reading of 89 and pointing to continued optimism among executives representing some of the state’s largest employers.

The most notable movement came in capital spending. Florida’s capital expenditure subindex climbed from 88 to 91, the highest level since the Council launched the survey, indicating continued plans for expansion, infrastructure and innovation investments.

“Florida CEOs are betting on the state’s future through continued investment and expansion,” Council Chair George LeMieux said. “That confidence reflects the strength of Florida’s business environment and long-term economic outlook.”

While sales and employment expectations softened slightly from the previous quarter, business leaders remained upbeat on hiring.

Florida’s employment subindex registered at 95, nearly double the national score of 50, suggesting the state’s major employers still expect to add jobs over the next six months.

“What we’re seeing is alignment among Florida’s leading CEOs around continued investment and growth,” Council President and CEO Mike Simas said. “When that many business leaders are moving in the same direction, it’s a strong signal about where the economy is heading.”

The survey, conducted March 11-18, included responses from 111 Florida CEOs across major industries statewide. The Council’s next CEO Economic Outlook Index is scheduled for release in June.

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Happening today — The Capital Tiger Bay Club hosts Florida Commissioner of Education Anastasios “Stasi” Kamoutsas for a discussion on the future of Florida’s schools, including expanding education and workforce opportunities, strengthening parental rights and increasing transparency in policy and governance, offering attendees insight into priorities shaping the state’s education system and direction under current leadership, 11:30 a.m., Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, 505 W. Pensacola Street, Tallahassee.

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One More Child is set to mark the grand opening of the Vern & Sandy Buchanan Children’s Center on Wednesday at Palm Garden Village in Sarasota.

The new Center is designed as a hub for single mothers, children and families in need, connecting them with support, encouragement and practical resources.

The Center will help strengthen family stability and support mothers who are working to build a safe, independent future for themselves and their children.

“This Center is about more than a building — it is a promise. A promise that when a child is hungry, a family is overwhelmed, or a brave single mom is rebuilding her life, they will not be alone,” said Sandy Buchanan, CEO of the Buchanan Foundation, a major philanthropic organization in Southwest Florida.

“We are honored to partner with One More Child to create a place where compassion meets action, and where families can find real hope and a fresh start.”

The facility is part of One More Child’s broader Sarasota expansion at Palm Garden Village, which will bring an array of services to the area for single mothers, foster families, children facing hunger and survivors of trafficking.

A ribbon-cutting ceremony will be at Palm Garden Village, 7710 Palm Garden Way in Sarasota, at 10 a.m. Wednesday followed by a full day of public tours — direct RSVPs to Max Goodman via [email protected].

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“Want more Florida Politics in your Google News feed? There’s a tool for that.” — Google News has launched a new “preferred sources” feature, allowing users to customize their “Top Stories” feed to display content from their favorite publications prominently.

For followers of Florida’s political landscape, this tool is a game-changer, ensuring they receive timely, in-depth reporting on the Governor’s office, the Legislature and high-stakes campaigns.

By selecting Florida Politics as a preferred source, readers can prioritize its indispensable coverage, ensuring they see the latest headlines on key issues, such as property insurance and the state budget, first. Here is a simple, step-by-step guide to enable the feature. Don’t forget about other ways to connect, such as through our breaking news text messages, following @Fla_Pol on X and signing up for newsletters like Last Call, Takeaways from Tallahassee and The Delegation.

— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —

—@AishaHHasnie: Press Sec (Karoline) LEAVITT says TRUMP has offered to host a big Easter dinner for lawmakers if Congress comes back to fund DHS.

Tweet, tweet:

—@Timodc: Meatball Ron doing Magic Johnson style tweets about how Trump’s economy is tanking is one of the more fascinating political developments of the week.

Tweet, tweet:

Tweet, tweet:

—@JohnFSnyder: Jon Maples is just getting started. We need him in the Palm Beach delegation, and I am grateful for the leadership of Speaker-Designate (Sam) Garrison for jumping right back in to flipping this seat in November!

Tweet, tweet:

— DAYS UNTIL —

New season of ‘Your Friends And Neighbors’ premieres on Apple+ — 3; NCAA Final Four begins — 4; Tampa Bay Rays first game at the newly repaired Tropicana Field — 6; Handmaid’s Tale sequel series ‘The Testaments’ premieres — 8; The Masters begin — 9; Jonah Hill’s ‘Outcome’ premieres on Apple TV — 10; Florida TaxWatch Spring Meeting begins — 15; MLB Jackie Robinson Day — 15; First Qualifying Period begins (U.S. Senate) — 20; 2026 Florida Housings Solutions Summit — 22; NFL Draft — 23; Federal Qualifying Period ends — 24; F1 Miami begins — 31; ‘Yellowstone’ spinoff ‘Dutton Ranch’ premieres — 45; ‘Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu’ premieres — 52; new mission for ‘Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run’ premieres at Disney World — 52; Marvel’s ‘Spider-Noir’ arrives on Amazon Prime — 57; MLB Lou Gehrig Day — 63; Second Qualifying Period begins (State) — 69; South Africa in the FIFA World Cup opener in Mexico City — 72; Steven Spielberg’s ‘Disclosure Day’ premieres — 73; Qualifying Period ends for Federal, Governor, Cabinet, State and local offices — 73; the Octagon on the White House South Lawn: UFC Freedom 250 — 75; Flag Day — 75; Trump’s 80th birthday — 75; ‘Toy Story 5’ premieres — 80; ‘Supergirl’ premieres — 87; Florida GOP Sunshine State Showdown debates — 87; live-action ‘Moana’ premieres — 92; Primary Election UOCAVA ballot deadline — 95; Primary Election domestic ballot deadline — 100; MLB All-Star Game — 105; Domestic Primary Election VBM deadline — 107; Primary Election voter registration deadline — 111; ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ premieres — 122; Primary Election ballot request deadline — 128; Early voting period begins — 130; Primary Election Day — 140; 2026 NFL regular season kicks off — 162; San Francisco 49ers face the Los Angeles Rams in first-ever NFL regular season game in Melbourne, Australia — 163; Yankees host the Mets for 9/11 anniversary — 164; MLB Roberto Clemente Day — 168; General Election UOCAVA ballot deadline — 172; General Election domestic ballot deadline — 177; Domestic General Election VBM deadline — 184; General Election voter registration deadline — 188; Early Voting General Election begins — 207; General Election — 217; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero’ premieres — 220; ‘Dune: Part 3’ premieres — 262; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 262; untitled Star Wars movie premieres — 262; College Football Playoff national title game in Las Vegas — 300; Super Bowl LXI — 320; Tampa Mayoral Election — 336; Jacksonville First Election — 357; Jacksonville General Election — 413; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond The Spider-Verse’ premieres — 431; ‘MIAMI VICE’ reboot premieres — 493; ‘Bluey The Movie’ premieres — 493; ‘The Batman 2’ premieres — 549; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 626; College Football Playoff national title game in New Orleans — 664; ‘Lilo & Stitch 2’ premieres — 787; ‘Incredibles 3’ premieres — 808; Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 836; U.S. Presidential Election — 952; College Football Playoff national title game in Tampa — 1,028; Avatar 4 premieres — 1,352; College Football Playoff national title games in Miami — 1,392; Avatar 5 premieres — 2,083.

— TOP STORY —

“Palm Beach County Elections Supervisor says arrested man never worked election, stolen thumb drive contained fake voter data” via Frank Kopylov of Florida’s Voice — A volunteer arrested for stealing an encrypted training device from the Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections Office never worked recent elections, and the device held only fake voter data, officials said.

John D. Panicci was arrested Saturday on theft charges after authorities said he took the device, known as an activator stick, during a March 19 poll worker training session ahead of the March 24 Special Election in House District 87.

Supervisor of Elections Wendy Sartory Link said the thumb drive is used statewide for training and contains fabricated voter names, addresses and ID numbers for practice scenarios.

“Even if this person were able to break the encryption, all they’re going to get is made-up names,” Link said, stressing there was no real danger tied to the device.

Link said staff noticed the device missing during routine checks, and security footage showed Panicci taking it. He was immediately terminated and barred from future election work.

“He did not work this election,” Link said. “He didn’t have any access to the database that was used for that election. So, it was completely unaffected.”

She added that the voter check-in system is separate from the ballot tabulation system and has no internet connection, limiting any potential risk.

The office reported the theft to the Palm Beach County Sheriff’s Office, which recovered the device. Link emphasized “zero tolerance” for interference and said safeguards worked as designed.

— 2026 —

The only story that matters — “Gas prices hit 4-year highs as Iran conflict continues” via Florida Politics — Gas prices in Florida are at their highest level in four years as the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continues to disrupt the global oil supply chain, sending crude prices soaring. On Monday, the Sunshine State average price for a gallon of regular gas was $3.95 — a penny more than one week ago, $1.06 more per gallon than last month and 84 cents more than a year ago. Oil prices are the main driver of gas prices, and oil prices have surged nearly 45%, AAA said, due to escalating conflict in the Middle East. Disruptions to key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz — which carries a significant share of the world’s oil — have tightened supply and pushed crude prices higher, driving up what Americans pay at the pump.

“‘Florida is a red state’: Byron Donalds not worried about November despite Dem Special Election wins” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Donalds said he is not concerned about General Election prospects despite two recent Special Election losses for Republicans in Florida. Democrats Brian Nathan and Emily Gregory won races in Senate District 14 and House District 87, defeating Josie Tomkow and Jon Maples, respectively. Donalds said, “Special Elections are very different animals,” and pointed to ongoing campaign efforts across the state. He said Maples lost narrowly and is expected to run again in November, describing the district as competitive. Donalds noted the seat has changed party control multiple times. “We fully anticipate” a strong Republican performance in the Midterm Elections, he said, emphasizing a focus on Florida’s future and broad voter appeal. He also referenced past statewide Republican victories.

— STATEWIDE —

“Judge orders phone access for ‘Alcatraz’ detainees” via Jim Saunders of State Affairs — Pointing to First Amendment rights, a U.S. district judge has ordered state and federal officials to ensure that immigrants at the “Alligator Alcatraz” detention center in the Everglades can make unmonitored phone calls to attorneys. Judge Sheri Polster Chappell issued a preliminary injunction Friday in a case that started last Summer, when attorneys alleged they were being prevented from having access to detainees at the controversial facility. The 68-page ruling supported arguments that detainees’ First Amendment rights were being violated because they could not make timely and confidential phone calls to attorneys. Polster Chappell also cited a “complete lack of transparency” about policies on attorney access and communications with detainees and ordered officials to post the information publicly. But the judge declined to issue an injunction requiring the detention center to ensure attorneys can make unscheduled visits to see detainees. She said testimony indicated the facility has started allowing such visits.

“What’s next for Ron DeSantis? See how the Florida Governor answered” via Hannah Phillips of The Palm Beach Post — Gov. DeSantis declined to outline his political future during a March 25 appearance in Palm Beach, saying he remains focused on governing and delivering results before his term ends in 2027. He told moderator George LeMieux he is not planning next steps, though he recently said he has not ruled out another presidential run. Trump said he would consider DeSantis for a future administration role, despite past criticism. DeSantis emphasized priorities including economic growth, tax reduction and lowering state debt. He also warned Republicans ahead of the 2026 Midterms that complacency could cost them, pointing to a recent Democratic flip in a GOP-leaning Palm Beach County House District as a sign of potential political vulnerability.

“Flagler County Chair reacts to CFO’s budget criticism” via Brenno Carillo of the Daytona Beach News-Journal — Days after Chief Financial Officer Blaise Ingoglia issued a scathing criticism of what he described as “excessive and wasteful” budget spending,” Flagler County Chair Leann Pennington welcomed the state official’s findings. In an email to The News-Journal, Pennington wrote that she and others on the Board have “have consistently raised concerns about rising project costs, increased staffing, and the overall growth of government.” Pennington welcomed the state CFO’s findings. “The County Commission requested to participate in Florida’s ‘FAFO’ process, which reviewed local budgets dating back to 2019,” Pennington wrote. “I am glad the CFO recognized these issues and selected our county as an example of wasteful spending.”

“Jennifer Marcial Ocasio takes on new job at Equality Florida” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Former journalist and communications leader Marcial Ocasio is joining Equality Florida to become the new deputy director of Communications. “Jenny brings a powerful combination of journalism experience, strategic communications expertise, and a deep commitment to community,” said Equality Florida Communications Director Brittany Link. “Her ability to build meaningful relationships with the media and tell stories that resonate will be an incredible asset as we continue expanding the reach and impact of our work across Florida.” Equality Florida is a statewide civil rights organization that supports the LGBTQ community. Marcial Ocasio’s award-winning career includes receiving the GLAAD Media Award, earning a spot on the Orlando Business Journal’s 2025 40 Under 40, and being named a Florida Public Relations Association Orlando Chapter 2025 Rising Star nominee.

— D.C. MATTERS —

“Pentagon seeks $200 billion in additional funds for the Iran war” via Lisa Mascaro and Kevin Freking of The Associated Press — The Pentagon is seeking $200 billion in additional funds for the Iran war, a sizable amount that is certain to be met with questions from Congress, which would need to approve any new money. The department sent the request to the White House. Asked about the figure at a news conference Thursday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth did not directly confirm the amount, saying it could change. “It takes money to kill bad guys,” Hegseth said. But he said, “We’re going back to Congress and our folks there to ensure that we’re properly funded.”

“Airport wait times improve as TSA agents begin to get paychecks” via Daniel Wu of The Washington Post — Wait times for security lines at major U.S. airports appeared to be decreasing Monday as the Transportation Security Administration began issuing retroactive pay to its beleaguered workforce, delivering a reprieve to travelers who had contended with hourslong lines and missed flights during a partial government shutdown that has stretched for weeks. Houston’s George Bush Intercontinental Airport, where five-hour-long security lines had snaked outside a terminal and down escalators to the airport tram last week, reported wait times of between five and 10 minutes around noon Monday. Wait times at John F. Kennedy International Airport and LaGuardia Airport in New York were mostly under 30 minutes, except for one LaGuardia terminal, which reported a wait time of over 90 minutes. A week ago, the TSA line for one terminal at JFK was about 45 minutes long.

“RFK Jr. takes push to get junk food out of hospitals to Florida” via Kimberly Leonard and Arek Sarkissian of POLITICO — HHS Secretary Kennedy launched a new initiative in Florida aimed at improving hospital food, arguing better nutrition can aid recovery and reduce readmissions, as part of the Trump administration’s broader “Food as Health” push. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services is urging hospitals to align their food purchases with federal dietary guidelines to maintain eligibility for funding. Kennedy and CMS Administrator Mehmet Oz criticized the current hospital meals as low-quality and nutrient-deficient. Florida officials, including Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson, said the state will expand programs connecting hospitals with local farmers. Supporters say the effort marks a major step toward integrating nutrition into patient care and tackling chronic disease.

“Ashley Moody introduces bill to let states go after people who file fraudulent Medicaid claims” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — U.S. Sen. Moody is backing a bill that aims to crack down on the theft of taxpayer funds through Medicaid fraud. Moody has introduced the STOP FRAUD in Medicaid Act in the Senate. Currently, state Medicaid Fraud Control Units primarily focus on investigating providers who file bogus claims. If the measure is approved, it would allow those investigators to go after people who file for benefits based on claims that have deceived providers. “I fought fraud as Florida’s Attorney General, recovering millions of dollars for taxpayers, and I am fighting it now as U.S. Senator, finding and closing gaps that exist in our laws. At a time when our nation’s debt is skyrocketing, we must increase our efforts to tackle wasteful spending,” Moody said. “The STOP FRAUD in Medicaid Act gives states the authority to catch and punish fraud fast.”

— ELECTIONS —

Alex Vindman blasts proposed health care cuts to fund Iran war — Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Vindman is lambasting incumbent Republican Moody and U.S. Senate Republicans for entertaining the shift of federal money meant for health care toward the Iran war. “Floridians are being squeezed with skyrocketing gas prices from this war with Iran, on top of rising health care premiums with no relief in sight. Ashley Moody’s war in Iran is already costing Americans a $1 billion a day, yet Washington politicians are attempting to justify massive cuts to essential health care to bankroll this ill-considered war,” Vindman said in a news release. “Ashley Moody isn’t listening to Floridians. Slashing health care to fund this war isn’t only misguided, it’s a choice to inflict more pain on the very people Moody is supposed to serve.”

“DNC launches voter registration blitz, new playbook as Dems eye more gains” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Fresh off upset wins in South Florida and the Tampa Bay area and seven months from the 2026 General Election, Democrats are rolling out a new campaign playbook and launching a statewide voter registration push aimed at narrowing the GOP’s Sunshine State advantage. The Democratic National Committee (DNC) just announced its first-ever Midterm-year partisan voter registration effort in the state, anchored by a “Voter Registration Week of Action” that began Saturday. The initiative includes 21 events across Florida, with organizers targeting college campuses such as Florida International University, the University of Florida, Florida State University, the University of Central Florida and the University of North Florida, as well as events in counties including Lee, Palm Beach, Marion and St. Johns. It will be the first time the DNC has held voter registration drives at FIU, UF or UNF, the organization said.

“Walt McNeil provides backup to Amanda Marie Green in open CD 2 race” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Leon County Sheriff McNeil is making clear which Democrat he supports in the fight to flip retiring U.S. Rep. Neal Dunn’s seat. The Tallahassee Democrat is endorsing Amanda Marie Green, a longtime foreign aid consultant who had filed to challenge Dunn in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District. He said Green’s work with a nongovernmental organization interfacing with the U.S. Agency for International Development would be valuable in representing the region in Congress. She worked for more than nine years at Chemonics International, a Washington-based firm focused on sustainability solutions. “Amanda led the budgeting process for the USAID program responsible for addressing some of the toughest hunger and famine challenges in the world,” McNeil said.

“Donald Trump’s backyard race heads to November rematch” via Jim Saunders of State Affairs — Get ready for a rematch in Trump’s backyard. After Democrat Emily Gregory drew national attention last week by winning a Special Election in a state House District that includes Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate, she and Republican Jon Maples are headed toward Round 2 in the November General Election. Gregory opened a campaign account on Friday to defend the seat in Palm Beach County’s House District 87. On Monday, incoming House Speaker Sam Garrison, who chairs the Florida House Republican Campaign Committee, endorsed Maples in the race. “Jon Maples is a fighter for Palm Beach County. His support for a strong economy, safe streets, and quality schools is the exact kind of common-sense, conservative leadership we need in the Florida House. The FHRCC is proud to support Jon’s campaign all the way through to victory in November,” Garrison said.

—“After upset HD 87 flip, Emily Gregory says Dems ‘have the momentum’ to win more in November” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics

“‘August has what it takes’: Lois Frankel, Emily Gregory back August Mangeney for HD 93” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Lawyer Mangeney’s bid to flip House District 93 back to blue now has the backing of a sitting Congresswoman and the Sunshine State’s most recently elected state Representative. U.S. Rep. Frankel and state Rep.-elect Gregory are both endorsing Mangeney, a fellow Democrat who is running for House District 93. Frankel, a former state lawmaker and West Palm Beach Mayor who has represented Palm Beach County in Washington since 2013, when she supplanted Republican Allen West, said Mangeney’s focus on kitchen-table issues will resonate with voters. “August understands that families are feeling squeezed and want leaders who will focus on lowering costs, protecting public education, and standing up for our communities,” she said.

— LOCAL: S. FL —

“DeSantis signs bill to rename Palm Beach International Airport for Trump” via Jim Turner of the News Service of Florida — DeSantis on Monday signed legislation renaming Palm Beach International Airport as “President Donald J. Trump International Airport,” marking a swift move despite past political tensions between the two Republicans. The measure passed along party lines in the Legislature and now awaits federal approval and a local agreement for use of the Trump name. Supporters, including Sen. Debbie Mayfield, said the honor reflects Trump’s presidency. At the same time, critics such as House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell called it a misuse of taxpayer funds, citing millions in rebranding costs. The law, effective July 1, also restricts local governments from renaming other major Florida airports as lawmakers continue budget negotiations.

— LOCAL: C. FL —

“Cubans in Central Florida feel a change is coming, but concerns about deportations also rise” via Natalia Jaramillo of the Orlando Sentinel — Cuban immigrants in Florida, once among the most legally privileged in the U.S., may be forced to relinquish their unique protections and pushed to the forefront of the Trump administration’s immigration crackdowns, lawyers and advocates say. But amid the changes here, many in Central Florida’s Cuban community of more than 80,000 believe the communist government is at a “breaking point,” producing a mixture of dread and hope about the possibility of returning home. “Change is coming,” said Mel Martinez, a Cuban American former U.S. Senator and Orange County Mayor who lives in Orlando.

— LOCAL: TB —

“Tampa tightens watering rules: Jane Castor says regional drought leaves ‘less room for improvisation’” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Tampa Mayor Castor says residents will face stricter limits on outdoor water use starting this week in response to the “worst drought in 15 years.” Lawn watering in Tampa — and across many counties in the region — will now be restricted to one assigned day per week, and only during nighttime hours between “12:01 a.m. to 4 a.m. or 8 p.m. to 11:59 p.m.” The new restrictions follow action by the Southwest Florida Water Management District, which has moved the region into a Modified Phase III Extreme Water Shortage Order. That requires all residents, including those on private wells, to follow one-day-per-week watering restrictions with stricter watering hours.

“Can the Rays build a Tampa stadium in three years?” via Colleen Wright of the Tampa Bay Times — The Tampa Bay Rays, under new ownership, are gunning to have a stadium in Tampa ready by Opening Day 2029. The plan to have the public pay half of it has not been put in writing. Designs for a fixed-roof stadium with a potential $2.3 billion price tag are still in flux. No official debates have been waged or votes tallied. All that’s in place is a 180-day timeline for a non-binding agreement to negotiate a deal with Hillsborough College to build a stadium on its Dale Mabry campus. For now, the team is making the rounds without a contingency in pocket: The Rays have not requested a lease extension for their current home, Tropicana Field, should a stadium not be ready in Tampa in three years.

“Brandi Gabbard looks for fundraising surge to close Q1” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — St. Petersburg City Council member Gabbard has sent an email blast seeking donations to her mayoral campaign ahead of the March 31 deadline for 2026 first quarter finance reports. Reports outlining all financial activity spanning Jan. 1 through March 31 are due April 10. It will be Gabbard’s first financial report since joining the Mayor’s race earlier this month and will offer clues into her ability to remain competitive in what will be an expensive race. The email seeks contributions of $100 or more to “help us get our message of proactive, thoughtful leadership to every corner of St. Petersburg.” The email was similar to another sent on Friday, saying the city is at a “critical crossroads” and declaring that the city deserves “leadership that does more than just react to the challenges of today” and who instead will “proactively plan for the realities of tomorrow.”

— LOCAL: N. FL —

“‘Party’s over’: Spring Break billboards show up in Panhandle supporting ICE, deportation policy” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — A conservative group will run ads in Florida’s Panhandle urging voters to support Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). The spots cast ICE agents as security protecting one of America’s hottest party destinations. American Sovereignty funded billboards and plane displays in an ad blitz in Destin and Pensacola, timed to when thousands will hit the beaches there during Spring Break. “You don’t have to go home, but you can’t stay here,” reads one billboard, which shows a handshake between “Bartenders at 3 a.m.” and “ICE agents.” Another shows an ICE agent standing in front of “Club America” with the headline “ICE: America’s Bouncers.”

“Board of Governors clears the way for FAMU athletic debt forgiveness” via Tarah Jean of the Tallahassee Democrat — Florida A&M University has been paying back millions of dollars in auxiliary funds that were unrightfully used years ago for its Athletics Department, but the long-standing debt is no longer a setback. During a March 26 Florida Board of Governors meeting, the higher education Board voted in support of letting the FAMU Board of Trustees take steps to recuse the university from repaying the athletics debt – a move that comes as the governing Board’s regulations recently started allowing athletics departments of the state’s public universities to use auxiliary funds for athletics expenses. Now, the ball is in the FAMU Board’s court to make the debt forgiveness decision. While the university Board is scheduled to convene virtually on April 15, it is unclear whether the matter will be considered during that meeting, as an agenda has not yet been posted.

“City of Tallahassee: We will trade you Park Place for free parking” via Skip Foster of Red Tape Florida — An expansion of Midtown Reader in Tallahassee highlights the challenges small businesses face navigating city regulations, with owner Sally Bradshaw forced to abandon plans for additional parking after officials required costly sidewalk and utility upgrades exceeding $150,000. Despite investing more than $850,000 to purchase the property and roughly $450,000 on expansion, Bradshaw was limited in how she could use the land while facing sharply higher property taxes and about $90,000 in permitting-related design costs. Supporters say the process reflects a burdensome bureaucracy that stifles growth, even as Midtown Reader continues community efforts, such as donating thousands of books to local students.

“Study finds dozens of First Coast restaurants are falsely advertising locally caught shrimp” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — North Florida has long been proud of its Mayport shrimp offerings. But a new study shows many First Coast restaurants are falsely advertising the popular Mayport shrimp while serving crustaceans from elsewhere. The study was commissioned by the Southern Shrimp Alliance and was conducted by SeaD Consulting. The analysis used genetic testing results from shrimp collected at 44 restaurants in North Florida. It found 57% of the shrimp in those sales were not from the First Coast, even though the product was advertised as wild catches brought back to Mayport, a historic fishing village founded in 1562 near the mouth of the St. Johns River. Some 25 orders of shrimp at 44 establishments “were explicitly inauthentic, meaning menus or staff verbally represented the shrimp as local, Mayport-American wild-caught when testing confirmed imports.”

— LOCAL: SW. FL —

“Lee County Commissioner Cecil Pendergrass talks ICE presence at RSW” via Tomas Rodriguez of the Fort Myers News-Press & Naples Daily News — Lee County Commissioner Pendergrass’ immigration remarks followed a news conference in Matlacha on Hurricane Ian recovery. Pendergrass said ICE had not just arrived at the Fort Myers airport to relieve passenger traffic, and that agents had been on the ground for weeks prior. The Commissioner said they have been working behind the scenes with U.S. Customs and Border Protection. Pendergrass said nothing specifically sparked ICE’s presence at RSW and added: “This is an opportunity.” Pendergrass said ICE agents are greeting passengers, asking questions about their travel plans, such as how long they will be in Southwest Florida and what they will do in the area.

— TOP OPINION —

“NFL Rooney Rule needs protecting in face of Florida’s dumb attack” via Greg Cote of the Miami Herald — Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier is challenging the NFL’s Rooney Rule, calling it discriminatory and threatening legal action if the league does not stop applying it to Florida teams.

The Rooney Rule requires teams to interview minority candidates for coaching and front-office jobs but does not mandate hiring decisions. The NFL says the policy supports fairness and opportunity.

Uthmeier argues hiring should be strictly merit-based, aligning his stance with broader efforts to roll back Diversity, Equity and Inclusion initiatives across government and institutions.

The challenge affects the Miami Dolphins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Jacksonville Jaguars, placing Florida at the Center of a national debate over diversity in professional sports.

Supporters of the Rooney Rule say it helps ensure minority candidates are considered in a league where representation has lagged, even if the rule has limitations and has faced criticism.

Recent hiring cycles have underscored those concerns, with multiple openings filled without the selection of Black head coaches, raising questions about equal opportunity.

The dispute highlights a broader clash over diversity policies, with the NFL defending its approach as necessary while state officials push for its removal.

— MORE OPINIONS —

“Trump approval just hit the 30s. Can his numbers get any lower?” via Nate Silver of the Silver Bulletin — Trump’s approval rating has fallen below 40%, continuing a steady decline marked by incomplete rebounds after political setbacks and recent losses tied to economic strain and policy decisions. The Iran war and a controversial Minneapolis incident have weighed on public opinion, but rising gas prices above $4 and stock market losses have had a greater impact on voters focused on affordability. Polling shows the war is unpopular and has not produced a rally effect, while economic concerns dominate sentiment. Analysts point to self-inflicted political damage, weak messaging and structural challenges, including reliance on advisers and age-related concerns. Support within Trump’s base has softened, with fewer strong approvals and growing doubts about his long-term political standing.

“Trump will gladly do the Jitterbug on your grave” via Frank Bruni of The New York Post — Trump has intensified a pattern of attacking public figures after their deaths, drawing renewed scrutiny following comments celebrating former FBI Director Robert Mueller’s passing. He previously criticized Sen. John McCain and former Secretary of State Colin Powell after their deaths, often questioning their service and loyalty. All three were decorated Vietnam veterans, a contrast noted by critics, given Trump’s own military deferment. His remarks on Mueller reflect long-standing grievances tied to the Russia investigation. The pattern, critics argue, underscores a broader effort to reshape narratives around political opponents, even posthumously, while raising concerns about the tone of public discourse and the erosion of traditional norms of respect for the dead.

“Republicans should think twice before redrawing Florida’s congressional maps” via Mary Anna Mancuso of the Miami Herald — A push by DeSantis to redraw Florida’s congressional maps mid-cycle is raising concern among Republicans who warn the effort could backfire despite the potential to gain seats. Recent election results, including a Democratic flip in a pro-Trump district, highlight shifting voter dynamics and the risk of assuming safe margins. GOP lawmakers, including Reps. Greg Steube, Mario Diaz-Balart and Daniel Webster caution that aggressive redistricting could make currently secure districts more competitive, particularly in South Florida. While Republicans control the process, critics argue that altering favorable maps could unintentionally benefit Democrats. The debate underscores a broader warning that overreach, rather than opposition strength, could pose the greatest threat to the GOP’s current advantage.

“Republicans vote by mail — then tell voters not to trust it” via the Miami Herald editorial board — Coral Gables will hold its first all-mail election next month, sending more than 37,000 ballots to voters to decide eight charter amendments, with no in-person voting. State and local officials say Florida’s vote-by-mail system is secure, citing safeguards such as signature verification and ballot tracking. The move comes as some Republicans, including Trump, continue to criticize mail voting despite widespread GOP use of the method, including in recent Florida elections. Data show that more than 1 million Republicans voted by mail in 2024. Studies and state officials report fraud is rare, though isolated cases have occurred. Critics warn that undermining confidence in the system could reduce voter participation and trust in election outcomes.

“Florida is taking obesity seriously. Now is time for the next step” via Joseph Nadglowski for the Tampa Bay Times — Florida’s Weight Management Pilot Program for state employees is positioned as a key tool to address rising health care costs tied to obesity, which research estimates at $438.7 million annually for state and local governments. Advocates say obesity is a chronic disease influenced by factors such as genetics, requiring comprehensive treatment rather than limited coverage of related conditions. While the pilot program offers access to wellness services and medications, supporters argue it needs expanded funding to reach more eligible employees. They contend early treatment can reduce long-term costs, improve workforce productivity and lower absenteeism. With stronger investment and evaluation, the program could deliver measurable health and financial benefits while serving as a model for other states.

“A love letter to Tropicana Field” via Christian Blauvelt of the Tampa Bay Times — After a grueling 2025 season forced into the Florida heat, the return to Tropicana Field feels like a reset for the Tampa Bay Rays and their fans. The Trop, long criticized for its quirks, stands out as a comfortable and familiar home, offering relief from the elements and a richly historic setting. Its catwalks, controlled climate and unique atmosphere create an experience unlike any other ballpark. Generations of fans have built memories there, from the team’s 1998 debut to traditions like Rally Ray and Randy Land. Damage from Hurricane Milton briefly threatened its future, but its return underscores its lasting role in Tampa Bay’s identity and the deep connection between the team and its home.

“Forget the Masters. Forget golf. Tiger Woods needs help” via Tom D’Angelo of The Palm Beach Post — Woods’ latest DUI arrest after a rollover crash in Jupiter Island has shifted focus away from any potential Masters return and toward serious concerns about his health and behavior. Woods, who has now faced multiple crashes and DUI-related incidents since 2017, was arrested on suspicion of driving under the influence despite no alcohol being detected, raising questions about substance use. The incident underscores a pattern of reckless behavior that critics say demands immediate attention and accountability. Observers argue Woods should prioritize seeking help and stabilizing his life over any golf comeback. At 50, with two children nearing adulthood, the stakes are personal as well as professional.

— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —

— ALOE —

Scoop — “In 2024, Disney considered building hotels inside the Magic Kingdom, records show” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Disney once explored building one or two hotels inside Magic Kingdom as part of its largest-ever expansion, but has since dropped those plans, according to company statements and court records. A 2024 deposition from Imagineering executive Todd Rimmer revealed early concepts for new in-park hotels, potentially competing with Universal’s in-park accommodations, but Disney later confirmed no such projects are currently planned. The expansion instead focuses on new attractions, including Villains Land and Cars-themed rides. Experts say an in-park hotel would be highly popular but carries risks tied to location, theming and pricing, which may explain Disney’s decision to shelve the idea.

“DeSantis responds to Fenway Park criticism” via Andrew Holleran for the Miami Herald — DeSantis weighed in on a debate over Fenway Park’s standing among Major League Baseball stadiums, defending the historic Boston venue despite criticism from some fans. Opened in 1912, Fenway is often praised for its tradition but faulted for outdated features such as cramped seating, obstructed views and narrow walkways. Responding to rankings that excluded it from the top five, DeSantis said he would place Fenway alongside Pittsburgh’s PNC Park as the best in baseball, ahead of San Diego’s Petco Park. He cited the experience of seeing the Green Monster and the ballpark’s history as defining strengths, while critics continue to point to comfort and visibility issues.

“Tara Reid expected to film ‘Chicken Head’ horror-comedy at Pinellas County park” via Gabrielle Calise of the Tampa Bay Times — “Chicken Head,” a horror-comedy mockumentary from Corin Nemec, is being filmed around Pinellas County. Most of the scenes were filmed this month during a weeklong shoot at Heritage Village in Largo. Nemec would “rather not say” how big the budget is but promised the film will look like it has over $1 million to work with. He called on his friend Robert Blackmon, a Board member of the Pinellas County Historical Commission, to be an executive producer. Heritage Village is a living-history museum and park with dozens of restored buildings across 21 acres. With access to an entire Old Florida town, Nemec was able to consult Blackmon and expand the story. Blackmon is a real estate investor and former St. Petersburg City Council member. After his 2021 Mayoral run, he shifted his focus to historic preservation. He won an award last year from Preserve the ‘Burg for his work to restore a Standard Oil station from 1926.

— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —

Best wishes to four aces: Rep. Dana Trabulsy, Eric Edwards of U.S. Sugar, Dave Mica, Jr., and Lauren Pardo. Belated happy birthday wishes to our friend, the incredibly talented Jordan Gibson.

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Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.