Politics
Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 10.9.26
Good Friday morning.
A new St. Pete Polls survey commissioned by Florida Politics has every statewide race within the margin of error and Amendment 3 moving away from the 60% it needs to pass.
The survey of 836 likely voters was conducted Oct. 5-7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Here are the top lines.
Governor: Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly are tied at 45%, with 4% picking someone else and 7% undecided. A tenth of a point separates them before rounding, with Donalds on top. Both gained about a point since the pollster’s mid-September survey, which had Donalds at 44% and Jolly at 43%.
U.S. Senate: U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody leads Democrat Angie Nixon 47% to 45%, with 2% for someone else and 6% undecided. The September survey had them tied at 45%.
Attorney General: James Uthmeier leads Democrat José Javier Rodríguez (45% to 43%), with 12% undecided. He was up 43% to 42% in September.
CFO: Blaise Ingoglia leads Democrat Annette Taddeo 44% to 42%, with 14% undecided. St. Pete Polls had not tested the race before.
Amendment 3: The $250,000 homestead exemption has 42% support, with 35% opposed and 23% undecided. It needs 60%. Support was 45% in September, and opposition was 30%.
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If you don’t like those numbers, here is another set.
A new poll released overnight by The James Madison Institute has Republicans ahead by about 10 points in four statewide races and Amendment 3 above the 60% it needs.
Donalds leads Jolly 52% to 42% for Governor, with 3% undecided. Moody leads Nixon 52% to 42% for U.S. Senate. Uthmeier leads Rodríguez 50% to 40% for Attorney General, and Wilton Simpson leads Joey Mendoza Atkins 50% to 39% for Agriculture Commissioner.
The CFO race is the exception. Ingoglia and Taddeo are tied at 43% among likely voters, with 10% undecided. Among all registered voters, Ingoglia leads 40% to 38%.
Amendment 3, the homestead exemption increase, has 63% support, with 21% opposed and 15% undecided. It draws 66% of Republicans, 52% of Democrats, and 54% of independents. Amendment 2 is at 57%, and Amendment 1 is at 42%.
Fuel prices and healthcare tied for the top issue at 36% each, followed by housing affordability at 30% and taxes and government spending at 29%. Eighty percent of voters say fuel prices have changed their household spending, and 39% say their finances are worse than a year ago, while 16% say they are better.
After hearing a description, 78% of voters support requiring voter approval before a local government can raise total property tax revenue above an annual limit, including 83% of Republicans, 72% of Democrats, and 76% of independents.
“Affordability remains top of mind, and voters are expressing strong views on property taxes, education, and important technology issues,” said JMI President and CEO Robert McClure.
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—”The Salt Shaker Test: Mason-Dixon’s Byron Donalds-David Jolly poll leaves the shaker in the cupboard” via Steve Vancore of Florida Politics
—”How political polling went astray and became a partisan tool” via John Pacenti of Palm Beach Daily News
— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —
—@RealDonaldTrump: We are having productive discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran. I want to make it clear to everybody that, while Iran is in very bad condition, both Economically and Militarily, and while the Blockade will remain in full force and effect, with Oil flowing in Record Numbers of Barrels through the Hormuz Strait (22 Million Barrels, last night alone, with not one barrel coming from, or going to, Iran!), we will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the Midterm Elections to be held in the United States on November 3rd. IRAN WILL NOT HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON!
—@atrupar: Q: How do you define socialism personally? JD VANCE: I think in reality what it actually means in the American context is you want to replace American workers with foreign workers, and you want boys to play in girls’ sports
—@MattGaetz: Florida LG Candidate @BryanAvilaFL was scheduled to appear on my @OANN program tonight but just canceled as his National Guard unit is being mobilized to respond to the forthcoming storm. This is a reminder of how Floridans operate. We come together, and we take care of one another. Senator Avila is a patriot and a true servant. Florida will be stronger because he will be among those available to lend a hand. We pray for our first responders, guardsmen, line crews and our neighbors. Hurricanes are tough. Floridians are tougher. Godspeed to Senator Avila and all who are serving.
—@TheDaraKam: “We’re certainly not gonna let the bastards grind us down on any of it.” — @GovRonDeSantis blasts reporting/leaking on #HopeFlorida #Medicaid settlement with @Centene
—@NateM_Tributary: Judges can’t erase time and alter reality. Reality: a grand jury convened and issued findings. Those findings say what they say. The judges in this case happened to disagree. Nothing about any of this calls any reporting into question.
Tweet, tweet:
Tweet, tweet:
— DAYS UNTIL —
Associated Industries of Florida one-on-one conversations with five top-of-ticket Republicans — 3; ‘VisionQuest’ premieres — 5; ‘The Diplomat’ season 4 premieres — 6; Optional General early voting begins — 10; ‘Six Kings Slam’ on Netflix — 12; Florida TaxWatch Fiscal Accountability Leadership Summit begins — 12; General Election ballot request deadline — 13; Mandatory General early voting begins — 15; General Election — 25; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero’ premieres — 28; ‘Wild Horse Nine’ premieres — 28; Florida Automated Vehicles Summit — 33; ‘Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol’ starring Johnny Depp premieres — 35; ‘Paper Tiger’ starring Adam Driver premieres — 35; Joe Biden’s memoir, ‘Promise Me, America’ is released — 39; New legislator training sessions — 39; Senate convenes for general organization and selection of officers — 39; ‘Madden’ premieres — 40; ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping’ premieres — 42; ‘The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth,’ with Brad Pitt, directed by David Fincher and written by Quentin Tarantino, premieres in IMAX — 47; Committee Week #1 — 52; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 70; ‘Dune: Part 3,’ directed by Denis Villeneuve, premieres — 70; Committee Week #2 — 87; Committee Week #3 — 94; ‘Ahsoka’ season 2 premieres — 103; College Football Playoff national championship game in Las Vegas — 108; Committee Week #4 — 115; ‘Remain,’ directed by M. Night Shyamalan, premieres — 119; Grammys — 121; Committee Week #5 — 122; Super Bowl LXI — 128; Committee Week #6 — 129; Opening day of the 2027 Regular Legislative Session — 144; Tampa Mayoral Election — 144; ‘The Thomas Crown Affair,’ directed by and starring Michael B. Jordan premieres — 147; Jacksonville First Election — 151; Oscars — 156; Miami Marlins Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. New York Mets — 167; Tampa Bay Rays Opening Day/Home Opener — vs. Baltimore Orioles — 167; Democratic Mayors Association 2027 annual summit in Miami begins — 187; Jacksonville General Election — 221; ‘Star Wars: Starfighter’ premieres — 231; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ premieres — 252; Citrus Series — Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins — 280; ‘The Bluey Movie’ premieres — 301; Citrus Series — Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays — 336; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 434; 2028 South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary — 470; College Football Playoff national championship game in New Orleans — 472; 2028 Nevada Presidential Primary — 480; 2028 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary — 487; 2028 New Mexico Democratic Presidential Primary — 494; ‘The Batman Part II’ premieres — 497; 2028 Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary — 501; 2028 Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary — 508; Oscars — 513; ‘X-Men’ premieres — 574; ‘Miami Vice ’85’ reboot premieres — 588; ‘Lilo & Stitch 2’ premieres — 595; ‘Days of Thunder’ sequel with Tom Cruise and Anne Hathaway premieres — 602; ‘Incredibles 3’ premieres — 616; 2028 Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 644; ‘Ghost Rider’ premieres — 658; 2028 U.S. Presidential Election — 760; ‘Black Panther 3’ directed by Ryan Coogler premieres — 798; College Football Playoff national championship game in Tampa — 836; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1,169; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 1,897.
— TOP STORY —
“Seminole Tribe sues DraftKings in high-stakes fight over Florida sports betting monopoly” via Brody Wooddell of WFTV — Florida’s multibillion-dollar sports betting monopoly faces a new legal test as the Seminole Tribe sues DraftKings, accusing the gambling giant of illegally taking wagers under the guise of prediction markets and fantasy contests. The lawsuit threatens to redraw the boundaries of Florida’s tightly controlled sports betting industry.
Filed Thursday in Broward County Circuit Court, the 72-page complaint names DraftKings, CEO Jason Robins, and GUS III LLC, which operates as DraftKings Predictions. The Tribe alleges Florida customers can wager on game outcomes, point spreads, player performances and other sporting events through the company’s app.
The Tribe argues those offerings are conventional sports bets disguised as fantasy contests or event contracts. Its five-count complaint alleges illegal gambling, racketeering, deceptive trade practices and unfair competition. Robins is accused of personally directing the expansion of the disputed products.
DraftKings maintains Pick6 is a peer-to-peer fantasy sports product, and its other offerings are prediction markets. The company says its traditional sportsbook and casino remain unavailable in Florida. The allegations have not been proven in court.
The Tribe wants an injunction shutting down the disputed offerings, a ruling declaring them illegal and the surrender of profits. The Tribe would use recovered money to prioritize consumer protection and problem-gambling programs.
The financial stakes extend beyond DraftKings. Florida’s 2021 Gaming Compact gives the Tribe exclusive online sports betting rights through Hard Rock Bet, with at least $2.5 billion guaranteed to the state over five years. A court ruling could determine whether prediction markets can operate outside that arrangement.
— 2026 —
“Donalds walks Donald Trump tightrope as Florida Governor’s race intensifies” via Cheyanne M. Daniels and Dasha Burns of POLITICO — Republican gubernatorial candidate Donalds insists his relationship with President Trump remains strong despite removing prominent references to Trump from his campaign website. In a POLITICO interview, Donalds said the changes were designed to focus on Florida voters, particularly undecided voters, rather than distance himself from the President. “I’m allowed to have my own viewpoint,” he said, acknowledging policy differences. One involves artificial intelligence and data centers, where Donalds favors local control and requiring developers to shoulder costs. Trump has advocated expanding data centers and limiting state regulation. Donalds also defended Trump’s handling of the Iran war and credited him with helping advance his political career.
“Donalds makes emotional closing pitch alongside Rick Scott in Pinellas” via Evan Axelbank of FOX 13 Tampa Bay — Republican gubernatorial candidate Donalds delivered an emotional campaign speech in Largo, reflecting on his journey from poverty to potentially becoming Florida’s next Governor. Joined by U.S. Sen. Scott, Donalds pledged to represent all Floridians, not just the voters needed to win. With Election Day approaching, competing polls show a tightening contest against Jolly, including one survey showing a 45%-45% tie. Donalds touted his campaign’s million-door canvassing effort, while Scott emphasized Republicans’ 1.5 million-voter registration advantage. Scott acknowledged economic concerns, including rising unemployment and affordability challenges. Donalds maintains an 8-to-1 fundraising advantage, providing substantial resources for the campaign’s final weeks.
“Donalds expands outreach to Black voters across Florida” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Donalds is highlighting efforts to reach Black voters through a statewide coalition of clergy, elected officials, educators and business leaders. Speaking in Pinellas County, Donalds said his campaign wants to engage communities traditionally overlooked by Republican candidates and govern beyond the narrow majority required for election. The Florida Coalition of Black Leaders for Donalds plans outreach at churches, barbershops and college campuses before Election Day. Its membership includes Democratic officials such as Gadsden County Sheriff Morris Young and Gainesville Commissioner Cynthia Chestnut. Jolly has assembled his own coalition of Black supporters. Donalds could become Florida’s first Black Governor. The campaign’s outreach strategy offers a distinct storyline beyond horse-race polling.
Happening today — Donalds and Sen. Jim Boyd make a campaign retail stop: 9 a.m., Popi’s Place IV, 3911 U.S. 301, Ellenton.
“Al Lawson backs Jolly and questions Donalds’ record” via James Call of the Tallahassee Democrat — Former North Florida U.S. Rep. Lawson endorsed Democratic gubernatorial nominee Jolly and criticized Donalds’ congressional voting record. Lawson, who spent decades representing Tallahassee and surrounding communities, questioned Donalds’ positions on Medicaid, food assistance and voting rights. The endorsement comes as both campaigns court Black voters in the final weeks before November’s election. Donalds recently announced support from a coalition of Black elected officials and community leaders, including Tallahassee Republican Sen. Corey Simon. Lawson previously expressed reservations about Democrats nominating Jolly, a former Republican, but now says Jolly is focused on affordability and housing. Lawson plans to campaign with Jolly across North Florida, where his long-standing political relationships could help expand the nominee’s outreach.
“Jolly details insurance overhaul and data center restrictions” via Kristine Bellino of 104.5 WOKV — Democratic gubernatorial nominee Jolly outlined proposals on homeowners insurance, immigration and development during a Jacksonville radio interview. The former Republican Congressman wants Florida to expand its hurricane fund, potentially using taxes on insurance company profits and other revenue to cover more storm losses. Jolly claimed the approach could eventually reduce homeowners insurance costs by 60% to 70%, though that projection remains unverified. He also proposed pausing new large data center projects while assessing environmental and infrastructure effects. On immigration, Jolly favored greater local discretion in cooperating with federal authorities. He called for improved access to primary healthcare and support for veterans awaiting federal services. Donalds was invited to appear on the program.
—”Leon Sheriff Walt McNeil endorses José Javier Rodríguez for Attorney General” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics
— MORE ELECTIONS —
“Jared Moskowitz gains edge as Crystal Ball shifts congressional race toward Democrats” via Anthony Man of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Democratic U.S. Rep. Moskowitz received an electoral boost as Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted his contest against Republican Scott Singer from toss-up to “leans Democratic.” The University of Virginia analysis suggests Republicans may struggle to capitalize on Florida’s newly redrawn congressional districts despite boundaries designed to favor GOP candidates. Moskowitz seeks a third term in District 25, which Trump carried by nine points in 2024. Crystal Ball also revised its assessment of District 22, where Republican Casey Askar faces Democrat Pia Dandiya. The Cook Political Report still rates both contests toss-ups, underscoring uncertainty as Democrats seek to overcome Republican redistricting advantages in November’s elections.
“Hillsborough congressional contests feature contrasts on costs and healthcare” via Yacob Reyes of Axios Tampa Bay — Hillsborough County voters will decide two congressional races in newly drawn districts as mail voting gets underway. In District 12, former County Commissioner Kimberly Overman is challenging Republican U.S. Rep. Gus Bilirakis. Overman emphasizes prescription drug prices and reproductive rights, while Bilirakis campaigns on the cost of living, border security, and Trump’s agenda. In District 14, Republican former state Rep. Mike Beltran is challenging Democratic U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor. Castor highlights federal investments in Tampa International Airport and Port Tampa Bay, as well as healthcare and energy affordability. Beltran emphasizes his record of legislative tax cuts and expanded healthcare access. The contests give Tampa Bay voters competing approaches to household costs and federal priorities. Early voting runs Oct. 19 through Nov. 1.
“María Corina Machado and Everglades Trust endorse María Elvira Salazar” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Salazar picked up endorsements from Venezuelan opposition leader Machado and the Everglades Trust as she campaigns for a fourth term in Florida’s 27th Congressional District. Machado, the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, praised the Miami Republican’s support for democracy in Venezuela, saying Salazar had remained steadfast when others hesitated. The Everglades Trust pointed to her work on ecological restoration. The endorsements show support from prominent voices on two issues important to South Florida: Venezuela’s future and Everglades protection. Salazar is seeking another term in a Miami-area District where international affairs and environmental policy intersect with local political concerns. The announcements come as candidates make their final appeals before the November General Election.
“More former national security officials back Phil Ehr against Carlos Giménez in CD 28” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Ehr is adding another endorsement from veterans of America’s national security institutions. The Steady State — a network of more than 450 former intelligence, diplomatic, military, law enforcement and homeland security officials — announced its official support of the retired Navy Commander in his campaign to flip Florida’s 28th Congressional District. “Our members know, from firsthand experience, what it costs to defend institutions under pressure. We see that same willingness in Phil Ehr,” said the group’s Executive Director, Steven Cash.
— EVEN MORE ELECTIONS —
“‘A statesperson’: All five Lantana Council members endorse Debra Tendrich for HD 89 re-election” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — As she seeks a second term representing House District 89 in Palm Beach County, Democratic Rep. Tendrich has every member of the Lantana Town Council in her corner. Tendrich’s campaign announced that all five town officials back her for re-election, praising her accessibility, domestic violence legislation, and willingness to collaborate across political lines. Council member Kem Mason said Tendrich’s approach to governing merits another term. “In fact, she is not a politician; she is a Statesperson,” he said.
“‘Answering the call’: Michael Ferguson debuts second ad toward bid to flip HD 100 in Broward” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Ferguson has a new ad out highlighting affordability issues in House District 100 and how he plans to address them. Ferguson, a veteran, Democrat and first-time candidate, just debuted the 30-second spot, titled “Answer,” connecting his Air Force career and Broward County upbringing to a promise to confront rising living costs across South Florida. “While Tallahassee looks out for big developers and insurance companies, I’ll fight to lower costs and make life more affordable.”
Walk this way:
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“Florida mobilizes thousands of responders as Hurricane Isaias threatens Panhandle” via R.J. Rico, Dave Collins, Hallie Golden and Julia Bagg of NBC 6 South Florida — Florida is mobilizing emergency personnel from across the state as Hurricane Isaias strengthens toward the northern Gulf Coast. The Category 2 hurricane reached sustained winds of 100 mph Thursday evening, with landfall expected late Friday or early Saturday. Gov. Ron DeSantis declared an emergency across the Panhandle and Big Bend, while South Florida rescue teams prepared to deploy north. Miami-Dade Fire Rescue is sending an 88-member task force, and Miami Fire Rescue is deploying another 80 responders. The teams bring medical personnel, rescue specialists and communications equipment. Mandatory evacuations and school closures are underway in threatened communities. Forecasters warn of dangerous storm surge, flooding, tornadoes and potentially prolonged power outages.
“Ron DeSantis calls for accountability over leaked Hope Florida report” via Kimberly Leonard and Gary Fineout of POLITICO — DeSantis called for the prosecution of the people behind a leaked grand jury report that was sharply critical of the Hope Florida scandal, a day after an appeals court ruled the report should never have been issued. At a Miami news conference, DeSantis argued the scandal was a “hoax” and defended the staffers and officials named in the report, saying their reputations were improperly harmed. “I don’t think you can just say we’re going to just move on,” DeSantis said. “I think you need to hold the people accountable who disclose this because I think it’s been very, very serious and it was political.” DeSantis was joined by Uthmeier, whose name was cited repeatedly in the grand jury report. Uthmeier said law enforcement was reviewing the case and that if they find a violation, state attorneys or the statewide prosecutor could file charges.
“Florida health officials face fierce opposition over childhood vaccine changes” via Arek Sarkissian of POLITICO — Florida’s plan to eliminate four childhood vaccine requirements sparked heated exchanges between medical professionals and state health officials during a hearing in Lake Mary. Surgeon General Joseph Ladapo defended removing requirements for chickenpox, hepatitis B and two bacterial infections, arguing that parental rights should guide immunization decisions. Doctors challenged the proposal, citing decades of scientific evidence supporting vaccine safety and effectiveness. Traci-Lyn Eisenberg of the Florida Osteopathic Medical Association questioned whether the state had evidence justifying the changes. Ladapo countered that the hearing was about parental choice, not vaccine effectiveness. Florida’s childhood vaccination rate has fallen from approximately 94% before the COVID-19 pandemic to 89% this year, intensifying concerns about declining community protection.
“Appeals court vacates ruling holding Florida environmental agency responsible for manatee deaths” via Kylie Williams of POLITICO — A federal appeals court has vacated a ruling holding Florida’s Department of Environmental Protection responsible for manatee deaths in the Indian River Lagoon, citing changes to the Endangered Species Act under Trump. The 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals returned the case to a lower court to determine how the administration’s revised definition of “harm” affects the lawsuit. Environmental group Bear Warriors United sued in 2022 after hundreds of manatees starved following algal blooms that destroyed seagrass beds. A federal judge previously found state-permitted wastewater systems contributed to the deaths. Executive Director Katrina Shadix welcomed the decision, emphasizing that the court did not reject the group’s underlying claims.
— D.C. MATTERS —
“Supreme Court pauses challenge to political advertising discounts” via John Kruzel of Reuters — The Supreme Court temporarily relieved federal regulators of a deadline to address Democrats’ challenge to expanded political advertising discounts. Chief Justice John Roberts paused an appeals court order requiring the Federal Communications Commission to rule by Friday on a policy allowing party committees to purchase broadcast advertisements at lower candidate rates. The FCC changed its policy in March, and Democratic candidates argue the agency has delayed addressing their objections. Republicans support the revised rule, which operates alongside a separate Supreme Court decision eliminating limits on coordinated party spending. Reuters reports Republican national committees entered the Fall with substantially more cash than their Democratic counterparts. The legal dispute could affect campaign advertising costs as congressional candidates enter the final weeks before Election Day.
“Trump promises Medicare recipients $90 payments ahead of Midterms” via Dan Diamond and Isaac Arnsdorf of The Washington Post — Trump told Medicare enrollees they would receive a one-time $90 payment toward October premiums, drawing scrutiny weeks before the Midterm Elections. The administration plans to redirect $2 billion previously designated for Medicare improvements, a move that surprised lawmakers in both parties. In an email to beneficiaries, Trump promoted his prescription drug initiatives, rural healthcare program and other administration policies. Democrats and senior advocates questioned whether the payment would meaningfully ease ongoing healthcare costs and criticized its timing. Richard Fiesta of the Alliance for Retired Americans accused the administration of politicizing Medicare. The White House did not immediately respond to questions about the email. The dispute puts federal healthcare spending and election-year messaging under renewed scrutiny.
“News outlets challenge Trump’s White House access restrictions in court” via Jack Queen of Reuters — Three major news organizations asked a federal judge to preserve their White House access while they challenge restrictions imposed by Trump. CNN, MS NOW and POLITICO contend the administration retaliated against unfavorable reporting and violated constitutional protections. Justice Department attorneys defended the restrictions, alleging the outlets published false or classified information that raised national security concerns. U.S. District Judge Timothy Kelly previously blocked the bans temporarily, finding likely due-process problems. At Thursday’s hearing, attorneys disputed whether the restrictions amounted to punishment for protected journalism or a legitimate response to reporting practices. Kelly said he would rule by Tuesday, when his temporary order expires. The case tests Presidential authority over press credentials during a contentious election season.
“Trump promotes children’s investment accounts amid affordability concerns” via The Associated Press — Trump announced that investment accounts are being established automatically for Americans younger than 18, although parents or guardians must formally claim them. The federally created Trump Accounts are intended to invest in stocks, with government funding limited to eligible newborns rather than every child. Trump promoted the initiative as part of his economic agenda while Republicans confront voter concerns about high prices ahead of November’s Midterm Elections. The White House announcement came amid debate over the administration’s handling of inflation, energy costs and the Iran war. The program offers families a potential long-term savings vehicle, but automatic account creation does not mean every child receives a federal contribution. Families must take additional steps to activate access.
“Webull stock drops after House Committee flags China ties” via Staff of Tampa Bay Business Journal — St. Petersburg online stock trading platform Webull is under fire after a bipartisan congressional Committee raised red flags about its exposure to the Chinese government. In a report made public on Wednesday, the House Select Committee on China said the company’s “structural” ties to China pose a risk to American customers’ data and dollars managed on its platform, which supports more than 28 million users. “Webull’s ownership architecture, technical workforce, technology infrastructure, cross-border data routing, corporate financing and compliance frameworks are tied in structural ways to the People’s Republic of China,” the Committee stated in the report.
— LOCAL: S. FL —
Breaking late Thursday — “DeSantis cancels Miami-Dade inmate’s execution amid concerns over dementia” via Grethel Aguila of the Miami Herald — DeSantis has withdrawn the death warrant for William Thompson, a 74-year-old Death Row inmate convicted of a 1976 Miami-Dade murder, following questions about his mental competency. Thompson had been scheduled for execution Oct. 13 at Florida State Prison in Raiford. DeSantis previously issued a temporary stay in September after Thompson’s attorneys raised concerns about his mental capacity, including possible dementia. On Thursday, the Governor formally withdrew the warrant in a letter to prison Warden Randall Polk. Thompson was convicted of killing Sally Ivester, 23, on March 30, 1976. The decision halts an execution that had been scheduled more than five decades after the crime.
“Miami referendum campaigns launch new ads over $450M safety bond, Virginia Key lease” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Two Miami referendum campaigns are taking their arguments to voters’ screens through a pair of ads seeking approval of a $450 million police-and-fire bond and rejection of an up to 75-year Virginia Key marina lease. Both measures go before city voters Nov. 3. Referendum 1, if approved, would authorize up to $450 million in general obligation bonds for fire stations and a public safety headquarters serving police and other first responders. “When someone is having a heart attack, a stroke, or another life-threatening emergency, those extra minutes matter,” Mayor Eileen Higgins, who supports the proposal, said in a statement.
“Heather Moraitis, John Rodstrom battle for open Fort Lauderdale Commission seat” via Susannah Bryan of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Former Commissioner Moraitis and attorney Rodstrom are competing to replace outgoing Fort Lauderdale Commissioner John Herbst in the Nov. 3 General Election. Both candidates come from prominent political families but offer contrasting approaches to city finances and development. Moraitis emphasizes her previous Commission experience and neighborhood priorities, including water bills, vacation rentals and homelessness. Rodstrom, endorsed by Herbst, campaigns as a fiscal watchdog focused on infrastructure, government spending and development agreements. Both question the cost of a planned $217 million City Hall. Their sharpest disagreement involves Amendment 3: Moraitis supports expanding homestead exemptions, while Rodstrom warns the resulting revenue losses could jeopardize municipal services and strain budgets.
“Broward Mayor demands Sheriff open books amid escalating budget feud” via Rafael Olmeda of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — Broward County Mayor Mark Bogen blasted Sheriff Gregory Tony, accusing him of bullying county officials, avoiding accountability and refusing scrutiny of his department’s spending. Bogen demanded an independent audit after Tony suspended budget discussions amid a statewide prosecutor’s investigation into county contracts. County Auditor Bob Melton criticized the Sheriff for withholding financial information needed to evaluate law enforcement operations. Commissioners unanimously advanced a process that could transfer 911 services from the Sheriff’s Office to county control by next October. Tony sought a 12.4% budget increase, but Commissioners approved 6.4%, bringing his department’s funding to $885 million. The escalating dispute also involves potential changes to airport, seaport and fire rescue operations.
“Moishe Mana wants to buy historic courthouse — and plans go beyond the tower” via Catherine Odom of the Miami Herald — Billionaire businessman Mana submitted plans to the county last month for a revamped Miami-Dade Courthouse. His vision for the 1920s landmark includes art galleries, fashion showrooms and event space. Mana is offering to buy the courthouse for $5 million, far below the $35 million minimum bid the county set for its auction. The proposed renovation is part of his larger plan for the Flagler Street corridor, where he owns about 80 properties. Mana said that the $5 million is a “good faith” offer for a building that’s more of a “liability” than an asset. He said he would probably put another $30 million to $40 million into renovating the building at 73 W. Flagler St.
“Doral residents, advocates double down on demands to end city partnership with ICE” via Syra Ortiz Blanes of the Miami Herald — Residents, community leaders and advocates doubled down Wednesday on demands that the city of Doral end its partnership with Immigration and Customs Enforcement, saying it’s causing panic in the community and devastating local businesses. “What our community is living through is shameful,” said Eliazar Guevara, a Doral resident and Venezuelan activist. “They have said that the police are not collaborating. What’s the problem with revoking this agreement if they don’t collaborate?” Guevara held a yellow manila folder he said contained signatures from 170 residents calling on the city’s leadership to revoke the enforcement collaboration with the Trump administration.
— LOCAL: C. FL —
“Jerry Demings pitches $800M in tourist tax for 13 ideas — including UCF sports facilities” via Ryan Gillespie of the Orlando Sentinel — Orange Mayor Demings proposed spending more than $800 million of the county’s tourist-tax largesse on an array of local projects, endorsing ideas advanced by a county task force but also reviving a rejected plan from the University of Central Florida to build a pair of sports facilities. But Commissioner Mayra Uribe expressed support for Demings’ plan — saying she appreciated that cities and towns like Eatonville, Ocoee and Winter Garden were included, rather than “the usual players.” “I’m actually happy that UCF got included, and I’m happy that the Dr. Phillips Center got a decent share,” she said.
“Seminole should deny developer’s proposal for ‘Pappy’s Patch’ site, Board says” via Martin E. Comas of Orlando Sentinel — A Seminole Advisory Board has recommended the county oppose a controversial request by former state legislator Chris Dorworth to carve 67 acres of old farmland out of the protected rural boundary so he can build scores of new houses on what once was the popular Pappy’s Patch strawberry picking field. Nearly 40 people spoke out against his request. No resident spoke in favor. Dorworth later shot back at those criticizing him and his application. “People are very nasty,” he said.
— LOCAL: TB —
“Charlie Crist talks Rays, taxes and Tropicana Field redevelopment plans” via Florida Politics — St. Petersburg mayoral candidate Crist says he would pursue modest tax cuts, reconsider Tropicana Field redevelopment proposals and leave the door open for the Tampa Bay Rays to remain temporarily in St. Pete. In an interview with Ryan Gorman of WFLA, Crist acknowledged the team’s planned Tampa move but suggested extending its Tropicana Field agreement if stadium construction encounters delays. He also questioned Mayor Ken Welch’s redevelopment selection, emphasizing affordable housing. Crist proposed nearly $15 million in tax reductions but said he would probably oppose Amendment 3, citing potential cuts to essential services. With Election Day approaching, Crist holds substantial fundraising and endorsement advantages over Welch, including support from former Mayors and City Council members.
“Bob Gualtieri defends Flock cameras, looks to AI as a solution as Pinellas confronts oversight gaps” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Pinellas Sheriff Gualtieri is defending license plate readers (LPR) as Commissioners weigh whether to pull back from Flock Safety and other LPR systems. The push by Commissioners comes amid growing privacy concerns and the recent arrests of two deputies accused of abusing law enforcement databases. Commissioners agreed to hear from him before discussing a proposal from Commissioner Vince Nowicki to end county contracts, subscriptions and data-sharing agreements with LPR providers and remove the cameras from county-controlled roads and rights-of-way. “We can’t not have it,” he said. “We just have to do it the right way.”
“Charlie Gerdes backs Trevor Mallory as ‘best choice for St. Petersburg’s future’” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Former St. Petersburg City Council member Gerdes knows who he’d like to see on the dais to replace a former colleague. Gerdes, whose son serves on City Council and whose brother is currently the City Administrator, is endorsing Trevor Mallory in District 6 to replace term-limited incumbent Gina Driscoll. “I will be voting for Trevor Mallory to be the next City Council member for District 6 because Trevor is a community leader on affordable housing and access to homeownership,” Gerdes wrote. “Trevor Mallory is the best choice for St. Petersburg’s future success.”
“Ray Charles Taylor, who voted in 2024, claimed he didn’t know sex offenders couldn’t vote: arrest warrant” via WFLA — A convicted felon is back behind bars after an investigation into his voting history. Arrest papers said Taylor was convicted in 1987 of two counts of attempted sexual battery and one count of lewd and lascivious act in the presence of a child. Arrest papers said Taylor told the investigator that he did not know sex offenders were not allowed to vote. When filling out the application, Taylor checked a box stating: “I affirm that I am not a convicted felon, or if I am, my right to vote has been restored.”
— LOCAL: N. FL —
“Florida Panhandle orders evacuations as Hurricane Isaias approaches Gulf Coast” via Eric Weiss of CBS12 — Florida Panhandle communities are ordering evacuations, opening shelters and closing schools as Hurricane Isaias approaches the northern Gulf Coast. DeSantis declared a state of emergency as local officials prepared for damaging winds, flooding and storm surge. Okaloosa County ordered mandatory evacuations in coastal Zones A and B, including portions of Destin and Fort Walton Beach. Walton County began voluntary evacuations and opened a shelter at Freeport High School. Gulf County ordered evacuations at several coastal campgrounds, while Escambia County prepared emergency operations and requested high-water rescue vehicles. Officials also announced government closures, sandbag distribution sites and military installation restrictions. Forecasters expect landfall late Friday or early Saturday, with conditions deteriorating beforehand.
“Jacksonville weighs Amendment 3 tax relief against potential service cuts” via J. Brooks Terry, Joe Lister and Ric Anderson of the Jacksonville Daily Record — Florida voters face a consequential decision on Amendment 3, which would expand the homestead exemption while reducing local government revenue. Jacksonville auditors project the city’s property tax collections could fall to roughly $948 million by fiscal 2029 if the measure passes. DeSantis and Republican gubernatorial nominee Donalds support the proposal, arguing homeowners need relief and local governments can restrain spending. Mayor Donna Deegan and public safety advocates warn that lost revenue could jeopardize services, development incentives and infrastructure. Supporters say the amendment would improve affordability, while opponents contend that renters, businesses and future homebuyers could face higher costs. The proposal requires 60% voter approval in November.
“Jacksonville Democrats target Donalds over proposed data center development” via Quin Marlowe of Hoodline — Jacksonville Democrats are making artificial intelligence data centers a local campaign issue, raising concerns about water use and potential effects on the St. Johns River. City Council member Jimmy Peluso, state House candidate Audrey Gibson and Agriculture Commissioner candidate Joey Atkins appeared together near the river to criticize Donalds’ approach to data center development. Their news conference linked the statewide Governor’s race to questions about industrial growth, environmental protections and public resources in Northeast Florida. The Democrats used the phrase ‘Data Center Donalds’ to frame their criticism. The dispute underscores how decisions about emerging technology infrastructure are becoming campaign issues beyond Tallahassee, particularly where local communities are weighing economic development against environmental and utility concerns.
“Duval School Board bars ‘1984’ adaptation from library after state memo” via Steve Patterson of The Florida Times-Union — The Duval County School Board has voted to remove its sole copy of a graphic novel adaptation of George Orwell’s 1984, a classic on government control of thought and expression often mentioned in debates about censorship. The School District’s roughly 200 copies of the original text are not affected by the Board’s Oct. 6 vote. In urging the Board to remove the graphic version by adapter/illustrator Fido Nesti, Board member Tony Ricardo cited a Sept. 23 memo from Florida Education Commissioner Henry Mack telling School Districts to set stricter rules for reviewing library and classroom books. “I believe it does not pass the Commissioners’ litmus test for pornography,” Ricardo said.
“St. Johns Airport Board races put governance and transparency before voters” via Noah Hertz of Jacksonville Today — Five candidates are competing for two St. Johns County Airport Authority seats as the agency seeks stability after a series of governance controversies. The authority oversees St. Augustine Airport, where several former Board members faced criminal charges tied to alleged private meetings, and another resigned citing ethical concerns. DeSantis appointed replacements, leaving just one elected member on the five-person Board heading into November. Incumbent Jerry Dedge faces John Wilson in Group 2, while Christopher Cannan, Sean Collins Hess and Sean Griswold seek the Group 3 seat. Candidates have emphasized accountability, transparency and future development. The Board is considering 23 acres for aviation-related economic activity, making the election consequential for both airport oversight and regional growth.
— LOCAL: SW. FL —
“Manatee Commissioners put AI data centers on ice with 12-month moratorium” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Manatee County Commissioners have unanimously approved a 12-month moratorium on new data center applications. The move puts large-scale projects on hold as the county weighs whether the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure industry has a place in Manatee. Commissioner Jason Bearden raised concerns about Manatee County’s water supply and questioned whether the county should ultimately allow large data centers at all. “It’s not a precursor to approving data centers,” Board Chair Tal Siddique said. “It is a good measure to ban any applications from coming through today to scare them off now.”
“Sarasota tourism spending climbs despite declining lodging occupancy in August” via Kendal Asbury of the Sarasota Herald-Tribune — Sarasota County ended the Summer with encouraging tourism numbers, recording increases in visitor traffic and spending during August even as lodging occupancy declined. The results suggest the region continued to attract travelers and generate tourism revenue despite softer demand for overnight accommodations. The contrasting trends highlight the importance of examining visitor spending alongside traditional hotel occupancy figures when assessing the health of Sarasota’s tourism economy. Higher visitor counts and expenditures signal strength for tourism-dependent businesses, while declining occupancy challenges lodging operators. The August figures provide a mixed picture of the region’s tourism performance as Sarasota moves beyond the Summer travel season.
— TOP OPINION —
“The grand jury sounded the alarm. Now Florida must answer it” via Megan Rose of Florida Politics — A Marion County grand jury spent seven months investigating Florida’s child welfare system and delivered a devastating assessment: The Department of Children and Families is “failing catastrophically” in Circuit 5. The findings demand more than familiar explanations about staffing shortages, overwhelming caseloads and insufficient funding. Florida needs accountability, transparency and measurable reforms.
Before taxpayers are asked for additional funding, they deserve answers about how nearly $1.4 billion annually supports community-based care agencies and whether that investment produces better outcomes for vulnerable children.
The warning is hardly unprecedented. Grand jury reports in 2002, 2011 and 2014 identified serious problems. A Tampa Bay Times investigation recently documented more than 370 children separated from parents through temporary custody transfers in Hillsborough County, raising troubling questions about oversight and due process.
Florida law already gives DCF authority to monitor contractors, demand corrective action, impose financial penalties and terminate agreements. Those powers must be exercised consistently. The Legislature should commission independent reviews across all 20 judicial circuits, examining child safety, financial management, contract compliance and previous corrective actions.
But accountability alone cannot solve the crisis. Florida must also strengthen community-based prevention, connecting struggling parents with childcare, housing, transportation, employment assistance and other support before families reach a breaking point.
The next Governor can help reshape the system, but lawmakers need not wait. Independent oversight, transparent reporting and stronger partnerships with local nonprofits can protect children while keeping families together. Florida’s children deserve meaningful action, not another report gathering dust.
— MORE OPINIONS —
“Republicans confront unthinkable Senate losses as Midterm races tighten nationwide” via Byron York of the Washington Examiner — Republicans must prioritize competitive Senate races while protecting longtime strongholds from potentially devastating Democratic victories. Texas, South Carolina and Kansas present particularly troubling scenarios, with unexpectedly close contests threatening decades of Republican dominance. In Texas, Ken Paxton faces James Talarico, while South Carolina’s Darline Graham confronts Annie Andrews following her brother’s death. Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall also faces a competitive challenge from Adam Hamilton. Republicans should simultaneously pursue opportunities to flip Democratic seats in Minnesota and Michigan while defending vulnerable incumbents in Iowa and Maine. With Trump campaigning in South Carolina and Republican groups committing millions, the party’s final spending decisions could determine Senate control.
“Flock cameras are just the beginning of America’s privacy crisis” via Evan Power for the Washington Examiner — The debate over Flock cameras exposes a far greater threat to Americans’ privacy: artificial intelligence can now transform scattered personal information into detailed profiles of our daily lives. Financial transactions reveal medical visits, religious affiliations, political donations, family activities and personal hardships. What once required weeks of investigation can now be assembled almost instantly. As the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau rewrites Section 1033 of the Dodd-Frank Act, Washington must confront how financial technology companies collect, share and safeguard consumer data. Americans should not have to surrender their privacy for convenience or security. Before expanding access to sensitive financial records, federal regulators must establish clear accountability, meaningful protection and enforceable limits on potential abuse.
— WEEKEND TV —
ABC Action News Full Circle with Paul LaGrone — WFTS ABC Action News: Political strategist Michael Worley on the Midterm Election map, political analyst Susan MacManus on Florida polling and researcher Jackie Mitchell on the money behind Amendment 3.
In Focus with Allison Walker — Spectrum Bay News 9 / Spectrum News 13: State Rep. Anna Eskamani will discuss her career and next steps as her term with the Florida Legislature concludes.
The Usual Suspects — WCTV: Gary Yordon speaks with Tallahassee City Commissioner and mayoral candidate Jeremy Matlow.
This Week in Jacksonville with Kent Justice — WJXT News4JAX: Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jolly and government law attorney Chris Hand discuss Florida politics.
This Week in South Florida with Glenna Milberg — WPLG Local 10: Michael Barfield, Executive Director of The Florida Center for Government Accountability, speaks about the latest court ruling that wiped out the Hope Florida grand jury report. Plus, American Jewish Committee CEO Ted Deutch talks about the rise of antisemitism in South Florida, three years after the Oct. 7 terrorist attack. The big news of the week and the newsmakers are on Sunday at 11 a.m.
— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —
— AI —
“Congress weighs sweeping new rules for AI data center power costs” via Amy Harder of Axios — Congress is considering new requirements that would make large AI data centers pay more of the electricity infrastructure costs associated with their growth. Bipartisan Senate permitting legislation would accelerate construction of energy projects while shifting grid expenses away from households and other customers. Facilities using at least 20 megawatts could face charges for new generation, storage, transmission and distribution needs. Utilities would also seek financial guarantees to protect customers if projects fail. Ari Peskoe, a Harvard electricity-law expert, called the approach unusual, while industry representatives raised concerns about treating data centers differently from other businesses. States could adopt even tougher protections. The debate has implications for Florida communities facing data center proposals, power demand, and utility bills.
“Americans say artificial intelligence is advancing too quickly, poll finds” via Barbara Ortutay and Linley Sanders of The Associated Press — Nearly two-thirds of Americans believe artificial intelligence is developing too quickly, according to a new AP-NORC poll showing broad concern across party lines. The survey found 64% consider AI’s pace too fast, compared with 27% who say it is about right. Roughly eight in 10 adults want Washington to prioritize human control of AI systems and protection for workers. Trump opposes slowing development, citing competition with China, while respondents expressed limited confidence in either political party’s handling of the technology. Data center construction has also become a campaign issue amid worries about electricity demand and environmental effects. The survey of 2,140 adults, conducted Sept. 24-28, carries a 2.9-percentage-point margin of error.
“Anthropic launches AI cybersecurity program for power and water utilities” via Sam Sabin of Axios — AI developer Anthropic is launching a cybersecurity initiative to protect power grids, water systems, and other critical infrastructure from increasingly sophisticated attacks. Its Critical Infrastructure Defense Program will give participating security companies access to advanced AI models, engineers and threat research to help identify vulnerabilities. Founding partners include CrowdStrike, Deloitte, Dragos and Palo Alto Networks. Anthropic is also introducing OSS Scanner, a free tool that uses its Claude system to scan open-source software for security flaws and recommend fixes. The company cautions that scanner reports will not receive human review before distribution. Questions remain about deployment costs and how operators can safely implement repairs without interrupting essential services. The initiative is relevant to Florida utilities and emergency preparedness.
— ALOE —
“Florida State Fair announces 2027 dates, theme and ticket deals” via Neha Seenarine of the Tampa Bay Times — The Florida State Fair is preparing for its annual return to Tampa from Feb. 4-15, 2027, with a new theme celebrating traditional family entertainment. Organizers announced “Experience Real Fun. Florida’s Original Fun,” encouraging visitors to put down their phones and embrace shared experiences. Fair CEO Cheryl Flood says the celebration will highlight the traditions, discoveries and family memories that have defined the event for more than a century. On Thursday, a 12-hour flash sale offered any-day admission tickets for $5, with no additional fees, along with $5 parking passes limited to two per order. The promotion ran from 10 a.m. to 10 p.m., or while supplies lasted. Additional details about next year’s attractions and food offerings are forthcoming.
“Florida Bigfoot fans get their moment as Tampa celebrates 100 years” via Malaika Hollist of WUSF — Tampa Bay’s weekend plans are getting wonderfully weird. The Mid Florida Bigfoot Research Group is heading to Safety Harbor Public Library on Saturday to discuss Florida’s legendary Skunk Ape, alleged sightings and the mystery surrounding the famously elusive creature. Admission is free, and the presentation welcomes audiences ages 10 and older. Those who prefer their history a little less hairy can celebrate Tampa Theatre’s 100th birthday with a free Sunday open house. The restored Duncan Auditorium will welcome visitors for tours and historic photos ahead of a week of centennial festivities. Elsewhere, St. Petersburg’s Imagine Museum is hosting a costume-friendly Monsters & Makers Market, while Sarasota Art Museum offers free Sunday admission. Florida’s weekend forecast: Bigfoot, birthdays and plenty of indoor diversions.
“Kennedy Space Center gives Brevard residents a ticket to savings” via Ashley Carter of FOX 35 Orlando — Space exploration is getting a little more affordable for neighbors. Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex is offering Brevard County residents $21 adult admission and $16 tickets for children ages 3 to 11 from Oct. 12 through Oct. 25. Regular one-day admission is $77 for adults and $67 for children, making the annual Salute to Brevard promotion a sizable discount. Residents must show proof of local residency and buy tickets on the day of their visit, with a limit of six discounted admissions. Visitors can explore Space Shuttle Atlantis, the Rocket Garden and other attractions. The complex is also encouraging donations of nonperishable food and hygiene supplies for the Sharing Center of Central Brevard. Consider it a hometown thank-you with a launchpad-sized bargain.
— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —
Best wishes to former state Rep. Ben Diamond; former Rep. Janet Adkins; veteran lobbyist Keyna Cory of Public Affairs Consultants; Mike Grissom of Buchanan Ingersoll Rooney; journalist Diane Rado; Clayton Clemens; former Senate President Joe Negron; lobbyist Ron Watson; and Florida Politics contributor Mike Wright.
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Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.
The post Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 10.9.26 appeared first on Florida Politics – Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government..