Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 1.30.26

Good Friday morning.

My sports book hiatus: Taxes, corruption and AI are creating the perfect storm for sports betting, turning a win into a loss and making the odds even further out of reach. Check out my rationale for hitting the pause button on the sports books … for now

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The Florida Chamber Foundation’s virtual 2026 Florida Economic Outlook and Jobs Solution Summit struck a distinctly sunny tone Thursday, with a parade of economists and industry voices arguing Florida’s growth story still has legs — even if the national picture comes with a few asterisks.

Florida Chamber President and CEO Mark Wilson leaned hard into the Chamber’s 2030 Blueprint pitch: Florida is now the world’s 15th-largest economy, and its goal to crack the Top 10 by 2030 is very much attainable.

On the macro outlook, Dr. Sean Snaith of the University of Central Florida’s Institute for Economic Forecasting warned that 2026 still comes with “a moderate level of uncertainty,” ticking through potential tariff turbulence, the threat of another federal shutdown and the drag of high-interest credit card debt on consumer spending.

Amid broader warnings about U.S. economic uncertainty, the Chamber also turned to one of Florida’s most overlooked economic hedges: Canada.

Sylvia Cesaratto, Consul General of Canada in Miami, framed the Canada-Florida relationship as both a stabilizer and a growth engine at a moment when international trade patterns are shifting, and U.S.-Canada tensions have periodically flared. Cesaratto described the relationship as deeply integrated.

“We don’t so much sell things to each other as make things together,” she said. She also noted that Canada currently buys about $1 billion worth — or 30% — of Florida’s annual agricultural exports and that Canadian businesses directly employ about 70,000 Floridians.

On housing, Dr. Brad O’Connor, Chief Economist for Florida Realtors, said 2025 marked a fourth straight year of declining sales — but argued that even a modest dip in mortgage rates can unlock pent-up demand. His bottom line: absent a major surge in listings, Florida isn’t headed for a dramatic statewide price correction.

While there is some near-term uncertainty, especially at the national level, Wilson and the Florida Chamber team say the state is meeting the benchmarks it needs to enter the next decade as a Top 10 economy. For those wondering, yes, Florida stock is still a strong “buy.”

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News Service of Florida is shaking up its masthead mid-Session.

The outlet announced on Thursday that Gray Rohrer is its new Executive Editor and that Ana Goñi-Lessan is joining as Senior Reporter.

A Florida Politics alum, Rohrer comes to NSF from the USA Today Network – Florida. He’s stepping into the top newsroom role as NSF ramps up messaging about expansion, new products, and a broader footprint in the Sunshine State. Goñi-Lessan, also joining NSF from USA Today Network – Florida, adds reporting horsepower.

“Transitions are a natural part of any newsroom, and we are thrilled to welcome Gray and Ana to the NSF family,” said Tom Allon, Group Publisher. “Their expertise ensures that our coverage remains as sharp and reliable as ever as we move into a season of expansion and innovation.”

The hires come shortly after longtime NSF reporters Jim Saunders and Dara Kam left the newsroom to, as NSF puts it, “pursue new professional chapters.”

Allon added, “We wish Jim and Dara the very best and thank them for their years of dedicated service to our readers. As we look to the future, our mission remains unchanged: to provide the independent, statehouse journalism that Florida’s decision-makers rely on every single day.”

NSF said the Rohrer and Goñi-Lessan hires “are the first in a series of upcoming announcements,” and that “new products and exclusive events” are in the pipeline.

— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —

—@ByronDonalds: Stephen Colbert just claimed that Nazis are somehow better than @ICEgov. While I believe his comments are disgusting and inspire violence, he has the right to be as ignorant and vile as he chooses to be. His show has already been canceled as a result of his trash ratings, but @CBS now has to decide if they will keep him on air and allow this clown to represent them as the face of their network.

—@RennerWarRoom: We are reliably informed that our (Paul) Renner X accounts are being throttled. If you see this message, let us know: is it because you saw us in your feed? Or because you have us on alerts, or you came to our page? We’re wondering if Elon (Musk) is throttling us because he endorsed Byron (Donalds).

—@MDixon55: (Ron) DeSantis picking (Jay) Collins as LG under the, at the time, generally accepted idea he’d be the DeSantis guy and then DeSantis not backing him has made for a lot of weirdness in Florida’s GOP gubernatorial Primary

—@FloridaGOP: Lt Col Insubordinate @AVindman filed for Florida U.S. Senate using an Arizona address. Arizona already has two Senators. It does not need a third. Florida is not a political timeshare.

Tweet, tweet:

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— DAYS UNTIL —

The Grammy Awards — 2; Florida TaxWatch State-of-the-Taxpayer Dinner — 6; Milano Cortina Olympic & Paralympic Games begin — 7; ‘PARADISE’ season two premieres on Hulu — 24; Netflix docuseries ‘Drive to Survive’ premieres — 28; ‘Yellowstone’ spinoff ‘Y: Marshals’ premieres — 30; Boca Raton Mayoral referendums and City Council Elections — 39; last day of the Regular Session — 42; The Oscars — 44; ‘Peaky Blinders’ movie premieres on Netflix — 49; Special Election for SD 14, HD 87, HD 51 and HD 52 — 53; Yankees-Giants Opening Day matchup / Netflix’s first exclusive MLB stream — 54; MLB 14-game Opening Day slate — 55; new season of ‘Your Friends And Neighbors’ premieres on Apple+ — 63; Tampa Bay Rays first game at the newly repaired Tropicana Field — 66; ‘Handmaid’s Tale’ sequel series ‘The Testaments’ premieres — 68; Florida TaxWatch Spring Meeting begins — 75; MLB Jackie Robinson Day — 75; First Qualifying Period begins (Federal) — 80; Federal Qualifying Period ends — 84; F1 Miami begins — 91; ‘Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu’ premieres — 112; new mission for ‘Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run’ premieres at Disney World — 112; MLB Lou Gehrig Day — 123; Second Qualifying Period begins (State) — 129; South Africa in the FIFA World Cup opener in Mexico City — 132; Steven Spielberg’s ‘Disclosure Day’ premieres — 133; State Qualifying Period ends — 133; ‘Toy Story 5’ premieres in theaters — 140; Florida GOP’s statewide debates for the Primary in its ‘Sunshine State Showdown’ — 147; Mexico will face live-action ‘Moana’ premieres — 152; Primary Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to UOCAVA voters — 155; Primary Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to domestic voters — 160; MLB All-Star Game — 165; Domestic Primary Election VBM Ballots Mailed deadline — 167; Primary Election: Deadline to register to vote or change party affiliation — 171; Primary Election: Deadline to request that ballot be mailed — 188; Primary Election: Early voting period begins (mandatory period) — 190; Primary Election Day — 200; Yankees host the Mets to mark the anniversary of 9/11 — 224; MLB Roberto Clemente Day — 228; General Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to UOCAVA voters — 232; General Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to domestic voters — 237; Domestic General Election VBM Ballots Mailed deadline — 244; General Election: Deadline to register to vote — 248; Early Voting General Election mandatory period begins — 267; General Election — 277; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero‘ premieres — 280; ‘Dune: Part 3’ premieres — 322; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 322; untitled ‘Star Wars’ movie premieres — 322; College Football Playoff national title game in Las Vegas — 360; Tampa Mayoral Election — 396; Jacksonville First Election — 417; Jacksonville General Election — 473; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond The Spider-Verse’ premieres — 491; ‘Bluey The Movie’ premieres — 553; ‘The Batman 2’ premieres — 609; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 686; College Football Playoff national title game in New Orleans — 724; Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 896; U.S. Presidential Election — 1,012; College Football Playoff national title game in Tampa — 1,088; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1,412; College Football Playoff national title games in Miami — 1,452; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 2,143.

— TOP STORY —

“‘My rivals would all love to be in my position, and they’re not’: Byron Donalds’ Florida foes turn up the heat” via Kimberly Leonard and Gary Fineout of POLITICO — The fiercest fight in Florida’s Republican Primary for Governor is no longer about who leads the field but who finishes second behind GOP Rep. Donalds.

With seven months until voters cast ballots, Donalds has emerged as the clear front-runner, buoyed by President Donald Trump’s endorsement, deep fundraising strength and support from conservative activists, business leaders and law enforcement.

Gov. DeSantis, who remains popular with Republican voters as he prepares to leave office next year, has made clear he does not view Donalds as his successor, turning the contest into a scramble for positioning among the rest of the field.

Polling shows Donalds’ challengers languishing in single digits, even with high-profile entrants such as Lt. Gov. Collins and former House Speaker Renner. Surveys that test a hypothetical bid by first lady Casey DeSantis similarly show Donalds dominating.

Even allies of DeSantis privately acknowledge the race is Donalds’ to lose, citing his $45 million war chest and a campaign team drawn from Trump’s 2024 comeback operation.

Rivals have intensified attacks on Donalds’ finances, past legal issues and political history, while outside groups and social media accounts aligned with other campaigns have escalated criticism.

Donalds has largely ignored the intraparty fire, calling for unity and instead targeting potential Democratic opponents, including former Rep. David Jolly and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings.

While challengers insist the race will tighten and note many voters remain undecided, several DeSantis advisers say the Governor may sit out the Primary, leaving the battle for second place unresolved.

“Donalds says Florida open carry law needs no changes amid protest debate” via Gray Rohrer of the USA Today Network – Florida — Donalds said lawmakers do not need to clarify the state’s open carry law following the killing of Alex Pretti by federal law enforcement in Minneapolis. Speaking at the Capitol, Donalds said Florida’s constitutional carry framework is clear and allows firearm carry statewide, noting a state appeals court struck down the long-standing open carry ban and Attorney General James Uthmeier applied the ruling statewide. Donalds said Pretti should not have interfered with immigration officials, while stopping short of judging the killing and citing an ongoing investigation. Donalds dismissed criticism from GOP rivals and said he will consider debates only after candidates qualify in June.

— STATEWIDE —

“‘Job interview’: With Jay Collins jilted, Paul Renner plays long-game in wooing Ron DeSantis” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Renner said his path to the Governor’s Mansion depends on earning DeSantis’ endorsement and that he is prepared to wait as the Governor weighs the Republican Primary. In an interview with Jenna Ellis, Renner argued Lt. Gov. Collins has overstated his closeness to DeSantis and said the endorsement process functions as an extended evaluation of leadership and records. DeSantis has declined to endorse any candidate, saying loyalty is not decisive, a stance Renner said has leveled the field. Polling and fundraising continue to show GOP Rep. Donalds as the front-runner, bolstered by Trump’s endorsement. Renner acknowledged Donalds’ advantages but said DeSantis is waiting as voters begin focusing on the race.

“AG expands probe into pot initiative as petition deadline looms” via Arek Sarkissian of POLITICO — Uthmeier’s office has asked county Election Supervisors statewide to turn over any voter-signed petitions tied to a recreational marijuana initiative submitted by workers suspected of fraud, expanding a probe days before a key petition deadline. Statewide Prosecutor Bradley R. McVay requested petitions linked to Smart & Safe Florida circulators accused of using forged signatures or deceased voters’ information, giving counties until 5 p.m. Friday to respond. The move follows findings in Broward County, where officials identified at least 535 fraudulent petitions, prompting the investigation’s expansion to all 67 counties. The probe comes as Smart & Safe races to meet the roughly 880,000 verified signatures needed for ballot access, with the state Supreme Court set to hear arguments Feb. 5 on whether the measure should be blocked.

“Florida universities move forward with 1-year pause on H-1B visas” via Andrew Atterbury of POLITICO — State university leaders unveiled a proposed rule Thursday that would halt Florida universities from hiring new employees on H-1B visas for one year, advancing a priority of DeSantis as the state reexamines foreign labor use. The Board of Governors plan, expected to receive final approval in February, would pause new H-1B hires through Jan. 5, 2027, while exempting current employees. The move follows a DeSantis-backed audit criticizing universities for filling positions with foreign workers instead of Americans. Faculty leaders warned the moratorium could damage recruitment and Florida’s higher education reputation. The proposal comes as Trump pushes federal changes to the H-1B program, including a $100,000 fee to discourage misuse.

“Florida bans nurse who made comments about Donald Trump’s Press Secretary” via Michelle Spitzer of the USA Today Network-Florida — A Florida labor and delivery nurse is banned from working in Florida following an expletive-filled social media post wishing Trump’s pregnant Press Secretary a painful childbirth. Effective immediately, Lexie Lawler is no longer allowed to work as a nurse in the state, Uthmeier announced on social media. Lawler was fired from Baptist Health Boca Raton Regional Hospital earlier this month following a TikTok post about Karoline Leavitt. “Making statements that wish pain and suffering on anyone, when those statements are directly related to one’s practice, is an ethical red line we should not cross,” Uthmeier posted on social media.

“Education Commissioner aims to deny legal reimbursement for Gainesville teacher” via WCJB — Florida’s top education official is making a legal argument for why the state should not be on the hook for paying a Gainesville high school teacher’s attorneys’ fees. Education Commissioner Anastasios Kamoutsas filed a response to Lauren Watts’ request for reimbursement in her legal battle with the state. A judge dismissed the case but left the door open to revisit it. Watts was suspended last year after a parent complained her son was named “most likely to become a dictator.” A School District spokesperson says Watts is no longer on leave.

— BIG BILL OF THE DAY —

“House panel backs major health care bill” via News Service of Florida — A Florida House panel on Thursday approved a sweeping health care bill that would reduce state regulations and implement recent federal changes to Medicaid and food assistance programs.

The 143-page proposal, HB 693, advanced by the House Health Care Facilities & Systems Subcommittee, would eliminate the state’s certificate of need process for nursing homes, hospice providers, and certain care facilities, while expanding practice authority for advanced practice registered nurses, dental hygienists, and physician assistants.

Supporters say the changes would increase competition, strengthen the health care workforce, and expand access to care. Medical, dental, hospice, and nursing home groups opposed several provisions, citing workforce shortages and patient safety concerns.

The bill also carries out federal SNAP and Medicaid changes, including stricter eligibility rules.

— LEGISLATIVE —

“House Republican who investigated Hope Florida seeks changes to the law” via Alexandra Glorioso of the Herald/Times Tallahassee Bureau — Two years after the DeSantis administration diverted nearly $10 million from a Medicaid settlement into a political campaign, a House panel unanimously advanced legislation aimed at preventing similar actions. HB 593, sponsored by Rep. Alex Andrade, would prohibit state settlement funds from being routed to third parties and used for political purposes. The bill also would bar the Governor’s chief of staff from fundraising and prohibit Governors from soliciting campaign donations. The measure follows reports that $10 million from a Medicaid settlement was funneled through the Hope Florida Foundation to a political committee, an action now under grand-jury investigation. The bill would require agencies to notify the Attorney General and legislative leaders of settlements. DeSantis has denied wrongdoing. The bill has one more Committee stop.

“After long debate, Senate Committee OKs changing Wrongful Death Act to cover fetuses” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — A bill drawing fierce opposition from Democrats, medical professionals and the Florida chapter of the American Civil Liberties Union has advanced through its second of three Senate Committees. After a tense debate, the Appropriations Committee on Criminal and Civil Justice approved SB 164 with a 5-3 vote. Sen. Erin Grall’s bill would expand Florida’s Wrongful Death Act to cover the death of a fetus, codifying civil liability and allowing parents to sue for damages. Proponents of the bill insist the Wrongful Death Act must be expanded to give more legal protections to parents suffering from an unfathomable loss. Critics warned that the bill was ripe for abuse and would give a fetus the same legal protections as those living.

“Bill enhancing punishment for violence against law enforcement passes Senate” via Kylie Williams of POLITICO — Senators on Thursday approved a bill mandating life sentences without release for manslaughter convictions involving law enforcement officers, advancing a long-debated proposal amid sharp objections from Democrats and defense attorneys. The Senate voted 31-4 to pass SB 156, sponsored by Sen. Tom Leek, which would impose mandatory life imprisonment for killing an officer in the line of duty. The measure, known as the Officer Jason Raynor Act, follows the 2021 shooting death of a Daytona Beach police officer whose killer received a 30-year sentence. Opponents warned that the bill removes a statutory safeguard that bars officers from using force when they knowingly commit unlawful acts, arguing it could permit excessive force. Supporters said courts would retain authority to determine fault. The House companion bill is headed to the floor.

“House panel approves measure that would designate domestic terrorist organizations in Florida” via A House bill calling for a domestic terrorism organization list in Florida drew sharp questions and pushback Thursday. The House Civil Justice and Claims Subcommittee debated the bill (HB 1471) sponsored by Rep. Hillary Cassel. Despite extensive criticism, the panel voted 14-3 to approve. Rep. Michelle Rayner wondered who ultimately decides what groups are domestic terrorist organizations. Cassel emphasized that the Commissioner of the Florida Department of Law Enforcement does that. And then the designation would go to the Florida Cabinet for review, and that panel makes the final decision.

—“Danny Alvarez proposal creating a statewide counterterrorism unit clears first House Committee” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics

“House advances Susan Valdés measure cutting costs of medical marijuana cards for veterans” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Legislation lowering the cost of a medical marijuana card for honorably discharged veterans advanced Thursday from the House Health Professions and Programs Subcommittee, with bipartisan support and a companion bill filed in the Senate. The measure, HB 887, sponsored by Rep. Valdés, would reduce the state registration fee from $75 to $15, a change supporters say would remove a financial barrier for underserved veterans. Lawmakers and advocates cited potential benefits for veterans dealing with PTSD and other health conditions. Supporters noted similar legislation reached the House floor last year and pointed to Trump’s support for reclassifying cannabis as a Schedule 3 drug. Valdés said the bill would both aid veterans and improve data on veteran participation.

“‘Cut the yellow tape’: House panel advances bill to eliminate license plate decals” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Legislation that would end a requirement in Florida for motorists to apply a yellow registration decal on their license plates just zipped through its first Committee with uniform support. Members of the House Government Oversight Subcommittee voted 15-0 for the measure (HB 341) by Rep. Tom Fabricio, who described the change as minor, but “very important.” “It will make a monumental change throughout the state of Florida,” he said. “This will cut the red tape — we like to say it cuts the yellow tape — and it’ll help everyone’s life be a little bit easier. We’re going to save government money, which in turn will save taxpayer dollars.”

— MORE LEGISLATIVE —

“House Committee zooms e-bike regulation bill through with unanimous vote” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — A bill to regulate e-bikes vroomed through a House Committee, with supporters looking to help local communities grappling with a growing number of collisions and other problems due to the e-bikes’ explosive popularity. The House Transportation & Economic Development Budget Subcommittee advanced HB 243 unanimously. “Unfortunately, this bill was inspired by tragedy, but not just one tragedy,” said Rep. Yvette Benarroch, the bill’s co-sponsor. “Across Florida, families have lost loved ones, and young people have been seriously injured while using electric bicycles and other high-speed electric devices.”

“Michael Owen proposal to reshape Hillsborough County government clears its second House panel” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — A proposal by Rep. Owen that could reshape the structure of Hillsborough County government cleared its second House Committee stop. If approved, HB 4029 would place a charter amendment on the November 2026 ballot asking voters whether to expand the Hillsborough County Board of County Commissioners from seven to nine members, with a future expansion to 11 Commissioners once the county reaches a population of at least 2.5 million. The proposal would also convert all Commission seats to single-member districts — replacing the current mix of District-based and countywide elections — and revising voting thresholds for key county actions. The bill does not directly enact those changes if approved by the Legislature. Instead, it requires approval by a majority of Hillsborough County voters through a countywide referendum conducted during the 2026 General Election.

“House Subcommittee OKs bill sparked by Volusia County Schools drama” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — When Volusia County School Board member Donna Brosemer asked for school records, she was hit by a bill from the very District she oversees. Other times, she was ignored completely and left empty-handed, she said. Meanwhile, some Volusia County Schools employees were required to sign nondisclosure agreements (NDAs) about school business, which created challenges. All those issues sparked new legislation moving through the House Education Administration Subcommittee (HB 1073). The bill would set up a School Board member’s bill of rights, making it clear that School Board members must receive records promptly and at no cost. It would also ban requiring school employees to sign NDAs. The bill sparked a spirited debate, and the Subcommittee passed the measure 15-3.

“‘Hospital Days’: Hospital leaders reconvene at Capitol” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — Hospital leaders from across Florida converged on the Capitol this week for Hospital Days, pressing lawmakers on priorities ranging from rural health care support to prior authorization reform and graduate medical education funding. Hosted by the Florida Hospital Association, the annual event drew more than 100 hospital executives for meetings with legislators and staff, emphasizing collaboration as the state’s population grows older and demand for services increases. Leaders highlighted investments in innovation, including same-day cancer care, virtual reality and home-based treatment models, while warning that sustained funding is still critical for hospitals serving vulnerable patients. Lawmakers attended briefings and receptions, and attendees highlighted emerging technology inside the Capitol. Organizers said direct engagement with policymakers is essential to shaping health care policy that keeps high-quality care accessible and affordable for Floridians statewide.

— TALLY SKED. —

9 a.m.

EDR: Revenue Estimating Impact Conference, Room 117, Knott Building.

1:30 p.m.

EDR: Revenue Estimating Conference, Room 117, Knott Building.

1:45 p.m.

EDR: Revenue Estimating Conference, Room 117, Knott Building.

— D.C. MATTERS —

“Dems clinch deal with White House as shutdown looms” via Stephen Neukam and Hans Nichols of Axios — The White House and Senate Democrats struck a deal Thursday to separate Department of Homeland Security funding from a broader government spending package to avert a partial shutdown at midnight Friday, according to sources. The agreement would fund most of the government through September while extending current DHS funding for two weeks, giving negotiators time to address Democratic demands for reforms after recent fatal encounters involving federal agents. Senate Democrats, led by Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, insisted on curbs on Immigration and Customs Enforcement practices, including oversight measures and conduct changes, before backing a full DHS funding bill. Without the split, funding lapses would halt operations at agencies from the Coast Guard to TSA and FEMA. The passage still requires Senate and House approval.

“Dozens of anti-ICE rallies planned this weekend in Florida” via Michelle Spitzer of the USA Today Network – Florida — Dozens of anti-ICE rallies and candlelight vigils are unfolding across Florida this week, with more planned through the weekend, as protesters gather to honor Pretti and condemn federal immigration enforcement tactics. Demonstrations are scheduled in cities from Miami and Tallahassee to Clermont, Lakeland, and Palm Beach Gardens, drawing crowds to major intersections, downtown areas, and the Capitol. Organizers say the protests are meant to demand accountability and highlight concerns about the use of force by federal agents. The rallies come amid heightened tensions following two recent fatal encounters involving U.S. citizens and immigration officers, including Pretti’s killing on Jan. 24 and the earlier death of Renee Nicole Good. Protesters say the events reflect growing public outrage and a call for greater scrutiny of immigration operations.

“Battles are raging inside the Department of Homeland Security” via Michael Scherer of The Atlantic — Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem’s handling of a fatal federal shooting in Minneapolis exposed deep divisions inside the Department of Homeland Security, prompting Trump to reshuffle command of the operation. Noem publicly blamed the victim, Pretti, while standing beside Customs and Border Protection Commissioner Rodney Scott, though officials said the two had not coordinated that day. Behind the scenes, a rift had widened over Trump’s mass-deportation strategy, driven by White House pressure from Stephen Miller and competing chains of command. After bipartisan backlash, Trump removed Noem from the Minnesota operation and put border czar Tom Homan in charge, sidelining a controversial field commander. The shift underscores growing dysfunction within DHS as enforcement tactics draw scrutiny.

“Trump’s biggest climate rollback stalls over fears it will lose in court” via Jake Spring of The Washington Post — Trump officials have delayed finalizing the repeal of a landmark legal opinion key to their effort to eliminate the Environmental Protection Agency’s climate rules because of concerns the proposal is too weak to withstand a court challenge. The EPA’s 2009 “endangerment finding” concluded that greenhouse gases harm public health, establishing the basis for regulating them under the Clean Air Act. Repealing the finding would end the agency’s regulation of greenhouse gas emissions from cars and trucks.

“Cory Mills lashes out at Volusia town hall after ICE pushback” via Ashley Garrett of WKMG-News 6 — U.S. Rep. Mills was booed at his town hall by a crowd angry over his support of Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations in Florida and Minnesota, leading him to call one participant “a bumbling moron.” At least two dozen police officers were posted outside the Brannon Center before the town hall began, as a group of eight women held a banner that read, “Raging Grannies” and a sign that read, “Ice Out.” Mills addressed questions submitted prior to the event, including, “I’m a brown person … what are you going to do to keep all constituents safe, not just the ones who look like you?” This question immediately got a round of applause.

“‘Capitalism is supposed to be faster than communism’: Space roadblocks frustrate Mike Haridopolos” via Richard Tribou of the Orlando Sentinel — Sitting between a pair of Space Force colonels in room full of military and commercial aerospace representatives, U.S. Rep. Haridopolos spoke his mind about some of the hurdles that have slowed launch endeavors in the U.S. “What frustrates me as an American is capitalism is supposed to be faster than communism, and yet you have run into [times] — [for] many companies in this very room — when it’s the government that’s hampering your success. I won’t name acronyms, but we know them all,” he said. Haridopolos, who represents the Space Coast in Congress and leads the U.S. House Space and Aeronautics Subcommittee, was speaking on a panel at the Space Mobility Conference. He did call out the Environmental Protection Agency, which he said would at times not approve things “because of that bureaucratic inertia.” Another common target of many conference attendees has been the paperwork required by the Federal Aviation Administration.

“Kennedy Center’s new programming head resigns days after hire was announced” via Travis M. Andrews of The Washington Post — In a Jan. 16 news release, the Kennedy Center announced that Kevin Couch would be its new senior vice president of artistic programming. On Jan. 22, the center posted an announcement on X. Not a week later, Couch resigned. Couch confirmed his resignation on Wednesday but declined to comment further. Couch founded CBC Creative, a Dallas-based branding agency. He also worked as a manager for various touring acts, including the R&B group Color Me Badd.

— ELECTIONS —

A top election prognosticator suggests U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody could face a tougher political environment than expected this November.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a project of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, issued new ratings that shifted Florida’s Senate race in the “Safe” to “Likely Republican” column. That’s partly because Moody was appointed to her seat but Managing Editor Kyle Kondik notes she has an electoral history of winning statewide elections as Attorney General.

“To be clear, we don’t see this as a top-tier race—Florida has very clearly moved to the right even as some reversion seems likely this cycle, and much more than money is needed for Democrats to really put this race into play,” Kondik wrote.

But a hostile environment and signs that Republican support has diminished among minority and young voters mean the race, like those in Texas, Iowa and Nebraska, should be on a watch list even if Republicans are still favored to win.

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“Jennifer Jenkins drops out of Senate race, endorses Alex Vindman” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Jenkins has dropped out of Florida’s U.S. Senate race and endorsed Vindman. “I’m so proud of this campaign and the fight we started. Florida is too important to stay divided, which is why I’ve decided to step aside and proudly endorse Alex Vindman for U.S. Senate,” she posted on X. She also signaled an announcement in the coming days about her own political future. Vindman, a whistleblower whose congressional testimony led to Trump’s first impeachment, launched his own Senate campaign this week and raised $1.7 million in his first 24 hours on the trail. In contrast, Jenkins, a former Brevard County School Board member, launched her campaign in September. While her fourth-quarter fundraising report is not yet available, Jenkins raised about $172,000 in September of last year for a statewide run.

“Former Rick Scott aide Austin Rogers enters race for CD 2” via Kennedy Owens of Florida’s Voice — Rogers, a former general counsel for U.S. Sen. Scott and a Panama City native, announced today that he is running for Congress in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District. The seat, which covers much of Florida’s Panhandle, is opening as incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. Neal Dunn has announced he will not be seeking re-election after a decade in the House. Rogers said his campaign will focus on securing the border, strengthening businesses and supporting the military and law enforcement. “As President Trump and Sen. Scott have shown, strong leadership matters,” Rogers said.

“Combat veteran Jon Harris enters race to succeed Vern Buchanan in CD 16” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Combat veteran and cybersecurity professional Harris has entered the race for Florida’s 16th Congressional District, positioning himself as a champion for working families, veterans and government accountability. Harris, a Democrat, aims to succeed longtime Republican U.S. Rep. Buchanan of Longboat Key, who recently announced his retirement from office. Harris, Glenn Pearson and Jan Schneider will face each other during the Democratic Primary. John Peters is currently the only Republican who has filed for the race, but speculation about other potential Republican candidates has already begun. No-party candidates Mark Davis and Keith Varian have also filed to run for the seat. Florida’s 16th Congressional District covers Manatee County and parts of Hillsborough.

— LOCAL: S. FL —

Huge — “Jackson Health CEO to step down. Who will be the new leader?” via Michelle Marchante of the Miami Herald — Jackson Health System’s CEO Carlos Migoya is stepping down after more than a decade of leading one of the largest public health systems in the nation. Migoya made the announcement Thursday during the monthly meeting of the Public Health Trust, the governing body that oversees the Miami-Dade public hospital system. “Jackson’s transformation has become some of my life’s most meaningful work,” the 75-year-old Migoya said. “By making opportunities for the world’s best nurses, doctors, therapists and other health care professionals, we have rebuilt one of Miami-Dade County’s public jewels and created a system well on its way to being a national role model.”

“Florida City Mayoral Election goes to runoff to decide its first new Mayor in four decades” via Joshua Ceballos of WLRN — Election results are in for the small South Miami-Dade community of Florida City, and residents will have to wait until next month to determine who will be the new Mayor for the first time in four decades. Charlotte Thompson garnered the most votes (402) following Tuesday’s Mayoral Election in Florida City, followed by Sharon “Sheep” Smith-Butler (271), who got nearly 27%. The other candidates, Israel J. Andrews, Alphonso D. Bryant and Walter P. Thompson Sr. did not finish in the top two spots. Whoever wins the Runoff Election, scheduled for Feb. 17, will replace outgoing Mayor Otis Wallace, who served 42 years leading the city. He is retiring. Turnout was low. Of about 5,000 registered voters in Florida City, only 1,000 people voted.

“Monique Pardo Pope blames aides, ChatGPT for false claim about Billy Corben. He says that’s no excuse” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Lawyer and former Miami Beach Commission candidate Pardo Pope is asking The Florida Bar to dismiss an inquiry into whether she defamed documentarian Corben by falsely claiming he lost a defamation case. Corben disputes her request, arguing she admitted making the false statement, has not apologized or retracted it, and remains responsible for sending it to the press. The Bar opened a disciplinary file after Corben filed a complaint alleging violations of rules against dishonesty and misrepresentation. Pardo Pope’s response says the statement was an unintentional error made under campaign pressure and influenced by aides and faulty AI research. Corben counters that lawyers are still responsible for verifying information, regardless of its source. The Bar may dismiss the case or pursue further action.

“Tri-Rail’s board to discuss replacement for departing top executive in February” via David Lyons of South Florida Sun-Sentinel — The Governing Board of Tri-Rail will address the issue of replacing departing Executive Director David Dech at its Board meeting next month, one of its members said. Dech, who has been Executive Director of the South Florida Regional Transportation Authority (SFRTA) since 2022, resigned the post effective March 16 after accepting an offer as president of a commuter rail line in Indiana. In a telephone interview, Broward County Commissioner Lamar Fisher, who serves on the SFRTA Board, told the South Florida Sun-Sentinel that the resignation was not a surprise to the 10-member Board, as Dech had informed them earlier this month that he was in talks to become president and general manager of the Northern Indiana Commuter Transportation District.

“University of Miami investigating antisemitic statements made at campus event” via David Goodhue of the Miami Herald — The University of Miami released a statement that it is investigating antisemitic statements made during an argument at a campus event. During the Spring Involvement Fair, Kaylee Mahony, a sophomore who has a large TikTok following, started an argument with members of the Students Supporting Israel club, stating, “Christianity, which says love everyone, meanwhile your Bible says eating with someone who is a non-Jew is like eating with an animal. That’s what the Talmud says,” The Miami Hurricane student newspaper reported. In the clip, Mahony also said, “That’s what these people follow. That’s what these people follow. They think that if you are not a Jew, you are an animal. That’s the Talmud. That’s the Talmud.”

— LOCAL: C. FL —

“Central Florida advocates demand TPS be restored for Haitians as deadline looms” via Natalia Jaramillo of the Orlando Sentinel — More than 300,000 Haitians across the U.S. will lose their temporary protected status (TPS) Tuesday, thrusting the community into uncertainty and potential arrest and detention by Immigration and Customs Enforcement. More than 100,000 of those Haitians live in Florida, the largest such population in the country. And many work in Central Florida’s biggest industry, tourism and hospitality. “Removing TPS protections will force thousands into the shadows, disrupting local economies and weakening the fabric that binds us together,” said Larry Colleton, president of the Florida Voters League. In front of the Orange County Courthouse in Orlando, advocates and former elected officials asked for Trump to create a pathway to permanent residency for Haitians.

“Daytona resident launches petition to end City Manager’s employment” via Eileen Zaffiro-Kean of the Daytona Beach News-Journal — In the last couple of months of 2025, city employees’ use of payment cards and their travel expenses were being questioned, and state legislators publicly scolded city leaders for the millions in excess permit fee revenue the city has been stockpiling for several years. It was enough to make beachside resident Rich Yost come to City Hall and tell City Commissioners that he thought Daytona Beach was “in a hot mess” and he wanted the Mayor and City Manager to both resign. Now Yost is taking it up a notch. Last week, he started a petition urging City Commissioners “to refuse renewal of the contract of City Manager Deric C. Feacher when it expires on May 31, 2026.

“Merritt Islanders fear natural gas site at the port” via Jim Waymer of Florida Today — Some voices shook with emotion Wednesday, as about 20 Merritt Islanders told Canaveral Port Authority Commissioners that selling and/or leasing port land for a Liquefied Natural Gas terminal so close to their homes should be a ‘no-go.’ “I’m right there,” said Lisa Downs, who lives along Potomac Drive, adding that an LNG plant could jeopardize the Port Authority’s fiduciary responsibility. “This could easily cut off access to your port, should there be an explosion.” Downs echoed concerns of all the Merritt Island residents who spoke Wednesday, after Canaveral Port Authority heard a presentation about “steps for sale and lease of certain Barge Canal property for further consideration of unsolicited proposal for LNG Liquefaction facility,” from Marc Dunbar, a partner in the government relations practice group for Jones Walker LLP, representing the port. “You have an unsolicited proposal,” Dunbar explained, “and you have no clear statute telling you how to handle it.”

— LOCAL: TB —

“Blaise Ingoglia fires back at St. Petersburg Mayor over wasteful spending” via Frank Kopylov of Florida’s Voice — Ingoglia fired back Thursday at Ken Welch after the St. Petersburg Mayor dismissed state criticism of city spending, accusing Welch of missing the bigger fiscal picture. In a post on X, Ingoglia challenged Welch directly, writing: “QUESTION for [Welch]: How much rotting infrastructure, broken sewer lines and flooding problems could you have already fixed if you didn’t waste the $49M last year on bureaucrats?” The CFO’s message was part of a broader post slamming local government budgets that he said have ballooned at the expense of taxpayers.

What Will Weatherford wants you to read — “New analysis puts University of South Florida’s economic impact at nearly $10B a year” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Based on Fiscal Year 2023-24 data, the analysis estimates USF generated $9.8 billion in added income statewide, including $6.6 billion in the Tampa Bay region. That regional impact alone accounts for roughly 2% of Tampa Bay’s gross regional product and supports an estimated 76,649 jobs, a scale the report notes exceed the economic footprint of the entire utilities industry in the region. The report highlights the cumulative effect of USF’s operations, research enterprise, health system, student spending and alumni workforce. USF received $738 million in research funding during FY 2023-24, continuing a multiyear upward trend that reflects a 35% increase since FY 2021-22. The university also reported a record $750 million in research funding in 2025.

“Controversial South Howard Flood Relief project faces critical funding vote” via Breanne Williams of the Tampa Bay Times — The highly controversial South Howard stormwater relief project is at a crossroads, with the Tampa City Council expected to decide whether to move forward with it. The project was originally estimated at $64.5 million, but rising labor and supply costs, along with a larger scope, have driven the cost to $98 million. City staff told Tampa City Council members during a workshop on Thursday that costs could decrease as design progresses, but unforeseen hurdles could raise costs further. City Council will decide Thursday evening whether to transfer roughly $21.5 million from a different project to the South Howard Flood Relief project. If those funds are not moved, city staff said the project cannot move forward. The final decision on the project from City Council will come this Fall — more than likely in October — when Council members will have to vote on the final guaranteed maximum price for the project.

— LOCAL: N. FL —

“Donna Deegan decries official’s post accusing her of links to terror group” via David Bauerlein of the Florida Times-Union — Deegan pushed back after a top staffer for Uthmeier linked her to Hamas in a social media post after she attended an event at the Ramallah American Club of Jacksonville. Jeremy Redfern, the deputy chief of staff for Uthmeier, posted a Jan. 27 photo on X showing Deegan behind a keffiyeh-draped podium, flanked by U.S. and Palestinian flags.

“Panhandle residents rally to save a rare coastal dune lake” via Craig Pittman of Florida Phoenix — One of the most fascinating scientific phenomena in Florida has to be the coastal dune lakes of Walton County. There are 15 of these sparkling freshwater lakes located along 26 miles of sandy white coastline. “These lakes are a unique geographical feature and are only found in Madagascar, Australia, New Zealand, Oregon, and here in Walton County,” the county’s own website boasts. In 2021, Walton County’s Tourism and Beach Operations Department acquired 2.7 acres on one of the coastal dune lakes, known as Eastern Lake. About 420 feet of property fronts on the Gulf of Whatever We’re Calling It This Week. Recently, county officials proposed building a big regional beach access facility there, a move that dismayed everyone who had supported the purchase. The Commissioner quickly voted 4-1 (the lone no vote came from Dan Curry) to end the discussion and try to forget it ever happened.

“Johnson & Johnson Vision expects strong growth, is developing new products” via Mark Basch of Jacksonville Daily Record — As Johnson & Johnson seeks city incentives to help expand its Jacksonville-based vision products subsidiary, company officials are touting the growth potential of the unit. Officials of the New Jersey-based medical products giant said the company is developing new products in its contact lens and surgical vision business. “We have doubled down and are really focusing on Vision as one of our three priority areas within MedTech,” said Tim Schmid, Worldwide Chair of Johnson & Johnson’s MedTech division. The other two priority areas within MedTech are cardiovascular and surgery products. Johnson & Johnson reported sales in the Vision business rose 6.8% to $1.42 billion in the fourth quarter and rose 5.3% for all of 2025 to $5.47 billion. Contact lens sales rose 5.3% in the fourth quarter to $1.01 billion. The company’s application for incentives with the city of Jacksonville said 90% of its contact lenses sold in the U.S. are made at its Jacksonville facility.

— LOCAL: SW. FL —

“Illegal gambling bust in Venice leads to woman’s arrest, seizure of 66 slot machines” via WFLA — A woman has been arrested as part of a crackdown on illegal gambling operations in Sarasota County. Taylor Swim, 28, is accused of running a gambling operation at the “41 Social Club,” found off South Tamiami Trail in Venice. The Sarasota County Sheriff’s Office said deputies seized 66 slot machines, along with U.S. currency, while executing a search warrant at the business. “We will continue our partnership with FGCC, focusing on the same goal of shutting down these illegal gambling businesses in our community,” said Sheriff Kurt Hoffman. “To our citizens, we hear you, and we will continue to hold them accountable.”

— TOP OPINION —

“What MAGA sees in the Minnesota mirror” via David French of The New York Times — Trump suffered a tactical setback in Minneapolis, but his broader immigration enforcement campaign continues, reinforcing a hardened MAGA narrative that justifies escalating state power and force.

The pattern begins with aggressive federal actions by ICE and Border Patrol, including confrontations with protesters and members of the public, detention of lawful residents and citizens, and claims of authority that stretch beyond established legal limits.

When these encounters turn violent, the administration and its allies quickly assign blame to those harmed or killed, often labeling them “domestic terrorists” or criminals before investigations are complete.

Those claims have repeatedly conflicted with available evidence, including video footage, yet officials continue to make them publicly and without qualification.

Journalistic scrutiny then becomes the next target, with contrary reporting dismissed as biased or deceptive, reinforcing distrust of the press among Trump supporters.

When cases reach court, the government often fails to substantiate its claims, leading to dismissals and judicial rebukes that further inflame accusations of bias against judges.

Polling suggests many voters are uncomfortable with masked agents, militarized tactics, and official statements later undermined by evidence, eroding public support for the administration’s approach.

Despite that resistance, the administration appears less focused on persuasion than on imposing its will, sustaining a cycle of confrontation, outrage, and institutional strain that shows little sign of easing.

— MORE OPINIONS —

“Don’t let Haitian TPS end on Feb. 3. Humanitarian and economic reasons demand it” via Marleine Bastien for the Miami Herald — As a Feb. 3 deadline looms, families across the country are stressed beyond their limits. For those who may not understand the significance of this date, it is when the Department of Homeland Security has scheduled the end of TPS for more than 330,000 Haitians living and working in the United States. These individuals will lose their legal status and work authorization because the Trump administration claims that conditions in Haiti no longer warrant TPS and that extending it is contrary to our national interest. Overnight, people who have built lives, families and careers in this country will be stripped of their work permits, placing jobs, homeownership and livelihoods in jeopardy.

“Law on breast imaging coverage should be standard” via Molly Guthrie for the Tallahassee Democrat — Florida lawmakers last year approved a bipartisan measure requiring state-regulated health plans to fully cover medically necessary diagnostic and supplemental breast imaging, closing a costly gap that often left patients with large out-of-pocket bills. The law, SB 158, ensures that follow-up imaging after suspicious mammograms and advanced screening for higher-risk women are considered essential care. Advocates say Florida’s move should serve as a national model as they push for the federal Access to Breast Cancer Diagnosis Act, which would extend similar protections nationwide. Support for the policy is broad, including among Republican Primary voters, and especially strong for rural, lower-income, Black, Hispanic, and younger patients. Supporters say early diagnosis saves lives and costs, and coverage should not depend on insurance.

“On Broward Sheriff, Deerfield Beach got it right” via Michael Hudak of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel — As a Deerfield Beach City Commissioner, the responsibility is to protect public safety while safeguarding taxpayers’ dollars. That balance came into focus Jan. 20, when the City Commission faced a choice between continuing a Broward Sheriff’s Office contract with unclear cost controls or establishing city-run police and fire-rescue departments. Public safety services from BSO have not been the issue, but the financial uncertainty of a contract without firm cost guarantees could not be ignored. Repeated requests for a two-year cost commitment went unanswered. Bringing public safety in-house would give Deerfield Beach direct control over staffing, labor studies, and long-term budgeting while reflecting community priorities. BSO will remain a regional partner through specialized units. For a city of Deerfield Beach’s size and capacity, local control is the prudent choice.

— WEEKEND TV —

ABC Action News Full Circle with Paul LaGrone on Channel 10 WFTS: Criminologist Dr. Alex Del Carmen on protests, crowd control, ICE operations and public trust; former state prosecutor Janae Thomas on firearm rights and responsibilities at protests; and a panel with Janelle Irwin Taylor and Dr. Susan MacManus examining the political and policy implications of protest enforcement.

Facing South Florida with Jim DeFede on CBS 4 in Miami: The Sunday show provides viewers with an in-depth look at politics in South Florida and other issues affecting the region.

In Focus with Allison Walker on Bay News 9/CF 13: A discussion on the historic return to the moon by astronauts during the upcoming Artemis II mission. Joining Walker are U.S. Rep. Haridopolos; Katie Delaney, District 1, Brevard County Commission; and Greg Pallone, Spectrum News space reporter.

Political Connections on Bay News 9 in Tampa/St. Pete and Political Connections on CF 13 in Orlando: The weekly Sunday show is now a joint weeknight show airing Monday through Friday at 7 p.m.

The Usual Suspects on WCTV-Tallahassee/Thomasville (CBS) and WJHG: Pollster Steve Vancore and Florida Politics Publisher Peter Schorsch.

This Week in Jacksonville with Kent Justice on Channel 4 WJXT: Duval County Public Schools Superintendent Dr. Christopher Bernier and Vladimir Kara-Murza, a former Russian political prisoner, author and Pulitzer Prize winner.

This Week in South Florida with Glenna Milberg on Local 10 WPLG: Milberg speaks with Farah Larrieux, a Haitian TPS holder who still hasn’t decided what she will do after Temporary Protected Status for Haitians ends February 3. Plus, tracking Tallahassee legislation with state Reps. Tom Fabricio and Dan Daley. The big news of the week and the newsmakers on Sunday at 11 a.m.

— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —

— ALOE —

“Biotech is the new battlefield” via Aaron Seibert of DC Journal — As a veteran who was wounded during a mortar attack in Iraq, I’m all too familiar with the fact that our enemies can hit us with little warning. I’ve seen firsthand what happens when we underestimate threats, and it never ends well for those who are sent into the fight. That’s why I’m increasingly concerned that America is unprepared for one of the most critical battles of the 21st century — the fight to keep China from taking control of the global biotech industry. If we lose our current, increasingly endangered lead, Americans won’t merely become dependent on a communist adversary for lifesaving medicines; we’ll also lose our capacity to respond to pandemics and defend against bioweapons.

— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —

Celebrating today are former Sen. Perry Thurston and Mario Rubio.

___

Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.