Politics
Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 1.26.26
Good Monday morning.
After receiving such positive feedback about the first edition of IN SESSION, our newspaper covering the Legislative Session, we plan to deliver at least two more editions. The next edition will hit the week of Feb. 9 and will be headlined by an interview with Sen. Jim Boyd. It will also include several Valentine’s Day features.
To advertise in this edition, you’ll need to reserve space by COB today and provide creative by Feb. 2.
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Michelle and I will be in Tallahassee on Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning. Michelle will be collecting checks for St. Pete Shines, the political committee to support candidates committed to a brighter future for St. Petersburg. I am speaking to the National Association of Benefits and Insurance Professionals. Message Michelle or me if you would like to meet up for a few minutes.
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Spotted at the Bayshore Boulevard home of Robert and Nancy Watkins for their viewing party of the Children’s Gasparilla parade: Former Gov. Bob Martinez, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor and Ana Cruz, Hillsborough Sheriff Chad Chronister and his wife Nikki DeBartolo, state Sen. Darryl Rouson and his wife Angela, state Rep. Karen Gonzalez Pittman, Hillsborough Property Appraiser Bob Henriquez, Dallas Coffield and Michael Eachon, Rene Dabbs, Roger Germann, President and CEO of The Florida Aquarium, Liz and Adam Goodman, DPBR Secretary Melanie Griffin and her husband Michael, former VISIT FLORIDA CEO Dana Young, former Hillsborough Commissioner Sandy Murman, Stephanie and Reggie Cardoza, Nick Catroppo and his wife Amanda, Nick Hansen, Rhea Law, Anthony Pedicini, Mark Proctor, Michael Stephens, president and CEO of Tampa Airport, Merritt and Rick Lindstrom, Veronica Rudie, J.D. White and Matt and Victoria Yost.
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Sachs Media is turning 30—and marking the milestone by putting the next generation firmly in charge.
The nationally honored public relations and public affairs firm announced that Drew Piers has been named president, completing a rise that began a little over a decade ago when he joined the firm as an intern. Today, he’s leading a team with a growing national footprint and a track record of successful issue campaigns in more than 30 states.
Piers’ journey mirrors Sachs Media’s own evolution. Founded in 1996 by former journalist Ron Sachs, the firm has grown from a Florida-based shop into a national agency known for high-impact public affairs, government, nonprofit and corporate work. Its campaigns have helped expand cancer research funding, connect veterans with benefits, enroll children in health insurance, increase child abuse reporting, support clean energy initiatives, and assist communities recovering from major disasters.
Michelle Ubben, who has been with the firm since nearly the beginning after leading communications for five state agencies, will continue to serve as CEO. In that role, she’ll guide the leadership team and protect the culture and values that have shaped the firm for three decades.
“Drew is a battle-tested strategist and a natural leader,” Ubben said. “He’s earned the trust of our clients and our team, and he knows how to deliver results when it matters most.”
Piers was recognized early as a rising force in public affairs, earning a Rising Star in Florida Politics honor in 2016. Since then, he has received numerous statewide and national awards, including being named one of PRNEWS’ 2024 People of the Year. Even as president, he’ll stay closely involved in client strategy and senior counsel roles.
Ron Sachs, now Chair Emeritus, said Piers represents both continuity and momentum.
“Drew has the vision, heart, and grit to lead this firm forward,” Sachs said.
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In advance of Israel Day at the Capitol, Sachs Media partner and FSU faculty member Karen Cyphers shares new Florida polling showing that while opinions on Israel remain polarized, attitudes shift dramatically when voters are shown concrete examples of Israeli technology already improving life in Florida.
Her latest Substack explores how innovation in water, medicine, and security can serve as an unexpected form of diplomacy when geopolitics fails. Read more here.
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The Florida Chamber of Commerce is endorsing Rep. Josie Tomkow in the Special Election for Senate District 14.
The endorsement adds the state’s largest business advocacy organization to Tomkow’s growing list of supporters as she campaigns to move from the House to the Senate.
Tomkow, a seventh-generation Floridian and third-generation cattle rancher, has earned a lifetime A-rating on the Florida Chamber’s Legislative Report Card. She currently serves as Chair of the Health & Human Services Committee in the House, a role that has kept her at the center of major policy debates involving social services and regulatory oversight.
“The Florida Chamber of Commerce endorses Josie Tomkow as Senate District 14’s next state Senator because of her proven record of defending free enterprise in Florida during her time in the Florida House.” Florida Chamber President & CEO Mark Wilson said.
“We are confident she will continue to be a leader in ensuring Florida’s local businesses continue to thrive as a member of the Florida Senate, and we look forward to working alongside her to further Florida’s momentum.”
— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —
—@GovTimWalz: I told the White House the state must lead the investigation. Let state investigators secure justice. As we process the scene, stay peaceful and give them space. The State has the personnel to keep people safe – federal agents must not obstruct our ability to do so.
—@SenBillCassidy: The events in Minneapolis are incredibly disturbing. The credibility of ICE and DHS are at stake. There must be a full joint federal and state investigation. We can trust the American people with the truth.
—@SenatorRickets: The nation witnessed a horrifying situation this weekend. My prayers are with the family of Alex Pretti. My support for funding ICE remains the same. Enforcing our immigration laws makes our streets safer. It also protects our national security. But we must also maintain our core values as a nation, including the right to protest and assemble. I expect a prioritized, transparent investigation into this incident.
—@JakeSherman: On HOUSE DEM CAUCUS call, Rep. @RepMoskowitz said that House Dems should call on the removal or resignation of (Kristi) Noem. “The President, for the good of the country, has that opportunity. Should he embrace her, we will have no other option but to begin impeachment, not just what’s happening in Minnesota, but FEMA and all the other issues in Homeland,” Moskowitz told House Democrats
Tweet, tweet:
—@GGreenwald: Matt Walsh and these other right-wing empty men who think they’re avatars of über-masculinity particularly hate Alex Pretti because he exemplified the virtues they love to extol but are too cowardly to actually embody. They cosplay as trad men by dressing up in campy plaid shirts and sitting in podcast studios with a log-cabin aesthetic. Alex Pretti went to the street to fight for causes he believed in, protected and helped others in both how he protested (he was helping two women when ICE grabbed him) and in his work as an ICU nurse. He lived the values they pretend defines them, all while they lack the courage to ever do or risk anything. He’s a reminder to them of what they’re not: a mirror showing their own fragility. That’s why they feel vicariously strong watching ICE agents shoot him in the back and killed him.
—@RepMaxwellFrost: Last night, I was assaulted by a man at Sundance Festival who told me that (Donald) Trump was going to deport me before he punched me in the face. He was heard screaming racist remarks as he drunkenly ran off. The individual was arrested, and I am okay. Thank you to the venue security and Park City PD for assistance on this incident.
—@RitaForFL: Completely outrageous to hear about this assault. Even more disturbing to see people laughing, mocking, or applauding this. I consider Congressman Frost and his family my friends. I am glad he’s okay, but this should never happen. I denounce political violence. Period.
—@RonDeSantis: Technology that furthers the human experience is different from technology geared towards supplanting it. Channeling technological innovations in a way that ensures the former and prevents the latter is a basic responsibility of policymakers.
Tweet, tweet:
— DAYS UNTIL —
‘Melania’ documentary premieres — 4; The Grammy Awards — 6; Florida TaxWatch State-of-the-Taxpayer Dinner — 10; Milano Cortina Olympic & Paralympic Games begin — 11; ‘Paradise’ season two premieres on Hulu — 28; Netflix docuseries ‘Drive to Survive’ premieres — 32; ‘Yellowstone’ spinoff ‘Y: Marshals’ premieres — 34; Boca Raton Mayoral referendums and City Council Elections — 43; last day of the Regular Session — 46; The Oscars — 48; ‘Peaky Blinders’ movie premieres on Netflix — 53; Special Election for SD 14, HD 87, HD 51 and HD 52 — 57; Yankees-Giants Opening Day matchup / Netflix’s first exclusive MLB stream — 58; MLB 14-game Opening Day slate — 59; new season of ‘Your Friends And Neighbors’ premieres on Apple+ — 67; Tampa Bay Rays first game at the newly repaired Tropicana Field — 70; Florida TaxWatch Spring Meeting begins — 79; MLB Jackie Robinson Day — 79; First Qualifying Period begins (Federal) — 84; Federal Qualifying Period ends — 88; F1 Miami begins — 95; ‘Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu’ premieres — 116; new mission for ‘Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run’ premieres at Disney World — 116; MLB Lou Gehrig Day — 127; Second Qualifying Period begins (State) — 133; South Africa in the FIFA World Cup opener in Mexico City — 136; Steven Spielberg’s ‘Disclosure Day’ premieres — 137; State Qualifying Period ends — 137; ‘Toy Story 5’ premieres in theaters — 144; Florida GOP’s statewide debates for the Primary in its ‘Sunshine State Showdown’ — 151; Mexico will face live-action ‘Moana’ premieres — 156; Primary Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to UOCAVA voters — 159; Primary Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to domestic voters — 164; MLB All-Star Game — 169; Domestic Primary Election VBM Ballots Mailed deadline — 171; Primary Election: Deadline to register to vote or change party affiliation — 175; Primary Election: Deadline to request that ballot be mailed — 192; Primary Election: Early voting period begins (mandatory period) — 194; Primary Election Day — 204; Yankees host the Mets to mark the anniversary of 9/11 — 228; MLB Roberto Clemente Day — 232; General Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to UOCAVA voters — 236; General Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to domestic voters — 241; Domestic General Election VBM Ballots Mailed deadline — 248; General Election: Deadline to register to vote — 252; Early Voting General Election mandatory period begins — 271; 2026 General Election — 281; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero‘ premieres — 284; ‘Dune: Part 3’ premieres — 326; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 326; untitled ‘Star Wars’ movie premieres — 326; 2027 College Football Playoff national title game in Las Vegas — 364; Tampa Mayoral Election — 400; Jacksonville First Election — 421; Jacksonville General Election — 477; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond The Spider-Verse’ premieres — 495; ‘Bluey The Movie’ premieres — 557; ‘The Batman 2’ premieres — 613; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 690; 2028 College Football Playoff national title game in New Orleans — 728; Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 900; U.S. Presidential Election — 1,016; 2029 College Football Playoff national title game in Tampa — 1,092; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1,416; 2030 College Football Playoff national title games in Miami — 1,456; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 2,147.
— TOP STORY —
“Maxwell Alejandro Frost assaulted at Sundance Film Festival” via Jin Yu Young of The New York Times — Frost, a Florida Democrat, was assaulted over the weekend at the Sundance Film Festival in Park City, Utah, after a man threatened him with deportation and punched him in the face, according to Frost and local police.
In a social media post Saturday, Frost said the attacker told him Trump would deport him before striking him. Frost said the man shouted racist remarks before fleeing the scene.
Park City police said officers responded just after midnight Saturday to a reported assault at the High West Saloon, where a private event was underway during the festival.
Police identified the suspect as Christian Young, who they said unlawfully entered the invitation-only event after being turned away. Authorities said Young assaulted Frost and another woman attending the party.
Young was arrested and booked into the Summit County Jail on charges of aggravated burglary and two counts of simple assault, police said.
Frost, elected in 2022 at age 25 as the first Generation Z member of Congress, represents a Central Florida district that includes much of Orlando. His family emigrated from Cuba in the early 1960s.
Democratic leaders condemned the attack, including House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who said political violence has no place in the country. Frost later said he was not seriously injured and urged people to stay safe.
— STATEWIDE —
“What is Ron DeSantis hiding when it comes to property taxes? A former Florida state Senator wants the Governor’s answer” via Jim DeFede of CBS News — DeSantis has said he wants to do away with all homesteaded property taxes. Even though he has been bellowing about property taxes, he has offered nothing specific. “Yeah, it’s pretty amazing to find that the Governor has not yet proposed anything in writing,” former Republican State Sen. Jeff Brandes said. “He’s not put out a plan. He’s not shown us the research. It’s like the math doesn’t work, and so he doesn’t want to tell us.” “The Legislature really just needs to get its arms around this,” he said. “What is the scope of this? We don’t know how 400 cities and 67 counties are going to react to this. They’re all going to act differently. They all have different homestead levels of participation. And for some of them, it’ll bankrupt them. And the Governor has acknowledged this and had said, `Well, we’ll just backfill it.’ But backfill with what? The state is looking to run a multi-billion-dollar deficit over the next two years.”
“State, feds tell court to dismiss new documents request in Alligator Alcatraz appeal” via Bruce Ritchie of POLITICO — State and federal officials told an appeals court that new records sought by environmental groups do not change the legal status of an immigration detention center built in the Everglades. Lawyers for the Department of Homeland Security and the Florida Division of Emergency Management said the documents do not show the facility is a federal project subject to National Environmental Policy Act review. Environmental groups argue the center, known as Alligator Alcatraz, threatens water quality and endangered wildlife. DeSantis and state officials maintain the temporary facility has no environmental impact. An appeals court previously paused an order requiring the site’s removal, finding no proof of federal funding. The court will hear arguments on April 6 in Miami.
“Florida and Texas make a smart move on legal education” via Lael Weinberger for The Washington Post — Florida and Texas have moved to end the American Bar Association’s long-standing control over which law schools qualify graduates for state bar exams, shifting that authority to their own supreme courts. Supporters argue that the ABA’s near-monopoly has driven up the cost of legal education, limited innovation, and restricted entry into the profession under the banner of quality control. Critics also point to the ABA’s increasingly partisan stances as further justification for change. State leaders say decoupling does not mean abandoning standards or reciprocity but instead opens the door to outcome-based measures such as bar passage rates or supervised practice. Advocates say the shift could lower barriers to becoming a lawyer, expand access to affordable legal services, and better serve Americans who now face legal problems without help.
“‘Premature to discuss lifting restrictions’: Uncertainty over Florida’s TikTok ban following U.S. sale” via Fresh Take Florida — What will happen to Florida’s ban on TikTok now that there’s a U.S.-China deal? Nobody is saying, but it might be too soon for students and government workers to expect to open their “FYP” on the social media platform in classrooms or on state-owned phones or tablets. DeSantis banned TikTok on government devices and networks in May 2023, citing cybersecurity concerns, including illicit data harvesting by China’s Communist Party. This week, the Governor’s Office didn’t respond to questions about the future of TikTok in Florida. Some terms of the deal for what some are calling a new “American TikTok” still haven’t been made public.
— BIG BILL OF THE DAY —
“Corporations could get a $3.5 billion tax break in Florida unless state lawmakers step in to stop it” via Jason Garcia of Seeking Rents — Florida lawmakers face a high-stakes budget decision as new federal corporate tax cuts threaten to drain billions from state coffers if left unchecked.
State economists estimate Florida would lose about $3.5 billion in the 2026-27 budget if lawmakers automatically align state law with the latest federal changes. The hit would exceed what the state now spends on roads, bridges, bike trails, and public transit combined.
Over time, the cost would grow. Corporations could save more than $7 billion in Florida taxes over five years, with nearly all benefits flowing to the largest companies. About 99% of businesses already owe no state corporate income tax.
The risk stems from Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” which expands federal corporate tax breaks and is projected to add $3.4 trillion to the national debt over 10 years. Florida’s tax code is tied to federal rules.
Each year, lawmakers pass a routine “piggyback” bill to bring state law into compliance with federal changes. Doing so this year would import the full slate of new corporate tax breaks into Florida law.
Economists say the result would be a lasting revenue loss of nearly $400 million a year. Other states have chosen to decouple, but Florida leaders have not yet signaled their plan.
— LEGISLATIVE —
“Economists make ‘minor’ changes to forecast ahead of budget time for legislators” via Gary Fineout of POLITICO — Florida lawmakers are expected to have slightly more money to work with as they begin budget negotiations, though economists remain cautious about the state’s outlook. State forecasters projected an additional $572.5 million in general revenue over the next year and a half, a modest increase within a fund exceeding $50 billion. While the forecast is considered stable, economists warned of slowing growth in real estate, construction, and tourism. Corporate income tax estimates were reduced by more than $800 million due to uncertainty over tariffs, though higher investment earnings offset some of the losses. The forecast launches budget talks, with lawmakers facing rising Medicaid costs, pressure on employee health insurance, and decisions on whether to mirror recent federal tax changes.
—“House budget panel eyes SNAP changes and their effect on state budget” via Florida Phoenix
—“Amid property tax debate, some lawmakers worry about cuts to parks” via Alexandra Glorioso of the Miami Herald
“House, Senate split on potential E-Verify moves” via Andrew Atterbury of POLITICO — Florida lawmakers are split over how far to go in expanding E-Verify enforcement, setting up a clash between House and Senate Republicans. The Senate advanced a bill to clarify employer obligations under current law, tighten recordkeeping requirements, and establish timelines for appealing or curing violations. Supporters say clearer standards would strengthen enforcement while providing fairness and consistency for businesses. The House has taken a tougher approach, passing legislation that would require all employers, regardless of size, to use E-Verify. Democrats argue the Senate plan still creates unequal consequences, giving employers chances to fix violations while workers face detention or deportation. With competing bills moving on separate tracks, lawmakers now face pressure to reconcile sharply different visions of Florida’s immigration enforcement strategy.
“Alexis Calatayud, Allison Tant move to expand Jewish campus safety protections” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — As lawmakers and advocates gather at the Capitol for Israel Day, attention is focused not only on Florida’s relationship with Israel but on protecting Jewish students at home. A bipartisan effort led by Sen. Calatayud and Rep. Tant seeks $2.3 million to expand Florida’s first-in-the-nation Jewish campus safety pilot from three universities to seven, reaching more than 25,000 students. The program pairs physical security upgrades with education, training, and data-driven monitoring of campus climate. Pilot research shows that Florida campuses fare better than the national average on antisemitism, but significant challenges remain. Supporters say scaling the initiative builds on proven results, strengthens trust across campuses, and positions Florida as a national leader in combating campus antisemitism.
“Lauren Melo traffic safety bill advances unanimously after emotional testimony” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — A bill to create stronger accountability for traffic infractions, sponsored by Rep. Melo, unanimously advanced through the House Government Operations Subcommittee this week. House Bill 807 seeks to amend Florida Statutes to address certain non-criminal traffic infractions that result in vehicle crashes. “Red lights are not a mere suggestion, but each day I witness people who treat it as such,” Melo said when introducing the legislation to the Committee on Jan. 21. “This bill would make our roads safer and hold dangerous drivers accountable for their actions.” Melo said the inspiration for HB 807 was a devastating tragedy in her district. In September 2024, a 47-year-old mother died while driving her son and his friend to school in Collier County. A semi-truck ran a red light and struck her vehicle, killing the mother and sending both children to the hospital. After a week of hospitalization, one of the boys remained in a coma.
“Teacher nonpartisan oath bill postponed before first Committee hearing” via Jay Waagmeester of Florida Phoenix — A bill requiring teachers to take an oath to the Florida and U.S. constitutions, and to non-partisanship, was temporarily postponed in advance of its first Committee hearing Tuesday. SB 430, sponsored by Sen. Clay Yarborough, requiring Florida College System and State University System instructors and K-12 school personnel to swear the oath, has an uncertain fate. Yarborough told the Florida Phoenix after the Education Pre-K-12 meeting that he lacked the votes to pass the bill through the Committee. The panel comprises five Republicans, including Yarborough, and three Democrats. All Senators were present.
— MORE LEGISLATIVE —
“Can the Legislature keep politics off campuses – and should they?” via Margie Menzel of Florida Trident — Florida lawmakers are weighing a bill that would sharply limit partisan political activity at public colleges and universities, amid renewed campus protests over immigration enforcement. The proposal, SB 1736 and HB 725, would ban political parties, candidates, voter registration drives, and fundraising from using campus property or university communications unless strict equal-access rules are met. Sponsors say the goal is fairness and neutrality, arguing that some campuses disadvantage conservative groups. Critics, including faculty leaders, voting rights advocates, and Democratic lawmakers, warn that the bill would chill free speech, restrict civic engagement, and create vague, permission-based barriers to political participation. Opponents argue colleges should encourage debate, not suppress it, and say the measure extends Florida’s broader efforts to curb voter outreach and political organizing.
“Jim Boyd, Will Robinson nix Manatee County Port Authority changes in face of cruise port concerns” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Manatee County lawmakers are withdrawing a local bill to restructure Seaport Manatee governance amid public concern over a proposed cruise terminal near the Sunshine Skyway Bridge. Sen. Boyd and Rep. Robinson said the delegation is pulling HB 4073 from consideration this Legislative Session, citing timing concerns tied to the Rattlesnake Key proposal. The bill would have shifted the port authority from county control to an independent Board appointed by the Governor. While sponsors said the measure aimed to create a more business-focused structure, they acknowledged fears about changing port oversight during debate over the cruise terminal. Boyd and Robinson oppose the terminal, calling the area environmentally sensitive. With the bill withdrawn, Seaport Manatee is still under County Commission authority.
“A bill moving through the Senate addresses food waste in schools” via Sherrilyn Cabrera of WLRN — Environmentalists say that Florida schools throw away enormous amounts of food each day while families across the state struggle with food insecurity. Now, a bill making its way through the state Legislature seeks to address that food waste. Florida Senate Bill 1464 allows schools to partner with local food banks or nonprofits to recover and redistribute edible cafeteria food. The bill, which is sponsored by Sen. Ana Maria Rodriguez, also prioritizes student health by reducing reliance on single-use plastics. Those plastics break down into microplastics that children could ingest.
— TALLY SKED. —
Happening today — House Democratic leadership will hold a media availability to discuss issues facing Florida and answer questions from reporters, with remarks expected from House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell and Policy Chair Kelly Skidmore, as the caucus outlines priorities amid the Legislative Session: 10 a.m., via Zoom and livestreamed on The Florida Channel.
8 a.m.
Florida PTA Legislative Conference, Challenger Learning Center IMAX Theatre.
Israel Day and Jewish Advocacy Day, Capitol Complex.
2 p.m.
VISIT FLORIDA Board of Directors Executive Committee meeting, Zoom.
3:30 p.m.
Senate Criminal Justice, Room 37, Senate Office Building.
— SB 0132, Restoration of voting rights (Polsky).
— SB 0418, Law enforcement officer interactions with individuals with Autism Spectrum Disorder (Jones).
— SB 0442, Return of certain search warrants (Yarborough).
— SB 0646, Drug paraphernalia (Gaetz).
— SB 0748, Notice of restoration of voting rights information (Bracy Davis).
— SB 1326, Prosecution of defendants (Martin).
— SB 1332, Career offender registration (Martin).
— SB 1660, Responsible firearm safety awareness month (Martin).
— SB 1734, Juvenile justice (Martin).
— SB 1742, Lewd or lascivious exhibition (Martin).
— SB 1750, Criminal sexual conduct (Martin).
Senate Governmental Oversight and Accountability, Room 110, Senate Office Building.
— SB 7020, OGSR aquaculture records held by the Department of Agriculture (Agriculture).
— SB 0308, Florida Museum of Black History (Leek).
— SB 0692, Cybersecurity standards and liability (Leek).
— SB 0474, Military affairs (Wright).
— SB 0572, Ethics for public employees (Harrell).
— SB 1106, Recognizing Judea and Samaria (Massullo Jr.).
— SB 1650, Public Records Commission on Ethics (Gaetz).
— SB 0350, Public records crime victims (Grall).
— SB 1442, Long-range program plans (Brodeur).
— SB 7032, Fleet management (Governmental Oversight and Accountability).
Senate Health Policy, Room 412, Knott Building.
— SB 1082, Statewide Provider and Health Plan Claim Dispute Resolution Program (Grall).
— SB 1168, Background screenings (Grall).
— SB 1756, Medical freedom (Yarborough).
— SB 1156, Ambulatory surgical centers (Trumbull).
— SB 1480, Temporary certificates for practice in areas of critical needs (Burton).
Senate Military and Veterans Affairs, Space, and Domestic Security, Room 301, Senate Office Building.
— SB 1186, Florida National Guard increased force structure (Wright).
— SB 1512, Space Florida (Burgess).
— SB 1602, Housing for veterans (Wright).
— SB 1604, Trust Funds/Vacancy Relief Trust Fund/Risk Mitigation Trust Fund (Wright).
— SB 1656, Designation of the official state flagship (Burgess).
— SB 1714, No tax dollars for terrorists act (Martin).
5 p.m.
FGCU Day at the Capitol reception, Historic Capitol.
— D.C. MATTERS —
“Donald Trump administration weighs naval blockade to halt Cuban oil imports” via Ben Lefebvre and Eric Bazail-Eimil of POLITICO — The Trump administration is weighing new tactics to drive regime change in Cuba, including imposing a total blockade on oil imports to the Caribbean country, three people familiar with the plan said Thursday. That escalation has been sought by some critics of the Cuban government in the administration and backed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, according to two of the three people, who were granted anonymity to discuss the sensitive discussions. No decision has been made on whether to approve that move, but it could be among the suite of possible actions presented to Trump to force the end of Cuba’s communist government.
—“Top Trump aide Susie Wiles may testify at David Rivera’s trial on being a Venezuelan agent” via Jay Weaver of the Miami Herald
“Byron Donalds secures administration commitment to change down payment rule on Florida condos” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Donalds secured commitment from the administration to review a requirement keeping condominium down payments in Florida high. Geography-specific selling rules in place since 2008 require anyone buying a condominium in Florida to pay 25% of the home’s value upfront, with loans covering only 75% of the costs. For most of the country, buyers only need to pay a 10% down payment, with loans covering up to 90% of the remaining purchase price. “For 17 years, this policy has only applied to Florida and has negatively impacted condominium owners throughout my state,” Donalds said.
“Power grab, not national security: The AI Overwatch Act should be called the ‘Help Huawei Act’” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — A bill sponsored by U.S. Rep. Brian Mast clearing the House Foreign Affairs Committee would give Congress power to block certain advanced AI chip exports to foreign adversaries, including Russia and China, but critics argue the AI Overwatch Act is deeply flawed. The measure would strip Trump and future Presidents of executive authority over sensitive export decisions, raising constitutional concerns under Article II and limiting agility in foreign policy. Its narrow focus on U.S.-made GPUs, largely benefiting foreign competitors like Huawei, is seen as economically damaging and strategically unsound. Though billed as bipartisan, the legislation could hand future Democratic majorities greater control over national security decisions. Opponents warn it undermines America First priorities and weakens U.S. leadership in AI technology.
“‘Disgraceful actually’: JD Vance dings Laura Loomer amid fight over abortion in the Midterms” via Finya Swai of POLITICO — Vice President Vance pushed back Friday against criticism from far-right influencer Loomer after she argued abortion messaging will cost Republicans the Midterms. Vance spoke at the March for Life rally in Washington, acknowledging internal debates while reaffirming support for the anti-abortion movement. Loomer later warned on X that focusing on abortion repeats past GOP mistakes and contradicts Trump’s political instincts. Vance responded that Trump personally encouraged his appearance and accused some conservative influencers of sowing division. Loomer fired back, calling abortion-focused campaigning “political suicide” and leaving her 2028 support undecided. The exchange unfolded as the Trump administration rolled out new anti-abortion actions and renewed outreach to activists.
“Trump says he won’t attend Super Bowl” via Chase Hunter of the Bay Area News Group — Trump said he would not attend Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, California, on Feb. 8, citing travel issues and criticizing the scheduled Super Bowl performances of outspoken anti-Trump artists Bad Bunny, the Puerto Rican pop star, and Green Day, the rebellious East Bay rock group. In an interview with the New York Post published on Sunday, the President chastised the Super Bowl performers as poor choices that would be divisive. “I’m anti-them. I think it’s a terrible choice. All it does is sow hatred. Terrible,” Trump told the New York Post on Jan. 24. “It’s just too far away. I would. I’ve (gotten) great hands (at) the Super Bowl… I would go if, you know, it was a little bit shorter.” The decision is a break from the President’s appearance at last year’s Super Bowl in New Orleans, which marked the first time a sitting President had attended the National Football League championship game.
“Trump’s return supercharges lobbying revenues” via Caitlin Oprysko of POLITICO — Trump’s second term is already delivering a massive payday for Washington’s top lobbying shops — especially those with close ties to the administration. Trump’s wide-ranging policy upheavals across trade, tax, health care, tech, defense and energy boosted the bottom lines of almost every one of K Street’s biggest lobbying firms. Thirteen of the largest 20 firms by revenue reported growth of 10% or more compared to 2024. In total, they brought in nearly $824 million, up from $595 million during the final year of the Joe Biden administration. Several reported their highest-ever annual revenues, including Ballard Partners, Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, BGR Group, Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld and Holland & Knight.
— ELECTIONS —
“Florida updates pot petition numbers, showing effort to get on November ballot still short of goal” via Dara Kam of the News Service of Florida — Attributing the delay to scrutiny of potentially invalid petition signatures, the state Division of Elections updated signature numbers on its website for a proposed recreational-marijuana constitutional amendment after being sued by backers of the initiative. The agency’s website showed that Smart & Safe Florida, the political committee behind the measure, had submitted 714,888 valid signatures as of Thursday — roughly 40,000 more than shown in the previous update two months ago, but still far short of the 880,062 signatures needed for placement on the November ballot. The committee also must meet signature thresholds in congressional districts to put the issue before voters. The totals reported on the state’s website “do not reflect the secretary’s determination of the total number of verified valid signatures,” a message on the site said, referring to Secretary of State Cord Byrd.
“Florida farmers sow support for Ashley Moody” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Florida’s agriculture community is lining up behind U.S. Sen. Moody, with the Florida Farm Bureau Federation’s political arm endorsing the Plant City Republican for the seat she now holds by appointment. Farm Bureau leaders praised Moody as a “tireless champion” for citrus growers, pointing to her work on the Defending Domestic Orange Juice Production Act and efforts to ease federal regulations that have weighed on the industry. Moody called agriculture the backbone of the economy and said federal policy must support, not hinder, farmers facing challenges such as citrus greening and extreme weather. DeSantis appointed Moody in January to fill the vacancy left by Rubio, with an election later this year to decide who will serve the rest of the term.
— LOCAL: S. FL —
“Miami-Dade State Attorney prepares anti-trafficking campaign ahead of World Cup” via Devoun Cetoute of the Miami Herald — Over 1 million tourists are expected to flood South Florida to enjoy the seven FIFA World Cup matches this Summer. The Miami-Dade State Attorney’s Office and dozens of law enforcement agencies say those large, adoring crowds bring with them an influx of human trafficking. “We are going to have millions of wonderful tourists coming to our beautiful paradise, and we want to make sure… they do not become prey to those who take advantage of the vulnerable,” Miami-Dade State Attorney Katherine Fernandez Rundle said. On Thursday afternoon, Fernandez Rundle held her annual forum on human trafficking, where she divulged that authorities are ready to enact their playbook to deter trafficking during large-scale, major events. “A lot of what we have been doing has been working, but this year that will be on steroids,” Fernandez Rundle said. The state attorney’s office will deploy an awareness campaign in conjunction with law enforcement patrols and undercover operations during World Cup events.
“Miami-Dade Commission must speak out against Cuba loopholes” via Natalie Milian Orbis for the Miami Herald — Our community is home to the largest Cuban exile population in the United States and the world. We are families who fled dictatorship, political imprisonment and economic collapse. We know that the time is now to increase pressure on the regime. With the tightening of sanctions on Venezuela, reduced access to Venezuelan oil and decisive actions by Trump, the dictatorship is facing unprecedented external pressure. That is why I introduced a resolution that establishes Miami-Dade County’s position on the Cuban regime and the immediate need to intensify pressure on it. These policy recommendations are rooted in on-the-ground facts specific to our county. Here in Miami-Dade, we see storefronts, service providers and logistics companies openly advertising commercial transactions with Cuba. These patterns are visible, measurable and tied to the daily flow of money and goods that reaches a dictatorship 90 miles from our shores.
“Broward schools receive surprise $5.5 million withholding from tax collector” via Scott Travis of The South Florida Sun Sentinel — The county’s tax collector withheld $5.5 million that the Broward School District was expecting to receive from a voter-approved referendum. School District officials said the School Board approved the 2025-26 budget without knowing the county tax office planned to impose the fee on dollars collected from a 2022 referendum. The fee is about 2% of the $275 million in annual revenue from the referendum. Tax Collector Abbey Ajayi’s office told the School District in an email that, by statute, it is allowed to collect this fee and that it mailed a letter to the district in February 2025. But district officials said they could find no record of ever receiving that notice. Now, some School Board members are livid, and Superintendent Howard Hepburn is trying to negotiate options, including offering office space for the tax collector’s office.
— LOCAL: C. FL —
“One year in, Hispanic voters in Central Florida are conflicted on Trump” via Natalia Jaramillo of the Orlando Sentinel — Trump entered office with notable Hispanic support in Florida, including flipping heavily Hispanic Osceola County, but that backing shows signs of erosion one year later. Polling from the Pew Research Center finds majorities of Latinos now disapprove of Trump’s job performance, immigration approach, and economic stewardship, even as his approval remains positive among those who voted for him. Immigration raids and the loss of temporary protections have heightened fear across Hispanic communities, while economic promises remain unmet for many households. Republicans argue shared values such as faith and affordability will hold Hispanic voters, but Democrats contend that enforcement tactics are reshaping political attitudes. Analysts say even modest declines in Latino support could prove decisive in Florida and nationally heading into the Midterms.
“Protester arrested for assault during anti-ICE rally in Orlando” via Elainie Barraza of the Orlando Sentinel — A protestor was arrested by the Orange County Sheriff’s Office during a rally against mass deportation in Orlando on Friday, OCSO said. The arrest happened as demonstrators gathered outside the ICE facility on Delegates Drive. Alexis Brianna Clark, 23, allegedly blocked the path of and then struck a gray Chevrolet Impala that was identified as a federal law enforcement vehicle. Clark is being charged with assault on a law enforcement officer and resisting an officer without violence. In the report, a deputy said they observed Clark — who was wearing a black motorcycle helmet over a ski mask — punch the passenger side-mirror housing and the passenger side window of the vehicle. After additional protesters began yelling and approaching the Impala, deputies on bicycles arrived. They said in the report that they believed the situation was going to get physical or violent.
“Judge strikes down Regina Hill’s election challenge against Shan Rose” via Silas Morgan of the Orlando Sentinel — A judge ruled against former Orlando Commissioner Hill, striking down her attempt to overturn her successor’s election and concluding she had failed to document that bribery or illegal voting took place during last year’s race for City Council. Commissioner Rose won a three-way race for the seat on Nov. 4 with 52% of the vote. About a week after the election, Hill filed a lawsuit asking a judge to either toss out the vote results or declare her the winner. Hill alleged that someone associated with Rose’s campaign offered Visa gift cards and health screenings in exchange for votes in favor of Rose and that the campaign was ballot harvesting, or collecting more than two absentee ballots, in violation of Florida law. But Chief Judge Lisa Munyon ruled that Hill’s allegations didn’t constitute a bribe and that there was no proof of illegal votes. “There is simply no factual basis to suggest illegal votes of any kind,” Munyon wrote in her ruling. “In fact, Plaintiff fails to explain how, even if illegal ballot harvesting did occur, that these votes would be illegal.”
—“‘I’m the Commissioner’: Shan Rose to fight traffic citation after Citrus Bowl game” via Ryan Gillespie of the Orlando Sentinel
— LOCAL: TB —
“Mayors, businesses and anglers to Trump: We don’t want offshore oil drilling” via Max Chesnes of the Tampa Bay Times — With the bright white sands of Clearwater Beach dazzling behind them, a coalition of Florida Mayors, business owners, anglers and environmental groups convened Friday morning to send the Trump administration a clear bipartisan message: Florida’s Gulf Coast is no place for offshore oil drilling. The group gathered just hours before a public comment period was set to close on the federal government’s new proposal to drill closer to Florida beaches. The plan would add new oil leases in a swath of the eastern Gulf of Mexico, roughly the size of South Carolina, which has been traditionally off-limits to new drilling. “I can’t think of a more important bipartisan effort than to protect this beautiful body of water behind us,” Clearwater Mayor Bruce Rector said from behind a lectern emblazoned with the words “DON’T DRILL FLORIDA.”
— LOCAL: N. FL —
“Hispanic outreach coordinator back on job after posting ICE video” via David Bauerlein of The Florida Times-Union — Jacksonville Mayor Donna Deegan has reinstated Yanira “Yaya” Cardona as the city’s Hispanic outreach coordinator after completing an administrative review tied to a social media video about ICE enforcement. Cardona was placed on leave after posting the video without authorization, a move that drew sharp criticism from Republican leaders, including DeSantis, and the Duval County GOP. Deegan said the discipline stemmed from a violation of the city’s social media policy, not from the video’s content, which she defended as sharing publicly available information and urging compliance with the law. The Mayor’s office said Cardona has resumed her duties and declined to elaborate, citing personnel practices.
“It’s back: Naples St. Patrick’s Day Parade will go on in March” via Laura Layden of the Fort Myers News-Press & Naples Daily News — By more than luck, the Naples St. Patrick’s Day Parade will go on. After organizers announced the cancellation of this year’s parade on Jan. 21 due to higher security costs in the city, some high-profile residents and business owners stepped in, offering to pick up the tab.
— TOP OPINION —
“Trump is losing normies on immigration” via Nate Silver of the Silver Bulletin — A U.S. Border Patrol agent shot and killed Pretti, a 37-year-old Minnesota ICU nurse, during a confrontation in Minneapolis, under circumstances that remain unclear. Pretti was filming immigration agents when he was pinned to the ground and shot at least 10 times, despite not appearing to hold his licensed firearm.
The killing came just 17 days after another fatal incident in Minneapolis, when Renee Good was shot and killed in her vehicle by an ICE agent. Both encounters were captured on video and quickly circulated.
Public reaction has been swift. Polling following Good’s death showed most voters did not believe the shooting was justified. Since then, Trump’s net approval rating on immigration has fallen about four points, while his overall approval has dropped two points.
Historically, immigration had been Trump’s strongest issue, running several points ahead of his overall approval. That gap has now largely disappeared, suggesting broader political fallout.
While other major stories competed for attention, search interest in ICE remained elevated, indicating sustained public focus. In one poll, more than 80% of respondents reported seeing a video of Good’s shooting.
The White House’s response appears to have worsened the backlash. Initial claims describing Good as a “domestic terrorist” and Pretti as an “assassin” were contradicted by video evidence, undermining credibility.
With video, polling, and bipartisan unease converging, the issue is unlikely to fade. As Congress debates DHS funding and a possible shutdown looms, the administration’s handling of these killings has eroded the public goodwill it once held on immigration.
— MORE OPINIONS —
“Believe your eyes” via Charlie Warzel of The Atlantic — A photograph by Richard Tsong-Taatarii showing Border Patrol agents pinning and pepper-spraying a prone protester has become a defining image of the recent ICE surge in Minneapolis, capturing allegations of excessive force carried out in public view. The image joins widely circulated photos and videos showing agents detaining a 5-year-old outside his home, chasing a teenager through snow, and fatally shooting Pretti, a Veterans Affairs nurse who witnesses say was helping a woman and filming agents with his phone. Federal officials have claimed agents acted in self-defense, but video evidence appears to contradict those statements. Much of what is known has emerged because residents, photographers, and volunteer observers deliberately document agents’ movements and confrontations, creating a public record amid competing official narratives.
“Minneapolis is a Second Amendment wake-up call” via Tyler Austin Harper of The Atlantic — Fear of aggressive immigration enforcement is reshaping daily life, even for Americans doing nothing illegal. After seeing videos of federal agents racially profiling civilians in Minneapolis, rumors of an ICE surge in Maine prompted changes meant purely for self-preservation: altering appearance to draw less attention and stopping the lawful practice of carrying a concealed firearm. That decision was driven by a simple concern — that armed federal agents might ignore state law and panic first, ask questions later. The killing of Pretti, a Minnesota ICU nurse who appeared to be legally armed but disarmed before being shot, confirmed those fears. The episode underscores how immigration operations are colliding with core constitutional rights, creating widespread anxiety that lawful behavior itself has become dangerous.
“Demand answers about DeSantis’ ‘militia’” via the Orlando Sentinel editorial board — Recent reporting has raised serious questions about the Florida State Guard, a state force revived in 2022 under DeSantis. Lawmakers approved the guard as a small volunteer unit to assist with disaster response, but its mission remained vague. Since then, the guard’s role and budget have expanded sharply, with deployments to political flashpoints, including the Texas border, and training focused on combat tactics rather than emergency aid. Former members allege mismanagement, misuse of public resources, retaliation against dissenters, and poor oversight of leadership. The guard’s budget now tops $36 million, with more requested. With the Legislature writing the next budget, lawmakers are urged to demand accountability.
“Florida’s budget must not short-change the vulnerable” via the Orlando Sentinel editorial board — As lawmakers prepare to craft the state budget, critics warn that powerful interests risk drowning out the needs of vulnerable residents. Public education is a central concern, as the rapid expansion of school vouchers has sent more than $4 billion into a system plagued by accountability gaps, contributing to funding shortfalls for traditional public schools. Districts across the state are now facing declining enrollment, campus closures, and strained resources. Senate leaders have advanced legislation to rein in voucher spending and strengthen oversight, but broader questions remain. Beyond education, Florida faces funding gaps in mental health, homelessness prevention, and health care access. Advocates argue that cutting these programs would be both morally wrong and fiscally shortsighted.
“Florida’s housing crisis is pricing out the people who make the state run” via Jeff Brandes for Florida Politics — Florida’s housing market is no longer working for many working families as rapid population growth collides with rising costs. Home prices have climbed sharply, and the full cost of ownership continues to grow as property taxes, insurance, interest rates, and closing expenses strain household budgets. These pressures affect not only first-time buyers but long-term homeowners who expected stability and now face higher monthly costs and fewer refinancing options. Housing demand continues to outpace supply in many communities, leaving teachers, health care workers, and service employees priced out of the places they work. Florida’s economy cannot thrive if its workforce cannot afford to live here. Policymakers have an opportunity to focus on practical reforms that reduce unnecessary costs and restore affordability across the housing system.
“Fixing government is not complicated. It requires responsibility, accountability & trust” via Daniel Fernandez for Florida Politics — Fixing government is not complicated when leaders commit to responsibility, accountability and trust. Effective government starts with reliable service delivery, transparent operations and disciplined fiscal management that earns public confidence. When systems are designed around residents instead of bureaucracy, access improves and abuse declines. Modernizing outdated processes, expanding service locations and using technology wisely can restore trust in everyday government functions. Accountability also means protecting taxpayer dollars, confronting fraud directly and ensuring public funds deliver real value. Government works best when expectations are clear, performance is measured, and results are visible to the people being served. Progress is not driven by slogans or politics, but by leadership willing to take responsibility, enforce standards and focus on outcomes. Putting residents first is how confidence is rebuilt and sustained.
“In Florida, pot lost, irony died and democracy wheezed” via Pat Beall of the Orlando Sentinel — Florida’s Governor remains obsessed with stopping recreational marijuana, even if it means strangling the state’s ballot process to do it. After siphoning millions from Medicaid, child welfare and opioid settlement funds to defeat the 2024 amendment, the administration still failed to stop a majority of voters from saying yes, though not by the 60% margin required. Now, with a new legalization drive underway, the state is again intervening aggressively, invalidating tens of thousands of signatures, imposing last-minute hurdles on elections offices, and unleashing dozens of criminal investigations tied to the petition effort. The result is not persuasion but preemption, using state power to block a vote before it ever reaches the ballot. It is less a policy fight than a sustained attack on direct democracy itself.
“Go ahead, Tampa Bay Rays, use Orlando as leverage for new stadium. We welcome it!” via Mike Bianchi of the Orlando Sentinel — Orlando has become the Rays’ newest bargaining chip. What makes this situation particularly fascinating is the involvement of Rick Workman, the dental magnate and longtime Orlando resident who had been the major money man in the Orlando Dreamers’ effort to lure the Rays (or an MLB expansion franchise) to Central Florida. If you’ll recall, Workman unexpectedly left the Dreamers and became part of the ownership group that ultimately bought the Rays in September. That detail alone complicates the narrative. This isn’t just an outside interest poking Tampa with a stick; it’s a foot planted firmly in both camps. As I wrote when Workman became part of the Rays’ new ownership group, this is actually a good thing for Orlando’s effort to lure the Rays. Workman’s presence blurs the line between leverage and legitimacy. If Orlando were merely a ghost city being floated by Rays owners, skepticism would be justified. But when real money, real business leaders and real ownership ties are involved, the conversation changes.
— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —
— ALOE —
“Oysters return to Apalachicola, reviving hope for Florida harvesters” via Fresh Take Florida — Five oyster harvesters walk into a Mexican restaurant. They gather there most mornings around 7 a.m., weather-worn hands picking at plates of hash browns and cups of coffee scattered across two shoved-together tables. “I’ve seen more excitement out of older people this month than I’ve seen in years,” said Owen Golden, 75, his eyes crinkling behind wire-rimmed glasses. Apalachicola Bay opened Jan. 1 for a brief season lasting through the end of February. It’s the first time the bay has opened for commercial harvesting since 2020, when the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission closed the area due to declining oyster reefs.
— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —
Best wishes to our friend Claudia Davant, Mark Sharpe, Byron Dobson, former Clearwater Mayor George Cretekos, Jason Roth, Dave Royse, and Vinny Tafuro.
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Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.