Good Thursday morning.

Fourteen years ago, this happened!

Happy anniversary to the love of my life, Michelle.

___

A new Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy survey shows U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holding a commanding early lead in the Republican Primary.

The Southwest Florida Congressman is registering at 37% support, far ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 7%, former House Speaker Paul Renner at 4%, and businessman James Fishback at 3%.

Nearly half of GOP voters remain undecided, but Donalds’ advantage has a strong foundation — he’s the only candidate with meaningful statewide name-ID, continues to dominate in fundraising and is the only candidate with an endorsement from President Donald Trump.

On the Democratic side, the picture is murkier.

Former U.S. Rep. David Jolly holds a narrow 23% to 19% edge over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, while 58% of Democratic voters haven’t decided who to send to the firing squad.

Jolly’s advantage seems to stem from familiarity. Although most Democrats are unfamiliar with both candidates, 45% have at least heard of Jolly, while only 40% are familiar with Demings. Jolly has spent more time in the race; Demings only threw his name into the hat in November.

The Mason-Dixon poll was conducted Jan. 8-13 among 400 registered voters in each party, with a margin of error of +/-5%.

___

Julia Canady King, daughter of state Rep. Jennifer Canady and former Florida Supreme Court Justice Charles Canady, has been promoted to vice president at Washington, D.C.-based lobbying and public relations firm BGR Group.

King joined BGR last year as a Director for Washington and Florida and previously served as Federal Affairs Coordinator for Gov. Ron DeSantis’ Office of Federal Relations & Intergovernmental Affairs, where she advised on federal policy issues, developed legislative initiatives and facilitated hurricane response and recovery.

“We’re incredibly proud to announce that Julia King has been promoted to vice president! We celebrate her hard work and dedication to her colleagues and BGR Group’s clients. Congratulations, Julia, on this well-deserved honor,” the firm announced on social media.

Before her work in DeSantis’ administration, King served as Government Affairs Manager for the Outdoor Hospitality Industry, where she also bridged state and federal government. There, she worked with state associations developing and furthering legislative priorities, coordinating federal outreach strategies and leading grassroots campaigns, including on seasonal labor and tax policy.

King is married to Wells King, the research director at American Compass, whose writing has appeared in National Review, American Affairs, The American Conservative and First Things, among others. Additionally, he served as a senior policy adviser to Vice President JD Vance when he was a U.S. Senator

King’s mother, Jennifer Canady, has served in the Florida House since 2022. Her father, Charles Canady, served on the Florida Supreme Court from 2008 through last year, including as Chief Justice from 2010-2012.

___

DoorDash has hired Jake Holmgreen as its senior associate of Government Relations for the U.S. Southeast.

Holmgreen most recently served as Communications Director, working alongside Republican Party of Florida Chair Evan Power.

Holmgreen brings extensive Florida political and legislative experience, having worked on the Trump Victory campaigns in 2020 and 2024. He also worked on the DeSantis re-election campaign in 2022.

In addition to his campaign experience, Holmgreen served as Deputy Legislative Affairs Director under Department of Business and Professional Regulation Secretary Melanie Griffin, and as Legislative Affairs Director under former Department of Management Services Secretary Pedro Allende.

“Jake has been an integral part of the Florida GOP’s successes during my tenure as Chairman. He is a prolific problem solver, charismatic operator and an effective campaigner,” Power said. “We at the Party are sad to see him go but have no doubt he will succeed in his new endeavor.”

___

Energy affordability emerged as a central issue this week as Republican leaders, consultants and policy advocates gathered in Orlando for the Republican Party of Florida’s Annual Meeting, signaling the topic will be a major focus of the 2026 Legislative Session.

During a panel hosted by Conservatives for Clean Energy Florida, speakers said rising electricity costs are increasingly a top concern for voters, alongside reliability and grid security. Participants argued that the convergence of those issues is reshaping how energy policy is discussed within the GOP.

Data from Cygnal Polling showed strong Republican support for a diversified energy strategy. According to the survey, 63% of Republican voters support alternative energy sources, while 77% associate energy independence with national security.

“Voters want an all-of-the-above approach to energy as a solution to rising costs,” said Cygnal pollster John Rogers, who said campaigns that articulate clear plans for affordability and reliability are likely to benefit politically.

Panelists said diversification, including solar, nuclear and traditional generation, helps insulate consumers from fuel price volatility. They also pointed to regulatory delays and uncertainty as factors that can drive up costs passed on to ratepayers.

The discussion comes as lawmakers return to Tallahassee, facing pressure to balance infrastructure investments, grid hardening and long-term planning with demands to keep power bills affordable. Speakers said the takeaway from the meeting was straightforward: voters care less about energy labels and more about dependable, reasonably priced electricity.

_____

Top op-ed — “Florida court clerks — running a 2026 office with 2008 prices” via Doug Chorvat for Florida Politics — Florida’s Clerks of Court are warning lawmakers that outdated, statutorily fixed court fees are creating a growing funding crisis as operating costs continue to rise. While labor expenses have surged since 2008, court fines and filing fees have remained unchanged, leaving Clerks unable to offset higher costs borne elsewhere in the economy. Clerks have responded by modernizing operations, expanding digital services and launching nationally recognized tools such as Florida’s E-Filing Portal, but officials say efficiency gains are no longer enough. The Florida Clerks of Court Operations Corporation estimates a $75 million funding gap statewide. Clerks are asking lawmakers to adjust fees for inflation, allow retention of existing revenues, and approve sustainable funding fixes, including proposals filed this Legislative Session.

— SITUATIONAL AWARENESS —

—@RealCharlieCrist: EFFECTIVE FEBRUARY FIRST, NO MORE PAYMENTS WILL BE MADE BY THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT TO STATES FOR THEIR CORRUPT CRIMINAL PROTECTION CENTERS KNOWN AS SANCTUARY CITIES. ALL THEY DO IS BREED CRIME AND VIOLENCE! If States want them, they will have to pay for them! MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!!

—@JebBush: Great to hear @GovRonDeSantis tick through 7 years of accomplishments in his SOTS, including big school choice and teacher pay wins. Look forward to the progress that he and the FL Legislature will make this Session, including safeguards for minors’ use of AI companion bots.

—@NewsServiceFla: To our readers: NSF remains the gold standard for Florida policy news. We are actively expanding and rebuilding our team to ensure our coverage during this Legislative Session is as sharp and reliable as ever!

— DAYS UNTIL —

‘Game of Thrones’ prequel ‘A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms’ premieres on HBO — 3; Florida Tourism Day — 6; ‘Melania’ documentary premieres — 15; The Grammy Awards — 17; Florida TaxWatch State of the Taxpayer Dinner — 21; Milano Cortina Olympic & Paralympic Games begin — 22; ‘Paradise’ season two premieres on Hulu — 39; ‘Yellowstone’ spinoff ‘Y: Marshals’ premieres — 45; Boca Raton Mayoral referendums and City Council Elections — 54; last day of the Regular Session — 57; The Oscars — 59; ‘Peaky Blinders’ movie premieres on Netflix — 64; Special Election for SD 14, HD 87, HD 51 and HD 52 — 68; Yankees-Giants Opening Day matchup / Netflix’s first exclusive MLB stream — 69; MLB 14-game Opening Day slate — 70; new season of ‘Your Friends And Neighbors’ premieres on Apple+ — 78; Tampa Bay Rays first game at the newly repaired Tropicana Field — 81; Florida TaxWatch Spring Meeting begins — 90; MLB Jackie Robinson Day — 90; First Qualifying Period begins (Federal) — 95; Federal Qualifying Period ends — 99; F1 Miami begins — 106; ‘Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu’ premieres — 127; new mission for ‘Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run’ premieres at Disney World — 127; MLB Lou Gehrig Day — 138; Second Qualifying Period begins (State) — 144; South Africa in the FIFA World Cup opener in Mexico City — 147; Steven Spielberg’s ‘Disclosure Day’ premieres — 148; State Qualifying Period ends — 148; ‘Toy Story 5’ premieres in theaters — 155; Florida GOP’s statewide debates for the Primary in its “Sunshine State Showdown” — 162; Mexico will face live-action ‘Moana’ premieres — 167; Primary Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to UOCAVA voters — 170; Primary Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to domestic voters — 175; MLB All-Star Game — 180; Domestic Primary Election VBM Ballots Mailed deadline — 182; Primary Election: Deadline to register to vote or change party affiliation — 186; Primary Election: Deadline to request that ballot be mailed — 203; Primary Election: Early voting period begins (mandatory period) — 205; Primary Election Day — 215; Yankees host the Mets to mark the anniversary of 9/11 — 239; MLB Roberto Clemente Day — 243; General Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to UOCAVA voters — 247; General Election: Deadline to send vote-by-mail ballots to domestic voters — 252; Domestic General Election VBM Ballots Mailed deadline — 259; General Election: Deadline to register to vote — 263; Early Voting General Election mandatory period begins — 282; 2026 General Election — 292; ‘Godzilla Minus Zero‘ premieres — 295; Dune: Part 3’ premieres — 337; ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ premieres — 337; untitled ‘Star Wars’ movie premieres — 337; Tampa Mayoral Election — 411; Jacksonville First Election — 432; Jacksonville General Election — 488; ‘Spider-Man: Beyond The Spider-Verse’ premieres — 506; ‘Bluey The Movie’ premieres — 568; ‘The Batman 2’ premieres — 624; ‘Avengers: Secret Wars’ premieres — 701; Los Angeles Olympics Opening Ceremony — 911; U.S. Presidential Election — 1027; ‘Avatar 4’ premieres — 1427; ‘Avatar 5’ premieres — 2158.

— TOP STORY —

“Gov. Ron DeSantis appoints conservative appeals judge to Florida Supreme Court” via Gary Fineout of POLITICO — Gov. DeSantis on Wednesday completed a sweeping remake of the Florida Supreme Court, appointing 1st District Court of Appeal Judge Adam Tanenbaum to replace retiring Justice Canady and cementing a court largely shaped by the Governor.

Since taking office in 2019, DeSantis has now appointed six of the court’s seven justices, accelerating a rightward shift on major issues including abortion, the death penalty, and the scope of judicial authority. The lone holdover is Justice Jorge Labarga, appointed in 2008 by then-Gov. Charlie Crist, who may remain on the court until October 2027.

Tanenbaum, appointed to the appeals court by DeSantis in 2019, has built a reputation as a provocative jurist. He has questioned whether lower courts must always adhere to higher court precedents and has argued that judges should be willing to overturn prior rulings they believe were wrongly decided.

Announcing the pick at the Pinellas County high school Tanenbaum once attended, DeSantis praised him as a judge willing to “fight for the Constitution” and rule “without fear or favor.” Tanenbaum described himself as an originalist but said judicial restraint does not require “timidity” when past decisions are “erroneous.”

Tanenbaum co-authored a 2023 decision upholding Florida’s congressional map, asserting appellate courts were not bound by earlier Florida Supreme Court redistricting rulings. While the high court later upheld the map, Chief Justice Carlos Muñiz criticized that reasoning, emphasizing that lower courts must follow Supreme Court precedent.

The appointment comes as the Supreme Court is poised to rule on whether a proposed marijuana legalization initiative can appear on the 2026 ballot. DeSantis has sharply criticized the court for allowing a similar measure to advance previously and suggested Tanenbaum is attuned to what he calls the risks of voter-driven initiatives.

Tanenbaum’s résumé includes private practice, work as a public defender, roles in state government, and service as general counsel to the Florida House. Canady resigned after 17 years on the court to lead a civics education program at the University of Florida.

— STATEWIDE —

“DeSantis dodges another question about endorsing Jay Collins to succeed him” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — DeSantis again declined to endorse Lt. Gov. Collins for Governor, sidestepping questions about backing his appointed successor even after Collins formally entered the race. Speaking Wednesday at Seminole High School, DeSantis spent several minutes discussing Florida’s political trajectory and legislative priorities without addressing a potential endorsement, saying there would be “time to do the political stuff.” He suggested candidates should argue they supported Florida’s record of success and explain how they would build on it, adding, “We’ll see how that goes.” The comments marked DeSantis’ second refusal in two days to back Collins. On Tuesday, DeSantis told radio host Jenna Ellis that Collins and former House Speaker Renner must “get out there and make the case,” saying endorsements in Primaries must be earned.

“DeSantis says Florida ‘last in line’ for Nicolás Maduro prosecution” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — DeSantis said Florida is unlikely to be the first jurisdiction to bring criminal charges against Venezuelan strongman Maduro, signaling a retreat from earlier suggestions that the Sunshine State could take the lead. Speaking Wednesday at Seminole High School, DeSantis said any action by Florida would come only after federal cases play out, describing the state as “last in line.” He said Attorney General James Uthmeier’s office is discussing the issue but will not pursue charges simply for political effect. DeSantis raised concerns about jury dynamics in federal cases, particularly in Manhattan, and suggested a hung jury could change Florida’s posture. Maduro faces narco-trafficking charges in New York, while Florida’s potential role remains uncertain.

Happening today — Chief Financial Officer Blaise Ingoglia will headline a news conference alongside multiple Florida sheriffs and police chiefs, continuing a statewide media push focused on law enforcement and accountability, with location provided after RSVP confirmation with Abigail Weeks at [email protected]: 10:30 a.m., Winter Haven.

“Duke Energy to remove cost recovery charge from customers’ bills a month early” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Duke Energy Florida is removing its storm cost recovery charge from customers’ bills one month earlier than originally planned. The charge was added to customers’ bills to help Duke offset additional costs associated with the company’s $1.1 billion response to Hurricanes Debby, Helene and Milton. The change means that, beginning in February rather than March, Duke customers in Florida will see an approximately $33 reduction in their monthly bills per 1,000 kilowatt-hours used compared to January. Bills for commercial and industrial customers will drop by 9.6% to 15.8% compared to January, depending on several factors.

“High school graduation rate hits record” via Camila Gomez of the Orlando Sentinel — High school graduation rate soared last year, topping 92%– the highest in state history. The 92.2% state average represented a 2.5 percentage point increase from the prior year. DeSantis announced the record rate during his state-of-the-state speech on Tuesday, and state education officials later noted that graduation rates also rose for groups of students who often lag behind, including those learning English and those with disabilities. “These achievements demonstrate what can be accomplished when we uphold rigorous standards, provide robust support to schools and prepare every student for success beyond graduation,” Education Commissioner Anastasios Kamoutsas said. The graduation rate is the percentage of students who graduated within four years of enrolling in high school. There were 203,541 public school graduates in Florida last school year.

“Aerial highway could take off in 2027” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — “Flying cars” carrying passengers will be coming to Florida in late 2027 or 2028 as the skies turn into a booming multimillion-dollar industry, transit officials said. “There’s a lot of anticipation. There’s a lot of excitement. There’s a lot of private equity to get this moving forward quickly,” said Will Watts, the Assistant Secretary and Chief Operating Officer at the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT). Watts said demonstration flights will take place this year to showcase the technology officials believe will transform transportation. In developing a statewide aerial network, the Interstate 4 corridor is the top priority route to be established so vertiports can fly passengers, carry micro freight and help with emergency management, officials said.

— LEGISLATIVE —

“Daniel Perez draws line on property taxes, presses Gov. DeSantis for details” via Drew Wilson of Florida Politics — House Speaker Perez set an early tone for the 2026 Legislative Session by emphasizing fiscal restraint, core services, and skepticism toward sweeping property tax changes without clear funding plans. Speaking Tuesday at the Florida Chamber’s Legislative Fly-In, the Miami Republican said the House controls the budget and intends to cut spending again, warning that years of strong revenue growth have masked structural concerns. Perez said education and health care remain nonnegotiable priorities, noting they account for more than half the state budget, and called waitlists for developmental disability services unacceptable. While open to tax relief, Perez rejected eliminating property taxes without replacing education funding, pushing back on Gov. DeSantis’ rhetoric and saying details must come first.

“Senate passes Rural Renaissance plan for economic development” via Cody Butler of WCTV — The Senate passed sweeping reforms Wednesday afternoon aimed at providing a major economic boost to rural communities across the state. Senate President Ben Albritton is pushing to deliver a comprehensive economic development package for rural counties for the second consecutive year. The Rural Renaissance plan creates opportunities to expand education, increase health care services and modernize commerce. “Florida Agriculture matters, and that’s a fact,” Albritton said. The comprehensive package is designed to create a modern-day renaissance in rural communities across Florida.

“School choice overhaul passes Senate with uncertain House future” via Andrew Atterbury of POLITICO — The Florida Senate unanimously passed a sweeping bill Wednesday aimed at overhauling the state’s rapidly expanding school choice scholarship program, which now totals $4.3 billion and has faced funding errors, fraud concerns and weak accountability. The proposal would separate voucher spending from the main K-12 education budget and restructure how scholarships are administered, following audits that found millions paid to students with unclear enrollment status. Sponsor Sen. Don Gaetz said fraud and mismanagement required immediate action. The measure tightens application requirements, assigns statewide student IDs, reclaims unused funds faster and reduces administrative fees for scholarship organizations. Its future remains uncertain, as House leaders have expressed reservations and are expected to advance their own proposal.

“Darryl Rouson, Debra Tendrich propose sweeping expansion of youth mental health screenings” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — St. Petersburg Sen. Rouson and Rep. Debra Tendrich filed companion bills (SB 1302, HB 1133) to require mental and behavioral health screenings for minors and young adults enrolled in Medicaid. The goal is to confront what they describe as a statewide youth mental health emergency. Tendrich told Florida Politics her push for reform was galvanized by personal tragedy. In 2023, her friend, Brian Hiltebeitel, was brutally killed on a Palm Beach County golf course by a 26-year-old man later deemed incompetent for trial due to mental illness and substance abuse concerns.

“LaVon Bracy Davis, RaShon Young file bills to automatically register eligible Florida voters” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics — Sen. Bracy Davis and Rep. Young have filed voting rights legislation that would automatically register all eligible Floridians to vote and allow voter registration on Election Day. “For too long in Florida, we have watched politicians rig the rules, silence communities, and manipulate our elections to cling to power. The Florida Voting Rights Act is our answer to that: bold, clear, and rooted in justice,” said Bracy Davis. “This bill is about protecting Black voters, working families, young people, language minorities, and returning citizens who have been deliberately targeted and shut out of the democratic process.”

“Proposal to allow more ADUs to boost state’s housing stock moves in Senate” via Mitch Perry of Florida Phoenix — A proposal to boost affordable housing by allowing what are known as accessory dwelling units (ADUs) — including in-law suites, garage apartments, and backyard cottages — in areas usually restricted to single-family homes is being debated again in the Florida Legislature. The measure (SB 48) is sponsored by Gaetz. Under existing law, local governments are authorized, but not required, to enact such ordinances. The bill would require cities and counties to authorize the units by Dec. 1. The proposal passed unanimously in the Senate Committee on Transportation, Tourism, and Economic Development. Samantha Padgett, general counsel to the Florida Restaurant and Lodging Association, spoke up in support of the bill. She said adding ADUs to the housing stock would benefit workers in the hotel and restaurant industries.

“‘Blue Ribbon Projects’ bill incentivizing conservation lands clears first Committee” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics — Members of the Senate Committee on Community Affairs have approved a proposal aimed at encouraging Florida’s largest private landowners to serve as long-term stewards of the environment. The measure (SB 354) offers a framework that supporters say better aligns with growth, conservation and infrastructure planning. It cleared its first Committee stop via a 7-1 vote, with Republican Sen. Kathleen Passidomo as the only “no” vote. “I couldn’t even figure out how to fix it,” she said, calling it “a massive bill that leaves so much out.” She added that she’s willing to continue working with the bill’s sponsor, Sen. Stan McClain, to improve it. “But it’s going to be a lot,” Passidomo said.

— MORE LEGISLATIVE —

“Legislative Session preview: Tom Fabricio highlights bills on tax relief, vehicle registration, teacher oath” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Miami Lakes Republican Rep. Fabricio is entering the 2026 Legislative Session with a broad package of proposals aimed at affordability, government efficiency, property rights and education. A central focus is tightening homestead portability rules through legislation that would clarify voter intent and allow homeowners to carry property tax savings across qualifying moves, even after a period of renting. Fabricio is also pushing a modernization measure to eliminate paper-based vehicle registration renewals and license plate decals, a change projected to save millions in Miami-Dade alone. Another proposal would revive efforts to compensate homeowners for property damage caused by limestone blasting near quarries. Rounding out his agenda is an education bill requiring teachers and administrators to swear an oath to uphold the Florida and U.S. Constitutions.

“House Committee wades into proposal to change swim-lesson voucher program” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — A House panel is on board with allowing older children to qualify for the state’s swimming lessons voucher program. The House Health Care Budget Subcommittee held a hearing on the measure (HB 85) that calls for revising the popular swimming lessons voucher program to cover the cost of lessons. The program went into effect after DeSantis signed legislation in 2024. But Rep. Kim Kendall, a co-sponsor of the new bill, said the original age limit on the vouchers, for children ages 0 to 4, is too restrictive. Her proposal would allow children ages 1 to 7 to qualify. She told the panel that many stakeholders, including swim instructors, say the original program, though appreciated, isn’t practical.

“Antisemitism Task Force gets approval from House Government Operations Subcommittee” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — A House Subcommittee is backing a proposed task force that would monitor and track antisemitic acts in Florida. The 15-member House Government Operations Subcommittee gave unanimous support to the proposed Antisemitism Task Force measure (HB 111). The bill is sponsored by Rep. Mike Gottlieb, who spoke before the Subcommittee and said the proposed panel has become necessary as hate crimes against Jewish residents have increased. “From approximately 2014 to 2024, antisemitic incidents have increased by roughly 893%” across the United States, according to figures from the Anti-Defamation League (ADL), Gottlieb said. “That has to be 1,000% at least, because that number is reported incidents, and we all know that there are incidents that are not reported.”

“House panel advances gambling enforcement bill as critics warn of unintended targets” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — A bill designed to crack down on illegal gambling activities across Florida just advanced through its next-to-last stop in the House, but not without concerns about unintentional impacts it may have on residents and veteran groups. Members of the House Criminal Justice Subcommittee voted 13-4 for the measure (HB 189), which would significantly increase criminal penalties, tighten restrictions and centralize gambling authority at the state level. Fort Pierce Republican Rep. Dana Trabulsy, the bill’s sponsor, said illegal gambling is everywhere now, from restaurants, bars and gas stations to mall arcades and online platforms. “Florida has experienced a rapid proliferation of illegal slot machines and unregulated gaming arcades,” Trabulsy said.

— LEG. SKED. —

8 a.m.

House State Affairs Committee, Room 17, House Office Building.

— HB 0203, Phased out elimination of non-school property tax for homesteads (Miller).

9 a.m.

Senate Rules Committee, Room 412, Knott Building.

— SB 0100, Florida statutes (Passidomo).

— SB 0102, Florida statutes (Passidomo).

— SB 0104, Florida statutes (Passidomo).

Joint EDR: Revenue Estimating Conference, Room 117, Knott Building.

10 a.m.

House Session, House Chamber.

— HB 0167, Former phosphate mining lands (McClure).

— HB 0145, Suits against the government (McFarland).

— HB 0289, Civil liability for the wrongful death of an unborn child (Greco).

— HB 6003, Recovery of damages for medical negligence resulting in death (Trabulsy).

— HB 0133, Minimum age for firearm purchase or transfer (Sirois).

— HB 0197, Employment eligibility (Jacques).

— HB 0121, Nursing education programs (Overdorf).

— HB 0355, Health care patient protection (Oliver).

11 a.m.

Joint EDR: Revenue Estimating Conference, Room 117, Knott Building.

11:30 a.m.

Senate Session, Senate Chamber.

5:15 p.m.

House Rules and Ethics Committee, Room 404, House Office Building.

— D.C. MATTERS —

“U.S. to suspend immigrant visa processing from 75 countries over public assistance concerns” via The Associated Press — The State Department said it will suspend the processing of immigrant visas for citizens of 75 countries, including Afghanistan, Iran, Russia and Somalia, whose nationals the Trump administration has deemed likely to require public assistance while living in the United States. The State Department said it had instructed consular officers to halt immigrant visa applications from the countries affected in accordance with a broader order issued in November that tightened rules around potential immigrants who might become “public charges” in the U.S. The suspension, which will begin Jan. 21, will not apply to applicants seeking nonimmigrant visas, including temporary tourist or business visas, who make up the vast majority of visa applicants. Demand for nonimmigrant visas is expected to rise significantly in the coming months and years due to the 2026 World Cup and 2028 Olympics, both of which the U.S. will host or co-host.

“Mario Díaz-Balart wants greater flexibility for Marco Rubio to pressure Cuba, Venezuela on global stage” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — A foreign affairs budget crafted under U.S. Rep. Díaz-Balart would dramatically cut foreign spending. It would also give the Secretary of State, Rubio, greater discretion over any funding released to the United Nations. “We’re doing more for our allies. We’re doing more for national security,” Díaz-Balart said. “And we’re doing it with a lot less.” The National Security, Department of State, and Related Programs Appropriations Act heads to the House floor Wednesday for a vote as part of a larger funding package. Díaz-Balart serves as Chair of the Subcommittee that put together the State Department funding package and as Vice Chair of the full House Appropriations Committee.

“María Elvira Salazar believes Donald Trump could still warm up to Dignity Act, path to legal residency” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — U.S. Rep. Salazar believes Trump may yet come around to allowing legal residency for longtime immigrants. At a news conference in Washington to promote her new book, “Dignity Not Citizenship,” Salazar acknowledged the uphill battle for her bipartisan Dignity Act (HR 4393) in the current political climate. But she suggested that one person could change that. “I have no doubt that Trump will be for immigration what (Abraham) Lincoln was for slavery and (Ronald) Reagan was for communism,” Salazar said. “He’s going to fix it.” Many are skeptical. Trump has made mass deportations a central tenet of his agenda since the start of his second term.

— ELECTIONS —

“Medicaid expansion initiative raises $1M in Q4” via Florida Decides Healthcare — Florida Decides Healthcare (FDH), the grassroots ballot initiative working to expand Medicaid in Florida, has raised $1 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, spanning October through December, and enters 2026 with strong polling. A new poll finds that 75% of likely Florida voters support expanding Medicaid, while only 19% oppose it. The results show strong support even among Republicans, who historically have opposed it; at 60%, that is the number required to pass a constitutional amendment. Financial support in the fourth quarter came from 150 individual donors. “This is what real momentum looks like,” said Mitch Emerson, Executive Director of Florida Decides Healthcare. Florida is one of only 10 states that have not yet expanded Medicaid.

“Paul Renner says Byron Donalds is ‘on the wrong side of the law’” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Former House Speaker Renner is sharpening his attacks on U.S. Rep. Donalds as the Republican race for Governor takes shape, casting the contest as a two-person battle centered on crime and public safety. Renner argued that his record as a prosecutor and legislative leader puts him “head and shoulders” above Donalds, citing Donalds’ past arrests and his early support for sentencing reforms. Renner accused the Naples Congressman of adopting rhetoric and policies aligned with the political Left, particularly on policing. Donalds has acknowledged his past arrests as youthful mistakes. Renner also praised DeSantis’ leadership on law enforcement and said he would welcome the Governor’s endorsement, while pledging to earn Republican voters’ trust regardless.

“Donalds gains key endorsement from Arkansas Gov. Sarah Sanders” via Frank Kopylov of Florida’s Voice — Sanders endorsed Donalds in his campaign for Governor, becoming the first sitting Governor to back the Republican congressman. Sanders, a close ally of Trump, praised Donalds as a tested conservative willing to confront progressive policies. “Byron Donalds is tough, tested, and unafraid to take on the Radical Left. He fights for families, stands up for law enforcement, and will never cave to the woke mob,” Sanders said. “He’s committed to making Florida safer, stronger, and more affordable for families and seniors. I am in full agreement with President Trump: Byron Donalds is the proven America First conservative fighter and clear choice to lead Florida into the future.”

“James Fishback’s bid for Governor stumbles out of the gate with dismal fundraising haul” via Frank Kopylov of Florida’s Voice — Fishback, the investor whose campaign has leaned heavily on national media appearances and online buzz, pulled in a mere $950 in fundraising through the end of 2025. The low total, more typical of a low-profile local race like a Soil and Water Conservation Board than a statewide bid to succeed DeSantis, highlights the challenge Fishback faces in translating his “extremely online” presence into donations from Florida voters. Despite weeks of high-profile interviews and commentary on national outlets, the report suggests little enthusiasm among donors for the political newcomer.

“Take 2: Fishback files another finance report, but the fundraising isn’t much better” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Republican gubernatorial candidate Fishback amended his campaign finance report after initially claiming media misreported his fundraising totals, acknowledging he raised more than the $950 first disclosed in late 2025. Even with the correction, Fishback’s fundraising remains modest compared with other GOP contenders. Since launching his campaign in November, he has raised just under $19,000 and spent more than $12,000, leaving about $6,000 in cash on hand. Much of the money came from out-of-state donors, raising questions about in-state support. The report also shows sizable reimbursements with limited detail, drawing scrutiny over recordkeeping. Campaign officials predict rapid fundraising growth, though Fishback still trails rivals by wide margins.

“Keith Gross officially files to succeed Neal Dunn in CD 2” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics — Republican Gross has filed federal paperwork to run to succeed retiring U.S. Rep. Dunn. Gross, a lawyer who challenged U.S. Sen. Rick Scott in a Republican Primary in 2024, has redesignated his Federal Election Commission account to run in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District. That follows Gross telling The Hill on Tuesday that he planned to launch a campaign. He later announced plans on social media. “I’m running to represent my hometown of Panama City,” he posted on X. “I am running to serve. To protect our freedoms, defend our values, and make sure FL-2 always has a strong, principled conservative voice in Congress.”

“GOP Chair Evan Power launches bid for 2nd Congressional District after Dunn retirement” via Frank Kopylov of Florida’s Voice — Power, Chair of the Republican Party of Florida and a staunch supporter of Trump, announced Wednesday that he is running for Congress in the state’s 2nd District, one day after incumbent Dunn said he would not seek re-election. Power filed paperwork with the Florida Division of Elections to enter the race for the North Florida district, which stretches from the Panhandle to Tallahassee and is heavily Republican. He has served as state GOP Chair since January 2024 and said he plans to remain in the role through the end of his term in January 2027 while campaigning.

“Catalina Lauf raises $432,000 in the first quarter of Florida District 19 congressional race” via Anita Padilla of Florida’s Voice — Republican congressional candidate Lauf said her campaign raised more than $430,000 in its first fundraising quarter, primarily fueled by small-dollar donors as she builds support in Florida’s 19th Congressional District. Lauf’s campaign reported raising $431,965.19 since launching, with 81% of contributions coming from small-dollar donors. Combined with outside fundraising through an allied political action committee, her bid now totals nearly $1.3 million in support.

“‘Exemplary’: James Martin notches endorsement from Veterans for Responsible Leadership” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — Democratic veteran Martin’s bid to unseat Republican U.S. Rep. Brian Mast just notched an endorsement from a progressive, veteran-run super PAC that promotes principled, civility-focused candidates. Veterans for Responsible Leadership said in a statement that it is backing Martin because he’s a “proven leader who gets things done.” “James’s exemplary service in the U.S. Coast Guard brings the tested leadership and expertise our country desperately needs,” said the organization’s Executive Director, Scott Peoples. “He represents a new generation ready to deliver real results for the American people and our national security. James is a proven leader who gets things done.” A fourth-generation Floridian, Martin entered the race for Florida’s 21st Congressional District in early October.

“‘I’ve seen how he leads’: Shevrin Jones backs Richard Lamondin for Congress” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics — State Sen. Jones is throwing his support behind local business owner Lamondin’s bid for Florida’s 27th Congressional District. In an effusive statement this week, the Democratic Miami Gardens lawmaker said he has known Lamondin for more than 15 years and described him as a well-rounded, earnest candidate whom he’s proud to endorse. “I’ve seen how he leads — including the real impact the business he built has had nationwide in lowering costs for renters and businesses,” Jones said. “Richard understands, in practical terms, what it takes to fight for affordability and opportunity in Miami-Dade, and he knows how to build the coalition needed to make life better for all of us. As a dad, a husband, and someone deeply rooted in our community, he brings the right values and the seriousness this moment demands.”

— LOCAL: S. FL —

Andy Thomson crosses $440K raised for Boca Mayor’s race — Thomson raised more than $132,000 last quarter, collecting more than $18,000 via his campaign account and another $114,000 through his Running With Andy Thomson political committee. That brings his fundraising total to nearly $407,000, all from outside sources. “This fundraising milestone reflects the deep community support behind our campaign and the strength of a truly grassroots effort,” Thomson said. Boca Raton Firefighters, Local 1560, is also endorsing Thomson. “Our firefighters and first responders put their lives on the line every day to protect Boca Raton families,” Thomson added. “As Mayor, I will always stand with them, ensure they have the resources they need, and keep Boca Raton safe for everyone who calls it home.”

“Fort Pierce OKs contract for new Police Chief; David Smith to start Feb. 2” via Wicker Perlis of Treasure Coast Newspapers — The Police Department officially has a new Chief, after a monthslong search and weekslong contract negotiation process. The City Commission unanimously approved the contract for Smith. He is to be sworn in as Chief at a 9 a.m. ceremony Feb. 2, Human Resources Manager Jared Sorensen told Commissioners. The 17-page contract, which Sorensen said Smith has already signed, has a three-year term. After three years, the contract will automatically renew on a year-to-year basis unless Smith is terminated or gives notice of his intention to leave. Either termination or departure would require 90 days’ notice ahead of the end of a term. Smith’s annual salary will be $190,000.

“Health Department in Miami-Dade warns about blue-green algae in Twin Lakes Canal” via Sofia Saric of the Miami Herald — Locals and visitors were being cautioned about the presence of blue-green algae, a type of bacteria frequently occurring in freshwater, in Twin Lakes Canal, the Florida Department of Health in Miami-Dade County said. The canal near Southwest 68th Street in unincorporated Miami-Dade County is being tested, the Department said, but “it is important to exercise caution, even if (the) presence of toxins has not yet been confirmed.” “Do not drink, swim, wade, use personal watercrafts, or come into contact with waters where there is a visible bloom,” the Department said. Members of the public should also keep their pets and livestock away from the area to avoid contact and steer clear of eating shellfish from waters with algae blooms.

— LOCAL: C. FL —

“Commissioner’s move to fire Flagler’s County Administrator fails” via Brenno Carillo of the Daytona Beach News-Journal — A split Flagler Board of County Commissioners rejected a motion from one of its members to fire County Administrator Heidi Petito. In the final minutes of the meeting, County Commissioner Kim Carney said she lacked “confidence in our Administrator.” “I have put it in writing, I have watched actions and behaviors since an evaluation that I openly suggested was an exercise in futility,” Carney said before making a motion to terminate Petito’s contract. “As a Board, we need to move this county in an aggressive, very forward-acting direction,” Carney, who joined the Board in November 2024, said. “And I don’t see that happening.”

“Orange County chooses to fight Expressway Authority over Split Oak” via Stephen Hudak of the Orlando Sentinel — Orange County Commissioners decided by a 4-3 vote to fight the Central Florida Expressway Authority’s (CFX) plan to take more environmentally sensitive, county-owned acres for the Osceola County Parkway segment it intends to build through Split Oak Forest. The narrow decision will likely force CFX to sue the county to obtain the land it wants. The road-building authority offered about $2.39 million last week for 24.3 county-owned acres it deemed “necessary” for land outside of Split Oak Forest, according to documents obtained by the Orlando Sentinel through a public records request. The land includes acres considered “environmentally sensitive” by the county, including a piece of Eagles Roost Park.

— LOCAL: TB —

“Is Ken Welch a victim, or just incompetent? Two things can be true” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics — St. Petersburg Mayor Welch is the victim of an alleged six-figure theft from a political committee supporting his re-election, but the episode raises serious questions about his judgment and oversight. Prosecutors say the committee’s former treasurer siphoned more than $200,000 through unauthorized payments, a scheme that went undetected for months. While Welch is not accused of wrongdoing, the lapse is striking given his background as an accountant and his prior compliance issues with earlier committees. The fallout leaves the PAC nearly drained and donor confidence shaken. The episode compounds broader concerns about Welch’s leadership, fundraising struggles, and a growing sense among political insiders that his campaign is faltering as challengers circle.

— LOCAL: N. FL —

“James Uthmeier: Nassau County is undermining state law with radical impact fee hike” via Drew Dixon of Florida Politics — Attorney General Uthmeier has issued a critical opinion saying Nassau County can’t jack up the rate of impact fee increases beyond Florida limits just because its population has increased substantially in the past half-decade. Uthmeier said in a news release that he received a request to examine potential additional impact fees amid growth in the First Coast county. Rep. Richard Gentry, a DeBary Republican, asked for the Attorney General’s opinion. The county has about 103,000 people residing there, according to U.S. Census Bureau estimates. That’s about a 17% jump from 2020. Nassau County Commissioners approved impact-fee increases in December.

“Jacksonville official warns Instagram followers about ICE arrests, advises on how to avoid ‘targeting’” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics — Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers are making the rounds in Jacksonville, and a city official is advising her Instagram followers on how to avoid arrest and how to react if they are taken into custody. Yanira Cardona, the city’s Hispanic Outreach Coordinator appointed by Mayor Donna Deegan, says people who are taken in should “comply,” but they should have a plan because “they’re out in Jacksonville.” “We are living in very difficult times, but my best advice is: 1. Have a plan in place with your lawyers. 2. Give someone you trust power of attorney for your business and your children. 3. If you are stopped by law enforcement, please cooperate and follow their instructions/orders,” she wrote on Wednesday, with a video explaining where people should be most careful.

“‘Hellacious gunbattle’: Two dead, two police officers shot after morning shootout in city streets” via Gabriel Velasquez Neira of Fresh Take Florida — A suspected killer and police exchanged gunfire during Wednesday morning’s rush hour near one of Gainesville’s busiest intersections, leaving two people dead and two officers wounded. Police said the violence began just before 8 a.m. when the gunman fatally shot a man inside a retail business, then fled as officers arrived. The suspect stopped his car in the roadway and opened fire, triggering what Police Chief Nelson Moya described as a two-minute “hellacious gunbattle.” One officer was shot in the arm and another in the leg; both were hospitalized and are expected to recover. Bullets struck nearby businesses and vehicles in East Gainesville, prompting a three-block lockdown near an elementary school. Authorities have not released the names of the gunman or the victim.

“The ‘godfather’ of Gator Nation” via Garrett Shanley of The Chronicle of Higher Education — Mori Hosseini’s failed effort to install Santa Ono as University of Florida president marked a rare public setback for one of Florida’s most powerful higher education figures. As Chair of UF’s Board of Trustees, Hosseini has spent nearly a decade exerting extraordinary influence over the university, leveraging political alliances, fundraising prowess, and a relentless focus on national rankings. Long aligned with Republican leadership, Hosseini viewed Ono as a prestige hire who could elevate UF while navigating culture-war demands. Instead, Ono’s rejection signaled a shift in Tallahassee, where ideological purity now outweighs institutional ambition. The episode exposed Hosseini’s waning ability to marshal votes even within his own party and underscored growing tension between traditional conservative power brokers and a harder-edged political movement reshaping Florida’s universities.

— LOCAL: SW. FL —

“Regulatory actions shadow Scott Schultz as he seeks Naples City Council seat” via Jesse Mendoza of Florida Politics — Naples City Council candidate Schultz has faced multiple regulatory actions tied to his past work in financial services. Schultz, a member of the Naples Planning Advisory Board, is one of eight candidates seeking one of three open City Council seats in the Feb. 3 election. He announced his candidacy in October, running on a platform focused on growth management and long-range planning. Regulatory records show Schultz was fined by both the state of Michigan and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for violations related to unregistered investment activity and misrepresentations to investors. Actions against Schultz include an SEC enforcement order, a Florida notice of intent to deny his registration application, and later sanctions in Michigan over unregistered investment advisory activity.

“How can flooding be stopped in Naples? Top issue for Feb. 3 election” via Liz Freeman of the Fort Myers News-Press & Naples Daily News — Growth, paying for stormwater management and improving relationships with other elected bodies are among the top issues for eight candidates seeking election to the Naples City Council. Candidates at a forum shared that the city’s stormwater management system overhaul will cost millions. Some candidates offered specific measures on how to fund it. A criticism of the current seven-member Council is that it is not working with Collier County leaders, which has led to major development along the city’s border. That means a big uptick in traffic on already congested city streets. Finding ways to better manage redevelopment, maintain the quality of life, and give residents more say in governance were also discussed.

— TOP OPINION —

“Will lawmakers really stand up to DeSantis? For Floridians’ sake, we hope so.” via the Orlando Sentinel editorial board — Gov. DeSantis entered the 2026 Legislative Session with every apparent advantage: overwhelming Republican majorities, an entrenched agenda and a track record of overpowering dissent.

On paper, the year should have marked a victorious finale to his Governorship.

Instead, his State-of-the-State address sounded like a backward-looking defense, heavy on self-congratulation, light on clarity and notable for what it obscured. The tone suggested a Governor whose dominance is no longer assured.

That shift was underscored by opening-day speeches from House Speaker Perez and Senate President Albritton. Neither mentioned DeSantis nor embraced his top priorities, including congressional redistricting and immigration crackdowns. Their remarks signaled a quieter but meaningful declaration of independence.

Perez and Albritton emphasized deliberation, restraint and a focus on affordability and governance rather than ideological crusades. The message was that legislative leadership intends to weigh proposals on their merits, not on pressure from the Governor’s office.

That posture creates an opening for lawmakers to refocus on issues Floridians actually feel: housing and insurance costs, child care, criminal justice reform and accountability for expensive, controversial decisions made by the administration.

It also opens the door to restoring checks and balances, which have weakened over the past seven years.

The moment is fragile and far from guaranteed. The Legislature is capable of its own excesses. But for the first time in years, there is a sense that Tallahassee may be willing to push back, reassert its role and put practical needs ahead of political theater.

Whether lawmakers seize that opportunity will define the Session — and the end of the DeSantis era.

— MORE OPINIONS —

“Redrawing Florida’s congressional seats is a bad idea” via John Hill of the Tampa Bay Times — DeSantis’ decision to call a redistricting Special Session before the Regular Legislative Session even began underscores how central political power remains to his governing strategy. By forcing lawmakers back to Tallahassee in April, DeSantis avoids negotiating maps amid broader policy debates and delays candidate qualifying, thereby tightening the field for challengers. The move is framed as protecting fair representation, but critics argue it serves national Republican interests ahead of the Midterms, not Floridians’ priorities. With housing, insurance, utilities, and infrastructure topping voter concerns, reopening congressional maps risks deepening partisan entrenchment. Republicans already dominate Florida’s delegation, and further gerrymandering could isolate leaders from voters, weaken minority representation, and harden a political system many see as already unresponsive.

“Florida’s CFO post needs watchdogs, not lapdogs and buffoonery” via Scott Maxwell of the Orlando Sentinel — A Republican lawmaker’s decision to self-fund a $5 million campaign for state Chief Financial Officer has renewed scrutiny of how the office has been used under appointed CFO Ingoglia. Ingoglia has focused heavily on high-profile attacks against local governments over relatively minor expenditures while largely avoiding deeper reviews of state-level spending, including hundreds of millions of dollars in no-bid and emergency contracts and legally required audits that have not been completed. State Rep. Kevin Steele says he wants to redirect the office toward auditing waste, fraud, and corruption within state government, pledging a no-nonsense approach to fiscal oversight. The race highlights a broader debate over whether the CFO’s role should emphasize performance politics or rigorous financial accountability.

“Florida must act now to secure workers’ retirement futures” via Jeff Johnson for Florida Politics — Florida’s reputation as a retirement destination masks a growing challenge for workers who want to retire in the state they helped build. While the statewide economy benefits from new retirees and career transplants, nearly 59% of Florida’s private-sector workforce lacks access to any workplace retirement plan. That gap, driven largely by small-business constraints, leaves millions to save on their own, without payroll deduction or a structured approach. As housing and health care costs rise, retirement security increasingly depends on access to savings while working. Senate Bill 930 and House Bill 1357 aim to address that problem by creating a temporary, nonbinding task force to study coverage gaps and recommend data-driven solutions. Expanding access without mandates or new taxes would strengthen workers, businesses, and taxpayers statewide.

“Florida graduation rates are improving; policymakers should follow the data” via Crystal Etienne for Florida Politics — Florida’s high school graduation rates continue to rise, but state data shows traditional district public schools are driving those gains, not charter schools. According to the Florida Department of Education’s Jan. 13, 2026, cohort data, the statewide four-year graduation rate is about 92%. However, when disaggregated, district schools graduated 93.8% of students in the 2024–25 cohort, compared with 78.4% at charter high schools, a gap exceeding 15 percentage points. Charter schools also posted higher dropout rates and far more students remaining enrolled beyond four years. While graduation gains are real, district schools overwhelmingly produce them. As lawmakers debate funding and expansion, the data underscores the need to align education policy with demonstrated outcomes.

“Tackle Broward’s health care disparities: Work better together” via Nan Rich for the South Florida Sun Sentinel – I believe it is critical for Tallahassee to act this Session by passing SB 1122 and HB 1047. These bills would grant public hospitals the legal clarity needed to collaborate without fear of penalty. Without this protection, innovation slows, partnerships stall, and lifesaving programs, from pediatric care to mobile health and nutrition units, are delayed or derailed. Collaboration is not optional; it is the path to delivering high-quality, comprehensive health care at scale.

— INSTAGRAM OF THE DAY —

Because I will be here this weekend:

— ALOE —

“Disney will bring the original Star Wars trilogy to Disneyland in theme park pivot” via Alex Weprin of The Hollywood Reporter — The Walt Disney Co. is reshaping Star Wars: Galaxy’s Edge at Disneyland by rolling the land’s timeline back to include characters and elements from the original Star Wars trilogy. Beginning April 29, 2026, guests will encounter Darth Vader, Luke Skywalker, Han Solo and Princess Leia Organa, along with John Williams’ iconic music playing throughout the land. The shift broadens Galaxy’s Edge beyond its original sequel-era focus, while newer characters such as Rey will continue appearing in designated areas. Disney World’s version will remain unchanged. Rides will largely remain intact, while shops and dining locations will receive updates, including classic cantina music. The move reflects a strategic pivot toward the franchise’s most enduring characters and cultural touchstones.

— HAPPY BIRTHDAY —

Celebrating today are former Reps. Dan Davis and Jake Raburn, and Melody Selis Arnold.

___

Sunburn is authored and assembled by Peter Schorsch, Phil Ammann, Daniel Dean, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, and Drew Wilson.