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Some CEOs have vowed to revolt against a Zohran Mamdani win. Jamie Dimon says he’ll ‘offer my help’

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Good morning. It’s election day here in New York City. President Donald Trump has endorsed former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo for mayor, calling on New Yorkers to defeat “Communist” Zohran Mamdani in a post on Truth Social. But in my conversations with business leaders over the past few weeks, I’ve sensed a more nuanced stance on the 34-year-old Democratic Socialist who’s now leading in the polls. As one Wall Street executive pointed out to me in Miami: “He’s changed his mind on some things (such as defunding the police) and he needs to get support on others (such as raising state tax rates), so let’s see how he operates.”

Here are some issues on the radar for business:

Tax Hikes –  Mamdani has said he can raise $10 billion through a 2% income tax surcharge on salaries over $1 million, raising the state’s top corporate tax rate to 11.5%, transforming procurement and collecting almost $700 million that the city is owed. But Mamdani himself has admitted that the bulk of these moves require legislative action beyond his control.

Business Exodus – Dave Portnoy of Barstool Sports has threatened to move his New York City headquarters if Mamdani is elected. That would impact a little more than 300 people. But Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan, which has 24,000 employees in the city, recently told Fortune editor-in-chief Alyson Shontell that he’d help Mamdani or any mayor that wins the election. “You know, we survived [Mayor] Bill de Blasio,” he said. “New York will survive.”

City-run Stores – If you want to bet on the prospects for Mamdani’s plan to open a government-run grocery store in every borough, talk to one of my favorite people to interview: John Catsimatidis, who runs Gristedes and D’Agostino Supermarkets in New York. Opening a business with 2% margins in a city that already gets top scores for equitable access to groceries sounds like a losing proposition. Catsimatidis has threatened to close stores if Mamdani wins. Maybe he’ll go back to his earlier offer to give the mayor a store to run.

Real Estate – Mamdani’s promise of a rent freeze for 2 million New Yorkers in rent-stabilized apartments means a rent hike for everyone else. That, plus the prospect of tax hikes, is reviving interest in real estate in the city’s affluent suburbs. But affordability is a real issue as CEOs have told me it’s harder to attract talent to the city because of the cost of living, especially for startups and industries like fashion and advertising that can’t offer Wall Street salaries.

Gen Z –  Frustrated over housing costs, career opportunities and more, young New Yorkers want to change the status quo. That’s not unique to New York, of course, and CEOs are concerned that the next generation of leaders doesn’t trust that business or government is on their side. If Mamdani can ignite enthusiasm for civic engagement among Gen Z, that could be a boon for everyone. 

Just a reminder to join my colleagues Geoff Colvin and Sheryl Estrada for a conversation on “Optimizing for a Human–Machine Workforce,” next Thursday, Nov. 13, from 11:00 AM to 12:00 Noon ET. They’ll be joined by Deloitte’s Global AI Leader Nitin Mittal and INRIX CFO Thadd Stricker. You can register here.

More news below.

Contact CEO Daily via Diane Brady at diane.brady@fortune.com

Top news

OpenAI taps AWS

Amazon shares closed at a record high Monday after OpenAI agreed to buy $38 billion worth of AWS capacity in a fresh sign that the ChatGPT developer is no longer dependent on Microsoft. Amazon will eventually build new data centers to meet OpenAI’s demand.

Norway rejects Musk’s pay

Norway’s sovereign-wealth fund rejected Elon Musk’s proposed $1 trillion pay package due to concerns over “the total size of the award, dilution, and lack of mitigation of key person risk.” The $1.9 trillion fund is the first major Tesla investor to publicize its decision ahead of Thursday’s vote.

Starbucks offloads its China business

Starbucks is selling a 60% stake in its China business to Boyu Capital, a Chinese private equity firm. The U.S. coffee chain will continue to own and license its brand in the country. Starbucks has struggled in China, its second-largest market, due to sluggish consumer spending and new competition from domestic brands like Luckin Coffee. 

Kimberly-Clark’s Tylenol deal

Consumer goods company Kimberly-Clark will buy Tylenol parent Kenvue for $40 billion, part of CEO Mike Hsu’s decade-long effort to turn around the maker of Huggies and Kleenex. Kimberly-Clark investors appeared skeptical of the deal; Kenvue is at risk of personal-injury lawsuits over the Trump administration’s claims that Tylenol causes autism. 

Partial SNAP payments

Tens of millions of Americans will only get partial payments from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) for November due to the government shutdown, the White House announced late on Monday. Around one in eight U.S. families receive SNAP benefits. 

Trump officials block Nvidia’s China hopes

Top U.S. officials like Secretary of State Marco Rubio convinced President Donald Trump not to discuss the sale of advanced Nvidia chips to China during last week’s summit with Xi Jinping, the Wall Street Journal reports. Trump had previously signaled openness to allowing Nvidia to sell its advanced Blackwell AI chip to China as part of his trade war truce with Beijing.

The markets

S&P 500 futures were down 0.95% this morning. The last session closed down 0.46%. STOXX Europe 600 was down 1.31% in early trading. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was down 0.76% in early trading. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 1.74%. China’s CSI 300 was down 0.75%. The South Korea KOSPI was down 2.37%. India’s NIFTY 50 was down 0.47%. Bitcoin was down at $104K.

Around the watercooler

A ‘jobless profit boom’ has cemented a permanent loss in payrolls as AI displaces labor at a faster rate, strategist says by Jason Ma

Goldman Sachs CEO says AI-induced growth offers a ‘path out’ of America’s $38 trillion debt crisis by Eleanor Pringle

Walmart CEO said paying its star managers upwards of $620,000 yearly empowered them to ‘feel like owners’ by Emma Burleigh

Both subprime and super prime loans are on the rise, signs of a K-shaped economy that is a ‘prescription for real trouble’ by Sasha Rogelberg

MacKenzie Scott gifts $80 million to Howard University, marking one of the school’s largest donations in its 158-year history by Sydney Lake

CEO Daily was compiled and edited by Angelica Ang, Nick Gordon, and Claire Zillman.

This is the web version of CEO Daily, a newsletter of must-read global insights from CEOs and industry leaders. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.



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The rise of AI reasoning models comes with a big energy tradeoff

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Nearly all leading artificial intelligence developers are focused on building AI models that mimic the way humans reason, but new research shows these cutting-edge systems can be far more energy intensive, adding to concerns about AI’s strain on power grids.

AI reasoning models used 30 times more power on average to respond to 1,000 written prompts than alternatives without this reasoning capability or which had it disabled, according to a study released Thursday. The work was carried out by the AI Energy Score project, led by Hugging Face research scientist Sasha Luccioni and Salesforce Inc. head of AI sustainability Boris Gamazaychikov.

The researchers evaluated 40 open, freely available AI models, including software from OpenAI, Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Microsoft Corp. Some models were found to have a much wider disparity in energy consumption, including one from Chinese upstart DeepSeek. A slimmed-down version of DeepSeek’s R1 model used just 50 watt hours to respond to the prompts when reasoning was turned off, or about as much power as is needed to run a 50 watt lightbulb for an hour. With the reasoning feature enabled, the same model required 7,626 watt hours to complete the tasks.

The soaring energy needs of AI have increasingly come under scrutiny. As tech companies race to build more and bigger data centers to support AI, industry watchers have raised concerns about straining power grids and raising energy costs for consumers. A Bloomberg investigation in September found that wholesale electricity prices rose as much as 267% over the past five years in areas near data centers. There are also environmental drawbacks, as Microsoft, Google and Amazon.com Inc. have previously acknowledged the data center buildout could complicate their long-term climate objectives

More than a year ago, OpenAI released its first reasoning model, called o1. Where its prior software replied almost instantly to queries, o1 spent more time computing an answer before responding. Many other AI companies have since released similar systems, with the goal of solving more complex multistep problems for fields like science, math and coding.

Though reasoning systems have quickly become the industry norm for carrying out more complicated tasks, there has been little research into their energy demands. Much of the increase in power consumption is due to reasoning models generating much more text when responding, the researchers said. 

The new report aims to better understand how AI energy needs are evolving, Luccioni said. She also hopes it helps people better understand that there are different types of AI models suited to different actions. Not every query requires tapping the most computationally intensive AI reasoning systems.

“We should be smarter about the way that we use AI,” Luccioni said. “Choosing the right model for the right task is important.”

To test the difference in power use, the researchers ran all the models on the same computer hardware. They used the same prompts for each, ranging from simple questions — such as asking which team won the Super Bowl in a particular year — to more complex math problems. They also used a software tool called CodeCarbon to track how much energy was being consumed in real time.

The results varied considerably. The researchers found one of Microsoft’s Phi 4 reasoning models used 9,462 watt hours with reasoning turned on, compared with about 18 watt hours with it off. OpenAI’s largest gpt-oss model, meanwhile, had a less stark difference. It used 8,504 watt hours with reasoning on the most computationally intensive “high” setting and 5,313 watt hours with the setting turned down to “low.” 

OpenAI, Microsoft, Google and DeepSeek did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Google released internal research in August that estimated the median text prompt for its Gemini AI service used 0.24 watt-hours of energy, roughly equal to watching TV for less than nine seconds. Google said that figure was “substantially lower than many public estimates.” 

Much of the discussion about AI power consumption has focused on large-scale facilities set up to train artificial intelligence systems. Increasingly, however, tech firms are shifting more resources to inference, or the process of running AI systems after they’ve been trained. The push toward reasoning models is a big piece of that as these systems are more reliant on inference.

Recently, some tech leaders have acknowledged that AI’s power draw needs to be reckoned with. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said the industry must earn the “social permission to consume energy” for AI data centers in a November interview. To do that, he argued tech must use AI to do good and foster broad economic growth.



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SpaceX to offer insider shares at record-setting valuation

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SpaceX is preparing to sell insider shares in a transaction that would value Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at a valuation higher than OpenAI’s record-setting $500 billion, people familiar with the matter said.

One of the people briefed on the deal said that the share price under discussion is higher than $400 apiece, which would value SpaceX at between $750 billion and $800 billion, though the details could change. 

The company’s latest tender offer was discussed by its board of directors on Thursday at SpaceX’s Starbase hub in Texas. If confirmed, it would make SpaceX once again the world’s most valuable closely held company, vaulting past the previous record of $500 billion that ChatGPT owner OpenAI set in October. Play Video

Preliminary scenarios included per-share prices that would have pushed SpaceX’s value at roughly $560 billion or higher, the people said. The details of the deal could change before it closes, a third person said. 

A representative for SpaceX didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment. 

The latest figure would be a substantial increase from the $212 a share set in July, when the company raised money and sold shares at a valuation of $400 billion.

The Wall Street Journal and Financial Times, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter, earlier reported that a deal would value SpaceX at $800 billion.

News of SpaceX’s valuation sent shares of EchoStar Corp., a satellite TV and wireless company, up as much as 18%. Last month, Echostar had agreed to sell spectrum licenses to SpaceX for $2.6 billion, adding to an earlier agreement to sell about $17 billion in wireless spectrum to Musk’s company.

Subscribe Now: The Business of Space newsletter covers NASA, key industry events and trends.

The world’s most prolific rocket launcher, SpaceX dominates the space industry with its Falcon 9 rocket that launches satellites and people to orbit.

SpaceX is also the industry leader in providing internet services from low-Earth orbit through Starlink, a system of more than 9,000 satellites that is far ahead of competitors including Amazon.com Inc.’s Amazon Leo.

SpaceX executives have repeatedly floated the idea of spinning off SpaceX’s Starlink business into a separate, publicly traded company — a concept President Gwynne Shotwell first suggested in 2020. 

However, Musk cast doubt on the prospect publicly over the years and Chief Financial Officer Bret Johnsen said in 2024 that a Starlink IPO would be something that would take place more likely “in the years to come.”

The Information, citing people familiar with the discussions, separately reported on Friday that SpaceX has told investors and financial institution representatives that it is aiming for an initial public offering for the entire company in the second half of next year.

A so-called tender or secondary offering, through which employees and some early shareholders can sell shares, provides investors in closely held companies such as SpaceX a way to generate liquidity.

SpaceX is working to develop its new Starship vehicle, advertised as the most powerful rocket ever developed to loft huge numbers of Starlink satellites as well as carry cargo and people to moon and, eventually, Mars.



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U.S. consumers are so strained they put more than $1B on BNPL during Black Friday and Cyber Monday

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Financially strained and cautious customers leaned heavily on buy now, pay later (BNPL) services over the holiday weekend.

Cyber Monday alone generated $1.03 billion (a 4.2% increase YoY) in online BNPL sales with most transactions happening on mobile devices, per Adobe Analytics. Overall, consumers spent $14.25 billion online on Cyber Monday. To put that into perspective, BNPL made up for more than 7.2% of total online sales on that day.

As for Black Friday, eMarketer reported $747.5 million in online sales using BNPL services with platforms like PayPal finding a 23% uptick in BNPL transactions.

Likewise, digital financial services company Zip reported 1.6 million transactions throughout 280,000 of its locations over the Black Friday and Cyber Monday weekend. Millennials (51%) accounted for a chunk of the sizable BNPL purchases, followed by Gen Z, Gen X, and baby boomers, per Zip.

The Adobe data showed that people using BNPL were most likely to spend on categories such as electronics, apparel, toys, and furniture, which is consistent with previous years. This trend also tracks with Zip’s findings that shoppers were primarily investing in tech, electronics, and fashion when using its services.

And while some may be surprised that shoppers are taking on more debt via BNPL (in this economy?!), analysts had already projected a strong shopping weekend. A Deloitte survey forecast that consumers would spend about $650 million over the Black Friday–Cyber Monday stretch—a 15% jump from 2023.

“US retailers leaned heavily on discounts this holiday season to drive online demand,” Vivek Pandya, lead analyst at Adobe Digital Insights, said in a statement. “Competitive and persistent deals throughout Cyber Week pushed consumers to shop earlier, creating an environment where Black Friday now challenges the dominance of Cyber Monday.”

This report was originally published by Retail Brew.



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