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Ron DeSantis says ‘center-right’ voters flock to Florida, empowering liberals elsewhere

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Amid conservative outrage about New York City’s new Mayor and clashes over immigration enforcement, Gov. Ron DeSantis says Florida’s success is partially to blame for other parts of the country becoming more liberal.

As he has before, DeSantis told Fox News Host Sean Hannity that the migration of right-of-center voters to Florida has had the unintended consequence of entrenching liberals in places where people fleeing Democratic governance are leaving.

California never used to lose population. Now they do. And so what happens is those typically tend to be the more center-right voters, right? So the remaining electorate ends up being even more liberal,” DeSantis said on “Hannity.”

“I think we saw that in New York City with the election of that Mayor. And unfortunately, in Minnesota, I can tell you firsthand, you go down to Southwest Florida right now, Sean, there’s a lot of people who fled Minnesota to be down in Naples and Fort Myers and some of those areas.”

DeSantis was contrasting Florida’s seamless collaboration with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officials to that of Govs. Gavin Newsom and Tim Walz during the segment, the latest evidence that ideological polarity continues.

After 2025’s off-year elections, DeSantis argued that a contributing factor to Republican defeats is that many of those who might have voted for conservative candidates have moved to Florida.

“If you look at all 49 other states since I’ve been Governor, look at who’s migrated to Florida. All 49, more Republicans have moved to Florida than Democrats — Vermont, New York, Illinois, you name it. And the result of that is not just migration, ’cause we’ve had a lot of people shift within Florida. But when I got elected, we had 300,000 more registered Democrats in Florida. Today, we have 1.4 million more Republicans,” DeSantis said, also on “Hannity.”

“Center right voters … leave,” he said during that November interview, and “the resulting electorate is actually more liberal.”

DeSantis has also warned that Florida may be prone to going more purple this year, including suggesting this week that Republicans need to back a single, easily marketable amendment to eliminate homestead property taxes and that a Special Session may be a good way to unify the party and “juice” turnout in November. If Republicans fail to do this, it could jeopardize the supermajority in the Florida House.



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Byron Donalds in dominant position in GOP Primary for Governor, new poll shows

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A new poll shows U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican field for Governor against declared candidates and potential entries. And once voters learn Donalds already secured President Donald Trump’s endorsement, his support looks insurmountable.

The internal poll by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates shows Donalds as the “clear frontrunner” against “every ballot variation” tested.

Among just the major candidates already in the running, 47% of Republican Primary voters favor Donalds, compared to 5% for Azoria CEO James Fishback and 4% for former House Speaker Paul Renner. The remainder of respondents were undecided.

The poll of 600 likely Primary voters was taken Jan. 4 through 6, with pollsters reporting a margin of error of 4%.

Should Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enter the race, as funder of a major ad campaign clear want, it wouldn’t change much, according to pollster David Lee. Donalds would still lead with 45% to Collins’ 6%, Fishback’s 4% and Renner’s 3%.

“Any sugar high from Jay Collins’ multimillion ad buy has completely dissipated,” Lee wrote in a polling memo.

The only non-Donalds contender who showed up in double digits in any polling, Lee’s memo shows, is First Lady Casey DeSantis. With the Tallahassee Republican in the field, Lee found Donalds still leading with 39% to DeSantis’ 26%, with Fishback falling to 3% and Renner dropping to 1%. That leaves Donalds’ edge outside the margin of error.

Those totals are without explicitly informing voters of Trump’s endorsement. But the backing of the President has a massive effect on Primary voters’ preferences.

Among the already declared candidates, Donalds’ lead blasts to 76% over Fishback’s 6% and Renner’s 1%.

With Collins in the race, the Trump endorsement has less strength. But Donalds still soars past majority support, winning 58% support to Fishback’s 5%, Collins’ 4% and Renner’s 2%.

Should DeSantis throw her hat in the ring, the poll still shows the Trump effect putting Donalds in a dominant position. When respondents were informed of Trump’s support, about 48% supported Donalds, 21% favored DeSantis, 5% wanted Fishback and 2% supported Renner.

“Despite Casey DeSantis’ last name and Jay Collins’ multimillion ad spend, Byron Donalds is far and away the clear choice to unify Florida Republicans, keep the state red, and defeat the Democrats in November,” Lee wrote.



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Bob Buckhorn political committee raises $400K-plus in Q4, bringing total to $1.4M for eventual Tampa mayoral comeback

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The political committee supporting former Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn in his eventual bid to return to his old job leading the city raised $414,750 in the fourth quarter of 2025, bringing the overall fundraising for Friends of Bob Buckhorn to $1.4 million, according to a press release from his committee.

“You can feel the excitement in this community as we prepare for Tampa’s next chapter,” Buckhorn said. “That enthusiasm is reflected in these numbers. These are friends, neighbors, and people I’ve worked alongside for years who believe in this city and its future. That kind of trust means everything to me, and I’m grateful for every person who’s helped build this momentum.”

Buckhorn has not officially launched a mayoral campaign for the race next year to replace incumbent Mayor Jane Castor, who is facing term limits. But he has widely indicated he plans to run.

The committee disclosed overall fundraising in the fourth quarter to Florida Politics and details are not yet publicly available. Reports are due to the Division of Elections by Jan. 12. The press release did not detail donors or expenditures.

As of Sept. 30, the most recent date for which fundraising details are available, Buckhorn had raised $1 million and spent just over $10,000.

The early fundraising could serve to dissuade others considering running for Mayor as the race approaches in 2027, though it’s widely expected Buckhorn will face at least one opponent, current City Council member Bill Carlson, who has long been an adversary to the former Mayor.

Buckhorn, a Democrat, served two terms as Tampa Mayor, from 2011 to 2019, and left office with strong approval ratings. While Tampa limits Mayors to two terms, those limits reset once out of office for two terms, which allows Buckhorn to run again.

The race is widely expected to serve as a referendum of the left-of-center politics Buckhorn represents against the more progressive leanings of Carlson. In July, a poll unattributed to any potential candidate went out to Tampa voters asking about the 2027 contest. Florida Politics did not obtain the results, but a recipient provided screenshots of the questions. One of them curiously left out the option for respondents to indicate an unfavorable opinion of Carlson, while including unfavorable as an option for Buckhorn. Carlson denied knowledge of the poll when asked about it.

Other potential candidates listed in the poll included former Rep. Ed Narain, Hillsborough County Property Appraiser Bob Henriquez and Tampa City Council member Lynn Hurtak.

Two relative political unknowns, Alan Jared Henderson and Julie Magill, are the only candidates filed for Mayor so far.

A poll from Mercury Public Affairs in May showed Buckhorn far outperforming others in a five-way hypothetical race including Carlson and Hurtak, as well as Sen. Jay Collins and House Democratic Leader Fentrice Driskell. It put Buckhorn 27 points ahead of his closest competitor in the survey, Carlson, at 49% to 22%.

Driskell has since announced her candidacy for Senate, while Collins has since been appointed Lieutenant Governor by Gov. Ron DeSantis and there is speculation he may run for Governor this year. The Mercury poll did not include Henriquez or Narain.



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Denise Marzullo named President-elect at Florida Coalition for Children

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The Florida Coalition for Children has tapped Denise Marzullo to serve as President and CEO-designate, setting the stage for her to succeed Kurt Kelly, the current leader.

Marzullo, who holds an MBA and is a licensed mental health counselor, brings more than 17 years of experience spanning child welfare, early learning, mental health and the state juvenile justice system.

“Denise brings an exceptional depth of experience, vision, and heart to this role. Her proven leadership across child welfare, behavioral health, and early learning — combined with her commitment to community-based solutions — makes her uniquely qualified to lead the Coalition into its next chapter,” Kelly said.

“I am confident that working alongside Denise during this transition will ensure a strong, seamless handoff and continued momentum for our members and the children and families we serve.”

Marzullo comes to the Coalition after leading All Star Children’s Foundation, a nationally recognized nonprofit that provides trauma-informed therapeutic services for children in foster care. During her tenure as CEO, the organization expanded campus-based programming, strengthened public-private partnerships, and advanced research-driven trauma screening and treatment models for children who have experienced abuse and neglect.

Marzullo previously led the Early Learning Coalition of Duval and chaired the Association of Early Learning Coalitions. Earlier in her career, Marzullo served as President and CEO of Mental Health America of Northeast Florida, where she founded the Florida Mental Health Summit and led statewide advocacy efforts.

“I am honored to join the Florida Coalition for Children at such a pivotal moment. The Coalition’s mission to advocate for Florida’s most vulnerable children deeply aligns with my professional experience and personal values,” Marzullo said.

“I look forward to working closely with Kurt, the Board, and our members during this transition and to building upon FCC’s strong foundation to advance a child welfare system that is responsive, collaborative, and focused on lasting outcomes for children and families across Florida.”



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