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Ron DeSantis’ approval slips but remains above water

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More Floridians support Gov. Ron DeSantis than not, but only barely.

A new survey from Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy found that 50% of Florida voters approve of DeSantis’ job performance as Governor, while 46% disapprove and 4% are unsure.

The topline shows a modest dip from Mason-Dixon’s March 2025 survey, in which he scored 53% approval. The slide in net favorability was sharper, however, dropping from a plus-11 last year to plus-4 today.

The crosstabs show clear demographic divides. DeSantis’ support remains strongest among White voters (58%), and while he still earns a plurality of Hispanic voters (49%), that backing has softened, sliding eight points since last year. Black voters overwhelmingly disapproved of his performance, at 84% to 7%.

Gender and age splits also cut against him. DeSantis is now underwater with women, while older voters and men continue to buoy his overall standing. Regionally, his strongest support comes from Republican strongholds in North Florida and Southwest Florida, helping offset weaker numbers in Southeast Florida.

And while Republicans and Democrats largely remained entrenched in their views of DeSantis, the Governor’s standing has slid 10 points among third- and no-party voters, from 51% support in 2025 to 41% today.

The results mark DeSantis’ second-weakest showing since taking office. The worst came during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, when the pollster’s July 2020 survey found him underwater at 45% approval and 49% disapproval. His high point came shortly after taking office. In March 2019, DeSantis had a 62% approval rating and 24% disapproval, for a plus-38 net.

“With no immediate announced political plans, DeSantis’ popularity drop probably has no immediate impact. Overall, a 50% approval rating is not bad — it is simply somewhat lower than what he has enjoyed throughout his tenure,” the polling memo reads.

The Mason-Dixon poll was conducted Jan. 8-12 and has a sample size of 625 registered voters. The margin of error is +/-4% at a 95% confidence level.



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Gov. DeSantis calls fractured Legislature to focus on property tax cuts

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Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis used most of his final State of the State address to talk about what he’s accomplished in his first seven years. Then he turned toward his most ambitious goal of his last year in office: reducing the property taxes he says “squeeze” Floridians.

While DeSantis described Florida as the most tax-friendly state in the nation, and emphasized his oft-repeated celebration of the state’s lack of income tax, he also said local governments’ property tax revenue has risen from $32 billion to $56 billion over the last seven years.

“While we have fulfilled our promises, we have more time and we need to make the most of it,” DeSantis told lawmakers as they opened their 60-day Legislative Session.

With consequential U.S. Midterms approaching, and his own future plans unknown after he leaves office next January, the Governor steered away from addressing upcoming elections. Instead, his wide-ranging speech focused on the state’s successes under his leadership and his future plans for property tax cuts and AI restrictions.

“We have residents that are locked into their homes, because they can’t afford the taxes on a new residence,” he said. “Others have been priced out of the market entirely.”

DeSantis is pushing the Legislature to put a measure slashing these taxes on voter ballots in November. Although lawmakers began with eight proposals to tackle the issue, only one is now ready for a full House vote.

Critics say the initiative will harm local government programs and public schools, which rely on property tax funding to operate — especially on rural and inland municipalities.

Democratic leaders criticized the Governor’s emphasis on property taxes following the speech. State Sen. Shevrin Jones dismissed the rhetoric as “something to go on billboards and bumper stickers,” not a real way to help rural communities. It’s a perspective he said people share across the aisle.

“There are people within the Governor’s own party who understand that the Governor’s speech was not popular,” Jones said. “You can see his own party didn’t stand up for that property tax, because they know it is detrimental for their own community.”

But Democrats, who make up just a little over one-fourth of both the Senate and House, have little power in a Legislature dominated by the Republican supermajority.

Meanwhile, Republicans are increasingly divided. During last year’s Legislative Session, which turned from a 60-day to 105-day affair, House and Senate leaders clashed over tax breaks and the budget. The Governor tended to side with the Senate; Tuesday, he didn’t shake House Speaker Daniel Perez’s hand.

Both Senate President Ben Albritton and Perez referenced the contentious 2025 Session during their own opening speeches Tuesday, saying last year went “differently than most expected” and was “full of surprising twists and turns,” respectively. However, the two embraced twice at the beginning of the joint session prior to the Governor’s speech.

Senate Democratic Leader Lori Berman said the splintered nature of the Legislature will only delay pressing affordability issues facing Floridians. The Governor gave no concrete ideas to address affordability during his speech, she said.

Berman and other Democratic leaders are pursuing an “affordability agenda” targeting issues like property insurance and whistleblower protections.

“I think the Republicans are fractured,” she said in a news conference following the speech. “I think we see the Governor is focused on himself … and we’re focused on trying to move forward Florida and affordability, but I think that their fractures are going to result in a session that’s going to be unpredictable.”

Despite the seemingly tense nature of the Legislature, several points of DeSantis’ speech brought all Republicans in the room to their feet in applause — while a reference to recently elected New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as a “Marxist Mayor” brought a hushed wave of boos.

The floor cheered as DeSantis described his strides toward eliminating diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives in higher education. He also touted the state’s efforts to enforce laws regarding undocumented immigration, including banning sanctuary cities and the 20,000 undocumented immigrants he said the state has apprehended in the past nine months.

“Our people are safer because of these efforts,” he said.

Florida eliminated a decade-old in-state college tuition breaks for undocumented students, known as Dreamers, at the start of the last Legislative Session.

In a news conference after the speech, House Democratic Leader Fentrice Driskell criticized the Governor’s comments on immigration, made just a week after an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent in Minneapolis shot and killed U.S. citizen Renee Good.

“When you have people crying out that this isn’t what we asked for, to see ICE agents shooting American citizens dead in the street, I think we’ve gone absolutely too far,” Driskell said. “The Governor’s rhetoric doesn’t really help.”

Before ending his speech, DeSantis criticized AI developments, which he said could threaten key parts of the economy. As consumers foot the bill for the cost of power-intensive data centers, he said, the state has a responsibility to ensure new technologies develop morally and ethically.

“The technology may change, the window dressing may be different, but human nature is what it is,” he said. “An AI tool is only as good as the data that is inputted — garbage in, garbage out.”

DeSantis’ speech also contained notable omissions — including the state’s next race for Governor and its role in the U.S. Midterm Elections.

Florida’s impending gubernatorial election is set to be a contentious one. U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds is the Republican front-runner and has secured Donald Trump’s endorsement. DeSantis, meanwhile, has not yet endorsed any candidate as his successor.

Former House Speaker Paul Renner, investor James Fishback and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins have also entered the fray on the Republican side, while the Democratic front-runners are former U.S. Rep. David Jolly and Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings.

DeSantis also steered clear of discussing redistricting ahead of the Midterms. Republicans are looking to Florida as a key redistricting stronghold. The state could yield three to five additional Republican seats, a big enough number to swing control of the House. The Governor has announced a Special Session on redistricting in April, after the Regular Session ends.

Perez previously described DeSantis’ decision to delay redistricting until after the Regular Session as “irresponsible.” He said in a press conference Tuesday he doesn’t yet know whether he’ll try to push redistricting plans before April.

“It’s a conversation that we’re going to start,” he said. “If we’re able to do something during Session, great, if we do it during Special Session, great.”

Perez also said he noticed the Governor’s refusal to shake his hand. Someone stopped him after he got off the rostrum to say they’d never seen anything like the handshake snub during many decades working in the chamber, Perez said.

Regardless, he said DeSantis’ personal opinion doesn’t change the mission of the House.

“Whether the Governor wants to be petulant and not shake the hand of a partner, that’s on him,” Perez said. “It’s not going to change our direction.”

___

This story was produced by Fresh Take Florida, a news service of the University of Florida College of Journalism and Communications. The reporter can be reached at [email protected]. You can donate to support our students here.



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Evan Power to run for Congress to succeed retiring Neal Dunn

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Republican Party of Florida Chair Evan Power said he’s running for Congress.

The Tallahassee Republican said he will file on Wednesday morning to run in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District. He told Florida Politics about his plans the same day U.S. Rep. Neal Dunn announced he would retire from Congress and wouldn’t seek re-election.

The party leader noted President Donald Trump winning Florida’s electoral votes in 2024 by 13 percentage points as he touted his record of success.

“Florida became the gold standard for winning as a conservative — because we fought, we organized, and we never backed down,” Power said. “I stood with President Trump then, and I’ll stand with him in Congress to stop the radical left, secure our border, strengthen our military, grow our economy, and always put America First.”

Power first rose to Republican Party of Florida Chair in the wake of a sex scandal that prompted former state Chair Christian Ziegler’s resignation from the position. Power later won re-election to a full term.

“Washington doesn’t need more talkers — it needs fighters,” Power added. “I know how to beat the Left and I know how to deliver results. I’m running to take the Florida model to Congress and fight every day for President Trump’s America First agenda.”

He said he intends to serve out his term as RPOF Chair, which ends in January 2027.

Before that, he was long active in state GOP politics. He also serves as a Republican State Committee member for Leon County and previously served as County Chair. At the national level, Power serves on the Republican National Committee’s Rules, Election Integrity and Presidential Nomination Process committees.

The Florida State University graduate previously worked for Secretary of State Marco Rubio when he served in the Florida Legislature. He later became a lobbyist working on numerous state issues.

The district leans significantly Republican under its current makeup.

CD 2 covers parts of the Panhandle and Big Bend, including Tallahassee, Florida’s capital city. Dunn easily won re-election in 2024 over Democrat Yen Bailey with about 61.7% of the vote. More than 58.5% of voters there supported Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Kamala Harris for President, according to MCI Maps, and more than 60% of voters backed GOP U.S. Sen. Rick Scott’s re-election.

But the lines could soon shift as Florida embarks on a mid-decade redistricting effort. That could significantly impact the makeup of a seat that, as recently as 2014, was represented by moderate Democratic U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham.

Power, of course, comes with significant political connections and fundraising capacity. Under his watch, Florida Republicans have massively outraised Democrats and grown a voter registration advantage.

Meanwhile, Keith Gross, an attorney who previously challenged Scott in a GOP Primary, told The Hill that he will also file for the seat.



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NFIB ticks off top 5 list of bills that would benefit Florida businesses most

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The Florida chapter of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) is monitoring lawmakers convening for the Legislative Session in Tallahassee, as the organization is advocating for several proposed bills it says would foster small businesses.

The Florida NFIB has issued its top five proposed legislative measures, which it says would most likely benefit retailers and other entrepreneurs. Bill Herrle, NFIB Florida Executive Director, said there are many proposed measures that could help ease what he calls heavy-handed regulation that hurts small business owners.

“This Legislative Session, Florida’s small business owners have identified several pieces of legislation that would lessen the regulatory burdens on small businesses and further improve the business climate,” Herrle said. “Florida is a great state to run and operate a small business, and our members are looking forward to the Legislature advancing more pro-small business policies during the Session.”

A significant bill could repeal some local taxes on businesses. The measure (SB 122) sponsored by Sen. Keith Truenow, a Tavares Republican, amends the term “merchant’ that would prohibit some municipalities from revising tax rates, and it would “repeal local gross receipts business taxes except for those already enacted,” the NFIB news release said.

A bill that could ease some regulations is a measure sponsored by Sen. Stan McClain, an Ocala Republican, that would reduce requirements for businesses to post notices of employment with employment agencies and labor organizations. The proposal (SB 1698) provides an alternative to posting job-related notices online rather than solely in hard copy.

Meanwhile, a House bill (HB 191) sponsored by Rep. Shane Abbott, a DeFuniak Springs Republican, looks to modify circumstances and criteria for reemployment assistance. The measure would increase the verification criteria for reemployment assistance and establish an employer hotline to report reemployment assistance fraud.

NFIB officials are also backing a proposed House measure (HB 221) sponsored by Rep. Ryan Chamberlain, an Ocala Republican, that would ease the minimum wage requirements for new hires. That would allow employers a nine-month voluntary waiver of the state minimum wage while new employees are being trained.

And the NFIB is endorsing a Senate bill (SB 240) that would end required auxiliary non-recyclable containers for businesses. The measure is sponsored by Sen. Ileana Garcia, a Miami Republican.

“NFIB supports legislation that preempts the regulation of single-use containers to the state,” the NFIB news release said.



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