Connect with us

Business

Ray Dalio warns AI is in the early stages of a bubble

Published

on



The artificial intelligence boom is no longer just a growth story, as one of Wall Street’s most prolific investors is sounding the alarm about how the tune could shift in 2026.

U.S. stocks surged last year, with the S&P 500 rising 16%, the third consecutive year of significant gains. Soaring technology stocks fueled much of that rise, powered by ongoing optimism about the future of AI. But this year, investors should brace for the possibility outperforming shares will collide with reality, billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio warned on Monday.

“Obviously the AI boom that is now in the early stages of a bubble had a big effect on everything,” Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, wrote in a 2025 retrospective on X.

While markets eventually posted a strong year, 2025 was not consistently a smooth ride for investors. In addition to market dips generated by the Trump administration’s tariff rollout, stocks were particularly sensitive to any warning signs from the AI camp. In August, the tech-heavy Nasdaq index fell 1.4% in a single morning after OpenAI CEO Sam Altman himself admitted an AI bubble was a possibility, and that investors as a whole might be “overexcited about AI.”

Much of the concern about an AI bubble has been focused on the technology’s rate of adoption, with one MIT study last year finding 95% of generative AI pilots at companies had so far failed to turn a profit. In a November interview with CNBC, Dalio did not deny the potentially transformative effects of AI, but maintained the currently soaring valuations of tech darlings could face a correction before companies figure out how to fully integrate AI. 

In that interview, Dalio claimed he viewed the AI bubble as being at “about 80%” of the euphoria leading up to the 1929 stock market crash or the 2000 dot-com bubble.

In his X post on Monday, Dalio pointed to ongoing questions about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance as big unknowns in 2026. With Fed chair Jerome Powell’s term expiring in May, President Donald Trump has stated his pick for Powell’s successor will be “someone who believes in lower interest rates, by a lot.” Dalio wrote the central bank’s “most likely” dovish stance in 2026 could continue propping up share prices and further inflate the AI bubble.

In his guidance for 2026, Dalio emphasized diversity as key, pointing out how gold ended 2025 as the “best performing major market.” The commodity, widely seen as a safe-haven asset for investors ahead of possible market corrections, posted stellar returns last year, breaking records alongside other precious metals including silver and platinum. Dalio noted how gold outperformed the S&P index by 47% last year, undercutting some of the perceived gains of the U.S. stock market.

Another factor Dalio emphasized was a weakened dollar in 2025. In one of its worst performances in years, the U.S. dollar declined 10% on the back of interest-rate cuts and uncertainty over trade policy. Dalio wrote an underperforming dollar could obscure some underlying weaknesses in markets.

“When one’s own currency goes down, it makes it look like the things measured in it went up. In other words, looking at the investment returns through the lens of a weak currency makes them look stronger than they really are,” he wrote.

Dalio pointed to various overseas stock markets that outperformed the U.S. through this lens, including Europe, China, the U.K. and Japan. Emerging markets posted the strongest returns last year, with the MSCI benchmark index rising 33%, double the S&P 500’s return. This is part of a larger trend of a shifting outlook in global capital, Dalio continued, which is no longer gravitationally bound to the U.S.

“There were big shifts in flows, values, and, in turn, wealth away from the U.S., and what is happening will probably lead to more rebalancing and diversifying,” he wrote.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Wife of Renee Good, the Minnesota woman killed in ICE shooting: ‘We had whistles. They had guns’

Published

on



The wife of Renee Good, the woman shot and killed in her car by a federal immigration agent in Minneapolis, says the couple had stopped to support their neighbors on the day of the shooting and described the mother of three as leaving a legacy of kindness.

“We had whistles. They had guns,” Becca Good said in a written statement Friday that was provided to Minnesota Public Radio.

The statement was her first public comment about the death of Renee Good, 37, who was killed Wednesday after three Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers surrounded her Honda Pilot SUV on a snowy street a few blocks from the couple’s home. Video taken by bystanders show an officer approaching the SUV stopped across the middle of the road, demanding the driver open the door and grabbing the handle.

The vehicle begins to pull forward and a different ICE officer standing in front of it pulls his weapon and immediately fires at least two shots at close range, jumping back as the vehicle moves toward him.

Trump administration officials have painted Renee Good as a domestic terrorist who tried to run over an officer with her vehicle. State and local officials in Minneapolis, as well as protesters, have rejected that characterization.

Becca Good has not responded to calls and messages from The Associated Press. Her statement provided no further detail about the day of the shooting and instead focused on memorializing her wife.

The couple had only recently moved to Minneapolis and were raising Renee Good’s 6-year-old son from a previous marriage.

Becca said Renee was a Christian who “knew that all religions teach the same essential truth: we are here to love each other, care for each other, and keep each other safe and whole.”

She thanked the people all across America and the world who had reached out in support of their family.

“Renee sparkled. She literally sparkled,” Becca Good wrote. “I mean, she didn’t wear glitter but I swear she had sparkles coming out of her pores. All the time. You might think it was just my love talking but her family said the same thing. Renee was made of sunshine.”

Far from the worst-of-the-worst criminals President Donald Trump said his immigration crackdown would target, Good was a U.S. citizen born in Colorado who apparently was never charged with anything beyond a single traffic ticket.

In social media accounts, she described herself as a “poet and writer and wife and mom.” She said she was currently “experiencing Minneapolis,” displaying a pride emoji on her Instagram account. A profile picture posted to Pinterest shows her smiling and holding a young child against her cheek, along with posts about tattoos, hairstyles and home decorating.

Her ex-husband, who asked not to be named out of concern for the safety of the two now-teenage children he had with Renee Good while they were married, told the AP on Wednesday that he had never known her to participate in a protest of any kind.

Becca Good said the couple, who had previously lived in Kansas City, Missouri, had settled in Minneapolis after an “extended road trip.” She said people they encountered in the Twin Cities had provided a strong sense that “they were looking out for each other.”

“We were raising our son to believe that no matter where you come from or what you look like, all of us deserve compassion and kindness,” Becca wrote. “I am now left to raise our son and to continue teaching him, as Renee believed, that there are people building a better world for him. That the people who did this had fear and anger in their hearts, and we need to show them a better way.”



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Bessent’s visit to Minnesota comes with more vows to crack down on fraud as tensions flare with state, Somalia government

Published

on



The Treasury Department is taking a closer look at financial transactions between Minnesotan residents and businesses and Somalia as the federal government ramps up its immigration crackdown in the state, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters on Friday during a visit to the state.

Bessent said his agency has launched a series of actions to combat fraud in the state and has launched investigations into four businesses that people use to wire money to family members abroad to do more to scrutinize transactions. He did not name the businesses.

His visit to the state coincides with protests in Minneapolis after an Immigration and Customs Enforcement officer fatally shot a woman in a residential neighborhood south of downtown on Wednesday, leading to a clash between federal and local leaders.

President Donald Trump has targeted the Somali diaspora in the Democratic-led state with immigration enforcement actions and has made a series of disparaging comments about the community, directing Bessent to uncover more fraud. The Treasury first announced last month that it would begin targeting money service businesses, focusing on remittances to Somalia.

The department’s actions have been prompted in part by a series of fraud cases, including a nonprofit called Feeding Our Future accused of stealing coronavirus pandemic aid meant for school meals. Prosecutors have put the losses from that case at $300 million.

Gov. Tim Walz, before he ended his bid to serve a third term this week, said that fraud will not be tolerated in Minnesota and that his administration “will continue to work with federal partners to ensure fraud is stopped and fraudsters are caught.” Walz, who came under heavy criticism from Republicans who said his administration should have caught the Feeding Our Future fraud earlier, said he was “furious” with “criminals that preyed on the system that was meant to feed children.”

The founder of Feeding our Future, Aimee Bock, was charged with multiple counts involving conspiracy, wire fraud and bribery and was convicted in March while maintaining her innocence.

Bessent declined to comment on specific investigations but said he had met with several financial institutions on Friday to ask them to do more to prevent fraud. The department has not disclosed which institutions Bessent spoke with.

Key Treasury actions include Financial Crimes Enforcement Network investigations into Minnesota-based money services businesses, enhanced transaction reporting requirements for international transfers from Hennepin and Ramsey counties, and alerts to financial institutions on identifying fraud tied to child nutrition programs.

“Treasury will deploy all tools to bring an end to this egregious unchecked fraud and hold perpetrators to account,” Bessent told reporters on Friday.

Bessent’s announcement was met with some criticism. Nicholas Anthony, a policy analyst at the libertarian Cato Institute, said Bessent is “building a legacy of financial surveillance and control.”

“The announcement that he is stopping Americans from sending their money abroad and increasing surveillance under the Bank Secrecy Act should be condemned,” Anthony said.

Some Somali leaders said last month they had received anecdotal reports about community members being detained by federal agents but had no details. Those leaders and allies including Walz and Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey have vowed to protect the community.

During a speech on Thursday about the Republican Trump administration’s economic agenda at the Economic Club of Minnesota, Bessent referred to the alleged fraud, without mentioning the Somali community that his department is targeting.

“I am here this week to signal the U.S. Treasury’s unwavering commitment to recovering stolen funds, prosecuting fraudulent criminals, preventing scandals like this from ever happening again, and investigating similar schemes state by state,” Bessent said.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Telluride Ski Resort begins to reopen after striking ski patrollers accept a contract

Published

on



Telluride Ski Resort in southwestern Colorado began to reopen Friday after a vote by striking ski patrollers to accept a contract and return to work.

The resort shut down Dec. 27 after the Telluride Professional Ski Patrol Association rejected a company pay proposal. The resort remained closed except for beginner carpets and a lift serving two beginner runs that were staffed this week by managers and temporary ski patrollers.

With help from artificial snowmaking and a foot (30 centimeters) of recent snowfall, more lifts and runs will open starting this weekend, resort officials said in a statement.

“We are confident that this last offer represented a fair compromise,” resort representative Steve Swenson said in the statement.

Neither the resort nor the ski patrol union divulged details of the deal endorsed by the union with a Thursday vote. Negotiations had been ongoing since June.

The union sought pay increases from $21 to $28 an hour for new patrollers and from as little as $30 to almost $50 for the most experienced ones.

“While we are ultimately very disappointed to not address our broken wage structure, we are immensely proud of our efforts that have led to this financial movement. We are even prouder of the recognition and implementation of our supervisors into the unit,” read a union statement on social media Thursday.

Ski patrollers elsewhere in the Rocky Mountain region have been unionizing. Some argue for more pay on the grounds that the cost of living in ski towns is high and that they are responsible for safety.

Patroller duties include attending to injured skiers and the controlled release of avalanches with explosives when nobody is in range.

An almost two-week ski patrol strike a year ago closed many runs and caused long lift lines at Utah’s Park City Mountain Resort. That strike ended when Colorado-based Vail Resorts acceded to demands including a $2-an-hour base pay increase and raises for senior ski patrollers.

Join us at the Fortune Workplace Innovation Summit May 19–20, 2026, in Atlanta. The next era of workplace innovation is here—and the old playbook is being rewritten. At this exclusive, high-energy event, the world’s most innovative leaders will convene to explore how AI, humanity, and strategy converge to redefine, again, the future of work. Register now.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © Miami Select.