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NFL Sunday Night Football Picks: Packers at Steelers

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Packers Steelers SNF

NFL Week 8 Sunday Night Preview/Pick: Packers @ Steelers

Green Bay Packers (4-1-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2)
Green Bay Road: (1-1-1) ~ Pittsburgh Home: (2-1)
GB offense: (#14) – (118R)/(226P) vs. Pitt defense: (#28) – (116R)/(31P)
Pitt offense: (#25) – (95R)/(203P) vs. GB defense: (#6) – (77R)/(212P)
Vegas Odds: Green Bay Packers (-3) ~ Total: (45 ½)

Rodgers Faces Old Team in Sunday Night Showdown

I guess if you play long enough and for a few teams, you can have the chance to pull off the 32-sweep. Rodgers, with a win here, will have beaten all 32 teams in the NFL — a very rare feat. As if facing his ex-team for the first time ever isn’t a big enough deal, it won’t hurt either that the Steelers are breaking out their throwback jerseys for this one.

Both Teams Have Winning Records but Big Flaws Too

First, the Packers — who haven’t been that good in any of their three road games this season — have just one win by only four points. They don’t have a top-10 offense or defense, but there’s a major gap between them and the Steelers defense that ranks (#28) overall and second-worst against the pass, just one yard better than the bottom-feeding Dallas defense.

The Packers offense still hasn’t found its full footing yet, but the offensive line looks solid (Love has been sacked only 10 times), and RB Jacobs has two touchdowns in three straight games. That should start to open up the passing game more, and Love must be salivating to face the second-worst pass defense. The Packers are (#1) in yards per pass attempt (5.82), their best since 2020.

Packers QB Love has been smart with the football too — only two interceptions all season. In fact, they’ve had three games with zero turnovers and the other three with just one.

The Steelers offense, meanwhile, has struggled to get good run blocking. Their backs are averaging just 95 rushing yards per game — one of only seven teams under 100. Steelers QB Rodgers ranks dead last in passing yards among all non-backup QBs this year. How bad has the run game been? The longest rush all season is only 15 yards.

Their top WR Metcalf has just 22 receptions, while three other teams’ top receivers have 50 or more. That’s staggering.

Will Ball Control Decide This Matchup Sunday Night?

It’s been a tale of one really good and one really bad offense so far. The Packers have won the time of possession battle in four of their six games, while the Steelers have done it in only one. Pittsburgh is also being crushed in total plays (394-318), putting the defense in tough spots — leading to tired legs and poor coverage against the pass.

Matchups to Watch Closely for This Prime Game of the Week

A few weeks ago, the Packers faced the surprisingly loaded Browns defense, and LT B. Jones was perfect against possibly the best pass rusher in the league, Browns DE M. Garrett. The past three weeks, the Packers offensive line has allowed QB Love to be sacked only three times.

The one thing the Steelers defense does well is rush the passer — they have 22 sacks, third-most in the league. They must get to Love and disrupt his rhythm to keep an extra defender in the box to slow down RB Jacobs.

When the Steelers have the ball on offense, they must find a way to slow down a Packers front seven that ranks third in the league in pressures. Superstar M. Parsons has finally found his stride after a disrupted offseason. Last week, Parsons had three sacks and 10 pressures.

Steelers QB Rodgers must continue to get the ball out quickly — he’s been one of the best at doing so, which is why he’s been sacked only nine times (5th fewest). The Packers, however, need to start forcing turnovers, as they’ve only managed one over the past three weeks.

Top Trends of the Week for This Sunday Night Affair

(1) Pitt Steelers: (19-10) on 9 days of rest under HC Tomlin
(2) Pitt Steelers: (24-8) wearing their alternate jerseys
(3) Pitt Steelers: (56-20) at home on Sunday Night games
(4) Pitt Steelers HC Tomlin: (21-7-3) as a home dog
(5) Pitt Steelers: (8-1) ATS last 9 games as home dog off road loss
(6) Green Bay Packers: (0-4) ATS last 4 games this season
(7) Sunday Night Totals: (2 overs) – (5 unders)
(8) Sunday Night Dogs Barking: Dogs cashed 7 of the last 8 games
(9) Green Bay Packers HC LaFleur: (20-10) last 30 vs. AFC teams

Final Pass

Ok, well, this is a very tough matchup, but I simply can’t side with this Steelers defense. They’re third-worst at covering tight ends and sixth-worst against wide receivers. The Packers offensive line has a solid pass block win rate (67%), and they’re cashing in at a rock-solid 71% in the red zone.

Facing the second-worst pass defense, combined with the Packers’ D-line dominance and Parsons’ hot streak, I just don’t think the Steelers have the playmakers to pull this out.

Packers by 7!

@GARYGREENEWINS @GARYWINS.COM for all his NFL stats pages.





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Lane Kiffin must choose between Florida and Ole Miss

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Lane Kiffin’s 31–24 win over Florida Saturday night kept Ole Miss alive in the SEC title race and the College Football Playoff hunt. But the real story? Where will Kiffin coach next season—Oxford or Gainesville? LSU is not in the mix. According to reports from a number of media outlets including USA Today, ESPN, and CBS Sports, Kiffin’s focus is squarely on Ole Miss and Florida.

Sports Talk Florida

Kiffin’s Career-Defining Decision

Lane Kiffin reportedly views this next move as his final stop. Whether he stays at Ole Miss or takes the Florida job, he wants full control, long-term security, and a shot at a national championship. He’s inspired by Urban Meyer and Steve Spurrier, both of whom won titles at Florida with full autonomy.

Florida’s Pitch vs. Ole Miss’ Loyalty

Florida offers:

  • Elite facilities
  • Fertile recruiting ground
  • A massive salary package (reportedly $10M+)

Ole Miss counters with:

  • A top-10 salary ($9M)
  • Strong administrative support
  • A loyal fan base and winning culture

Sources from the Gainesville Sun, Florida Times-Union, and Clarion Ledger confirm both schools are actively pursuing Kiffin.

Lane Kiffin Represented By Jimmy Sexton: Leverage and SEC Loyalty

Kiffin’s agent, Jimmy Sexton, is reportedly in touch with both programs. Ole Miss has already placed a new offer on Kiffin’s desk. Either way, Sexton will ensure Lane Kiffin gets everything he wants.

Kiffin wants to stay in the SEC and compete for national titles. Florida may be hard to turn down, but Ole Miss has been good to him. The decision will shape the SEC for years to come.





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Major League Soccer Has A Vancouver Stadium Issue

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MLS Commissioner Don Garber

Does Major League Soccer Have a Vancouver Problem?

Does the MLS have a Vancouver problem? Increasingly, the answer appears to be yes.

The Vancouver Whitecaps ownership group’s lease with PayCo, a British Columbia provincial Crown corporation, expires at the end of December, and Major League Soccer Commissioner Don Garber is publicly pressuring PayCo to improve the terms. According to Garber, the Whitecaps’ owners are not getting anywhere near the stadium revenue needed to operate competitively or sustainably in today’s MLS landscape.

Garber did not mince words. “The club isn’t sustainable in a situation where they’re in a building which they have no control over, they have minimal participation with revenue. The biggest issue is the lack of schedule flexibility,” he said. The Whitecaps are missing out on essential revenue from concessions, and the team regularly loses access to needed dates because of other events. In 2024, an MLS playoff game that was slated to be played in Vancouver had to be moved entirely because the venue was already booked—forcing the Vancouver-Portland matchup to be relocated to Portland.


Ownership Pressures and Stadium Challenges

PayCo responded by insisting they want to keep Whitecaps games in the stadium, issuing a statement describing “productive discussions” with club ownership. But the story behind the scenes is more complicated. The Whitecaps ownership quietly put the franchise up for sale nearly a year ago, signaling deeper concerns about long-term stability. At the same time, the ownership group began speaking with Vancouver city officials about the possibility of constructing a soccer-specific stadium—something MLS has favored for decades.

BC Place, Vancouver’s existing stadium, seats 55,000 people and is 42 years old. It is currently undergoing yet another renovation, in part because the venue will host seven FIFA Men’s World Cup games in 2026. Since FIFA does not choose outdated or poorly maintained venues for its marquee events, the upgrades are substantial. A new “premium hospitality” area is expected to generate a fresh revenue stream, raising questions about whether improved financial terms might now be possible for the Whitecaps.


Garber’s Mission: Better Venues and Better Deals

A commissioner’s job is to advocate for stronger venues and better lease agreements for every franchise, and Garber has made that clear in Vancouver’s case. With MLS growing rapidly and club valuations climbing, teams need full access to stadium revenues to keep pace. Whether that happens at BC Place—or in a new stadium altogether—may determine the future of the Whitecaps in Vancouver.

Evan Weiner’s books are available at iTunes – https://books.apple.com/us/author/evan-weiner/id595575191

Evan can be reached at evan_weiner@hotmail.com

BC Place





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Tagliabue Was A Success As NFL Commissioner

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ESPN Makes News with NFL deal along with new streaming app coning soon

The Tenure of Paul Tagliabue Defined by Stability, Strategy, and Big Money

Paul Tagliabue did what needed to be done to be a successful sports league commissioner. Tagliabue, who recently passed away at the age of 84, stepped into one of the most challenging roles in American sports when he replaced the legendary Pete Rozelle. Following Rozelle was no easy act, but Tagliabue understood the essential truth of the job: make the owners money, protect the league’s interests, and keep the machine running smoothly. By that metric—and many others—Tagliabue excelled.

One of the biggest turning points of his tenure came in 1993, when Rupert Murdoch’s FOX network was struggling to stay alive and searching desperately for a programming identity. Murdoch needed a major sports property to legitimize his young network, and he shocked the industry by outbidding CBS for the National Football Conference television package. Murdoch made a massive gamble. Tagliabue took the money, and the NFL walked away with a financial windfall. FOX, in turn, took over a series of CBS affiliates and reshaped American television, giving those stations shows like The Simpsons and Married With Children while CBS lost 60 Minutes in several major markets.


Labor Peace and Legal Battles Shaped the League’s Growth

Tagliabue’s relationship with the National Football League Players Association Executive Director Gene Upshaw also became a defining factor of his era. While the two never publicly detailed the mechanics of their working relationship, it was clear they had an understanding that benefitted both sides. The NFL enjoyed unprecedented labor peace, despite a series of complex legal rulings—most notably a court-ordered form of free agency—that changed the business structure of the league. Instead of chaos, the NFL kept moving forward, stabilizing its economic structure and keeping players and owners aligned enough to avoid major disruptions.


Expansion, Relocation, and an Evolving NFL Landscape

The 1990s also became an era of franchise movement and expansion under Tagliabue. In 1995, Al Davis took the Los Angeles Raiders franchise back to Oakland. That same year, Georgia Frontiere moved her Los Angeles Rams to St. Louis. Not long after, Art Modell uprooted the Cleveland Browns franchise for Baltimore in 1996. In 1997, Bud Adams relocated the Houston Oilers to Tennessee.

The moves triggered political battles as well. The city of Cleveland sued the NFL, ultimately forcing the league to promise a return to the city—leading to a 1999 expansion team. Earlier in the decade, the league added franchises in Charlotte and Jacksonville, continuing its push into new markets.

By 1999, the NFL sought a 32nd team and hoped desperately to reenter Los Angeles. With no stadium deal available, the league instead awarded the franchise to Houston.


A Commissioner Who Delivered

Tagliabue retired in 2006, leaving behind a league richer, more stable, and more nationally dominant than when he arrived. Above all else, he made the NFL owners money—and in their eyes, that made him a success.

Evan Weiner’s books are available at iTunes – https://books.apple.com/us/author/evan-weiner/id595575191

Evan can be reached at evan_weiner@hotmail.com

Paul Tagliabue





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