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NFL Sunday Night Football Picks: Packers at Steelers

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Packers Steelers SNF

NFL Week 8 Sunday Night Preview/Pick: Packers @ Steelers

Green Bay Packers (4-1-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2)
Green Bay Road: (1-1-1) ~ Pittsburgh Home: (2-1)
GB offense: (#14) – (118R)/(226P) vs. Pitt defense: (#28) – (116R)/(31P)
Pitt offense: (#25) – (95R)/(203P) vs. GB defense: (#6) – (77R)/(212P)
Vegas Odds: Green Bay Packers (-3) ~ Total: (45 ½)

Rodgers Faces Old Team in Sunday Night Showdown

I guess if you play long enough and for a few teams, you can have the chance to pull off the 32-sweep. Rodgers, with a win here, will have beaten all 32 teams in the NFL — a very rare feat. As if facing his ex-team for the first time ever isn’t a big enough deal, it won’t hurt either that the Steelers are breaking out their throwback jerseys for this one.

Both Teams Have Winning Records but Big Flaws Too

First, the Packers — who haven’t been that good in any of their three road games this season — have just one win by only four points. They don’t have a top-10 offense or defense, but there’s a major gap between them and the Steelers defense that ranks (#28) overall and second-worst against the pass, just one yard better than the bottom-feeding Dallas defense.

The Packers offense still hasn’t found its full footing yet, but the offensive line looks solid (Love has been sacked only 10 times), and RB Jacobs has two touchdowns in three straight games. That should start to open up the passing game more, and Love must be salivating to face the second-worst pass defense. The Packers are (#1) in yards per pass attempt (5.82), their best since 2020.

Packers QB Love has been smart with the football too — only two interceptions all season. In fact, they’ve had three games with zero turnovers and the other three with just one.

The Steelers offense, meanwhile, has struggled to get good run blocking. Their backs are averaging just 95 rushing yards per game — one of only seven teams under 100. Steelers QB Rodgers ranks dead last in passing yards among all non-backup QBs this year. How bad has the run game been? The longest rush all season is only 15 yards.

Their top WR Metcalf has just 22 receptions, while three other teams’ top receivers have 50 or more. That’s staggering.

Will Ball Control Decide This Matchup Sunday Night?

It’s been a tale of one really good and one really bad offense so far. The Packers have won the time of possession battle in four of their six games, while the Steelers have done it in only one. Pittsburgh is also being crushed in total plays (394-318), putting the defense in tough spots — leading to tired legs and poor coverage against the pass.

Matchups to Watch Closely for This Prime Game of the Week

A few weeks ago, the Packers faced the surprisingly loaded Browns defense, and LT B. Jones was perfect against possibly the best pass rusher in the league, Browns DE M. Garrett. The past three weeks, the Packers offensive line has allowed QB Love to be sacked only three times.

The one thing the Steelers defense does well is rush the passer — they have 22 sacks, third-most in the league. They must get to Love and disrupt his rhythm to keep an extra defender in the box to slow down RB Jacobs.

When the Steelers have the ball on offense, they must find a way to slow down a Packers front seven that ranks third in the league in pressures. Superstar M. Parsons has finally found his stride after a disrupted offseason. Last week, Parsons had three sacks and 10 pressures.

Steelers QB Rodgers must continue to get the ball out quickly — he’s been one of the best at doing so, which is why he’s been sacked only nine times (5th fewest). The Packers, however, need to start forcing turnovers, as they’ve only managed one over the past three weeks.

Top Trends of the Week for This Sunday Night Affair

(1) Pitt Steelers: (19-10) on 9 days of rest under HC Tomlin
(2) Pitt Steelers: (24-8) wearing their alternate jerseys
(3) Pitt Steelers: (56-20) at home on Sunday Night games
(4) Pitt Steelers HC Tomlin: (21-7-3) as a home dog
(5) Pitt Steelers: (8-1) ATS last 9 games as home dog off road loss
(6) Green Bay Packers: (0-4) ATS last 4 games this season
(7) Sunday Night Totals: (2 overs) – (5 unders)
(8) Sunday Night Dogs Barking: Dogs cashed 7 of the last 8 games
(9) Green Bay Packers HC LaFleur: (20-10) last 30 vs. AFC teams

Final Pass

Ok, well, this is a very tough matchup, but I simply can’t side with this Steelers defense. They’re third-worst at covering tight ends and sixth-worst against wide receivers. The Packers offensive line has a solid pass block win rate (67%), and they’re cashing in at a rock-solid 71% in the red zone.

Facing the second-worst pass defense, combined with the Packers’ D-line dominance and Parsons’ hot streak, I just don’t think the Steelers have the playmakers to pull this out.

Packers by 7!

@GARYGREENEWINS @GARYWINS.COM for all his NFL stats pages.





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Cure Bowl – USF faces ODU

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The Bulls charge into Conference Play rested and ready for the Friday night lights.

South Florida (9-3; 6-2 American) faces Old Dominion (9-3; 6-2 Sun Belt) in the StaffDNA Cure Bowl on Dec. 17 at Camping World Stadium, Orlando. The Bulls pursue a third straight bowl win and a historic 10-win season.

MUST READ USF – SPORTS TALK FLORIDA

South Florida (9-3; 6-2 American) will look to capture a third straight bowl victory for just the second time in program history when it faces Old Dominion (9-3; 6-2 Sun Belt) in the StaffDNA Cure Bowl on December 17 at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida. The game, presented by Coca-Cola, will kick off at 5 p.m. and air nationally on ESPN.

Cure Bowl Supports Cancer Research

The Cure Bowl is more than just football—it’s a fundraising event hosted by the Orlando Sports Foundation to support cancer research. Since its inception in 2015, the event has raised over $6.35 million for the cause. Tickets start at $25 plus fees, and fans are encouraged to secure seats for this meaningful matchup.

Bulls Nation Ready for Orlando

USF Athletics CEO Rob Higgins emphasized the importance of the game:
“The Cure Bowl supports a tremendous cause that we are excited to champion, and we look forward to our Bulls taking on a very talented Old Dominion team on Dec. 17. It’s a short drive for Bulls Nation to Camping World Stadium, and I look forward to a great turnout in Green and Gold as we pursue a third straight bowl win for just the second time in program history.”

Program Milestones for South Florida

This marks South Florida’s 13th bowl appearance, tied for the third-most in the first 25 seasons of bowl eligibility. The Bulls’ 8-4 bowl record ranks fourth nationally in winning percentage among programs with 10 or more appearances. Interim Head Coach Kevin Patrick noted the team’s focus on finishing strong and chasing a rare 10-win season.

Pursuit of a 10-Win Season

The Bulls aim to reach 10 wins for only the third time in program history, last achieved in 2017. They also seek a third consecutive bowl win, following victories in the 2023 Boca Bowl (45-0 vs. Syracuse) and 2024 Hawaii Bowl (41-39 in 5OT vs. San Jose State). The only other three-bowl streak came between 2008–2010.

Old Dominion’s Strong Season

Old Dominion enters the Cure Bowl with a 9-3 record, finishing second in the Sun Belt East Division. The Monarchs closed the regular season with five straight wins, including victories over Virginia Tech, Liberty, and Coastal Carolina. They boast the nation’s No. 7 rushing offense (236.9 ypg), No. 16 total offense (460.8 ypg), and No. 20 scoring defense (19.3 ppg).

Cure Bowl Legacy

Now in its 11th season, the Cure Bowl has become a staple of postseason college football. Last year, Ohio defeated Jacksonville State, while Tulane remains the only American Conference team to win the Cure Bowl (2018).

USF Offensive Firepower

South Florida’s offense ranks No. 2 nationally in total yards (501.7 per game) and No. 4 in scoring (43.0 points per game). The Bulls set a program record with five games scoring 50+ points this season. Eleven players earned all-conference honors, including First Team selections Mac Harris and De’Shawn Rucker.

Looking Ahead

USF will formally introduce Brian Hartline as the seventh head coach in program history on December 8 at the Sam and Martha Gibbons Alumni Center in Tampa. The event is open to the public and marks a new era for Bulls football.





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Matt Campbell set to take over in Happy Valley

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college championship weekend The 2025 college football season kicks off with one of the most electrifying Week 1 slates in recent memory. With playoff contenders

By: Matthew Weatherby

White smoke has risen from the Nittany Lion atop Beaver Stadium. Penn State has its new Head Coach in Matt Campbell. It was 54 long days since the Nittany Lions fired now Virginia Tech Head Coach James Franklin. They got turned down, people paid, and honestly publicly humiliated throughout the process. Now Campbell from Iowa State is set to take over in Happy Valley. Hoping to calm the mobs coming for Pat Kraft and his job.

This report came a few minutes ago from ESPN’s Pete Thamel, who said Penn State was finalizing a deal for Matt Campbell to become the head coach.

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Get to Know Matt Campbell

Penn State has finally found its guy, and funny enough, it is a similar route they took when they hired James Franklin in 2014. Franklin’s pedigree was that of a guy who appeared to do more with less. He was the most successful Vanderbilt Head coach until Clark Lea.

Campbell is the same. He won at his first stop, being Toledo’s Head Coach, where he went 35-15, good for a .700 winning percentage. Since he took the job at Iowa State, he has enjoyed some similar success, going 72-55 from 2016-25.

Now to the doing more with less portion. Over the 11 recruiting classes that he brought in at Iowa State, the average ranking was 55.8 in the national standings. Not exactly that of a top-tier program. He has developed that talent, however, with guys like Brock Purdy and Breece Hall being stars in the NFL now.

He also won Coach of the Year 3 times in the BIG 12, receiving the award in 2017, ’18, and ’20. Campbell was also the 2015 MAC Coach of the Year.

With the influx of cash I expect Campbell to receive, in terms of NIL money for the roster, it is not unreasonable to think of this as a great hire. With his coaching pedigree, you would expect the results he was able to give at Iowa State to only be magnified with a bigger brand and budget at Penn State.

What Campbell means for Penn State

It means that Pat Kraft might actually be able to sleep peacefully tonight. He has been contacting seemingly everyone, trying to get them to come to Happy Valley. None of those came to fruition; instead, he was getting them paid at the places they were already employed.

Here, the question that reigns supreme: will it be enough?

This search was an unmitigated disaster, from the inability to get anyone to take their money, all of the negative press, and the rumors of Jimmy Sexton freezing Penn State out for the way they handled Franklin. It could not have been worse for Penn State. You pair that with a group of Paterno people who wanted Terry Smith to be the Head Coach. I wonder if this hire is enough to calm the waters in Happy Valley.

One thing I do know for sure is that winning cures all. Matt Campbell might just be the guy to save Pat Kraft.





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Let ’em Run expands coverage to more tracks

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Capital Sports Network will be your home for Let ’em Run Happy Hour

Let ’em Run is breaking down races at some new venues, and we will continue to expand our horizons with a variety of tracks, as we listen to what our viewers and readers have to say.

We are breaking down interesting races at Laurel Park and Turfway Park (a little nighttime action) that will be run on Saturday. Then we turn our attention to Aqueduct on Saturday, where there is The Remsen Gr2, a Kentucky Derby prep, and the signature race…The Cigar Mile.

Saturday Roundup Reminder

Be sure to tune into the Saturday “Let ’em Run Roundup” at 12:30 where we will bring even more insight after any scratches and other changes. So catch us this weekend on multiple streaming apps and social channels!!


Saturday 12/6 — Laurel Park

Race 6 — 2:23 EST — The Maryland Juvenile — 125K — 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
Some talented 2 y.o.’s line up for this race, at the always tricky distance for young runners at 7 furlongs. I am going to lean on #3 Sometime 9-2. Was ambitiously placed in the Iroquois against some of the best milers in the division. Breeding out of Take Charge Indy, who came in 1st at The Florida Derby and The Clark Handicap, so the talent is there. The #4 Biker Bailey 4-1 came out of a Md 20k, but took over the field and posted a 70 BSF. Could go to the front and not look back.
Bet = $10 Ex Box 3,4 = $20


Saturday 12/6 — Turfway Park

Race 7 — 8:55 EST — The Boone County — 125K — 1 ¼ (Synthetic)
Big field to choose from gives us plenty of options and value to boot. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz hops aboard #10 Swift Delivery 5-1, 1 of 2 Mark Casse entrants. A failed turf experiment, in between two Gr3 races on synthetic, make this horse the one to beat. Tough post, but De La Cruz can work out a trip and close on the field. The #1 Funtastic Again 5-1, is the horse for course and surface. Has ran in a steady diet of 6 Graded races last 6x, and now gets relief and a good post to go to the front. Jockey Gerado Corrales is very familiar with this runner.


Saturday 12/6 — Aqueduct (Races 7–11)

Race 7 — 2:11 EST — Alw 88K N1X — 1 Mile (Dirt)

Nice start to the late P5 for Let ’em Run, with a big field of 12 runners. Hard to look past #6 Life and Times 8-5. As a student of pace figures, this runner has an early pace figure of 142!! Out of Justify, and 2nd time out runners for that sire often improve…scary. Likely to have some company up front, but just too fast.
Bet = P5 = 6 / All / All / 6 / 2 = $78 (based on current entries)

Race 8 — 2:39 EST — The NY Stallion Series — 500K (Fillies) — 7 Furlongs (Dirt)

Another full field of 2 y.o. fillies running at 7 furlongs. Going with #12 Daniella Marie 6-1, the entry for the “other Chad”… trainer Chad Summers, who is heating up and excellent with 2.y.o’s. Jockey Kendrick Caramouche stays on, and never really asked her in last, when she won by 9 ¼ lengths. Likely post time fave #10 Hot Currency 7-2, looking to improve with stud jockey Flavian Prat retaining the mount.

Race 9 — 3:08 EST — The Remsen Gr2 — 250K — 1 ⅛ (Dirt)

Kentucky Derby prep race, with 12 runners ready to go. The #11 Talkin 5-1 for trainer Danny Gargan is my top choice. Gargan is looking to hit the Derby trail again with a good one here, out of top Sire Good Magic. Runner beat Further Ado in Maiden, and that runner is labeled as a Derby favorite, so why not this guy. Jockey Kendrick Caramouche has options from a tough post, with interesting Brisnet early and late pace figures both high, and nearly the same (early 106 / late 102). Once again the Flavian Prat runner #2 Paladin 3-1 will get much deserved attention.

Race 10 — 3:37 EST — The Cigar Mile Gr2 — 500K — 1 Mile (Dirt)

Really can’t see anyone beating the fast and talented #6 Phileas Fogg 8-5. Two new wrinkles; with blinkers going on and jockey Joel Rosario taking the mount. Trainer Rodriguez Gustavo gave him a break pointing to this race, and said “it’s showtime“; when asked how he was doing!!

Two notes per Brisnet, lone E speed, and best pace to the 6 furlong distance, by a lot. So should have company early, but will then pull away to the wire.

Race 11 — The NY Stallion Series — 500K — 7 Furlongs

Once again the Big A putting out a big field for bettors. Trainer Butch Reid has #2 Parker Boone 8-5 ready to make some noise. Runner won by 12 ¼ 1st time out and was under wraps early. Naysayers will say “who did he beat”, but runners out of Solomini are often very good, very early. Will have other speed to deal with, but a ground saving post should seal the deal.

Final Notes

Stay tuned as we continue to grow, and tune in on Saturday for our 12:30 Podcast, with scratches and changes affecting our picks. And as the saying goes, Let ‘em Run.





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