Connect with us

Sports

Miami v Baltimore: Gary Greene Picks NFL TNF

Published

on


Gary Greene looks at Thursday Night Football

NFL WEEK 9 THURSDAY NIGHT PREVIEW ~ RAVENS @ DOLPHINS

BALTIMORE – (2-5) – (2-0 ROAD) vs. MIAMI: (2-6) – (1-2 HOME)

BALT offense: (#20) (138R-182P) vs. MIAMI defense: (#23) (145R-199P)
MIAMI offense: (#28) (99R-188P) vs. BALT defense: (#28) (129R-251P)

VEGAS ODDS: BALTIMORE RAVENS (-7 ½) ~ TOTAL: (50 ½)
TEAM TOTALS: BALTIMORE (28 ½) ~ MIAMI (20 ½)

TWO TEAMS ON LIFE SUPPORT TRYING TO GET A HUGE WIN!

This game definitely didn’t pan out as hoped when the schedule was made but every year we see some teams with lofty expectations simply fail to live up to them. Both teams–Miami and Baltimore–have endured soul-crushing injuries and in turn both come in bottom feeders in most key stats. It’s hard to win even with your entire roster, it’s much harder when you lose your best players. Tonight the Ravens get their MVP quarterback back on the field after missing 3 weeks. As bad as this start has been for the Ravens they are still in striking distance of the Steelers, only 2 games back. The Ravens have the easiest schedule one could hope for with only 2 winning teams left ahead and both Steelers games still to go.

Miami of course lost stud WR T. Hill and really no HC in the league has been worse with a roster that should never come into this game (2-6). They finally pitched a perfect game by both sides of the ball with a blowout win over the Falcons, leaving a glimmer of hope for Fins fans. The problem for the Dolphins is they have a very tough schedule ahead, and being 4 games back of both the Patriots and Bills means unless the greatest miracle ever comes, they aren’t going to any playoffs this season.

RAVENS “D” A MASH UNIT THAT HAS GOTTEN RUN OVER ON ROAD!

We are at the halfway point of this 2025 season and somehow the Ravens waltz in having played only 2 road games all year. They allowed 41 and 37 points in losses to KC and Buffalo. Injuries have been their #1 problem, but running 50 plays or less in 5 games so far is a disaster. They have won the time of possession battle once all season and that has put the Ravens’ mash unit of defense on the field way too much. At times, the Ravens have been down 5 starters on the defensive side of the ball. When this is the case, it’s no shock you are ranked (#28) — tired legs and inexperienced players are a brutal pairing.

This is a turnover league and most games the team that wins that battle wins the game. Sadly for Ravens fans, they have just 1 interception and 1 fumble recovery in the last 5 games combined. Tough to win when your offense is a bakery with 6 turnovers the past 3 games. The bad news for the Black and Purple gang is that they allow an atrocious (409) total yards per game. The good news is the past 2 games that number has dropped dramatically by over 100 yards per game (306).

In these types of games I always chuckle thinking of the movie where the young kid says, “So you’re saying I have a chance?” The Ravens’ playoff hopes ride on this defense being in the range of the last 2 weeks — not the first 5 weeks.

MIAMI DEFENSE WENT FROM #5 LAST YEAR TO #23 THIS SEASON!

Look folks, there is blame to go around with this team and coaching staff. But when your defense allows the most rushes of (10+) yards, then an almost unimaginable dead last (74%) pass completion rate, and then the most receiving 3rd down plays — second worst overall yards allowed to wide receivers — and then have half your games where the “D” has allowed (400) yards or more of total offense, you almost assuredly will be a losing team.

Tonight they will face the best running QB in the league in Lamar Jackson and of course the beast RB D. Henry. This year they have allowed Panthers RB R. Dowdle (206) rushing yards, the Bills J. Cook (108), and the Chargers K. Vidal (124), so if they allow this type of woodshed tonight, they have almost no chance to win. Like the Ravens, the Fins defense simply can’t get the big turnovers to swing games — they have only 1 interception all season.

BOTH OFFENSES SHOWED SOME SIGNS OF LIFE IN LAST WEEK’S WINS!

The Dolphins offense is bottom 9 in both rushing and passing, and in their 6 losses Tua has thrown 10 interceptions. In the 2 Dolphins wins, he threw zero. For the Dolphins to leave with a victory, Tua must have a zero again. When I watch live games I look closely to see how coaches make adjustments. When I watch game tapes on Monday-Tuesday nights, I look to see if teams made new and proper adjustments or did they lose because they didn’t make any.

The Dolphins last week came out with a completely new offense — they used 6 offensive linemen which opened up big gap runs and went to a quicker pass attack with more involvement passing the ball and giving receivers room to make big splash plays. It worked like a charm and completely stunned the Falcons defensive coaching staff that simply never could stop the Fins offense.

The Ravens offense with Jackson in there has produced 30 points or more in 7 of his last 8 starts. He’s gotta be licking his chops knowing Miami has allowed 27 points or more in 6 of their 8 games. The road has actually been very kind to the Ravens as they have averaged a whopping (422) yards per game in their last 10 road games. The big stats though have only produced a (5-5) record in those 10 games. The Ravens have lost 3 straight on the road including the late collapse to the Bills in the season opener.

TOP TRENDS FOR THIS “PRIME TV” GAME OF WEEK!

(1). BALTY RAVENS: Last 14 regular season or playoff wins were by an average of (16.3) points per game. This is huge as they are over a TD favorite tonight.
(2). MIAMI DOLPHINS: Have gone “OVER” the total their last 9 home games.
(3). BALTY RAVENS: Have gone “OVER” the total 19 times in their last 24 overall games (6 of 7 this season).
(4). RAVENS QB JACKSON: Last 4 games he played, the total points per game averaged (57).
(5). THURSDAY PRIME TV GAMES: Last 4 all went “OVER” the total.

GARY’S FINAL PASS

When you bet for a living like me, I can tell you that you will never be a long-term winner betting on bad teams. Can you trust either team’s defense to come in and stop the other offense? I have to say I am very impressed (okay, stunned) the past two weeks we saw the Dolphins defense look like the top 5 defense of 2024 as they allowed only (423) total yards the past 2 weeks combined. The Ravens defense out of nowhere held the Rams to just (241) total yards 2 weeks ago.

Even though both defenses played a little better the past two weeks, this game comes on a short week and it’s not shocking the last 4 Thursday night prime games went “OVER” the total. When I get a matchup of two bottom-feeder defenses that rarely turn the ball over (Ravens D has 2 interceptions and 2 fumble recoveries all year and the Fins D has 6 games with 1 turnover forced or less) I expect no loss of scoring chances.

The Ravens will get some much-needed “juice” tonight with Jackson returning, and with the Dolphins finding no trouble lighting up the scoreboard at home (*minimum 27 points scored last 8 home games and exactly 27 in each of their 3 home games this season) we will take the “OVER 50 ½” in what we feel will be a high-scoring game with both QBs having huge games.

We have had a nice season and come off the nice 10-point Packers win Sunday night (we passed Monday night affair). Let’s see lots of big plays and lots of TOUCHDOWNS tonight!

FINAL PICK: TAKE THE TOTAL “OVER 50 ½”

@GARYGREENEWINS

NOTE: Get all of Gary’s Magazine NFL Stats Pages at GARYWINS.COM





Source link

Continue Reading

Sports

Buccaneers host rival Saints in key NFC South game

Published

on


The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter Week 14 with a 7-5 record and first place in the NFC South, but the margin is razor-thin. Carolina (7-6) is surging and waiting for any slip-up. That makes Sunday’s divisional showdown against the rival New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium a must-win for Tampa Bay.

MUST READS – SPORTS TALK FLORIDA

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Baker Mayfield continues to lead the Buccaneers’ offense, averaging 216.7 passing yards per game. Rookie running back Bucky Irving has added balance to the attack with 59.6 rushing yards per game. Wide receiver Chris Godwin remains a reliable target, posting 78 yards in last week’s win over Arizona.

For New Orleans, rookie quarterback Tyler Shough has shown flashes, throwing for 239 yards and two touchdowns against Miami. Veteran linebacker Demario Davis anchors the Saints’ defense, ranking among the league leaders in tackles. Utility man Taysom Hill continues to be used in multiple roles, though his production has been limited.

Radio and TV Information

Kickoff is set for Sunday, December 7 at 1:00 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium. The game will be broadcast nationally on CBS, with Kevin Harlan and Trent Green on the call. Fans can also listen locally on 98ROCK in Tampa and WWL 105.3 FM/870 AM in New Orleans. Streaming options include NFL+, Fubo, and TuneIn Radio.

What Lies Ahead for the Buccaneers

The Buccaneers are chasing their fourth straight NFC South title, a feat that would cement their dominance in the division. With three straight divisional games ahead (Saints, Falcons, Panthers), Tampa Bay controls its destiny. A win over New Orleans would set the stage for a pivotal showdown against Carolina, which has emerged as a surprising contender.

Head Coach Todd Bowles emphasized the importance of turnovers: “Any time we play them, it’s always who wins the turnover battle – every time”. If the Bucs can execute cleanly and keep Mayfield healthy, they remain favorites to secure another division crown and a playoff berth.





Source link

Continue Reading

Sports

BIG Ten and SEC may not expand in the next TV cycle

Published

on





TV AND THE SEC

Future expansion of the Big Ten and SEC in 2030 and beyond is far less certain than it was in the last cycle. Both leagues already function as national networks with coast-to-coast reach, and media companies like ESPN, FOX, CBS, NBC, Amazon, Apple, and YouTube are becoming more budget-conscious. Adding more schools could simply mean more mouths to feed without significantly increasing overall revenue, unless the new members bring undeniable brand power, recruiting markets, or television value.

Sports Talk Florida

Why Expansion May Slow Down

  • National footprint already achieved: The Big Ten stretches from Rutgers to USC, while the SEC dominates the South and Texas. Both conferences already cover the largest recruiting and media markets.
  • Media company selectivity: Networks are prioritizing billion-dollar NFL and MLB renewals, leaving less room for escalating college rights fees.
  • Cord-cutting pressures: Cable decline forces ESPN, FOX, and CBS to be more cautious with spending. Streaming platforms prefer marquee matchups rather than funding entire conferences.
  • Revenue-sharing with athletes: Following the House v. NCAA settlement, schools must share revenue with players, increasing costs and reducing the incentive to dilute payouts by adding more members.

Expansion Trade-Offs

  • Pros of adding schools:
    • Access to new recruiting markets (e.g., Florida State for Florida, UNC for Carolina).
    • Strengthening brand dominance against rival conferences.
    • Potential leverage in future media negotiations.
  • Cons of adding schools:
    • Dilution of per-school payouts (more mouths to feed).
    • Higher travel costs and logistical strain.
    • Risk of diminishing traditional rivalries and regional identity.

Likely Outlook for 2030+

  • Big Ten: May only expand if ACC schools like North Carolina or Virginia become available and deliver clear ROI. Otherwise, stability is favored.
  • SEC: Already dominant in the South; expansion beyond Texas and Oklahoma may not add significant value unless it’s a powerhouse brand.
  • Media companies: With tighter budgets, they will demand proof that any new member increases national ratings, not just conference size.

Bottom Line

By 2030, the Big Ten and SEC will likely be more cautious about expansion. Unless a school offers undeniable brand strength and media market value, adding members risks diluting payouts and creating logistical headaches. In a budget-conscious media environment, stability may prove more valuable than size.







Source link

Continue Reading

Sports

Wait Until Next Year For Bears’ Ownership Stadium Plan

Published

on


Bears Arlington Heights stadium drawings

Bears’ ownership wants to build a stadium in Arlington Heights.

It is wait until next year for the National Football League Chicago Bears ownership in its quest to get public money for a planned stadium-village in Arlington Heights, Illinois. The Bears ownership failed twice to get money from the Illinois state lawmakers in 2025 but next year isn’t very far away.  The Illinois General Assembly starts on January 16th, 2026. Bears’ ownership has decided that Arlington Heights, a Chicago suburb is the right place for its stadium-village after running into opposition in Chicago over its plan to build a stadium-village in a Solider Field parking lot.

The Bears ownership’s stadium-village plan was first revealed in 2023. The Bears’ ownership bought the Arlington Park racetrack property in the Chicago suburb in Arlington Heights in February 2023 for $197 million. Bears’ ownership was set to build a stadium-village in town but then came the property tax bill. Bears’ ownership was alarmed with the tab and decided Chicago was a better option. In April 2024, Bears’ ownership unveiled a plan to build a domed lakefront stadium and surround the structure with a residential and retail zone. The McCaskey family, the owners of the football business, claimed they were willing to throw in about $2 billion to help finance the venture but they also said they needed public support. The McCaskeys claimed they would put up $2.025 billion and would get a $300 million loan from the NFL. The McCaskeys wanted at least $900 million in bonds from the Illinois Sports Facilities Authority. That funding would include extending bonds of an existing 2% hotel tax. That means people using hotels and motels would be paying for a football stadium that more than likely the hotel and motel users would never step foot in. The Bears ownership’s stadium-village saga continues.

Evan Weiner’s books are available at iTunes – https://books.apple.com/us/author/evan-weiner/id595575191

Evan can be reached at evan_weiner@hotmail.com

Chicago Bears





Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © Miami Select.