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Meet Arjun Sethi, Kraken’s unusual co-CEO and VC firm chairman gunning for an IPO

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Happy Friday, everyone. It’s finance editor, Jeff John Roberts, stepping in for Allie. I’m curious what Term Sheet readers—many of you from the startup and VC world—think of the following: a company on the cusp of an IPO taps one of its earliest venture capitalists to step in as top executive and get it across the finish line.

This isn’t just a hypothetical. In August, I joined Tribe Capital co-founder Arjun Sethi at his home in Menlo Park to hear about his latest gig—running Kraken, the respected cryptocurrency exchange, as it gears up to go public next year. As our recent profile reveals, Sethi is an unusual guy:

“My neighbors think I’m under house arrest,” observes Arjun Sethi. It’s not hard to see why. On the driveway of Sethi’s comfortable Menlo Park home, located a few miles from Stanford University, sits a black Cybertruck that rarely leaves. Meanwhile, various figures stream in and out of a wide-open garage anchored by a table littered with electronics. Inside, there are no pictures on the walls and the domicile’s only personality is supplied by a large German shepherd patrolling the backyard.

Sethi has brought his idiosyncrasies to Kraken, where he stepped in as co-CEO last fall. Despite the “co” title, everyone with whom I spoke made it clear Sethi is calling all the shots and, according to one former exec, is running the company very much like a venture capital firm. This includes eschewing team-building exercises and pep talks in favor of detached, data-driven decision-making and relying heavily on members of his own network—sometimes at the expense of Kraken’s own employees.

The former executive said this didn’t do wonders for morale, and also expressed concern that Sethi’s staying on as Chairman of Tribe Capital—an arrangement blessed by both Kraken’s board and the firm’s LPs—posed a conflict of interest. Meanwhile, both Tribe and Sethi himself were among the investors who participated in a $500 million funding round that closed this month, valuing Kraken at $15 billion.

All of this is an unorthodox way to run a company, but investors are unlikely to care if Sethi is getting the job done. So far, there is evidence he is. In recent months, Kraken has been rapidly shipping new products, including its xStocks tokenized equities, a service that aligns with the company’s broader vision of integrating crypto and traditional financial stacks. Sethi is also working to remake Kraken as a family of brands, each of which has a full suite of executive services behind it. Sethi says the mode is Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta—though it also sounds very much like how a VC firm treats its suite of portcos.

Sethi’s approach, which has sought to “make the organization leaner and faster,” may prove effective in Kraken’s current acceleration period, but it will be interesting to see if it works after the company goes public. In my experience reporting on big companies, the best have a tightly-knit and cohesive C-suite that can motivate employees at all levels to buy in.

That will be a bridge for Kraken to cross in 2026 when it plans to list its shares. In the meantime, the storyline to watch—in addition to Sethi’s unusual management style—is whether he will be able to hit the IPO finish line before the current bull market peters out. In the last few months, a parade of crypto companies has had gangbuster IPOs, including some that are hot garbage wrapped in marketing fumes. Kraken, by contrast, is a great business. It would be ironic if it missed the current window.

See you tomorrow,

Jeff John Roberts
X:
 @jeffjohnroberts
Email: jeff.roberts@fortune.com
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Venture Deals

Modular, a San Francisco-based AI infrastructure company, raised $250 million in funding. Thomas Tull’s US Innovative Technology fund led the round and was joined by DJF Growth and existing investors GV, General Catalyst, and others.

Inspiren, a New York City-based AI-powered ecosystem for senior living facilities, raised $100 million in Series B funding. Insight Partners led the round and was joined by Avenir, Primary Venture Partners, Scale Venture Partners, Story Ventures, Third Prime, and Studio VC.

Thyme Care, a Nashville, Tenn.-based cancer care platform, raised $97 million in Series D funding from CVS Health Ventures, Foresite Capital, a16z Bio + Health, Concord Health Partners, Town Hall Ventures, and others.

Enter, a São Paolo, Brazil-based legal AI company, raised $35 million in Series A funding. Founders Fund and Sequoia led the round and were joined by Atlantico and OneVC.

Light, a Copenhagen, Denmark-based AI-powered accounting platform, raised $30 million in Series A funding. Balderton Capital led the round and was joined by Atomico, Cherry, Seedcamp, Entrée, and angel investors.

Sunrise Group, a Namur, Belgium-based sleep health technology company, raised $29 million in funding. Eurazeo led the round and was joined by Amazon’s Alexa Fund, WE International, Kurma Partners, Vives Fund, and others.

enaDyne, a Leipzig, Germany-based plasma catalysis technology company, raised €7 million ($8.2 million) in seed funding. Amadeus APEX Technology Fund and Energy Capital Ventures led the round and were joined by Antares Ventures, Possible Ventures, and others.

FREDsense, a Calgary, Alberta-based developer of PFAS field kit, raised $7 million in Series A funding. HG Ventures led the round and was joined by Emerald Technology Ventures.

Stickerbox, a Brooklyn, N.Y.-based developer of a voice-activated box that creates and prints stickers, raised $7 million in seed funding. Maveron led the round and was joined by AI2, Matthew Brezina, and Serena Ventures.

MaxHome.AI, a San Francisco-based operating system for residential real estate, raised $5 million in seed funding. Fika Ventures led the round.

wexler.ai, a London, U.K.-based developer of AI technology designed to flag false or inconsistent testimony in depositions and hearings, raised $5.3 million in seed funding. Pear VC led the round and was joined by Seedcamp, The LegalTech Fund, and existing investors.

Alguna, a San Francisco-based revenue management platform for business-to-business software-as-a-service, raised $4 million in seed funding. Mango Capital and Atlantic Labs led the round and were joined by others.

Burnt, a San Francisco-based operating system designed to automate repetitive tasks in the food supply chain, raised $3.8 million in seed funding. Penny Jar Capital led the round and was joined by Scribble Ventures, Formation VC, and angel investors.

Scorecard, a San Francisco-based AI agent evaluation platform, raised $3.8 million in seed funding from Kindred Ventures, Neo, Inception Studio, Tekton Ventures, and angel investors.

BeeSpeaker, a Warsaw, Poland and Stockholm, Sweden-based mobile-first language learning app, raised €2 million ($2.3 million) in seed funding. Movens Capital led the round and was joined by SpeedUp Venture Capital Group and angel investors.

Private Equity

JMI Equity invested $80 million in EdSights, a New York City-based AI-powered student voice platform.

ARCHIMED acquired a majority stake in ExcellGene, a Monthey, Switzerland-based cell line development company. Financial terms were not disclosed.

FUNDS + FUNDS OF FUNDS

Ridgemont Equity Partners, a Charlotte, N.C.-based private equity firm, raised $4 billion for its fifth fund focused on middle-market companies in business services, health care, and industrials.

PEOPLE

Advent International, a Boston, Mass.-based private equity firm, hired Christine Dagousset as an operating partner. She most recently served as global innovation officer at Chanel.



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Gates Foundation, OpenAI unveil $50 million ‘Horizon1000’ initiative to boost healthcare in Africa through AI

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In a major effort to close the global health equity gap, the Gates Foundation and OpenAI are partnering on “Horizon1000,” a collaborative initiative designed to integrate artificial intelligence into healthcare systems across Sub-Saharan Africa. Backed by a joint $50 million commitment in funding, technology, and technical support, the partnership aims to equip 1,000 primary healthcare clinics with AI tools by 2028, Bill Gates announced in a statement on his Gates Notes, where he detailed how he sees AI playing out as a “gamechanger” for expanding access to quality care.

The initiative will begin operations in Rwanda, working directly with African leaders to pioneer the deployment of AI in health settings. With a core principle of the Foundation being to ensure that people in developing regions do not have to wait decades for new technologies to reach them, the goal in this partnership is to reach 1,000 primary health care clinics and their surrounding communities by 2028.

“A few years ago, I wrote that the rise of artificial intelligence would mark a technological revolution as far-reaching for humanity as microprocessors, PCs, mobile phones, and the Internet,” Gates wrote. “Everything I’ve seen since then confirms my view that we are on the cusp of a breathtaking global transformation.”

Addressing a Critical Workforce Shortage

The impetus for Horizon1000, Gates said, is a desperate and persistent shortage of healthcare workers in poorer regions, a bottleneck that threatens to stall 25 years of progress in global health. While child mortality has been halved and diseases like polio and HIV are under better control, the lack of personnel remains a critical vulnerability.

Sub-Saharan Africa currently faces a shortfall of nearly 6 million healthcare workers, ” a gap so large that even the most aggressive hiring and training efforts can’t close it in the foreseeable future.” This deficit creates an untenable situation where overwhelmed staff must triage high volumes of patients without sufficient administrative support or modern clinical guidance. The consequences are severe: the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that low-quality care is a contributing factor in 6 million to 8 million deaths annually in low- and middle-income countries.

Rwanda, the first beneficiary of the Horizon1000 initiative, illustrates the scale of the challenge. The nation currently has only one healthcare worker per 1,000 people, significantly below the WHO recommendation of four per 1,000. Gates noted that at the current pace of hiring and training, it would take 180 years to close that gap. “As part of the Horizon1000 initiative, we aim to accelerate the adoption of AI tools across primary care clinics, within communities, and in people’s homes,” Gates wrote. “These AI tools will support health workers, not replace them.”

AI as the ‘Third Major Discovery

Gates noted comments from Rwanda’s Minister of Health Dr. Sabin Nsanzimana, who recently announced the launch of an AI-powered Health Intelligence Center in Kigali. Nsanzimana described AI as the third major discovery to transform medicine, following vaccines and antibiotics, Gates noted, saying that he agrees with this view. “If you live in a wealthier country and have seen a doctor recently, you may have already seen how AI is making life easier for health care workers,” Gates wrote. “Instead of taking notes constantly, they can now spend more time talking directly to you about your health, while AI transcribes and summarizes the visit.”

In countries with severe infrastructure limitations, he wrote, these capabilities will foster systems that help solve “generational challenges” that were previously unaddressable.

As the initiative rolls out over the next few years, the Gates Foundation plans to collaborate closely with innovators and governments in Sub-Saharan Africa. Gates wrote that he himself plans to visit the region soon to see these AI solutions in action, maintaining a focus on how technology can meet the most urgent needs of billions in low- and middle-income countries.



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On Netflix’s earnings call, co-CEOs can’t quell fears about the Warner Bros. bid

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When it comes to creating irresistible storylines, Netflix, the home of Stranger Things and The Crown, is second to none. And as the streaming video giant delivered its quarterly earnings report on Tuesday, executives were in top storytelling form, pitching what they promise will be a smash hit: the acquisition of Warner Brothers Discovery.

The company’s co-CEOs, Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters, said the deal, which values Warner Brothers Discovery at $83 billion, will accelerate its own core streaming business while helping it expand into TV and the theatrical film business. 

“This is an exciting time in the business. Lots of innovation, lots of competition,” Sarandos enthused on Tuesday’s earnings conference call. Netflix has a history of successful transformation and of pivoting opportunistically, he reminded the audience: Once upon a time, its main business entailed mailing DVDs in red envelopes to customers’ homes. 

Despite Sarandos’ confident delivery, however, the pitch didn’t land with investors. The company’s stock, which was already down 15% since Netflix announced the deal in early December, sank another 4.9% in after-hours trading on Tuesday. 

Netflix’s financial results for the final quarter of 2025 were fine. The company beat EPS expectations by a penny, and said it now has 325 million paid subscribers and a worldwide total audience nearing 1 billion. Its 2026 revenue outlook, of between $50.7 billion and $51.7 billion, was right on target.  

Still, investors are worried that the Warner Bros. deal will force Netflix to compete outside its lane, causing management to lose focus. The fact that Netflix will temporarily halt its share buybacks in order to accumulate cash to help finance the deal, as it disclosed towards the bottom of Tuesday’s shareholder letter, probably didn’t help matters. 

And given that there’s a rival offer for Warner Bros from Paramount Skydance, it’s not unreasonable for investors to worry that Netflix may be forced into an expensive bidding war. (Even though Warner Brothers Discovery has accepted the Netflix offer over Paramount’s, no one believes the story is over—not even Netflix, which updated its $27.75 per share offer to all-cash, instead of stock and cash, hours earlier on Tuesday in order to provide WBD shareholders with “greater value certainty.”) 

Investors are wary; will regulators balk?

Warner Brothers investors are not the only audience that Netflix needs to win over. The deal must be blessed by antitrust regulators—a prospect whose outcome is harder to predict than ever in the Trump administration.

Sarandos and Peters laid out the case Tuesday for why they believe the deal will get through the regulatory process, framing the deal as a boon for American jobs.

“This is going to allow us to significantly expand our production capacity in the U.S. and to keep investing in original content in the long term, which means more opportunities for creative talent and more jobs,” Sarandos said.

Referring to Warner Brothers’ television and film businesses, he added that “these folks have extensive experience and expertise. We want them to stay on and run those businesses. We’re expanding content creation not collapsing it.”

It’s a compelling story. But the co-CEOs may have neglected to study the most important script of all when it comes to getting government approval in the current administration; they forgot to recite the Trump lines. 

The example has been set over the past 12 months by peers such as Nvidia’s Jensen Huang and Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg. The latter, with his company facing various federal regulatory threats, began publicly praising the Trump administration on an earnings call last January. 

And Nvidia’s Huang has already seen real dividends from a similar strategy. The chip company CEO has praised Trump repeatedly on earnings calls, in media interviews, and in conference keynote speeches, calling him “America’s unique advantage” in AI. Since then, the U.S. ban on selling Nvidia’s H200 AI chips to China has been rescinded. The praise may have been coincidental to the outcome, but it certainly didn’t hurt.

In contrast, the president went unmentioned on Tuesday’s call. How significant Netflix’s omission of a Trump call-out turns out to be remains to be seen; maybe it won’t matter at all. But it’s worth noting that its competitor for Warner Bros., Paramount Skydance, is helmed by David Ellison, an outspoken Trump supporter. 

It’s a storyline that Netflix should have seen coming, and itmay still send the company back to rewrite.



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Americans are paying nearly all of the tariff burden as international exports die down, study finds

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After nearly a year of promises tariffs would boost the U.S. economy while other countries footed the bill, a new study shows almost all of the tariff burden is falling on American consumers. 

Americans are paying 96% of the costs of tariffs as prices for goods rise, according to research published Monday by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, a German think tank. 

In April 2025 when President Donald Trump announced his “Liberation Day” tariffs, he claimed: “For decades, our country has been looted, pillaged, raped, and plundered by nations near and far, both friend and foe alike.” But the report suggests tariffs have actually cost Americans more money.

Trump has long used tariffs as leverage in non-trade political disputes. Over the weekend, Trump renewed his trade war in Europe after Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Finland sent troops for training exercises in Greenland. The countries will be hit with a 10% tariff starting on Feb. 1 that is set to rise to 25% on June 1, if a deal for the U.S. to buy Greenland is not reached. 

On Monday, Trump threatened a 200% tariff on French wine, after French President Emmanuel Macron refused to join Trump’s “Board of Peace” for Gaza, which has a $1 billion buy-in for permanent membership. 

“The claim that foreign countries pay these tariffs is a myth,” wrote Julian Hinz, research director at the Kiel Institute and an author of the study. “The data show the opposite: Americans are footing the bill.” 

The research shows export prices stayed the same, but the volume has collapsed. After imposing a 50% tariff on India in August, exports to the U.S. dropped 18% to 24%, compared to the European Union, Canada, and Australia. Exporters are redirecting sales to other markets, so they don’t need to cut sales or prices, according to the study.

“There is no such thing as foreigners transferring wealth to the U.S. in the form of tariffs,” Hinz told The Wall Street Journal

For the study, Hinz and his team analyzed more than 25 million shipment records between January 2024 through November 2025 that were worth nearly $4 trillion.They found exporters absorbed just 4% of the tariff burden and American importers are largely passing on the costs to consumers. 

Tariffs have increased customs revenue by $200 billion, but nearly all of that comes from American consumers. The study’s authors likened this to a consumption tax as wealth transfers from consumers and businesses to the U.S. Treasury.   

Trump has also repeatedly claimed tariffs would boost American manufacturing, butthe economy has shown declines in manufacturing jobs every month since April 2025, losing 60,000 manufacturing jobs between Liberation Day and November. 

The Supreme Court was expected to rule as soon as today on whether Trump’s use of emergency powers to levy tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act was legal. The court initially announced they planned to rule last week and gave no explanation for the delay. 

Although justices appeared skeptical of the administration’s authority during oral arguments in November, economists predict the Trump administration will find alternative ways to keep the tariffs.



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