Marco Rubio’s odds of being GOP 2028 nominee climb, while Ron DeSantis falls behind Tucker Carlson

Political fortunes, at least when it comes to betting markets, continue to diverge for two Florida men who may want to run for the Republican presidential nomination in three years.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio is surging according to Polymarket, with a “yes” share now priced at 20 cents.

The South Florida Republican, a former U.S. Senator and Speaker of the Florida House who himself ran for President in 2016, only trails Vice President JD Vance, whose “yes” shares are priced at 37 cents.

Gov. Ron DeSantis, who ran for President in 2024, is on shakier ground.

With “yes” shares at three cents, he is now more of a long shot than commentator Tucker Carlson, whose “yes” shares are priced at five cents.

The same dynamic replicates in the market for the presidential race as a whole.

A Rubio “yes” share is priced at 10 cents, behind Vance and California Gov. Gavin Newsom.

A DeSantis “yes” share is a 2 cent investment.

With just months left in his term, DeSantis continues to elicit questions about his next move. As he said during an event last month, he’s not making any firm commitments to run or stay out of the fray.

“Doing things nationally, all this other stuff; you know, who knows? Things change so fast in this day and age. Two months ago seems like a lifetime ago. Think of all the new things we’re talking about right now with what’s going on in the world and everything just in the last two months. And so who knows how all this stuff evolves?”

Rubio and Vance appear to be President Donald Trump’s choices to succeed him as a ticket of some type. But it remains to be seen how all of that will be handled.