Politics

Marco Rubio eclipses Ron DeSantis in 2028 prediction markets, but JD Vance still far ahead

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Reversal of fortune.

Few people are betting on Gov. Ron DeSantis to be the next Republican presidential nominee, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio continues to drive investor interest.

That’s how things look on aggregator site Polymarket as of Saturday morning.

DeSantis, who ran for President in 2024, has slumped to 3% odds, a reflection of the Donald Trump administration dominating news cycles and offering him no opportunities to present the kind of direct opposition to the White House that Joe Biden afforded him.

Rubio, who himself ran for President in 2016, continues to ascend in the eyes of market participants.

He’s climbed to 19% odds of getting the nomination, second only to Vice President JD Vance’s 54%.

Both Rubio and DeSantis have sidestepped any talk of future presidential ambitions. Rubio has said Vance would be a “great nominee,” with President Donald Trump suggesting Rubio as “somebody that maybe would get together with JD in some form.”

Trump, for what it’s worth, is at 4%, good for third place among investors despite being term-limited constitutionally.

DeSantis currently says he’s “not thinking about anything” regarding a 2028 run, and criticized “jockeying” among those who look to succeed Trump. However, he also left the door open to running again after he withdrew from the presidential race last year.



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