Has luxury finally come back down to earth? That’s the suggestion from a study conducted by Luxurynsight and LY Watch (Heuritech) for the first half of 2025. Spanning more than 100 brands and over 10,000 activations, the analysis highlights that luxury is facing its first global slowdown in several years, amid a tougher economic backdrop, the merry-go-round of creative directors, and the rise of new technologies.
Haute Joaillerie remains resilient thanks to a clientele largely indifferent to economic turbulence – Chanel
The luxury personal goods market contracted by 1% in 2024, to 364 billion euros, under pressure from a weaker macroeconomic environment, new US tariff policies, and more cautious consumer spending. This period has forced brands into a profound strategic reorientation, favouring quality over quantity, localisation over globalisation, and experience over product alone. Several major trends have emerged, sketching the contours of a sector in full transformation.
Ever more experiential flagships
Faced with a more selective clientele, luxury brands have deliberately reduced the volume of their activations by 2% year on year. The strategy now is to prioritise more targeted, deeper, higher-impact initiatives rather than broad global media operations. This quantitative pullback masks a qualitative step-up in activation that is more local and more experiential. The different luxury segments are aligning with this approach: Perfumes & Cosmetics (P&C) have become the engine of activity, accounting for 44% of all activations, ahead of Fashion & Leather Goods (32%), and Watches & Jewellery (24%).
The luxury sector seems to be putting the brakes on sustained price rises – ph Pexels
In response to slowing growth, the sector has invested heavily in experiential retail. Retail activations jumped by 48% compared with the first half of 2024, becoming a central pillar of brand strategy. Stores are being transformed into cultural destinations designed to create a lasting emotional bond with the customer. Notable examples include “The Louis” in Shanghai: a multi-sensory Louis Vuitton space integrating a café, exhibitions and VIP lounges; and the Dior Gold House in Bangkok. In China, the trend is towards fewer but larger, more ambitious flagships, capable of attracting both the general public and Very Important Clients (VICs), who are expected to be the main drivers of growth by 2027.
Stabilised prices at last?
To reinforce their relevance, brands are banking on activations tied to the local scene. The Fête de la Musique, for instance, served as a catalyst for numerous activations, enabling brands to associate authentically with local culture and reach a young, connected audience. This quest for cultural resonance is also reflected in participation at events such as Milan Design Week, where Louis Vuitton and The Row launched tableware collections. This strategy extends the brand universe from the catwalk to the living space, reaching new affluent audiences and enhancing cultural relevance.
Luxury fashion embraces micro-trends at the SS26 Fashion Weeks – DR
Generally speaking, pressure on purchasing power may signal the end of the sustained rise in luxury prices. According to Luxurynsight, the average price of bags and leather goods rose by just 1.2% year on year in the first half of 2025, a normalisation after the significant increases observed post-Covid. This strategy varies by region, with more marked increases in Japan (1.9%) to offset the weak yen. At the same time, there is a trend towards closer links between luxury fashion and jewellery, with brands extending their offering to more exclusive, higher-margin pieces. Dior, with its gem-set lipstick pendants, and Gucci, via its collaboration with Pomellato, aim to capture resilient demand from high-end customers who are less sensitive to economic downturns.
Cosmetics ride the technology wave
The Perfumes & Cosmetics segment, the only one to post growth, is leaning heavily on technology to stimulate demand. The personalised beauty market, projected to reach 44 billion euros in the 2026 financial year, has become a strategic priority. Brands are deploying generative AI, 3D, and data analytics to deliver ultra-personalised recommendations. L’Oréal’s partnership with NVIDIA to refine its Noli platform, and Estée Lauder’s collaboration with Google Cloud, illustrate this race for innovation. The aim is twofold: to meet consumer expectations and optimise acquisition costs, with a potential uplift in marketing ROI of 10% to 30% and a 5% to 15% increase in sales.
According to the study, generations Z and Alpha will account for over 50% of luxury consumers in the next five years. – DR
The turnover among creative directors has, for its part, contributed to renewed customer interest in the Fashion & Leather Goods sector. A strategy criticised by Jonathan Siboni, founder of Luxurynsight, last September. Despite this, in a competitive environment, brands are seeking to reintroduce novelty and cultural relevance, and to reconnect with generations Z and Alpha, who will account for over 50% of the 300 million new luxury consumers expected over the next five years.
Micro-trends and a record gold price
On the creative front, the Fashion & Leather Goods sector is leaning into micro-trends that reflect a desire for comfort, understated elegance and a connection to sporting or equestrian heritage. The Luxurynsight report highlights three key trends. Golfcore Chic: an aesthetic blending preppy and athletic codes (short-sleeved polo shirts, pleated skirts), which grew by 19% in Europe. Horse Girl Reclaiming : equestrian elegance combining heritage codes and modern comfort, with strong growth in equestrian boots in China (+9%). Finally, Summer at Lord’s: inspired by vintage cricket, synonymous with relaxed sophistication.
These trends illustrate a broader movement towards “soft luxury” or “quiet luxury”, where perceived value lies in quality, authenticity, and lifestyle versatility rather than in ostentatious logos.
Top-tier customers (0.1% of consumers) generate 23% of total luxury sales – Reuters
Finally, the Watches & Jewellery sector had to contend with the impact of the 39% US tariffs on Swiss imports and, for jewellery, the combined pressure of a strong Swiss franc and record gold prices. These factors led to a generalised, albeit varied, price increase in the US in the second quarter of 2025, ranging from 2.5% for some players to 6.9% for others. Haute Joaillerie, meanwhile, is proving resilient, benefiting from sustained demand from the wealthiest customers for unique, handcrafted pieces. According to a BCG & Altagamma report, “top-tier” customers (0.1% of consumers) generate 23% of total luxury sales. Capturing this clientele has therefore become a strategic imperative to stabilise revenues, which explains the launch of exceptional pieces and investments in flagships dedicated to jewellery.
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In mid-November, Galeries Lafayetteinaugurated its first store in India. In partnership with India’s Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail, the business’ first department store in Mumbai opened its doors in the upmarket Kala Ghoda district, in the south of the metropolis. This street-front concept spans more than 9,000 square metres and, notably, is bringing several French brands to India for the first time. By entrusting its development in this market to local retail giant Aditya Birla, under a franchise agreement, the French group aims to tap into a luxury market valued at 10 billion euros in 2024, according to Business France, and expected to triple by 2030. Arthur Lemoine, CEO of Galeries Lafayette since earlier this year, shares the family group’s ambitions for this opening, outlines the network’s international development strategy, and analyses the situation of the French network, from relations with franchisees to the refurbishment of directly operated stores.
Arthur Lemoine, CEO, Galeries Lafayette – Galeries Lafayette
FashionNetwork.com: You’ve just made a landmark opening in India, in Mumbai. The Indian market was very closed off just a few years ago. What opportunities do you see there now?
Arthur Lemoine: India appears to us an extremely promising market, both in scale and momentum. Some long-standing cultural barriers are receding. We are seeing the emergence of new social groups, often educated abroad or building technology businesses, with different aspirations. Given these specifics, it seemed essential to partner with a seasoned local expert.
We met the Birla family, whose company knows the retail, fashion, and luxury sectors in India inside out. They share our family values and long-term vision. The major attraction is opening the first department store on the Indian subcontinent. It’s a unique opportunity to be a pioneer in Mumbai and across India. And we’re delighted to introduce customers to the department-store experience.
FNW: How does your approach differ compared with your openings in the Middle East or China, whether in terms of merchandising, accessibility, or brand selection?
AL: The first difference is that we have a standalone, street-front store, not part of a shopping centre. It’s a magnificent historic building from the 1920s. We designed it as a bridge between the Galeries Lafayette identity, reflecting the French art of living, and local roots in Mumbai, in the Fort district.
As pioneers, we are welcoming both brands already present and many new ones: 70% of the assortment is exclusive. Around 200 brands are entering the Indian market thanks to us.
FNW: There are 300 brands in all? What is the share of Indian brands?
AL: There are indeed 300 brands in total. The vast majority are international, because the aim is to bring novelty and reflect our identity. Nevertheless, we adapt to the Indian market through our assortments and by welcoming local brands. We rely on a local buying team with our partner to be as close as possible to customer expectations.
Inside the Indian department store – Galeries Lafayette
FNW: Regarding pricing and customs duties, how do you address this long-standing hurdle in India?
AL: We have worked with our partner brands to absorb cost differentials and align our pricing with Dubai. Dubai and Mumbai are very close geographically, only a few hours by plane. It was crucial to have price consistency between the two offers.
FNW: How do you introduce the “department store” culture to a clientele not necessarily accustomed to it?
AL: Many of our Indian customers already shop abroad, particularly in Paris. This has guided our offer and services. For example, we have introduced valet parking services, as our customers travel a lot by car, and private reception lounges. These lounges are essential, particularly during the wedding season, when expectations around service and gifts are very high.
We’re also working on the food and beverage (F&B) offering, which will open next year. We need to find the right balance between a first-for-Mumbai proposition and local tastes. Finally, we are approaching this with humility: the ground and first floors are modular. This allows us to learn from our customers and adjust the format, which we can evolve into a multi-brand space or personalised corners in the months to come.
FNW: The Indian press has pointed out that you have entered into a 15-year commitment with your partner Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail…
AL: We don’t disclose the duration of our agreements. But it’s a long-term franchise agreement. Aditya Birla operates the stores and pays us a royalty in exchange for our brand and sourcing services.
FNW: What are your targets for this store? And why has the Delhi project been pushed back by two years?
AL: Our ambitions are threefold. Firstly, to achieve sales of around twenty million euros in the current phase, before welcoming luxury houses in personalised spaces. Secondly, to make this store the starting point for national expansion. The city of Delhi remains the priority, but the owner of the shopping centre we were aiming for has fallen behind schedule. So we’re looking at other opportunities.
The third objective is to create synergies with our French stores. We want to nurture the relationship with our Indian customers locally and, conversely, introduce our French stores to those travelling in Europe.
FNW: You’re developing in India, but several projects were also announced in China before Covid. How are you progressing in this market at a time when Harrods has announced its withdrawal from Shanghai?
AL: The Chinese market has evolved considerably. We had announced projects before Covid, but we chose to remain cautious and monitor the market. We are seeing the emergence of local players and a shift in spending towards experiences and travel. The health and real estate crises have also weighed on Chinese customers’ incomes. The department store business requires time and significant investment. For our part, it was wiser to put developments on hold to adjust our current business with our local partner. Today, we have three stores in mainland China. We stabilised the network during the health crisis and are now studying how to adapt to the new context.
FNW: Is international development still a growth driver? What other regions are you looking at?
AL: Yes, it’s obviously a growth driver. In addition to India, the Middle East is very dynamic. Our stores in Dubai and Doha are performing extremely well and resonate with our customers on Boulevard Haussmann and at our sites in the south of France. We are also looking very seriously at projects in Saudi Arabia, which is developing rapidly.
FNW: You took up your new position at the beginning of the summer. How has this position changed your approach to the department store, even though you already knew the company well? You’re putting together your own management team, so what ‘stamp’ would you like to put on the general management of Galeries Lafayette?
AL: It’s a company I know very well, both through my family and because I grew up with it. I decided to join the company 15 years ago and have supported it for many years. I’m fortunate to be taking up this position at a time of transition, since Nicolas Houzé (previously CEO of Galeries Lafayette) is now chairman of the group. This allows us to continue our exchanges. I’ve also contributed significantly to the strategy and projects implemented over the last few years. So it’s a smooth handover.
This transition was organised, in particular because my grandmother (Ginette Moulin, editor’s note) decided last year to resign as chair of Motier (the family holding company, editor’s note). This led to a number of structural changes over the past 18 months.
In my new role as CEO, I’m reviewing our organisation. My aim is to develop our in-house talent- I’m thinking of Alexandre, Alix, and Elsa– while welcoming talent from the industry, such as Harold. This new executive committee will support me in defining and executing the new strategic roadmap we are drawing up for 2026.
FNW: You use franchising as an international tool. But you have developed the model in the regions, handing over former directly operated stores in 2017. Following the difficulties encountered with certain partners, such as Michel Ohayon and Société des Grands Magasins (SGM), what is your assessment of this strategy?
AL: The most important thing for us was the sustainability of the business. The department store business needs to reinvent itself, which requires major investment. We chose to concentrate our own investments on a limited number of stores, in our flagship on Boulevard Haussmann and in major metropolitan areas. For the others, franchising with local partners seemed the right option. We had good results with long-standing partners in a city like Rennes. It’s relevant because these partners know their customers better. It also enables us to promote the Galeries Lafayette brand in towns of very different sizes. Because our customers travel, it was a responsible decision to maintain this footprint and to keep these department stores in these towns.
While some partnerships work very well, as with our partner in Béziers, who has just opened in Nîmes, others have been more complex. With SGM, we realised that their commercial strategy was no longer compatible with the Galeries Lafayette identity. We therefore decided to part ways to preserve our brand image.
FNW: Have the specifications for your franchisees changed since then, to secure the brand?
AL: Our most precious asset is the brand. But as you’ve seen, we’re uncompromising when it comes to respecting our positioning. If our paths diverge, we find solutions to end the contracts.
FNW: Has the SGM Group’s strategy and association with Shein had an impact on your international partners and brands?
AL: We reacted so quickly that the question didn’t arise. It was an opportunity to reaffirm our positioning: to offer the best in creation, from accessible to luxury, with a responsible dimension via our Go for Good label, which today represents one in four products sold. Our partners and customers have fully understood and valued this response. When we welcome 37 million visitors to Boulevard Haussmann and 80 million unique visitors to our website, these are customers interested in responsible and creative products.
FNW: The strategy was to consolidate the network in France. But you’ve closed two stores in Marseille and one in Rosny, near Paris.
AL: The Rosny store was a Michel Ohayon franchise. As for the rest, a network has to be alive. The life of this network is made up of openings, like in Nîmes or, a little earlier, at Carré Sénart, which is doing very well, and adaptations, like in Marseille. Marseille is a special city, where the catchment areas have changed dramatically, and it is the only city in France with four department stores.
Conversely, we are investing heavily in our flagship storeon Boulevard Haussmann and in our website, which is currently enjoying double-digit growth. We have also renovated Annecy and Lyon Bron, which are performing very well. We have overhauled our womenswear offer in Toulouse and our menswear offer in Strasbourg.
Caroline Richard / Galeries Lafayette
FNW: What’s the situation at the Champs-Élysées department store in Paris?
AL: It’s a distinctive store that suffered after it opened, first from the Gilets Jaunes protests and then from Covid. After three years of close observation from 2022 to 2024, we’re adapting the offer to better meet the needs of international customers and local Parisians. The evolution will continue with the rollout of a more suitable offer in 2026.
FNW: What are your upcoming projects?
AL: Our two major projects in the regions are the renovation of the fashion offer in Nice and a comprehensive renovation in Bordeaux. And on Boulevard Haussmann, we’re evolving the beauty offer with exclusives such as Victoria Beckham, Bottega Veneta, which has opened one of its first two fragrance-dedicated spaces worldwide, and the opening of Louis Vuitton Beauty. The second phase will bring the exceptional fragrance and skincare offerings of leading brands to the dome, echoing the in-store ranges. This evolution will take place in the first quarter of 2026.
FNW: What is your assessment of the Black Friday period, at a time when there is talk of double-digit growth in your online business, and what is the outlook for 2025?
AL: In 2024, we have returned to our pre-Covid business levels. We don’t report on Black Friday performance, but on the last two Saturdays in November we exceeded 200,000 visitors at Haussmann, a level of footfall equivalent to the last Saturday before Christmas last year.
This is encouraging momentum for December. We’ve seen strong growth in Haussmann business since the start of the year, with a dynamic French clientele at the flagship as well as across the network. We are also seeing strong momentum with European, Middle Eastern, and American customers.
But Christmas is obviously a key period in terms of business, as well as in terms of the links created with our customers through window displays. It’s naturally a time when we initiate actions to nurture customer relationships. This year, we launched an AI-based tool on our site to help with gift selection, and the initial feedback has been very encouraging. We expect to finish the year on a very positive note overall.
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Britain’s financial regulator on Monday unveiled a package of reforms aimed at encouraging retail investors to buy more shares and bonds, setting out one of its clearest statements yet on the UK’s post-Brexit direction for investment regulation.
Signage is seen for the FCA (Financial Conduct Authority), the UK’s financial regulatory body, at their head offices in London, Britain March 10, 2022 – REUTERS/Toby Melville
The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) published three papers outlining changes to investment disclosure requirements, updating the categorisation of professional investors and a broader rethink of risk in the investment landscape. The measures are designed to make investing in stocks and shares more attractive and accessible to individuals, while reinforcing protections where needed, the regulator said.
Expect Christmas shoppers to be “cautious but positive” this year when it comes to spending. But there’s also one big difference: AI’s getting more and more involved in the decision-making process, a new report shows.
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It appears British consumers are approaching this Christmas with “quiet confidence but clear spending limits” as 56% plan to spend roughly the same as last year, 18% expect to spend more, and the same number expect to spend less, according to Accenture data.
It all adds up to a “slowly stabilising retail environment… after several years of inflation-driven adjustment, households have found a new spending equilibrium when considering planning for Christmas this year”.
Accenture says consumers “are not slashing budgets but managing them more deliberately”. The most common strategies include reducing spend on presents (77%), buying from budget supermarkets (43%), saving earlier (34%), and skipping premium delivery (26%).
And the AI element? Around one in three (31%) consumers have used or would consider using AI tools such as ChatGPT or Gemini to plan Christmas shopping this year.
Their top uses are practical: gift ideas (25%), price comparison (24%) and budget management (18%).
But the research also indicates that while uptake isn’t widespread, “people could be open to using AI to help them in the future”. This means 46% would try an AI gift assistant integrated into retailer websites; 31% said they would be open to using an AI agent to do the full shopping experience, from sourcing a product to making the purchase.
But this uptake of AI is tempered by concern: 62% are unlikely to use AI this year, citing privacy (48%) and loss of personal touch (47%) as key reasons – suggesting we’re still at a nascent phase of adoption of the new technology.
Matt Jeffers, retail strategy lead, Accenture UK & Ireland: “After several years of managing a high cost of living, our data suggests that this year we’re seeing some signs of cautious consumer confidence returning, but people are still hovering above the brakes, and fine-tuning their spending to make Christmas work on their terms. For retailers, it means the opportunity is less about chasing volume, and more about demonstrating genuine value and empathy in how they engage and serve customers.”
On the AI front, Jeffers added: “This year shoppers are still in a test-and-learn phase, but our data shows that many shoppers are beginning to embrace AI to support their Christmas planning. This comes as platforms are beginning to embed third-party shopping tools into their chats, helping consumers make purchasing decisions directly from an AI chat.
“Retailers therefore need to ensure their business is built on modern and agile tech and data stacks, in order to capitalise on this trend as it grows for Christmas next year and beyond. This means being ready to seamlessly connect with LLMs as they prepare to become another way people shop. Trust and personalisation will still be king, and robust data protections should be baked into every layer.”