LVMH and Kering are expected to report another drop in quarterly sales, deepening investor worries about a prolonged downturn in the 400 billion dollar luxury market as brands face the threat of hefty US import tariffs.
Aspirational luxury shoppers have lost their spark in recent months – Shutterstock
The results, kicking off with LVMH on Thursday, will likely show that any revival in demand for pricey fashion in the key US and Chinese markets remains elusive. Uncertainty unleashed by US President Donald Trump‘s trade war has caused volatility in stock markets, weighing on consumer confidence.
Trump’s threat of 30% tariffs on imported EU goods risks hurting luxury houses that make products in France and Italy. They will be wary of lifting prices for US consumers after signs that previous rounds of price hikes slowed demand.
“The level of price increases has been too much” at a number of brands, alienating the “aspirational” middle-income shoppers, said Caroline Reyl, head of premium brands at Pictet Asset Management.
LVMH’s fashion and leather goods division, home to Louis Vuitton and Dior, is expected to show sales down 6% year-on-year, its fourth consecutive quarterly decline, according to a Visible Alpha consensus forecast.
Gucci, Kering’s main earner which is undergoing an overhaul, has struggled for twice as long and is seen reporting sales down nearly a quarter from a year earlier.
After two years of slowing sales, unease about the health of the industry is growing, with customers balking at higher price tags. Shares of LVMH are down nearly 27% since the start of this year, while shares of Kering are down 15%. Shares of Hermes and Richemont, which cater to mostly wealthy clients, were little changed, with the former down 0.9% and the latter up 1.6% over the same period.
LVMH, Europe’s most valuable listed company as recently as January, has slipped to fifth place. “It seems that investors are starting to worry about the long-term structural attractiveness of the industry,” UBS analysts said last week.
Sales of handbags – previously a growth engine – have been weak as shoppers opt for timeless, investment-grade jewellery. Brands including Dior, Gucci and Chanel have recruited new designers, but it takes time for fresh styles to enter stores.
Brands like Louis Vuitton and Prada are offering more products below 1,000 dollars, like a new hybrid ballerina-sneaker shoe, for example, and emphasising beauty products, said Bain consultants. But that carries risks. “The aspirational skew of the brand is unhelpful currently,” said HSBC analysts, highlighting problems at Louis Vuitton. “Some inconsistencies, we feel, are likely starting to have consumers wonder.”
Consensus forecasts peg organic sales of LVMH down 3%, while Kering is seen down 13%; Hermes and Prada are expected to show a 10% rise, as Prada’s Miu Miu label takes market share from rivals. Kering will report its results on July 29, while Hermes and Prada are due to report on July 30.
Lululemon Athletica’s CEO shake-up has put the spotlight on the once-dominant yoga pants maker’s race to wrest back younger and affluent shoppers from rivals and revive its sagging U.S. business.
Calvin McDonald – Reuters
Its shares, which have halved in value this year, rose 10% on Friday following the departure of CEO Calvin McDonald after about seven years in the role.
An athleisure pioneer known for its premium yoga apparel, Lululemon lost ground as newer rivals such as Alo Yoga and Vuori weaned away its core younger shoppers with trendier styles, marketing campaigns and celebrity partnerships.
Meanwhile, established players like Nike and Gap also entered the market with lower-priced styles.
Lululemon “caught the perfect wave in fashion, becoming the trend for the last five years,” said Brian Mulberry, senior client portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management.
“But as its core customers graduate college and face tighter budgets, affordability is a challenge and a new outfit at Lulu can cost as much as a month’s groceries.”
Lululemon sells a range of yoga, running and training apparel such as Align yoga pants priced at $108 and men’s joggers at $128.
The slow refresh to core styles and product missteps, such as its decision to pull its $98 “Breezethrough” leggings from shelves last year, have led to heavy discounting to clear aged inventory.
At an earnings call late on Thursday, company executives said the board is “focused on a leader with experience and growth and transformation”.
“It’s understandable to think that a strategic overhaul with a new leader at the helm will be a positive, but this opens the door to more questions as to what direction the board will go with a replacement,” said Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets.
Lululemon is the latest global consumer company facing leadership churn as macroeconomic uncertainty fuels increasingly divergent spending patterns.
Lululemon is making efforts to speed up product development, launch fresh styles and drive company-wide efficiencies to offset cost inflation and protect margins.
The company beat third-quarter results, lifted by strong China sales, but issued a weaker-than-expected holiday forecast as higher promotions and increased spending on marketing weigh on margins.
Founder Chip Wilson, who is also Lululemon’s largest independent shareholder, in a statement on Friday slammed the board for “poor succession planning” and value erosion.
He called for an urgent CEO search led by new, independent directors with deep company knowledge to restore a product-first focus. Lululemon did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment on Wilson’s statement.
The company’s forward price-to-earnings multiple, a common benchmark for valuing stocks, is 14.66, compared to 31.26 for Nike and Abercrombie & Fitch‘s ratio of 10.8, according to LSEG data.
“The main challenge I foresee for the new leadership is not how consumers see Lulu, but how does it see itself?” said Mulberry.
Ferragamo appoints Alberto Tomba as a brand ambassador. The collaboration with the Italian skiing legend celebrates values shared by the Florentine fashion house: dedication, perseverance, resilience and attention to detail.
Alberto Tomba
Born in 1966, Tomba is the quintessential emblem of an Italy that invests in talent, commitment and the ability to push beyond one’s limits. His career is marked by major international successes, including three Olympic gold medals and two silver medals, two World Championship gold medals and two bronze medals, and 50 World Cup victories.
The Bologna-born skier is also the only athlete to have won races in 11 consecutive seasons (1987-1998) and to have claimed four World Cup discipline titles in giant slalom and four in slalom.
“Tomba’s sporting journey perfectly reflects Ferragamo’s philosophy: every achievement comes from sacrifice, every result from dedication. We share with him a deep sense of authenticity and a love of excellence, values that continue to inspire our daily work,” said Leonardo Ferragamo.
“Being chosen by Ferragamo is an honour,” Tomba commented. “I have always believed that sport and style share a common language: that of passion, rigour and the desire to improve every day. Representing a brand that embodies all this, and that brings Italian beauty and craftsmanship to the world, is a source of great pride.”
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New York–based fashion brand Guizio is expanding its retail footprint with the opening of its second store, at Aventura Mall in Miami, this month.
Guizio expands retail footprint with Miami store opening. – Guizio
Designed in collaboration with Brandi Howe, the new Miami store reflects the brand’s refined aesthetic and contemporary edge, while introducing elements inspired by Miami’s vibrant energy.
It opens with a robust assortment of womenswear, along with an exclusive, limited-edition Puma sneaker available only at the Miami location.
“Opening a Guizio store in Aventura Mall is such a special moment for me,” said Danielle Guizio, founder and designer. “It allows us to connect with our community here and share the brand’s energy in a new way. Bringing our world to Miami felt like a natural next step in growing Guizio, and we’re so excited for what’s ahead.”
Guizio founded her namesake womenswear label in 2014 and continues to offer ready-to-wear collections that celebrate the modern-day woman.
Through her collections, woven knits, structured suiting, and signature corsets are emboldened with asymmetrical details, purposeful cut-outs, ruching and custom hardware. The label has become a favorite among talent such as Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Rosalia, and more.
The opening follows the success of the brand’s SoHo flagship in New York, which opened in September 2024.