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Lululemon tumbles as tariff uncertainty, weak demand hit forecasts

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Reuters

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March 30, 2025

Lululemon Athletica shares fell nearly 13% in premarket trading on Friday, after the sportswear maker provided downbeat annual forecasts as the broader apparel space battles an uneven consumer demand environment.

Reuters

The company, during its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, flagged that consumers were spending less due to increased concerns about inflation and the economy.

Lululemon joins a list of retailers rattled by uncertainty around U.S. President Donald Trump‘s erratic tariff decisions, which have shaken consumer confidence that was already weak with Americans being careful about shelling out more dollars on everything from groceries to nice-to-have items amid still-high inflation.

The company has also been losing market share to upstarts Alo Yoga and Vuori as it takes longer to rebuild its brand image despite launching a wide array of new clothing.

“Increased newness (is) not enough to offset macro-related slowdown,” Needham analyst Tom Nikic said in a note.

According to Piper Sandler analysts, the debate continues to be whether the real issue is brand maturity and saturation in a competitive market for Lululemon.

Some analysts said there is a growing consumer enthusiasm for Lululemon’s Glow Up tank tops and Daydrift high-rise trousers, but an uncertain environment dims hopes of a rebound in demand soon.
“We started this year with several compelling new product launches, but we also believe the dynamic macro environment has contributed to a more cautious consumer,” CEO Calvin McDonald said on Thursday.

Lululemon’s forward price-to-earnings ratio for the next 12 months — a benchmark for valuing stocks — was 21.92, compared with 31.51 for Nike and 25.67 for Adidas.

“Newness restored, but not guaranteed to save current deceleration in growth,” said Jefferies analyst Randal Konik, adding that the theme still remains about growth fading.

Lululemon’s shares were trading at $299 before the bell. They had fallen more than 25% in 2024.

© Thomson Reuters 2025 All rights reserved.



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Lab-grown diamonds have potential to reshape consumer behaviour, challenge traditional jewellery business, says Solitario CEO

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For years, the natural diamond industry through its advertisements has succeeded in selling their stones to dreamy girls, who want a storybook wedding and a big shiny rock like the ones advertised with a promise of forever.
 
However, the emergence of synthetic lab-grown gems has dented the business of traditional mining powerhouses that once ruled the market. With the natural diamond industry often accused of unethical sourcing with allegations of crimes, political interference, price-manipulation and conspiracy, the industry is witnessing a shift in consumer demand towards Lab-grown diamonds (LGDs).
 
LGDs have grown in popularity in recent years as a cheaper, ethical alternative to natural diamonds as they claim to offer conflict free and environment friendly diamonds with physical & visual similarities.
India has the highest number of lab-grown diamond (LGD) startups in the world and many branded jewellers are investing in lab-grown inventories. At the same time, leading producers of LGDs have secured funding from investment firms. One such producer of LGDs is Solitario which recently secured funding of Rs 30 crore ($3.5 million) at a valuation of Rs 150 crore.
 
Founded by Ricky Vasandani and actor Vivek Oberoi, Solitario is a luxury brand specializing in lab-grown diamonds. The brand has already established a strong retail presence across major Indian cities along with an international footprint in Dubai, Malaysia, Spain, Nigeria, The Bahamas among others.
 
We spoke to CEO and co-founder of Solitario, Ricky Vasandani about how Solitario is ramping up its business, as well as how it plans to raise awareness about LGDs, and its global plans.
 

CEO and co-founder of Solitario, Ricky Vasandani – Solitario

FashionNetwork.com: Solitario is one of the early movers in the LGD industry. Tell us about the conceptualisation and risks involved behind the launch of Solitario, given the fact that LGD market is still at a nascent stage in India?
 
Ricky Vasandani: Launching Solitario in India, where the market for LGDs was still in its early stages, involved significant risk. However, we chose to take a calculated leap of belief rather than just a leap of faith. Educating consumers about LGDs posed a significant challenge, as awareness was limited, and misconceptions were prevalent.

Traditionally perceived as symbols of aspiration, diamonds have now become more accessible through lab-grown alternatives, offering sustainability, ethical sourcing, and affordability. As an early mover in the industry, Solitario has been committed to educating consumers and reshaping perceptions, making high-quality diamonds more accessible.
 
FNW: India is predominantly considered a gold market with consumers buying it for investment, cultural, wedding and festive needs. Is the LGD industry ready to disrupt traditional jewellery business in India and why?
 
RV: Diamonds have never truly been viewed as an investment; they’ve always been seen as a luxury status symbol or commodity, prized for their beauty and rarity. LGDs have the potential to transform this landscape by making luxury more accessible and affordable without compromising on quality. They offer a transparent, sustainable, and ethical alternative to mined diamonds, appealing to conscious consumers.
 
In India, where gold has traditionally been seen as a safe investment and a cultural asset, the LGD industry is still in its early stages but has the potential to reshape consumer behaviour. As consumer perceptions evolve for the lab-grown diamonds, the industry is poised to challenge the traditional jewellery business and expand the reach of high-quality diamond jewellery to a broader audience.
 
FNW: LGDs are gaining popularity as an alternative to natural diamonds especially among the very few socially conscious consumers as natural diamonds have often been associated with conflicts, violence and crimes giving it the tag of blood diamonds. However, majority of diamond jewellery buyers still prefer natural diamonds over LGDs. As an industry player, how do you intend to create awareness and debunk the myths (quality, price depreciation, and value for money) associated with LGDs?
 
RV: Our primary goal is to educate consumers and challenge myths surrounding LGDs. While many still prefer natural diamonds, it is essential to highlight that LGDs are chemically identical, offering the same beauty and durability without the ethical concerns tied to mined diamonds.
 
We aim to reinforce that LGDs provide better value for money, allowing consumers to purchase larger, higher-quality diamonds within their budget while supporting a more sustainable and socially responsible choice. Through transparency, education, and open communication, we are committed to making LGDs a trusted and accessible luxury alternative in the evolving jewellery landscape.
 

Solitario – Facebook

 
FNW: According to data, India has the highest number of LGD startups in the world. Many of India’s large jewellery firms too are entering this market. Do you feel this is good for the overall industry, as LGDs are still in the early stages of acceptance in India? How does Solitario intend to stand out and become a dominant player in this market?
 
RV: Absolutely. The rise of more LGD startups is beneficial for the industry as it increases visibility, which in turn increases more consumer interest, and market adoption.  
 
From a marketing perspective, the ‘Rule of 7’ implies that consumers typically need to encounter a brand’s message seven times before making a purchasing decision. While the exact number varies based on product complexity and consumer’s intent, the increasing exposure to LGDs helps drive awareness and boost demand of LGDs.
 
FNW: Tell us about your domestic, international expansion plan for the brand, which markets are you looking to tap for growth?
 
RV: Domestically, our focus is on expanding into tier 2 cities, where we see significant growth potential in reaching a wider audience. In tier 1 cities, we are strengthening our presence in key markets such as Delhi and Hyderabad while also expanding our store network in Mumbai and Bangalore to cater to the increasing demand.
 
Internationally, we are making strategic moves to expand into new regions. This financial year, we are excited to enter markets in Egypt, Portugal, Russia, and Bahrain, further extending our global footprint. These expansions reflect our commitment to making lab-grown diamonds accessible to more consumers worldwide while solidifying our position as an industry leader.
 

Solitario
Solitario

FNW: Solitario has a significant presence in the international markets. How much does these markets contribute to the company’s overall revenue and what difference do you see in terms of consumer preferences?
 
RV: International markets play a crucial role in Solitario’s growth and driving overall revenue. While domestic sales remain strong, our global presence continues to grow, with international markets contributing a significant portion to our total revenue.
 
In terms of consumer preferences, we observe a distinct trend: international customers are increasingly open to lab-grown diamonds, with many opting for larger stones compared to domestic markets. This shift is largely driven by the affordability and value proposition that LGD offer. Consumers abroad are embracing the opportunity to purchase larger, higher-quality diamonds at a more accessible price point, making it easier for them to own the luxury of a diamond without compromising on their ethical values or budget. This growing global acceptance of lab-grown diamonds is exciting for us as it underscores the universal appeal of our products and reflects the increasing demand for sustainable, high-quality alternatives in the luxury jewellery segment.

Copyright © 2025 FashionNetwork.com All rights reserved.



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Nike, Walmart jump on 90-day tariff pause for key suppliers

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Bloomberg

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April 10, 2025

Retail stocks soared after President Donald Trump said he’ll pause higher tariffs for 90 days for dozens of nations that haven’t imposed retaliatory measures on the US.

Nike

Countries getting a reprieve include several key suppliers for many apparel and sneaker makers. Critical production hubs including Vietnam, Indonesia and Cambodia have all expressed interest in negotiating trade deals with the US, but global supply chains remain in limbo until any new pacts are reached.

Shares of retailers broadly traded higher on Wednesday afternoon including Nike Inc. up as much as 12%, Walmart Inc. up as much as 11%, Lululemon Athletica Inc. up as much as 16%, and Gap Inc. up as much as 19%. The S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index saw its largest gain since 2008. 

Trump’s about-face came roughly 13 hours after higher reciprocal duties on 56 nations and the European Union went into effect, a move that had fueled market turmoil and stoked recession fears.

Countries that were hit with the higher, reciprocal duties that went into effect at midnight will now be taxed at the earlier 10% baseline rate applied to other nations, with the exception of China, according to a White House official. China’s duties were raised to 125% over its refusal to negotiate.

The news is a positive development for retailers that have been shifting away from China into neighboring countries, said Poonam Goyal, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. Sportswear brands, for instance, could largely mitigate a 10% tariff and can reroute production from China to Southeast Asia to avoid higher duties, Goyal said.
 



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In stunning U-turn, Trump walks back some tariffs, triggering historic market rally

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Reuters

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April 10, 2025

In a stunning reversal, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday he would temporarily lower the hefty duties he had just imposed on dozens of countries while further ramping up pressure on China, sending U.S. stocks rocketing higher.

Donald Trump

Trump’s turnabout, which came less than 24 hours after steep new tariffs kicked in on most trading partners, followed the most intense episode of financial market volatility since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic. The upheaval erased trillions of dollars from stock markets and led to an unsettling surge in U.S. government bond yields that appeared to catch Trump’s attention.

“I thought that people were jumping a little bit out of line, they were getting yippy, you know,” Trump told reporters after the announcement, referring to a golf term.

Since returning to the White House in January, Trump has repeatedly threatened an array of punitive measures on trading partners, only to revoke some of them at the last minute. The on-again, off-again approach has baffled world leaders and spooked business executives, who say the uncertainty has made it difficult to forecast market conditions.

The day’s events cast into stark relief the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s policies and how he and his team create and implement them.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent asserted that the pullback had been the plan all along to bring countries to the bargaining table. Trump, though, later indicated that the near-panic in markets that had unfolded since his April 2 announcements had factored in to his thinking. Despite insisting for days that his policies would never change, he told reporters on Wednesday: “You have to be flexible.”

But he kept the pressure on China, the No. 2 provider of U.S. imports. Trump said he would raise the tariff on Chinese imports to 125% from the 104% level that took effect at midnight, further escalating a high-stakes confrontation between the world’s two largest economies. The two countries have traded tit-for-tat tariff hikes repeatedly over the past week.

Trump’s reversal on the country-specific tariffs is not absolute. A 10% blanket duty on almost all U.S. imports will remain in effect, the White House said. The announcement also does not appear to affect duties on autos, steel and aluminum that are already in place.

​The 90-day freeze also does not apply to duties paid by Canada and Mexico, because their goods are still subject to 25% fentanyl-related tariffs if they do not comply with the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement’s rules of origin. Those duties remain in place for the moment, with an indefinite exemption for USMCA-compliant goods.

“China is unlikely to change its strategy: stand firm, absorb pressure, and let Trump overplay his hand. Beijing believes Trump sees concessions as a weakness, so giving ground only invites more pressure,” said Daniel Russel, vice president of international security and diplomacy at the Asia Society Policy Institute.

“Other countries will welcome the 90-day stay of execution — if it lasts — but the whiplash from constant zigzags creates more of the uncertainty that businesses and governments hate,” Russel said.
U.S. stock indexes shot higher on the news, with the benchmark S&P 500, opens new tab index closing 9.5% higher. Bond yields came off earlier highs and the dollar rebounded against safe-haven currencies.

Trump’s tariffs had sparked a days-long selloff that erased trillions of dollars from global stocks and pressured U.S. Treasury bonds and the dollar, which form the backbone of the global financial system. Canada and Japan said they would step in to provide stability if needed – a task usually performed by the United States during times of economic crisis.

Analysts said the sudden spike in share prices might not undo all of the damage. Surveys have found slowing business investment and household spending due to worries about the impact of the tariffs, and a Reuters/Ipsos survey found that three out of four Americans expect prices to increase in the months ahead.

Goldman Sachs cut its probability of a recession back to 45% after Trump’s move, down from 65%, saying the tariffs left in place were still likely to result in a 15% increase in the overall tariff rate.

Treasury Secretary Bessent shrugged off questions about market turmoil and said the abrupt reversal rewarded countries that had heeded Trump’s advice to refrain from retaliation. He suggested Trump had used the tariffs to create maximum negotiating leverage. “This was his strategy all along,” Bessent told reporters. “And you might even say that he goaded China into a bad position.”

Bessent is the point person in the country-by-country negotiations that could address foreign aid and military cooperation as well as economic matters. Trump has spoken with leaders of Japan and South Korea, and a delegation from Vietnam was due to meet with U.S. officials on Wednesday.

Bessent declined to say how long negotiations with the more than 75 countries that have reached out might take.

Trump said a resolution with China was possible as well. But officials have said they will prioritize talks with other countries.

“China wants to make a deal,” Trump said. “They just don’t know how quite to go about it.”

Trump told reporters that he had been considering a pause for several days. On Monday, the White House denounced a report that the administration was considering such a move, calling it “fake news.”

Earlier on Wednesday, before the announcement, Trump tried to reassure investors, posting on his Truth Social account, “BE COOL! Everything is going to work out well. The USA will be bigger and better than ever before!”

Later, he added: “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!”

© Thomson Reuters 2025 All rights reserved.



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