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Last Call for 9.4.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

A Florida TaxWatch analysis suggests Florida missed out on a U.S. House seat after the last census — and maybe two. But any effort to correct that could impact 13 other states, depending on how the federal government treats noncitizens in a new count.

The Tallahassee-based fiscal watchdog released its latest report, “Census Briefing: Apportionment changes amid policy proposals,” which evaluates three different methods by which the federal government could revisit its 2020 census data.

The report focuses on different outlooks one can take when revisiting the population count in the country conducted five years ago, rather than one that a snap census might produce. Whether trying to correct an undercount in the state or by changing standards to only count legal residents or legal citizens, the result for Florida would be the same: an increase in political influence from the 2021 reapportionment of congressional votes.

“During the 2020 census, an estimated 750,000 Floridians failed to respond to their census survey, resulting in a statistically significant undercount of 3.48%. This undercount cost the State of Florida at least one additional seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, and at least one additional vote in the Electoral College, and billions of dollars’ worth of grant funding throughout the decade,” said Florida TaxWatch President Dominic Calabro.

The report came out as Gov. Ron DeSantis and Florida legislative leaders move toward a mid-decade redistricting similar to that of other states, a process that would be significantly impacted if Florida had more than the 28 U.S. House districts currently assembled in its map. But sources closely following the redistricting process wonder whether the process would result in the gains desired by Florida Republicans.

Florida TaxWatch has already explored one scenario. A July report showed that inaccuracies in the 2020 census — most because of an undercounting of people in the state — resulted in Florida, Texas and Tennessee all being shorted one congressional seat, while Colorado, Minnesota and Rhode Island all erroneously obtained a seat.

Of note, the three wronged states, according to that analysis, were those President Donald Trump carried in the 2024 Presidential Election. All three states that gained from the undercount went for Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.

Read more on Florida Politics.

Evening Reads

—“RFK Jr.’s victory lap” via Tom Bartlett of The Atlantic

—“Why I HATE Congressional hearings (and yes, this is about RFK Jr.)” via Chris Cillizza of So What

—”Donald Trump’s lawyers just inadvertently admitted that his tariffs are illegal” via Ian Millhiser of Vox

—”The Supreme Court is just another political football now” via Chris Cillizza of So What

—“Richard Corcoran’s compelling case” via Matt Walsh of Your Observer

—”HHS boosts Florida opposition to vax mandates in letter to health providers” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics

—”How Ben Franklin’s French diplomacy raised money — and saved the American Revolution” via Jason Zweig of The Wall Street Journal

—“NFL RedZone host Scott Hanson confirms broadcast will feature commercials this season” via Amos Morale III and Richard Deitsch of The Athletic

—”The best quarterbacks of all time” via Nate Silver of the Silver Bulletin

—”The NFL’s most valuable teams 2025” via Justin Teitelbaum and Brett Knight of Forbes

Quote of the Day

“With Florida offering some of the most popular vacation destinations in the nation, the ramifications from this decision could be catastrophic.”

Ashley Lyerly of the American Lung Association, on Florida’s push to end all vaccine mandates.

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

Playing catch-up on mid-decade redistricting? Sip on an Over and Under while you read through Florida TaxWatch’s comprehensive Census Briefing.

Florida’s job market is serving up Hot Streaks after capping off its seventh week of declining new unemployment filings.

Health organizations and Democrats aren’t keen on the state’s most recent anti-vaccine moves, but there’s no rule yet against ordering them Jabs & Dabs.

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Gators face USF in Gainesville on Saturday

The Florida Gators host USF on Saturday in one of three matchups of teams from the Sunshine State (4:15 p.m. ET, SEC Network).

Florida, ranked #13 in this week’s Associated Press Top 25 poll, opened the season with a 55-0 victory over Long Island University. Gators’ quarterback DJ Lagway threw three touchdowns, and Jadan Baugh ran for 104 yards and a touchdown in the win.

USF delivered one of the most impressive performances of the early season when it beat Boise State 34-7 to open the season. It was the Bulls’ first win over a ranked team since 2016.

The other games involving a pair of Florida schools this weekend include:

— Florida A&M at FAU (6 p.m. ET, ESPN+): FAU dropped the season opener 39-7 at Maryland. Quarterback Caden Veltkamp threw four interceptions in the loss. FAMU dropped a 10-9 loss to Howard in the Orange Blossom Classic at Hard Rock Stadium.

— Bethune Cookman at Miami (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+, ACC Network): The fifth-ranked Hurricanes opened the season with a 27-24 victory over Notre Dame to open the season. Former Georgia quarterback Carson Beck tossed a pair of touchdowns and threw for 205 yards in the victory. Bethune-Cookman dropped a 42-9 loss to FIU in the season opener.

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Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.


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Eileen Higgins brings out starpower as special election campaign nears close

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Prominent Democrats will be on hand at a number of stops.

Former Miami-Dade Commissioner Eileen Higgins is enlisting more big names as support at early vote stops ahead of Tuesday’s special election for Mayor, including a Senate candidate, a former Senate candidate, and a current candidate for Governor.

During her canvass kickoff at 10 a.m at Elizabeth Virrick Park, Higgins will appear with U.S. Senate Candidate Hector Mujica.

Early vote stops follow, with Higgins solo at the 11 a.m. show-up at Miami City Hall and the 11:30 at the Shenandoah Library.

From there, big names from Orlando will be with the candidate.

Orange County Mayor and candidate for Florida Governor Jerry Demings and former Congresswoman Val Demings will appear with Higgins at the Liberty Square Family & Friends Picnic (2 p.m.), Charles Hadley Park (3 p.m.), and the Carrie P. Meek Senior and Cultural Center (3:30 p.m.)

Higgins, who served on the County Commission from 2018 to 2025, is competing in a runoff for the city’s mayoralty against former City Manager Emilio González. The pair topped 11 other candidates in Miami’s Nov. 4 General Election, with Higgins, a Democrat, taking 36% of the vote and González, a Republican, capturing 19.5%.

To win outright, a candidate had to receive more than half the vote. Miami’s elections are technically nonpartisan, though party politics frequently still play into races.



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Hope Florida fallout drives another Rick Scott rebuke of Ron DeSantis

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The cold war between Florida’s Governor and his predecessor is nearly seven years old and tensions show no signs of thawing.

On Friday, Sen. Rick Scott weighed in on Florida Politics’ reporting on the Agency for Health Care Administration’s apparent repayment of $10 million of Medicaid money from a settlement last year, which allegedly had been diverted to the Hope Florida Foundation, summarily filtered through non-profits through political committees, and spent on political purposes.

“I appreciate the efforts by the Florida legislature to hold Hope Florida accountable. Millions in tax dollars for poor kids have no business funding political ads. If any money was misspent, then it should be paid back by the entities responsible, not the taxpayers,” Scott posted to X.

While AHCA Deputy Chief of Staff Mallory McManus says that is an “incorrect” interpretation, she did not respond to a follow-up question asking for further detail this week.

The $10 million under scrutiny was part of a $67 million settlement from state Medicaid contractor Centene, which DeSantis said was “a cherry on top” in the settlement, arguing it wasn’t truly from Medicaid money.

But in terms of the Scott-DeSantis contretemps, it’s the latest example of tensions that seemed to start even before DeSantis was sworn in when Scott left the inauguration of his successor, and which continue in the race to succeed DeSantis, with Scott enthusiastic about current front runner Byron Donalds.

Earlier this year, Scott criticized DeSantis’ call to repeal so-called vaccine mandates for school kids, saying parents could already opt out according to state law.

While running for re-election to the Senate in 2024, Scott critiqued the Heartbeat Protection Act, a law signed by DeSantis that banned abortion after the sixth week of pregnancy with some exceptions, saying the 15 week ban was “where the state’s at.”

In 2023 after Scott endorsed Donald Trump for President while DeSantis was still a candidate, DeSantis said it was an attempt to “short circuit” the voters.

That same year amid DeSantis’ conflict over parental rights legislation with The Walt Disney Co.Scott said it was important for Governors to “work with” major companies in their states.

The critiques went both ways.

When running for office, DeSantis distanced himself from Scott amid controversy about the Senator’s blind trust for his assets as Governor.

“I basically made decisions to serve in uniform, as a prosecutor, and in Congress to my financial detriment,” DeSantis said in October 2018. “I’m not entering (office) with a big trust fund or anything like that, so I’m not going to be entering office with those issues.”

In 2020, when the state’s creaky unemployment website couldn’t handle the surge of applicants for reemployment assistance as the pandemic shut down businesses, DeSantis likened it to a “jalopy in the Daytona 500” and Scott urged him to “quit blaming others” for the website his administration inherited.

The chill between the former and current Governors didn’t abate in time for 2022’s hurricane season, when Scott said DeSantis didn’t talk to him after the fearsome Hurricane Ian ravaged the state.



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Amnesty International alleges human rights violations at Alligator Alcatraz

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Enforcing what Gov. Ron DeSantis calls the “rule of law” violates international law and norms, according to a global group weighing in this week.

Amnesty International is the latest group to condemn the treatment of immigrants with disputed documentation at two South Florida lockups, the Krome North Service Processing Center (Krome) and the Everglades Detention Facility (Alligator Alcatraz).

The latter has been a priority of state government since President Donald Trump was inaugurated.

The organization claims treatment of the detained falls “far below international human rights standards.”

Amnesty released a report Friday covering what it calls a “a research trip to southern Florida in September 2025, to document the human rights impacts of federal and state migration and asylum policies on mass detention and deportation, access to due process, and detention conditions since President Trump took office on 20 January 2025.”

“The routine and prolonged use of shackles on individuals detained for immigration purposes, both at detention facilities and during transfer between facilities, constitutes cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment, and may amount to torture or other ill-treatment,” the report concludes.

Gov. DeSantis’ administration spent much of 2025 prioritizing Alligator Alcatraz.

While the state did not comment on the report, Amnesty alleges the state’s “decision to cut resources from essential social and emergency management programs while continuing to allocate resources for immigration detention represents a grave misallocation of state resources. This practice undermines the fulfillment of economic and social rights for Florida residents and reinforces a system of detention that facilitates human rights violations.”

Amnesty urges a series of policy changes that won’t happen, including the repeal of immigration legislation in Senate Bill 4-C, which proscribes penalties for illegal entry and illegal re-entry, mandates imprisonment for being in Florida without being a legal immigrant, and capital punishment for any such undocumented immigrant who commits capital crimes.

The group also recommends ending 287(g) agreements allowing locals to help with immigration enforcement, stopping practices like shackling and solitary confinement, and closing Alligator Alcatraz itself.



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