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Last Call for 9.4.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

A Florida TaxWatch analysis suggests Florida missed out on a U.S. House seat after the last census — and maybe two. But any effort to correct that could impact 13 other states, depending on how the federal government treats noncitizens in a new count.

The Tallahassee-based fiscal watchdog released its latest report, “Census Briefing: Apportionment changes amid policy proposals,” which evaluates three different methods by which the federal government could revisit its 2020 census data.

The report focuses on different outlooks one can take when revisiting the population count in the country conducted five years ago, rather than one that a snap census might produce. Whether trying to correct an undercount in the state or by changing standards to only count legal residents or legal citizens, the result for Florida would be the same: an increase in political influence from the 2021 reapportionment of congressional votes.

“During the 2020 census, an estimated 750,000 Floridians failed to respond to their census survey, resulting in a statistically significant undercount of 3.48%. This undercount cost the State of Florida at least one additional seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, and at least one additional vote in the Electoral College, and billions of dollars’ worth of grant funding throughout the decade,” said Florida TaxWatch President Dominic Calabro.

The report came out as Gov. Ron DeSantis and Florida legislative leaders move toward a mid-decade redistricting similar to that of other states, a process that would be significantly impacted if Florida had more than the 28 U.S. House districts currently assembled in its map. But sources closely following the redistricting process wonder whether the process would result in the gains desired by Florida Republicans.

Florida TaxWatch has already explored one scenario. A July report showed that inaccuracies in the 2020 census — most because of an undercounting of people in the state — resulted in Florida, Texas and Tennessee all being shorted one congressional seat, while Colorado, Minnesota and Rhode Island all erroneously obtained a seat.

Of note, the three wronged states, according to that analysis, were those President Donald Trump carried in the 2024 Presidential Election. All three states that gained from the undercount went for Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.

Read more on Florida Politics.

Evening Reads

—“RFK Jr.’s victory lap” via Tom Bartlett of The Atlantic

—“Why I HATE Congressional hearings (and yes, this is about RFK Jr.)” via Chris Cillizza of So What

—”Donald Trump’s lawyers just inadvertently admitted that his tariffs are illegal” via Ian Millhiser of Vox

—”The Supreme Court is just another political football now” via Chris Cillizza of So What

—“Richard Corcoran’s compelling case” via Matt Walsh of Your Observer

—”HHS boosts Florida opposition to vax mandates in letter to health providers” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics

—”How Ben Franklin’s French diplomacy raised money — and saved the American Revolution” via Jason Zweig of The Wall Street Journal

—“NFL RedZone host Scott Hanson confirms broadcast will feature commercials this season” via Amos Morale III and Richard Deitsch of The Athletic

—”The best quarterbacks of all time” via Nate Silver of the Silver Bulletin

—”The NFL’s most valuable teams 2025” via Justin Teitelbaum and Brett Knight of Forbes

Quote of the Day

“With Florida offering some of the most popular vacation destinations in the nation, the ramifications from this decision could be catastrophic.”

Ashley Lyerly of the American Lung Association, on Florida’s push to end all vaccine mandates.

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

Playing catch-up on mid-decade redistricting? Sip on an Over and Under while you read through Florida TaxWatch’s comprehensive Census Briefing.

Florida’s job market is serving up Hot Streaks after capping off its seventh week of declining new unemployment filings.

Health organizations and Democrats aren’t keen on the state’s most recent anti-vaccine moves, but there’s no rule yet against ordering them Jabs & Dabs.

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Gators face USF in Gainesville on Saturday

The Florida Gators host USF on Saturday in one of three matchups of teams from the Sunshine State (4:15 p.m. ET, SEC Network).

Florida, ranked #13 in this week’s Associated Press Top 25 poll, opened the season with a 55-0 victory over Long Island University. Gators’ quarterback DJ Lagway threw three touchdowns, and Jadan Baugh ran for 104 yards and a touchdown in the win.

USF delivered one of the most impressive performances of the early season when it beat Boise State 34-7 to open the season. It was the Bulls’ first win over a ranked team since 2016.

The other games involving a pair of Florida schools this weekend include:

— Florida A&M at FAU (6 p.m. ET, ESPN+): FAU dropped the season opener 39-7 at Maryland. Quarterback Caden Veltkamp threw four interceptions in the loss. FAMU dropped a 10-9 loss to Howard in the Orange Blossom Classic at Hard Rock Stadium.

— Bethune Cookman at Miami (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+, ACC Network): The fifth-ranked Hurricanes opened the season with a 27-24 victory over Notre Dame to open the season. Former Georgia quarterback Carson Beck tossed a pair of touchdowns and threw for 205 yards in the victory. Bethune-Cookman dropped a 42-9 loss to FIU in the season opener.

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Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.


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Senate committee willing to test the waters on expanding swim lesson vouchers

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The Senate Health Policy Committee plunged into a proposal to expand the Florida swim lesson voucher program that provides financial help for teaching kids how to handle water.

The panel approved a measure (SB 428) by Sen. Clay Yarborough, a Jacksonville Republican, to allow older kids to qualify for the voucher program. The current program, originally enacted in 2024, provides vouchers for families of children aged 0 to 4 years old. Yarborough’s bill would allow kids 1 to 7 to qualify for vouchers.

Yarborough told the committee that in the first year of life for infants, they don’t really “learn” how to swim as much as they act instinctively in the water. Furthermore, he said, adding additional years will help ensure lessons for children who didn’t get around to learning how to swim earlier.

Corrine Bria, a pediatric emergency medical physician at Nemours Children’s Health facility in Orlando, spoke at the hearing and said the rise in young drownings is heartbreaking. Nemours has handled 35 drownings of children in the past three years, and 90% of those are under the age of 7, Bria said.

“As a physician in a pediatric emergency department I see firsthand what it looks like when a child gets carried into the ED (emergency department) by a parent or brought in on a stretcher after drowning,” Bria said. “We know that a child can drown in a matter of seconds and this happens too frequently in Florida.”

Jason Hagensick, President and CEO of the YMCA of South Palm Beach County, also addressed the committee on behalf of the Florida State Alliance of YMCAs and said the revision to the swimming lesson voucher program would be a big improvement.

“Drowning remains a leading cause of unintentional injury (and) death in the United States,” Hagensick said, adding that early swim lessons reduce the risk of drowning by 88%.

“Expanding the swim voucher program to include children up to the age of 7 will dramatically increase access to essential swim instruction at a time when those skills are most impactful,” Hagensick continued. “It will deepen water competency and strengthen confidence for kids and parents alike and help prevent needless tragedies that devastate families and communities.”

A similar bill (HB 85) is working its way through the House. The House Health Care Budget Subcommittee approved that measure last week. Rep. Kim Kendall, a St. Augustine Republican, is sponsoring the House version.



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Senate advances Jason Pizzo bill extending PTSD workers’ comp coverage to 911 dispatchers

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Legislation that would narrowly recategorize 911 dispatchers as first responders so they can receive workers’ compensation for work-related psychological injuries is one step closer to passing in the Legislature’s upper chamber.

Members of the Government Oversight and Accountability Committee voted unanimously to advance the bill (SB 774), which would eliminate a barrier that today denies aid to people who are often the first to respond to a crime.

The measure’s sponsor, Hollywood Sen. Jason Pizzo, noted that during his time as a prosecutor, playing a 911 call would often be the most effective thing to do to sway a jury.

“911, what’s your emergency? He’s going to kill me! He’s going to kill me! Now, imagine hearing that 12 times a day, 15 times a day,” he said.

“Two years ago, you all voted to require these 911 operators to be proficient in CPR so they could administer (it) over the phone. And they’re not considered first responders? They are first responders, and they’ve been grossly overlooked and screwed, and this brings some remedy.”

SB 774 would add 911 dispatchers to the group of “first responders” covered by Florida’s special workers’-compensation rules for employment-related mental or nervous injuries. It would apply the same framework to them as other first responders for mental health claims.

Essentially, if you’re a 911 dispatcher and develop post-traumatic stress disorder, anxiety or similar mental health injuries from traumatic calls, SB 774 would make it so you can get workers’ comp-covered treatment and that your claim is handled under the same special rules lawmakers already set for other first responders — without certain time-limit restrictions that typically apply to mental injury benefits.

Several dispatchers signaled or spoke in favor of the bill, as did representatives from the Florida Police Chiefs Association, Florida Sheriffs Association and Consolidated Dispatch Agency.

Jennifer Dana, a dispatcher with the Palm Beach Sheriff’s Office, noted that in a Senate analysis of SB 774, there’s a list of disturbing things first responders see and do on the job, from seeing dead children and witnessing murders to helping severely injured people, including those who commit suicide.

What it doesn’t include, she said, is that 911 dispatchers also witness those things.

“We’re seeing and hearing it,” she said. “We have the technology for people to livestream it now, so it’s a double-whammy for us, and we want to make sure we have the protections.”

Kim Powell, a licensed and clinical mental health counselor who oversees an employee behavioral health program at a 911 communications center in Leon County, detailed several examples of what dispatchers experience: a woman struggling to breathe while dying from a gunshot wound inflicted by her child’s father; an officer’s final words moments before his murder; the sound of a mother discovering her deceased infant; the 800 or so calls received in the wake of the Florida State University shooting last April.

“These are not isolated events; they are part of the job,” she said. “The trauma compounds over time with repeat exposure.”

St. Petersburg Republican Sen. Nick DiCeglie thanked Pizzo for carrying the bill and expressed gratitude to the “3,500 dispatchers” across Florida for their work.

“For me personally, (this) could be one of the most important bills that we have this Session because of the importance there is for your well-being and your quality of life,” he said.

Melbourne Republican Sen. Debbie Mayfield, who chairs the committee, echoed DiCeglie’s remarks.

Pizzo reminded the panel that four years ago, during COVID, a $280 million set-aside for payments to first responders and front-line workers did not extend to 911 dispatchers.

“They never stopped working,” he said, adding that Mayfield at the time acknowledged the oversight and pledged that the Legislature would get it right in the future. “So, it’s serendipitous that you were kind and gracious enough to put us on the agenda.”

SB 774 will next go to the Senate Appropriations Committee on Agriculture, Environment and General Government, after which it has one more stop before reaching a floor vote.

An identical bill (HB 451) by Republican Rep. Jeff Holcomb of Spring Hill awaits its first hearing in the House.



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Hillsborough College Trustees OK first step in Tampa Bay Rays stadium talks

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The Tampa Bay Rays’ search for a new home took a tangible step forward as the Hillsborough College Board of Trustees approved a nonbinding agreement that could ultimately shift the franchise away from St. Petersburg under its new ownership.

The Board voted to approve a memorandum of understanding (MOU) authorizing staff to negotiate with the Tampa Bay Rays over a potential stadium and mixed-use redevelopment at the college’s Dale Mabry Campus.

The agreement does not commit the college to the project and can be terminated by the Board at any time. Instead, it outlines key terms the parties would like to see in any future binding agreements, which would require separate Board approval at a later public meeting.

College officials characterized the MOU as the beginning of negotiations. Under the document, staff would begin drafting potential project agreements for Trustees to consider in the future, with an anticipated negotiation timeline of up to 180 days.

Rays CEO Ken Babby addressed Trustees during the meeting, calling the proposal an early milestone. He emphasized that the effort involves the college, the team, the state and local governments. Babby said the Rays are exploring a roughly 130-acre redevelopment anchored by a new stadium and an integrated college campus, alongside residential, commercial and entertainment uses. 

“As we envision this development, together in cooperation and partnership with the community and the college, we’ve been calling the campus portion of this work ‘Innovation Edge’ featuring Hillsborough College,” Babby said.

“It’ll be neighbored by, of course, what we envision to be ‘Champions Corridor,’ which we hope will be the mentioned home of the Tampa Bay Rays. Of course, this will be a mixed-use with residential, with commercial, and, as we’ve said, billions of dollars of economic impact to the region. … This is an incredible moment for our community.”

Public input was split. Supporters recognized the economic impact the project could have, while critics worried about the effect on housing affordability, in particular for college students.

Following the vote, Trustees acknowledged uncertainty among students, faculty and staff, particularly those based at the Dale Mabry campus, but stressed that the approval did not determine final outcomes.

“This is a major decision, and I truly hope that it leads Hillsborough College towards growth and advancement,” Student Trustee Nicolas Castellanos said. 

Trustee Michael Garcia echoed the sentiment.

“It’s a tremendous day for the future of Hillsborough College and for the future of Major League Baseball in the area and also for the future of the city of Tampa,” Garcia said.

Gov. Ron DeSantis publicly expressed support for the concept ahead of Tuesday’s meeting, saying it could benefit both the college and the region, while cautioning that details still need to be resolved.

“It could be very good for HCC, and I’ve met with the President about it. I think he’s excited about the possibility,” DeSantis said in Pinellas Park.

“Obviously, they’ve got to iron out details. But basically, we’re supportive of them pursuing that partnership because I think it could be good for them. I think it could be good for the state. But I definitely think it could be really good for this region.”

Also ahead of Tuesday’s meeting, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor told Florida Politics the city and Hillsborough County have been in ongoing discussions with the Tampa Bay Rays as the team explores long-term stadium options — including the potential Hillsborough College site. She emphasized that any future stadium proposal would require coordination among multiple governments and would be evaluated alongside existing contractual obligations related to other major sports facilities.

No timeline for construction, campus relocation or final land disposition was discussed Tuesday. College officials emphasized that any binding agreements would return to the Board of Trustees for approval at a future public meeting.

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A.G. Gancarski and Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics contributed to this report.



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