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Last Call for 7.7.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

The Associated Industries of Florida has released its 2025 Voting Records report, along with naming this year’s recipients of the “Champions for Business” award. 

AIF bills the report as the “definitive legislative scorecard for the business community.” It grades lawmakers based on how they voted on AIF-backed legislation throughout Session, including committee votes and abstentions. This year’s edition tracks 3,856 votes cast by lawmakers on 47 bills. 

 “For more than 50 years, AIF has produced its Voting Records report to ensure Florida’s employers know exactly where each legislator stands on the issues they had the opportunity to vote on that would impact the business community,” said AIF President and CEO Brewster Bevis

“This provides one important metric that can help illustrate how strongly and consistently a legislator supports Florida businesses, but we recognize that their votes are just one of the ways they can support job creators. The non-vote actions that legislators take can be just as crucial to either advancing a priority of the business community or, sometimes even more importantly, stopping one that would be detrimental to it.”

The “Champions for Business” awards are reserved for the top-scoring lawmakers, whom AIF says “provided strong leadership in advancing key legislation and stood up to protect the interests of Florida’s business community.”

“AIF’s Champions for Business are those elected officials who have gone above and beyond to fight for Florida’s job creators,” said Bevis. “They not only consistently vote in support of the business community, they take action — both behind the scenes and publicly — to advance policies that promote free enterprise and economic prosperity and to stop legislation that would be harmful to Florida’s business climate. Our Champions for Business are our most powerful advocates in the Florida Legislature, and we are proud to support them and recognize them with this distinction.”

The 2025 honorees are Senate President Ben Albritton, Senate Majority Leader Jim Boyd, Sen. Gayle Harrell, Sen. Stan McClain, Sen. Kathleen Passidomo, Rep. Mike Caruso, Rep. Tom Fabricio and Rep. Toby Overdorf. Notably absent from the list is House Speaker Daniel Perez, and notably present is Gov. Ron DeSantis, who, while not casting votes on legislation, was recognized for his public comments on AIF priorities and his veto of the “free kill” repeal.

AIF’s 2025 Voting Records report is available here.

Evening Reads

—”Donald Trump revives trade war, threatening steep Aug. 1 tariffs on allies” via Ana Swanson and Tony Romm of The New York Times

—”Annoying people to death” via Annie Lowrey of The Atlantic

—“Trump’s big bill will make Americans uninsured again” via Elizabeth Pancotti of Rolling Stone

—”Now Republicans have to sell Trump’s megabill to voters” via Aaron Zitner, Lindsay Wise and Natalie Andrews of The Wall Street Journal

—”Winners and Losers of the One Big Beautiful Bill” via Chris Cillizza of So What

—”Jeffrey Epstein ‘client list’ doesn’t exist, Justice Dept. says, walking back theory Pam Bondi promoted” via The Associated Press

—“Tolerance is a heavy lift. Democracy needs a warm-up.” via Karen Cyphers of Decyphered

—“America’s fastest-growing suburbs are about to get very expensive” via Marina Bolotnikova of Vox

—”Miami postponed its 2025 Elections. Why did the city do it?” via Sabrina Rodriguez of The Washington Post

—”Florida releases A-to-F school report card; state and region earn more As” via Zoey Thomas of the Orlando Sentinel

Quote of the Day

“I don’t think it would even move the needle, even if they got elected.”

— Gov. Ron DeSantis, on Elon Musk’s “America Party.”

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

What’s the most fitting drink for this year’s “Champions of Business” honorees? The Drink Of Champions, of course.

Gov. Ron DeSantis had more than one report card to celebrate today. Order him and, what the heck, likely next Education Commissioner Anastasios Kamoutsas a High Score to celebrate the state’s improving K-12 school grades.

… Just make sure it’s not mixed up by the world’s first AI bartender, which (who?) just so happens to be in Orlando. That wouldn’t align with the Governor’s vow to “prevent AI from taking over everything.”

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Rays open set in Detroit

The Tampa Bay Rays open a three-game series in Detroit against the Tigers tonight as both teams look for momentum heading toward the All-Star break (6:40 p.m. ET, FS1).

Tampa Bay has lost six of the last nine games, including dropping two of three in Minnesota against the Twins over the weekend. The only victory of the series for the Rays came yesterday in a 7-5 win in 10 innings. Yandy Diaz doubled in the go-ahead run as part of a three-run 10th that powered the Rays to victory.

The Rays are tied with the New York Yankees for second place in the American League East, three games behind the Toronto Blue Jays. However, if the season were to end today, the Rays would be in the postseason as a wild-card team.

Detroit leads the American League Central by 13.5 games over the Minnesota Twins. The Tigers lead the league, having outscored the opposition by 106 runs this season. Detroit has won 30 of its 44 home games this year.

 Over the weekend, the Rays learned that first baseman Jonathan Aranda would represent the team at the All-Star Game. Aranda, the only Rays’ player to make the squad, is batting .320 with 10 home runs and 47 runs batted in this season. Aranda ranks fourth in the American League in batting average.

After the three-game series in Detroit, the Rays are scheduled to face the Red Sox in four games in Boston before the All-Star break arrives.

___

Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.


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Ron DeSantis says GOP must go on offense ahead of Midterms to bring back ‘complacent’ voters

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Gov. Ron DeSantis is continuing to warn Republicans that next year’s Midterm contests may not go their way if the party doesn’t change course.

He recommends that Republicans make a strong case for what they will do if they somehow retain control of Congress next year, given that “in an off-year Midterm, the party in power’s voters tend to be more complacent.”

But DeSantis, who himself served nearly three terms in Congress before resigning to focus on his campaign for Governor in 2018, says House Republicans haven’t accomplished much, and they need to be proactive in the time that’s left.

“I just think you’ve got to be bold. I think you’ve got to be strong. And I think one of the frustrations with the Congress is, what have they done since August till now? They really haven’t done anything, right?” DeSantis explained on “Fox & Friends.”

“I’d be like, every day, coming out with something new and make the Democrats go on the record, show the contrast.”

The Governor said the economy and immigration are two issues that would resonate with voters.

On immigration, DeSantis believes his party should remind voters that President Donald Trump stopped the “influx” of illegal border crossers given passage when Joe Biden was in power.

After providing contrast to some of his policy wins through the end of 2023 in Florida, DeSantis suggested that the GOP needs to blame the opposition party regarding continued economic struggles.

“Democrats, they caused a lot of this with the inflation and now they’re acting like … they had nothing to do with it,” he said.

DeSantis’ latest comments come after Tuesday’s narrow GOP victory in deep-red Tennessee, in yet another election where a candidate for Congress underperformed President Donald Trump.

Republican Matt Van Epps defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn by roughly 9 points in the Nashville area seat. That’s less than half the margin by which Trump bested Kamala Harris in 2024. This is after U.S. Reps. Randy Fine and Jimmy Patronis won by smaller margins than expected in Special Elections in Florida earlier this year.

Though partisan maps protect the GOP in many cases, with just a seven-vote advantage over Democrats in Congress there is scant room for error.

Bettors seem to believe the House will flip, with Democratic odds of victory at 78% on Polymarket on Friday morning.



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Ron DeSantis again downplays interest in a second presidential run

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The question won’t go away.

Gov. Ron DeSantis may be out of state, just like he was when he ran for President in 2024, but that doesn’t mean he’s eyeing another run for the White House.

“I’ve got my hands full, man. I’m good,” he told Stuart Varney during an in-studio interview Friday in New York City, responding to a question about his intentions.

DeSantis added that it was “not the first time” he got that question, which persists amid expectations of a crowded field of candidates to succeed President Donald Trump.

“I’m not thinking about anything because I think we have a President now who’s not even been in for a year. We’ve got a lot that we’ve got to accomplish,” the term-limited Governor told Jake Tapper last month when asked about 2028.

It may be for the best that DeSantis isn’t actively running, given some recent polls.

DeSantis, who ran in 2024 before withdrawing after failing to win a single county in the Iowa caucuses, has just 2% support in the latest survey from Emerson College.

Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire says he’ll struggle again in what is historically the first-in-the-nation Primary state. The “Granite State Poll,” his worst showing in any state poll so far, shows the Florida Governor with 3% support overall.

In January 2024, DeSantis had different messaging after leaving the GOP Primary race.

“When I was in Iowa, a lot of these folks that stuck with the President were very supportive of what I’ve done in Florida. They thought I was a good candidate,” DeSantis said. “I even had people say they think that I would even do better as President, but they felt that they owed Trump another shot. And so I think we really made a strong impression.”

But that was then, this is now.



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First place at stake for Jaguars vs. Colts

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How big is Sunday’s game for the Jaguars?

According to The Athletic, the Jaguars have an 83% chance of making the playoffs entering the weekend. That’s a pretty good bet. At 8-4, the Jaguars are currently in the third spot in the AFC.

However, Jacksonville stands a 42% chance of winning the division, slightly better than Sunday’s opponent, the Indianapolis Colts (8-4), who sit at 34% to win the AFC South.

With both games against the Colts still on the schedule and matchups with the struggling New York Jets, a trip to Denver to face the surging Broncos, and the season finale at home against the Tennessee Titans, the Jaguars need only to win the games they should win to make the playoffs.

Leaving the Colts games aside for the moment, if the Jaguars simply beat the Jets and Titans, they would have 10 wins. That is almost certainly enough to earn a postseason spot.

So, in a way, Sunday’s game against the Colts isn’t make-or-break. However, if the Jaguars want to win the division and host a playoff game, at least one win over the Colts is essential. Should the Jaguars win Sunday, they would hold a 1-game advantage over the Colts and, for the time being, hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over Indianapolis.

By one metric, the Jaguars can increase their playoff odds to 95% with a victory on Sunday. Even with a loss, they are a good bet to make the playoffs as a wild-card team. But the chance to start the postseason with a home game is a powerful advantage, one that division winners enjoy.

Health will be a major factor in Sunday’s game. The Jaguars hope to have wide receiver/kick returner Parker Washington and defensive end Travon Walker back in the lineup. Both missed some or all of last week’s game but practiced in a limited basis this week. Starting left tackle Walker Little and safety Andrew Wingard remained in the concussion protocol this week. Starting right guard Patrik Mekari returned from concussion protocol on Wednesday.

The Colts are also dealing with injuries. Cornerback Sauce Gardner did not practice this week, while quarterback Daniel Jones continues to play with a fracture in his leg.

The key matchup could be strength vs. strength. Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor leads the NFL in rushing with 1,282 yards, while the Jaguars are the league’s top rush defense, allowing opponents only 82.4 yards per contest. No running back has run for more than 90 yards against the Jaguars this season, and only one, Houston’s Woody Marks, has rushed for more than 70 yards in a game. Taylor averages nearly 107 yards per game this season.

The Jaguars last made the playoffs in 2022 in Doug Pederson’s first season as head coach. Liam Coen is trying to replicate the feat.

Interestingly, the game is one of three in the NFL this weekend with first place on the line.

The Baltimore Ravens host the Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday. Both teams are 6-6, and the winner will lead the AFC North. The Chicago Bears (9-3) also travel to Green Bay to face the Packers (8-3-1), with the winner taking the top spot in the NFC North.



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