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Last Call for 7.31.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

The state-level Department of Government Efficiency — DOGE, in the Governor’s preferred acronym — officially got to work today with state auditors descending on Broward County and Gainesville.

While boosting efficiency is the claim, a more plausible interpretation of the effort is that it’s the opening volley in a campaign targeting Democratic enclaves coded in the pretense of fiscal oversight and cloaked in doublespeak.

DeSantis previewed the campaign during July 22 swing stops in Gainesville and Fort Lauderdale, framing it as a response to “complaints” and claiming both jurisdictions had exploded their budgets through runaway spending on DEI programs and climate initiatives. On Monday, Orange County joined the list, with DOGE letters flying and auditors scheduled for early August.

There appears to be little, if any, urgency to open the books in GOP-aligned areas, some of which have hiked taxes considerably — the fully Republican Seminole County Commission bumped rates there by 10% just last week.

The Gainesville “85%” property tax increase that the DeSantis administration is claiming? Fuzzy math. Actual tax bills for in-city properties have gone up more in the ballpark of 25% to 30% since 2020, mainly as a function of increased property values fueled by inbound migration, a trend DeSantis has frequently highlighted as a positive in the post-COVID era. Meanwhile, homeowners outside Gainesville city limits have seen bumps in the 12%-15% range.

The idea that Gainesville doubled its burden on taxpayers doesn’t square with reality and many of the claims of mismanagement lobbed against local governments elsewhere are equally dubious. Alas, nine auditors in Broward. Daily fines for incomplete responses. Deep dives into rainbow crosswalks, DEI trainings and parade floats.

From Gainesville to Fort Lauderdale and now Orlando, the audit trail suggests this isn’t about rooting out waste or boosting efficiency, but asserting control … and providing make-work to Tallahassee number crunchers who ostensibly have nothing better to do.

Evening Reads

—“Donald Trump’s sloppy effort to distract from Jeffrey Epstein mess creates a ‘ticking time bomb’” via Asawin Suebsaeng of Rolling Stone

—“How Laura Loomer became one of the most feared people in Washington” via Chris Cillizza of So What

—“‘Welcome to hell’: Inside the megaprison where the U.S. deported migrants” via Samantha Schmidt, Helena Carpio, María Luisa Paúl, Silvia Foster-Frau, Teo Armus and Aaron Steckelberg of The Washington Post

—”Every scientific empire comes to an end” via Ross Andersen of The Atlantic

—”Unnoticed whistle-blower document alarms Justice Department veterans” via Devlin Barrett of The New York Times

—“The inside story of Eric Trump’s American Bitcoin” via Jessica Klein of WIRED

—”Josh Weil drops out of U.S. Senate race against Ashley Moody” via Jacob Ogles of Florida Politics

—”Florida DOGE looks at Palm Beach County’s spending. New county leader calls it ‘an opportunity.’” via Abigail Hasebroock of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel

—”UCF wants $50 million to be an engineering powerhouse – and out-of-state students to pay 10% higher fees” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics

—”‘A victory for every voter’: Appeals court blocks Miami election delay, calling move unconstitutional” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics

Quote of the Day

“They tried to silence the public. They tried to rewrite the rules mid-game. They lied about turnout, lied about costs, and ignored our city’s Constitution. And they did it all for themselves. The court saw through it.”

Emilio González, on the 3rd District Court of Appeal’s decision blocking Miami’s election delay.

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson and DEP Secretary Alexis Lambert get a Country Breeze for adding another 12,243 acres to the state’s portfolio of conservation land.

The Governor is giving the Hulkster another salute by lowering state flags in his honor. Join in on the final farewell with a Red, White, and Blue.

Serve up a Get Well Soon to Josh Weil, who ended his U.S. Senate campaign. Incumbent Ashley Moody gets one as well for her classy response to the announcement.

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Football returns with Hall of Fame game

Football is back. Starting tonight, a week will not go by without football until Super Bowl LX on Feb. 7, 2026. This evening, the Los Angeles Chargers face the Detroit Lions in the Hall of Fame Game as part of the Pro Football Hall of Fame enshrinement week in Canton, Ohio (8 p.m. ET, NBC).

The Chargers finished the 2024 season 11-6 under first-year head coach Jim Harbaugh before losing in the wild-card round of the playoffs to the Houston Texans. This offseason, the Chargers focused on the line of scrimmage and the running game, adding former Philadelphia Eagles guard Mekhi Becton and former Pittsburgh Steelers running back Najee Harris in free agency.

Then, in the draft, the Chargers selected North Carolina running back Omarion Hampton with the 22nd pick of the first round.

The Lions earned the top seed in the NFC playoffs last season after a 15-2 regular season, but a playoff loss to the Washington Commanders in the Divisional Round left the Lions hungry for more in 2025. Detroit added cornerback D.J. Reed in free agency, but most of the team’s moves were to add depth.

Like the Chargers, the Lions also went big in the draft, using a first-round pick on Ohio State’s 334-pound defensive tackle Tyleik Williams and a second-round pick on Georgia guard Tate Ratledge.

___

Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.


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Michael Yaworsky says insurance costs are finally stabilizing for Floridians

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Florida Insurance Commissioner Michael Yaworsky said he believes the state’s insurance industry has stabilized, adding consumers “are finding relief” and have more options “than we’ve had in decades.”

“If you were in this meeting three years ago, it was like the equivalent of a funeral. It was very depressing; it was dark. Everyone thought the end was coming,” he said Friday during the Florida Chamber of Commerce’s annual insurance summit. “And two years later, we are in a fantastic place, seeing nothing but success on the horizon.”

In an interview this week with Florida Politics, Yaworsky said consumers went from “massive rate hikes year-over-year to very modest rate hikes.”

In some cases, people are seeking decreases, he added.

“Over 100 carriers have filed for a 0% increase or decrease,” he said.

But it’s clear Floridians are still worried about rising property insurance costs.

“The Invading Sea’s Florida Climate Survey also found that most Floridians – 54% – are worried about being able to afford and maintain homeowners insurance due to climate change,” Florida Atlantic University said in a press release this Spring. “According to a 2023 report by LexisNexis Risk Solutions, the average premiums for Florida homeowners rose nearly 60% between 2015 and 2023, the largest increase in any state.”

Yaworsky also touted reforms that would lower auto insurance costs.

“We’ve seen a $1 billion return to policyholders because despite the best actuarially sound estimates of just how good the reforms would be and how much of an impact that would have on rate making … It has exceeded all expectations,” he said.

In October, the state announced that the average Progressive auto insurance policyholder will receive a $300 rebate.

“A billion-dollar return from Progressive is just one of the first of what will likely be others,” Yaworsky told Florida Politics. “Those consumers will be getting additional money back in addition to rate reduction to make sure that insurers aren’t overcharging people because of the reforms.”



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Ron DeSantis says GOP must go on offense ahead of Midterms to bring back ‘complacent’ voters

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Gov. Ron DeSantis is continuing to warn Republicans that next year’s Midterm contests may not go their way if the party doesn’t change course.

He recommends that Republicans make a strong case for what they will do if they somehow retain control of Congress next year, given that “in an off-year Midterm, the party in power’s voters tend to be more complacent.”

But DeSantis, who himself served nearly three terms in Congress before resigning to focus on his campaign for Governor in 2018, says House Republicans haven’t accomplished much, and they need to be proactive in the time that’s left.

“I just think you’ve got to be bold. I think you’ve got to be strong. And I think one of the frustrations with the Congress is, what have they done since August till now? They really haven’t done anything, right?” DeSantis explained on “Fox & Friends.”

“I’d be like, every day, coming out with something new and make the Democrats go on the record, show the contrast.”

The Governor said the economy and immigration are two issues that would resonate with voters.

On immigration, DeSantis believes his party should remind voters that President Donald Trump stopped the “influx” of illegal border crossers given passage when Joe Biden was in power.

After providing contrast to some of his policy wins through the end of 2023 in Florida, DeSantis suggested that the GOP needs to blame the opposition party regarding continued economic struggles.

“Democrats, they caused a lot of this with the inflation and now they’re acting like … they had nothing to do with it,” he said.

DeSantis’ latest comments come after Tuesday’s narrow GOP victory in deep-red Tennessee, in yet another election where a candidate for Congress underperformed President Donald Trump.

Republican Matt Van Epps defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn by roughly 9 points in the Nashville area seat. That’s less than half the margin by which Trump bested Kamala Harris in 2024. This is after U.S. Reps. Randy Fine and Jimmy Patronis won by smaller margins than expected in Special Elections in Florida earlier this year.

Though partisan maps protect the GOP in many cases, with just a seven-vote advantage over Democrats in Congress there is scant room for error.

Bettors seem to believe the House will flip, with Democratic odds of victory at 78% on Polymarket on Friday morning.



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Ron DeSantis again downplays interest in a second presidential run

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The question won’t go away.

Gov. Ron DeSantis may be out of state, just like he was when he ran for President in 2024, but that doesn’t mean he’s eyeing another run for the White House.

“I’ve got my hands full, man. I’m good,” he told Stuart Varney during an in-studio interview Friday in New York City, responding to a question about his intentions.

DeSantis added that it was “not the first time” he got that question, which persists amid expectations of a crowded field of candidates to succeed President Donald Trump.

“I’m not thinking about anything because I think we have a President now who’s not even been in for a year. We’ve got a lot that we’ve got to accomplish,” the term-limited Governor told Jake Tapper last month when asked about 2028.

It may be for the best that DeSantis isn’t actively running, given some recent polls.

DeSantis, who ran in 2024 before withdrawing after failing to win a single county in the Iowa caucuses, has just 2% support in the latest survey from Emerson College.

Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire says he’ll struggle again in what is historically the first-in-the-nation Primary state. The “Granite State Poll,” his worst showing in any state poll so far, shows the Florida Governor with 3% support overall.

In January 2024, DeSantis had different messaging after leaving the GOP Primary race.

“When I was in Iowa, a lot of these folks that stuck with the President were very supportive of what I’ve done in Florida. They thought I was a good candidate,” DeSantis said. “I even had people say they think that I would even do better as President, but they felt that they owed Trump another shot. And so I think we really made a strong impression.”

But that was then, this is now.



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