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Last Call for 12.10.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

Following Rob Long’s landslide win in House District 90 yesterday and better-than-expected showings in other 2025 elections, Democrats say they have the momentum to break GOP supermajorities in the state Legislature.

The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, the national party’s state legislative campaign arm, announced it is adding both chambers to its national target list, framing the cycle as a “once-in-a-generation” opening to chip away at Republican dominance.

While Long’s win in HD 90 wasn’t a flip, his 28-point thrashing of Republican lobbyist Maria Zack represents a massive swing from last year, when Democratic former Rep. Joe Casello, who died in July, defeated his Republican opponent 56%-44%.

Florida Democrats have also celebrated stronger showings in the Special Elections for Senate District 15 and House District 40 — which were also keeps, not flips — as well as a pair of congressional contests earlier this year. The Democratic nominees lost those races, but the margins narrowed significantly compared with the 2024 General Election.

Overall, DLCC says its internal data shows a 4.5-point overperformance in state legislative races nationwide. If the party can replicate that in 2026, they argue, it would notch its most significant legislative gains in two decades.

With Florida’s addition, the party’s “2026 Target Map” now includes 42 state legislative chambers that run the gamut from preserving narrow majorities to breaking GOP dominance. Florida joins statehouse chambers in Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio and South Carolina, where Democrats are aiming to do the latter.

“The favorable political environment taking shape for Democrats is on a scale that only comes once in a generation, and the DLCC is poised to meet this moment through the largest target map and political budget ever. We aren’t wasting a moment to execute on our winning strategy by electing more state Democrats in Florida,” DLCC President Heather Williams said in a news release.

Florida House Democratic Campaign Committee Caucus Director Cassidy Whitaker is also projecting confidence, saying that the “Affordability Agenda” messaging from incumbents is resonating with voters and that “strong and serious challengers (are) stepping up” to run in Republican-held districts.

Florida Senate Victory’s Jena Kingery added that with DLCC in the mix, Democrats “are ready to reach every voter to turn the tide and make lasting inroads in legislative districts across the state.”

Evening Reads

—“The 53 utterly nuts lines from Donald Trump’s big Pennsylvania speech 🥜” via Chris Cillizza of So What

—”At the first stop on his affordability tour, Trump mocks affordability” via Matt Viser of The Washington Post

—“Inside the Pentagon’s scramble to deal with boat strike survivors” via Damien CaveEdward Wong and Maria Abi-Habib of The New York Times

—”The concept of a plan (to sabotage Obamacare)” via Judd Legum, Rebecca Crosby and Noel Sims of Popular Information

—“Gov. Ron DeSantis releases $117B budget, prioritizing teacher and police raises” via Gabrielle Russon of Florida Politics

—“Did immigration turn Miami blue?” via Peter Schorsch of Florida Politics

—”Older voters are gaining power. Young people are paying the price.” via Eric Levitz of Vox

—”Gov. DeSantis now says poorer counties will ‘eventually’ be on their own to deal without property taxes” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics

—”State lawmakers greenlight sweeping audit of Miami Beach after request by Fabián Basabe” via Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics

—”Scientists thought Parkinson’s was in our genes. It might be in the water” via David Ferry of WIRED

Quote of the Day

“Eventually they’re going to have to figure it out.”

— Gov. Ron DeSantis, on state funding to backfill rural counties if voters slash property taxes.

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

Gov. Ron DeSantis says fiscally constrained counties could ultimately get served a Snip Snip if the property tax cuts he’s seeking are approved. Meanwhile, his 2026-27 budget proposal nets a 117.

When Rep. Fabián Basabe’s call for an audit got the green light, Miami Beach officials were handed a Red Ledger.

Sen. Alexis Calatayud, Rep. Robin Bartleman and Rep. Chase Tramont each get a Champion Spritz for working to bring early learning priorities across the finish line last Session.

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Panthers open 4-game road trip on winning streak

The Florida Panthers look to extend a winning streak as they travel to Utah to face the Mammoth tonight (9 p.m. ET, Scripps).

Florida (12-12-2, 30 points) is in sixth place in the NHL’s Atlantic Division, and only the Buffalo Sabres have earned fewer points in the Eastern Conference this season. It is an unusual position for the two-time defending Stanley Cup Champions to be in.

Florida has struggled on the road, losing six of 10 games away from home ice. The last two wins were at home and featured 11 goals across victories over Columbus and the New York Islanders.

The Panthers have been led this season by left winger Brad Marchand, who has scored more goals (16) and added more assists (15) than any player on the team. 

It is the third time the Panthers and Mammoth have faced each other. Last season, Florida won a pair of games, including a 4-1 win at Utah.

The Mammoth (14-14-2, 31 points) has lost consecutive games, including a 4-2 home loss to the Kings last time out. Utah ranks fourth in the Central Division and eighth in the Western Conference.

After tonight’s game, the Panthers continue on the road for three more games, including Monday at the Tampa Bay Lightning.

___

Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.





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Small-business optimism picked up in November

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‘Florida’s small businesses are feeling more optimistic as owners are expecting higher sales during the holiday months.’

Small-business owners are growing more optimistic about the economy, according to a new study by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

The “optimism index” increased by 0.8 points in November settling in at 99, an NFIB news release said this week. That sentiment remains above the 52-year average of 98.

The study found that the share owners raising average selling prices rose 13 points over October, to 34%. NFIB officials said that’s the highest that figure has been since 2023 and it’s the biggest increase in the history of the survey.

While the NFIB taps its members across the nation to compile the results of the survey, there’s good news for Florida small businesses specifically.

“Florida’s small businesses are feeling more optimistic as owners are expecting higher sales during the holiday months. The tight labor market is still a challenge, but small businesses are determined to hire and create more local jobs,” said NFIB Florida Executive Director Bill Herrle.

In October, the NFIB survey found about one third of small-business owners were worried about filling jobs with qualified laborers. That anxiety seemed to settle down in November.

The NFIB survey found 21% of small-business owners cited labor quality as their single most important problem last month. That’s down by 6 points from the previous month, softening some of those concerns.

The 25-page report on the survey also concluded that well more than half of small-business owners found the overall health of their businesses to be either good or excellent. Some 53% said it’s good, up 2 points from October, while 11% said it’s excellent, down by 1 point from the previous month. Another 30% said it’s fair, which is down 3 points from October. Only 5% said it’s poor, an increase of 1 percentage point.

There are still ample job openings that small-business owners can’t fill, though. Some 33% said they have positions they couldn’t fill in November, which is an increase of 1 percentage point.



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WSRE Foundation pushes back on Pensacola State College power, money grab

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If your mental picture of the Public Broadcasting System (PBS) is still tote bags, New England accents, and politely liberal documentaries, WSRE — Northwest Florida’s homegrown public television station — is here to remind you that not every PBS affiliate fits that stale stereotype.

And now the station is taking a stand: WSRE’s nonprofit fundraising foundation just filed a first-in-the-nation federal lawsuit to stop Pensacola State College from taking control of millions in private donor dollars that have sustained the station’s community service for nearly 60 years.

The lawsuit alleges PSC didn’t just decide to walk away from its decades-old relationship with PBS, it formally terminated the Foundation as its partner and “Direct Support Organization.” It went even further, demanding the nonprofit dissolve and “that funds donated by private citizens be turned over to the government entity, PSC.”

That’s not exactly the “small government” model most Northwest Florida residents imagine when they think about how public institutions should work.

But to understand why this fight matters, you need to understand what WSRE actually is — and what it isn’t.

WSRE is NOT whatever your culture-war uncle thinks PBS looks like. 

This is a station with 1.2 million viewers that is rooted in the Gulf Coast’s true identity: military bases, hurricane seasons, local history, and the families who shape all three.

WSRE’s “Connecting the Community” series has spotlighted veterans, told the story of Air Force Gen. Daniel “Chappie” James Jr., and honored military families and memorials across the region. Two of its signature documentaries — “The 2 Sides Project” and “They Were Our Fathers” — follow Vietnam Gold Star children reckoning with the losses of war.

On the Gulf Coast, this isn’t niche content. It’s the lived experience of the community. It’s why WSRE is beloved by the community for its excellent programming that has informed and entertained for generations

And, as we approach the 250th ‘birthday’ of our American independence, what could be less woke than Ken Burns’ incredible documentary on the American Revolutionary War? 

And when the tropics start to spin, WSRE becomes something else entirely: a public safety asset. It produces long-form hurricane preparedness programming with the National Weather Service, Escambia County Emergency Management, and local school safety officials. Families trust it because it’s local — and because storm misinformation can be just as dangerous as the weather itself.

And then there are old friends like Big Bird, Elmo and the Cookie Monster (whose colors of yellow, red and blue belie the reality that they are completely apolitical). Sesame Street programming and its PBS program cousins have helped all of us raise our children the right way.

So, when PSC cut ties with PBS and then sought to raid the donor-raised funds for itself, the Foundation drew a legal line in the sand.

“This is about honoring donor trust,” Foundation Chair Amy Day said, in announcing the lawsuit. “People gave to support WSRE’s mission — not to bankroll a government entity’s shifting priorities.”

The politics around public broadcasting in Florida have been heating up for some time. Florida Department of Education leadership has made no secret of its ideological distaste for PBS, even though affiliates like WSRE look nothing like the unfair national caricature.

But the legal issue here isn’t ideology — it’s ownership.

When private citizens donate to a nonprofit mission, who controls that money? The donors who gave it? Or a government body that decides it wants to sweep the money and use it for something else?

If PSC prevails, what other ambitious money-hungry entities will see other nonprofits — including those far removed from public broadcasting — as potential treasures to raid?

Northwest Florida donors built WSRE. They funded the veterans programming, the hurricane prep shows, the documentaries, and the early-learning resources. These were gifts from families, not appropriations from a state budget.

PSC made a choice when it left PBS. Donors made a choice when they gave to WSRE. Now, a federal court will decide whether those donor choices still matter — and whether a local station that has been embraced by conservative Northwest Florida for decades can keep serving the community that shaped it.

Many of the people who love and have supported WSRE through the years are also likely fans of Pensacola State College. But this PSC plunder of WSRE’s donor funds provides too much sad irony when the college’s mascot is a pirate. 



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Let’s keep Christmas affordable — Mr. President, pause seasonal tariffs

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President Donald Trump has made it very clear: Americans can be excited about Christmas again.

His policies are feverishly working to fight inflation, which has been a stubborn problem to address, skyrocketing under former President Joe Biden’s stewardship.

He’s making the world safer. Look no further than the ceasefire he has managed to pull off in Gaza and help work towards peace for the Jewish and Palestinian people. He has also sought to end persistent fighting across Africa and Asia.

And here at home, he is seeking common sense deals that make America greater and stronger. Lowering prescription drug costs, bringing investment back into the United States, and fighting to rebalance trade deals that have long put American companies at a disadvantage.

As Americans pull boxes from the attic, string lights, and plan to give their kids a Christmas they’ll remember, they can look forward to a merry Christmas season.

There’s one issue to consider, however, and that is higher prices on seasonal décor, many tied to tariffs, which have the potential of turning a joyful season into a budgeting headache.

According to a recent nationwide survey, 84% of Americans say decorations have gotten more expensive and 63% worry that China’s failure to engage at the negotiation table fully will push costs even higher. When you’re stretching a paycheck between heating bills and a tree for the kids, an extra 10 or 20 dollars to deck the halls isn’t minor. It’s the difference between doing Christmas right and doing without.

There’s a conservative, common‑sense fix: targeted tariff relief on Christmas décor. We can keep pressure on bad actors abroad while easing pressure at home: around the kitchen table, under the tree, and at the checkout line. A timely holiday exemption would honor both our economic interests and our family priorities.

Trump understands this balance. During his last presidency, he delayed certain tariffs ahead of the holidays so American families wouldn’t feel the squeeze at Christmastime. That was smart, pro‑family leadership and it worked. We need him to save Christmas again this year and institute tariff relief on seasonal décor.

Some will worry about “mixed signals” or “policy complexity.” But there’s a clear difference between a narrow holiday exemption and a broader retreat. We can do both: defend American workers, push back on unfair practices abroad, and still give families a little breathing room during the season of giving. Christmas is the right moment to show that balance.

Let’s not make the most cherished season of the year more costly. Christmas should be about family, redemption, and generosity, not sticker shock. As the survey mentioned earlier reminds us, Americans treasure classics like “A Christmas Story,” “Home Alone,” “Elf,” and “It’s a Wonderful Life”… stories of resilience, joy, and community. Those values are worth protecting and highlighting this time of year.

I am confident that Trump agrees. We saw him save Christmas in 2019. Rolling back the tariffs on Christmas décor with a targeted holiday can save Christmas by making it more affordable. Turn the lights on, not the prices up.

___

Debbie Dooley is a prominent Georgia-based conservative activist and one of the founders of the Tea Party movement.



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