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JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon warns jobs reports show economy is weakening

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Despite a downward revision to U.S. labor data of near a million jobs over the past year, markets aren’t panicking this morning. It’s not like there’s going to be a recession … right?

Jamie Dimon isn’t entirely convinced. Of course, the JPMorgan Chase CEO is known for his “prepared-for-anything” approach, running America’s biggest bank on the basis of constant stress testing and risk assessments.

Confronted with the news that the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) recalibrated its reporting for the year ending March 25 downwards by some 911,000 roles, Dimon said the “economy is weakening.”

Asked moments after the data dropped, the billionaire CEO said to CNBC: “Whether that is on the way to recession or just weakening I don’t know—that just confirms what we already thought kind of. That’s a big revision.”

The magnitude of the alteration exceeded analysts’ expectations. Deutsche Bank, for example, wrote in a note to clients on Monday that it expected the downward revision to be around 50,000 to 60,000 jobs a month, which would have resulted in a 600,000 to 720,000 downgrade as opposed to the near-1 million figure.

Debate is also rife about whether or not criticism can be leveled at the BLS given the size of these revisions. Many economists argue the institution can only report based on the breadth of the evidence it receives—and responses to its surveys are falling. Likewise, experts point out that even a change of a fraction of a percentage can lead to huge swings in numbers, given the size of the U.S. labor force. In the case of this week’s data, the revision was just 0.6%.

Even then, organizations will be eyeing data out of government agencies with increased caution, particularly since the White House is also intervening more forcefully into the matter.

Dimon said his team has always taken into account federal data as well as reporting from within his own bank and other non-government bodies: “We get data like you wouldn’t believe. The government data is important, we get data from non-government sources and you can look at delinquency data, worldwide data, trade data, we get all of that. But trying to fit out what the economy is going to do is still hard to do with all that data. Maybe one day AI will fix that problem.

“Hopefully things will be OK, but you do see that kind of weakening.”

What recession?

Last week’s jobs data, which revealed the U.S. economy added just 22,000 jobs in August, wasn’t enough to shift the needle on recession odds.

As Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, wrote to clients in a note Friday: “Recession odds have not increased, and we do not expect one in the near term. But the labor market is losing momentum. The Fed will need to respond with a September rate cut to mitigate growing risks from a weakening jobs picture.”

Likewise, Macquarie’s chief U.S. economist David Doyle told Fortune last week that a lower “breakeven” jobs balance will help mitigate the American economy entering negative growth. Doyle was speaking ahead of this week’s 911,000 revision in relation to more recent data and how it charts the path ahead.

Doyle described the economy as a low-hire, low-fire environment, where new job roles aren’t being created in droves but massive layoffs aren’t occurring either. Slower hiring is also being offset by lower immigration and retirement, he added, maintaining an employment rate of 4.3%.

And while the sluggish environment isn’t much fun for jobseekers, it does “insulate” the economy from significant swings which might be seen in periods of greater activity he said. A lower breakeven means changes to the unemployment level are more “gradual,” adding: “So that acts as a bit of a ballast against a sharp rise in unemployment. Often … when we see recessions it’s that sharp, dramatic rise in unemployment and that creates negative cycle effects, reinforcing cycle effects, where unemployment hurts consumption, which in turn hurts unemployment.”

Adding further support to the notion that economic contraction can be avoided is Goldman Sachs’s David Mericle, who highlighted the “revisions provide limited information about the current state of the labor market because it applies to the year ending in March 2025, though we continue to believe that the labor market has softened materially.”

He also told clients the bank believes the revisions are “likely too large,” explaining: “The … source data itself has persistently been revised upward and it likely excludes many unauthorized immigrants who were initially accurately captured in payrolls. Our model of net job gains from firm births and deaths suggests a downward revision of 550k or 45k per month via that channel, which would imply that monthly job growth over this period was closer to 100k than the initially reported 147k.”

Mericle added the data will change the Fed’s thinking however, reinforcing confidence in Goldman’s call for three cuts of 25bps in September, October and November, with two more quarterly cuts in 2026 to bring the base rate to 3 to 3.25%.

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Co-working provider JustCo CEO sees commonalities with hotels: ‘It’s a hospitality business’

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Kong Wan Sing, the founder and CEO of JustCo, one of Asia’s largest co-working space providers, doesn’t quite think of himself as leading an office company. Instead, he sees parallels with a different property business: Hotels.

“It’s a hospitality business. People come to us not just for the network, but also for the hospitality,” he told Fortune. “You need to serve them. You have to take care of their needs, like serving the customers who are coming to look for them in the office.”

Kong and JustCo are expanding their presence in Asia even as employers and employees continue to fight a battle about flexible work and returning to the office. Globally, corporate giants ranging from Amazon to JPMorgan have called workers back to the office full-time. But employees tout the benefits of working from home and hybrid work, forcing employers and office designers to get creative in how they bring people back. 

The company is also expanding into new markets regionally, including Malaysia and India. In the longer run, they’re also looking to move into countries in North Asia and the Middle East.

“After entering all these markets, we will be truly covering all the key cities in Asia-Pacific,” says Kong. He’s even considering returning to mainland China, after JustCo exited the market in 2022 due to tight social distancing regulations during the COVID pandemic.

JustCo just entered the Vietnam market with a new office along Ho Chi Minh City’s waterfront. The Vietnamese city is the tenth urban market in Asia for JustCo. It’s also a return of sorts for Kong, who was first exposed to the idea of a flexi-office in Ho Chi Minh City several decades ago. 

JustCo’s story

Kong Wan Sing founded JustCo in Singapore in 2011. Following a regional expansion drive in 2015, it now operates 48 offices across Asia-Pacific, including in major cities like Seoul, Bangkok, Taipei, Melbourne, and Sydney. Kong himself hails from a family of entrepreneurs; his parents operate garment factories in nearby Malaysia. “There’s genes inside me to build a business,” he says. 

In the early 2000s, Kong was an employee of Singaporean real estate investment company Mapletree, working out of a flexi-office in Vietnam’s Ho Chi Minh City. (A flexi-office is a modern workspace where employees don’t have assigned desks, but instead choose from various work zones including hot desks, quiet pods, and collaborative areas.)

The experience opened his eyes to the value of flexible workspaces, and he saw a business opportunity in Asia, where such spaces were still few and far between. 

Kong notes that, just three years ago, just under 4% of all offices in Asia-Pacific were flexi-offices. It’s since risen to over 5%, but that’s still half the level seen in more developed markets in Europe and the U.S. Yet JustCo’s CEO says he’s seeing a “surge” in Asia: “The growth is definitely much faster than European or American countries.”

JustCo also leases small offices for businesses to rent. Sixty percent of JustCo’s clients are multinational corporations looking for space for a regional office, Kong said. Companies like Chinese tech giant Tencent and U.S. vaccine maker Moderna use JustCo for their local offices. 

New brands

JustCo has since broadened its offerings to potential renters, launching two new brands: “THE COLLECTIVE” and “the boring office.”

The former is a luxury co-working space, equipped with premium white-glove services like daily breakfasts and aperitif hours, and twice-a-day office cleaning. The first such space was launched in Tokyo in March.

“Japan is a very mature market, and people in Japan—they appreciate luxury stuff,” said Kong, when asked why the country was chosen to debut its premium brand. Kong and his team has since launched THE COLLECTIVE in Bangkok and Taipei; the company will bring the concept to Singapore and India in 2026.

“The boring office” sits on the other end of the spectrum, catering to firms that want a stripped-down solution. “When you go to the boring office, there’s no cleaning [of rooms] every day, only once a week,” Kong says. “And the pantry is a very basic pantry that provides only water—there’s no coffee, nothing.” The first space under that brand was launched in Singapore in July.

These three brands cater to companies’ differing needs, and are priced along a sliding scale. 

The firm’s luxury offices are 20 to 30% more costly than the classic JustCo workspace, while the boring office’s spaces are cheaper by roughly the same amount, Kong explains.



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Creative workers won’t be replaced by AI, they will become ‘directors’ managing AI agents

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AI won’t automate creative jobs—but the way workers do them is about to change fundamentally. That’s according to executives from some of the world’s largest enterprise companies who spoke at the Fortune Brainstorm AI conference in San Francisco earlier this week.

“Most of us are producers today,” Nancy Xu, vice president of AI and Agentforce at Salesforce, told the audience. “Most of what we do is we take some objective and we say, ‘Okay, my goal is now to spend the next eight hours today to figure out how to chase after this customer, or increase my CSAT score, or to close this amount of revenue.”

With AI agents handling more tasks, Xu said that workers will shift “from producers to more directors.” Instead of asking, “How do I accomplish the goal?” they’ll instead focus on, “What are the goals that I want to accomplish, and then how do I delegate those goals to AI?” she said.

Creative and sales professionals are increasingly anxious about AI automation as tools like chatbots and AI image generators have proved to be good at doing many creative tasks in sectors like marketing, customer service, and graphic design. Companies are already deploying AI agents to take on tasks like handling customer questions, generating marketing content, and assisting with sales outreach. 

Pointing to a recent project with electric-vehicle maker Rivian, Elisabeth Zornes, chief customer officer at Autodesk, said that the company’s AI-powered tools enabled Rivian to test designs through digital wind tunnels rather than clay models. “It shaved off about two years of their development cycle,” Zornes said.

As AI takes on some of these lower-level tasks, Zornes said, workers can focus on more creative projects.

“With AI, the floor has been raised, but so has the ceiling,” she added. “We have an opportunity to create more, to be more imaginative.”

The uneven impact of AI

The shift to AI-augmented work may not benefit all workers equally, however.

Salesforce’s Xu said AI’s impact won’t be evenly distributed between high and low performers. “The near-term impact of AI will largely be that we’re going to take the bottom 50 percentile performers inside a role and bring them into the top 50 percentile,” she said. “If you’re in the top 10 percentile, the superstar salespeople, creatives, the impact of AI is actually much less.”

While leaders were keen to emphasize that AI will augment, rather than replace, creative workers, the shift could reshape some traditional career ladders and impact workforce development. If AI agents handle entry-level execution work, companies may need to hire fewer people, and some learning opportunities may disappear for younger workers. 

Ami Palan, senior managing director at Accenture Song, said that to successfully implement AI agents, companies may need to change the way they think about their corporate structure and workforce.

“We can build the most robust technology solution and consider it the Ferrari,” she said. “But if the culture and the organization of people are not enabled in terms of how to use that, that Ferrari is essentially stuck in traffic.”

Read more from Brainstorm AI:

Cursor developed an internal AI help desk that handles 80% of its employees’ support tickets, says the $29 billion startup’s CEO

OpenAI COO Brad Lightcap says ‘code red’ will force the company to focus, as the ChatGPT maker ramps up enterprise push

Amazon robotaxi service Zoox to start charging for rides in 2026, with ‘laser focus’ on transporting people, not deliveries, says cofounder



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Trump says ‘starting’ land strikes over drugs in latest warning

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President Donald Trump said the US would be “starting” land strikes on drug operations in Latin America, though again declined to provide details on when and where the escalation of his military campaign would actually begin, or if countries could still do anything to avert the threatened action.

“We knocked out 96% of the drugs coming in by water, and now we’re starting by land, and by land is a lot easier, and that’s going to start happening,” Trump told reporters Friday in the Oval Office.

The US president for days has been pledging to broaden the effort, which comes after the Pentagon has launched a series of attacks on what it has called drug-smuggling boats in international waters off the coast of South America.

While Trump’s posturing has largely been seen as a pressure campaign against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, he on Friday insisted the land targeting may not only impact Venezuela.

Read more: Trump Says US Eyes Land Strikes Next After Drug Boat Attacks

“It doesn’t necessarily have to be in Venezuela,” he said, adding that “people that are bringing in drugs to our country are targets.” 

Trump has justified the actions in part by framing the fight against drug smuggling as akin to combat operations. He told reporters that if overdose deaths were counted like combat deaths, it would be “like a war that would be unparalleled.”

Striking targets on land would represent a major escalation, and Maduro earlier this week said that if his nation came under foreign attack, the working class should mount a “general insurrectionary strike” and push for “an even more radical revolution.”

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