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In Silicon Valley’s latest vibe shift, leading AI bosses are no longer so eager to talk about AGI

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Once upon a time—meaning, um, as recently as earlier this year—Silicon Valley couldn’t stop talking about AGI.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman wrote in January “we are now confident we know how to build AGI.” This is after he told a Y Combinator vodcast in late 2024 that AGI might be achieved in 2025 and tweeted in 2024 that OpenAI had “AGI achieved internally.” OpenAI was so AGI-entranced that its head of sales dubbed her team “AGI sherpas” and its former chief scientist Ilya Sutskever led the fellow researchers in campfire chants of “Feel the AGI!”

OpenAI’s partner and major financial backer Microsoft put out a paper in 2024 claiming OpenAI’s GPT-4 AI model exhibited “sparks of AGI.” Meanwhile, Elon Musk founded xAI in March 2023 with a mission to build AGI, a development he said might occur as soon as 2025 or 2026. Demis Hassabis, the Nobel-laureate co-founder of Googe DeepMind, told reporters that the world was “on the cusp” of AGI. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said his company was committed to “building full general intelligence” to power the next generation of its products and services. Dario Amodei, the cofounder and CEO of Anthropic, while saying he disliked the term AGI, said “powerful AI” could arrive by 2027 and usher in a new age of health and abundance—if it didn’t wind up killing us all. Eric Schmidt, the former Google CEO turned prominent tech investor, said in a talk in April that we would have AGI “within three to five years.”

Now the AGI fever is breaking—in what amounts to a wholesale vibe shift towards pragmatism as opposed to chasing utopian visions. For example, at a CNBC appearance this summer, Altman called AGI “not a super-useful term.” In the New York Times, Schmidt—yes that same guy who was talking up AGI in April—urged Silicon Valley to stop fixating on superhuman AI, warning that the obsession distracts from building useful technology. Both AI pioneer Andrew Ng and U.S. AI czar David Sacks called AGI “overhyped.”

AGI: under-defined and over-hyped

What happened? Well, first, a little background. Everyone agrees that AGI stands for “artificial general intelligence.” And that’s pretty much all everyone agrees on. People define the term in subtly, but importantly, different ways. Among the first to use the term was physicist Mark Avrum Gubrud who in a 1997 research article wrote that “by advanced artificial general intelligence, I mean AI systems that rival or surpass the human brain in complexity and speed, that can acquire, manipulate and reason with general knowledge, and that are usable in essentially any phase of industrial or military operations where a human intelligence would otherwise be needed.”

The term was later picked up and popularized by AI researcher Shane Legg, who would go on to co-found Googled DeepMind with Hassabis, and fellow computer scientists Ben Goertzel and Peter Voss in the early 2000s. They defined AGI, according to Voss, as an AI system that could learn to “reliably perform any cognitive task that a competent human can.” That defintion had some problems—for instance, who decides who qualifies as a competent human? And, since then, other AI researchers have developed different definitions that see AGI as AI that is as capable as any human expert at all tasks, as opposed to merely a “competent” person. OpenAI was founded in late 2015 with the explicit mission of developing AGI “for the benefit of all,” and it added its own twist to the AGI definition debate. The company’s charter says AGI is an autonomous system that can “outperform humans at most economically valuable work.”

But whatever AGI is, the important thing these days, it seems, is not to talk about it. And the reason why has to do with growing concerns that progress in AI development may not be galloping ahead as fast as industry insiders touted just a few months ago—and growing indications that all the AGI talk was stoking inflated expectations that the tech itself couldn’t live up to.

Among the biggest factors in AGI’s sudden fall from grace, seems to have been the roll-out of OpenAI’s GPT-5 model in early August. Just over two years after Microsoft’s claim that GPT-4 showed “sparks” of AGI, the new model landed with a thud: incremental improvements wrapped in a routing architecture, not the breakthrough many expected. Goertzel, who helped coin the phrase AGI, reminded the public that while GPT-5 is impressive, it remains nowhere near true AGI—lacking real understanding, continuous learning, or grounded experience. 

Altman’s retreat from AGI language is especially striking given his prior position. OpenAI was built on AGI hype: AGI is in the company’s founding mission, it helped raise billions in capital, and it underpins the partnership with Microsoft. A clause in their agreement even states that if OpenAI’s nonprofit board declares it has achieved AGI, Microsoft’s access to future technology would be restricted. Microsoft—after investing more than $13 billion—is reportedly pushing to remove that clause, and has even considered walking away from the deal. Wired also reported on an internal OpenAI debate over whether publishing a paper on measuring AI progress could complicate the company’s ability to declare it had achieved AGI. 

A ‘very healthy’ vibe shift

But whether observers think the vibe shift is a marketing move or a market response, many, particularly on the corporate side, say it is a good thing. Shay Boloor, chief market strategist at Futurum Equities, called the move “very healthy,” noting that markets reward execution, not vague “someday superintelligence” narratives. 

Others stress that the real shift is away from a monolithic AGI fantasy, toward domain-specific “superintelligences.” Daniel Saks, CEO of agentic AI company Landbase, argued that “the hype cycle around AGI has always rested on the idea of a single, centralized AI that becomes all-knowing,” but said that is not what he sees happening. “The future lies in decentralized, domain-specific models that achieve superhuman performance in particular fields,” he told Fortune.

Christopher Symons, chief AI scientist at digital health platform Lirio, said that the term AGI was never useful: Those promoting AGI, he explained, “draw resources away from more concrete applications where AI advancements can most immediately benefit society.” 

Still, the retreat from AGI rhetoric doesn’t mean the mission—or the phrase—has vanished. Anthropic and DeepMind executives continue to call themselves “AGI-pilled,” which is a bit of insider slang. Even that phrase is disputed, though; for some it refers to the belief that AGI is imminent, while others say it’s simply the belief that AI models will continue to improve. But there is no doubt that there is more hedging and downplaying than doubling down.

Some still call out urgent risks

And for some, that hedging is exactly what makes the risks more urgent. Former OpenAI researcher Steven Adler told Fortune: “We shouldn’t lose sight that some AI companies are explicitly aiming to build systems smarter than any human. AI isn’t there yet, but whatever you call this, it’s dangerous and demands real seriousness.”

Others accuse AI leaders of changing their tune on AGI to muddy the waters in a bid to avoid regulation. Max Tegmark, president of the Future of Life Institute, says Altman calling AGI “not a useful term” isn’t scientific humility, but a way for the company to steer clear of regulation while continuing to build towards more and more powerful models. 

“It’s smarter for them to just talk about AGI in private with their investors,” he told Fortune, adding that “it’s like a cocaine salesman saying that it’s unclear whether cocaine is is really a drug,” because it’s just so complex and difficult to decipher. 

Call it AGI or call it something else—the hype may fade and the vibe may shift, but with so much on the line, from money and jobs to security and safety, the real questions about where this race leads are only just beginning.



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The U.S. has over 900 billionaires and their wealth soared by 18% to $6.9 trillion this year: UBS

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The United States remains the clear leader in global wealth creation, with its billionaire population expanding and their combined fortunes soaring over the past year, according to UBS Global Wealth Management’s Billionaire Ambitions Report for 2025. It reveals that U.S. billionaires’ wealth increased by almost a fifth (18% year on year) to a staggering $6.9 trillion in 2025.

This massive surge helped lift the global billionaire population to 2,919 individuals, holding a total record wealth of $15.8 trillion. The U.S. now hosts 924 billionaires, representing nearly a third (31.7%) of the global billionaire population. The growth in the Americas region, which was led by the U.S., saw overall billionaire wealth climb 15.5% to $7.5 trillion.

The dramatic increase in U.S. wealth was largely driven by an exceptional year for innovation and rising financial asset prices, the Swiss bank concluded. The United States welcomed 109 fresh entrants to the billionaire ranks, vastly outnumbering the 18 who dropped below the threshold or passed away. The growth was heavily buoyed by self-made success, as 87 new U.S. residents became self-made billionaires, contributing $171.9 billion to the Americas’ total new wealth.

The technology sector played a crucial role in this growth, UBS added, with tech billionaires globally seeing their assets increase by 23.8% to $3 trillion. This surge in tech wealth is closely linked to the appreciating values of companies driving the artificial intelligence revolution, such as Nvidia, Oracle, and Meta.

Six U.S. tech billionaires alone saw their wealth increase by a combined $171 billion compared with the previous year. This wave of entrepreneurship means that 2025 recorded the second-highest number of self-made individuals becoming billionaires in the history of the report, behind the remarkable year for markets that was 2021, demonstrating widespread business creation across diverse sectors.

That year, 360 self-made billionaires accounted for $782 billion, an “exceptional rise [that] resulted from asset price appreciation in a period of ample financial liquidity following the COVID-19 pandemic.” The result in 2025 was more down to “widespread business creation,” UBS added. The report found the number of new billionaires minted annually increased roughly eightfold from 35 in 2022 to 287 in 2025, while their assets have grown by roughly ninefold, from $74.6 billion to $684.3 billion.

The coming transfer of wealth

While U.S. entrepreneurs are busy creating new wealth, the long-anticipated “great wealth transfer” is accelerating. Globally, at least $5.9 trillion is expected to be inherited by billionaire children over the next 15 years. Of that amount, at least $2.8 trillion will pass to U.S. heirs over this period. This calculation is likely conservative as it does not factor in future appreciation of asset values.

The report highlights that families are becoming increasingly international as the wealth transfer intensifies, yet the inheritance itself is set to be concentrated in a small number of markets, with the U.S. leading the way.

Female billionaires made notable progress in 2025, according to the report. While there are only 374 female billionaires globally, compared with 2,545 male, their average wealth grew by 8.4% to $5.2 billion in 2025, more than twice the 3.2% average growth rate for men. This is part of a trend, with the average wealth of female billionaires rising at a faster rate for each of the four years since 2022. In part, this is driven by inheritance, with more women becoming billionaires through inheritance than any other way in 2025. Of the 43 women who became billionaires in the year, UBS found that 27 inherited while 16 were self-made.

Despite the vast sums set for inheritance, surveyed billionaires expressed a strong desire for their children to achieve success independently. More than eight in 10 (82%) of those surveyed hope their children will develop the necessary skills and values to succeed without relying solely on the inherited fortune. Over half (55%) also want their heirs to use their wealth to make a positive impact on the world.

Furthermore, billionaires are highly mobile, with 36% of those surveyed having relocated at least once, and a further 9% considering a move. The top three reasons for relocation are linked to better quality of life (36%), geopolitical concerns (36%), and organizing tax affairs more efficiently (35%). This high level of mobility could potentially alter the geographic picture of where wealth is ultimately transferred.

The report was generated in part through an online survey of 87 billionaire clients as well as in-depth interviews which took place over several weeks in September and October.



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‘This isn’t what Walt and Roy would have wanted’: Disney fans with disabilities sue over new ride restrictions

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Changes that Disney made to a popular program that lets qualifying disabled people skip long lines at its California and Florida theme parks are too restrictive, disabled fans contend in a federal lawsuit and shareholder proposal that seek to expand eligibility.

The battle over who can skip long lines on popular rides because of their disabilities marks the latest struggle by Disney to accommodate disabled visitors while cracking down on past abuses. But some Disney fans say the company has gone too far and has no right to determine who is disabled.

“This isn’t right. This isn’t what Walt and Roy would have wanted,” said Shannon Bonadurer, referring to the Disney brothers who founded the entertainment empire. Despite being unable to wait for long periods of time in the heat because she uses an ileostomy bag, Bonadurer was denied a pass for the disability program.

In a statement, Disney said it was committed to providing a great experience to all visitors, particularly those with disabilities who may require special accommodations.

Here’s a look at changes to Disney parks’ policies for disabled visitors.

What is the disability program?

The Disability Access Service, or DAS, program allows pass-holders and their immediate family members to make an online reservation for a ride while in the park and then get into an expedited line that typically takes about 10 minutes when it’s their time to go on the ride. DAS guests never have to wait in normal standby lines, which on the most popular attractions can be two hours or more.

The DAS program started in 2013 in response to past abuses by disabled “tour guides” who charged money, sometimes hundreds of dollars, to accompany able-bodied guests, enabling such guests to go to the front of lines. Disney says the DAS program needed changing because it had grown fourfold. Before last year’s changes, the percentage of guests having DAS passes jumped from around 5% to 20% over the past dozen years “and showed no signs of slowing,” the company said in court papers.

Disney parks make other accommodations for disabled visitors, including maps in Braille, a device that helps transfer visitors from wheelchairs to ride seats, quiet break locations and American Sign Language interpreters for some live shows. The parks permit some service animals on rides and allow some disabled guests to leave a line and rejoin their party before boarding a ride.

Who qualifies now?

Disney narrowed the scope from people with a wider range of disabilities to mostly guests who “due to a developmental disability such as autism or similar” have difficulties waiting in a long line. Under the changes, guests seeking a DAS pass must be interviewed via video chat by a Disney worker and a contracted medical professional who determine if the person is eligible. Visitors found to have lied can be barred from the parks.

Some people with disabilities who have been denied say the new policy is too restrictive. Not only was Bonadurer denied a pass, but so was her 25-year-old son, who is blind and has cerebral palsy and autism.

“They are making a determination about whether you’re disabled enough,” said Bonadurer, a professional travel adviser from Michigan. “I would love to wait in line with everyone else, and so would my son, since that would mean he has a normal life. But we don’t, and unfortunately for us, we need adaptations to how we wait.”

Disney says the Americans with Disabilities Act doesn’t require equal treatment of people with varying disabilities. The company accommodates those visitors who don’t meet the new DAS criteria with alternatives, Disney said in court filings responding to a federal lawsuit in California.

“For example, in a crowded movie theater, a person using a wheelchair may be entitled to priority seating even if they arrive shortly before the movie starts, while a deaf person may only be entitled to a seat with closed captioning,” the company said.

At Disney’s main theme park rival, Universal, disabled visitors can get shorter lines if they have a card issued by an international board that certifies venues for their accessibility.

What’s next?

A shareholder proposal submitted on behalf of DAS Defenders, an advocacy group of Disney fans opposed to the DAS changes, calls on the company next year to commission an independent review of its disability policies and publicly release the findings. The shareholder proposal claims the change to the DAS program has contributed to lower park attendance.

Disney’s attorneys told the Securities and Exchange Commission in a November letter that it intends to block the proposal ahead of the company’s 2026 shareholder meeting, saying it was false and misleading about the reasons for an attendance decline, which the company attributed to hurricanes. The company also argued the shareholder proposal amounts to micromanaging day-to-day operations.



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Kushner suddenly enters the Paramount–Netflix fight with Saudi billions and a fresh mega-deal

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Jared Kushner has quietly reemerged as a player in one of the biggest takeover fights in modern Hollywood. Paramount’s audacious, all-cash $108 billion hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, announced Monday, names Kushner’s fully owned private equity firm, Affinity Partners, as one of four outside financing partners backing the offer, alongside the sovereign wealth funds of Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar.

Axios first reported the involvement of Saudi and Gulf investment.

The detail is buried in Paramount’s tender offer, with Paramount listing “the Public Investment Fund (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia), L’imad Holding Company PJSC (Abu Dhabi), Qatar Investment Authority (Qatar) and Affinity Partners (Jared Kushner)” as investors who would, under a successful deal scenario, hold non-voting equity and forgo governance rights, including board seats. 

The filing also states that because these investors are structured without such rights, “the Transaction will not be within CFIUS’s jurisdiction,” referring to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States. Reports have suggested that WBD’s board opted for Netflix’s deal as it lacked any foreign financing components and therefore faced no issues with CFIUS, a notably opaque and powerful antitrust tool that the government can employ to block controversial mergers.

Both Paramount and Netflix are likely to increase their offers. David Ellison said on CNBC that he told the CEO of Warner Bro’s, David Zaslav, that $30 per share wasn’t the company’s best and final offer.

Kushner’s Middle Eastern ties

Kushner’s inclusion reflects a broader fact pattern: since leaving government, his firm has raised several billion dollars from Gulf investors and has participated in large private transactions involving capital from the same region. In September, his firm joined Silver Lake and Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund in the $55 billion agreement to take Electronic Arts private, the largest private-equity buyout in history. 

WSJ reporting shows Kushner helped connect Silver Lake with PIF leadership earlier in the year as discussions around an EA buyout accelerated. Affinity Partners ultimately took a roughly 5% stake in the transaction, alongside Silver Lake and PIF, which financed the majority of the equity. The EA deal marked the first time Kushner’s fund appeared in a major global technology buyout of that scale, and it involved the same Gulf investors who now appear in Paramount’s financing package.

Kushner has also remained active in Middle East political diplomacy, not just financial. He played a meaningful role in the administration’s recent Israel-Gaza peace effort, brought in because of his involvement in negotiating the Abraham Accords during Trump’s first term, which established diplomatic ties between Israel and several Gulf states including Saudi Arabia. The Gulf state is increasingly opening up, especially with regard to western businesses, as highlighted by Barclays’ confirmation in late October at the Fortune Global Forum in Riyadh that it was relocating its regional headquarters there. Separately at the Fortune Global Forum, Saudi Investment Minister Khalid A. Al-Falih described the breakthroughs occurring under Vision 2030, the kingdom’s economic transformation plan that is roughly nine years old. He said he saw 2025 as a “pivotal moment,” when “the very foundations of global business are being shaken, in a way, and being rewritten before our own eyes.”

The deal took on new political dimensions over the weekend, with President Donald Trump publicly weighing in on Netflix’s agreement to acquire WBD’s studio and streaming assets. Speaking to reporters on Sunday, Trump said the Netflix–WBD deal “could be a problem” because of the combined businesses’ market share, and noted that he expects to be involved in the review process. He also confirmed meeting with Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos in the Oval Office shortly before the deal was announced by Netflix, saying Sarandos had made “no guarantees” about the transaction. 

Trump did not confirm the scoop by Bloomberg’s Lucas Shaw, who wrote in his influential entertainment newsletter that Sarandos has been wooing Trump since late November, when he visited Mar-A-Lago. Trump did indicate, however, that he has a good relationship with the Netflix leader, calling Sarandos a “fantastic man” who had played a major role in building Netflix into such a great company. Netflix executives expressed great confidence in regulatory approval on Friday’s call with analysts about their deal, worth $72 billion in equity and about $83 billion including the assumption of debt.

The political plot thickens

The political overtones of the wrangling here are at least worth noting. Paramount was recently acquired by David Ellison, son of longtime Republican donor Larry Ellison, who Trump named as one of several U.S. billionaires to take control of the U.S. assets of TikTok. (Bloomberg’s Shaw reported that Sarandos was interested in the Paramount studio before Ellison acquired it.) Meanwhile, Sarandos is married to Nicole Avant, who was ambassador to the Bahamas during the Obama administration. Netflix co-founder Reed Hastings is a prominent and longtime Democratic donor, although Hastings is now non-executive chairman at Netflix and has been focused on his Powder Mountain resort in Utah, acquired shortly after Fortune’s profile of the resort in 2023.

Paramount explicitly argued that its own proposal carries fewer regulatory risks than Netflix’s. In its filing, the company contends that the Netflix agreement faces significant antitrust hurdles, including a long potential review timeline. Paramount also emphasizes that its outside financing—because it is non-voting—does not trigger CFIUS review, eliminating one additional hurdle of national-security scrutiny.

Trump’s posture toward Paramount, however, has been mixed. Roughly 20 minutes after Paramount launched its hostile offer, Trump explicitly criticized Paramount management over a 60 Minutes segment featuring Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, writing on Truth Social that it was “NO BETTER THAN THE OLD OWNERSHIP.” Trump added that “since they [Paramount] bought it, 60 Minutes has actually gotten WORSE!” CBS News and 60 Minutes, as is customary with news organizations, maintain that they have editorial independence from their ownership. Paramount settled a lawsuit brought by Trump over a certain 60 Minutes episode during the 2024 election, paying $16 million in July 2025, shortly before Ellison’s takeover won regulator approval.

Separately on Monday, Larry Ellisontold CNBC that he has had “great conversations” with Trump about the WBD bid, without elaborating. 

Nidhi Hegde, executive director of the American Economic Liberties Project, wrote on X in response to Ellison’s remarks that “the correct option is neither Paramount nor Netflix buy Warner.”

“The president inserting himself in the deal is obviously problematic, regardless of the parties involved,” said Hegde. 

[Disclosure: one of the author’s worked at Netflix from June 2024 through July 2025.]



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