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GOP wins 2 Florida special elections in Trump strongholds but by about 10 points less than in 2024

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Republicans Jimmy Patronis and Randy Fine won special elections Tuesday in two Florida congressional districts, bolstered by President Donald Trump’s endorsement to fill vacant seats in reliably Republican strongholds.

Patronis, the state’s chief financial officer, fended off a challenge from Democrat Gay Valimont even though she far outraised and outspent him. He will fill the northwest Florida 1st District seat vacated by former Rep. Matt Gaetz, who was chosen to be Trump’s attorney general but withdrew from consideration amid allegations of sexual misconduct, which he has denied.

In north Florida’s 6th District, Fine won against Democratic challenger Josh Weil for a seat vacated by Mike Waltz when he was tapped to become Trump’s national security adviser.

The win bolsters Republicans’ margin to 220-213 in the House of Representatives.

Special elections are often low-turnout events that can lead to surprising results. While GOP wins were widely expected in both districts — two of the most heavily Republican in the country — it’s notable that Democrats narrowed the margins considerably from November.

The races were among the first electoral tests of Trump’s new administration. The narrowing margins may signal a shift in public sentiment, driven by unusually strong enthusiasm as Democrats from across the country poured millions into the races. The opposition party hoped that backlash to the president’s overhaul of federal agencies and firing of federal workers would carve into the GOP’s margins at the polls.

Trump takes credit for the wins

Trump congratulated both candidates late Tuesday and said his endorsement helped them secure a victory.

“THE TRUMP ENDORSEMENT, AS ALWAYS, PROVED FAR GREATER THAN THE DEMOCRATS FORCES OF EVIL. CONGRATULATIONS TO AMERICA!” he said on his Truth Social platform.

At a waterfront restaurant in Pensacola, congratulatory text messages were already lighting up Patronis’ phone as early results were posted Tuesday night. Patronis worked the crowd of about 100 people, shaking hands and giving hugs, his wife Katie and two sons in tow.

“Let it be known that this election is a reminder the Florida Panhandle will forever be red, and it’ll forever be Trump country,” Patronis told his supporters. “And even their $6 million could not overcome one simple post on social media by Donald Trump.”

Fine spoke to about 100 supporters at the 2A Ranch Saloon in Ormond Beach, a barn-like building adorned with Trump decor, including cardboard cutouts of the president and a photo signed by first lady Melania Trump. Above Fine, a glowing “Trump is still my president” sign hung from the overhead balcony.

After the speech, Fine downplayed the narrowing margin, saying it was in the double digits and in a special election.

“I think it’s hard to say that’s an underperformance,” Fine said.

Weil said in a statement that the “race was closer than anyone ever imagined.”

“This result is also a warning sign to Donald Trump, Randy Fine, and the unelected oligarchs taking apart the government,” Weil said.

What do the results show?

Republicans in both districts are on track to win with narrower margins than their predecessors in every county. They also are on track to trail Trump’s 2024 share of the vote in the two congressional districts.

In the 6th Congressional District, Trump received roughly 65% of the vote in 2024, just behind the 67% Waltz received in his final House reelection bid. In Tuesday’s special election, Fine was underperforming Waltz by about 10 percentage points.

In Volusia County, Trump received 58% and Waltz received about 60% in 2024, while Fine was hovering around the 50% mark with nearly all the votes reported.

Fine, a self-described “conservative firebrand,” had faced growing pressure during the race’s final days as some Republicans publicly criticized his campaign and fundraising efforts, questioning whether this race would embarrass Republicans less than 100 days into Trump’s administration. Weil’s campaign raised an eye-popping $9 million compared to Fine’s $1 million.

National Democratic leaders attributed Weil’s fundraising success to what they characterized as widespread outrage against Trump. That outrage failed to materialize in large enough numbers to overturn the outcome, foiling Democrats’ hope to pull off a huge upset that would have buoyed their party.

The Democratic National Committee’s chair, Ken Martin, said the results showed “Democrats overperformed.” The National Republican Congressional Committee said the victories sent a message that “Americans are fired up to elect leaders who will fight for President Trump’s agenda and reject the Democrats’ failed policies,” spokesperson Mike Marinella said.

What did voters say?

Carol Vyhonsky, who drove to Fine’s election party from her home in Brevard County with a group of her friends, said she had no issues with Fine’s victory not being as strong as his predecessor’s was last year.

“The polling was looking a little iffy there for a while, but he pulled through,” Vyhonsky said. “As long as he won, that’s the important thing.”

Retired nurse Brenda Ray and her husband, Vietnam War veteran Mike Ray, made it to the polls to support Patronis earlier in the day. Brenda Ray said she didn’t know a lot about him but supported him because she believes he’ll “vote with our president.”

“That’s all we’re looking for,” she said.

Who are Fine and Patronis?

Fine was first elected to the Florida House in 2016 and ran each year as a representative until 2024 when he successfully won his election to the Florida Senate. He is known for his support of Israel and his efforts to restrict LGBTQ+ rights.

Patronis’ family founded the well-known Panama City restaurant Capt. Anderson’s, located along the Gulf of Mexico. He has been involved in Florida politics since he was in college, interning in the Florida Senate before being elected to the Florida House of Representatives in 2006. He was appointed by then-Gov. Rick Scott to become the state’s CFO in 2017 and won races to keep the Cabinet-level office in 2018 and 2022.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Trump’s tariffs are sending ultra-rich investors to Europe and Asia: ‘The world has changed in the last 3 months’

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Though President Donald Trump has said his aggressive tariff strategy, unveiled this week, will make the markets “boom,” it has so far resulted in a rout, with U.S. equity markets suffering their worst week since March 2020 and more pain likely on the way. And that’s sending ultra-wealthy investors to seek refuge from the financial storm abroad.

The average tariff rate is even higher than in the 1930s, “which means there is no modern-day precedent to predict the economic hit,” says Larry Adam, chief investment officer at Raymond James. The U.S. markets have been tanking in the aftermath, and analysts including from JPMorgan are ringing alarm bells about a potential recession this year. The preeminence and exceptionalism of the U.S. is now being questioned.

Investors are reacting accordingly. Worried about the effects of tariffs and other moves by the Trump administration that could hurt growth in the U.S.—such as defunding research efforts around the country—ultra high net worth and family office investors are rethinking their positions here, at least in the short term.

“We’ve seen a growing interest among high-net-worth family office clients in diversifying a portion of their portfolios outside the United States,” says Jon Ulin, private wealth advisor at Ulin & Co. Wealth Management. “This trend is largely driven by concerns over policy uncertainty and potential economic or market disruptions.”

Of course, many of these wealthy investors already hold sizable investments and real estate holdings abroad, particularly those who were born in another country or have dual citizenship somewhere. But the uncertainty now plaguing the U.S. economy is causing them to double down on looking for better growth opportunities and hedges abroad. Ulin’s team is now tilting managed portfolios more international than U.S. “to better navigate the trade war fall out of domestic stocks and the markets.”

“For them, investing internationally is not just about diversification, it serves as a currency hedge and provides access to government bonds and equities that may not be readily available in U.S. markets,” says Ulin.

At a media event Thursday, Goldman Sachs representatives said they are watching Trump’s moves closely. Many of their ultra-high net worth (UHNW) clients are asking for guidance, though they haven’t fled from U.S. equities just yet. But non-U.S. equities have outperformed so far this year, and broader diversification in general is a goal for the firm. Still, the firm is bullish on U.S. long-term given the country’s ability to innovate.

“There’s still some belief that even if things look murky in the U.S. … the U.S. may end up better than other countries on the other side of the tariffs,” said Elizabeth Burton, senior client investment strategist at Goldman Sachs.

That said, many UHNW clients were thinking of moving money out of the U.S. even before Trump’s so-called Liberation Day. Europe, for example, may be more attractive given its increase in defense spending. In Asia, India is attracting Goldman’s attention.

“For so long, being long the U.S., and particularly large cap U.S., was was the right investment,” said Matt Gibson, Goldman’s global head of the Client Solutions Group. “A lot of our clients in Q4 [2024], as they saw the election happen and so forth, started to wonder if keeping that trade on was the right thing to do.”

Tariff uncertainty is pushing those conversations into overdrive.

“The world has changed in the last three months in a material way,” said Marc Nachmann, Goldman’s global head of asset & wealth management. “Our conversations with clients right now include … how should we think about these tariffs? How should they make us rethink how we allocate all of our assets?”

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Codex raises $15.8 million in round led by Dragonfly to build out a blockchain for stablecoins

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Spotify is pitching itself to advertisers as the anti-‘rotting and doom scrolling app’

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Have you ever thought about how much time you spend on Spotify, that is, actually inside the Spotify app? It’s easy to get lost for 30 minutes on TikTok or Instagram, but you probably don’t have the same instinct for the Swedish streaming app. 

Spotify, though, is keen to remind the advertising world just how much time their listeners spend actually navigating the app. 

A music app designed to operate in the background isn’t an obvious target market for advertisers, who would be inclined to regard the app’s users as passive or unengaged.

This could explain why the streaming platform’s ad revenue is so low. Spotify made $1.85 billion from ad-supported revenue in 2024, a fraction of the $13.8 billion it raked in from premium subscribers. 

However, as part of a new drive to boost ad-supported revenue, Spotify is trying to convince advertisers that its listeners are anything but passive.

“It’s more nutritious… rather than these high-caloric, quick things,” Alex Norstrom, Spotify’s co-president and chief business officer, told the New York Times about the Spotify app. 

Norstrom elaborated that this included the “Jam” function, which forces listeners to turn both technical and collaborative to create the ideal group playlist. He also pointed to listeners wanting to discover more about their favorite podcaster or settling in for an extended audiobook session.

“People just feel good when they’re on Spotify,” Lee Brown, Spotify’s global head of advertising, said on Wednesday. “How many apps can say that?”

Spotify aims to grow its advertising revenue by increasing the amount of time its users spend on the app. To that end, the group enhanced its offering of podcasts with a video function, making it functionally comparable to YouTube.  

“The more content users stream, the more advertising inventory we generally have to sell,” the group wrote in its 2024 annual report.

Its strategy to do so, as Brown summarized, was to pitch itself as the alternative to “rotting and doom-scrolling.”

Spotify’s pitch for advertisers comes at a time when brands are thinking more intentionally about where they publicize themselves. Elon Musk went to war with advertisers last year after many pulled funding from his X platform as its content turned more toxic. They began to return in the wake of the election of Donald Trump, who was heavily supported by Muck.

The company has been more deliberate in its message to advertisers in recent months.

What Wednesday’s event sought to highlight was making it easier for advertisers to use the platform, including the use of Gen AI to power scripts and voiceovers in the U.S. and Canada.

In November last year, Spotify said 72% of Gen Z listeners viewed the app as the antidote to doom-scrolling, according to findings in its Culture Next Report. The report, aimed at advertisers, indicated Gen Z listeners favored brands that engaged with Spotify by creating playlists or sponsoring live music events. 

Spotify enjoyed a remarkable 2024 turnaround after rounding out 2023 with its largest-ever round of layoffs. The company enjoyed its first full year of profitability and saw its share price more than double last year.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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