Baker Mayfield has led the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to their first 3-0 start in 21 years, engineering game-winning drives in all three contests. Here’s how he’s become the NFL’s clutch king.
NFL Week 4 “Trendy” Totals
NFL Week 4 is here, and bettors are watching the totals board closely. History doesn’t guarantee the future, but long-term betting trends often point to where the value may lie. Here are some of the most eye-catching patterns from around the league.
Colts and Rams Light Up the Scoreboard
If you’re looking for points, history says Colts vs. Rams could deliver. The last six meetings between these teams have all gone over the total, with an average of 54 points scored per game. On top of that, Indianapolis has gone over in 10 of their last 13 road games against AFC West opponents.
Cleveland and Detroit Keep Cashing Overs
The Browns are another team bringing offense (or shaky defense) on the road. They’ve hit the over in 16 of their last 21 road games. Meanwhile, Detroit has become an over machine at Ford Field: the Lions are 19-5 to the over in their last 24 home games when the total is 52 or less. And when the Lions are favored by eight or more, the trend is even stronger: 8-1 to the over.
Falcons Buck the Trend
Not every team is built for shootouts. Atlanta has been the exact opposite of Detroit at home, with their last seven games as a home underdog all staying under the total.
Chargers, Dolphins, and International Angles
The Chargers bring another quirky stat: in the week following a game against Denver, Los Angeles has gone 9-2 to the over. Miami, meanwhile, has been a consistent prime-time over team, going 7-1 to the over in their last eight Monday Night Football appearances.
For bettors eyeing the London game, history leans the other way. International contests have been lower-scoring overall, with 17 of the last 30 going under. But favorites have done very well against the spread in these games, covering at a 32-18 clip.
What to Watch in Week 4
Despite all these individual angles, here’s the kicker: Week 4 features only two Top 10 offenses facing each other. That means fewer natural shootouts, so knowing which teams bring the right trends could be the difference between winning and losing.
As always, the trends tell the story—whether or not you ride with them is up to you.
1). COLTS/RAMS: Last 6 meetings all went “OVER” the Total (avg points scored = 54)
2). INDY COLTS: Last 13 on Road vs. any West Division opponent – (10 OVERS – 3 UNDERS)
3). CLEVELAND BROWNS: Last 21 on Road = (16 OVERS – 5 UNDERS)
4). DETROIT LIONS AT HOME: Last 24 when Total 52 or less = (19 OVERS – 5 UNDERS)
5). ATLANTA FALCONS: Last 7 as Home Dog = (All 7 went UNDER)
6). DETROIT LIONS: When favored by 8 or more points = (8 OVERS – 1 UNDER)
7). L A CHARGERS: Week after facing Denver = (9 OVERS – 2 UNDERS)
8). MIAMI DOLPHINS: Last 8 games on Monday Night = (7 OVERS – 1 UNDER)
9). INTERNATIONAL GAMES: Last 8 seasons = (13 OVERS – 17 UNDERS)
10). INTERNATIONAL GAMES: FAVORITES = (32-18) A.T.S.
11). Week 4 features only two Top 10 Offenses facing off vs. each other!
Tune în Wednesday for a special show from Tampa Bay Downs
Let ‘em Run Special Wednesday Podcast LIVE from Tampa Bay Downs
Midweek racing brings fresh opportunity, sharper opinions, and real-time insight from the track. This Wednesday, Let ‘em Run takes the show on the road with live analysis straight from Tampa Bay Downs. With strong angles, value-driven plays, and boots on the ground, this special edition delivers the kind of edge horseplayers look for during the week.
Be sure to tune in on Wednesday at 12:30 PM EST for our special “Boots on the Ground” segment. John Kostin will be live from Tampa Bay Downs and joined by guest handicapper Wadie Khalaf. Together, they will break down the card with a sharp focus on the Late P5 and key spot plays, including the always-popular Bro’s BRISnet Play of the Day. You can catch the show live on Sports Talk Media Network, along with multiple streaming apps and social channels. Let’s take a closer look at a few races that stand out.
Tampa Bay Downs | Wednesday 1/21/26
Race 2 | 12:20 PM EST
This race offers a strong opinion with limited value, but there is still a way to make it pay. The #5 Uncashed sits at 2-1 on the morning line and owns a +10 BRISnet Prime Power advantage over the rest of the field. That edge pushes the projected win percentage to around 55%. He also profiles as the lone “E” type in the race, which strengthens the pace advantage. Trainer numbers support the play as well, with a 31% win rate when sending out runners who won last time out.
Since the price will likely drop, the value shifts to a double play. The suggested approach is a $50 double using 5 with 9 and 10 in Race 3. The outside posts win often in that race, and the odds should offer a better return.
Race 8 | 3:55 PM EST
This race sets up nicely for another BRISnet-based angle and should provide a fairer price at post time. The #1 Paynter’s Prodigy sits at 3-1 and checks several important boxes. He is an “E” type, owns the highest last-race speed figure, and also tops the field in early TimeformUS Pace.
The only other true speed appears to be #12 Chico Charlie at 6-1, but that runner draws a tough, ground-losing outside post. The price on the #1 may drift up, as jockey Wesley Ho remains capable but does not draw heavy public support. That scenario could create solid betting value.
All three of us will share insights and opinions on the full Late P5 during the live podcast. Be sure to tune in. Bet smart, cheer hard, fast horses equal serious fun, and as always, Let ‘em Run.
On January 10, 2026, Dalton Smith announced himself on the world stage with a stunning knockout victory over Subriel Matias to claim the WBC Junior Welterweight World Championship. Fighting in Brooklyn, New York, Smith delivered a fearless performance in his United States debut and dismantled one of the division’s most feared punchers.
Smith stopped the Puerto Rican powerhouse in the fifth round with a brutal sequence of chopping right hands. The finish capped a fight that evolved from a sharp, technical opening into an all-out war, with both men trading heavy shots. When the moment arrived, Smith imposed his will and closed the show against the 33-year-old champion.
Built for the Big Stage
Smith entered the fight with a growing reputation for knockout power, fast hands, and a proven chin. Against Matias, he matched intensity and confidence from the opening bell. As the rounds wore on, Smith controlled the exchanges and turned pressure into opportunity, becoming the first fighter to knock Matias out.
Matias arrived with a reputation as a destroyer, but Smith refused to retreat. He stood his ground, answered fire with fire, and changed the trajectory of the junior welterweight division.
Roots in Sheffield
Born February 8, 1997, in Sheffield, England, Smith grew up in a sports-driven household. Football came first, but boxing quickly took hold. His father, Grant Smith, and grandfather, Brian Smith, introduced him to the Steel City Gym around 2003, setting the foundation for his career.
Smith thrived as an amateur. He collected national titles, earned a medal at the 2014 European Youth Championships, and captured the ABA title in 2018. Those accomplishments marked him as one of Britain’s elite prospects.
The Professional Rise
Smith turned professional in 2019 after signing with Eddie Hearn and Matchroom Boxing. He debuted in Nottingham against Luka Leskovic and earned a points win. Momentum followed fast. Seven straight victories, many by knockout, pushed him into the national spotlight.
In 2021, Smith captured the English title with a sixth-round stoppage of Lee Appleyard. He followed that by winning the WBC International Silver super lightweight title in 2022, forcing Ray Moylette’s corner to halt the fight in round ten. Eight months later, Smith claimed the British title with a devastating sixth-round finish against Sam O’Maison.
From Contender to Champion
Victories over Sam Maxwell and former WBC Silver champion Jose Zepeda elevated Smith into elite company. In 2025, wins over Walid Ouizza and Mathieu Germain sealed his world title opportunity.
Smith entered the Matias fight undefeated at 19-0 with 14 knockouts. Matias stood at 23-2 with 22 knockouts. The collision delivered fireworks, and Smith emerged as the last man standing.
With the win, Dalton Smith became the fifth active British world champion, joining a growing list of elite names and signaling the arrival of a new force at 140 pounds.
Marseille’s US forward #22 Timothy Weah celebrates after scoring a goal during the French L1 football match between SCO Angers and Olympique de Marseille (OM) at the Stade Raymond-Kopa in Angers, central Framce, on January 17, 2026. (Photo by JEAN-FRANCOIS MONIER / AFP)
The United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) players continued to impress across Europe this weekend, finding the scoresheet in some of the continent’s most competitive leagues.
Goals from France’s Ligue 1, England’s Championship, and the German Bundesliga highlighted another strong round of performances abroad.
With the 2026 FIFA World Cup fast approaching and set to be hosted on home soil, this surge in form couldn’t come at a better time as American players better prepared and more competitive than ever before.
Sports Talk ranks the best performers who found the scoresheet across Europe.
Patrick Agyemang
The former Charlotte forward scored a crucial goal in the English Championship to power Derby County to a 1-0 win against Preston North End.
The 25-year-old who has been in fine form since he moved to England last July, broke the deadlock for the Rams with his header in the 82nd minute.
The effort was Agyemang’s seventh Championship goal of the season on his 23rd outing.
Haji Wright
Wright was the second American to light up the Championship over the weekend…
He came off the bench to grab the match-winning goal for Coventry City that ended his goal drought since October in their 2-1 defeat of Leicester City.
Introduced by Frank Lampard in the 67th minute, the 27-year-old continue with Tatsuhiro Sakamoto’s cross to secure three points for Coventry in the 85th minute.
His last goal was against Sheffield Wednesday on October 4 and he has now bagged nine goals in 23 league games this term.
Timothy Weah
The versatile winger was among the goals as Olympique Marseille ran rampant in the French Ligue 1 with a 5-2 triumph against Angers.
Weah finished off a brilliant team movement with his header in the 40th minute to give Marseille a 4-0 lead at halftime.
The Juventus loanee has been a key figure in De Zerbi’s defensive set-up this season and his versatility on the flanks has seen him score two goals and provide an assist in 15 Ligue 1 matches this season.
James Sands
The New York City loanee opened his Bundesliga goal account in St. Pauli’s 3-2 loss to Borussia Dortmund.
With St. Pauli trailing 2-0, Sands tried to inspire a comeback with his goal in the 62nd minute but it was not enough as Dortmund grabbed a late winner in the stoppage time.
The American defender played from start to finish in the game that was his 16th appearance in the German top division this season.
Brenden Aaronson & Antonee Robinson
Aaronson and Robinson faced off in the Premier League as Leeds United hosted Fulham at Elland Road.
The game ended in favour in Aaronson as Leeds secured a hard-fought 1-0 for thier first league win of the new year.
Aaronson and Robinson played the entire 90 minutes but the former was replaced in stoppage time.