Let ‘em Run Breaks Down the Late P5 at Fair Grounds
Let ‘em Run turns its full attention to a loaded Late P5 at Fair Grounds on Saturday 1/17/2026, highlighted by the Lecomte Stakes, one of the first true pressure points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. With 20 Derby points waiting for the winner and valuable points awarded through fifth, this sequence is not just about cashing tickets, it is about identifying future contenders as the prep season officially shifts into high gear.
The Kentucky Derby preps will really start heating up now, as starting this weekend we have 13 straight weeks of prep races, starting this Saturday with The Lecomte Gr3 at 1 1/16 on dirt. This will award 20 points to the winner. This race has a salty field of 11 runners and with the morning line favorite being 4-1, you can be sure it will be value packed with opportunity. So let’s dive right in and also keep your eye on the Bro’s BRISnet Play of the Day.
Race 9 – The Marie G. Krantz Memorial
5PM EST | 1 1/16 Turf | 100K
Looks like #3 Wild Bout Hilary 20-1, #6 Sweet Treasure 3-1 and #9 Stylish Sue 8-1 will be gunning for the lead when the gates open. I think that scenario sets up for the favorite #5 Medoro 2-1 to get a perfect trip. Jockey J. Ortiz on the #1 BRISnet Prime Power at +9, seals the deal for me. Trying the distance for the first time should not be a problem for this daughter of Honor Code. Also take a look at #8 Nanda Dea (Arg) 9-2 to make some noise with top turf jockey Flavien Prat getting aboard.
Race 10 – The Fasig-Tipton Silverbulletday
5:30 EST | 1 Mile 70yd Dirt | 150K
Nice compact field of 6 fillies line up here, and I think the race sets up well for #6 Pashmina 5-1 to cross over from this post and lead them all the way. She has become a much different runner since switching to dirt, and improvement is expected. Not sure who will take up the chase with her, but favorite #1 Atropa 2-1 will be in close attendance to the pace. The combo of trainer Kenneth McPeek and jockey B.J. Hernandez Jr. make the undefeated filly #4 Taken by the Wind 5-2 a likely win candidate.
Race 11 – The Colonel E.R. Bradley
6PM EST | 1 1/16 Turf | 100K
Okay, so here is where our Bro’s BRISnet Play of the Day will make or break our day. Can not get around #4 Lagynos 7-2, and for many reasons. Dropping in class and back to jockey J. Ortiz are all plus factors. The biggest plus factor is the +20 points above the field as the #1 Prime Power. When #1 Prime Power is +10, the win percentage jumps up to 55%, so at +20 points… well you get it. The #7 Theisman 10-1 has been a new horse since switching to turf, and could be a factor from the start.
Race 12 – The Louisiana Stakes (Gr3)
6:30 EST | 1 1/16 Dirt | 175K
This race serves as the appetizer for the main meal, in that it is the same 1 1/16 Mile on dirt so we get to see how the race and track will be playing here. No secret here, as #8 Just a Touch 8-5 looks to be the best horse in the race, with Irad Ortiz taking the wheel, and the runner is 2 for 2 on the Fair Grounds dirt oval, last time on it winning by 10 ½ lengths. Trainer Brad Cox remains smoking hot, hitting at 41%. If we are looking for a horse to take a shot with if top pick falters (doubtful), then I like #7 Willy D’s 4-1, who could be the speed of the speed. Has been keeping good company in previous outings, and jockey Ricardo Santana Jr. is a good fit for a speed horse.
Race 13 – The Lecomte (Gr3)
7PM EST | 1 1/16 Dirt | 250K
So here we are at the main meal, with a full menu to choose from…where are you going to land?? With a morning line favorite listed at 4-1, the menu is chock full of choices. I am landing on #8 White Tiger 8-1. One of two BRISnet “E” types (the other is #11 Chip Honcho 9-2), and “E” types have hit the winners circle at 41% at the distance at the meet so far (7 of 17). Just think White Tiger is being primed up for this race by trainer Brad Cox.
Won last time out after a bad start and was not asked for best yet, which I think jockey Irad Ortiz will do here, and get this runner to the wire with a big run this time out. Can’t blame anyone for dropping anchor on #3 Crown the Buckeye 4-1, who is #1 Prime Power and trained by Michael Maker. Just think this race is a wide open event, and you could make a case for any runner in the field, so make a case!!!
Late P5 – Fair Grounds (Pre-Scratches)
Late P5 Fair Grounds (Pre Scratches – tune in Saturday at 12:30 for updates after scratches).
Show Schedule and Where to Watch
So be sure to tune in to our Happy Hour Podcast on Friday at 12:30PM, where myself and John Kostin will take a look at The Lecomte, and also take some time to talk to our special guest.
Then on Saturday, we will take an in depth look at the Late P5 (also after scratches) at Fair Grounds, with some loaded stakes races on dirt and turf, including Race 13 (The Lecomte). So be sure to catch us on multiple streaming apps and social channels.
So remember to bet smart, cheer hard, fast horses equal serious fun, and Let ‘em Run!!
The Tampa Bay Rays joined nine other Major League Baseball teams in leaving Main Street Sports. The company struggled to meet financial commitments. The Rays regained full control of their local broadcast rights after years of uncertainty. Their former deal delivered between forty million and sixty million dollars each year. The team now enters a new era with a chance to design a modern media plan that fits the Florida market.
Rays aim to replace lost revenue with a new hybrid model
The Rays must now replace the money once supplied by Main Street Sports. The team can reach that range by building a hybrid system that blends over the air stations with cable and streaming. A statewide network can reach far beyond the Tampa Bay region. It can stretch south to Sarasota and Fort Myers. It can move east toward Orlando and Melbourne. It can extend north to Tallahassee and Jacksonville. Jacksonville is the home of new ownership leader Patrick Zalupski. This wide reach gives the Rays a rare chance to create a unified Florida network.
Over the air network offers reach and stability
A statewide over the air network built around Scripps Gray Tegna or a combination can deliver massive reach. Florida has between five and a half and six million television homes across its major markets. The Rays can secure clearance for one hundred to one hundred twenty games. They can control advertising inventory with their station partners. They avoid carriage disputes that often plague regional sports networks. This model can generate between eight and twelve million dollars each year. That estimate is based on the Padres and Diamondbacks over the air revenue splits. Florida’s larger population and multiple markets push the number upward. Stations often pay a modest rights fee and share advertising revenue.
Cable and satellite remain important revenue sources
The Rays can also negotiate cable and satellite sub fee deals with Spectrum, DirecTV, WOW and Cox. These deals can include low per subscriber fees between one dollar and one dollar fifty each month. They can include limited carriage windows inside Rays territory. They can include guaranteed minimum payments. Spectrum alone covers more than one and a half million households in Rays territory. This model can generate between twelve and eighteen million dollars each year. The number is lower than the regional sports network era but still meaningful. DirecTV remains aggressive in sports carriage. Spectrum wants local sports to reduce customer losses.
MLB TV adds a strong third pillar
MLB can produce Rays games and sell the streaming package through MLB TV. MLB keeps a portion and sends the team a guaranteed annual distribution. Teams also receive a share of national MLB TV revenue. This model can generate between twenty and twenty five million dollars each year. The Padres reportedly receive around sixty million dollars in total value. The Diamondbacks receive around fifty five million dollars. The Rays market is smaller but not dramatically smaller. MLB wants stability in Florida a key Sun Belt region. Under this plan the Rays can expect a reliable payout that lands near the middle of the league. The projected range places the Rays in a strong position to match past revenue while gaining long term security.
A complete model that matches past revenue
The Rays can combine over the air revenue cable and satellite sub fees and MLB TV distribution. The total can reach between forty and fifty five million dollars each year. That number fits within the Rays historical range of forty to sixty million dollars. The hybrid model offers more reach more flexibility and more control. It removes the risk of regional sports network bankruptcy. It improves fan access with no blackout style restrictions. MLB is quietly steering multiple clubs toward this structure.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) leaves the field with his wife, Brittany Mahomes, after the NFL Super Bowl 57 football game against the Philadelphia Eagles, Sunday, Feb. 12, 2023, in Glendale, Ariz. The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
Decisions, decisions.
The owner of the National Football League Kansas City Chiefs franchise, Clark Hunt, is locked into a lease to use the Jackson County, Missouri stadium his team calls home through the end of the 2030-31 season. Hunt is planning to build a stadium-village in Kansas about 23 miles from the Jackson County stadium starting with the 2031 NFL season. If all goes according to plan, Jackson County and Missouri will have an old football stadium and no tenant. Sure the building could hold concerts or other events but if the past is an example, the building will become a money draining relic as all the events will head over to the new stadium. The next question. What is to be done with the stadium?
In an interview with KCMO radio, Missouri House majority leader Jonathan Patterson claimed that it will cost $150 million to demolish the stadium, or $20 million a year to maintain it in its current form. There is also another problem, if county and state leaders want to demolish the facility, there is the adjacent stadium that hosts Major League Baseball’s Kansas City Royals franchise. The Royals business owner John Sherman wants to leave the complex but has not made a decision on what he plans to do. In Pontiac, Michigan, it took many years and many plans but the Silverdome was eventually demolished 17 years after the NFL’s Detroit Lions business moved back to Detroit in 2001. The property now houses an Amazon distribution facility and delivery center. Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas, who is working to keep Sherman’s baseball business in his city, said Hunt had a lucrative offer to stay. There was a $1.5 billion stadium renovation package on the table. Hunt is going to Kansas and will leave behind a massive real estate problem in Missouri.
Kyren Wilson and John Higgins added their names to the 2026 Masters quarter-final line up on day three of the prestigious invitational Triple Crown championship.
Both players dominated their matches, with Kyren Wilson in impressive form against Si Jiahui and John Higgins easing to victory against a badly out-of-form Barry Hawkins.
In a surreal twist, all six matches at this year’s tournament have finished with the same 6–2 scoreline.
Wilson back on form to brush aside Si
Kyren Wilson 6 – 2 Si Jiahui (best of 11 frames)
Kyren Wilson banished the memory of an early exit at the UK Championship in December with a stunning return to form, producing a commanding 6–2 victory over China’s Si Jiahui.
Wilson admitted that his exit from last month’s Triple Crown event, along with uncertainty surrounding his wife’s health, had weighed heavily on him in recent months. He will hope that his victory over the talented Si Jiahui can prove a turning point.
Kyren Wilson saw a maximum attempt end on 80 as he moved into a 2–0 lead, before the players shared the next two frames to leave the Englishman 3–1 ahead at the mid-session interval.
Si Jiahui pulled a frame back when the match resumed, but Wilson soon found another gear, winning the next three frames to seal the match. The run included a superb no-look shot on the black in the seventh frame, which helped him compile a 101 break.
Kyren Wilson will meet the winner of Neil Robertson and Chris Wakelin in the quarter-final.
Higgins punishes Hawkins with vintage display
John Higgins 6 – 2 Barry Hawkins (best of 11 frames)
Two-time former champion John Higgins took full advantage of a difficult day for Barry Hawkins, compiling six half-century breaks in a performance that underlined that the 50-year-old remains a force to be reckoned with.
After winning the opening frame, Hawkins let a few good chances slip through his fingers, allowing the Scot to take control and move 3–1 ahead at the interval.
After the break, John Higgins raised his intensity, with some outstanding long potting helping him close out the match with breaks of 99, 58 and 61.
John Higgins will face current world champion Zhao Xintong in the quarter-finals.
ANOTHER 6-2 result as two-time Masters champion John Higgins puts on an impressive display with breaks of 50, 71, 53, 99, 58 & 61 in defeating Barry Hawkins.
Higgins will meet reigning world champ Zhao Xintong in a blockbuster match on Thursday.