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Elf Beauty shares crater as weakening cosmetics demand dent annual forecasts

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February 7, 2025

Elf Beauty’s shares tumbled over 20% in extended trading on Thursday, after the cosmetics company cut its annual net sales and profit forecasts, citing weak demand in the mass beauty category at the start of the year.

Reuters

Elf Beauty is known for its vegan lip oils and makeup products at affordable price points, which are also available at drugstores and supermarkets such as Walgreens and Target.

Demand was softer in the mass beauty channel in January, and some of Elf’s newer products were “off to a slower start”, Chief Executive Officer Tarang Amin told Reuters.

“Elf’s core Gen Z demographic has been distracted by natural disasters, political change, and uncertainty over TikTok’s fate, and that’s likely to weigh on the brand through the rest of its fiscal year,” said Sky Canaves, principal analyst at Emarketer.

President Donald Trump‘s new 10% tariffs on imports from China could also force the company to raise prices, with about 80% of its products being manufactured in China, down from 100% five years ago.

Consumer uncertainty over inflation and the state of the economy weighed on the mass category in January, executives said on a post-earnings call.

The company now expects annual net sales of $1.30 billion to 1.31 billion, down from a prior target of $1.315 billion to 1.335 billion. It also lowered its annual adjusted profit per share target to $3.27 to 3.32 from $3.47 to 3.53.

Elf’s net sales for the third quarter, ended December 31, grew 31% to $355.32 million, beating estimates of $329.67 million, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Beauty giant Estee Lauder said earlier this week that it would cut more jobs and noted it was taking a hit from weakness in travel retail demand for beauty products in Asia.

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Fashion

Fossil Group names new commercial and digital leaders

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February 6, 2025

Fossil Group announced on Thursday the appointment of Joe Martin as chief commercial officer and Antonio Carriero as chief digital information officer and general manager for the EMEA region. 

Fossil Group names Joe Martin as chief commercial officer and Antonio Carriero as chief digital information officer and general manager of EMEA – Fossil

In his role, effective February 17, Martin will oversee all global revenue-generating activities, focusing on building a high-performing, scalable commercial organization. He joins Fossil from Adidas where he served as senior vice president of wholesale, team services and omni operations and marketplace, North America. 

Meanwhile, starting February 12, Carriero will be responsible for overseeing the company’s global technology strategy, operations, cybersecurity, and the development of future capabilities, while leading the company’s commercial business in the EMEA region. He brings extensive experience in digital transformation and e-commerce growth from his previous roles at Salomon, Breitling SA, and Richemont Group.

“The expertise and proven record of sustainable, long-term results that both Joe and Antonio bring to the company make them ideally suited to advance our turnaround strategy as we focus on building a stronger, more innovative watch business that creates long-term value for all our stakeholders,” said chief executive officer Franco Fogliato.

These appointments are a part of Fossil’s commitment to drive a successful business turnaround, returning the company to profitable growth, and creating long-term shareholder value, the company said.

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Amazon beats quarterly revenue estimates

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February 6, 2025

Amazon.com posted sales in last year’s final quarter that topped Wall Street estimates, but investors initially drove shares down due to weakness in the cloud computing unit and a lower-than-expected revenue estimate.

Reuters

Amazon’s shares fell as much as 4% in extended trade after the report, erasing about $90 billion worth of stock market value, and were last down about 2%.

The tech company’s sales estimate for the first quarter failed to meet analysts’ expectations, even if a negative impact of $2 billion from last year’s Leap Day is included. The company said it anticipates between $151 billion and $155 billion, compared with the average estimate of $158 billion.

The company’s cloud unit, Amazon Web Services, reported a 19% rise in revenue to $28.79 billion, falling short of estimates of $28.87 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG. Amazon joins smaller cloud providers Microsoft and Google in reporting weak cloud numbers.

The cloud weakness occurs as investors have grown increasingly impatient with Big Tech’s multibillion-dollar capital spending and are hungry for returns from hefty investments in AI.

“After very strong third-quarter numbers, this quarter the growth rates all missed. That’s what the market doesn’t want to hear,” said Daniel Morgan, senior portfolio manager at Synovus Trust. He said this is particularly true after the emergence of new competitors in artificial intelligence such as China’s DeepSeek.

Like its rivals, Amazon is investing heavily in artificial intelligence software development. At its annual AWS conference in December it showed off new AI software models that it hopes will draw new business and consumer customers. Later this month, it is set to release its long-awaited Alexa generative artificial intelligence voice service after delays over concerns about the quality and speed, Reuters reported earlier this week.

Competitors Microsoft and Google parent Alphabet both posted slowing cloud growth in last year’s fourth quarter, sending shares lower. The companies, along with Meta Platforms, said costs to develop infrastructure for artificial intelligence software contributed to sharply higher anticipated capital expenditures for 2025, a total of around $230 billion between them.

Amazon’s retail business helped offset the cloud weakness, with the company reporting online sales growth of 7% in the quarter to $75.56 billion. That compared with estimates of $74.55 billion.

Amazon forecast operating profit of $14 billion to $18 billion for the first quarter of 2025, missing an average analyst estimate of $18.35 billion.

The company reported revenue of $187.8 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with the average analyst estimate of $187.30 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Advertising sales, a closely watched metric, rose 18% to $17.3 billion. That compares with the average estimate of $17.4 billion.

Net income nearly doubled to $20 billion from $10.6 billion a year earlier. The Seattle retailer reported earnings of $1.86 per share, compared with expectations of $1.49 per share.

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Kenvue reports flat 2024 sales

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February 6, 2025

Kenvue Inc. announced on Thursday net sales increased 0.1% to $15.5 billion for the full year ended December 29, 2024, on the back of softer-than-expected sales growth. 

Kenvue reports flat 2024 sales. – Neutrogena

Fourth quarter, net sales decreased 0.1%. By segment, the self-care segment and the skin health and beauty segment climbed 2.1% year-over-year to $1.59 billion in net sales, and 1% to $1.01 billion, respectively. Meanwhile, the essential health segment recorded a 4.1% drop in fourth-quarter net sales to $1.08 billion.

Kenvue-owned brands include Neutrogena, Aveeno, Band-Aid Brand, Johnson’s, Listerine, and Tylenol.

“We delivered on our 2024 profit commitments despite headwinds that resulted in softer than expected sales growth and we enter 2025 as a more competitive company with stronger foundations,” said Thibaut Mongon, chief executive officer. 

“We remain focused on leveraging our increased brand investments to accelerate growth and deliver long-term value creation centered around profitable growth, durable cash flow generation, and disciplined capital allocation.”

Looking ahead, the company expects a 2025 net sales change of -1% to +1% year-over-year, with organic sales growth of 2% to 4%. Kenvue projects flat to 2% year-over-year growth in adjusted diluted earnings per share for 2025,

“As Kenvue enters our next chapter, we expect to accelerate performance throughout the year, while navigating the dynamic external environment contemplated within our outlook,” added Paul Ruh, chief financial officer. 

“We expect to drive further productivity and operational efficiency gains, which will fund our planned increase in brand investments, positioning us to grow adjusted operating margin for the year.”

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