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ECB’s Nagel sees more rate cuts as inflation outlook encouraging

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Reuters

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February 25, 2025

The European Central Bank has room to cut its interest rates further if inflation eases to its 2% goal this year as it expects, ECB policymaker Joachim Nagel said on Tuesday, adding the outlook for prices was “encouraging”.

The ECB is widely expected to cut rates for a fifth straight time next week after seeing inflation fall from double digits after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine to just over 2% in recent months.

Nagel said incoming data, especially the latest developments on price growth, suggested the ECB was likely to achieve its target this year.

“This would allow us on the Governing Council to lower the key interest rates further,” he said in a speech as he presented the Bundesbank’s annual accounts.

“Overall…the outlook for prices is fairly encouraging,” he added, while cautioning about “persistently elevated core inflation and the undiminished strength of services inflation”.
Meanwhile the Bundesbank, as the ECB’s main shareholder, was still paying a high price for its past largesse in the form of massive bond purchases, and the subsequent bout of high inflation.

The German central bank posted yet another loss in 2024 as meagre income from bonds it bought when rates were low was outweighed by large interest payments to banks.
The €19.2 billion- ($20.10 billion) loss wiped out the Bundesbank’s reserves and was carried forward to this year.

The German central bank said it expects to record losses for some time to come, meaning it won’t be able to pay dividends to the German federal government.

But Nagel stressed the Bundesbank had a sound balance sheet, including revaluation reserves worth 267 billion euros.
“The Bundesbank is fully unrestricted in its ability to act,” Nagel said.

© Thomson Reuters 2025 All rights reserved.



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Consumers ‘under attack’ are pulling back, Wrangler maker says

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Bloomberg

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February 25, 2025

US consumers are pulling back as they face down layoffs and impending tariffs, according to the chief executive officer of the company that owns the Lee and Wrangler brands. 

“The consumer right now is confused,” Kontoor Brands Inc. CEO Scott Baxter said during the company’s quarterly call with analysts. “If you just put yourself in their seat, they’re worried about work. They’re worried about the businesses that they’re in. Are those going to be impacted by some of the layoffs, the tariffs, the current situation right now?” 

Kontoor shares sank as much as 16% on Tuesday, the most intraday since 2020, after the company gave a 2025 earnings outlook that fell short of analysts’ estimates. The stock had been largely flat this year through Monday’s close.  

Baxter said consumers are wondering when they’ll “be able to get back to some sort of normalcy.” 

“Any time the consumer is feeling a little bit under attack like that, they get very conservative,” he said. “And I think that we are in this country right now seeing that conservatism from the consumer because of their worry.”

His comments came right before the release of US consumer confidence data for February that fell by the most since August 2021. This added to concerns that the Trump administration’s policies is weighing on households.

President Donald Trump has moved rapidly to overhaul the US government since taking office by enacting sweeping cuts across the federal workforce while pledging tariffs on a wide range of goods and nations. The potential tariffs, and a lack of visibility on whether or not they’ll be ultimately implemented, have unnerved businesses. 

Trump most recently said that 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, expected to take effect on March 4, are “on time” and “moving along very rapidly.”  

Executives at Greensboro, North Carolina-based Kontoor said that about a quarter of the company’s expected US production volume this year will originate from Mexico. 
 



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in Rome, the world takes up the bitter debate on financing the preservation of nature

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AFP

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Nazia BIBI KEENOO

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February 25, 2025

COP16, the United Nations’ major environmental conference, began three days of overtime in Rome on Tuesday to resolve the North-South stalemate over funding to safeguard nature, “humanity’s most important mission in the 21st century,” urged the summit’s Colombian president.

Colombian Environment Minister Susana Muhamad (center), president of the 16th Conference of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), speaks on February 25, 2025, at the opening of a summit in Rome. – AFP

A unifying policy amid global polarization

The debates focus on “one of the policies that has the power to unify the world,” “which is no mean feat in a geopolitical landscape that is highly polarized, fragmented, divided, and conflict-ridden,” declared Colombian Minister Susana Muhamad, president of this 16th conference of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), at the opening ceremony.

What is at stake is “humanity’s most important mission in the 21st century, that is, our ability to sustain life on this planet,” she reminded those present at the opening of these extended proceedings, held at the headquarters of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).

Initial disagreements surface

Around 10:00 a.m., some 300 representatives from 154 countries took their seats in the large hall overlooking the rain-drenched ruins of the Circus Maximus. However, as soon as they began to speak, Brazil, on behalf of several biodiversity-rich emerging countries, and Zimbabwe, for the Africa group, rejected the compromise proposed by the presidency to avoid a repeat of the failed negotiations in Colombia.

In early November, COP16 concluded in Cali without resolving a heated dispute between rich and developing countries over how to work together to raise the money needed to halt the destruction of nature by 2030.

This goal, set for 2022 in the Kunming-Montreal agreement, is accompanied by a roadmap of 23 targets to be achieved within the decade, designed to protect the planet and its living beings from deforestation, overexploitation of resources, climate change, pollution, and invasive species.

According to the UN, the flagship goal is to place 30% of land and sea in protected areas by 2030, compared with around 17% and 8% at present. Failure to meet this target poses a major risk to food resources, air quality, climate regulation, and the health of the planet’s ecosystems.

Three-quarters of the Earth’s landmass has already been altered by mankind—urbanized or converted to crops—and a quarter of species for which there is solid scientific data are threatened with extinction.

Debate over funding mechanisms

The Kunming-Montreal agreement set a target of $200 billion in annual spending on nature by 2030, including $30 billion in transfers from developed to poor countries (up from around $15 billion in 2022, according to the OECD).

At the COP16 summit on February 25, 2025, in Rome. – AFP

But how is the money to be mobilized and distributed? In Cali, the latest text called for the creation of a fund to distribute public money from the major powers. However, in the absence of the United States, the latter—led by the European Union, Japan, and Canada- a non-signatory to the convention but a major donor—are radically hostile to the idea. They denounce a fragmentation of development aid, already weakened by budget crises and the ongoing effacement of Americans since the election of Donald Trump.

On Friday, the COP16 presidency published a compromise proposal to reform the various financial flows earmarked for nature conservation by 2030. The document calls for “improving the performance” of the Global Environment Facility (GEF) and the Global Biodiversity Facility (GBFF), a modestly endowed temporary solution ($400 million). However, it also plans to “designate or establish a global instrument, or series of instruments” for financing nature conservation.

It sets the objective that “at least one instrument” should be placed under the authority of the CBD, a major demand from developing countries, who are calling for greater equity and transparency in access to funding. The first speakers from the developing world rejected this proposal on Tuesday, heralding three days of difficult discussions in a challenging geopolitical context, already marked by disappointing financial negotiations at COP29 on climate and the stalling of those on a treaty against plastic pollution.

Far from the 23,000 participants in Cali, the session resumed in a smaller format, with 1,400 accredited participants, mostly civil society observers and experts, and only 25 countries represented at the ministerial level.

Copyright © 2025 AFP. All rights reserved. All information displayed in this section (dispatches, photographs, logos) are protected by intellectual property rights owned by Agence France-Presse. As a consequence you may not copy, reproduce, modify, transmit, publish, display or in any way commercially exploit any of the contents of this section without the prior written consent of Agence France-Presses.



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Botswana, De Beers sign long-delayed diamonds deal

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Reuters

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February 25, 2025

Botswana’s government on Tuesday signed a long-delayed 10-year diamonds sales agreement with Anglo American unit De Beers adding a possible extension period of five more years to the provisional pact.

Under the final deal, the share of Botswana’s state-owned Okavango Diamond Company (ODC) in the production of Debswana – its 50-50 joint venture with De Beers – will reach 40% at the end of the agreement, revised from a provisional 50%.

ODC’s allocation could, however, rise to 50% during the proposed five-year extension period, according to a joint statement by Botswana’s government and De Beers.

During the first five years, ODC will sell 30% of Debswana’s output, up from 25% previously.
The provisional agreement reached with Botswana’s previous government had ODC’s allocation reaching 50% at the end of the 10-year pact.

Negotiations over the deal started in 2018 and an agreement announced in 2023 was never formally signed.

Botswana’s President Duma Boko, who swept to power last October, made signing the deal with De Beers a priority.

The deal is critical for the southern African country since its economy is largely dependent on the export of diamonds.

“We have us a good deal and we trust that it will carry us into the future. To the people of Botswana, this agreement is about you, about the jobs it will create,” Boko said at a signing ceremony in the capital Gaborone.

Under the agreement, Debswana’s mining licences, which were due to expire in 2029, will be extended until 2054.

Botswana’s government says the economy contracted last year because of a prolonged downturn in the global diamond market.

Declining demand and a supply glut, the rising popularity of lab-grown diamonds and a shift by younger consumers away from the precious stone, have all weighed on rough diamond prices.
However, the government hopes the economy will rebound this year because of an improvement in the global diamond market and a better performance of other sectors.

© Thomson Reuters 2025 All rights reserved.



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