Connect with us

Business

Down Arrow Button Icon

Published

on



As we wind down 2025, I’m doing what just about everyone else is doing—thinking about 2026. 

For the private markets, this means thinking about more AI, all the time. That said, I do think next year the rubber is going to meet the road for AI startups and giants alike. High compute costs, compressed margins, and soaring valuations and expectations will inevitably collide with reality. And for some, this will mean even more acquisitions and more acquihires than perhaps we’ve seen so far in the AI boom. 

I started asking around: Which startups would make smart acquisition targets for a tech giant in 2026?

“To unlock ‘real world’ AI like robotics, autonomous vehicles, smart factories, spatial computing, and embodied AI, tech giants need models that can reason about the real world in real time,” said Aidan Madigan-Curtis, Eclipse Ventures partner, via text. “Startups like Wayve, Physical Intelligence, WorldLabs, Bedrock Robotics, The Bot Company and GenesisAI, are already building simulation engines, sensor fusion stacks, and world models that learn from physical interaction—capabilities that would take incumbents years to replicate internally.” (Eclipse is an investor in Wayve.)

Madigan-Curtis gets at an essential question: In AI, when does it make more sense to acquire rather than build? Shensi Ding, CEO and cofounder at AI integration infrastructure startup Merge, points out an unconventional idea around finance (a widely touted AI use case): “Large AI players should acquire boutique investment banks and use historical financial models to train them. This work is highly specialized and requires domain expertise to really break through and build trust.”

Meanwhile, Morgan Blumberg, M13 principal, thinks that large foundation model companies will look to gobble up application layer companies with proven product-market fit. The obvious targets: coding tools, one of enterprise AI’s great 2025 success stories.

“In 2025, we saw Windsurf in the coding space attract strong interest,” said Blumberg via text. “While some like Cursor might choose to stay independent, I predict there will be attractive prices for assets like Factory, Codegen, Wrap, and others.”

Zach Lloyd, CEO and founder of agentic coding startup Warp, reinforced that developers are a key customer base: “AI giants should acquire an observability platform like Datadog or Sentry,” he said via email. “These tools sit where code meets reality (logs, errors, traces, and production failures) which is exactly the context AI needs to be genuinely useful to developers.”

This push to get enterprise right transcends foundation-model mainstays like OpenAI or Anthropic, and for some large companies, it might make perfect sense to buy a unicorn outright, said Jake Stauch, CEO and founder of Serval, which builds AI agents for IT. “They could look to acquire enterprise AI solutions in customer support or enterprise search, such as Sierra or Glean respectively,” he said. 

It’s worth saying: Pretty much any deals of this ilk coming to pass would be, well, a big deal. That said, any potential deal target deserves serious scrutiny. So much capital has flowed into so many of these AI businesses. And last time I checked, even in the most abundant situations, there are inevitably a finite number of generational public companies. 

This is the last Term Sheet of 2025, and when we’re back on January 5, it’ll be with our much-loved Crystal Ball prediction series. So, I’ll leave you with one prediction of my own: Next year, we’ll enter a period where the haze of flowing capital and buzzy rhetoric will clear just a little, and we’ll start to see who can actually go the distance. 

See you in 2026, 

Allie Garfinkle
X:
@agarfinks
Email: alexandra.garfinkle@fortune.com
Submit a deal for the Term Sheet newsletter here.

The deals section will return in 2026. Subscribe here.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

How about $1.7 billion in your stocking for Christmas? Powerball’s 46 straight draws with no winner bring Yuletide greetings

Published

on



A Christmas Eve Powerball drawing could add new meaning to holiday cheer as millions of players hope to cash in on the $1.7 billion prize, which comes after months without a jackpot winner.

The United States’ 4th-largest jackpot on record comes after 46 consecutive draws without someone claiming to have all six numbers. The last contest with a jackpot winner was on Sept. 6. The game’s long odds have people decking the halls and doling out $2 — and sometimes more — for tickets ahead of Wednesday night’s live drawing.

It’s a sign the game is operating as intended. Lottery officials made the odds tougher in 2015 as a mechanism for snowballing jackpots, all the while making it easier to win smaller prizes.

The Christmas holiday is not expected to impact the drawing process should there be a winning ticket, a Powerball spokesperson said.

Here is what to know about Wednesday’s drawing:

Christmas Eve cha-ching

That ticket placed in a stocking or under the tree could be worth a billion bucks — but with some caveats.

Powerball is played in 45 states, along with Washington, D.C., Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Most of those areas require players to be 18 or older, though some states have steeper requirements. In Nebraska, players have to be at least 19 years old, and in Louisiana and Arizona, people can’t buy tickets until they are 21.

Winning tickets also must be cashed in the states where they were bought. And players can’t buy tickets in Alabama, Alaska, Hawaii, Nevada or Utah.

Other than that, lottery officials argue there is a chance a lucky Powerball ticket could be a gift that keeps on giving.

Charlie McIntyre, the New Hampshire Lottery’s executive director, said Tuesday: “Just think of the stories you can tell for generations to come about the year you woke up a billionaire on Christmas.”

A range of prizes can be presents

Wednesday’s $1.7 billion jackpot has a cash value of $781.3 million.

A winner can choose to be paid the whole amount through an annuity, with an immediate payment and then annual payments over 29 years that increase by 5% each time. Most winners, however, usually choose the cash value for a lump sum.

The odds are high for the top prize, but there are smaller prizes players can reap.

At the last drawing, players in Florida, Georgia, Illinois, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Wisconsin each won $1 million. There are also prizes outside the jackpot, ranging from a few dollars to $2 million.

One woman told Powerball officials that she already made plans for her $1 million win: “We’re going to pay off our cars and credit cards and get a bigger house!”

And Thomas Anderson of Burlington, North Carolina, said he intended to use his $100,000 Powerball win from earlier this month to go back to school, according to Powerball.

Long odds for the billion-dollar jackpots

Lottery officials set the odds at 1 in 292.2 million in hopes that jackpots will roll over with each of the three weekly drawings until the pool balloons so much that more people take notice and play.

The odds used to be notably better, at 1 in 175 million. But the game was made tougher in 2015 to create the out-of-this-world bounties. The tougher odds partly helped set the stage for back-to-back record-breaking sweepstakes this year.

The last time someone won the Powerball pot was on Sept. 6, when players in Missouri and Texas won $1.787 billion, which was the second-highest top prize in U.S. history.

The U.S. has seen more than a dozen lottery jackpot prizes exceed $1 billion since 2016. The biggest U.S. jackpot ever was $2.04 billion back in 2022.

More about those unfavorable odds

It’s hard to explain what odds of 1 in 292.2 million mean. Even if halved, they remain difficult to digest.

In the past, one math professor described the odds of flipping a coin and getting heads 28 straight times.

Tim Chartier, a Davidson College math professor in North Carolina, on Monday compared the odds of a winning lottery ticket to selecting one marked dollar bill from a stack 19 miles (31 kilometers) high.

“It’s true that if you buy 100 tickets, you are 100 times more likely to win. But in this case, ‘100 times more likely’ barely moves the probability needle,” Chartier said. “Using the time analogy, buying 100 tickets is like getting 100 guesses to name that one chosen second over nine years. Possible — but wildly improbable.”

___

Olivia Diaz is a corps member for The Associated Press/Report for America Statehouse News Initiative. Report for America is a nonprofit national service program that places journalists in local newsrooms to report on undercovered issues.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Trump just declared Christmas Eve a national holiday. Here’s what’s open and closed?

Published

on



President Donald Trump delivered an early gift to the federal workforce, signing an executive order that effectively grants a five-day weekend to hundreds of thousands of government employees. The order, signed last Thursday, designates both Wednesday, Dec. 24, and Friday, Dec. 26, as federal holidays for 2025.

While the move is a boon for morale within the executive branch—closing non-essential agencies from Christmas Eve through the following Sunday—it creates a complex patchwork of operating hours for the private sector and quasi-governmental services.

“All executive departments and agencies of the Federal Government shall be closed and their employees excused from duty on Wednesday, December 24, 2025, and Friday, December 26, 2025,” the executive order says, although it includes a crucial caveat allowing agency heads to keep offices open for “reasons of national security, defense, or other public need.”

While the move is generous, it’s not without precedent. Presidents often issue executive orders closing the government on Christmas Eve when it falls mid-week. Trump did this in 2018, 2019, and 2020. President Barack Obama also closed the government on Dec. 26 in 2014. However, securing both surrounding days is a rarity. And crucially, Trump’s executive order does not not legally compel banks, markets, or private enterprises to close.

With all that said, here’s what’s open and closed on December 24th.

Government services & mail

While most federal offices—such as Social Security Administration field offices and passport agencies—will be dark, the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) is an exception. Despite being a federal establishment, USPS operations are largely funded by revenue rather than tax dollars. Post offices are expected to remain open on Christmas Eve (likely with shortened retail hours) and resume normal operations on Dec. 26. Mail will be delivered on both days, though not on Christmas Day.

Financial markets

Wall Street is not taking the extra days off. The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq will operate on a modified schedule:

  • Dec. 24: Open, with an early close at 1:00 p.m. ET.
  • Dec. 25: Closed.
  • Dec. 26: Open for a full trading day.

Banks

The Federal Reserve has not adopted the additional holidays for its banking operations. Consequently, most major banks (Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo) will remain open on Christmas Eve and Dec. 26. Customers should expect branches to close early on the 24th, but online banking and ATMs will function normally.

Shipping & logistics

For businesses rushing last-minute inventory, carriers have diverged on their post-Christmas plans:

  • FedEx: Expects to be fully operational on Dec. 26, though some freight services may run on a modified schedule.
  • UPS: Has announced no pickup or delivery service for Dec. 26, treating it effectively as a holiday extension alongside Christmas Day.

Private sector & retail

Major retailers like Walmart and Target are unaffected by the federal closure. They will generally be open for last-minute shoppers on Christmas Eve, closed Christmas Day, and fully open for returns and sales on Dec. 26.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

CEOs reveal their 2026 New Year’s resolutions: 8-day bike races, AI training, 7 hours of sleep

Published

on



The end of the year is approaching, offices are thinning out and auto-replies are being set as companies wind down for the holiday season. It’s a time that business leaders reflect on their 2025 performance, while also speaking their 2026 ambitions into existence. The same goes for their personal lives—and CEOs have already drummed up their New Year’s resolutions. 

Chief executives leading the likes of American genealogy giant Ancestry, $2.4 billion wellness platform Wellhub, ticketing business Eventbrite, and facial chain Glowbar are all weighing in on their goals. Each has their own distinct target—whether that be finally getting seven hours of shut-eye, or racing mountain bikes across South Africa for eight days. One is intent on getting a leg-up in the AI race, while another wants to revive a family tradition from her childhood. 

Beyond the boardroom, CEOs are setting goalposts for their own growth. Here’s what they’re hoping to achieve in 2026: 

8-day mountain biking race

“I’m an obsessive planner in that I set specific new goals for friends/family, my profession (CEO or Virta), personal health, and adventures I want to do. Next year, I’m doing an 8-day mountain biking stage race in South Africa with a partner.

For personal ‘health,’ I might also add a short meditation retreat—meditation is something I’ve found very helpful since 2013.”

Sami Inkinen, the cofounder and CEO of Virta Health Group.

Walking 20,000 steps every day

“On a personal level, I’m an avid walker. I love walking and try to walk as much as I can. So, for me, one New Year’s resolution I am really trying to stay strong on is walking at least 20,000 steps per day. Some days that is more accomplishable than others, but that is something as we head into the new year that I will be trying to conquer every day.

To get those 20,000 steps a day, I try to walk everywhere I can. And luckily for me, New York and Philadelphia are two great walking cities where I spend a majority of my time. And it also helps when I’m visiting a city where we have multiple Insomnia Cookies bakeries, so all that walking will be part of my strategy to get to 20,000 steps per day. 

And on a business level, continuing to expand our Insomnia Cookies unparalleled reach across the globe to deliver our warm, delicious cookies to more Insomniacs.”

Seth Berkowitz, the CEO and founder of Insomnia Cookies.

Live presently and embrace the little moments

“My resolution is to live presently and embrace both the big and small IRL moments that build life’s memories—whether that’s creating new experiences through travel, spending time with loved ones, or exploring my own interests in culture and entertainment.”

Julia Hartz, the CEO and cofounder of Eventbrite.

Vision board over New Year’s resolutions

“I don’t make New Year’s resolutions because historically I haven’t kept them, and it makes me feel discouraged. Instead, I create an updated virtual vision board for how I want the year to FEEL. I think a lot of times, we create resolutions that are specific to an action that it’s easy to lose track [of]. When you focus on how you want to feel for the year, it’s easier to see what fits into that, and what doesn’t.”

Rachel Liverman, the CEO and founder of Glowbar.

Preserve family memories to last for generations

“My dad passed away in late August after living an amazing 87 years. That’s gotten me focused on being more intentional about time with my family and staying rooted in the things that matter most. 

One of my resolutions is to go through all of his old slides and videos, scan and preserve them, and add them to our family tree so we can share those memories together. My only regret is not doing it sooner—we should all take the time to capture these stories while our parents and grandparents are still here to help us understand the moments behind the photos. It’s a meaningful way to stay connected and ensure those memories live on for future generations.”

Howard Hochhauser, the CEO and President of Ancestry.

Stay ahead on AI 

“Professionally, I want to stay ahead of the curve in AI and identity. The industry is moving so fast that staying updated is almost a sport. You cannot just follow trends. You have to understand which ones will define the next decade and which ones are just noise. 

I also want AI to flourish on a fairer and safer ground, so society can benefit from its breakthroughs without sacrificing trust or accountability. Personally, my resolution is to grow as a father and partner while raising two children. Balancing family and work is not something you master once. It is a daily commitment. I want my children to grow up in a world that is fair and democratic, and that starts with how I show up at home.”

Ricardo Amper, the CEO and founder of Incode.

7+ hours of sleep and 4 trips without kids

“Like most people, my resolutions are all about wellbeing. And yes, I’m very much being a CEO about it, treating [wellness] like business objectives with clear targets and tracking. Sleep is honestly where I’ve been struggling most, so that’s my main focus: 7+ hours with good recovery scores at least five nights a week, tracked through one of Wellhub’s partner apps. 

I’m also keeping up with 240 minutes of cardio and strength training weekly, which breaks down to one hour, four days a week that I can squeeze in between meetings and family time. And personally, I want to take four trips with my wife without the kids. Even short ones count. That quality time together is everything.”

Cesar Carvalho, CEO and cofounder of Wellhub.

Reviving a childhood tradition and staying grounded

“My resolution is to reconnect with things that ground me. For example, I moved to LA for easy access to nature, yet I don’t always take advantage of it, even though I know I feel 100 times better when I disconnect outside; so, in 2026 I want to commit to a weekly hike or beach walk. I know prioritizing that time will be a gift to my mental and physical health. 

I’m also bringing back a childhood tradition: Friday night family dinners at home. Growing up, it was a ritual we all looked forward to, and I want to create that same end of week celebration with my family.”

Loren Brill Castle, CEO and founder of Sweet Loren’s.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © Miami Select.