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Do U.S. adults support Donald Trump’s agenda?

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Donald Trump will start implementing a far-reaching agenda when he takes office for the second time on Monday, but a poll finds that despite his claims of an “unprecedented and powerful mandate,” the incoming Republican president lacks broad support for some of his top priorities.

Just over half of U.S. adults favor eliminating taxes on earnings from tips, according to the survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, but some of his other pledges — like pulling out of the Paris climate agreement, increasing oil drilling on federal lands and imposing new tariffs — are less widely favored.

There is room for opinion to shift on many of the proposals, since a sizable share of Americans hold a neutral view. But some are more clearly unpopular. A majority of U.S. adults, for instance, oppose pardoning most people who participated in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol, indicating that one of the actions Trump has promised to undertake quickly will likely be unwelcome to many Americans.

Here’s what Americans think about some of the major actions that Trump has promised — including some that could start to take effect as early as Monday.

Adults split on mass deportating, mostly support deporting violent convicts

Trump has long promised to deport millions of people in the country illegally, although he fell far short of this goal in his first term. In his second four years in the White House, though, he has pledged to begin the largest deportation program in U.S. history, which could begin as soon as he’s sworn in.

The poll finds targeted deportations of immigrants who have been convicted of a crime would be popular, even if they involved immigrants who are in the country legally, but that support doesn’t extend to mass deportations.

About 8 in 10 U.S. adults favor deporting all immigrants living in the U.S. illegally who have been convicted of a violent crime – including about two-thirds who are strongly in favor – and about 7 in 10 support deporting all immigrants living in the U.S. legally who have been convicted of a violent crime.

Deporting immigrants who are in the country illegally and have not been convicted of a crime is a much more divisive proposal. US adults are slightly more likely to oppose this policy than to favor it, and only about 4 in 10 are in support.

Nearly half oppose tarriffs on all foreign goods

Tariffs on foreign goods entering the country are one of Trump’s proposed fixes for high food prices and illegal immigration, which are issues that motivated many of his voters in November.

According to the AP-NORC poll, though, almost half of US adults “somewhat” or “strongly” oppose imposing a tariff, also known as an import tax, on all goods brought into the U.S. from other countries. About 3 in 10 are in favor, and about one-quarter are neutral, saying they neither favor nor oppose this policy, which indicates that opinion could move in either direction if the tariffs are implemented.

Republicans are much likelier than Democrats and independents to support broad tariffs, but a significant share — about 4 in 10 — are either opposed or unsure. Just over half of Republicans favor imposing a tariff on all goods brought into the U.S.

2 in 10 support pardoning most Jan. 6 participants

Trump promised throughout his campaign to issue pardons to many of the more than 1,500 people charged with crimes for their actions related to the deadly Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol, saying he would “most likely do it very quickly” in a December interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

But even if he doesn’t use his clemency power on behalf of all the rioters, as some of his supporters have suggested, pardoning many of the participants would be an unpopular move.

According to the AP-NORC poll, about 2 in 10 US adults “somewhat” or “strongly” favor pardoning most people who participated in the attack. A much larger share — about 6 in 10 — “somewhat” or “strongly” oppose this move, including half who are strongly opposed, and about 2 in 10 are neutral.

Members of Trump’s own party are divided on the pardons, although they’re more likely to support them overall. About 4 in 10 Republicans favor pardoning many of the Jan. 6 participants, while about 3 in 10 are neutral and about 3 in 10 are opposed.

‘No tax of tips’ popular with young adults

A pledge to exclude workers’ tips from federal taxes came up frequently on the campaign trail and was also embraced by Trump’s opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris. And although it could be costly and difficult to enact, it’s one of Trump’s campaign promises with the highest support from Americans overall.

The poll found that just over half of US adults “somewhat” or “strongly” favor eliminating taxes on earnings from tips, while about one-quarter are neutral and about 2 in 10 are opposed.

The proposal is more popular with Republicans than Democrats, and it also has particularly high levels of support with adults under age 30.

Adults split on increasing drilling on federal lands

Trump has promised to establish American “energy dominance” in part by boosting oil and gas drilling, including on federal lands.

U.S. adults aren’t so sure about it. The AP-NORC poll found that about one-third of Americans “somewhat” or “strongly” favor increasing oil drilling on federal lands, while about 4 in 10 are opposed. The rest — about one-quarter — say they neither favor nor oppose this move.

Increasing oil drilling is broadly popular with Republicans but not with Democrats or independents.

Almost half opposing leaving Paris agreement

In his first term, Trump withdrew the U.S. from the Paris climate agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and although President Joe Biden immediately rejoined it upon taking office, Trump has promised to pull out a second time when he takes office.

About half of Americans “somewhat” or “strongly” oppose that action, and even Republicans aren’t overwhelmingly in favor, according to the poll. Only about 2 in 10 US adults “somewhat” or “strongly” in favor of withdrawing from the Paris agreement, while about one-quarter are neutral.

Much of the opposition comes from Democrats, but Republicans display some ambivalence as well. Slightly less than half of Republicans are in favor, while about 3 in 10 are opposed.

More opposition for elimination transgender protection

A judge recently struck down a rule from the Democratic Biden administration expanding protections for LGBTQ+ students, which Trump had promised to end on his first day, after making anti-transgender themes central to his campaign.

But although there were some signs that his messaging struck a chord with voters, the new poll found that opposition is higher than support for eliminating protections for transgender students under Title IX, the federal law that prohibits any high school or college that receives federal funds from discriminating on the basis of gender.

Almost half of U.S. adults “somewhat” or “strongly” oppose getting rid of these protections, while about 3 in 10 are in favor and the rest are neutral.

Half of Republicans and Democrats opposing eliminating debt ceiling

As a government shutdown loomed at the end of last year, Trump proposed raising or even eliminating the debt ceiling, a limit set by lawmakers that determines how much the federal government can borrow to pay its existing bills. The issue could reemerge soon if Trump pushes the expensive tax cuts that he promised on the campaign trail.

In general, Trump’s stance isn’t popular, although there’s some room for opinion to shift. About half of U.S. adults oppose eliminating the debt ceiling, while about one-quarter are in favor and about 3 in 10 are neutral.

But in another unusual moment of bipartisan accord, Democrats are only slightly more likely than Republicans to oppose getting rid of the debt ceiling.

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Republished with permission of The Associated Press.


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Ron DeSantis says legislators know he’d get cheered for vetoing TRUMP Act

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Florida GovRon DeSantis continues to tub-thump against the TRUMP Act, a “grotesque” and  “weak, weak, weak” legislative bill fighting illegal immigration that he says he will veto if they ever send it his way.

As has been the case all week, DeSantis is delivering his verdict at press conferences, the latest in Destin on Friday where he urged legislators to buck Senate President Ben Albritton and House Speaker Daniel Perez. He suggested the bill hadn’t been transmitted yet because legislators can’t handle the rejection he believes will inevitably come.

“If this is such good legislation, why have they not sent me the bill yet to act on? Why are they holding the bill for me to act on? And I think the reason is because if we get the bill and we do an event where we have a lot of people and I veto the bill in front of this crowd, is the crowd going to cheer or is the crowd going to boo? The crowd’s going to cheer and we know that.”

DeSantis suggested that legislators were cowed by the power leadership has in the Senate and House.

“A lot of these guys get spooked by that… because they get a lot of pressure from the leadership. If you buck the leadership, they take away your committee assignments. They won’t hear your bills, they take away your projects. And a lot of these guys get spooked by that, although let me just tell you, you need to be willing to take consequences to stand to do what’s right. You shouldn’t let them bully you,” DeSantis said, before issuing a threat of his own.

“We’re going to get involved in some of these legislative primaries because I just think that if you’ve campaigned one way and you get up and you do something different, we need to expose that for the voters,” DeSantis said.

DeSantis’ frustration voiced Friday about legislators who “fall into line” under “pressure” to support a “jalopy” of a bill from legislative leadership didn’t stop there, as he said many in Tallahassee would vote for the “stronger” product he prefers.

“I’m so sick of politicians campaigning, telling you they’re going to be tough on it and then squish out,” DeSantis said, blasting Senate and House leaders for saying his call for a Special Session was a “stunt” and “premature” before not complying with enacting his proposals.

“They fought back, they had their excuses,” DeSantis said, accusing House and Senate leaders of creating legislation that “didn’t answer the call” and would make immigration enforcement less effect under “willing partner” Donald Trump than even under Joe Biden with current law.

“It actually undercuts what we’re already doing,” DeSantis said, citing Haiti as an example.

“We’ve interdicted thousands and thousands of illegals,” he said, “saving lives” from the contraband carried by refugees.

“The bill the Legislature sent me actually terminates the state of emergency,” he said, adding that it disempowers his authority as Governor.

“They eliminated any immigration enforcement from the Governor and state agencies … and they lodged it in the Commissioner of Agriculture,” DeSantis complained, reprising his “fox in the henhouse” harrumph about Wilton Simpson, the egg farmer from Trilby who would be charged with immigration enforcement in the legislature’s bill. DeSantis further lamented the legislature’s approach to immigration enforcement offers a “mother may I” process for coordination between state, local, and federal officials.

“The reason they did it,” he said, was to “stymie” immigration enforcement and allow illegal “cheap labor” for various industries under Simpson’s watch, creating a “massive corporate subsidy” with socialized costs “on our communities” via policy choices that would make Florida a “sanctuary state.”


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UCF President gets a contract extension and a 20% pay raise

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University of Central Florida (UCF) President Alexander Cartwright’s contract was extended this week, giving him a $900,000 base salary — a 20% raise — to continue leading one of the biggest schools in the country for the next year.

The Florida Board of Governors approved Cartwright’s deal Thursday after the trustees at the Orlando school voted yes last month.

The new contract will pay him a $900,000 base salary starting April 13 until April 12, 2026. In addition, he is eligible to receive bonuses up to $375,000, which would put Cartwright’s total compensation at $1.275 million.

His previous annual base salary was $750,000.

“Dr. Cartwright’s efforts have also positioned UCF as a national leader in higher education,” UCF Trustees Chair Alex Martins, who is the Orlando Magic CEO, wrote in a Jan. 14 letter to the state board. “Under President Cartwright’s leadership, UCF is on track to achieve preeminence by 2026, unlocking new opportunities and resources that will propel the university to even greater heights.”

Cartwright was hired at the school in April 2020.

Since Cartwright took over, the school’s four-year graduation rates improved while 72% of UCF graduates are finishing their schooling without taking any federal loans, Martins wrote in his letter.

Martins also praised Cartwright for helping grow the school foundation’s endowment from $163 million to $262 million.

Several major projects are underway, from building a bigger nursing school to expanding the football stadium

“President Cartwright firmly believes that a vision without resources is just a hallucination, and he has worked closely with state leaders, community partners, and university supporters to secure the investments necessary for UCF’s future,” Martins wrote.

Cartwright thanked the state after his contract was renewed, according to the Orlando Sentinel.

“I do want to thank the state of Florida, our legislature, the governor’s office, everybody who has supported us in this vision of being Florida’s premier engineering and technology university,” Cartwright said. “It is the future. It’s what we need to be doing for Florida.”


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Former Cord Byrd aide, Florida Guard member eyes HD 10 seat, ensures contested GOP Primary

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Multiple candidates are emerging to succeed term-limited Chuck Brannan in North Florida’s House District 10, which encompasses Baker, Bradford, Columbia, Union, and northern Alachua Counties.

Marshall Rawson, a member of the Florida Guard who aided Gov. Ron DeSantis’ illegal immigration fight in Texas, is looking to take his talents back to Tallahassee, where the University of Florida-trained lawyer served under Secretary of State Cord Byrd as a legal aide in addition to interning at the Department of  Agriculture.

Unsurprisingly given his experience in Florida’s expedition to stem the tide of extralegal migration over the Mexican border, Lawson sees mitigation of Joe Biden’s border policies as central to his mission should he be elected.

“With the election of President Trump, voters sent a resounding message that the invasion at the border must be stopped and that corrections must be made, I will stand with our President and Governor to make this a reality while offering real, sustainable and long term solutions to the labor crisis throughout our state,” said Rawson, who is the North Florida Regional Director of the Republican Liberty Caucus.

It’s more than just the border for the candidate though.

“Florida has been the recognized leader of the states that rose up to push back against the Biden agenda and the radical left. The states have always been our safeguards for freedom, and to keep Florida strong, we must tackle the cost of living crisis, cut property taxes, stop the cannibalization of our vital rural farmlands and greenspaces, and protect our most vulnerable seniors and the unborn,” he said.

Rawson is the second filed candidate, joining Chase Brannan, the son of the outgoing lawmaker, in the field.

“My family history extends eight generations deep in Florida, especially in North Central Florida,” Brannan said earlier this month.

“Because of conservative principles instilled in me since childhood, I understand the value of community work and service to others. Therefore, I humbly offer my candidacy to serve as State Representative to the people of North Central Florida. I have seen first-hand how government can be used for the greater good but also harm the people of Florida. I will always fight to ensure the government serves the people. I strive to bring accessibility, conservative and rural values, and fairness to the citizens of North Central Florida.”

The winner of the GOP Primary will likely score an easy win in next November’s General Election, given the district’s strong conservative lean. In his final campaign for the seat, Chuck Brannan defeated Democrat Bobby Brady 74% to 26% last fall.

Rawson’s promise of standing with the Governor on police seems especially pointed at a moment when DeSantis has heavily criticized and even suggested he will fund Primary opponents for lawmakers who backed a Legislature-driven immigration bill over his proposal earlier this week. Rep. Brannon supported the bill.

But Rawson also comes from the agricultural sector, which has been in the middle of the controversy this week as DeSantis suggested many growers rely too heavily on cheap undocumented labor. Rawson owns and operates Free State Growers. He also served as an intern to former U.S. Rep. Paul Broun, a Georgia Republican with one of Congress’ most conservative records during his time in office.

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Jacob Ogles contributed to this report.


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