It will be a great day and many opportunities to put your pens and pencils (and highlighters) to work with 9 Breeders’ Cup Races to breakdown.
Let ’em Run Breeders’ Cup Picks for Saturday 11/1/25
Day 1 of the Breeders’ Cup saw us hit winners in four of the five Breeders’ Cup races at Del Mar, including longshot #8 Super Corredora in the BC Juvenile Fillies and paid $19.60 (was also a good year !!). So here we go again with some looks at Saturday’s races.
Del Mar Race 4 — 3:00 EST — BC Filly & Mare Sprint — 7 Furlongs Dirt
Top Pick #8 Hope Road 4-1 This #1 Prime Power filly has top jockey Jose Ortiz in the irons. Grade 1 win last out at Saratoga would do nicely here. Top Contender #9 Richi(Chi) 5-1 Always puts her head down and goes to work. Sire is Practical Joke, so 7F is in her wheelhouse. Two races back ran 3rd to Seismic Beauty. Top Longshot #2 Splendora 8-1 Trainer Bob Baffert has this runner primed and ready to go. Loves the Delmar track (3-3) and needs to step up in class, but looks to be ready to do so.
Del Mar Race 5 — 3:41 EST — BC Turf Sprint — 5 Furlongs
Top Pick #5 Bring Theband Home 12-1 Jockey Javier Castellano could have this runner long gone when the gates open. Line out last race with a bad break, and trainer Mark Casse spots horses well. Top Contender #1 Motorious 7-2 Last race closed like a train at 5F, and just missed. Will get the job done this time. Top Longshot #2 Reef Runner 6-1 Has been a new horse since being gelded, and has won 3 in a row (DQ’ed 2 back). Change to jockey Tyler Gaffalione adds to the appeal.
Del Mar Race 6 — 4:21 EST — BC Sprint — 6 Furlongs Dirt
Top Pick #10 Bentornato 5-2 No surprise here as likely fave has top jockey Irad Ortiz in the saddle. Never out of the money, and loves the distance (5-4-1-0). Top Longshot #13 Madhouse 30-1 Will be winging it up front, and super gate rider Luis Saez will be sure to get out front. Needs to step up in class, Lone E8 in the field could be big factor.
Del Mar Race 7 — 5:01 EST — BC Distaff — 1 ⅛ Mile Dirt
Top Pick #8 Seismic Beauty 9-5 Trainer Bob Baffert has this runner primed and ready with super workouts in tow. Last time out, won nicely at Delmar and looks to repeat. Top Longshot #13 Regaled 30-1 If a speed duel breaks out, this runner could take advantage at a price to be in the mix. Has to step up in class, but the flow of the race will help the cause.
Del Mar Race 8 — 5:41 EST — BC Turf — 1 ½ Miles
Top Pick #10 El Cordobes 15-1 Top Euro trainer Charles Appleby has a solid runner here with staying power. Also has a “P4” rating by Brisnet, which hits at 43% in this marathon (11). Top Contender #8 Minnie Hauk(Ire) 8-5 Certainly looks like the OTB, and ran 2nd in The Arc last out, a bigtime prep race here. Strong closing kick should do the job. Top Longshot #7 Silawi 30-1 Should be prominent early on, and 1st time running in N/A last out cut solid fractions in a big field at Woodbine on a firm course. Could be interesting here.
Del Mar Race 9 — 6:25 EST — BC Classic — 1 ¼ Miles Dirt
Top Pick #5 Forever Young 7-2 Word around town in Delmar is this Japanese runner is ready to fire a big one. The scratch of Sovereignty, while unfortunate for fans, improves chances. Top Contender #9 Journalism 5-1 This runner has run great races every time the gates open. Last time out at Delmar, ran 2nd to Fierceness, turns the tables here.
Del Mar Race 10 — 7:05 EST — BC Mile — Turf
Top Pick #10 Jonquil(GB) 10-1 Last time out was 1st time in N/A, and closed impressively to finish 2nd in Gr1 Turf Mile at Keeneland. Switch to super turf jockey Colin Keane is nice. Top Contender #4 The Lion In Winter(Ire) 6-1 Top turf trainer Aiden O’Brien has this runner as his only entrant here. Has raced in nothing but solid stakes races before arriving here.
Del Mar Race 11 — 7:45 EST — BC Dirt Mile — 1 Mile Dirt
Top Pick #7 Citizen Bull 10-1 Last time out showed why Delmar is his sandbox. Delmar top jockey JJ Hernandez stays aboard and trainer Bob Baffert has him ready to go. Top Contender #10 White Abario 8-1 Has been off form lately, but trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. has runner firing bullets for return. A clean ride from Irad Ortiz would do the trick.
Del Mar Race 12 — 8:25 EST — BC Filly & Mare Turf — 1 ⅜ Mile
Top Pick #9 Cinderella’s Dream(GB) 9-2 Ran 2nd in last year’s edition of this race, and has had a steady diet of Gr1 races across the pond preparing for return. Gets it done this time. Top Contender #6 Diamond Rain(GB) 6-1 Big time closing kick in this marathon will fit well here. Trainer Charles Appleby has my top 2 picks here. Top Longshot #2 Stellify 30-1 Great post for a runner with speed, and son of Justify is just that horse. Need to step up in class and also break the “Kentucky Downs Curse” to find the winners circle, but would fill out trifecta’s and exacta’s nicely.
It will be a great day and many opportunities to put your pens and pencils (and highlighters) to work with 9 Breeders’ Cup Races to breakdown. So thanks for taking the ride with us, and tune in to a Podcast today at 12:30 on Capital Sports Network where we will adjust to any scratches that could affect the races. Good Luck…and Let ’em Run.
Capital Sports Network will be your home for Let ’em Run Happy Hour
Let ’em Run is breaking down races at some new venues, and we will continue to expand our horizons with a variety of tracks, as we listen to what our viewers and readers have to say.
We are breaking down interesting races at Laurel Park and Turfway Park (a little nighttime action) that will be run on Saturday. Then we turn our attention to Aqueduct on Saturday, where there is The Remsen Gr2, a Kentucky Derby prep, and the signature race…The Cigar Mile.
Saturday Roundup Reminder
Be sure to tune into the Saturday “Let ’em Run Roundup” at 12:30 where we will bring even more insight after any scratches and other changes. So catch us this weekend on multiple streaming apps and social channels!!
Race 6 — 2:23 EST — The Maryland Juvenile — 125K — 7 Furlongs (Dirt) Some talented 2 y.o.’s line up for this race, at the always tricky distance for young runners at 7 furlongs. I am going to lean on #3 Sometime 9-2. Was ambitiously placed in the Iroquois against some of the best milers in the division. Breeding out of Take Charge Indy, who came in 1st at The Florida Derby and The Clark Handicap, so the talent is there. The #4 Biker Bailey 4-1 came out of a Md 20k, but took over the field and posted a 70 BSF. Could go to the front and not look back. Bet = $10 Ex Box 3,4 = $20
Saturday 12/6 — Turfway Park
Race 7 — 8:55 EST — The Boone County — 125K — 1 ¼ (Synthetic) Big field to choose from gives us plenty of options and value to boot. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz hops aboard #10 Swift Delivery 5-1, 1 of 2 Mark Casse entrants. A failed turf experiment, in between two Gr3 races on synthetic, make this horse the one to beat. Tough post, but De La Cruz can work out a trip and close on the field. The #1 Funtastic Again 5-1, is the horse for course and surface. Has ran in a steady diet of 6 Graded races last 6x, and now gets relief and a good post to go to the front. Jockey Gerado Corrales is very familiar with this runner.
Saturday 12/6 — Aqueduct (Races 7–11)
Race 7 — 2:11 EST — Alw 88K N1X — 1 Mile (Dirt)
Nice start to the late P5 for Let ’em Run, with a big field of 12 runners. Hard to look past #6 Life and Times 8-5. As a student of pace figures, this runner has an early pace figure of 142!! Out of Justify, and 2nd time out runners for that sire often improve…scary. Likely to have some company up front, but just too fast. Bet = P5 = 6 / All / All / 6 / 2 = $78 (based on current entries)
Race 8 — 2:39 EST — The NY Stallion Series — 500K (Fillies) — 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
Another full field of 2 y.o. fillies running at 7 furlongs. Going with #12 Daniella Marie 6-1, the entry for the “other Chad”… trainer Chad Summers, who is heating up and excellent with 2.y.o’s. Jockey Kendrick Caramouche stays on, and never really asked her in last, when she won by 9 ¼ lengths. Likely post time fave #10 Hot Currency 7-2, looking to improve with stud jockey Flavian Prat retaining the mount.
Race 9 — 3:08 EST — The Remsen Gr2 — 250K — 1 ⅛ (Dirt)
Kentucky Derby prep race, with 12 runners ready to go. The #11 Talkin 5-1 for trainer Danny Gargan is my top choice. Gargan is looking to hit the Derby trail again with a good one here, out of top Sire Good Magic. Runner beat Further Ado in Maiden, and that runner is labeled as a Derby favorite, so why not this guy. Jockey Kendrick Caramouche has options from a tough post, with interesting Brisnet early and late pace figures both high, and nearly the same (early 106 / late 102). Once again the Flavian Prat runner #2 Paladin 3-1 will get much deserved attention.
Race 10 — 3:37 EST — The Cigar Mile Gr2 — 500K — 1 Mile (Dirt)
Really can’t see anyone beating the fast and talented #6 Phileas Fogg 8-5. Two new wrinkles; with blinkers going on and jockey Joel Rosario taking the mount. Trainer Rodriguez Gustavo gave him a break pointing to this race, and said “it’s showtime“; when asked how he was doing!!
Two notes per Brisnet, lone E speed, and best pace to the 6 furlong distance, by a lot. So should have company early, but will then pull away to the wire.
Race 11 — The NY Stallion Series — 500K — 7 Furlongs
Once again the Big A putting out a big field for bettors. Trainer Butch Reid has #2 Parker Boone 8-5 ready to make some noise. Runner won by 12 ¼ 1st time out and was under wraps early. Naysayers will say “who did he beat”, but runners out of Solomini are often very good, very early. Will have other speed to deal with, but a ground saving post should seal the deal.
Final Notes
Stay tuned as we continue to grow, and tune in on Saturday for our 12:30 Podcast, with scratches and changes affecting our picks. And as the saying goes, Let ‘em Run.
NFL and COLLEGE FOOTBALL – THE sec How Sports Is Saving Broadcast TV: The Rise of Live Programming in a Streaming-Dominated Era
Escalating costs of NFL and MLB renewals, combined with cable decline and streaming fragmentation, are likely to make ESPN, Amazon, Apple, CBS, NBC, Fox, and YouTube more cautious about paying significantly higher college football rights fees. This financial pressure could slow down aggressive expansion and reduce the incentive to add ACC schools like Florida State, Clemson, North Carolina, and Miami, especially since their recent on-field performance has weakened their market value.
NFL & MLB renewals dominate budgets: The NFL’s Thanksgiving 2025 ratings shattered records, proving why networks will commit billions more to retain rights. MLB’s upcoming renewal adds another heavy obligation.
Streaming entrants already stretched: Amazon, Apple, and YouTube are investing heavily in NFL packages and global sports, limiting their appetite for additional college conference deals.
Cable volatility: Cord-cutting erodes traditional revenue streams, forcing networks to be more selective with rights investments.
College Conference Dynamics
Big Ten & SEC remain secure: Their multibillion-dollar deals ($8B+ for Big Ten, $3B for SEC) ensure stability and make them the only conferences positioned to expand further but only if there is more money to get from the media partners.
ACC locked in: ESPN extended its deal through 2036, giving the conference stability but limiting renegotiation. This makes poaching ACC schools less financially attractive unless ESPN adjusts terms.
Big 12 opportunism: Benefited from Pac-12’s collapse, but future expansion depends on whether networks see value in adding mid-tier programs.
Risks for ACC Schools
Performance matters: Florida State, Clemson, UNC, and Miami have struggled with subpar seasons, reducing their bargaining power. Networks are less likely to pay premiums for underperforming brands.
Revenue-sharing pressures: Following the House v. NCAA settlement, schools must share revenue with athletes, increasing the need for higher payouts. If networks won’t pay more, weaker conferences risk losing schools without replacement value.
Exposure vs. payout trade-off: Streaming platforms may prefer cherry-picking marquee matchups rather than funding entire conferences, further reducing incentives to add schools.
Likely Outcomes
Slower expansion: Networks will prioritize retaining NFL/MLB rights over funding new college realignment.
Selective poaching: Big Ten and SEC may still target top ACC schools if they rebound competitively, but only if the economics justify it.
ACC stability (for now): ESPN’s long-term deal through 2036 makes immediate exits difficult, though lawsuits from FSU and Clemson could test that structure.
Bottom Line
The financial strain of NFL and MLB renewals means networks are unlikely to pay dramatically more for college football in the near term. That reduces the incentive for conferences to expand aggressively, making another Pac-12-style collapse less likely in the short run — but leaving underperforming ACC schools vulnerable if their value doesn’t rebound.
The Breeders’ Cup starts today, and Let ’em Run is on site.
Rear View Mirror Segment Introduction
Let ’em Run continues to improve our product, and we are rolling out our “Rear View Mirror” segment in today’s edition for Sports Talk Florida, where we look back on races we broke down and see where we missed a possible pick and why, and also how we landed on a good pick. In life they say “the windshield is bigger than the rear view mirror so you look ahead, instead of back”. We think in handicapping, a good idea occasionally to look back!!
Friday 11/28 — Churchill Downs
Race 10 – The Mrs. Revere Stakes Looking back on our Podcast, John and I both landed on #4 Classic Q as an upset winner over big favorite #1 Lush Lips. The favorite proved her class and just nipped Classic Q. and a fast closing #10 Pretty Picture.
Race 11 – The Clark Stakes The “Rear View Mirror” told us we should have given a long look at the #9 Magnitude, who took it to the field with the highest U.S. Timeform early pace figure. John made a strong case for #5 Chunk of Gold, who had more company up front than expected. My pick #4 Gosger, had many Brisnet angles that made him strong in my book, but never fired. Keep an eye on this runner next out, odds will surely be worth a look.
Saturday 11/29 — Del Mar
Race 5 – The Seabiscuit Handicap In this race, the “Rear View Mirror” told us the only way (in our opinion) the #4 Call Sign Seven could have been used, was if you used a dart board, no offense to those who picked him!! John and I both landed on #3 Almanderes, who ran in 4th place, as the leader ran away from all in the field.
Race 7 – The Jimmy Durante Stakes Some redemption here as John laid out a Trifecta Key for $20 (4/1,5,6,8,9/1,5,6,8,9) and returned $61.50. Hey, a win is a win. I dropped anchor on the #5 La Ville Lumiere, a long shot at 8-1, with a lot of Brisnet angles to work with. She ran a nice race, but only managed a 3rd place finish.
Race 9 – The Hollywood Stakes Using the “Rear View Mirror”, a case could have been made for winner #4 Salamis. Leading rider Umberto Rispoli jumped aboard for trainer Chad Brown. In the last race he was a tough load, and closed, but too late. He ran back to the 2 back race and took the top spot, not an impossible pick with a closer look.
Looking Ahead
Moving forward, Let’emRun is looking to run multiple Podcasts each week in the New Year. Coming up on Friday 12/5/25 Happy Hour at 3PM, we will dive into 2 races being run on Saturday 12/6/25… Race 6 at Laurel Park, The Maryland Juvenile. We will then jump over to Race 7 at Turfway Park, The Boone County. Some interesting races, at some interesting venues.
Upcoming Coverage
On Saturday 12/6/25, we will get back to East Coast racing at Aqueduct, where we will cover Races 7 thru 11, including Race 9 The Remsen Stakes (Kentucky Derby Prep), and Race 10, The Cigar Mile. Two big races each year at the Big A, so be sure to tune in for both shows, and as always Let ’em Run.
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